CHF-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CHFJPY tapped into a horizontal supply area after engineering liquidity above internal highs. Expect a bearish reaction as smart money delivers price toward the next demand imbalance.
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Stop Loss: 190.714
Take Profit: 190.165
Entry: 190.493
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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Signals
EUR-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EURUSD Price retraced after grabbing liquidity above equal highs and is now reacting from a discounted demand zone. Expect bullish continuation toward the next supply level. Time Frame 2H.
Buy!
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US100 FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅US100 is pushing towards the premium supply zone and after a liquidity sweep above short-term highs we will expect continuation toward the next downside inefficiency as sell-side liquidity gets targeted on Monday!
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Entry: 25,115.5$
Stop Loss: 25,200$
Take Profit: 24,900$
Time Frame: 3H
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** SHORT🔥
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Lingrid | SHIBUSDT Market Consolidation ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . BINANCE:SHIBUSDT rejected from the upper boundary of its descending structure, continuing to trade within a well-defined bearish channel. The price structure shows repeated lower lows and consolidations inside a mid-range zone under the downward trendline. If CRYPTOCAP:SHIB fails to close above 0.00001100, selling pressure could extend toward 0.00000835.Overall momentum remains bearish with no strong reversal signs yet.
⚠️ Risks:
A sudden breakout above the descending trendline could invalidate short bias.
Positive macro data or Bitcoin strength may trigger risk-on sentiment and lift altcoins.
Oversold conditions could lead to a temporary corrective rebound before further decline.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
SPY Free Signal! Sell! (For Monday)
Hello,Traders!
SPY has tapped into a premium supply zone, triggering a potential bearish delivery after a clean liquidity grab above equal highs. Expect continuation toward sell-side imbalance.
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Stop Loss: 674.31$
Take Profit: 666.68$
Entry Level: 670.89$
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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NZD/USD: A Trap for Early Buyers? Retail 90% Long1️⃣ Technical Context
NZD/USD is trading around 0.5630, within a descending channel that started in mid-July. After testing the lower boundary of the channel and the demand zone between 0.5570–0.5620, price reacted with a mild technical bounce — yet without any structural reversal confirmation.
The daily RSI shows a bullish divergence and remains above 30, signaling a possible short-term rebound toward 0.5750–0.5800 before a potential continuation lower.
Key Levels
Resistance: 0.5750 / 0.5820 (upper channel + prior supply)
Support: 0.5570 / 0.5500 (demand + channel bottom)
Technical Bias: bearish while below 0.5820, but short-term corrective potential toward the upper channel remains.
2️⃣ COT Data (latest available report)
NZD Futures (CME):
Non-commercial: Long +3,044 | Short +6,160 → rising net short exposure.
Commercial: Long +2,869 | Short -286 → commercials remain hedged, confirming structural weakness in NZD.
USD Index: Non-commercials remain net short but are reducing exposure, signaling gradual USD strength.
→ Interpretation: COT data confirms a pro-USD, bearish bias on NZD, consistent with the broader technical trend.
3️⃣ Seasonality
Historically, November is slightly positive for NZD/USD, especially in shorter time frames (5–2 years).
20 years: -0.001
10 years: -0.003
5 years: +0.004
2 years: +0.005
→ Suggesting a short-term recovery phase in early November, followed by renewed weakness later in the month.
4️⃣ Retail Sentiment
Long: 90%
Short: 10%
Average long price: 0.5766
→ The overwhelming long positioning suggests many retail traders are trying to catch a bottom, which raises the risk of further downside pressure in the short term (potential liquidity sweep below 0.56).
5️⃣ Trading Outlook
Overall Bias: bearish with a short-term corrective potential.
Main Scenario:
→ Pullback toward 0.5750–0.5800 (upper supply zone), then likely continuation lower toward 0.5550–0.5500.
Alternative Scenario:
→ A daily close above 0.5820 would invalidate the bearish setup and open room toward 0.5950.
Confluences:
✅ RSI bullish divergence
✅ Short-term positive seasonality
⚠️ Retail extremely long
⚠️ COT bearish for NZD
GBP/JPY – Bearish Continuation Setup | Possible Pullback to 2031️⃣ Technical Context
On the daily chart, GBP/JPY is trading around 201.12, moving inside a descending channel that began in mid-October. Price action has recently tested the lower boundary of the channel and the 200.00–200.70 demand zone, showing a short-term bullish reaction but no confirmed structural reversal yet.
The RSI daily near 30 suggests a potential short-term rebound but no confirmed bullish reversal.
Key Levels
Resistance: 203.50 / 204.50 (upper channel + previous supply)
Support: 200.00 / 199.00 (demand + psychological level)
Technical Bias: Bearish below 203.50; only a daily close above 204.00 would invalidate the bearish setup.
2️⃣ COT Data (stable due to shutdown)
Latest available report:
JPY: Net long positions increased by +14,727 among non-commercials, while commercials remain heavily short (hedging). This indicates a structural strengthening of the Yen.
