BITCOIN Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 113,014.13.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 123,340.66 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Signals
GBPCHF Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.071.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.080 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AVAXUSD Channel Up $28 pull-back or break-out to $47??Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up and last Friday hit its top (Higher Highs trend-line).
It is no surprise that the price got rejected and turned sideways there as it also completed a +75% rise from the last Higher Low, which is exactly what the previous Bullish Leg did. That structure eventually pulled back to its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level before pricing the Higher Low.
As a result, we expect a decline towards the 1D MA50, targeting $28.00, as long as the Channel Up doesn't break upwards.
If it does however, we expect an aggressive rally towards the 0.9 Fibonacci level from the previous Top, targeting $47.00.
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Gold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market UpdateGold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market Update
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• This cycle is different: record central-bank buying + renewed ETF inflows + lower real rates = powerful tailwind.
• Price: Gold notched fresh ATHs this month (up to $3,790.82). 2025 is shaping up as the strongest year since the late 1970s.
• Relative: Gold is crushing equities YTD (≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return).
• Setup: A 13-year “cup-and-handle” breakout in 2024 kick-started the move.
• Outlook: Base case from the Street: $3,700 by end-’25 and ~$4,000 by mid-’26; upside to $4,500 if flows accelerate.
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🏆 Historic Gold Bull Markets — Timeline & Stats
1) 1968–1980 “Super Bull”
• Start/End: ~$35 → $850 (Jan 1980)
• Gain: ~2,330%
• Drivers: End of Bretton Woods, oil shocks, double-digit inflation, geopolitical stress.
• Drawdown: ~–45% (1974–1976) before the final blow-off run.
2) 1999–2011/12
• Start/Peak: ~$252 (1999) → ~$1,920 (2011–12)
• Gain: ~650%
• Drivers: Commodities supercycle, EM demand, USD weakness, GFC safe-haven bid.
3) 2016/2018–Present (The “CB-Led” Cycle)
• Start Zone: $1,050–$1,200 → New ATH $3,790 (Sep 2025)
• Gain: ~215–260% (depending on 2016 vs 2018 anchor)
• Drivers: Record central-bank accumulation, sticky inflation/low real rates, geopolitics; 2024 13-yr base breakout.
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📊 At-A-Glance Comparison (Updated 2025)
Metric 1968–80 Super Bull 1999–2012 2016/18–2025 Current
🚀 Total Gain ~2,330% ~650% ~215–260% (so far)
⏲️ Duration 12 yrs 13 yrs 7–9 yrs (ongoing)
💔 Max Drawdown ~–45% (’74–’76) ~–30% (’08) ~–20% (2022)
🏦 Main Buyer Retail/Europe Funds/EM Central Banks (dominant)
🏛️ Pattern Secular parabolic Cyclical ramps 13-yr base → breakout (’24)
Notes: current cycle characteristics validated by WGC demand trends & technical breakout in Mar 2024.
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📈 Top 10 Stats of the Current Bull (2025)
1. Price & ATHs: Spot $3,75–$3,79k; fresh ATH $3,790.82 on Sep 23, 2025.
2. 2025 YTD: Roughly +40–43% YTD (best since the late ’70s).
3. Central Banks: 1,045 t added in 2024 (3rd straight 1k+ year). H1’25 ≈ 415 t (still elevated).
4. ETF Flows: Strongest half-year inflows since 2020, aiding the surge.
5. Gold vs Equities: Gold ≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return YTD.
6. Jewelry Demand: Price strength is crimping tonnage (2024 down ~11%; Q2’25 –14% y/y), even as value hits records.
7. Gold–Silver Ratio: Now around ~85–88 (silver catching up as it pushes $43–$44).
8. Macro Link: Strong safe-haven bid + rate-cut hopes supporting new highs.
9. Technical: Confirmed cup-and-handle breakout (Mar ’24) underpinning trend.
10. Street Forecasts: DB lifts 2026 to $4,000; GS baseline $4,000 by mid-’26, upside $4,500 with bigger private-investor rotation.
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🔄 What Makes This Bull Different (2025 Edition)
• 🏦 Central-Bank Dominance — Official sector is the anchor buyer (3rd straight 1k+ tonne year in 2024; 2025 tracking strong despite Q2 deceleration).
• ⚡ Faster Recoveries — Pullbacks have been shallower and shorter vs the 1970s analog.
• 📈 Coexisting With Risk Assets — Rare combo: gold ATHs with equities up YTD suggests a macro hedge bid alongside optimism in select risk assets.
• 📐 Structural Breakout — The 13-year base cleared in 2024 set multi-year targets.
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🎯 Strategy Ideas (2025 & Beyond)
Core
• Buy/Hold on Dips: Stagger entries (DCA) into physical (allocated), ETFs (e.g., GLD/IAU), and quality miners/royalties.
