Bitcoin Holds Firm, Bulls Stay in ControlBTCUSDT is currently trading around 93,300–93,400 USDT, holding onto its upward momentum after the strong breakout seen in early January. The market still looks buyer-driven, with recent pullbacks appearing more like healthy technical corrections rather than a shift in sentiment.
From a broader perspective, crypto market sentiment continues to improve as capital flows back into risk assets and expectations grow that global liquidity conditions may ease in the coming period. This backdrop allows Bitcoin to maintain its role as a market leader, especially since there has been no negative news strong enough to trigger a reversal.
The preferred scenario remains a continuation of the short-term uptrend. As long as BTC holds above the rising trendline, a clean break above 94,000–94,500 could open the door toward the 96,000 USDT area in the near term. On the downside, any pullbacks into current support zones are still viewed as constructive pauses within an intact bullish structure, rather than signs of trend exhaustion.
Signal
Gold at Critical BPR & Breaker Zone!Gold has formed a BPR within the 4430–4420 zone, and at the same time there is an overlap of a breaker and an engulfing sell pattern. For this reason, it’s best to wait for a proper market retracement. If the market reacts positively from this area, it can show bullish behavior from these levels.
However, it is very important to wait for clear confirmations when the market reaches this zone. Without confirmation, there is also a strong possibility that the market may break through this level, especially since, on the higher time frame, the market is currently positioned at a bearish level. So continue to monitor price action closely and trade only after confirmation.
Climbing the Channel — ATH Is the MagnetOANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, with price respecting both channel support and structure of higher highs – higher lows. Pullbacks remain shallow and are consistently absorbed, signaling sustained bullish control rather than exhaustion.
Momentum remains constructive as price holds mid-channel, keeping the focus on continuation toward the previous all-time high (OLD ATH) rather than a structural reversal.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4,525 → 4,550 (OLD ATH)
Support: 4,460 – 4,470 (channel support)
Structure invalidation: below 4,440
➡️ Primary: hold above 4,460 → grind higher → test 4,525, then OLD ATH.
⚠️ Risk: loss of channel support → deeper pullback toward 4,440 before trend reassessment.
Technical Breakdown – Silver (XAGUSD)Market Structure
Price is currently correcting after a strong impulsive leg.
The higher timeframe bias remains bullish, while the current move is a short-term correction.
The structure suggests a controlled pullback rather than trend reversal.
Chart Patterns
• Falling Trendline: Price is respecting a descending corrective trendline.
• Corrective Structure: Classic impulse → correction setup is forming.
• Demand Reaction: Strong reaction from the 72.0–71.9 demand zone.
Liquidity & Key Levels
• Sell-side liquidity has been swept below recent lows (~72.0).
• Buy-side liquidity is resting above 75.80 and 76.75 (prior highs / rejection zones).
Trade Idea (Bullish Continuation Scenario)
1% (High Risk)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 75.80
TP2: 76.75
❌ Invalidation:
– Acceptance below 71.90
📝 Summary
As long as price holds above demand and reclaims structure, this move is considered a corrective pullback within a larger bullish framework.
This is not financial advice. Always manage risk.
EURUSD Attempts a Modest ReboundHello everyone, what’s your view on FX:EURUSD today?
EUR/USD has staged a modest recovery, supported by improving risk sentiment as traders grow less concerned about the situation in Venezuela.
From a fundamental perspective, the U.S. dollar remains relatively strong as investors await clearer signals on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy path for 2026. Meanwhile, the euro continues to face pressure from weak growth prospects in the euro area and expectations that the ECB will maintain an accommodative stance.
On the H4 chart, EUR/USD is still approaching the upper boundary of its trendline, with recent rebounds largely technical in nature. The 1.174–1.176 zone acts as the nearest resistance ahead of the psychological 1.180 level, while 1.1650–1.1680 remains a key support area. As long as price holds above this support, buyers remain relatively safe.
What’s your take on this pair?
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Falls on Japan PMI Price Pressure- The US fueled geopolitical tensions over the weekend, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, influencing demand for safe-haven assets, and USD/JPY trends.
- Traders had the opportunity to react to the weekend events on Monday, January 5. US control of Venezuela is likely to have ramifications on supply-demand dynamics for crude oil and Bitcoin (BTC). The news sent USD/JPY higher in early trading.
- While market reaction to President Maduro’s capture was key, finalized manufacturing sector -PMI data supported a tighter monetary policy environment, affirming the bearish medium-term outlook for USD/JPY.
- Below, I’ll discuss the macro backdrop, the near-term price catalysts, and technical levels traders should closely watch.
