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BITCOIN Has this huge Bearish Divergence started the Bear Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to be under heavy pressure in the past 4 weeks since the October 06 All Time High (ATH) and finds itself battling to hold the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. That trend-line has been basically the Support of this Bull Cycle since March 2023, and acted as the most optimal long-term buy level. ** Has the Bull Cycle ended? ** However this Bull Cycle may have very well come to an end already as the 1W RSI has been long exhibiting the same kind of bearish pattern (Lower Highs trend-line), while also having completed the 4-year Cycle, that all previous Bull Cycles formed on their respective tops. This is a huge Bearish Divergence formation as it goes against the price's Higher Highs, indicating trend exhaustion. As you can see that 1 RSI Lower Highs trend-line formed the November 2021, December 2017 and December 2013 Cycle Tops. Even worse, the current Lower Highs trend-line has been going on since the March 11 2024 High. If BTC closes a 1W candle below its 1W MA50, it has greater probabilities to confirm the start of the new Bear Cycle as all previous ones did on such break-out. ** If yes, how much can it drop? ** Now, it might not be too relevant at this time yet, but as far as how low the Bear Cycle can go to before it bottoms, there are three potential levels of interest where long-term investors can Dollar Cost Average (DCA). The January 2015 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Then the December 2018 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bottom. The last Bear Cycle has its bottom below the 1W MA200 and on the next Fib in line, the 0.5 level. The decline on each Bear Cycle that followed decelerated and was less than the previous (-86.70% to -84.19% to -77.22%). If the new Bear Cycle has already started then the first level for a potential bottom is again the 0.382 Fib around $58000 where contact may potentially be made with the 1W MA200 as well. If it follows the previous Bear Cycle and bottoms on the 0.5 Fib, it will also be below the 1W MA200 around $45000. If on the other hand it goes a Fib level further, as the last two Cycles did, we are looking at the 0.618 Fib as a potential strong bottom candidate around $35000. That will also be a -70.76% decline from the Top, which will be -7% less than the previous Bear Cycle, which is also the difference that the 2022 Bear Cycle had from the 2018 one. So what do you think? Has the Bull Cycle ended already and if yes, how low can the new Bear Cycle go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
24
Lingrid | GOLD Post Rate Decision Market ResponseOANDA:XAUUSD has rebounded from the lower boundary of the upward channel, maintaining structure support above $3,900. Price action shows a higher low forming after a wedge correction, hinting at renewed bullish pressure. A sustained hold above the $3,905–$3,950 zone could pave the way for a move toward $4,135. Momentum remains positive as buyers defend key support within the broader ascending structure. ⚠️ Risks: Stronger U.S. dollar amid higher Treasury yields. Unexpected hawkish tone from Federal Reserve policymakers. Break below $3,900 invalidating short-term bullish outlook. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
26
Gold Before the Storm: Calm Silence or a Brewing Wave?Hello everyone, Gold (XAU/USD) is holding steady around $3,938/oz, as global investors pause ahead of key policy announcements from both the Fed and ECB. After several volatile sessions, the market has entered a phase of quiet consolidation — a tension-filled calm before the next move. The Fed kept rates unchanged at 4.00%, as widely expected. However, it was the silence that spoke volumes. With no clear timeline for rate cuts and an intentionally neutral stance, the Fed left traders uncertain. This ambiguity has supported the USD, placing mild pressure on gold in the short term. Across the Atlantic, the ECB’s upcoming rate decision could set the tone for the next directional move. A dovish stance—signaling concern over growth—could strengthen the USD and pull gold toward $3,910–$3,880. Conversely, a hawkish ECB, emphasizing inflation risks, could weaken the dollar and lift gold back toward $4,020–$4,050. From a technical perspective, the short-term structure remains bearish with a clear series of lower highs. Resistance lies near $3,960–$3,990, overlapping with an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Ichimoku Cloud remains above price action, confirming bearish control. However, the $3,910–$3,880 zone has emerged as a potential battleground, where buy-side liquidity could trigger a short-term rebound. Personally, I believe this calm is strategic — a phase of accumulation before volatility returns. The current range of $3,900–$3,970 resembles a stretched spring, ready to snap once new macro data hit the market. For now, the base case is a test of $3,880, followed by a rebound if the ECB sounds dovish or if the USD weakens. Is this the calm before the storm—or the start of a new bullish reversal? What’s your take: will gold break lower, or surprise everyone with a rebound?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EmmaChartist
19