• Prefer Physical/Allocated where counterparty risk matters; use ETFs for liquidity.
Satellite/Leverage
• Silver & GSR Mean-Reversion: With the GSR ~85–88, silver historically offers torque in up-legs. Pair with high-quality silver miners.
• Factor Tilt in Miners: Focus on low AISC, strong balance sheets, growing reserves, and jurisdictions with rule-of-law.
Risk-Management
• Define max drawdown tolerance per sleeve; pre-plan trims near parabolic extensions or if macro invalidates (e.g., real-yield spike).
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🧪 Reality Check: What Could Invalidate the Bull?
• Real yields + USD rip higher (sustained), dampening non-yielding assets.
• Sharp halt in official-sector buying (e.g., policy shifts).
• Rapid growth re-acceleration reducing safe-haven & rate-cut expectations.
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🧭 Quick Reference Tables
🧾 Summary: Historic vs Current
Feature 1968–80 1999–2012 2016/18–2025
Total Gain ~2,330% ~650% ~215–260%
Duration 12 yrs 13 yrs 7–9 yrs (ongoing)
Correction ~–45% ~–30% ~–20% (’22)
Main Buyer Retail/Europe Funds/EM Central Banks
Pattern Parabolic Cyclical Cup & Handle → Secular
🧩 “If-This-Then-That” Playbook
• If real yields fall & CB buying persists → Ride trend / add on consolidations.
• If USD + real yields jump → Trim beta, keep core hedge.
• If GSR stays >80 with silver momentum → Overweight silver sleeve for torque.
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🧠 Outside-the-Box Adds
💼 Role in a Portfolio (example frameworks)
• Resilience sleeve (5–10%): Physical + broad ETF.
• Offense sleeve (2–5%): Quality miners/royalties; optional silver tilt.
• Tactical (0–3%): Trend-following overlay (breakouts/consolidations).
🧭 Decision Checkpoints (quarterly)
• Central-bank net purchases (WGC).
• ETF flows (Western markets).
• Real yields (10y TIPS), USD trend, and GSR.
________________________________________
🔚 Key Takeaways (Updated)
• Relentless official-sector demand + technical breakout are the twin pillars of this cycle.
• Macro mix (policy easing expectations, geopolitics, diversification from USD reserves) supports an extended run.
• Base case: Street sees $3.7k by end-’25 and ~$4k by mid-’26, with upside to $4.5k if private capital rotation accelerates. Manage risk; embrace volatility.
SIGNAL 1 - SET UP TRADE I SEP/24/2025SET UP TRADE 24/09/2025
🕯BUY GOLD: 3763– 3765
⚠️SL: 3760
✔️TP: 3770→ 3774→ 3778
The information and figures in this chart are provided for informational purposes only. We do not guarantee absolute accuracy and shall not be held legally liable for any damages arising from the use of this chart.
Lingrid | GOLD Rally Targeting $3800 Resistance Level ?The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is pressing higher after breaking out of its consolidation channel and reclaiming the 3750 level. The market structure is supported by an upward trendline with successive higher highs confirming bullish momentum. As long as price holds above 3728, a push toward the 3800 resistance zone remains likely. The broader trend continues to favor buyers with gold eyeing new all-time highs.
⚠️ Risks:
A drop back below 3728 would weaken the breakout and open the way for a retest of 3700 support.
Stronger USD from Fed Chair Powell comments could cap upside momentum.
Profit-taking near the 3800 psychological level may trigger short-term volatility.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | USDCAD Short at Resistance Following Rejection SignalThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:USDCAD rebounded strongly from the double bottom around 1.3700 and is now climbing within an upward channel. The structure shows lower highs capped by the red resistance trendline, while buyers attempt to sustain momentum toward 1.3868–1.3924 resistance. If price fails to break and hold above 1.3868, a rejection could send it back toward 1.3800 support. Broader context suggests a corrective upswing inside a larger resistance zone where sellers remain active.
⚠️ Risks:
A clean breakout above 1.3924 would invalidate the sell bias and extend the bullish leg.
Strong USD momentum from macroeconomic data could fuel further upside.
Failure of the 1.3800 support could trigger deeper volatility spikes.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | AVAXUSDT Trend Resumption Pattern Building ?The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . BINANCE:AVAXUSDT rebounded from the upward trendline after rejecting support near 33.20, reclaiming bullish structure. Price action shows an earlier impulse leg followed by a corrective move and a fake break before price regained momentum. As long as price sustains above 33.00, buyers may push toward the 37.00 resistance zone and higher. Overall, momentum favors continuation higher with the upward trendline acting as dynamic support.
⚠️ Risks:
Failure to hold above 33.00 could trigger a deeper retracement toward 30.50 support.
