XAGUSD Overextended: Watching 40.50 NecklineIn the past months I argued that Silver should rise and reach 40, and the market not only achieved that but even exceeded the level, printing a high at 41.50.
However, just like Gold, this move looks overextended and vulnerable to correction.
📌 Technically, price has tapped 41.50 twice. While it cannot yet be called a confirmed double top, the possibility exists. The neckline of this potential pattern is at 40.50.
• A break below 40.50 could trigger a deeper correction.
• First target: under 40, toward the 39 technical support zone.
🔑 Trading Plan: I remain cautious at these levels.
If 40.50 gives way, I will look for shorts targeting the 39 area. Counter-trend trades carry very high risk, but the setup is worth monitoring. 🚀
Silveranalysis
Silver Price Retreats from a 14-Year HighSilver Price Retreats from a 14-Year High
As the XAG/USD chart shows, yesterday silver climbed above $41.40 per ounce. The last time silver traded at this level was in September 2011. The rise in XAG/USD was supported by gold surging to a record high, which we reported yesterday.
Furthermore, Goldman Sachs analysts have issued a gold price forecast for mid-2026, according to which XAU/USD could rise to:
→ $4,000 under the base case;
→ $5,000 if 1% of the private US Treasury market flows into gold. This scenario would imply a loss of Federal Reserve independence, higher inflation, and the US dollar weakening as a so-called reserve currency.
Technical Analysis of XAG/USD
Analysing XAG/USD fluctuations, we can identify two ascending channels:
→ Medium-term (shown in blue): in play since early summer;
→ Short-term (shown in purple): reflecting increased demand over the past two weeks.
Within this context, it is evident that silver has encountered a resistance cluster formed by the upper boundaries of these channels. For short- and medium-term traders, this suggests that XAG/USD may be considered overvalued → potentially triggering a wave of profit-taking on long positions.
Signs of demand exhaustion include:
→ A bearish divergence on the RSI indicator;
→ The aggressive decline from the upper channel boundary (highlighted by the orange arrow).
Bulls may find support at the median line and lower boundary of the purple channel.
Given the above, we might assume that the purple channel could still sustain silver’s upward momentum by inertia. At the same time, the formation of a bearish reversal pattern (e.g. a double top) near the upper blue boundary could occur, followed by a correction towards the psychological $40 level (where a buyer imbalance was previously observed).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Silver Daily Analysis- Silver continues to ride its bullish momentum within an ascending channel formation.
- It is supported by dovish expectations from the Fed.
- The market has already started pricing in the September rate cuts, which weakens the dollar and provides a tailwind for precious metals.
- The Fib Extension 1.272 (41.32) is acting as a crucial immediate hurdle for bulls.
- Prices have also entered the overbought zone
- testing upper Bollinger band &
- above 70 level of RSI
- Both signaling minor corrections
- However, a clean break and sustained close above Fib Extension 1.272 level will likely fuel further upside momentum.
- On the upside, the next milestone sits near $44.0, aligning with historical resistance and the extended Fib projections.
Risk Factors:
* Failure to sustain above the 1.272 extension (41.32) could trigger profit-taking.
* A retest of the lower trend line of the channel near 39.5 or the middle Bollinger band near 38.5 could be witnessed
Short-term pullbacks are possible, but the broader bias remains bullish as long as the Fed maintains its rate-cut trajectory.
Silver XAGUSD Overextended With Range-Bound Price Action🥈 XAGUSD (Silver) is overextended in my view 📈. Price has recently pushed into new highs 🔼 and is now moving sideways in a range 📊—often a sign that larger entities 💼 may be working their orders.
⚖️ This could be a form of distribution, as silver has moved into a zone of thin liquidity 🌊. To facilitate bigger positions, institutions may need to generate liquidity by keeping price sideways ⏸️ before the next move.
📉 My current bias is for a retracement back into equilibrium ⚖️ and towards an unresolved bullish imbalance 🔍 that remains below.
⚠️ This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice 📚
XAG/USD Market Robbery Plan – Entry, SL, and Escape Route💎 XAG/USD Silver vs U.S Dollar Heist Plan (Swing/Scalping Trade) 💰🚀
🌟Hello Money Makers, Robbers & Thief OG’s🌟
The vault is open… and this time it’s SILVER (XAG/USD)! ⚡
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s the robbery blueprint:
📈 Entry (The Break-In):
The thief doesn’t wait at the door… we layer in quietly. Place multiple buy limit orders at:
(39.900)
(39.700)
(39.500)
(Feel free to add more layers if you want to expand the robbery bag 🏦).