Technical Outlook: USD/JPY on a Downward Trajectory
- For USD/JPY price trends, technicals, and fundamentals will continue to require close monitoring.
- Looking at the daily chart, USD/JPY traded above its 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signaling a bullish bias. While technicals remained bullish, bearish fundamentals are developing, outweighing the technical structure.
- A break below the 155 support level and the 50-day EMA would indicate a bearish near-term trend reversal. A sustained fall through the 50-day EMA would expose the 200-day EMA. If breached, 150 would be the next key support level.
- Crucially, a sustained fall through the 50-day and 200-day EMAs would reinforce the bearish price outlooks for USD/JPY.
US ISM Manufacturing PMI and Fed Speakers in Focus
- Later on Monday, US private sector PMI figures are likely to influence demand for the US dollar and the USD/JPY pair. Economists forecast the ISM Manufacturing PMI to increase from 48.2 in November to 48.3 in December.
- Typically, a less pronounced contraction, rising employment, and higher prices support a less dovish Fed policy stance, which would lift demand for the US dollar. While the sector accounts for around 10% of the US GDP, the underlying PMI data provide insights into the effect of tariffs and the higher interest rate backdrop on prices.
- Last week, the less influential S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI revealed that tariffs continued to drive prices higher, suggesting a more hawkish Fed policy stance. However, the ISM Services PMI, due out on January 7, will be key, given that the sector accounts for roughly 80% of US GDP and is the key inflation contributor.
- While the PMI data will influence US dollar demand, Fed commentary remains key for USD/JPY trends. Increased calls to cut rates to bolster the labor market would dampen demand for the US dollar, pushing USD/JPY lower.
- According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a March Fed rate cut increased from 51.1% on January 2 to 54.0% on January 3.
- Looking ahead, expectations of further BoJ rate hikes, a new Fed Chair, potentially favoring lower rates, and a cooling US labor market remain key drivers. These scenarios continue to support a bearish short- to medium-term outlook for USD/JPY.
Position and Upside Risk
- In my view, expectations of narrower US-Japan rate differentials and threats of yen intervention signal a negative price outlook. However, the BoJ neutral interest rate and incoming US economic data will be key.
- A higher neutral interest rate level would indicate multiple BoJ rate hikes and a narrower US-Japan interest rate differential. A narrower rate differential would reverse yen carry trades into US assets, pushing USD/JPY toward 140 over the longer term.
However, upside risks to the bearish outlook include:
- Dovish BoJ chatter and neutral interest rate in the range of 1% and 1.25%.
- Strong US economic indicators.
- Hawkish Fed rhetoric.
- These scenarios would send USD/JPY higher. However, the ever-present threat of yen interventions is likely to cap the upside at around the 158 level, based on the latest communication.
Conclusion: Focus on the BoJ Neutral Rate
- In summary, the USD/JPY trends reflect expectations of narrowing rate differentials. Market focus will remain on the BoJ’s neutral rate, economic data, and the Fed’s forward guidance on rate cuts.
- A neutral rate in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% would indicate a more aggressive BoJ rate path. Expectations of multiple BoJ rate hikes reaffirm the cautiously bearish short- and bearish medium-term bias for USD/JPY. Additionally, dovish Fed chatter and a potential unwinding of yen carry trades. A yen carry trade unwind would likely send USD/JPY toward 140 over the longer 6-12 month time horizon.
Gold’s Bounce Looks Strong — But Is This a Trap Before the Next Gold has staged a sharp rebound from the 4,300–4,310 support zone, forming a sequence of higher lows (HL) after a prior impulsive sell-off. This confirms that short-term selling pressure has eased and buyers are actively defending the lower boundary of the range.
However, despite the strong bullish candles, the broader structure remains corrective, not impulsive. Price is still trading below the key resistance band at 4,465–4,476, which previously acted as a major supply zone. Until this area is reclaimed and accepted, upside moves should be treated as retracements within a larger consolidation, not trend continuation.
The current rally has stalled near 4,440–4,445, a minor internal resistance where price previously broke down. The projected path on the chart highlights a likely pullback scenario, with price potentially rotating lower to fill the highlighted inefficiency / GAP zone around 4,340–4,360. This zone aligns well with short-term mean reversion and prior liquidity imbalance.
Key technical scenarios:
- Bullish continuation (lower probability for now): A clean break and hold above 4,476 would invalidate the corrective structure and reopen upside toward 4,520 → 4,550 (ATH area).
- Base-case scenario: Rejection below resistance leads to a pullback toward the GAP zone, followed by range trading.
