MRVL: watching for bottom formation in coming monthsPrice continues to act in line with the trend structure outlined in the October update, starting a pullback after reaching the mid-term resistance zone and now reacting from the first level of support.
While a final push lower toward the 50-day MA remains possible in the near term, I’ll be watching for bottoming signs and the formation of a new base over the coming weeks and months.
Chart:
Previously:
• On downside potential (Aug 11):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On support (Aug 25):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On resistance zone (Oct 2):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On pullback potential (Oct 10):
Chart:
See weekly review:
Semiconductors
HIMX | Launch This Semiconductor | LONGHimax Technologies, Inc. is a semiconductor solution provider dedicated to display imaging processing technologies. It operates through the Driver Integrated Circuit and Non-Driver Products segments. The company's products include display drivers, timing controllers, wafer level optics, video and display technology solutions, liquid crystal over silicon silicon, complementary metal-oxide semiconductor image sensor, and power integrated circuit. Its products used in TVs, laptops, monitors, mobile phones, tablets, digital cameras, car navigation, virtual reality (VR) devices and many other consumer electronics devices. Himax Technologies was founded by Biing Seng Wu and Jordan Wu on June 12, 2001 and is headquartered in Tainan, Taiwan.
INTC Intel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on INTC:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of INTC Intel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 48usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-3-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
HIMX 1D - eyes back on the screen?Himax Technologies is shaping a strong setup: after breaking above the downtrend line, the stock is now retesting the $8.70–$9.00 support zone, aligning perfectly with previous resistance and short-term EMAs. It’s a textbook breakout + retest situation.
All moving averages (MA/EMA/SMA) are below the price, confirming that buyers are in control. The bullish targets are set at $10.41 and $12.49. As long as the $8.70 level holds, the uptrend scenario stays valid.
On the fundamental side, Himax remains a key player in display driver ICs, particularly for AR/VR and automotive applications. With the growing adoption of smart displays and head-up tech, the stock could light up again.
Tactical plan: watch $8.7–9.0 carefully. If buyers hold the line - it’s showtime. If not - let the chip cool down before the next rally.
Can Memory Chips Become Geopolitical Weapons?Micron Technology has executed a strategic transformation from commodity memory producer to critical infrastructure provider, positioning itself at the intersection of AI computing demands and U.S. national security interests. The company's fiscal 2025 performance demonstrates this pivot's success, with data center revenue surging 137% year-over-year to comprise 56% of total sales. Gross margins expanded to 45.7% as the company captured pricing power across both its advanced High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) portfolio and traditional DRAM products. This dual-margin expansion stems from an unusual market dynamic: capacity reallocation toward specialized AI chips has created artificial supply constraints in legacy memory, driving price increases exceeding 30% in some segments. In contrast, HBM3E capacity through 2026 is already sold out.
Micron's technological leadership centers on power efficiency and manufacturing innovation that translate directly into customer economics. The company's HBM3E solutions deliver bandwidth exceeding 1.2 TB/s while consuming 30% less power than competing 8-high configurations—a critical advantage for hyperscale operators managing electricity costs across massive data center footprints. This efficiency edge is reinforced by scientific advances in manufacturing, particularly the mass production deployment of 1γ DRAM using Extreme Ultraviolet lithography. This node transition delivers over 30% more bits per wafer than previous generations while reducing power consumption by 20%, creating structural cost advantages that competitors must match through heavy R&D investment.
The company's unique position as America's sole HBM manufacturer has transformed it from a component supplier to a strategic national asset. Micron's $200 billion U.S. expansion plan, supported by $6.1 billion in CHIPS Act funding, aims to produce 40% of its DRAM capacity domestically within a decade. This geostrategic positioning grants preferential access to U.S. hyperscalers and government projects requiring secure, domestically sourced components, a competitive moat independent of immediate technological specifications. Combined with a robust intellectual property portfolio covering 3D memory stacking and secure boot architectures, Micron has established multiple defensive layers that transcend typical semiconductor industry cycles, validating an investment thesis for sustained high-margin growth through structural rather than cyclical drivers.
AMD: entering mid-term resistance levelNASDAQ:AMD price followed through from the support zone into the important mid-term resistance outlined in the October updates.
One of the strongest structures and setups on the market. And while there’s still potential for a move into the higher resistance area at 260–277, I expect selling pressure to start building over the next few weeks, leading to a pullback and potential consolidation phase.
