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XAUUSD – Geopolitical Rally, Market Near Trend ConfirmationHello everyone, this is Domic. During the Asian session, gold rebounded sharply from the 4.33x area to above 4.39x, signaling a clear return of defensive flows after news that the US launched a military operation in Venezuela and detained President Maduro. Although the military action itself has concluded, Washington’s announcement of a temporary takeover to stabilize the country and oversee oil production has kept geopolitical uncertainty in Latin America elevated. In this context, gold continues to be favored as a safe haven rather than higher-risk assets. Another notable factor is crude oil pulling back toward the 57 USD/barrel area. This suggests the market is viewing the Venezuela situation primarily through a geopolitical risk lens rather than as an immediate threat to energy supply. Rising uncertainty without a corresponding spike in oil-driven inflation expectations creates a more supportive short-term backdrop for gold. On the H4 timeframe, technical signals are turning more constructive. Price remains above the slower EMA and has reclaimed the faster EMA after the year-end pullback. In hindsight, the decline from the 4.55x area down to 4.28x appears corrective rather than distributive. The strong reaction from the demand zone and the ability to sustain the rebound indicate that buyers have regained short-term control, placing the market in a phase where the uptrend is being confirmed rather than challenged. Wishing you all effective and successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DomicChaina
28
Lingrid | GOLD Trend Continuation After Corrective PhaseOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a well-defined upward channel after completing a healthy corrective move from the recent higher high. Price has respected the 4,300 support zone, printing a higher low directly on the rising trendline — a key signal that bullish structure is still intact. This area acts as a technical demand zone, combining support and prior consolidation, making it a high-probability zone for continuation. As long as price holds above 4,350, buyers are expected to defend the structure and push price back toward 4,510 initially, with a potential extension into the higher resistance zone. ➡️ Primary scenario: support holds → continuation toward 4,510 ⚠️ Invalidation: decisive breakdown below 4,350 shifts bias to deeper correction If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
9
EUR/USD: A Healthy Correction Ahead of the Next RallyHello everyone, Camila here! On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure remains clearly intact. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, while the ascending trendline drawn from key swing lows is still being respected by the market. This indicates that the primary buying pressure has not left the market. After breaking out of the compression area and printing a new high, EUR/USD has entered a correction to retest the previous breakout zone. This is a very common technical behavior associated with institutional money flows. The market often returns to recently broken levels to confirm the role shift from resistance to support. The current correction, in my view, represents a healthy pullback rather than a distribution phase. Selling pressure has not expanded, downside momentum remains controlled, and the bullish structure has not been compromised. In particular, the 1.1650–1.1660 area stands out as a key support zone, as it aligns with prior structural support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse. In the scenario I am monitoring, EUR/USD may continue to decline toward the 1.1650–1.1660 area to test demand. If price holds this zone and fresh buying signals emerge, the market is likely to rebound toward the 1.1740–1.1760 resistance zone. A strong break above this resistance would open the door for further upside extension in the medium term. From a news and macroeconomic perspective, EUR/USD is receiving a degree of support. Expectations that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance throughout 2026 continue to put pressure on U.S. Treasury yields, leading to a relatively weaker U.S. dollar. Recent U.S. economic data point to slowing growth, while inflation is gradually easing, increasing the likelihood of monetary policy easing going forward. In Europe, the ECB continues to maintain a cautious stance without signaling aggressive easing, which helps the euro preserve relative stability. Amid ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainty, capital flows are becoming more flexible rather than being concentrated entirely in the U.S. dollar as in previous periods. In conclusion, in my personal assessment, EUR/USD does not appear weak at this stage. Instead, the market is undergoing a necessary phase of consolidation and technical correction. The 1.1650–1.1660 area will be the key zone that determines the next directional move. As long as price remains above the ascending trendline, I continue to prioritize a trend-following long scenario, patiently waiting for confirmation rather than chasing short-term volatility. Wishing you successful trading.