- Bearish risk: Loss of 4,300 support would expose deeper downside and confirm the rally as a corrective bounce only.
Macro Drivers Impacting Gold
From a macro perspective, gold remains highly sensitive to global risk and liquidity conditions:
- Geopolitical risk / War premium: Ongoing geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Eastern Europe) continue to provide structural support for gold. Any escalation tends to trigger safe-haven flows, limiting downside but not necessarily driving immediate breakouts unless risk sharply deteriorates.
- PMI & growth data: Recent soft PMI readings in major economies signal slowing growth momentum. Weak manufacturing and services data typically support gold through lower real yield expectations, but this effect is gradual rather than explosive.
- Monetary policy & USD dynamics: Expectations around the Federal Reserve remain the dominant driver. As long as rates stay restrictive and the USD remains firm, gold upside is capped near resistance. Clear dovish shifts or falling real yields would be required for a sustained breakout.
- Risk-on vs risk-off balance: Current market conditions suggest mixed sentiment — enough uncertainty to support gold on dips, but not enough stress to trigger a clean trend breakout.
Summary
Gold is technically recovering, but strategically still range-bound. The rebound from support is valid, yet price is approaching a high-risk resistance zone where rejection remains likely unless macro conditions decisively shift.
Until gold reclaims and holds above 4,476, the higher-probability outcome is consolidation with pullbacks, not a straight-line move to new highs. Traders should remain disciplined and responsive to both price behavior at resistance and incoming macro catalysts.
Gold’s Next Move Depends on PMIOn the H1 timeframe, the key focus is the clean reclaim and hold above the 4,390–4,405 support zone, which is now acting as the market’s “base” after the recent swing low. Price has already pushed back above the EMA34/EMA89 cluster, and the fact that candles are stabilizing above this green band suggests the move is recovery + acceptance, not a random bounce.
Technically, the structure is constructive as long as gold holds this reclaimed support. The chart shows a clear step-by-step pathway: a controlled pullback into support, followed by continuation into the marked targets. The first real test remains the 4,430–4,460 supply area (Resistance zone). If price accepts above that zone (not just a wick), upside targets become well-defined and mechanically consistent with prior swing levels.
Support zone (must hold): 4,390–4,405
This is the pivot. A successful retest here keeps the bullish continuation scenario valid.
Resistance zone /decision area: ~4,430–4,460
This is where breakouts often fail first. Acceptance above is required for continuation.
Targets:
Target 1: 4,459.703
Target 2: 4,499.067
Target 3: 4,524.117
Old ATH region: ~4,549.465
How the structure reads
- The market is currently in a recovery leg with price holding above a reclaimed support shelf.
- As long as pullbacks remain corrective and buyers defend 4,390–4,405, the path of least resistance stays up toward Target 1, then a retest, then continuation toward Target 2 / Target 3.
PMI is one of the cleanest short-term drivers for USD + yields, which directly impacts gold.
- The US ISM Manufacturing PMI printed 48.2 (below 50 = contraction), reinforcing “growth cooling” and typically supporting gold through softer yields / softer USD when markets price easier policy expectations.
- The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI has also been signaling expansion but with recent moderation (December data described as slower improvement / lower reading vs prior month depending on release), which keeps markets sensitive to “surprise risk” in the next PMI prints.
- Europe remains in contraction (Eurozone manufacturing PMI 48.8), which can add a risk-off undertone at times another background tailwind for gold if USD strength does not dominate.
Practical implication for this chart:
Weaker-than-expected PMI → higher probability gold holds 4,390–4,405 and breaks into Target 1 /Target 2.
Stronger-than-expected PMI → higher probability of a rejection from the resistance zone and a deeper retest of the support band before continuation.
Gold at a Tipping PointHello Traders,
Gold is currently trading within a short-term recovery structure after forming a clear swing low and establishing a rising support trendline. Price has respected this ascending support well, producing higher lows and signaling that buyers are gradually regaining control following the prior impulsive sell-off.
At the moment, price is pressing into a clearly defined resistance zone. This area previously acted as supply and now represents a critical decision point for the market. The recent bullish push into this zone suggests growing momentum, but continuation is not confirmed until acceptance above resistance is seen.
If price breaks above this resistance and holds, the structure opens the door for upside continuation toward the next higher liquidity levels. In this scenario, the preferred execution is not chasing the initial breakout, but waiting for a pullback that successfully retests the broken resistance as support. This confirms acceptance and provides a cleaner risk-to-reward framework.
