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Gold Bulls Walking on Thin Ice1. Yesterday’s action In yesterday’s analysis I said that although the chart looks bullish, Gold bulls should be very careful. After all, price had already climbed 4,000 pips in less than a month, and such complacency usually doesn’t end well. During yesterday’s session, XAUUSD spiked above 3700, quickly reversed, and touched the newly formed support at 3675. From there, price attempted another push higher. Now we are once again back at support. 2. Key question Will the 3670 zone hold, or are bulls about to lose control of the market? 3. Why caution is needed • The chart is still bullish overall, but the structure is becoming increasingly concerning. • If bulls lose the 3670 zone, I don’t expect a quick rebound from 3650. • Instead, the market is more likely to continue lower, with at least a move toward 3620. 4. Trading plan • From my perspective, buying here is very risky, even riskier than selling. • I remain out of the market, waiting for a GOOD entry to sell. • My target is a 700–1000 pip as usual, which I believe will come to the downside, not the upside. 5. Conclusion Gold’s chart may still look bullish, but risk is shifting quickly. Chasing longs here could be dangerous — patience and discipline are key until the right sell opportunity appears 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
16
NZDUSD: A Slow Pair, but a Clear Setup1. What happened before Although NZDUSD has been a very slow mover lately, the pair remains highly technical. Looking back, the broader downtrend started in 2014, with the decline visible on the chart since 2021. The most recent leg down began exactly one year ago and ended in April at 0.55 – a level that coincided with both the pandemic low and the October 2022 bottom. 2. Key question Has NZDUSD finally built a foundation for a bullish continuation, or will the market remain trapped in its slow range? 3. Why upside continuation looks possible • The rebound from April low reached 0.61 resistance before pulling back. • Importantly, the pullback stopped at 0.58, forming a higher low and aligning with an old support. • The new rise that followed confirms strong demand at 0.58, suggesting momentum may continue to the upside. 4. Trading plan • The pair is bullish above 0.58. • First upside target: 0.61 resistance. • Longer-term soft target: 0.64. • Patience is required – NZDUSD is a slow pair, and such a move needs time to develop. 5. Conclusion NZDUSD might not be the fastest market, but its technical precision makes it worth watching. Above 0.58, the bias stays bullish, with the market slowly but surely building a case for higher levels 🚀
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
5
EUR/NZD – Trendline Broken, Bears Warming UpAfter touching the psychological 2.00 handle once more at the end of August, EUR/NZD started to fall. Last week, the pair finally broke below the rising trendline that had been intact since June — a technical signal that momentum is shifting. Following the recent low at 1.9627, the pair is now in a normal rebound. But rebounds after a trendline break are often just pauses before continuation. Once this corrective move is complete, I expect fresh downside pressure to return. My trading plan: • Look to sell rallies into resistance. • Expect at least a 500-pip decline, targeting the 1.9200 support zone. • The bearish scenario remains valid as long as price stays below 1.9950.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
10
Complacency Before the Fall? Bulls in Control, But For How Long?Yesterday, I was debating whether last week’s consolidation was a rectangle (suggesting continuation) or, in fact, a triple top (hinting at correction). I began the session with a slightly bearish bias, but the reversal from support and the subsequent breakout above the consolidation’s resistance forced me to reevaluate. The breakout was clean, momentum followed, and the market even printed a new ATH at 3689. Unfortunately, my pending buy order wasn’t filled, so I remain flat for now—an important reminder that in trading, sometimes discipline keeps you safe, even if you miss an opportunity. Technical outlook: • Price broke above resistance, confirming bullish control. • The 3660 zone now acts as key support—any dips into that area can be treated as potential buying opportunities. • The measured target for this breakout points toward 3710, which could represent the next objective for the bulls. But here’s the psychological twist: The market feels euphoric and complacent at this moment. Historically, reversals from this type of mindset tend to be brutal. Traders get comfortable, start believing in endless uptrends, and that’s exactly when the trapdoor opens. Medium-term, I still anticipate a significant correction. Timing it is always the hardest part, but acknowledging the risk helps keep emotions under control. For now, bulls clearly hold the wheel—but they may not realize they’re driving toward a cliff. 🚀 Stay sharp, trade the trend, but don’t forget that markets punish overconfidence.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
21
