Get started

Semiconductors

SMH Is In Wave 5 Extension as Semiconductors Aim for 400 AreaSMH is the VanEck Semiconductor ETF, giving concentrated exposure to major global semiconductor companies like NVIDIA, TSMC, and Broadcom. It holds about 25 stocks and is known for higher volatility because a few large chipmakers dominate the fund. Investors use SMH to bet on long-term growth in chips, AI, and tech hardware, but it can swing sharply due to the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry. VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is trading within a five-wave bullish impulse from the April lows. Based on Elliott Wave theory, the ETF appears to be in the final Wave 5, which can still extend above the October highs toward the 400 area. Short-term pullbacks are possible, but the broader trend remains bullish. With current risk-on sentiment, semiconductor stocks could continue higher into late 2025 or even early 2026.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by ew-forecast
INTC | Bottoming Process is Progress | BounceIntel Corp. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies. It delivers computer, networking, data storage, and communications platforms. The firm operates through the following segments: Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center and AI (DCAI), Network and Edge (NEX), Mobileye, Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics (AXG), Intel Foundry Services (IFS), and All Other. The CCG segment consists of platforms designed for notebooks, 2-in-1 systems, desktops, tablets, phones, wireless and wired connectivity products, and mobile communication components. The DCAI segment delivers solutions to cloud service providers and enterprise customers, along with silicon devices for communications service providers and high-performance computing customers. The NEX segment offers computing system solutions from inflexible fixed-function hardware to general-purpose compute, acceleration, and networking devices running cloud native software on programmable hardware. The Mobileye segment develops driving assistance and self-driving solutions. The AXG segment provides products and technologies designed to help customers solve the toughest computational problems. Its products include CPUs for high-performance computing and GPUs targeted for a range of workloads and platforms, from gaming and content creation on client devices to delivering media and gaming in the cloud, and the most demanding high-performance computing and AI workloads on supercomputers. The IFS segment refers to full stack solutions created from the foundry industry ecosystem. The All Other segment represents results from other non-reportable segments and corporate-related charges. The company was founded by Robert Norton Noyce and Gordon Earle Moore on July 18, 1968, and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DivergenceSeeker
GlobalFoundaries | GFS | Long $33.62GlobalFoundaries NASDAQ:GFS Technical Analysis: The price is currently trading below the historical mean (see lines on chart). Given the "newness" of this stock on the market (IPO in 2021), I would often avoid an entry here until more data are gathered to better understand if the downside trend is reversing. However, in an era where AI integration is the future of tech, the growth prospects of NASDAQ:GFS make it undervalued in the semiconductor space. The current fair value is near $20. The price may get there in the near-term. But sometimes future fundamentals outweigh technical analysis... sometimes... Time will tell. Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasted revenue growth between 2025 ($6.75 billion) and 2028 ($8.88 billion): 31.6% Forecasted earnings-per-share growth between 2025 ($1.62) and 2028 ($3.12): 92.6% www.tradingview.com Health Debt-to-Equity: 0.15x (low, healthy) Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 2.48 (low risk) Insiders Silent... openinsider.com Action Due to the growth prospects and likely high demand of semiconductors, NASDAQ:GFS is in a personal buy zone at $33.62. This entry goes against some technical analysis guidance (more downside may be inevitable this year), but the *long-term* upside is more than likely there *if* earnings and revenue growth projections are accurate beyond 2025. Targets in 2028 $39.00 (+16.0%) $50.00 (+48.7%)
NASDAQ:GFSLong
by WorthlessViews
3