Long
by Camila_Roja
8
So, Maduro's capture is good for BITCOIN ??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and especially the altcoin market, has been rising strongly every since Maduro's capture by the U.S., which is the most dominant macro geopolitical event since perhaps Trump's global tariffs a little less than a year ago. So what does that mean, that such an act is good for the crypto market? Well not quite. Macro economic and geopolitical unrest events like this have acted as catalysts for major market movements that rarely are to the upside. Some may argue that BTC is purely acting on its original inception role, a safe haven against times of uncertainty/ volatility. But what we see on these first trading days of 2026, is that the market is so far following the historical Bear Cycle print that all previous cycles followed. What's that? It broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in over 2 months, marking the first Low of the new Bear Cycle. What all previous Bear Cycles did when that break-out took place, was a short-term rebound (counter trend rally) that always hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and got rejected. In 2 times out of 3, it also tested the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the recent Low. After that 1D MA200 test was concluded, the bearish trend was resumed and the price bottomed towards the end of that year. In 2 out of 3 Cycles again, the bottom was at or below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Cycle Low. Only the 2014 Cycle differed but that's to be expected as it was the first one and at the same time most aggressive. The current 0.382 Fib with a Target price of $56700, would be much less aggressive, which is natural due to the Theory of Diminishing Returns and Bitcoin's price stabilization as mass adoption kicks in more and more with each passing Cycle. As a result, what we still think (presented this possibility over a month ago) the market will do now is rally towards 100k and then start Phase 2 of the Bear Cycle to bottom at least on $56700. Do you agree that's a viable scenario? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
NASDAQ is on the verge of collapse.Nasdaq (NDX) completed its 'Santa rally' on December 26 and since then it's been pulling back, breaking below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), despite today's early rise in the aftermath of Maduro's capture over the weekend. Technically, it is repeating the Cycle Top formation of 2021. That was achieved under a Lower Highs trend-line, which as soon as the very first week of 2022, started a violent correction that extended well beyond the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), making a first stop on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, before a dead-cat-bounce kicked in. Right now, the latest Lower High was that 'Santa rally' and since we've just started the first week of 2026, there are high probabilities that a new collapse will begin. Even the 1D RSI comes to confirm this, being very similar to that of late 2021. If the market repeats the 2022 Bear Cycle, then we are looking at a first Low at 21000 (Fib 2.618) by March. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
1
EURUSD Bearish Continuation After PullbackQuick Summary EURUSD broke below 1.16824, A corrective move toward the orderblock at 1.17143 is possible This pullback is expected to act as a continuation zone for further downside and The main objective remains which is filling the liquidity void after the bullish trendline break Full Analysis After EURUSD successfully broke below the 1.16824 level the bearish structure remains valid This break confirms that sellers are still in control following the loss of the previous bullish trendline From here price may attempt a corrective move higher toward the orderblock around 1.17143 This area is viewed as a potential mitigation zone rather than a reversal point If price reacts from this orderblock the expectation is continuation to the downside The overall objective of this move is to continue filling the liquidity void that was left behind during the previous impulsive bullish move As long as price remains below the broken structure this pullback is considered corrective The bearish bias remains intact and the focus stays on downside continuation.
Short
by Mr_Liquidity1
8
Silver — Strong Bull Trend, but Is the Correction Really Over?After the explosive rally to a new all-time high near the 84 zone, OANDA:XAGUSD experienced a sharp correction, dropping nearly 15,000 pips — a natural reaction after such an extended move. Buyers eventually regained control just above the 70 zone, where the market established a solid floor. However, the first rebound produced a lower high, and the following high was also lower — which currently shapes what appears to be a potential descending triangle structure (still unconfirmed at this stage). ❓ Key Question: Is the Correction Finished? From a long-term perspective, there is no doubt about the dominant trend — Silver remains strongly bullish over the macro horizon. But the short-term issue remains: 👉 Has the correction already ended, or is there more downside risk ahead? Right now, the answer depends on two critical levels. ⚖️ Decision Levels to Watch 1️⃣ 74 Resistance Zone A clean breakout above 74 would ✔️ invalidate the current corrective structure ✔️ confirm bullish continuation ✔️ open the door toward further upside extensions 2️⃣ 70 Support Zone A breakdown below 70 would ⚠️ strengthen the descending-triangle scenario ⚠️ expose Silver to a deeper correction ➡️ potentially toward the 63 zone 📌 Trading Stance for Now Given today’s low-liquidity environment, the prudent approach is: 👉 wait for confirmation rather than forcing a position Price action around 70 and 74 will likely provide the next major directional clue. Until then — patience remains the best strategy. 🚀
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
13