XAU/USD Stalls Slightly above 3650 – Bulls Losing Steam?Gold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655. The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)? Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome. From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise. Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up. For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
21
Bitcoin to $150K ? Mining Difficulty Holds the KeyUnlike Ethereum, Bitcoin’s mining difficulty has always marched higher alongside price. This natural cycle reflects a simple truth: as the price climbs, more miners join the network, competition grows, and blocks become harder to produce. 📈 Historical Patterns 2017 Bull Run → Price exploded while difficulty surged. Even after corrections, difficulty never reversed its long-term uptrend. 2021 Recovery → Despite China’s mining ban, difficulty quickly rebounded to new highs, fueling Bitcoin’s rally back from $30K. 2023–2025 Cycle → With Bitcoin pushing to new records, difficulty has now reached an all-time high of 136T, signaling massive investment and long-term confidence. Why Rising Difficulty Is Bullish Miner Confidence → Expanding operations show miners expect higher prices ahead. Reduced Selling Pressure → Higher costs mean miners prefer to sell at elevated levels, reinforcing upward momentum. Proven Signal → Historically, price accelerations often followed major spikes in difficulty. The Short-Term Risk If prices stagnate while costs rise, weaker miners may shut down, creating temporary selling pressure. But historically, this has only made the network stronger and healthier over time. Outlook: $150K and Beyond? With Bitcoin trading around 115K and strong support $110K and difficulty at historic highs, the setup resembles past cycles that led to explosive upside. Each surge in difficulty has paved the way for new price records — making $150,000 look less like a dream and more like the next logical step. 🔥 Bottom Line: Record-high mining difficulty has consistently been a medium-to-long term bullish signal. If history rhymes, Bitcoin could be gearing up for its next major leg higher — and $150K might just be the beginning. Do you think Bitcoin will hit $150K this cycle? This post is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always do your own research . Best Regards
Long
by Crypto-Treasure
XRP Bulls Are Back, Double Bottom + Divergence Signal Uptrend XRP , After failing to break the previous low, which acted as a strong support at $2.7280, XRP has formed a Double Bottom pattern. This is a powerful bullish signal expected to push the price higher. The price is currently rising to test the daily descending trendline shown in the chart, with a potential target of the $3.04000 zone. The bullish move is also confirmed by a Divergence pattern on the daily chart. Additionally, the daily RSI shows an overbought signal, which can be a sign of strong buying pressure. This movement is also supported by the overall daily uptrend illustrated in the chart. 🔔 Summary: Key Factors Supporting an Upside Move Double Bottom Pattern Daily Divergence Uptrend Daily RSI Overbought Signal ✅ Write a comment with your favorite altcoin hit the like button, and I'll provide my analysis in the reply. Trading is simpler with the right coaching. My analyses are personal opinions, not trade setups. Thank you for your support, and I wish you successful trades 🌹
Long
by Crypto-Treasure
3
Gold Analysis – Is the Correction Over?Yesterday I maintained my bias that OANDA:XAUUSD correction could extend lower, with 3570 as the focus for the next swing low. I even sold rallies above 3640 zone with that scenario in mind. However, after the CPI release, Gold dipped to 3620 zone but quickly recovered. That prompted me to lock in a modest 100 pips gain rather than fight the market. A wise move in hindsight, since Gold is now back testing the 3650+ resistance zone. So, is the correction finished? ➡️ Most probably, yes. Here’s why: • Bulls are defending the 3620 zone, stepping in strongly on dips. • The chart is shaping into a rectangle, typically a continuation pattern, which suggests consolidation before trend resumption. • Momentum is aligning again with the broader bullish trend. Trading Plan: • As long as 3620 holds, my strategy shifts to buying dips instead of selling rallies. • A break above 3660 would open the path for continuation, with 3700 as the next bullish milestone. The market has spoken – the correction seems to be losing steam, and the trend is ready to reassert itself. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
8
GBPUSD Faces Strong Ceiling at 1.36 – Drop to 1.32 Ahead?The first half of this year was strongly bullish for GBPUSD, with the pair climbing from 1.20 to 1.37 — a rally of nearly 1,700 pips (14%). However, after topping in July, cable corrected around 600 pips, only to find solid support at 1.32 in August. From there, a rebound followed, pushing price back up to 1.36 by the end of the month. Looking at the chart, we can see a clear technical picture: while GBPUSD has rebounded from support, it has also formed a very strong ceiling at 1.36. This zone has now been reinforced by a bearish pin bar printed just two days ago. Going forward, as I already highlighted in my DXY analysis, I expect a rebound in the USD — and this will almost certainly translate into a drop in cable. From a purely technical standpoint: • 1.36 = strong resistance, validated by the pin bar and multiple rejections. • 1.34 is the first support and can act as a soft target. • In the medium term, I expect GBPUSD to revisit 1.32. The strategy is clear: sell the rallies into resistance, as the pair appears to be at the beginning of a corrective leg lower. 🚀