Is Intel’s Apple Deal the Ultimate Pivot?Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) stock soared over 116% this year. Reports suggest Apple may use Intel’s foundry by 2027. We analyze the drivers behind this potential resurrection. Geopolitics & Geostrategy: The Stability Premium In a volatile world, Intel offers a "stability premium." TSMC’s concentration in Taiwan risks Western supply chains. The US government now holds a ~10% stake in Intel. This actively incentivizes domestic production to secure the grid. Apple chooses Intel to hedge against geopolitical friction. This move aligns with US strategic interests, treating Intel as a sovereign asset. Management & Leadership: The Tan Effect CEO Lip-Bu Tan drives a massive cultural shift. He replaced Pat Gelsinger’s engineering vision with operational discipline. Tan prioritizes customer listening, an area where Intel historically struggled. This pivot is paying off. Securing Apple proves Intel is shedding its "arrogant" legacy. It is becoming a true service-oriented foundry. Technology & Innovation: The 18A-P Advantage The deal relies on Intel’s **18A-P process technology**. Apple aims to use this for entry-level M-series chips. This validates Intel's aggressive manufacturing roadmap. Additionally, the Trump administration invested $150 million in xLight. This startup develops next-gen lithography lasers to aid chipmaking. It reinforces the ecosystem surrounding Intel’s manufacturing capabilities. Business Models: The Foundry Pivot Intel is transforming from a product company to a hybrid foundry. Analysts estimate the Apple deal could generate ~$1 billion annually. However, the "Apple Seal of Approval" is worth far more. It signals to giants like Qualcomm that Intel is ready. It also creates leverage against TSMC’s pricing power. Final Verdict: The Apple rumors convert Intel into a legitimate turnaround play. US geopolitical interests align with the new leadership. Validated technology suggests Intel’s worst days are likely over.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by TradeThePool
Is SanDisk Building the Foundation for the AI Economy?SanDisk Corporation (NASDAQ: SNDK) has emerged from its February 2025 spin-off from Western Digital as a pure-play flash memory powerhouse perfectly positioned for the AI infrastructure boom. The company's stock has surged toward $230 per share, with Morgan Stanley projecting targets as high as $273, driven by a rare convergence of technological innovation, geopolitical maneuvering, and macroeconomic tailwinds. The separation unlocked significant shareholder value by eliminating the conglomerate discount, allowing SanDisk to pursue an aggressive strategy focused exclusively on flash memory. At the same time, the hard disk drive business operates independently. The company's BiCS8 technology represents a breakthrough in 3D NAND architecture, utilizing CMOS Bonded to Array (CBA) design that achieves 50% higher bit density and I/O speeds reaching 4.8Gb/s—critical capabilities for AI training and inference workloads. This technological leap, combined with strategic manufacturing partnerships with Kioxia in Japan and a calculated divestiture of Chinese assets to JCET, positions SanDisk to navigate the US-China semiconductor conflict while maintaining access to critical markets. The NAND flash market is experiencing a structural supply shortage following years of underinvestment, with contract prices surging by more than 60% in some categories and manufacturers unable to bring new capacity online until late 2026 due to the 18-24-month construction timeline for advanced fabs. SanDisk's financial performance validates this strategic positioning, with Q4 2025 revenue reaching $1.901 billion (up 8% year-over-year) and cloud segment revenue growing 25% annually to $213 million. The company achieved a net cash position of $91 million ahead of schedule while expanding non-GAAP gross margins to 26.4%. Enterprise SSDs like the 122.88TB SN670 UltraQLC and the PCIe Gen5 DC SN861 are displacing traditional hard drives in data center architectures, as AI workloads demand the density of HDDs combined with flash speed. The company is also pioneering High Bandwidth Flash (HBF) technology, which could offer petabyte-scale capacity at significantly lower costs than traditional High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), potentially revolutionizing AI inference economics and solidifying SanDisk's role as a critical infrastructure provider for the AI economy.