Breaking out above 277 will force me to reconsider the trend suggested trend structure.
Chart:
Previously:
• On resistance zone (Oct 13):
• Upside potential (Oct 7):
see in weekly review
Previously this year:
• On macro resistance (Jul 29):
• On resistance & bounce potential (Aug 6):
• On macro bottoming potential (Apr 25):
WDC: potential topping structurePrice continues to act in line with the trend structure suggested in the October analysis. As long as price remains below today’s low, I’m watching for downside continuation toward the 108–103 support zone in the short term, with potentially lower targets in the mid-term.
Chart:
Previously:
On downside potential (Oct 9):
Chart:
see in weekly review:
MU: price reached key mid-term resistance Price has shown strong follow-through from the support zone mentioned in the October update and has now reached the top of a key mid-term resistance area.
As long as price is closing below 219, I’m watching for selling pressure to start building and for a potential pullback toward the 160 area / rising 50-day MA.
Chart:
Previously:
• On resistance zone (Oct 3):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On mid-term support (Sep 30):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On pullback potential (Aug 12):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On resistance (Aug 7):
www.tradingview.com
• On support zone (Jul 22):
www.tradingview.com
• On downside potential (Jul 15):
www.tradingview.com
MRVL | Another Semi Run Coming | LONGMarvell Technology, Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of integrated circuits. Its products include data processing units, security solutions, automotive, coherent DSP, DCI optical modules, ethernet controllers, ethernet PHYs, ethernet switches, linear driver, PAM DSP, transimpedance amplifiers, fibre channel, HDD, SSD controller, storage accelerators, ASIC, and Marvell government solutions. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Singapore, Israel, India, China, and Others. The company was founded by Wei Li Dai and Pantas Sutardja in 1995 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.
ARM Traders Won’t Like This SetupARM Holdings is sitting at a pivotal zone, and the next move could be brutal for one side of the market.
-If $133.53 breaks, momentum opens a slide toward $116, then $109, with $99 lurking as the deeper target.
-But if price can reclaim $173, the stage is set for a rally toward $213.
Here’s what makes this fascinating: most traders get tunnel vision on the current chop… while the real story is how violent ARM tends to move once it clears a range.
👉 The question isn’t if it moves, it’s which side gets trapped first.
How are you preparing for either outcome?
SMH ETF Power Move Incoming – ATR Confirms Bullish Momentum!🎯 SMH Semiconductor Heist: Bulls Loading Up! 💎🚀
📊 Asset Analysis
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) - The chip sector's flagship ETF is showing serious strength after bouncing off the ATR (Average True Range) support zone. Bulls are flexing their muscles, and momentum is building for an upside breakout. Time to plan your entry like a pro! 🧠💰
🔥 Trade Setup: The "Layered Thief" Entry Strategy
Bias: BULLISH 🐂
Strategy: Multi-layered limit order entries (maximize your position while managing risk)
🎯 Entry Zones (Layer Your Orders):
Deploy multiple buy limit orders across these price levels to build your position strategically:
Layer 1: $328
Layer 2: $332
Layer 3: $336
Layer 4: $340
Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk tolerance. The goal is to average into the position as price consolidates before the breakout.
🛑 Risk Management
Stop Loss: $324
This level invalidates the bullish setup if breached. The ATR support zone should hold — if it doesn't, we're outta here!
⚠️ Risk Disclosure: This stop loss level is based on my analysis. However, YOU are the captain of your own ship! Adjust your risk parameters according to your account size and risk appetite. Trade smart, not reckless! 🧠
🎯 Target Zones
Primary Target: $364 (Take Profits Here!) 💰
Maximum Target: $368 (Resistance Zone/Overbought Alert) ⚠️
At $368, we're approaching a major resistance level where profit-taking, overbought conditions, and potential bull traps converge. It's the "police barricade" 🚨 — smart thieves know when to escape with the loot! Secure your gains before hitting this ceiling.