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
10
TIA Consolidation Ends? Bulls Eye 2.2 First, Then 4.0In my previous analysis, I mentioned that I am bullish on BINANCE:TIAUSDT , expecting the coin to recover at least part of the ground lost since the start of 2024. So far, we haven’t seen real acceleration to the upside, but the price action is encouraging: • Dips have been well defended around the 1.5 zone. • The recent low stands above the July low, suggesting buyers are stepping in earlier. • Two days ago, price finally managed to break above the falling trendline, a technical step in the right direction. Putting these elements together, I maintain my bullish outlook. The first soft target for this move is 2.2. But the real inflection point comes there: if TIA manages to stabilize above 2.2, a level that acted as support in early 2025 and resistance in late July, then the door opens for a much stronger rally. In that case, a reasonable target would be 4.0, with momentum likely to pick up sharply.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
3
USDJPY: Tight Range, Big Breakout Coming – Bulls Eye 150.80In recent weeks, USDJPY has been one of the most frustrating pairs to trade. Since early August, the pair has fluctuated inside a very narrow range between 146.70 and 148.50 — less than 1.5% of movement. However, such tight consolidations rarely last. They usually precede strong moves, and in my opinion, this breakout is more likely to come to the upside. Looking at the broader picture: • The April low around 140 (which also tested September last year’s low) marked a strong structural support. • From there, the pair began climbing in a constructive way, consistently putting in higher lows on the long-term chart. • During the current consolidation, we’ve seen two notable bullish reactions: dips slightly below 147.70 were bought aggressively on 14 August and again just two days ago, leaving behind clean bullish pin bars on the daily chart. Putting these pieces together, my bias is bullish. I expect the current range to eventually resolve higher, with 150.80 as the next major resistance and natural target for bulls. That being said, the market still needs to confirm this idea: • Upside acceleration comes with a clear break above 148.50. • The bullish case would be invalidated by a daily close below 146.50. As always, patience is key — range markets test our discipline, but they also prepare the ground for the next big move. 🚀
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
11
BTC – Base Before Break?After the ATH at 125k on 25 Aug, BTC pulled back to 107k and has been consolidating. The latest structure looks more like a base for reversal than a continuation pattern: price is back into the 113.3k zone, which coincides with resistance, and we’ve printed a sequence of higher lows—a classic pressure build under supply. What I’m watching • Bullish trigger: A clean break/close above 113.3k opens the path toward 120k (both a technical target and a psychological level). • Continuation potential: If 120k is reclaimed with momentum, a 123–125k retest comes into play. • Support: 110k is the line in the sand; below it, risk shifts to 100k zone (the correction low). Trading plan • Breakout: Look for acceptance above 113.5k and a successful retest to validate upside toward 120k. • Buy-the-dip zone: If we pull back, watch 111–112k for signs of bid absorption and continuation. Bias: I’m bullish while 110k holds. A failure below 110k would likely send us back to 107k and even 100k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Gold Analysis – Correction Not Yet Over (IMO)Yesterday, after printing a new ATH at 3674, Gold sold off aggressively and overnight reached a low of 3620. Now the key question: Is Gold done correcting? 👉 My answer: Not yet. Here’s why: 1. The 550 pip drop from the top is barely scratching the surface compared to the 3500 pip rally in the last two weeks. 2. Yesterday’s daily candle is a bearish pin bar. While this pattern is weaker in strong uptrends, it can still trigger continuation. 3. Structurally, the market looks like it’s forming an ABC correction. The current rebound may be wave B, with wave C expected to target the 3570 zone. 4. Confluence supports act like magnets once corrections begin. The zone I’m watching aligns with the 23% Fibonacci retracement, which fits perfectly with the correction scenario. 📌 Trading Plan: As long as 3675 holds, I remain bearish in the short term. The best strategy is to sell rallies against the ATH, targeting deeper retracement levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
19
