EURUSD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.185.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.181 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Signals
GBPJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 199.845.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 199.284 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPCHF Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.073.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.077.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD price exceeds 3,700 USD, market waits for Fed decisionThe spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD has officially surpassed the $3,700/ounce mark, setting a new record. The main reason comes from the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this week. In addition, news that the Trump administration is considering imposing additional tariffs on imported auto parts has further boosted gold's status as a safe haven.
Current context: the global economy remains unstable, geopolitical tensions have not cooled down. The US dollar is weakening, falling to its lowest level since July, making gold more attractive. However, some investors have taken advantage of the opportunity to take profits ahead of the important Fed meeting on Wednesday.
Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by more than 40% thanks to:
• The risk of a trade war, especially from US tax policy.
• Demand for gold from central banks, especially in emerging markets.
• A weak dollar and the possibility of further interest rate cuts.
According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut by 25 basis points, although there is still a (small) chance that the Fed will cut by 50 basis points.
Personally, I will continue to lean towards the upward trend of gold prices since the beginning of this year because gold has benefited from the low interest rate environment, making gold – which does not yield – more attractive. In addition, with President Trump publicly urging the Fed to “loosen aggressively”, the market is expecting a series of new interest rate cuts to be opened in the near future.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold briefly crossed the $3,700 mark in yesterday's US session, but then pulled back slightly.
Currently, the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level is the nearest support level, if the recovery from this $3,677 support level brings gold back to work above the $3,700 base point, this will be the most suitable condition for a new continued bullish cycle, and the target then is around $3,722 in the short term.
The 3,722 USD level is the price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, in which the signal for a possible correction to the downside has not appeared in terms of momentum.
The RSI maintains its activity in the overbought area, but it is mostly moving sideways in this area, indicating that the market forces (profit taking/selling) are insignificant. A momentum signal for a possible correction to the downside is the RSI folding down below the 80 mark with a significant slope.
In case gold is sold below the 3,677 USD mark, it may fall further to retest the 3,645 USD mark, but the trend and the main bullish conditions will remain unchanged.
Finally, the bullish trend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,677 – 3,645 USD
Resistance: 3,700 – 3,722 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3729 - 3727⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3735
→Take Profit 1 3721
↨
→Take Profit 2 3715
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3653 - 3655⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3649
→Take Profit 1 3661
↨
→Take Profit 2 3667
GOLD hits new all-time high, watch out for FedOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise sharply, renewing all-time highs, currently trading around 3,678 USD/oz. Gold rose thanks to the weak Dollar and US Treasury yields. In addition, there was new news about Trump's tariffs. The US plans to add steel and aluminum derivatives to the tariff list. Trade uncertainty has contributed to the increase in gold prices.
The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY fell 0.3% on Monday and is now down another 0.11% at 97.235, hitting a one-week low, and the 10-year Treasury yield also weakened, reflecting that investors are preparing for a possible rate cut ahead of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated meeting this week. The weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more attractive because of the inverse correlation between the two assets.
Regarding Trump's tariffs, according to a notice issued by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Monday, the U.S. Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) has established a process to include additional steel and aluminum derivatives in the tariff scope authorized by President Trump under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. The notice said the filing period for the September 2025 period has begun. The filing period will begin on September 15, 2025, and end at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on September 29, 2025.
Traders are gearing up for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting on September 16-17. Expectations for a rate cut are high, and as a result, US Treasury yields fell sharply on Monday. Gold prices are reflecting the restart of the Fed's easing cycle amid mixed data. Inflation remains high, but a revised jobs report last Tuesday showed that job growth from April 2024 to March 2025 was overestimated by 911,000, raising concerns about a labor market downturn.
As a result, last week’s data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s abrupt change of heart at the Jackson Hole symposium in late August have opened the door to a 25 basis point rate cut. However, few still expect the Fed to cut by 50 basis points.
Along with their decision, Fed officials will also release their latest economic projections and a “dot plot” of interest rates, in which the committee charts the future path of the federal funds rate.
Investors will be watching U.S. retail sales data on Tuesday ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Wednesday, which could shape gold’s price direction ahead of the Fed’s decision.