GBP: Net short positions remain stable (-3,392), with a slight increase in non-commercial longs (+3,704) but not enough to shift sentiment.
→ Interpretation: The COT context confirms a pro-JPY bias and weak GBP outlook, maintaining a bearish fundamental bias for GBP/JPY.
3️⃣ Seasonality
November seasonality shows a negative pattern for GBP/JPY, especially on the 10–20 year horizon.
20-year avg: -0.69%
10-year avg: -1.31%
Only the 2-year cycle shows a mild positive move (+0.88%), suggesting that mid-term seasonality supports bearish pressure until mid-November, followed by a potential technical rebound later in the month.
4️⃣ Retail Sentiment
Short: 64%
Long: 36%
Most retail traders are short, with an average short entry around 195.98, well below the current market price at 201.
→ This means the majority are still in profit, which increases the likelihood of a short-term bullish squeeze before the next downward move resumes.
✅ COT favors JPY strength
✅ Seasonality remains negative for GBP/JPY
✅ Technical structure confirms lower highs
⚠️ Retail positioning suggests possible short-term fakeout to the upside
GBP/JPY remains in a bearish continuation context, consistent with Yen strength and negative seasonality. However, a technical pullback toward 203.00–203.50 is likely before a renewed bearish impulse targeting the 198.50 area.
GBP/USD — The Trap Above 1.32 Before the Real Drop BeginsGBP/USD continues its bearish momentum after rejecting the major supply zone around 1.3450–1.3600.
From a structural perspective, price has formed a clear series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming the bearish continuation setup.
📉 Macro Context:
COT data (delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown) still shows a fragile Pound: non-commercial traders are almost balanced but with a slight reduction in shorts, while commercials remain heavily short. Meanwhile, the Dollar Index COT reveals a growing long positioning — a clear sign of renewed USD strength.
Sentiment: 82% of retail traders are long on GBP/USD → a strong contrarian signal.
Seasonality: November is historically weak for GBP/USD, showing a negative tendency in 10- and 15-year averages.
🔎 Technical Setup:
After a failed attempt to reclaim the 1.33–1.34 range, the pair dropped aggressively.
A short retracement toward 1.3150–1.3200 could serve as a liquidity grab before further downside continuation.
As long as price remains below 1.3270, the bearish bias remains intact.
🎯 Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.3150 – 1.3200
Support: 1.3000, 1.2850, then 1.2750
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.3270
🧩 Bias: Bearish continuation
Gold pauses below resistance — correction before next leg higherGold’s recent rally above 4,300 USD per ounce has stalled as U.S. yields remain elevated and the dollar sustains moderate strength. The slowdown in Core PCE (2.6%) and Q3 GDP (2.2%) revived expectations for a Fed rate cut in early 2026, yet Powell’s message of caution kept the greenback supported.
Meanwhile, real rates remain positive, limiting gold’s upside momentum in the short term. On the geopolitical front, safe-haven flows have softened after last week’s easing in Middle East tensions, prompting some profit-taking from speculative longs. However, persistent macro uncertainty and expectations of a gradual Fed pivot maintain gold’s medium-term bullish foundation.
COT (Commitment of Traders)
The COT reports remain frozen due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown.
The latest available data (Sept 23) showed:
• Non-commercial longs: 332,808 (+6,030)
• Non-commercial shorts: 66,059 (+5,691)
This reflected an accumulation phase with a moderate increase in both sides, but a clear net-long bias from institutional players.
⚠️ Since the data is outdated by over a month, institutional positioning may have shifted following the recent volatility — interpret with caution.
Retail Sentiment
📊 58% long / 42% short → contrarian bearish bias
Retail traders remain moderately long on gold, suggesting room for a short-term pullback before any renewed institutional accumulation phase.
Seasonality
Historically, November tends to show a slightly negative seasonal bias for gold:
•Average change: between –0.4% and –7.5% depending on sample length.
•The pattern often shows a mid-month dip followed by strength into December.
📆 Seasonal view: short-term correction likely in early November before a year-end rally resumes.
Technical Outlook
After a sharp rally in October, XAU/USD has entered a consolidation/distribution phase just below the 4,250–4,300 resistance area.
Scenario principale:
A short-term continuation lower toward 3,950–3,900 remains likely as price retests the daily demand zone.
From there, buyers could re-enter in line with the seasonal recovery expected later in November.
Invalidation: Daily close below 3,850 would invalidate the bullish medium-term structure.
Trading Bias
•Short-term: Bearish → correction toward 3,950–3,900
•Medium-term: Neutral → awaiting confirmation of support reaction
•Long-term: Bullish → supported by macro uncertainty and dovish Fed outlook into 2026
✅ Final View:
Gold is likely to correct further toward 3,950–3,900 before resuming its broader uptrend into December.