EURUSD – Weakness Ahead?For over a month, EURUSD has been stuck in a choppy range: • Support: 1.1580 zone • Resistance: just above 1.1700 As always, such tight consolidations usually precede strong moves. The question is: which way? 🔑 Factors pointing lower: 1. On the DXY, I expect a potential upside reversal – most bad news is already priced in. 2. Yesterday’s reaction to the NFP revision → USD strength, not weakness, which confirms the shift in sentiment. 3. A false break above resistance on EURUSD adds to the bearish case. 📌 Conclusion: I expect further EURUSD weakness, with confirmation if the price breaks below 1.1650.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
2
BNB/USDT: Bullish Momentum Sustains Within Upward ChannelThe BNB/USDT market continues to trade within a strong ascending channel, having rebounded from the 865 support zone, which reaffirmed bullish momentum. The price action displays a clear pattern of higher lows and a steady rise along the upward trendline, signaling firm buyer control. Currently, the price is aiming for the 932 level, with a possible extension toward the 970 resistance zone if momentum remains intact. While a mid-channel rejection could lead to short-term consolidation, the overall structure supports the likelihood of a continuation rather than a reversal. As long as the channel holds, the bulls are well-positioned to challenge the overhead resistance zones, keeping the uptrend scenario firmly in play.
Long
by RTED_Investing
FET: Still on My Radar, Still Looking BullishA few weeks ago, I pointed out that FET is one of the alts firmly on my radar and that I was looking to add more to my bag. The market has delivered exactly what I wanted to see: • The coin reinforced support just above 0.55, proving that buyers are very active at this level. • From there, FET has started to rise again, showing constructive price action This is in line with my broader outlook from the Total Excluding Top 10 analysis , where I argued that acceleration to the upside could be the next big move for alts. Trading Plan For FET specifically, the picture is clear: • As long as 0.55 holds, dips should be treated as buying opportunities. • The next logical target in such a breakout scenario is 1 USD, which is both a round psychological level and a strong resistance from the past. 🚀 Strategy: Buy dips against 0.55. Targeting 1 USD in the coming wave.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Smaller alts, a constructive outlookThe Big Question: Will We Finally See Moves on Alts? The past month – or rather the past 6 weeks – has been nothing short of frustrating for altcoin traders. Most individual charts looked stagnant, choppy, or simply lacked momentum. But zooming out to the Total chart, the picture is much clearer, and the answer looks like a confident YES . What the Chart Tells Us • After the December 2024 top, we witnessed a deep correction, which finally bottomed on 7 April, during the infamous tariff mania . • From there, an initial leg up developed, reaching resistance around the 300B mark. • The correction that followed was healthy: it established a higher low, confirming that the bottom was not just a dead cat bounce. • The next attempt pushed even deeper into resistance, creating a higher high – a strong bullish sign. • Since the end of July, things have turned even more interesting: the market has been pressing hard into resistance, and we could even argue the formation of a continuation Head & Shoulders setup. Where We Are Now At the time of posting, the Total chart is testing resistance at ~310B once again. The more this level gets tested, the weaker it becomes. A breakout from here doesn’t just look possible – it looks almost unavoidable . What to Expect Next When that resistance finally breaks, the tension built up over months of sideways action – and the frustration of traders who have been waiting for more than half a year – will likely unleash a strong acceleration. In my view, we could easily see a 50% rally, taking the Total chart back to the December 2024 highs. 🚀 The stage is set. All that’s missing is the trigger.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Fearless Bulls, Straight-Line Rise – But Mean Reversion CallsLast week Gold bulls were fearless – we witnessed three all-time highs within a single trading week. The market closed on Friday just below 3600, locking in an impressive 1,500 pips weekly gain. There is no doubt: the trend remains firmly bullish. But let’s add some perspective. Even if XAUUSD were to drop 1,000 pips from current levels, that move would count as a minor correction within the dominant bullish trend. That’s how extended this rally has become. 📌 Another element supporting the correction scenario is the parabolic nature of the latest move. From the 3300 zone, the rally has been almost a straight vertical line, leaving gold strongly overextended and far away from the mean. Markets rarely sustain such deviation without at least a temporary pullback. 🔑 Trading Plan: While acknowledging the risks of counter-trend setups, I will look for short opportunities. In my view, there is more room to the downside than upside in the short term. Target for correction: 3530 confluence support zone. As always, the trend is still bullish, but corrections are part of the game. A disciplined trader must know when to step aside – and when to take the contrarian shot. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