NASDAQ:SNDKLong
by UDIS_View
AVGO: Path to $829.77 – Navigating Critical Fibonacci Zones​1. Overall Thesis and Price Structure ​Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) exhibits a strong underlying bullish trend, fundamentally driven by demand for its AI chips and the successful integration of VMware. The technical objective targets a final high of $829.77. However, the path requires breaking through significant resistance levels defined by the Fibonacci structure. The current price is \mathbf{\$402.96}, maintaining the bullish momentum. ​2. Crucial Resistance and Volatility Points ​The analysis identifies two critical intermediate targets. The first and most significant hurdle is at $567.10, which aligns closely with the \mathbf{0.618} Fibonacci Golden Ratio. This zone is expected to trigger major volatility, profit-taking, and consolidation. The price action at $567.10 is the key test for trend continuity. Should the price break this level decisively, the next primary resistance target is $688.63, paving the way for the ultimate goal. ​3. Key Support and Trend Invalidation ​The long-term structural support, or the "Invalidation Point" for the bullish scenario, is the Key Zone at \mathbf{\$206.00}. As long as AVGO trades above this level, the multi-year uptrend remains valid. In the short term, the stock needs to overcome immediate resistance near $414.77 to gather momentum and continue its push towards the intermediate Fibonacci targets.
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by adham2022
Micron Technology - The end will come soon!✂️Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) will create a top soon: 🔎Analysis summary: Starting back in mid 2025, Micron Technology retested a major confluence of support. This retest was followed by an expected rally of about +250%. But soon, Micron Technology will create a short term top formation, followed by a healthy correction towards the downside. 📝Levels to watch: $250 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:MUShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
8
Is Silicon's Silent Giant Rewriting the Rules of AI?Broadcom has emerged as a critical, yet understated, architect of the artificial intelligence revolution. While consumer-facing AI applications dominate headlines, Broadcom operates in the infrastructure layer, designing custom chips, controlling networking technology, and managing enterprise cloud platforms. The company maintains a 75% market share in custom AI accelerators, partnering exclusively with Google on their Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) and recently securing a major deal with OpenAI. This positioning as the "arms dealer" of AI has propelled Broadcom to a $1.78 trillion valuation, making it one of the world's most valuable semiconductor companies.   The company's strategy rests on three pillars: custom silicon dominance through its XPU platform, private cloud control via the VMware acquisition, and aggressive financial engineering. Broadcom's technical expertise in critical areas like SerDes technology and advanced chip packaging creates formidable barriers to competition. Their Ironwood TPU v7, designed for Google, delivers exceptional performance through innovations in liquid cooling, massive HBM3e memory capacity, and high-speed optical interconnects that allow thousands of chips to function as a unified system. This vertical integration from silicon design to enterprise software creates a diversified revenue model resistant to market volatility.   However, Broadcom faces significant risks. The company's dependence on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) for production creates geopolitical vulnerability, particularly given rising tensions in the Taiwan Strait. U.S.-China trade restrictions have compressed certain markets, though sanctions have also consolidated demand among compliant vendors. Additionally, Broadcom carries over $70 billion in debt from the VMware acquisition, requiring aggressive deleveraging despite strong cash flows. The company's controversial shift to subscription-based pricing for VMware, while financially successful, has generated customer friction.   Looking ahead, Broadcom appears well-positioned for the continued AI infrastructure buildout through 2030. The shift toward inference workloads and "agentic" AI systems favors application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) over general-purpose GPUs Broadcom's core strength. The company's patent portfolio provides both offensive licensing revenue and defensive protection for partners. Under CEO Hock Tan's disciplined leadership, Broadcom has demonstrated ruthless operational efficiency, focusing exclusively on the highest-value enterprise customers while divesting non-core assets. As AI deployment accelerates and enterprises embrace private cloud architectures, Broadcom's unique position spanning custom silicon, networking infrastructure, and virtualization software establishes it as an essential, if largely invisible, enabler of the AI era.