Broader market weakness or risk-off sentiment could weigh on bullish follow-through.
A strong rejection near 37.00 may signal exhaustion and invite profit-taking.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD has all-round support, Fed, geopoliticsOn September 23, the OANDA:XAUUSD market experienced a “roller coaster”: initially soaring to a record $3,791/ounce in the European session, then cooling significantly when the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke. However, gold still closed higher than at the beginning of the day, showing that the big uptrend has not been shaken.
As of the time of writing, gold has adjusted down slightly to $3,754/oz, equivalent to a decrease of 0.25% and about $10 on the day.
What keeps gold “shining”?
• Fed monetary policy: Powell stressed that the Fed must balance high inflation with a weakening job market. The Fed cut interest rates last week and the FedWatch tool shows a nearly 90% chance of further cuts in October. Lower interest rates make gold more attractive than bonds or savings.
• Fed view: While Powell has been cautious, other officials such as Bowman have warned that the Fed may be “slowing down” and need to cut interest rates faster if the economy worsens. This further reinforces expectations that gold will benefit.
• Hot geopolitics: NATO accused Russia of repeatedly violating the airspace of member countries, while Russia-Ukraine tensions were further complicated by the latest statement from former President Donald Trump. After meeting with President Zelensky, Trump unexpectedly strongly supported the possibility of Ukraine regaining all of its territory. This escalation of tensions has caused a sharp increase in safe-haven demand for gold.
• Market demand: Commerzbank pointed out that in addition to interest rates, factors such as ETF capital flows, doubts about the independence of the Fed and global political risks are simultaneously pushing up gold prices.
Fundamental Outlook:
Investors are focusing on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, due later this week. If inflation continues to run hot, the Fed may be more cautious, but the pressure of US public debt and international instability remains a “golden support” for the price of this precious metal.
Since the beginning of the year, gold prices have increased by nearly 40%, the strongest pace since the late 1970s. With low interest rates, political risks and increased demand for shelter, the general trend still favors gold to maintain its “halo”.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
• Main trend:
Gold price is still in the uptrend channel, each correction to the lower edge bounces up → buyers are in control.
• MA line:
Price is firmly above the EMA21 line, and the EMA21 is still pointing up → confirming the uptrend. The EMA plays a quite effective dynamic support role.
• Important support:
o Nearby: 3,720 – 3,738 USD (Fibo 0.236 zone + lower channel edge).
o Stronger support: around 3,628 USD (Fibo 0 bottom).
• Resistance – target above:
o Nearby: 3,779 – 3,791 USD (Fibo 0.382 + previous candle high).
o Next target: 3,825 USD (Fibo 0.5) → 3,872 USD (Fibo 0.618). If the breakout is successful, the possibility of advancing to the 3,939 USD zone is still open.
• RSI & momentum:
RSI is high, but has not yet fallen into extreme overbought. Momentum shows that there is still momentum, but there may be a pause (small pullback) before continuing to increase.
• Candlestick structure:
Recent candles have small bodies, narrow fluctuations → signs of market accumulation around the top. If the breakout is accompanied by liquidity, the possibility of further increase is very high.
The current gold trend is still inclined to increase. As long as the price stays above the support zone of 3,720 - 3,738 USD, the prospect of conquering the 3,779 - 3,825 - 3,872 USD marks is completely feasible.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3826 - 3824⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3830
→Take Profit 1 3818
↨
→Take Profit 2 3812
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3728 - 3730⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3724
→Take Profit 1 3736
↨
→Take Profit 2 3742
AUD/USD: Mild Uptrend and Key Levels to WatchHello everyone,
AUD/USD is currently maintaining a mild uptrend after breaking above 0.6590 and holding steady above 0.6600. On the chart, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) appear as imbalances in price, which could act as areas where the market may revisit before resuming the trend.
From a technical standpoint, price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting that the bullish bias remains intact. When price stays above the cloud, the market typically continues higher, with the cloud acting as dynamic support during pullbacks. Immediate support is seen at 0.6600 and 0.6580, while nearby resistance sits at 0.6620–0.6630. A breakout above this zone could open the way towards 0.6650 and potentially 0.6700. Trading volume has also increased during upward moves, signalling that buying momentum is still dominant.
On the news side, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) recently kept interest rates unchanged, though markets anticipate potential adjustments in the coming months. This remains a key driver for the AUD. Meanwhile, US CPI data and the Federal Reserve’s policy stance are still the primary factors shaping USD direction. In addition, global economic conditions and trade tensions could contribute to further volatility in this pair.
Given the current picture, the preferred scenario is still to the upside. If AUD/USD breaks above 0.6630, the next targets could be 0.6650 and 0.6700. On the other hand, if price pulls back to test 0.6600–0.6580, it could provide a solid buying opportunity as long as supportive factors remain in place.
