XauUsd target done. What's next?As expected, the 2655–2660 resistance zone gave way, and after a confirmed breakout, OANDA:XAUUSD moved higher, surpassing the initial target of 2685 and hitting a local high above 2700.
The price then formed a double top around the 2704 level (5m chart) before entering a normal correction phase. During this pullback, it tested the 2675 zone, which held as a strong support area due to its confluence.
Currently, Gold is showing signs of resuming its upward trend and is trading around 2693. My outlook remains bullish as long as the 2670–2675 support zone holds. For now, buying during dips remains the best strategy.
If the price can break back above 2700, the next key resistance to watch is at 2718.
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Gold- Towards target after confirmation?In yesterday's post, I highlighted the high probability of an upward breakout above the 2655–2660 resistance zone. As anticipated, XAU/USD successfully broke through this key level, confirming its importance.
Following the breakout, the price reached a high near 2675 before undergoing a normal correction. This pullback was healthy for the trend, as it retested and confirmed the previously broken resistance zone (2655–2660) as new support. This successful retest reinforces the strength of the bullish momentum.
Looking ahead, my outlook remains optimistic. I anticipate a new leg higher, with the price likely targeting the 2685 resistance zone. I will maintain my bullish stance as long as the 2660 area holds firm as support. My preferred strategy is to "buy the dips," taking advantage of pullbacks within the broader uptrend.
Gold- 2655-2660 zone remains key for bulls on medium-termLast week's price action was mostly range-bound, characterized by sharp spikes in both directions but lacking a clear trend—challenging conditions for medium-term swing traders.
In my last two posts, I shared a moderately bullish bias and even managed a sniper entry at the NFP low. However, Gold failed to sustain upward momentum, so I opted to close the trade with a modest 100-pip profit.
Looking at the bigger picture, bulls have shown resilience around the 2620 level. Even last night’s losses were quickly reversed after the market opened, which is another encouraging sign for bullish momentum.
That said, a critical resistance level around 2655 continues to cap any medium-term uptrend. For a more substantial move—potentially 400-500 pips—this resistance must be decisively broken .
I maintain my bullish outlook and will look to enter on dips. If and when the price breaks above the 2655 resistance level, I plan to double my position to capitalize on the potential upside.
However, a daily close below 2620 would invalidate this scenario and prompt me to reassess my strategy.
GbpAud- Long term outlookAfter a strong reversal from the 1.6 low, which gained 4,000 pips, GBP/AUD encountered significant resistance around the 2.0 zone. This resistance led to a prolonged consolidation phase lasting over a year.
On the weekly chart, this consolidation appears to have formed an ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern. At this point, there is a high probability of a genuine breakout to the upside.
If the breakout occurs and holds, we can anticipate a continuation of the uptrend, potentially adding another 2,000 pips to the pair's upward movement. Interim resistance lies near the 2.08 level, which could serve as a target for swing traders or a key area to monitor for price action.
Is Bitcoin Losing Momentum? Correction to 85K LikelyYesterday, Bitcoin experienced another drop, falling from above 100K and reaching a low of just over 94K, briefly touching the ascending trendline that dates back to the time of Trump’s election.
While the price action since November 5 has been characterized by higher highs and higher lows—usually a sign of bullish momentum—the broader structure appears to signal a potential reversal. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin is struggling to sustain its highs, raising doubts about its ability to maintain upward momentum, at least for now.
Although a new all-time high remains a possibility, I believe it is unlikely that Bitcoin will hold gains above 100K for an extended period. Instead, the more probable scenario involves a correction toward the 85K level.
A critical area to monitor lies between 92,500 and 93,000. A decisive break below this support zone would confirm my bearish outlook and could signal the beginning of a deeper correction.
Will NFP give Gold a boost?In my comment yesterday, I mentioned that the price was trading within a tight range, making it better to stay on the sidelines until there is more clarity.
Although the price briefly broke below both the 2635 and 2620 support levels, it quickly reversed and moved back above them. This suggests that bulls remain strong above the 2600 level, indicating that a higher low might be forming.
With this in mind, I anticipate the price to continue moving upward today and in the coming days, with a clear breakout above 2650. If that happens, Gold could gain momentum and potentially reach the next significant resistance level around 2680.
For now, I’m looking to buy on dips, but I will reconsider this approach if Gold closes the week below yesterday’s low.