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by UDIS_View
Can X-Ray Technology Really Disrupt a 125-Year-Old Industry?Nano-X Imaging is attempting to fundamentally restructure the medical imaging industry through a convergence of semiconductor innovation and business model disruption. The company has commercialized a cold cathode X-ray source that replaces the century-old thermionic emission technology, which wastes 99% of energy as heat, with field emission from millions of molybdenum nano-cones operating at room temperature. This breakthrough, manufactured in their South Korean semiconductor fabrication facility near the SK Hynix cluster, enables the Nanox.ARC system: a compact, digitally-agile tomosynthesis device that eliminates the need for massive cooling systems and rotating gantries that have defined traditional CT scanners.   The commercial strategy centers on "Medical Screening as a Service" (MSaaS), converting imaging from a capital expenditure to an operational expense, which is particularly advantageous in the current high-interest-rate environment, where hospitals face capital budget constraints. Strategic partnerships provide immediate market access: the 3DR Labs agreement connects Nanox to over 1,800 US hospitals, integrating FDA-cleared AI algorithms (HealthCCSng, HealthOST, HealthFLD) directly into existing radiology workflows, while international deployments span Mexico (630 units with SPI Medical), South Korea and Vietnam (2,500 systems supported by SK Telecom), and European reference sites in France. Management has issued ambitious guidance of $35 million in revenue for 2026, representing approximately 900% growth from 2025 levels, progressing toward a projected $72.6 million by 2028.   The investment thesis rests on technological validation (FDA 510(k) clearance, operational semiconductor fab), geopolitical resilience (supply chain decoupled from Middle East instability), and macroeconomic alignment (OpEx-based model favored during capital constraints). However, execution risks remain significant: the company maintains a substantial cash burn rate ($30.4 million in negative operating cash flow), requires continued capital raises (most recently, a $15 million offering), and faces adoption uncertainty as hospitals evaluate this novel service model. Analyst sentiment is bullish with price targets averaging $7.75 (120%+ upside), though more aggressive projections reach $23, contingent on the successful scaled deployment of the recurring revenue model that fundamentally challenges the traditional equipment sales paradigm of incumbent manufacturers like GE, Siemens, and Philips.
NASDAQ:NNOXLong
by UDIS_View
Can Asia's Tensions Triple Your Hedge Returns?How escalating China-Japan geopolitical tensions create a compelling investment case for ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (SQQQ), a triple-leveraged inverse ETF tracking the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX). The Nasdaq-100's extreme concentration in technology sectors (61% weighting) and dependence on flawless global supply chains make it uniquely vulnerable to Asia-Pacific instability. SQQQ's triple-inverse structure allows investors to profit from anticipated NDX declines without traditional margin accounts, while its daily compounding mechanism is optimized for capturing the high-volatility, directional downside movements that geopolitical crises typically trigger.   The core vulnerability stems from critical supply chain chokepoints in East Asia. China controls nearly 90% of global rare earth element processing materials essential for EV motors, sensors, and defense systems, and has previously weaponized this dominance against Japan during territorial disputes. Meanwhile, Japan holds a 50% global market share in critical semiconductor materials like photoresists, making any disruption equivalent to halting chip fabrication for NDX companies. With the Nasdaq-100 deriving approximately 10% of revenues directly from Mainland China and nearly 50% internationally, escalating tensions threaten simultaneous revenue losses across multiple major markets while forcing costly supply chain regionalization that compresses profit margins.   Beyond physical supply chains, the analysis identifies state-sponsored cyber operations as the most immediate acute threat. U.S. agencies assess that Chinese cyber actors are pre-positioning themselves on critical infrastructure networks to enable disruptive attacks during major crises, with Japan reporting prior Chinese military cyberattacks against 200 companies and research institutes. Such cyber-induced production halts could generate billions in lost revenue while simultaneously degrading the innovation output that sustains NDX valuations. Geopolitical uncertainty correlates directly with reduced corporate R&D spending and demonstrable declines in patent quality and citation rates.   The convergence of these risks, supply chain weaponization, forced regionalization costs, elevated discount rates from geopolitical risk premiums, and cyber warfare threats creates an optimal environment for SQQQ's triple-inverse exposure. Corporate boards failing to incorporate robust geopolitical risk monitoring into NDX valuations represent a fundamental governance failure, as the structural shift from global efficiency to resilience-focused supply chains necessitates significant capital expenditure that undermines the high-growth valuations supporting current NDX prices.