⚠️ Profit-Taking Disclosure: These are MY target levels based on technical analysis. Your profit targets should align with YOUR trading plan and risk-reward preferences. Take money when YOU feel comfortable — it's your capital, your rules! 💼
🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch
Keep an eye on these related tickers for confirmation and broader market context:
NASDAQ:SOXX - iShares Semiconductor ETF (direct sector peer)
NASDAQ:NVDA - NVIDIA (semiconductor heavyweight, major SMH component)
NASDAQ:AMD - Advanced Micro Devices (chip sector bellwether)
NYSE:TSM - Taiwan Semiconductor (global chip manufacturing leader)
NASDAQ:AVGO - Broadcom (diversified semiconductor play)
NASDAQ:QQQM / QQQ - Nasdaq 100 ETFs (tech sector correlation)
📈 Why it matters: SMH trades in sync with these assets. If they're showing strength, it confirms the bullish thesis. If they're weak, proceed with extra caution!
📈 Technical Confluence
✅ ATR support zone holding strong
✅ Bulls regaining control after retracement
✅ Volume accumulation at support levels
✅ Risk-reward ratio favors the bulls (SL: $324 → Target: $364 = solid R:R)
The technical stars are aligning for a bullish continuation move! 🌟
🎓 Trading Wisdom
This setup combines patience (layered entries), discipline (defined stop loss), and realistic expectations (conservative profit targets). The semiconductor sector is volatile but rewarding when you trade with a plan! 💼📊
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis represents the "Thief Style Trading Strategy" — a playful approach to technical analysis meant for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade at your own risk! 🎲
#SMH #Semiconductors #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #NVDA #AMD #ChipStocks #TradingSetup #StockMarket #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #VanEckETF #TechStocks #MarketAnalysis #TradingIdeas #PriceAction
TSM Trade Setup — Strategic Entries and Risk Control🏦 TSM — “The Chip Heist: Thief Layers Up for the Big Loot” 💎
🎯 Market Setup:
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co., Ltd) is showing a bullish setup after a potential retest at the ATR line. The ATR retest will confirm buyer strength before momentum kicks in.
💰 Thief’s Master Plan (Layer Entry Tactics)
We scale in like a disciplined thief stacking gold bars:
Buy Limit 1 → 288
Buy Limit 2 → 292
Buy Limit 3 → 296
Buy Limit 4 → 300
(You can add more layers depending on your plan and risk appetite.)
🕵️♂️ Each layer reduces average entry cost and catches dips before the next move.
🧨 Stop-Loss Protocol:
Thief’s SL → 280
⚠️ This is my personal stop. Set your own stop according to your risk tolerance.
💎 Profit Extraction Zone (Target):
Target → 330 (Police Barricade / resistance zone + potential overbought trap)
Lock profits before the “trap” — that’s where pros exit quietly. 🚔💨
🧠 Key Cross-Market Links (For Confirmation)
Watch correlated tickers for better trade context:
NASDAQ:ASML → European semiconductor momentum
NASDAQ:NVDA → US chip leader, sentiment gauge
$SOX.X → Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, sector strength
NASDAQ:TSLA → Proxy for chip demand (AI + EV)
If NVDA and SOX are strong, TSM retest is likely to succeed. If they stall, be cautious.
📊 Trade Summary (Normal Format)
Confirmation: Retest at ATR line (momentum check)
Entry Plan: Layer buys at 288 / 292 / 296 / 300
Stop: 280 (adjust as needed)
Target: 330 resistance zone
Risk/Reward: Approx. 1:2.5+ depending on execution
💬 Side Note (For Thief OGs Only)
Not financial advice. We rob liquidity, not peace of mind. 😎
Trade it your way, manage risk, and protect your capital — that’s the real treasure.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy shared just for fun. Trade responsibly and DYOR before entry.
#TSM #Semiconductors #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #BullishSetup #TradingView #ThiefTrader #LiquidityHunt #ATRstrategy #SmartMoneyConcepts #LayerEntry
NVTS | The Next Semi To Run HARD | LONGNavitas Semiconductor Corp. engages in the development of ultra-efficient gallium nitride (GaN) semiconductors. Its GaN power ICs integrate GaN power with drive, control and protection to enable charging, power density, and energy savings for mobile, consumer, enterprise, eMobility and new energy markets. The company was founded by Daniel Kinzer, Nick Fichtenbaum, Gene Sheridan, and Jason Zhang on August 12, 2020 and is headquartered in Torrance, CA.