Focus on Federal Reserve Decision
The Federal Reserve will meet this week under unusually heavy pressure as US President Trump seeks greater influence over monetary policy and the Senate clears a seat for White House economic adviser Milan to join the rate-setting committee in time for a vote at its policy meeting on Wednesday.
On Monday, Trump tweeted that he was calling on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to cut the benchmark interest rate “much more aggressively,” and hinted at the need for more aggressive monetary easing, citing the housing market as an example. This came just ahead of this week’s Fed meeting.
Traders have fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and see a 5% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s (CME) FedWatch tool.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to renew its all-time high, surpassing the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level noted by readers in the previous issue. And now, it is likely to continue towards the full price level of $3,700 with all the technical indicators in place.
The RSI is operating in the overbought area (80-100) but has not shown any signal for a possible price decrease, a signal for a corrective price decrease is when the RSI bends down below 80. Therefore, in terms of momentum, gold remains very resilient.
The short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel, while the main support is from the EMA21.
As long as gold remains above the raw price point of $3,600, the main technical outlook in the short-term is bullish, the dips should only be viewed as a short-term correction or a new buying opportunity.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted again by the following positions.
Support: $3,677 – $3,645
Resistance: $3,700 – $3,722
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3699 - 3697⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3703
→Take Profit 1 3691
↨
→Take Profit 2 3685
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3645 - 3647⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3641
→Take Profit 1 3653
↨
→Take Profit 2 3659
is forming a Double Top pattern1. Technical pattern
The gold chart (XAU/USD, H1 frame) is showing a Double Top pattern (2 peaks) - this is a classic bearish reversal pattern.
After creating 2 peaks around the 3,700 area, the price has turned down to the support area.
2. Important areas
Short-term resistance: around 3,695 - 3,705 (old peak).
Nearby support: 3,670 - 3,675 area (blue box). This is the neckline of the Double Top pattern.
Next strong support: 3,630 - 3,640 area (red box). This is the area where the price has maintained the previous uptrend.
3. Price scenario
If the price maintains the blue box (does not break the neckline) → it can bounce back to test the 3,695 - 3,705 area.
If the price breaks through the green box with strong volume → confirms the completion of the Double Top pattern, it is likely to fall to the red box 3,630 - 3,640.
The short-term trend is leaning towards bearish (down) due to the appearance of a reversal pattern.
4. Trading suggestions
Sell when the price clearly breaks through 3,670 - 3,675.
Take profit around 3,630 - 3,640.
Stop loss above the nearest peak 3,705 to limit risk.
👉 Summary: This chart is leaning towards a bearish scenario. Neckline 3,670 - 3,675 is the key to confirm the Double Top pattern.
SELL setup following the short-term bearish trend, with entry ar1. Technical Pattern
The market is forming a Double Top pattern around the 3,700 level.
After breaking the neckline (previous support, now turned resistance, marked in blue), the price is retesting this area.
This confirms a potential bearish continuation.
2. Support & Resistance
Key Resistance: 3,690 – 3,705 (neckline area after the breakdown).
Near-term Support: 3,670 (current retest zone).
Major Support: 3,615 – 3,625 (red zone below, aligning with previous lows and accumulation area).
3. Price Scenarios
If the price fails to break above 3,690 – 3,705, there is a high probability of dropping toward 3,620 – 3,625.
On the other hand, if the price closes above 3,705 on H1/H4, the bearish setup fails, and the market could resume its bullish trend.
4. Trading Implication
This is a SELL setup following the short-term bearish trend, with entry around 3,685 – 3,695.
Target: 3,620 – 3,625.
Stop Loss: above 3,710 (to avoid a false breakout).
Gold Bulls Walking on Thin Ice1. Yesterday’s action
In yesterday’s analysis I said that although the chart looks bullish, Gold bulls should be very careful. After all, price had already climbed 4,000 pips in less than a month, and such complacency usually doesn’t end well.
During yesterday’s session, XAUUSD spiked above 3700, quickly reversed, and touched the newly formed support at 3675. From there, price attempted another push higher. Now we are once again back at support.
