Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Bull Market Back in CommandOANDA:XAUUSD perfectly played out my previous weekly idea . Price capped off another powerful week, decisively breaking above the November high and confirming its bullish trajectory toward fresh all-time highs beyond $4,400. This isn’t just momentum—it’s structural. The market has transitioned from consolidation to continuation, with silver’s outperformance signaling broad precious metals strength and validating gold’s upward move. Long-term macro forces—persistent inflation, geopolitical risk, and a weakening dollar narrative—are aligning to create tailwinds that favor strategic accumulation on any pullbacks. The downside remains well-anchored at the $4,200–$4,250 zone, offering clear entry points for those looking to ride the next leg higher.
The 4H chart shows a textbook trend continuation pattern following a compression phase, where price found support at the ascending trendline near $4,200 before surging past the November high resistance area, now acting as a new support floor. On the 16-hour chart, the clean break above the triangle pattern is especially significant—the measured move target derived from the triangle’s height suggests a potential long-term run toward $4,500 if bullish momentum holds. The A = B projection further reinforces the symmetry of this move, implying a proportional extension from the initial impulse leg.
Fed’s policy stance still uncertain, despite a recent 0.25% rate cut. But the path of least resistance is unequivocally upward. Any dip into the $4,250 zone should be viewed not as a reversal signal, but as a tactical buying opportunity ahead of the next breakout attempt. A close above PWH would open the floodgates to $4,450 and beyond. Silver’s leadership continues to be a vital leading indicator—if it sustains its relative strength, gold will follow with conviction. The golden ascent has begun.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Signals
Ethereum — Bearish structure confirmed amid weak macro sentimentHello everyone,
At the moment, Ethereum is trading within a broader risk-off environment, where defensive sentiment continues to dominate risk assets. Capital flows have yet to show a strong enough return to support a sustainable bullish trend, while investors remain cautious amid macroeconomic uncertainty and overall liquidity conditions. This hesitation has caused recent ETH rebounds to lack follow-through and remain vulnerable to selling pressure.
From a technical perspective , the H4 chart clearly reflects a weakening market structure. After a sharp impulsive move higher, Ethereum failed to maintain expansion and was quickly rejected at higher levels, forming a failed breakout . The return of price below the breakout area signals that buyers were unable to maintain control, allowing sellers to reassert dominance.
The zone around 3,270–3,320 USD now acts as a key resistance area . This region aligns with prior supply and important technical factors, where price has repeatedly faced rejection. As long as the bearish structure remains intact, rallies into this area should be viewed as trend-aligned SELL opportunities , rather than early signs of a bullish reversal.
On the downside, the 3,070–3,000 USD region represents the nearest support target. While this zone has previously generated price reactions, within an active downtrend it should be treated primarily as a potential profit-taking area , not a safe BUY zone. Attempting to catch a bottom while the lower-high, lower-low structure remains intact introduces unnecessary risk.
Looking at market behavior , recent recoveries have been characterized by weak momentum, narrow ranges, and a lack of decisive buying participation. This suggests a phase of distribution and rebalancing , rather than accumulation for trend continuation. When the market fails to accept higher prices, the probability of downside continuation outweighs that of an early reversal.
In conclusion , Ethereum remains in a controlled corrective downtrend. With neither the technical structure nor the current news backdrop supporting a bullish scenario, the most prudent approach is to prioritize selling rallies , apply strict risk management, and remain patient until the market delivers clearer signals. In trading, aligning with the dominant trend consistently offers a higher probability edge than attempting to anticipate a bottom.
Wishing you clear judgment, disciplined risk management, and sustainable trading performance.
BTCUSDT – Weak Technical Rebound, Downtrend Still in ControlHello everyone, looking at the current D1 chart, Bitcoin is showing a relatively weak rebound that appears more technical in nature rather than a true trend reversal. In the context of December 2025, the market still lacks a strong enough catalyst to draw capital back into crypto, while the medium-term price structure has not improved.