Momentum is cooling, but the long-term bullish narrative remains intact as Fed easing expectations build.
USDJPY | Liquidity Sweep Before Year-End RallyUSD/JPY remains structurally bullish within a broad ascending channel that has defined price action since mid-2024. Despite recent pullbacks, momentum remains positive while price trades above the 151.50–152.00 structural support, aligning with the broader macro bias of USD strength and JPY weakness.
1️⃣ Seasonal Bias
Historical data from Market Bulls shows that November tends to favor USD/JPY upside, with an average gain between +0.8% and +1.2% across the 10- to 20-year datasets. This month’s seasonal strength often follows October consolidations, suggesting continuation potential toward year-end highs.
2️⃣ COT Positioning (Commitment of Traders)
USD Index: Non-commercials increased net longs by +1,541, confirming a persistent bullish bias on the USD side.
JPY Futures: Non-commercial traders added a significant +14,727 long positions, but commercial hedging remains heavily long, indicating that institutional demand is more protective than speculative.
The divergence implies temporary JPY strength, but the overall positioning still favors USD dominance in the medium term.
3️⃣ Sentiment Data
Retail traders remain 60% short vs 40% long on USD/JPY, providing a contrarian bullish signal. Historically, retail positioning against trend continuation adds conviction to a potential bullish extension.
4️⃣ Technical Structure (Daily Chart)
Price is consolidating near 153.40, just below the upper boundary of the ascending channel. A short-term pullback toward 152.00–151.50 could act as the liquidity grab zone before continuation.
Support Zone: 152.00 → 151.50
Key Demand Area: 150.50 (aligned with prior daily gap and mid-channel support)
Resistance Zone: 155.50 → 156.00 (upper trendline projection)
RSI: Currently neutral (~52), suggesting there’s still room for upside momentum before reaching overbought conditions.
The market may engineer liquidity below 152 before a bullish reaction targeting 155.50 and potentially the 156.80 macro extension zone by mid-November.
5️⃣ Confluence Summary
✅ Seasonality: Bullish
✅ COT: USD stronger bias vs JPY
✅ Retail Sentiment: Contrarian bullish
✅ Structure: Bullish continuation pattern within channel
⚠️ Short-term Risk: Liquidity sweep below 152
GBPUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.316.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.329 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDCAD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.404.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.407 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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BTCUSDT.P - November 8, 2025BTCUSDT.P is showing potential for a short-term bearish reversal after approaching resistance near the $104,000 zone. A sell short limit is placed at $104,070, targeting a move down toward the $102,088 partial profit zone and the $100,475 profit level.
A sustained move above the $105,875 stop level would invalidate this short setup and indicate renewed upside momentum.
Risk Assessment: Moderate to High — structure leans bearish, but confirmation requires rejection from the $104,000 resistance zone and continuation below $102,000.
ETHEREUM FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅ETHUSD is reacting from a premium supply level after internal liquidity sweep and mitigation of an old imbalance. Expect bearish delivery toward the sell-side liquidity below.
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Entry: 3,457.5$
Stop Loss: 3,502$
Take Profit: 3,400$
Time Frame: 2H
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SHORT🔥
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BITCOIN Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN Smart Money shows reaction from a key supply zone where liquidity was engineered above equal highs. Price is likely to deliver downside targeting sell-side liquidity.
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Stop Loss: 104,822$
Take Profit: 102,778$
Entry Level: 103,763$
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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TRXUSDT.P - November 4, 2025TRXUSDT.P is currently in a corrective phase after a sustained bearish move, with price consolidating around the $0.2840 level. The structure shows a potential for bullish continuation if the market successfully holds above the $0.2813–$0.2807 support zone. Two buy limit areas are identified at $0.2813 and $0.2865, suggesting layered entries for a potential upside move toward the $0.2922–$0.2940 resistance zone.
A confirmed break above $0.2865 would strengthen the bullish outlook and signal a shift in short-term momentum. Conversely, a decisive breakdown below $0.2759 would invalidate the bullish setup and reopen the path toward deeper downside targets near $0.2740.
Risk Assessment: Moderate-to-high risk — price remains within a fragile consolidation phase after a bearish trend. While early signs of accumulation are visible, failure to defend the $0.2800 area could trigger renewed selling pressure before any sustainable reversal develops.
NZDUSD Channel Down forming a Low. Buy Signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the July 01 2025 High and is currently approaching its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line).
Four out of five Lower Lows have rebounded on a Bullish Leg to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. With the 1D RSI also oversold, we expect a new Bullish Leg to start and target yet again the 0.618 Fib at 0.57250.
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AUD-CHF Bearish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUDCHF is rejecting from a confirmed supply area after a liquidity grab and BOS. Expect bearish continuation as smart money targets the next sell-side liquidity zone. Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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GBP-AUD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBPAUD broke structure after a clean liquidity sweep and reclaimed the demand zone. Bullish displacement confirms smart money accumulation targeting external liquidity above. Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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