2. Key question
Will the 3670 zone hold, or are bulls about to lose control of the market?
3. Why caution is needed
• The chart is still bullish overall, but the structure is becoming increasingly concerning.
• If bulls lose the 3670 zone, I don’t expect a quick rebound from 3650.
• Instead, the market is more likely to continue lower, with at least a move toward 3620.
4. Trading plan
• From my perspective, buying here is very risky, even riskier than selling.
• I remain out of the market, waiting for a GOOD entry to sell.
• My target is a 700–1000 pip as usual, which I believe will come to the downside, not the upside.
5. Conclusion
Gold’s chart may still look bullish, but risk is shifting quickly. Chasing longs here could be dangerous — patience and discipline are key until the right sell opportunity appears 🚀
NZDUSD: A Slow Pair, but a Clear Setup1. What happened before
Although NZDUSD has been a very slow mover lately, the pair remains highly technical. Looking back, the broader downtrend started in 2014, with the decline visible on the chart since 2021. The most recent leg down began exactly one year ago and ended in April at 0.55 – a level that coincided with both the pandemic low and the October 2022 bottom.
2. Key question
Has NZDUSD finally built a foundation for a bullish continuation, or will the market remain trapped in its slow range?
3. Why upside continuation looks possible
• The rebound from April low reached 0.61 resistance before pulling back.
• Importantly, the pullback stopped at 0.58, forming a higher low and aligning with an old support.
• The new rise that followed confirms strong demand at 0.58, suggesting momentum may continue to the upside.
4. Trading plan
• The pair is bullish above 0.58.
• First upside target: 0.61 resistance.
• Longer-term soft target: 0.64.
• Patience is required – NZDUSD is a slow pair, and such a move needs time to develop.
5. Conclusion
NZDUSD might not be the fastest market, but its technical precision makes it worth watching. Above 0.58, the bias stays bullish, with the market slowly but surely building a case for higher levels 🚀
EURUSD: Maintaining Uptrend Ahead of FOMCHello everyone,
Observing the H1 chart, EURUSD continues its higher-low sequence since 13/9 and has just reclaimed the 1.1765–1.1770 zone with improved liquidity. The price is moving above the Ichimoku cloud upward, indicating buying pressure remains dominant. Short-term support lies around 1.1760–1.1750, with deeper support at 1.1740–1.1725, acting as a “step ladder” if the market experiences pullbacks. On the upside, near-term resistance sits at 1.1785–1.1800; breaking above this could open the way to 1.1820, the previous consolidation high.
The most notable event this week is the FOMC, including the rate decision, dot-plot, and Powell’s comments. A dovish tone could ease USD and yields, paving the way for EURUSD to break past 1.1800. Conversely, hawkish signals might trigger a pullback toward 1.1740–1.1725. Additionally, US data such as Retail Sales, Jobless Claims, and Philly Fed, along with European releases including ZEW, final CPI, and ECB comments, could reinforce either scenario. Overall, the trend leans toward accumulating above 1.1750–1.1740 to test 1.1800/1.1820, but traders should remain cautious of strong two-way volatility around the FOMC.
What are your thoughts on this view? Comment below!
Ethereum: Breakout or Pullback After FOMC?Hello everyone, let’s take a look at ETH together! 🚀
On the H4 chart, ETH has paused after its surge to 4.8k, consolidating between 4.45k–4.62k while staying above the rising Ichimoku cloud – a sign the medium-term trend remains strong. The latest dip came with lighter volume, suggesting profit-taking rather than a full reversal. Key supports lie at 4.47k–4.45k, then deeper at 4.41k–4.39k and 4.35k–4.33k. On the upside, 4.58k–4.62k is the major resistance zone; if cleared, ETH could head toward 4.70k–4.80k. As long as the price holds above 4.41k, this remains an accumulation phase within the uptrend.
The spotlight this week is on the FOMC. A dovish Fed could cool USD and yields, lifting risk assets and giving ETH the push it needs to break past 4.62k. A hawkish outcome, however, might trigger a retest of 4.47k–4.41k to gauge demand. ETF flows and on-chain activity also matter: strong inflows would support recovery, while outflows could pressure supports. Overall, bias stays bullish, but the decisive move hinges on the FOMC – the switch that may set ETH’s next direction.