Wishing you successful trades and effective risk management!
NATGAS Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS is making a bullish
Correction move, but a horizontal
Resistance area is ahead
Around 2.890$ and after
The retest a local bearish
Pullback is to be expected
So we will be able to enter
A following short trade:
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Stop Loss: 2.907
Take Profit: 2.822
Entry: 2.872
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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NZD_JPY FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅NZD_JPY is going down currently
As the pair broke the key structure level around 86.600
Which is now a resistance, so we are bearish
Biased and therefore we can enter a following short trade:
Entry: 86.500
Stop Loss: 86.700
Take Profit: 86.100
SHORT🔥
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BITCOIN The hidden pivot of the Bollinger Bands (140k or 100k?).Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is testing again the basis (black trend-line) of the 1W Bollinger Bands (BB), just 3 weeks after it held and initiated a rebound.
On this chart you can see that since July 2023, every time BTC closed a 1W candle below the BB basis level, the price pulled-back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and then rebounded. That is its ultimate long-term Support so far.
As a result, all eyes should be on this week's closing. Below the BB basis, we should most likely seek the 1W MA50 a little above the $100000 mark. Ideally, it should coincide with a 1W RSI Support Zone test (holding since September 2023).
If the BB basis holds though, we should extend the BB top within the $130-140k Zone.
What do you think will come first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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AMAZON Has it found a bottom?Amazon Inc. (AMZN) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and is currently pulling back on a Bearish Leg. The 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is just below and last time a similar Channel Up found support on it (May 31 2024), it rebounded for a -0.382 Fibonacci extension top.
As you can see, both patterns are identical, even making their first Higher Lows on their respective 0.618 Fib. Even their 1D RSI fractals are similar and right now we are headed of the 2nd Low (green circle).
As a result, we expect a bullish reversal there, targeting a little under $250 (Fib -0.382 ext).
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/09/2025 – Evening UpdGold is trading around 3,775–3,776, consolidating just below intraday resistance after hitting a session high of 3,791. Momentum is still bullish on higher timeframes, but intraday signals show indecision as price rotates between support and resistance zones.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily (D1):
• Trend remains bullish, holding well above the 21 EMA (3,722) and 50 EMA (3,652).
• Structure: Higher highs and higher lows intact.
• Resistance: 3,786–3,791 zone is key supply.
• Support: 3,752–3,745 intraday demand zone.
1H Chart:
• Price is consolidating under 3,786 resistance.
• EMA cluster at 3,768–3,760 acting as immediate support.
• MACD: Bullish histogram fading – showing slowing momentum.
• RSI hovering ~60, neutral but not overbought.
15M Chart:
• Price is ranging between 3,779–3,770.
• Support at 3,770–3,767 holding so far.
• Repeated rejection at 3,779–3,782 signals short-term supply.
• Structure: Sideways, waiting for breakout.
5M Chart:
• Price action chopping between 3,782 resistance and 3,770–3,767 support.
• MACD flatlining, RSI neutral – confirming range conditions.
⸻
🟡 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Using the latest swing low (3,741) to high (3,791):
• 38.2% Fib = 3,772
• 50% Fib = 3,766
• 61.8% Fib = 3,760
➡️ The golden zone is 3,772–3,760, a high-probability demand zone for bullish continuation if retested.
⸻
⚖ High-Probability Entries
Buy Setup (preferred while above 3,760):
• Entry: 3,772–3,760 (Fib zone)
• SL: 3,754 (≈60 pips from 3,760)
• TP: 3,782 → 3,791 → 3,800
Sell Setup (only if rejection holds at resistance):
• Entry: 3,786–3,791 rejection
• SL: 3,797 (≈60 pips from 3,791)
• TP: 3,772 → 3,766 → 3,760
⸻
⚡ Scalping Opportunities (M5 & M15 focus, ≤60 pips SL)
• Buy scalp: 3,767–3,760 → TP 3,775–3,780 (SL 3,754)
• Sell scalp: 3,786–3,791 → TP 3,775–3,770 (SL 3,797)
⸻
📅 Key Breakout Levels
• Bullish continuation: Break & hold above 3,791 → unlocks 3,800–3,808.
• Bearish retracement: Break & hold below 3,760 → exposes 3,752 → 3,741.
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating below 3,791 resistance, with the Fib golden zone (3,772–3,760) acting as intraday demand. Bias remains bullish while above 3,760, but sellers may defend 3,786–3,791. Scalpers can trade between the Fib zone and resistance until a breakout defines the next leg.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team
EUR-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Already making a nice
Rebound from the horizontal
Support level of 173.800
So we are bullish biased and
A further bullish move up
Is to be expected
Buy!
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EUR-GBP Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Going down to retest
The horizontal support
Around 0.8709 so after
The retest we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.