From a news and capital flow perspective , BTC is clearly underperforming gold. In 2025, global capital has favored defensive assets: gold continues to print new all-time highs, while Bitcoin lacks a compelling narrative. Spot ETF momentum has cooled, the halving is already behind us, and there are no major upgrades significantly impacting supply–demand dynamics. Although the Fed has begun cutting rates, policy remains insufficiently dovish to create a strong risk-on environment for crypto. At the same time, the correction in U.S. equities has reinforced a broader cautious sentiment.
From a D1 technical standpoint , BTC remains below both the EMA34 and EMA89, confirming that the medium-term downtrend is still intact. Each rebound has formed a lower high, while buying volume is noticeably weaker than selling pressure. The 88,000–86,000 USD support zone is being tested, and the failure to reclaim EMA34 increases the risk of a downside break.
Personally, I lean toward a scenario where BTC sees another leg down toward the 86,000 level, or even 84,000 USD, before entering a new accumulation phase. A sideways range between 88,000 and 93,000 would only be likely if volatility completely dries up and the market continues to wait for clearer signals from the Fed.
What do you think? Is Bitcoin preparing to form a bottom, or is this just a pause before a deeper decline?
Bitcoin Market Assessment - 110k or 80k incoming?Bitcoin Market Assessment – WhiteBit Chart & Exchange (Daily Time Frame)
Welcome back everyone.
Today we will be evaluating Bitcoin using the WhiteBit chart on the daily time frame.
Market Overview
Bitcoin recently surged to 126k, sweeping liquidity at the highs. Shortly after, the market sold off aggressively partly amplified by tariff news—which reinforced the upper resistance zone and caused price to break back below it.
Price continued to decline sharply, reaching 80.3k, where millions in positions were liquidated.
Current Technical Structure
1. Breached Bullish Golden Pocket
Price has broken below the bullish Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65).
Once breached, this zone typically flips into resistance, which is what we’re seeing now.
2. Rising Wedge on the 4H
On the 4-hour chart, price is forming a rising wedge, a pattern that often precedes continuation to the downside.
This wedge aligns directly with the breached Golden Pocket, forming a strong confluence of resistance.
3. Trend Context
Price action is still within a high-time-frame bearish trend, and the recent push upward appears to be a standard bearish pullback rather than a shift in structure.
These combined factors suggest the possibility of a deeper move down.
Downside Levels of Interest
0.786 Fibonacci Retracement (~85.6k)
Next discount zone and logical target if the bearish structure continues.
80k Psychological Level
A major high-volume and psychological area. If 85.6k breaks, a retest of 80k becomes probable.
Bears are clearly targeting this zone.
Volume Profile Insight
Using the anchored volume tool, a significant cluster of volume sits around 111k—just above the key 110k level and very near the bearish Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65).
This area has not yet been retested.
On higher time frames, the bearish Golden Pocket often acts as the ideal retracement zone before price continues lower. This creates a compelling upside target if the bearish scenario invalidates.
Market Tone
Momentum remains weak on the bullish side, with sellers maintaining control.
As long as price remains below the breached Golden Pocket, the market structure continues to favor the downside.
Scenario Summary
Bullish Scenario
Price breaks above and closes above the breached bullish Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 zone).
Sustained strength above this level opens the door for:
- 110k retest, aligning with major volume at 111k
- Potential wick or extension into the bearish Golden Pocket
This would temporarily invalidate short-term bearish momentum.
Bearish Scenario (Primary)
Breached Golden Pocket continues acting as strong resistance.
Rising wedge breaks down.
Price targets:
- 0.786 Fib at 85.6k
- 80k psychological level if 85.6k fails
- Overall bearish trend remains intact, with bulls showing weakening momentum.
Thank you all so much for reading.
BTC has made a lot of reactions take place this year, from record breaking highs to record breaking liquidations of 19 Billion in just a few hours!
It is important to be cautious, risk only what you can afford to lose and ensure you take on proper risk management.
Make sure to follow and comment below what you think! If you would like any guides, or assessments of specific crypto currencies done, let me know!
ETHUSDT Enters a Consolidation PhaseOn the 6H chart, ETHUSDT is stabilising after the drop from 3,350. Selling pressure has eased, but demand remains insufficient to establish a fresh uptrend. Price action suggests a pause rather than a reversal, with the market waiting for clearer direction.