NASDAQ:SQQQLong
by UDIS_View
NVTS: Uptrend from April lows may be complete Putting my late‑October NVTS update into a separate idea. From the way the corrective structure off the October highs is developing, it increasingly looks like the entire advance from the April lows may be complete, with price likely having formed a mid‑term top. The ideal macro support zone to complete this full corrective cycle sits at 5.20–3.90. In the near term, a move into the 6.97–5.70 area has a high probability of generating a bounce, but that bounce would most likely only create a larger‑degree lower high before the final leg down into macro support finishes the correction. Chart: Previously: For my prior structure analysis from Aug–Oct, see the previous idea:
NASDAQ:NVTS
by artemfedorov
Outflows Over Optimism: Analyzing TWD/USD WeaknessThe Taiwan Dollar (TWD) recently erased its sharpest advance in weeks against the U.S. Dollar (USD). This shift occurred despite the central bank's commitment against currency manipulation. A critical analysis reveals that equity outflows are outweighing exchange rate pledges. This TWD/USD decrease results from multi-domain forces, encompassing geopolitics, macroeconomics, and technological shifts. We must examine these intertwined factors to understand the currency's directional momentum. Geopolitical and Geostrategic Pressures Geopolitical tensions between mainland China and Taiwan generate significant investment uncertainty. Heightened cross-strait risk directly impacts investor confidence in Taiwanese assets. Foreign investors frequently exhibit risk-off behavior, prompting capital repatriation and increasing USD demand. This continuous, underlying geostrategic friction acts as a structural headwind for the TWD. Moreover, global economic fragmentation encourages supply chain "near-shoring" away from Asia. This shift potentially reduces Taiwan's export-driven trade surpluses over the long term. Macroeconomics and Capital Flight The core cause of TWD depreciation remains foreign capital outflows from the equity market. Foreign institutional investors hold a substantial share of the Taiwan stock market (TAIEX). Their net selling of Taiwanese stocks creates a massive demand for the USD to repatriate capital. This overpowers the TWD-supportive effects of the central bank's non-manipulation commitment. Furthermore, U.S. Federal Reserve policy drives the USD strength. Higher U.S. interest rates increase the yield spread against Taiwan, attracting capital to U.S. dollar-denominated assets. Technology, Cyber, and High-Tech Dynamics Taiwan's economy depends heavily on the high-tech and semiconductor industries. Slowing global demand for electronics has recently impacted Taiwan's export performance. Although the long-term trend remains strong, cyclical downturns in the Information and Communications Technology (ICT) sector directly weaken the TWD. Cyber-related risks also contribute to corporate concerns. Supply chain vulnerabilities and intellectual property threats necessitate expensive global diversification. This increased cost structure affects corporate profitability and, indirectly, investor appetite for local equities. Science and Patent Analysis Trends Taiwan maintains a strong position in high-tech innovation, evidenced by patent filings from giants like TSMC. However, the economic benefits of this technological edge are changing. Increased foreign investment by Taiwanese high-tech companies in the U.S. and Japan diverts capital. This outward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), intended for supply chain resilience, reduces domestic TWD demand. While the science sector remains robust, its financial flows are now shifting toward a more global footprint. This global realignment acts as a brake on local currency strength. Conclusion: Managing Structural Weakness The TWD/USD decrease reflects structural pressures transcending temporary market noise. Geopolitics drives capital repatriation, while U.S. monetary policy strengthens the rival currency. Technology's global expansion now distributes Taiwan's capital abroad, reducing domestic TWD demand. Authorities must manage these intertwined forces to stabilize the currency. The immediate market focus remains on foreign equity flows as the primary determinant of TWD direction.