The Silver Storm: 9k Pips Down, but Bulls Start Breathing AgainWhile Gold has been volatile, Silver’s drop has been even more spectacular — a breathtaking 9,000-pip decline in just 10 days, from the all-time high near 54.50 down to 45.50, a correction of roughly 20%. But let’s not forget — the prior rally was just as extreme: from 37 to almost 55, a 50% surge. This kind of price behavior is typical for Silver — sharp on both sides. Yet, compared to Gold, the recent structure shows a few key differences worth noting: ________________________________________ 🔍 Key Observations 1. Back Above the Ascending Trendline After the recent low two days ago, Silver managed to climb back above the ascending trendline that started in late August — a strong early sign of stabilization. 2. Perfect 50% Retracement Support The correction stopped exactly at the 50% Fibonacci retracement, perfectly aligned with a major horizontal support zone — a classic technical confluence. 3. Higher Low Confirmed Unlike Gold, Silver printed a clear higher low last night, strengthening the case for a bullish recovery setup. ________________________________________ 🎯 Outlook Putting it all together, Silver appears to have completed its correction and looks technically stronger than Gold at this stage. If the current momentum continues, a new test above 50 seems increasingly likely in the coming sessions. 🚀
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
7
Lingrid | EURUSD Potential Bearish Momentum From Resistance ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD is hovering just below the descending trendline after multiple failed attempts to reclaim resistance, showing clear weakness near 1.16675. The pair remains confined within a broad descending channel structure, with sellers defending each rally toward the upper boundary. A breakdown below 1.1600 could trigger renewed pressure toward 1.15400 and possibly the 1.151 handle if downside momentum accelerates. Broader sentiment favors continuation of the bearish leg as long as price remains capped below 1.16970 and the macro backdrop supports USD strength. ⚠️ Risks: A dovish tone from the upcoming Federal Funds Rate decision on Thursday could weaken the USD and spark a bullish reversal. Short-term oversold conditions may lead to a corrective bounce toward 1.16675. Unexpected positive Eurozone data could offset bearish technicals and limit downside potential. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
25
Gold Tests Critical Support as Sellers DominateHello everyone, after the sharp decline late last week, gold (XAU/USD) continues to face selling pressure and is currently trading around $3,977, down more than 3% in just two sessions. This is the strongest correction in the past three weeks and has put the market into a defensive phase as price approaches the key psychological support zone at $4,000. Observing the chart, we can see selling momentum is slowing as price nears the lower Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $3,950 – $3,970. This is an unfinished liquidity zone as well as an important technical support area where buyers may attempt a short-term reaction. The scenario I favour at the moment is a liquidity sweep toward the $3,950 – $3,970 area before a technical rebound takes place. The nearest resistance to watch lies at $4,100 – $4,200, where multiple FVG clusters and potential selling pressure exist.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EmmaChartist
29
Lingrid | AUDUSD Major Resistance Short SetupThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:AUDUSD is currently testing the upper boundary of its consolidation zone near 0.6624 after breaking out of an ascending triangle pattern. Price action is interacting with both the downward trendline and the newly formed upward trendline, signaling a potential exhaustion point. A rejection from this confluence area could trigger a corrective leg toward 0.6529 as part of a short-term retracement phase. Bears may regain control if momentum fades near the 0.6620–0.6640 resistance range. ⚠️ Risks: Unexpected dovish commentary from the Federal Reserve could support the pair higher. Breakout above 0.6640 may invalidate the bearish setup and shift momentum upward. Reduced volatility before key U.S. economic data could delay confirmation of the move. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
14
The Yo-Yo Market: Gold Swings Wildly but Goes NowhereRecently, Gold’s volatility has been extreme — with over 1,000+ pip swings up and down. Yet, despite all the loud noise , if we look closer, nothing truly significant has happened since the drop from the 4400 zone to below 4,000. For most retail traders using stop losses, this type of environment has been extremely challenging — whipsaws in both directions. However, if we step back and filter out the noise, a clearer structure begins to appear: ________________________________________ 🔍 Key Observations 1. Normal Correction Behavior The sharp drop from the all-time high actually stopped right at the previous ATH from early October — a very common technical behavior, where price retraces into prior calendar-based resistance zones. 2. Below 4K, But Not Broken Although Gold is currently trading below 4,000, the move under that level is not yet a confirmed breakdown. 