From a broader perspective, Bitcoin’s inability to break key resistance levels continues to cap upside across altcoins. A steady DXY also limits risk appetite, while Ethereum lacks a new catalyst following EIP-4844. As a result, rebounds remain slow and are quickly met with supply.
As long as ETH holds above the 3,050–3,120 area, sideways accumulation between 3,080 and 3,200 is the base case. A break above 3,280–3,330 would be required to confirm a broader bullish continuation.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Potential Continuation Pattern Taking ShapeBINANCE:BTCUSDT remains capped below channel border, with repeated failures around the 92,500–93,500 zone shaping another potential lower high. Price action has slowed into a tight compression, sitting above the rising blue support line while unable to reclaim higher ground. This behavior suggests equilibrium rather than strength, often seen before directional expansion.
If sellers continue to defend the overhead supply and price slips back below the upward trendline, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could unwind toward the 82,000 region, where the upward prior demand overlap. That zone may act as a magnet if downside pressure accelerates, especially as the broader structure still reflects corrective consolidation.
➡️ Primary scenario: rejection near 92,500 → drift lower toward 82,000.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a sustained break and hold above the channel could invalidate the bearish bias and shift focus back toward 100,000.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GBPNZD – 30-Minute Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, greetings,
I have prepared a GBPNZD analysis for you on the 1-hour timeframe.
My friends, if GBPNZD reaches the positive levels between 2.30310 and 2.29957, I will open a buy position and target the 2.31646 level.
My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏✨
Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
NASDAQ Time to correct hard until it reaches this level again.Exactly 6 months ago (June 20, see chart below), we posted the following analysis on Nasdaq (NDX), which helped us ride the rally following the April 07 2025 market low:
The reasoning behind this was that Nasdaq's low was on its 3W MA50 (blue trend-line), a key Support level which since 2009 and the start of the market's dominant multi-year Channel Up following the 2008 Housing Crisis, has offered 5 perfect long-term buy entries upon contact, only breaking once during the 2022 Inflation Crisis.
Now that the 3W RSI is displaying a Lower Highs Bearish Divergence (against the price's Higher Highs) that has been formed on another 3 prior Cycle Tops, we expect the market to start reversing soon for another cyclical correction. Technically another Bearish Leg for the dominant Channel Up.
Naturally, we expect it to reach at least the 3W MA50 again. Based on its trajectory, it is possible for contact to be made around 20500. Keep in mind again that absolute pricing isn't the important thing here, timing is. The most optimal time to buy based on this high accuracy model, is upon contact with the 3W MA50, regardless of the price it is at, so don't get fixed on 20500, but it is a fair projection based on the trend.
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BITCOIN following the same blueprint as all previous Bear CyclesBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been falling non-stop since its October All Time High and all the signs continue to be there that we have already entered the new Bear Cycle.
We've been sharing extensive analyses with you since September on the markers of the Bear Cycle and the latest indicator that adds to the data set is the STOCH on the 3W time-frame.
As you can see, it has entered a level where all previous three Bear Cycles completed roughly their 1st Phase and rebounded on a dead-cat-bounce. On average it i roughly after every three 3W candles that this happens, this time it was after two, the previous two Bear Cycles after three and the one before (longest) after six.
Also this is the fastest it's reached the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) on a Bear Cycle correction and most likely it will be the same for its 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 3W MA100 (green trend-line).
This is another sign that shows how every Cycle gets less and less aggressive. The first Bear Cycle dropped by roughly -94%, the second by -87%, the third by -84% and the fourth (last) by 77%. This decelerating rate reveals BTC's asymptotic behavior as more and more mass adoption kicks in with every passing Cycle. As the market stabilizes, becomes larger and more widespread, the volatility becomes lower and lower. This is a sign of maturity.
So what does this potentially mean for us and this Bear Cycle? Well that the drop will most likely be contained at -70% maximum (-7% less than the previous Cycle), a rate that may be as low as -60% (just after contacting the 3W MA100) if ETF buying interest returns or other fundamental catalysts (bitcoin treasuries etc?) accelerate adoption. So this potential range translates into a possible buy zone of $50000 - $38000 towards the end of 2026 but that's a topic we've analyzed extensively on other studies.