Can Light Truly Power the Future of AI?The exponential rise of artificial intelligence has exposed the physical limits of traditional electronic infrastructure. Electrical interconnects, once the backbone of computation, now struggle under escalating data demands, generating immense heat and power inefficiency. POET Technologies emerges as a transformative force in this landscape, leveraging its Optical Interposer™ platform to integrate electronic and photonic components at the wafer level. This innovation enables data speeds of 800G to 1.6T, meeting the insatiable bandwidth needs of AI clusters and hyperscale data centers while drastically reducing energy consumption.
At the core of POET’s advantage lies its patented low-thermal budget process, which allows photonic integration without the costly, high-temperature methods typical of semiconductor manufacturing. This approach not only minimizes thermal mismatches and signal losses but also aligns perfectly with existing CMOS foundry infrastructure—forming the foundation of an “asset-light” business model. By licensing its process and forming strategic joint ventures, POET scales efficiently without massive capital expenditure. Its collaborations with Foxconn and Semtech validate the platform’s industrial readiness, while a $75 million private placement strengthens its financial capacity to accelerate research, acquisitions, and manufacturing partnerships.
Beyond technology, POET’s innovations carry profound geopolitical and environmental implications. As nations race to secure semiconductor independence and energy resilience, POET’s energy-efficient, domestically manufacturable photonics become a critical strategic asset. Optical interconnects can cut data center power consumption by up to half, directly addressing mounting sustainability and national security concerns tied to AI’s energy footprint. Moreover, photonic architectures inherently enhance cybersecurity by offering interference-resistant, ultra-low-latency communication essential for distributed AI and defense systems.
In essence, POET Technologies transcends the definition of a semiconductor company; it represents the physical infrastructure upon which the next phase of artificial intelligence, digital sovereignty, and global energy stability may rest. By turning light into the new language of computation, POET positions itself not merely as a market participant but as an indispensable enabler of AI’s sustainable and secure future.
AMAT 1W: Retesting the Neckline Before the Next Move?On the weekly chart, Applied Materials (AMAT) has completed a clean inverted head and shoulders breakout around $226, and is now pulling back to retest the neckline zone near $200–211.
This area acts as strong support. If buyers defend it, the bullish pattern stays valid, with a projected target around $277, matching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
From a fundamental perspective, AMAT remains a key semiconductor player, benefiting from ongoing demand for chip-making equipment. The pullback looks more like a healthy pause than weakness - a classic chance for latecomers to re-enter.
Funny enough, the “head and shoulders” pattern, known for signaling tops, is doing the exact opposite here - apparently, even the market likes a good plot twist.
Bullish Thesis: Why AMD Stock Could Soar by Year-End 2025If you haven`t bought AMD before the previous rally:
What to consider now:
1. AI Tailwinds Are Accelerating
AMD is finally gaining serious traction in the AI GPU race. Its MI300X accelerator chips are being adopted by big names like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle for data center AI workloads. While NVIDIA is still dominant, AMD is expected to grab 10–20% of the AI GPU market share by 2025, according to industry estimates. That’s a multibillion-dollar opportunity.
The MI300X already passed $1B in revenue within its first quarters.
AI server TAM (total addressable market) is expected to grow to $400B by 2027 — AMD is positioning itself aggressively to carve out its slice.
2. Valuation Looks Reasonable vs Peers
AMD trades at a forward P/E around 40, significantly below Nvidia (which trades over 60x) despite similar growth projections for the next 2 years.
Revenue expected to grow over 15–20% YoY in 2025.
Gross margins expanding as high-performance chips dominate the mix.
3. Diversified Growth: Beyond AI
Gaming segment (PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X chips) remains strong.
Embedded segment from Xilinx acquisition continues to generate solid cash flow.
Client CPU business is rebounding as the PC market stabilizes.
4. Strong Management and Execution
CEO Lisa Su is widely respected for turning AMD around and guiding the company through major innovations and acquisitions (Xilinx, Pensando). Execution has remained consistent, especially in delivering cutting-edge performance-per-watt chips.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD | Long at $126.00Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD may be the sleeping giant in the semiconductor / AI space. While all eyes on NVidia NASDAQ:NVDA , earnings for NASDAQ:AMD grew by 800% over the past year... and are now forecast to grow 40% per year. Any other company would be soaring right now (like NVidia), but that company is getting all the attention. And, to me, this means opportunity for the future. The cashflow is likely to grow tremendously for
NASDAQ:AMD into 2027 and beyond, which may inevitably reward investors with dividends.