3. Strong Rebounds from 3920 Yesterday, price bounced aggressively from the 3920 zone, and this exact reaction repeated twice overnight — showing that buyers are still defending this area. 4. Correction Within the Golden Zone Despite the dramatic fall, the current retracement sits just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the strong bullish leg from late August — technically, a textbook “golden zone” correction. ________________________________________ 🎯 Trading Outlook If we connect all the dots, Gold appears to be finishing a much-needed correction rather than starting a downtrend. • Short term: Resistance is found around 3975–3980. A clean break above could open the way to 4030. • Medium term: If Gold manages to stabilize above 4,000, the next upside targets are 4050, and possibly 4150 as we move into November. ________________________________________ ⚖️ Final Thoughts Yes, volatility is high — but beneath the surface, Gold is simply completing a natural corrective phase. As long as 3900-3920 zone holds, the medium-term focus shifts back toward 4150. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
6
When the Market Begins to Whisper RecoveryHello everyone, Solana (SOL) is showing encouraging signs of recovery after a notable correction. Currently trading around $185.9, SOL has bounced from the 190–200 USD region, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG) just above. This suggests the market is rebalancing after a sell-off, with buying pressure quietly returning. The FVG near 187–190 USD now acts as short-term resistance, while the 182–184 USD area — where a smaller FVG has formed — serves as key support. If price holds above 184 USD, SOL is likely to retest 190 USD, and a sustained push could open the way toward 197–200 USD — a strong resistance zone previously dominated by sellers. Conversely, a close below 182 USD could send SOL back toward 176–178 USD, a level that previously attracted strong buying volume. On the macro side, market sentiment is gradually improving. Following the latest FOMC meeting, the Fed decided to keep rates unchanged — a move that keeps the US dollar moderately strong but not restrictive for risk assets. Meanwhile, capital is flowing back into the crypto space, particularly altcoins, amid speculation that the SEC may extend ETF approvals to Layer-1 tokens like Solana — a development reportedly under review by both CoinDesk and Bloomberg. This narrative has provided psychological support for short-term bullish sentiment. Technically, the base scenario favours a rebound as long as SOL sustains above 184 USD, targeting 190–197 USD, and potentially extending toward 205–210 USD if buying momentum persists. The current structure shows higher lows forming — an early sign that buyers are gradually regaining control. Still, this remains a sensitive phase, and long positions should be tightly managed with stop-losses below 181 USD to avoid sudden shakeouts. A decisive H4 close above 190 USD would mark the beginning of a clearer bullish reversal in the short term. Liquidity is returning, structure is shifting — and the market seems to be whispering a new story. Could this be the start of Solana’s next rally?
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
4
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,985.10. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 4,051.12 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
3
GBPUSD: Bearish Structure Points to 1.3000 NextAround two weeks ago, I mentioned that GBPUSD could fall toward the 1.32 support, and indeed, the pair reached that level on Wednesday. Since then, GBPUSD even broke below 1.32 and is now trading around 1.3140, raising the big question — will it fall further to test 1.3000? In my view, yes, it will. The structure remains bearish, and since mid-September, every rally has been sold into, forming a clear lower highs – lower lows pattern. So, in conclusion, rallies above 1.32 should be sold, with a target at 1.3000, as mentioned earlier. 🚀
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Lingrid | SOLUSDT Continuation Short Pattern BuildingBINANCE:SOLUSDT is consolidating within a defined downward channel after a sequence of lower highs and extended impulse legs. Price action is currently hovering near mid-range resistance, showing hesitation below the descending trendline. A rejection from this level may drive the pair back toward the $169 support, completing the projected move. The overall market tone remains bearish while the channel boundaries continue to confine momentum. ⚠️ Risks: Sudden short squeezes could trigger a false breakout above $193. Fed policy commentary this week may increase volatility across risk assets. Strong crypto inflows could weaken bearish continuation signals. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
3
ROCKET LAB has topped. Sell signal on Bearish Divergence.Last time we took a look at Rocket Lab (RKLB) was more than 5 months ago (May 12, see chart below) where we gave a Buy Signal exactly on the 1D MA50 and the price instantly reacted with a rebound, easily hitting our $32.00 Target: This time we are getting a Sell Signal on the chart as despite the stock's Higher Highs, its 1D RSI has been trading under Higher Lows since July 17, exhibiting a Bearish Divergence. The last similar Bearish Divergence was seen on January 24 2025, which was RKLB's previous Channel Up Top. That signal triggered a correction that extended all the way back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) before bottoming. As a result, we are now turning bearish on Rocket Lab, targeting $40.00 (Fib 0.382). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:RKLBShort