So do you think the 3W STOCH puts another nail on Bitcoin's coffin or there are still hopes that the Bull Cycle will be resumed? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | EURUSD Monthly High Rejection Short OpportunityFX:EURUSD has pushed into the 1.17700 supply band, where the October high aligns with a channel border, creating a dense resistance cluster. The rally looks extended after a sharp A-B-C recovery from support, and recent candles show hesitation rather than follow-through. While structure remains technically bullish above the upward trendline, momentum is beginning to stall near premium pricing.
If bears step in at this historic level, price could rotate lower toward the 1.1670 zone, where prior breakout structure and dynamic support converge. That area may attract bids again, but only after a corrective flush relieves the current imbalance.
➡️ Primary scenario: rejection at 1.1770 → pullback toward 1.1670.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a firm close above 1.1780 could invalidate the rejection setup and open continuation toward 1.1800
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EURUSD Targeting 1.17496 and will fallEURUSD is showing a short-term bearish correction within a larger trend. After breaking the recent high at 1.17496, the pair is likely to move down toward the order block at 1.17070. This corrective phase may last throughout the day, allowing the market to fill the liquidity Trendline and stabilize. Once the correction is complete, the upward trend is expected to resume, providing potential buying opportunities.
Bitcoin - Downtrend reinforced by technicals and macro sentimentHello everyone,
At the moment, Bitcoin is trading cautiously as capital has yet to decisively return to risk assets. Overall market sentiment remains defensive, with investors continuing to assess macroeconomic conditions and monetary policy. As a result, buying pressure has not been strong enough to reverse the prevailing trend.
From a technical perspective , the H4 chart shows that Bitcoin continues to respect a well-defined descending channel . Market structure remains bearish, with a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming that selling pressure is still dominant. Recent rebounds have been purely technical in nature and have repeatedly been rejected near the upper boundary of the channel, signaling that buyers lack control.
Notably, the 92,000–94,000 USD area is acting as a key resistance zone. This region aligns with the upper boundary of the descending channel and a prior distribution area, where price has been rejected multiple times. In the current context, each failed attempt to close decisively above this zone reinforces the view that it is a trend-aligned SELL area , rather than a bullish reversal signal.
On the news front , the crypto market continues to be influenced by a broader risk-off environment, with capital favoring safety and liquidity. The absence of strong positive catalysts makes it difficult for Bitcoin to sustain a meaningful breakout. This cautious investor behavior effectively supports the existing bearish structure, as weak and hesitant demand often allows downtrends to persist.
On the downside, the 80,000–82,000 USD region stands out as an important support area. While price has reacted from this zone in the past, within a broader downtrend it should be viewed primarily as a potential profit-taking target , not a safe BUY zone. Attempting to catch the bottom before the bearish structure is broken carries elevated risk and does not align with disciplined trading.
Overall, both technical structure and the current news backdrop point toward a bearish continuation scenario . Until there is a clear shift in market structure or a meaningful improvement in capital flows, the most rational approach remains to sell rallies in line with the trend , rather than trying to predict a bottom.
In conclusion , Bitcoin remains in a controlled downtrend. Only a decisive break above the descending channel, supported by a more favorable news environment, would justify considering a trend reversal. Until then, patience, discipline, and respect for the dominant trend are essential for capital protection and consistent performance.
Wishing you clear judgment, strong risk management, and disciplined trading in line with the primary trend.
BOJ in FOCUS. BTC COULD RETURN TO 96-97KMorning folks,
So, our gut feeling has not failed us last time as we decided to stay aside from any new longs. This week is a poor job to guess what will happen on BoJ meeting, but it definitely will be important for all crypto currencies. Theoretically, narrowing of carry trade rates difference will make a bad service to BTC, as a most volatile asset...