EurUsd- Buy under 1.05
In last week's analysis, I mentioned that EUR/USD could reverse to the upside, with the 1.0330 zone likely marking a short-term bottom.
As anticipated, the pair has climbed back above the 1.05 support level, indicating a false breakout. I still expect this correction to extend further, with the pair potentially reaching the 1.0670 resistance level.
In conclusion, any dips below 1.05 should be seen as buying opportunities, targeting the aforementioned resistance level.
Bitcoin- Very risky sell, or wait to buy at 85kLast week, Bitcoin came tantalizingly close to the significant milestone of $100,000 but fell just shy of breaching it. After this near miss, the cryptocurrency experienced a minor correction. Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the $100,000 level once again, only to retreat once more, indicating a persistent struggle to decisively break through this psychological barrier.
Like many traders, I am anticipating a more substantial correction in the near term. One potential strategy could involve selling around the $97,000 level, assuming Bitcoin retraces upward before a deeper pullback.
However, this is undeniably a high-risk trade for two reasons.
First, selling at this level goes against the prevailing bullish trend.
Second, with so many market participants eyeing a correction, there’s a risk that the anticipated move might not play out as expected.
A safer and potentially more rewarding approach could be to wait for a more pronounced correction, targeting a buy around the $85,000 level.
This strategy would align with expectations of a continuation of the broader upward trend, with Bitcoin eventually breaking past $100,000.
If the correction materializes, this level might offer a solid entry point to capitalize on the next leg of the rally.
Silver- Could it drop to 28?In my previous analysis of silver, I mentioned the potential for prices to drop below the significant $30 level. This scenario unfolded as expected, with prices dipping to $29.66 before reversing and once again hovering around the $30 mark. This area continues to act as a pivotal point for market sentiment.
From a technical perspective, the outlook remains bearish as long as the $31.20 resistance level holds. This level serves as a key threshold, and until it is breached, the strategy should focus on selling into rallies.
A decisive break below the $30 level could pave the way for a move toward the next major support around $28. Such a development would align with my broader bearish view when it comes to precious metals
Gold Price Analysis: Bearish Flag Forming Amid Choppy RecoveryAfter Monday's significant drop, the price of gold began a correction yesterday, reaching my first resistance zone at 2640 before resuming its decline.
However, gold found support around 2620 and started recovering again. The price action now appears to be forming a bearish continuation flag, suggesting that the next major move could be another downturn.
In the meantime, gold may continue to rise in a choppy fashion toward the next key level at 2660.
My strategy is to sell rallies near this zone, targeting a drop to 2590 while monitoring the newly established support at 2620.
UsdJpy could drop 1000 pipsIn my previous post about USD/JPY, I highlighted the potential for JPY strengthening due to repatriation, referencing similar trends observed last year and usually in December
After reaching a high near 157, USD/JPY began to decline and is now testing the critical 150 level. At this point, a technical rebound is possible, but I view it as a selling opportunity. My belief is that repatriation is still in its early stages, and JPY has significant potential for further appreciation.
The 153-154 zone appears to be an ideal area to look for selling opportunities. With a stop placed above the recent high and a target near the 141 support level, a 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio could potentially be achieved.
KR The Kroger Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on KR:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KR The Kroger prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $3.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Lingrid | USDJPY potential CHANNEL Breakout. ShortFX:USDJPY is indeed forming a triangle pattern, which often indicates a period of consolidation and price squeeze before a potential breakout. The lower highs suggests ongoing selling pressure, and the price remains trapped within the triangle, moving sideways just above the channel border. Given this context, it's likely that the market could break out to the downside. Price often tends to consolidate at significant levels before making a decisive move, and it seems that the current setup is no exception. If the triangle pattern continues to hold, we could expect the price to move lower to retest the downward trendline. My goal is support level at 149.200
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Lingrid | SOLUSDT long from SUPPORT zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It reached the target zone. BINANCE:SOLUSDT is currently forming a complex pullback from the resistance zone, while the overall market trend remains bullish creating higher highs and higher lows. This price action suggests a possible period of consolidation, similar to what we've seen in the recent moment. However, if the price rejects the support level and the channel border, we could see a continuation of the upward momentum. It’s also possible that the market may target liquidity below the equal lows, which often serves as a magnet for price action before a bullish move. My goal is resistance zone around 262.00
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Lingrid | BITCOIN trend CONTINUATION Pattern FormedThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target level. BINANCE:BTCUSDT market has formed a triangle pattern, which is a trend continuation formation. The price is making higher lows, indicating strong buying pressure. Previously, it reached an all-time high (ATH) of around 93,000 then rebounded from it. If you notice, the price has consistently been testing and bouncing off the support level of 90,000, which appears to be a significant level and respecting the upward trendline. I anticipate that the price to make a new ATH since it broke through the channel and play out the triangle pattern. My goal is resistance zone around 95,000.