22
ETH to $5,000 - Whales Are Withdrawing & Storing in Cold WalletsEthereum , After ETH failed to break the strong support around $4,000 – $4,100, a double bottom pattern has formed, signaling the beginning of a potential major rally toward $5,000. What strengthens this bullish outlook is the recent on-chain and exchange data: Ethereum balances on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase have dropped significantly. Between August 23 and September 5: Around 700,000 ETH left Binance Around 900,000 ETH left Coinbase In total, exchange reserves dropped by more than 2.6 million ETH over the last two months. This massive decline in ETH reserves usually means that investors are moving coins into private wallets for long-term holding — an accumulation signal, not selling. When exchange supply shrinks while demand remains steady (or increases), it often triggers a Supply Shock, pushing prices higher. What does this mean? ➡️ Big players and whales are withdrawing ETH into cold storage. ➡️ This reduces the immediate sell-side liquidity and opens the door for a potential Supply Shock. With lower supply and strong demand (especially with Ethereum upgrades and growing institutional interest), the natural outcome is: higher prices. 🎯 Logical next target = $5,000 Reminder: The market is always driven by supply, demand, and whale behavior. That’s why liquidity flow is often more important than any indicator. Question for you: Do you see this exchange outflow as a clear sign of an upcoming rally? Or do we still need confirmation on the chart first ✅ Write a comment with your favorite altcoin hit the like button, and I'll provide my analysis in the reply. Trading is simpler with the right coaching. My analyses are personal opinions, not trade setups. Thank you for your support, and I wish you successful trades 🌹
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Crypto-Treasure
XAUUSD Analysis – Buyers Keep Stepping InIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that Gold looked overstretched, with high chances of a continuation of the correction after the recent 3579 ATH. During the day, price rejected my selling zone twice, and once more overnight. However, buyers kept stepping in, forming higher lows and pushing price back toward the 3560 resistance zone. This behavior signals upward pressure. If this resistance finally breaks, the probability of seeing yet another ATH towards 3600 increases significantly. For now, I’m out of the market, with but looking to buy if buying pressure persists
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Rebound or Trap? Why I’m Selling RalliesYesterday’s Move After printing a fresh ATH, profit-taking started late in the New York session. This was followed by stronger selling pressure during the Asian hours, which dragged the price overnight down to 3510. Currently, we see a rebound, with price trading around 3530. Key Question Is this rebound the start of a recovery—or just a pause before another leg down? Why I Expect the Correction to Continue - The market sold off 650 pips from the new ATH, confirming a local top. - Momentum becomes fragile after 2k pips rise in just 10 days - Selling pressure could easily return, especially if buyers struggle to hold above 3550. Trading Plan I’ll be looking to sell rallies against the recent top, targeting first the 3500 psychological level, and then the 3470 technical confluence support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Gold Analysis – ATH Again, But Correction Ahead?1. Yesterday’s Move Yesterday, after a small intraday correction to the 3470 zone, Gold quickly reversed and pushed higher, printing a new all-time high near 3550. The bullish trend remains intact, but the latest surge looks overextended. 2. Key Question Has Gold finished its run for now, or will we see another immediate push higher without a deeper correction? 3. Why a Correction is Probable • The recent move is stretched, with limited room for risk-reward on the long side at these highs. • 3470 stands out as a confluence support, and markets often retest such levels before continuation. • Chasing longs at ATHs leaves traders vulnerable to sharp pullbacks. 4. Trading Plan The best setup is to wait for price to retrace into 3470 and look for buying opportunities in that zone, aiming to rejoin the broader uptrend. Selling here is very risky – high probability of upside spikes could easily hit stop losses before any meaningful retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Pullback Coming?Hello traders, Gold has just hit a new all-time high at 3508, surpassing the previous ATH of 3500. I’m anticipating a pullback toward 3450. On lower timeframes, we can see clear rejection from the highs, leading to a break in market structure, which suggests sellers may be defending these levels. I’ve identified a supply zone between 3490–3500. My expectation is that Gold could retrace to a nearby demand zone around 3440–3450. What’s your take on Gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments below!
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AmaWina
2