Short
by the5erstrading
ALAB: more downside potentialAs long as the price remains below the 181 local resistance and 205 mid-term resistance, I’m watching for a continuation of downside momentum, with a potential re-test of the February breakout area around 115 and the broader macro support near 100. Chart: Previously: • On macro bottoming (May 1): see the chart inside www.tradingview.com • On upside potential (Jun 24): www.tradingview.com • On resistance zone and potential extension (Jul 21): www.tradingview.com • On potential resistance (Aug 5) — the zone price broke through, invalidating the prior pullback hypothesis: www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:ALABShort
by artemfedorov
AMD Trade Setup | AI Leadership + Strong Earnings MomentumAdvanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD remains a key name in the ongoing AI and semiconductor rally. Just ahead of earnings, AMD announced a $1B partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (Oct. 27), a major validation of its role in high-performance computing. This bullish development set the stage for strong momentum into the earnings release. 🚀 Earnings Recap: AMD delivered a solid Q3 report with 36% YoY revenue growth, margin expansion, and upbeat guidance. The Client and Data Center segments led the charge, while Embedded was softer. With macro support for semiconductors and increasing AI investment, market sentiment remains bullish. 🔧 Trade Plan: Entry: $224 Take Profit 1: $248 Take Profit 2: $267 Stop Loss: $211
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Richtv_official
SMH ETF Power Move Incoming – ATR Confirms Bullish Momentum!🎯 SMH Semiconductor Heist: Bulls Loading Up! 💎🚀 📊 Asset Analysis VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) - The chip sector's flagship ETF is showing serious strength after bouncing off the ATR (Average True Range) support zone. Bulls are flexing their muscles, and momentum is building for an upside breakout. Time to plan your entry like a pro! 🧠💰 🔥 Trade Setup: The "Layered Thief" Entry Strategy Bias: BULLISH 🐂 Strategy: Multi-layered limit order entries (maximize your position while managing risk) 🎯 Entry Zones (Layer Your Orders): Deploy multiple buy limit orders across these price levels to build your position strategically: Layer 1: $328 Layer 2: $332 Layer 3: $336 Layer 4: $340 Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk tolerance. The goal is to average into the position as price consolidates before the breakout. 🛑 Risk Management Stop Loss: $324 This level invalidates the bullish setup if breached. The ATR support zone should hold — if it doesn't, we're outta here! ⚠️ Risk Disclosure: This stop loss level is based on my analysis. However, YOU are the captain of your own ship! Adjust your risk parameters according to your account size and risk appetite. Trade smart, not reckless! 🧠 🎯 Target Zones Primary Target: $364 (Take Profits Here!) 💰 Maximum Target: $368 (Resistance Zone/Overbought Alert) ⚠️ At $368, we're approaching a major resistance level where profit-taking, overbought conditions, and potential bull traps converge. It's the "police barricade" 🚨 — smart thieves know when to escape with the loot! Secure your gains before hitting this ceiling. ⚠️ Profit-Taking Disclosure: These are MY target levels based on technical analysis. Your profit targets should align with YOUR trading plan and risk-reward preferences. Take money when YOU feel comfortable — it's your capital, your rules! 💼 🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch Keep an eye on these related tickers for confirmation and broader market context: NASDAQ:SOXX - iShares Semiconductor ETF (direct sector peer) NASDAQ:NVDA - NVIDIA (semiconductor heavyweight, major SMH component) NASDAQ:AMD - Advanced Micro Devices (chip sector bellwether) NYSE:TSM - Taiwan Semiconductor (global chip manufacturing leader) NASDAQ:AVGO - Broadcom (diversified semiconductor play) NASDAQ:QQQM / QQQ - Nasdaq 100 ETFs (tech sector correlation) 📈 Why it matters: SMH trades in sync with these assets. If they're showing strength, it confirms the bullish thesis. If they're weak, proceed with extra caution! 