Still, now we have a bullish grabbers on the daily chart. They look tempting. Especially because they do not demand far standing stops... I'm not confident with them at 100%, taking in consideration overall weak performance, but it is possible to risk and try them. If they will work BTC will return back to 96.4 - 97K area and finally complete our AB-CD target.
As an option, you could wait for 1-2 more sessions, as we have time until BoJ still. And we can wait for more confirmation on intraday charts. So, no need to hurry up by far...
BTCUSDT.P - December 15, 2025Price is in a corrective downtrend, with the current rally retracing into a prior resistance band around 90,100–90,300 where the short entry is planned. The stop level near 92,800 sits above the recent swing high and protects against a full bullish reversal. As long as price remains capped below this resistance and intraday momentum stays weak, the bias favors a continuation lower toward the 85,000–85,500 support zone, which aligns with the projected profit level.
EURUSD Keeps Its Uptrend, Eyes 1.1780–1.1820EURUSD remains in a well-defined bullish structure on the H4 timeframe, driven less by speculative enthusiasm and more by a steady shift in relative monetary expectations. The pair continues to benefit from a softening USD backdrop while the euro holds its ground.
Recent Fed communication has reinforced a dovish bias, pulling US yields and the Dollar Index lower as US macro data increasingly point to slowing momentum. In contrast, the ECB has avoided committing to aggressive easing, allowing the policy gap to tilt modestly in favor of EUR.
From a price-action perspective, EURUSD is displaying a classic bullish consolidation. Pullbacks remain shallow, value gaps are gradually absorbed, and price stays comfortably above an expanding Ichimoku cloud. The former resistance near 1.1700 has transitioned into a key support zone, while volume distribution suggests selling pressure remains below current levels.
As long as the pair holds above 1.1710–1.1730, upside continuation toward 1.1780 and potentially 1.1820 remains the dominant scenario. A sustained break below 1.1660 would be required to invalidate the short-term bullish structure.
Gold at $4,300: A Structural Bull Market Takes ShapeGold’s surge to a new all-time high at $4,300 is not a short-lived spike, but a confirmation of a broader structural trend. A 62% gain in 2025, 150% over three years, and consistent outperformance versus bonds signal a shift: gold is no longer just a cyclical hedge, but a long-term strategic asset. Falling yields, persistent inflation risks, and a weakening USD continue to attract sustained institutional inflows.
On the H1 chart, price action reflects a textbook re-accumulation phase. Fair Value Gaps are created and efficiently filled, indicating controlled pullbacks rather than distribution. Gold remains firmly above a rising Ichimoku cloud, keeping bullish momentum intact. The recent dip merely absorbed liquidity around the 4,305–4,315 zone before price stabilized again.
As long as gold holds above that support, the next upside extension toward 4,335–4,350 remains likely. A decisive breakout could open the door toward the 4,375–4,400 region, aligning technical structure with increasingly bullish long-term projections from major institutions.
AUDUSD Sell Limit | Multi-TF Rejection at Quarterly/Yearly HighsAUD/USD Short | Sell Strength at Macro Resistance:
AUD/USD is trading into a high-probability macro supply zone aligned with the Previous Quarter High / Current Year High, creating asymmetric downside risk. Fundamentals favor AUD weakness as Australian November employment contracted sharply (full-time losses), business conditions softened, and RBA policy remains ambiguous, while USD retains defensive support amid U.S. macro repricing risk and softer China growth weighing on commodity FX. Technically, H1 shows failed continuation above resistance with rejection and compression below supply, offering favorable timing to sell strength. Sell limit 0.66609, SL 0.66718, TP1 0.66346, TP2 0.66091, ~4.99R, 1% risk, no discretionary management post-entry.