From a technical analysis perspective, NASDAQ:AMD just entered my historical simple moving average zone. This area (currently $108-$126) is where I will be gathering shares. Something tremendous would have to change regarding the fundamentals of this company (like a scandal) for the overall thesis to change. There may be some near-term price pains as NVidia gets all the focus, but to meet demand in the semiconductor and AI space, NASDAQ:AMD is poised to fulfill that roll in the future.
Target #1 = $158.00
Target #2 = $175.00
Target #3 = $188.00
Target #4 = $205.00
MPWR 1D: shoulders are squared and the battery's still fullMonolithic Power Systems broke out of a long-term descending trendline after completing a clean inverse head and shoulders. Now the price is pulling back into the 705–688 zone — a textbook retest area that combines the neckline, the 0.705–0.79 Fib levels, and a major volume shelf. Add to that a golden cross (EMA50 crossing EMA200 from below) and we have a solid technical foundation for continuation. Volume on the pullback is low, indicating no panic, just rotation. If 688 holds, the next levels to watch are 755.66 and 952.17 — the latter being the 1.618 Fib extension. Tactical setup: look for a reversal signal between 705–688, with a stop just below 661. As long as price holds this zone, the bullish structure remains intact.
Fundamentally, MPWR remains one of the strongest names in the semiconductor space. With over $1.5B in annual revenue and industry-leading margins, the company continues to see strong demand from data center and EV sectors. In its latest report, management highlighted accelerating orders from Tier‑1 manufacturers. The balance sheet is clean, with zero debt, and ongoing buybacks provide downside support. In a sector full of volatility, MPWR stands out with both structural reliability and technical clarity - making it a strong candidate for long-term positioning.
If this textbook pattern plays out, the train’s just leaving the station. The best seat is usually the one taken before the doors close.
Direxion Semiconductor 3x Bull | SOXL | Long at $30.00So many semiconductor companies... which one to choose? Enter AMEX:SOXL - not for the faint of heart. Losses and gains triple compared to most semiconductor ETFs, so stay away if high-risk plays aren't your thing. The top three holdings are NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , and NASDAQ:NVDA - two of which are at all-time highs...
I wouldn't be shocked if AMEX:SOXL enters the low $20's to test the base of my historical simple moving average area, but I don't think we are done hearing about AI and the semi demand. There are large gaps to fill above and below the current price and we are at the 50/50 stage (i.e. historical simple moving average zone) for a price move up or down.
My bet is up, especially with the new presidential administration. If politicians start dumping semis, I'm out. Thus, at $30.00 AMEX:SOXL is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $35
Target #2 = $40
Target #3 = $50
Target #4 = $60
ARM | The Next Semi to Move Higher | LONGArm Holdings Plc engages in the licensing, marketing, research, and development of microprocessors, systems IP, graphics processing units, physical IP and associated systems IP, software, and tools. It operates through the following geographical segments: United Kingdom, United States, and Other Countries. The company was founded on November 12, 1990 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.
Arm Holdings (ARM): Bullish Outlook on Structural Growth ThemesArm Holdings NASDAQ:ARM is a semiconductor IP powerhouse driving innovation across AI, mobile, data centers, and IoT. With its high-performance, low-power chip architectures, Arm remains foundational to next-gen computing infrastructure.
🔍 Key Fundamentals:
Market Dominance: Arm holds a leading position in semiconductor IP, backed by deep R&D investment and expanding licensing with top global chipmakers.
Revenue Momentum: Recent earnings show strong revenue growth, underpinned by rising global demand for Arm-based designs.
AI & Cloud Pivot: Major cloud providers are rapidly adopting Arm-based server architectures, reflecting Arm’s shift into AI and enterprise computing.
IoT & Automotive Expansion: With increasing compute needs in vehicles and smart devices, Arm’s low-power design edge is unlocking new growth verticals.
📈 Technical Perspective:
We're bullish above the $120.00–$122.00 zone, with an upside target of $270.00–$275.00 based on structural demand growth and strategic diversification.
#ARM #ArmHoldings #Semiconductors #AIStocks #TechStocks #IoT #CloudComputing #ChipStocks #NVIDIA #DataCenter #BullishBreakout






