📈 Technical Confluence ✅ ATR support zone holding strong ✅ Bulls regaining control after retracement ✅ Volume accumulation at support levels ✅ Risk-reward ratio favors the bulls (SL: $324 → Target: $364 = solid R:R) The technical stars are aligning for a bullish continuation move! 🌟 🎓 Trading Wisdom This setup combines patience (layered entries), discipline (defined stop loss), and realistic expectations (conservative profit targets). The semiconductor sector is volatile but rewarding when you trade with a plan! 💼📊 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis represents the "Thief Style Trading Strategy" — a playful approach to technical analysis meant for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade at your own risk! 🎲 #SMH #Semiconductors #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #NVDA #AMD #ChipStocks #TradingSetup #StockMarket #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #VanEckETF #TechStocks #MarketAnalysis #TradingIdeas #PriceAction
CFI:SMHLong
by The-Thief
2
$INTC - Best in the sector against Trump tariffsIntel is a semiconductor technology giant, renowned for its x86 processors that dominate the CPU segment, top revenue in Q2 2025 came from PC chips (Client Computing Group, ~$7.9B) and server/AI chips (Data Center & AI, ~$3.9B) . Other revenue includes foundry services ($4.4B) and legacy businesses ($1.1B). But, for the last 4 years the company has experienced one disaster after another: - Loss of Market Share & Intensified Competition vs AMDs Ryzen and NVIDIA AI GPUs has been major drivers for last 4 years of decline. - Gross margin dropped to around 38–39% in 2024—a steep fall from pre‑pandemic levels above 60%, while NVIDIA maintained margins above 75%. - Intel perpetually lagged in transitioning to advanced nodes (7 nm, 5 nm), resulting in costly delays and reduced competitiveness . - Credit rating downgrade: In August 2025, Fitch downgraded Intel’s credit rating from BBB+ to BBB (negative outlook) due to weak demand and deteriorating profitability . S&P had already downgraded Intel to BB+, and Moody's also cut its rating in 2024 . Recent events and price action show its time for a buy at these prices. - Spin-off of Network & Edge (NEX) group: Intel announced the spin-off of its Network and Edge Group (NEX) into an independent entity focused on critical communications and networks, seeking external investors while retaining a major stake . - Workforce reduction and factory cancellations: Intel confirmed layoffs of ~24,000 employees (~15% of workforce) and cancellation of chip plant projects in Germany and Poland . New CEO Lip-Bu Tan plans to cut the headcount to ~75,000 by year-end 2025 . - Executive departures and internal reorganization: Three corporate VPs (Kaizad Mistry, Ryan Russell, Gary Patton) announced retirement from manufacturing operations amid deep restructuring . Intel also cut its manufacturing capacity planning and engineering teams as part of an efficiency-driven reorganization . - Recent key products/services: Intel launched new Xeon 6 CPUs for AI workloads (e.g. Xeon 6776P) and is preparing Panther Lake CPUs (PCs) for 2025 . It also began 18A node production in Arizona and sold part of its Mobileye stake (~$922M) to boost liquidity . Price/sales: Intel (0.80), AMD (10.3), NVIDIA (29.6), QCOM (3.68) Wrap-Up Intel's last four years have been marked by a series of structural, competitive, and strategic challenges—ranging from manufacturing delays to margin erosion and intense pressure from rivals like AMD and NVIDIA. Yet, the tide may be turning. With decisive actions like major cost-cutting initiatives, new AI-focused products, and progress in advanced node production, Intel is signaling a strategic pivot. Trading at a deep discount relative to peers based on the price-to-sales ratio, the stock reflects much of the past negativity. For investors seeking a long-term turnaround play in the semiconductor sector, now could be the moment to re-evaluate Intel’s potential. Let’s see if this chip giant can turn the corner. Cheers! Pablin
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Pablin000
8