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Lingrid | GOLD Market Weekly Technical AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD market has rebounded this week, recovering losses from the previous week, after it bounced off a key support level. Additionally, the market broke through and closed above the psychological level at 2,700. On the daily timeframe, the last five candles have been bullish/green in a row, indicating strong buying momentum.
On the weekly timeframe, the market broke above the previous week’s high with ease, closing above it, which suggests a lack of selling pressure, especially since Friday was packed with high-impact news. On the monthly timeframe, the market clearly demonstrates a liquidity grab below the previous month's low and is forming a long-tailed bar that will hint at future price action on the close.
Given the recent bullish momentum, gold is likely to continue its upward trend, with short-term pullbacks providing buying opportunities. The resistance level at 2,800 appears to be more of a target than a barrier, and I expect gold will bounce off this level creating short-term pullback and continue rising on its third approach.
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Lingrid | EURUSD Bearish TREND continuation OPPORTUNITYFX:EURUSD gapped up early this morning, and that gap has yet to be filled. The price has been making lower lows following the high-impact news from last Friday. On the weekly timeframe, the price broke below and closed below a significant range zone, indicating a potential bearish sentiment in the market. I believe the market may decline toward lower levels, given the recent bearish momentum. The price is approaching the resistance zone around 1.0500 and above. If the market rejects this resistance and the downward trendline, it could drop all the way down to 1.0200. My goal is support zone around 1.03000
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Lingrid | BITCOIN Eyes 100,000 LevelThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target level. BINANCE:BTCUSDT has formed a consolidation zone following another surge. The price action has been respecting a downward trendline, but it recently broke through this line. Prior to the breakout, the price took liquidity below the equal lows. On the daily timeframe, the market formed a long-tailed bar, suggesting that it may reach the 102,000 mark. If the price prints an impulse candle, it is likely to reach this psychological level. I expect the market to continue moving higher, with possibilities of pullbacks or sideways movement at these levels.
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Lingrid | AUDNZD consolidation EXPANSION marketFX:AUDNZD has been in a consolidation phase since October, but the recent breakout and close above this range. This price made higher lows and higher highs, aligns with a bullish trend, suggesting a continuation of upward momentum. The support level at 1.11000 has been respected on two occasions, which emphasizes its importance in the current price structure. I expect a potential breakout-pullback-continuation scenario. If the price respects this support during the retest, we could see a bullish move follow. My goal is resistance zone around 1.12300
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Lingrid | GOLD Bearish OPPORTUNITY from CONFLUENCE zoneOANDA:XAUUSD has moved higher, breaking and closing above the 2650 resistance zone. The market is now approaching the previous week’s high at 2686 and the psychological level at 2700. Additionally, there is a global upward trendline above that has held the price since the summer. What I see is a potential break and retest scenario. At this level, I anticipate some selling pressure, which may cause the price to bounce off these resistance levels, potentially forcing it to move sideways. I expect the market to grab liquidity above the previous week’s high before rolling back down. My goal is support zone around 2635.
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Lingrid | NZDUSD Fake BREAKOUT of the SUPPORT zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It reached the target. FX:NZDUSD recently experienced a false breakout of the previous support level. On the daily timeframe, the market has reached a demand area, suggesting that we could see a pullback from this level. On the 4H timeframe, the formation of bullish divergence at the support level indicates a potential for retracement. This technical setup supports the idea that the price may move higher and retest the resistance zone that has been tested multiple times in the past. My goal is resistance zone around 0.58835
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Lingrid | TONUSDT pullback TRADE opportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It reached the TP. OKX:TONUSDT pulled back from the resistance zone and is currently moving sideways after retesting the psychological level at 6.00. The price action is contained within the range established last week. If it breaks through this range, there is a chance that the price could move to higher levels. I expect the price to retest the support level and the channel border, which could set the stage for a bullish move. Overall, if the support holds, it may provide a good opportunity for a potential upward breakout. My target is resistance zone at 5.950
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