by TradingShot
1
DOW JONES approaching the end of its Bull Cycle?Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a 16-year Channel Up ever sine the March 02 2009 market bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. As this chart shows, we have divided this pattern into three different phases. Since the March 2020 COVID crash, it appears that the Cycle got restarted as the index broke below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) again after 10 years. Technically that was the only time that multi-year Support trend-line broke in 15 years. In any case, following that Cycle 'restart', it appears that the index is currently inside the Megaphone pattern that in 2015 concluded Phase 2. The conclusion came with a second test on the 1W MA200 (Double Bottom). The first test was the April 07 2025 Low. With their 1W RSI sequences also identical, having the first 1W MA200 forcing a 30.00 (oversold) RSI rebound, we expect the index to start a new Bearish Leg that might potentially test the 1W MA200 around 39000. For long-term investors, that is the market's next Buy Entry. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJIShort
by TradingShot
5
EURUSD Daily Outlook — Bearish Retracement Toward Sell-Side Liqu On the monthly timeframe, EURUSD still holds a bullish target, but before the next major upward leg, I believe the market needs a retracement phase. Looking at the daily timeframe, the structure currently supports a bearish bias. Price has been respecting bearish PD Arrays while failing to sustain bullish PD Arrays, suggesting that bearish order flow remains dominant for now. In my view, we can expect the market to move downward toward the sell-side liquidity before any potential bullish continuation begins. 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 💡Wait for the update!
Short
by VahidTradingCR
3
DXY has started a new long-term Bullish Leg to 103.500.Four months ago (June 26, see chart below) we gave a strong Buy Signal on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which in a month's time it hit our 100.000 Target: Now we see the 3-year Channel Down starting the next Bullish Leg having priced its bottom (Lower Low) on September 17. As you can see this is almost the exact same triple Lower Lows bottoming process as in 2023, using also the same Fibonacci retracement levels as Targets. We have the huge 1W RSI Bullish Divergence to also confirm this. Based on this symmetry, we have started a Bullish Leg similar to July's 2023. That peaked marginally below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. As a result, we expect DXY to target at least 103.500 by early 2026. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
Lingrid | USDCHF Structure Based Trade SetupFX:USDCHF is trading near the upper boundary of its multi-week range, testing the resistance zone at 0.8050–0.8060. Price action shows repeated rejections from this area while maintaining a higher-low structure supported by an ascending trendline. A short-term pullback toward 0.7980 could occur before any possible bullish attempt. Overall, the pair remains range-bound with momentum gradually tightening under resistance. ⚠️ Risks: Unexpected FOMC statement volatility could shift USD sentiment. A breakout above 0.8060 may invalidate the short-term pullback view. Weak U.S. macro data could accelerate downside pressure toward 0.7870. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
3
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Support Zone: Short Term Upside MoveOANDA:XAUUSD is approaching the weekly support area near 3,880, suggesting a short-term bullish impulse might be formed within the downward channel. Price action now moved below the 4,050, which aligns with prior breakdown structure and acts as a potential resistance level. As long as price sustains above 3,880, buyers may push toward 4,050 before meeting stronger resistance. Potential rejection near the lower channel boundary may hint at a corrective recovery phase gaining traction. ⚠️ Risks: Federal Funds Rate decision on could reignite bearish momentum. Rising Treasury yields may suppress gold’s short-term recovery potential. Failure to hold above 3,880 would invalidate the short-term bullish scenario. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
36
GOLD Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! GOLD Price has reached a horizontal supply area after a corrective move upward. Bears are likely to step in, targeting the previous low for liquidity. ------------------- Stop Loss: 4,052$ Take Profit: 3,997$ Entry: 4,027$ Time Frame: 2H Setup Risk: High ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
2
XAUUSD: Bulls vs. Resistance — 4050 Decides the Next MoveIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that after the reversal from the 3920 support zone, Gold (XAUUSD) could continue higher toward the 4050 resistance area. Indeed, that target has been reached, followed by a 600-pip leg down overnight. At the moment, the price is resuming its upward move and is trading back above $4,000, around 4025. Going forward, I expect volatility to remain high. If the bulls fail to sustain the price above 4050, another leg to the downside could follow. For now, I’m out of the market, waiting to see whether we’ll get another test of 4050 — and more importantly, how the price reacts in that zone. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
1