TSM Trade Setup — Strategic Entries and Risk Control🏦 TSM — “The Chip Heist: Thief Layers Up for the Big Loot” 💎 🎯 Market Setup: TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co., Ltd) is showing a bullish setup after a potential retest at the ATR line. The ATR retest will confirm buyer strength before momentum kicks in. 💰 Thief’s Master Plan (Layer Entry Tactics) We scale in like a disciplined thief stacking gold bars: Buy Limit 1 → 288 Buy Limit 2 → 292 Buy Limit 3 → 296 Buy Limit 4 → 300 (You can add more layers depending on your plan and risk appetite.) 🕵️‍♂️ Each layer reduces average entry cost and catches dips before the next move. 🧨 Stop-Loss Protocol: Thief’s SL → 280 ⚠️ This is my personal stop. Set your own stop according to your risk tolerance. 💎 Profit Extraction Zone (Target): Target → 330 (Police Barricade / resistance zone + potential overbought trap) Lock profits before the “trap” — that’s where pros exit quietly. 🚔💨 🧠 Key Cross-Market Links (For Confirmation) Watch correlated tickers for better trade context: NASDAQ:ASML → European semiconductor momentum NASDAQ:NVDA → US chip leader, sentiment gauge $SOX.X → Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, sector strength NASDAQ:TSLA → Proxy for chip demand (AI + EV) If NVDA and SOX are strong, TSM retest is likely to succeed. If they stall, be cautious. 📊 Trade Summary (Normal Format) Confirmation: Retest at ATR line (momentum check) Entry Plan: Layer buys at 288 / 292 / 296 / 300 Stop: 280 (adjust as needed) Target: 330 resistance zone Risk/Reward: Approx. 1:2.5+ depending on execution 💬 Side Note (For Thief OGs Only) Not financial advice. We rob liquidity, not peace of mind. 😎 Trade it your way, manage risk, and protect your capital — that’s the real treasure. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy shared just for fun. Trade responsibly and DYOR before entry. #TSM #Semiconductors #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #BullishSetup #TradingView #ThiefTrader #LiquidityHunt #ATRstrategy #SmartMoneyConcepts #LayerEntry
NYSE:TSMLong
by The-Thief
Texas Instruments: Extending DeclinesDespite some interim countermoves, Texas Instruments continued to see further sell-offs, advancing our primary scenario. Currently, we still see additional downside potential in magenta wave (3) before expecting a temporary rebound in wave (4). With wave (5), TXN is likely to dip into our beige Target Zone between $130.04 and $107.75, completing the broader correction of beige wave IV. There remains a 30% chance that a new (corrective) high in green wave alt. could still materialize, delaying the end of the correction. In this scenario, price would first move above resistance at $221.79 before reversing at the higher $240.67 level.
NASDAQ:TXN
by HKCM_Global
Applied Materials | AMAT | Long at $169.75Republican Ashley Moody recently dropped $200k-$500k on Applied Materials $NASDAQ:AMAT. The semiconductor boom may not be over... Price-to-earnings: 21.68x (great in comparison to others...) Debt-to-equity: 0.34x (low) Cash flow: $10.4 billion (FY2024) Insiders awarded options recently Unless NASDAQ:NVDA brings the market down, NASDAQ:AMAT is in a personal buy zone at $169.75. While the price may dip in the near-term to the $140s, bullish until the semi boom dies... Targets: $195.00 $215.00 $240.00
NASDAQ:AMATLong
by WorthlessViews
NVTS: trend structure updatePrice continues to follow through with the trend structure outlined in the Aug–Oct updates, showing an orderly consolidation toward the local support zone and rising moving averages. If price manages to hold above the 21dEMA, I expect at least one more push higher into the 19–22 resistance zone before a potential longer consolidation and base-building phase. Alternatively, failure to break out above the October lower high would shift the odds toward the mid-term top being in, suggesting a deeper move into the mid-term support area at 11–9 levels. Chart: Previously: • On mid-term support (Aug 25): Chart: www.tradingview.com • On higher low potential (Sep 26): Chart: www.tradingview.com • On break-out and support (Weekly Chart Review – Oct 10): Chart: • On gap-up and follow-through (Oct 14): Chart: www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:NVTS
by artemfedorov
4