Fundamental vs Technical Scorecard (Journal-Ready)
Pair: AUD/USD
Date: 15 Dec 2025
Bias: Bearish
Fundamentals (Bearish: 4 / 5)
✔ Weak Australian employment (full-time losses)
✔ Softening business conditions
✔ Ambiguous RBA policy support
✔ USD supported on macro / risk-off dynamics
✖ Inflation persistence limits aggressive AUD downside
Technical Location (Strong: 5 / 5)
✔ Previous Quarter High / Current Year High
✔ HTF supply zone
✔ Extended from value
Timing (Strong: 4.5 / 5)
✔ Failed continuation above resistance
✔ Rejection + compression on H1
✔ Sell-strength environment
Execution Quality (High: 5 / 5)
✔ Defined entry, stop, targets
✔ ~5R asymmetry
✔ Clear invalidation
Risk Management
✔ 1% portfolio risk
✔ No discretionary interference
Overall Trade Quality: High-Conviction Asymmetric Short
NZDUSD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅NZDUSD is holding above the rising ICT trendline after a shallow pullback, showing bullish order-flow continuation. Displacement remains intact with premium liquidity resting above recent highs. Expect a controlled retrace into support before continuation toward upside imbalance. Time Frame 5H.
LONG🚀
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USDCAD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.377.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.395 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTCUSDT.P - December 14, 2025Price is consolidating in a tight range after a prior decline, with the short entry positioned just under minor intraday resistance around 90,300–90,400. The stop level near 90,700 caps the recent lower high, preserving the short-term bearish structure while this zone holds. As long as price remains below that resistance and intraday momentum stays soft, the setup favors continuation toward the downside objective around 89,600–89,700, where stronger support is located.
"A super week" of employment dataNext week will not be a normal trading week. This is the time when the market is forced to answer a big question: will the Federal Reserve's policy pivot be sustainable, or merely a tactical adjustment in a cycle still fraught with uncertainty?
Following its December interest rate decision, the Fed officially cut rates by 25 basis points as expected. However, the market reaction showed that the key wasn't the number, but the underlying message. The dotplot chart indicated very limited, even cautious, room for further rate cuts in 2026. Nevertheless, the less hawkish statements from Chairman Jerome Powell, coupled with the Fed resuming short-term Treasury bond purchases to stabilize liquidity, produced a clear consequence: the US dollar weakened faster and more deeply than anticipated.
Against this backdrop, the upcoming trading week is seen as a "test of resilience" for the USD, as key employment and inflation data are released simultaneously, and the three major central banks in Europe and Asia also come into the spotlight.
Fed: Not overly dovish, but enough to change market expectations
On the surface, the Fed's decision resembles a "soft hawk": cutting interest rates, but the dotplot for 2026 is quite limited. However, the structure of the dotplot reveals a less-noticed fact: no single viewpoint clearly dominates.
Four members are against cutting interest rates in 2026, four support another cut, and four others lean towards two cuts. Overall, this is not a policy consensus.
More importantly, the Fed has proactively restarted short-term Treasury bond purchases as a reserve management tool. While not explicitly called quantitative easing, this move sends a clear signal: the Fed is willing to sacrifice "formal hawkishness" to ensure real financial stability.
Powell's remarks at the press conference, emphasizing the risks of a weakening labor market and viewing inflationary pressures from tariffs as temporary, reinforced the belief that the Fed would prioritize jobs over continuing to push inflation at all costs. This quickly led the market to reassess the likelihood of interest rate cuts next year, with the dollar becoming the first to face pressure.
This week shapes expectations, leaving no room for complacency.
Next week marks a period where global monetary policy expectations begin to diverge significantly. The Fed has taken a step back, but not quite surrendered. The BoE is at a crossroads of easing. The ECB maintains a balanced stance with controlled confidence. The BOJ, meanwhile, is trying to break free from its own shadow.
Against this backdrop, volatility in the foreign exchange, gold, and risk assets markets in general is likely to increase. This is not a time for emotional trading, but rather a time that demands discipline, selectivity, and the ability to correctly interpret the policy message behind the numbers.
The upcoming data week will not only answer the question of “what happened,” but more importantly, it will reveal who is truly controlling the global monetary policy narrative in 2026.
Technical Analysis and Suggestions OANDA:XAUUSD
The daily chart of gold prices shows a new uptrend being relatively fully confirmed, both in terms of price structure and momentum.
After a sharp correction from the previous peak, gold did not break the long-term uptrend structure, but only retreated to test important dynamic support zones. The price quickly held firm at the 0.236 Fibonacci level around $4,120–$4,130 per ounce, while continuing to move within the medium-term uptrend channel. This indicates that active buying pressure remains in control of the market, and selling pressure is more profit-taking than a trend reversal.