Alternatively, failure to hold above the resistance could result in a corrective rotation. A rejection here would likely send price back toward the rising support trendline. As long as this support remains intact, such a move would still be considered a healthy pullback within an emerging bullish structure rather than a reversal.
The bullish outlook is invalidated if price decisively breaks below the ascending support and accepts beneath the recent swing low. That would signal a structural failure and shift the market back into a bearish or neutral regime.
At this stage, Gold is at a decision zone rather than an execution zone. Patience is required. Let price confirm whether it accepts above resistance or rotates back toward support before committing to directional bias.
Share your perspective below.
Gold Is Not Done — H1 Structure Favors ContinuationHello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the short-term hesitation, but the fact that gold has successfully transitioned from a corrective phase into a recovery structure and is now reacting constructively below resistance.
After the sharp sell-off earlier in the session, price found strong demand inside the 4,280–4,300 support zone, where selling pressure was fully absorbed. The impulsive rejection from this area marked a clear structural low, followed by a steady sequence of higher lows. This confirms that the downside move has already completed and that the market is now in a rebuilding phase.
From a structural perspective, gold has reclaimed multiple intraday levels and is currently trading above the 4,350–4,360 area, which previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into short-term support, indicating acceptance at higher prices. The current pause just below the 4,400–4,405 resistance zone is therefore a reaction point, not a sign of weakness.
The projected paths drawn on the chart reflect realistic scenarios rather than predictions:
- A shallow pullback toward the 4,350–4,370 region to retest demand, followed by continuation higher.
- If momentum persists, acceptance above 4,405 would open the door for a push toward 4,450–4,480, and potentially higher toward the upper resistance cluster.
- Only a clean breakdown back below 4,330 would invalidate the bullish continuation structure and shift the market back into range behavior.
Importantly, price action remains orderly, with no impulsive selling and no expansion to the downside. This tells us that current consolidation is part of a trend continuation process, not distribution. As long as gold holds above the reclaimed support levels, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
EURCAD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.6126 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.6098
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 4460.4 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 4450.7
Safe Stop Loss - 4465.7
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD: Bullish Retest & Continuation SetupFollowing the strong bullish momentum on the H4 timeframe, the M15 chart is currently showing a healthy corrective phase.
Analysis: Price is approaching a key intraday support zone near $4,439.
Expectation: Anticipating a successful retest of this level to tap into liquidity before continuing the move toward the higher timeframe target of $4,550.
Risk Management: Maintain a disciplined approach by trailing stops to protect gains as the trend develops.
Key Levels:
Support: $4,439
Resistance: $4,469
Gold Bulls Eye the Horizon: Old ATH is the Next DestinationXAUUSD H1 – Market Analysis
1. Current Market Structure
Gold continues to exhibit a powerful bullish structure on the H1 timeframe.
The price action is characterized by a series of aggressive impulsive moves followed by shallow consolidations, maintaining the higher high – higher low sequence.
Currently, the market is holding steady above a freshly established support base, indicating that the uptrend is healthy and not overextended.
2. Key Zones & Market Positioning
Main Support Zone: 4430 – 4437
-> This is the primary demand area where buyers successfully absorbed selling pressure.
Current Trading Range: 4437 – 4499
Resistance / Target Zones:
Resistance Zone: 4499 – 4510 (The final hurdle before the open sky).
Target 2: ~4499.
Target 3: ~4524.
Final Target: 4549 (Old ATH).
The bullish roadmap remains intact as long as the 4430 support level is defended.
3. Liquidity & Price Behavior
The upward slope of the EMAs provides a clear trend filter, acting as dynamic support for every minor dip.
Long lower wicks at the 4437 level confirm that sell-side liquidity is being aggressively harvested by institutional buyers.
Price is currently tightening its range, a classic sign of energy accumulation before a breakout attempt toward the upper resistance levels.
4. Today’s Market Scenario
🔼 Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation
Expected flow: Price continues to consolidate above the 4437 zone to build momentum.
A decisive breach of the 4499 – 4510 resistance will likely lead to a rapid expansion toward Target 3 (4524) and the ultimate retest of the Old ATH at 4549.
🔽 Invalidation Scenario
A breakdown and sustained close below 4430 would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis, potentially leading to a deeper corrective phase toward 4408.
5. Trading Perspective
Bias: Strongly Bullish – Buy the pullback.
Strategy: Focus on long entries near the 4430 – 4437 support zone.
Avoid chasing the price as it approaches the 4500 psychological level; instead, wait for price action confirmation (rejection of the dip) to enter with a superior risk/reward ratio.
Summary
Gold is in a clear "Buy the Dip" regime.