BTC at a Critical Inflection Point Following a Decisive Sell-OffHello, I'm Camila. Price declined decisively, reflecting strong bearish momentum as sellers maintained clear control over the market. However, once price reached a key support area, selling pressure began to fade, suggesting that buyers were starting to show interest. This was followed by a strong rebound that broke above the short-term descending trendline, marking the first meaningful sign of a potential trend shift. This breakout indicates that buyers are returning to the market and actively attempting to regain control. The immediate upside target is located around the 107,000 USD area, which aligns with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. This region often acts as a magnet for price, attracting corrective moves before the market commits to its next directional decision. If buyers are able to hold above the recent breakout level and build momentum, a deeper recovery move may unfold. On the other hand, failure to sustain price above this level could lead to a pullback into the demand zone for a retest before the next advance. In summary, buyers are cautiously probing the market. The key question now is whether they can maintain control above the breakout point and confirm the shift in market structure. Wishing you disciplined and successful trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Camila_Roja
7
TheGrove | GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGold remains overall bullish, trading within a well-defined ascending structure. Price is now approaching a high-confluence area, where the demand zone aligns perfectly with the lower red trendline. This intersection is critical, as it represents a classic trend-following buy zone within a healthy uptrend. As long as this zone holds, we will be looking for bullish reactions and continuation setups, aiming for a move back toward the upper side of the channel and the previous highs. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheGrove
15
GOLD Strong Bullish Bias! Buy! Hello,Traders! GOLD price has reclaimed a key horizontal demand zone after a clean liquidity sweep below prior lows. Strong displacement to the upside signals smart money accumulation, with structure favoring continuation toward the next buy-side liquidity pool. Time Frame 12H. Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
3
XAUUSD - Macro Tailwinds Align with a Technically Intact UptrendHello everyone, Camila here! From a fundamental perspective, gold continues to receive clear support from macroeconomic factors. Expectations that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance throughout 2026 are keeping downward pressure on U.S. Treasury yields. As yields cool, the opportunity cost of holding gold declines, allowing capital to rotate back into the precious metal. In addition, ongoing geopolitical risks and unresolved global economic uncertainties mean that gold remains a preferred defensive asset. From a technical standpoint, I see no signs of a trend reversal at this stage. On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure remains firmly intact, with a clear sequence of higher lows. The ascending trendline extending from November to the present continues to be respected, indicating that buying pressure still dominates the medium-term market direction. The 4.28x–4.30x price zone plays a critical role in the overall structure. This area previously acted as strong resistance and has now successfully flipped into support after being broken. Repeated price reactions and rebounds from this zone suggest that the market is accepting a higher price base, rather than entering a distribution phase. Following the sharp correction from the recent peak, price behavior indicates that selling pressure has lost momentum. Instead of extending lower, price has begun to consolidate and form a structure resembling an inverse Head & Shoulders. The right shoulder remains relatively tight, signaling weakening bearish pressure and active supply absorption. This phase often represents a “pause” before the primary trend resumes. My preferred short-term scenario is a modest break above the upper resistance, followed by a pullback to retest the newly broken area. If the underlying support continues to hold, this retracement should remain purely technical. In that case, gold would have a solid foundation to extend its advance toward the 4.49x region in the coming sessions. Wishing you successful trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Camila_Roja
9
TheGrove | USDCAD buy | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDCAD is moving in an UP trend channel. The chart broke through the dynamic Support line line We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Long
by TheGrove
3
Technical Rebound at Key EMA, Medium-Term Uptrend Remains IntactHello everyone, EUR/USD has just completed a fairly deep but well-controlled correction. The prior sell-off pulled price back toward the medium-term EMA zone around 1.1680–1.1700, and the subsequent rebound suggests selling pressure is no longer expanding, while buyers have started to step in to defend the broader structure. Although price briefly printed a lower low in the short term, the medium-term picture has not been broken. At the moment, EUR/USD is fluctuating around the confluence of EMA 34 and EMA 89 near 1.1730–1.1740 — a key decision area. Holding above this zone would give the market room to continue consolidating and recovering; failure here could open the door for a retest of the prior lows. From a macro perspective, the current backdrop does not place significant pressure on the euro. The Fed remains cautious and data-dependent, limiting the upside in US Treasury yields. Meanwhile, the ECB continues to maintain a moderately firm stance, helping EUR hold a stable price base. Upcoming data such as services PMI and US jobless claims may trigger short-term volatility, but in my view, they are unlikely to alter the medium-term trend unless a major surprise emerges.