Short- and medium-term moving averages maintain an upward slope, acting as a "price cushion" during corrections. After a cooling-off period, the RSI has returned to equilibrium, leaning toward an uptrend, reflecting that upward momentum is being re-accumulated rather than weakening.
Structurally, the continuous formation of higher lows, accompanied by shallow corrections, is a typical sign of a strong uptrend. If the resistance zone around $4,330/ounce is decisively broken, the market could enter a new phase of extended upward movement.
The next technical targets are identified at:
• $4,380–$4,400/ounce: an extension zone within the ascending price channel and Fibonacci extension.
• In a scenario with stronger momentum, the price could head towards the $4,500/ounce region in the medium term.
The risk of a downward correction lies in the scenario where the price fails to break above $4,330/ounce and reverses to break the support zone of $4,200–$4,180/ounce. In that case, gold could retreat further to the $3,970–$3,850/ounce area (Fibonacci 0.382–0.5). However, as long as the price remains above this zone, the major uptrend is not yet invalidated.
Given the overall upward trend, current corrections should be viewed as opportunities for repositioning, rather than hasty reversal signals.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4366 - 4364⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4370
→Take Profit 1 4358
↨
→Take Profit 2 4352
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4168 - 4270⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4264
→Take Profit 1 4276
↨
→Take Profit 2 4282
EUR/USD Daily Outlook: Bullish Structure | COT & SeasonalityOn the daily chart, EUR/USD has developed a clean recovery structure after the November low, characterized by a well-defined sequence of higher lows and price holding above the short-to-medium term ascending trendline. The 1.1650–1.1600 area represents a key dynamic and structural demand zone, already defended multiple times, while the impulsive breakout toward 1.1730 confirmed renewed institutional interest on the long side. Price is now trading just below a relevant daily supply zone between 1.1750 and 1.1820, aligned with prior highs and a distribution area visible on higher timeframes. As long as this zone is not cleared with a strong daily close, the most likely scenario is a corrective pause or a controlled pullback toward 1.1680–1.1650 before any renewed attempt at the highs. From a COT perspective, the backdrop remains constructive for the euro: non-commercials are still net long EUR FX, with a reduction in short exposure and a positioning structure consistent with accumulation rather than distribution. At the same time, the US Dollar Index shows non-commercials still heavily net short, suggesting that large players are not aggressively defending the dollar and that pullbacks on EUR/USD are more likely continuation opportunities than structural reversals. From a seasonality standpoint, December has historically shown a moderately positive bias for EUR/USD, particularly in the second half of the month, favoring gradual upside moves rather than sharp directional spikes—consistent with a typical year-end environment of compressed volatility but positive directional bias. In summary, the broader bias remains bullish, though not an immediate breakout scenario: the highest-probability path favors technical pullbacks toward the 1.1650–1.1680 area to build trend-aligned long exposure, while only a confirmed daily break above 1.1820 would open room toward 1.1900. Structural invalidation sits below 1.1550, which currently remains a low-probability scenario.
XAGUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP📌 Trade Plan (XAGUSD – Short Setup)
🔻 Entry Reason
Price made a Change of Character (CHoCH) at the highs → bullish momentum failed.
Strong impulsive bearish move followed, confirming sellers’ control.
Current price is retracing into prior structure resistance / imbalance near 62.70–62.80.
Expecting continuation toward lower liquidity + demand.
🔻 Entry
Sell on rejection in the 62.70–62.85 zone
Prefer bearish confirmation (engulfing / rejection candle)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL)
Above the recent high / supply zone:
64.40–64.60
🎯 Take Profit (TP)
Target downside liquidity & demand zone:
60.30–60.00
(Aligned with the highlighted green demand zone and blue arrow)
📉 Why This Trade Makes Sense
CHoCH signals trend shift
Pullback into discount / resistance
Clean range expansion → retracement → continuation model
Favourable risk-to-reward






