The 4430 – 4437 zone is the foundation for the next leg up.
As long as this floor holds, the path of least resistance is toward 4549.
Roadmap: Consolidation → Support Hold → Expansion to ATH.
Silver Analysis
Daily candle closed above tha last 3 days, bulish signal. (purple line)
4h analysis shows the reaction on resistance area (blue) that sellers were not strong enough to bring the price to lower low, additionally this area is valid if we use Ichimoko indicator too, so if candle close above this area we can join buyers.
Stay tuned for our next updates.
Ethereum at a Critical Inflection Zone, Breakout Acceptance or..Hello Traders,
Ethereum on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a clearly defined short-term bullish structure, supported by a rising curved trendline that reflects sustained higher lows and controlled upside momentum. Price has been respecting this dynamic support while gradually pushing higher, indicating that buyers remain in control in the short term.
At the same time, price is now approaching a major horizontal resistance zone, which has previously acted as a supply area and is marked clearly on the chart. This zone represents a key decision point, where upside continuation requires strong acceptance rather than a simple liquidity sweep.
If price manages to break above this resistance and hold above it with clean structure, continuation toward higher levels becomes a valid scenario. In this case, the preferred execution is not chasing the breakout, but waiting for a pullback that successfully retests the broken level and holds above it. This confirms acceptance and offers a more favorable risk-to-reward profile.
On the other hand, failure to hold above the resistance would likely trigger a corrective rotation. A rejection from this zone could lead price back toward the rising trendline and the nearby support levels. As long as these supports hold, such a move would still be classified as a healthy pullback within a broader bullish structure rather than a trend reversal.
The bullish outlook becomes invalid if price decisively breaks below the rising structure and accepts beneath the marked support zone. That would signal a structural shift and open the door for deeper downside rotations.
At this stage, Ethereum is not at an entry point but at a decision area. Patience and confirmation are critical here. Let the market reveal whether it chooses continuation or correction before committing capital.
Share your view in the comments.
Q1 | W2 | Y26 EURUSD — FRGNT WEEK AHEAD FORECAST📅 Q1 | W2 | Y26
📊 EURUSD — FRGNT WEEK AHEAD FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach
I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on:
• Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐
• Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅
This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price.
💡 My Motto
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.”
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ On Losses
Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed.
We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section.
Stay sharp 🧠
Stay consistent 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈🔥
FX:EURUSD
NEAR - spot, long term.BINANCE:NEARUSDT.P
Throughout 2025, the coin remained within its range.
I consider exiting the range a deviation, and we will get the same deviation on the other side of the range.
Good luck with your trading! Use your risk management strategy.
The ideal entry point will be: $1.4 and $1.25.
The targets on the chart are a minimum of $3.2.
BTC is at the stage of overheating.We have reached the upper limit of our monthly sideways movement and removed liquidity from above. Now, we need to remove liquidity from below.
We will either leave from the current level or from the $92,300 level.
Use your RM. Good luck with your trading, everyone! Let's see how Monday opens.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Ethereum Is Not Chasing — It’s Compressing Beneath Resistance Hello everyone,
On the H2 timeframe, the key focus right now is not an immediate breakout, but how Ethereum is steadily rebuilding structure while pressing into a major resistance zone. The market is transitioning from range rotation into controlled compression, a typical pre-expansion behavior.
Structurally, ETH has respected the 2,880–2,920 support zone multiple times, producing higher reaction lows and preventing any downside follow-through. Each sell-off into this area has been absorbed, while rebounds have grown progressively stronger. This establishes a defended base rather than a distribution floor.
From a technical standpoint, price is now holding above EMA34 and EMA89, with both averages beginning to slope upward. The recent pullbacks have been shallow and orderly, indicating that buyers are maintaining positions rather than exiting. This is not impulsive buying; it is acceptance at higher prices.
Overhead, the 3,060–3,090 resistance zone remains the key obstacle. Previous approaches into this zone resulted in sharp rejections, which explains the current hesitation. However, the difference this time is structure: higher lows into resistance and tightening ranges suggest pressure building, not exhaustion.
The projected path on the chart reflects this logic:
Continued consolidation just below resistance
A brief pullback to retest dynamic support (EMA cluster)
A renewed push higher, with a clean break and acceptance above resistance opening the door toward the next upside extension
Only a decisive loss of the EMA cluster and acceptance back below 2,950 would weaken this constructive setup. Until then, ETH is not overextended. It is compressing beneath resistance, and the market is preparing for resolution rather than reversal.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.






