Long
by DomicChaina
5
Gap After Weekend Events. Trend Resumption or Short Lived Spike?On Friday, after briefly pushing above 4400, Gold faced a sharp intraday sell-off of nearly 1,000 pips, dropping close to 4300 before staging a minor bounce into the close. Over the weekend, following the Maduro capture and the resulting surge in geopolitical uncertainty and risk sentiment, the market opened with a bullish gap, sending Gold back above 4400. This brings us to the key question: 👉 Is this the resumption of the uptrend — or just an emotional reaction that may fade? 🔎 The Key Level That Holds the Answer For now, the technical picture pivots around the 4350 zone. If price drops toward 4350 and holds, followed by a bullish reversal ✔️ this would confirm trend resumption ✔️ strengthen the bullish structure ➡️ and potentially open the way toward a new ATH retest But if price fails to hold 4350, the gap may prove to be ⚠️ an emotional spike rather than sustainable momentum Until confirmation, price remains in a reaction phase. 📌 Trading Stance At this stage, I prefer to remain neutral and patient, waiting for: 1️⃣ whether the market pulls back into 4350 support, and 2️⃣ how price reacts near 4450 resistance Both areas are likely to provide meaningful directional clues. For now — observation over anticipation. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Lingrid | GBPJPY Momentum Continuation Trade OpportunityFX:GBPJPY remains firmly inside a well-defined upward channel, with price holding above both the ascending trendline and the former consolidation zone. The recent pullback formed a higher low, confirming trend strength and continuation intent. Momentum is rebuilding after consolidation, and price is now positioned for a push toward the 213.8 resistance zone, which aligns with the upper channel boundary. As long as price stays above the 211.4 support area, the bullish scenario remains intact. ➡️ Primary scenario: higher low holds → continuation toward 213.8 ⚠️ Invalidation: sustained break below 211.4 would weaken the bullish structure If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
4
XAUUSD Geopolitics can push it to 4650.Gold (XAUUSD) is rising aggressively today, assuming its role as a safe haven in the aftermath of Maduro's capture by the U.S. As long as this geopolitical tension continues, it will push Gold higher, with the technical also favoring such a move, as the long-term trend remains bullish with the 2-year Channel Up intact. Technically we are currently on its new Bullish Leg and will remain valid for as long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds. All three previous Bullish Legs have had their first Higher High Targets on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, which gives us a short-term Target at 4650. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Lingrid | SOLUSDT Bullish Setup After Channel BreakBINANCE:SOLUSDT has completed a successful channel breakout and is now holding above the reclaimed descending trendline, signaling a structural shift in momentum. The breakout follows a prolonged compression phase, which typically precedes strong directional moves. Price is currently retesting the former resistance zone around 134–135, which now acts as key support. As long as this level holds, the structure favors continuation higher toward the 146 resistance zone, where previous supply is located. ➡️ Primary scenario: support holds → continuation toward 146.8 ⚠️ Invalidation: sustained breakdown below 134 would negate the breakout and reopen downside risk If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
2
Lingrid | GOLD Swap Zone Bounce Signals Trend ContinuationOANDA:XAUUSD reacted strongly after pulling back from the 2025 high, finding demand inside the 4,270–4,280 swap zone, where prior structure and the rising trendline converge. The rebound from this area suggests selling pressure may be losing control rather than accelerating into a trend reversal. If price continues to respect this support, a recovery move toward 4,460 could develop, followed by a possible re-test of the upper resistance. The broader bullish framework remains intact as long as price stabilizes above the channel base. ➡️ Primary scenario: defense of 4,270 → push toward 4,460 ⚠️ Risk scenario: acceptance below 4,250 shifts focus to deeper corrective levels If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
23
Lingrid | EURUSD Bullish Opportunity at Key Support AreaFX:EURUSD is undergoing a controlled pullback after rejecting the upper resistance zone, with price now rotating back toward the 1.1655 demand area, which also aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and monthly high. This zone represents a high-probability reaction area, where buyers previously stepped in and structure remains intact. As long as price holds above the trendline and support band, the broader bullish structure stays valid, opening the door for a renewed push toward 1.1750 and potentially upper continuation. ➡️ Primary scenario: pullback holds at 1.1655 → upside continuation ⚠️ Risk scenario: clean break below support invalidates the bullish setup and shifts bias to deeper correction If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
3
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Bullish Continuation Following Brief PullbackBINANCE:BTCUSDT broke above the consolidation zone, reclaiming structure above the prior range while holding the 90,000 support zone. Price is also stabilizing above trendline, suggesting the corrective phase may be ending rather than expanding. As long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to defend the 90K area, upside continuation toward 95,800 remains the primary scenario, with a potential extension toward higher resistance zone if momentum accelerates. This bullish structure stays valid unless price accepts back below the trendline. ➡️ Primary scenario: hold above 90K → push toward 95.8K ⚠️ Risk scenario: loss of 90K opens downside toward mid-range support If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
5