What’s your take on ETH’s setup? Share your view!
USD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level around 146.279
And we are already seeing
A local bullish reaction so
A further bullish correction
Is to be expected
Buy!
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GBP_USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅GBP_USD made a retest
Of the strong horizontal
Resistance level of 1.3684
And as you can see the pair is already
Making a local pullback from
The level which sends a clear
Bearish signal to us therefore
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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BITCOIN 1W Stoch RSI completed a Bullish Cross. Expect new ATH.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just completed a Bullish Cross on its 1W STOCH RSI and that's the first time it does so since April 07 2025. That was as we know, the previous market bottom of the Trade War correction.
In fact, every 1W STOCH RSI Bullish Cross has been a buy signal within this Bull Cycle's Channel Up (since November 2022), most of which huge. The April 2025 Bullish Leg rose by +65.92% and that has been the 'weakest' one of this Channel Up.
As a result, if we get the bear minimum of +65.92% this time around too, expect a new High around $175000, which should be the Cycle Top and in our opinion the absolute maximum that this Cycle can give.
Do you think we will go that high? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Short Update - First Entry Point Hit Hi all, we have hit the first entry level on this trade idea again, and I will provide you with updated numbers.
First of all - to those asking “why” this would happen - please see my related idea on DXY as well as Blackrock.
For those asking “how” it’s possible, please see my tutorial on drawing heatmaps and understanding how bitcoin moves.
For those following my ideas, I explain order block analysis, my theory on how Bitcoin moves, and here we have a trading plan compiling it all together.
In theory, these drops should happen very quickly - as I explain the technicals of it in the order block tutorials.
Entry - 116,300 to 116,800
Stop Loss - (Can be lowered to 118,000)
Targets:
1) 90,000
2) 62,000
3) 38,000
After the third target we will likely rise to 86,000-88,000 area - however the short may be held all the way to 8,000.
88,000 is a major bearish trendline - I expect this will break, we will form a 3 wave corrective pattern and rise back up to retest this level.
4) 20,000 (Potential bottom 18,000)
5) 10,000
God speed and happy trading.
Lingrid | EURUSD Trend Extension: Continuation OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD is trading inside its upward channel, maintaining a sequence of higher lows that confirm bullish structure. Price is currently hovering above the 1.1695–1.1700 support zone, with the upward trendline acting as a critical base for continuation. A successful defense here could trigger a rally toward 1.1805 and potentially the 1.1850 resistance area. However, repeated failures to sustain momentum above mid-channel levels show that buyers face strong resistance overhead. The broader setup still favors upside as long as 1.1690 holds firm.
💡 Risks:
A breakdown below 1.1690 would invalidate the bullish channel and expose downside toward 1.1560.
Stronger US economic data or hawkish Fed commentary could boost USD, pressuring EURUSD lower.
Weakness in eurozone fundamentals could limit buying strength and stall continuation attempts.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
US30: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 45,713.96 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 45,654.62 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,689.81 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 42.715 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 42.879.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.18364 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.18685.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NASDAQ | H1 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
I’m watching the Cash100 for a potential double top that could set up a short opportunity. Price is currently making higher highs while RSI is making lower lows — a clear sign of weakening buying momentum, also known as negative RSI divergence.
As further confluence, we have the FOMC tomorrow, and markets often prefer to de-risk ahead of such events. Also, there is a rising wedge on the S&P500 on the hourly chart and the chance that there is also a potential double top on the 30min timeframe.
✅ Conditions before entry:
- 30min candle must close within the range and at the correct level
- The closing candle must meet my required closure rate
- Ideally, volume should be lower (though I’ll allow an exception given it will be the U.S open)
- RSI should confirm with another divergence
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 2.9
Entry: 24,385.1
Stop Loss: 24,418.6
Take Profit 1 (50%): 24,290
Take Profit 2 (50%): 24,271
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patterns like double tops are powerful, but they’re strongest when combined with momentum divergence. Always confirm multiple factors before entering.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for the next update and feel free to share your thoughts below — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.