Any pullback = our silent entry.
🛑 Stop Loss (Thief Escape Route):
This is Thief SL @38.700.
But remember, dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), adjust SL according to your own risk appetite & position size.
🎯 Target (The Police Barricade 🚓):
Police waiting heavy at 42.000 – so don’t get caught!
Our escape van target is set @ 41.000 💰.
Grab the loot and vanish before the chase starts! 🏃♂️💨
💎 Thief Notes:
Silver shines but can trap greedy robbers. Always layer in wisely, manage risk, and respect the Thief Code.
⚠️ Trading Alert:
Beware of sudden news explosions 📢 – they trigger alarms in the market vault! Use trailing SL if the loot gets heavy.
🔥💵 Support our robbery squad 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 to fuel the getaway car 🚘💨.
Every like = more strength for our crew. Stay sharp, stay stealthy, and keep robbing the market with Thief Trader Style! 🏆🥷💰
#SilverHeist #XAGUSD #ForexThief #SwingTrade #ScalpingPlan #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader #MarketRobbery #BullishSilver #SmartTrading
Silver - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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SILVER TO $750 IN THE NEXT DECADE ?This has to be the biggest Cup & Handle Formation in Human History. Holy Smokes.
Ok, let's dive into the Fundamentals:
1) Industrial Demand: Silver is essential in various high-growth industries such as electronics, solar energy, and medical devices. As technological advancements continue, the demand for silver is expected to increase significantly.
2) Investment Demand: Economic uncertainty, inflation, or financial crises often lead investors to seek precious metals like silver as a safe haven.
3) Supply Constraints: Silver mining production may face challenges due to factors like depleted mines, increased extraction costs, or regulatory changes. Supply shortages can occur if production cannot keep up with demand, which will ultimately lead to a short squeeze.
4) Monetary Policy and Inflation: Central banks' monetary policies, such as maintaining low interest rates or implementing quantitative easing, can weaken currencies.
5) Green Energy Initiatives: The push for renewable energy sources, particularly solar power, relies heavily on silver for photovoltaic cells. As global efforts to combat climate change intensify, the demand for silver in green technologies is likely to rise, boosting its price.
(aka Agenda 2030 - The Great Reset)
What scares me about this chart is that it suggests terrible events are imminent.
The impact of these events cannot yet be measured, but they will be catastrophic for humanity.
Stay Safe and keep stacking as fast as possible, NFA!
CYANE
Silver is in the Bearish trend after testing ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Silver | Long Setup | Industrial Demand Breakout | Aug 27, 2025📌 XAGUSD | Long Setup | Historic Undervaluation + Industrial Demand Breakout | Aug 27, 2025
ROI: $160M
Risk: $5.7M
🔹 Thesis Summary
Silver remains one of the most structurally undervalued assets in the commodities space. With accelerating institutional accumulation (COT data), surging industrial demand, and constrained mine supply, this setup offers asymmetric upside into the next commodity supercycle.
🔹 Trade Setup
Bias: Long
Entry Zone: $27.00 – $38.50
Stop Loss: $10.65 (below liquidity shelf and structural invalidation)
Take-Profits:
TP1: $44.50 (previous high retest)
TP2: $64.14 (channel median + prior fib confluence)
TP3: $83.12 (partial TP near long-term resistance)
Max Target: $128.22+ (structural breakout projection)
Risk/Reward: Up to 7.5R
Timeline: Multi-year (targeting 2030–2036 commodity rotation cycle)
🔹 Narrative & Context
Silver’s current technical posture reflects a multi-decade accumulation breakout within a rising channel structure dating back to 2011. Institutional positioning confirms smart money is re-entering (per COT data), aligning with surging industrial demand from solar, electronics, and EV sectors.
From a relative value lens, the silver-to-gold ratio remains elevated, historically signaling upside reversion potential. The undervaluation is amplified by physical shortages, as indicated by U.S. Mint supply constraints and rising dealer premiums.
As a dual-purpose metal, silver benefits from both risk-off macro hedging and real-world industrial pull. It remains accessible to retail yet remains institutionally underweighted.
🔹 Macro Considerations
Tailwinds:
Global inflation persistence or fiat distrust (BRICS dedollarization)
Renewed solar/green energy investment cycles
Physical shortages or COMEX delivery strains
Fed pause or dovish pivot sustaining commodities bid
Risks:
Strong USD resurgence / higher real yields
Industrial demand substitution (e.g., graphene or other conductors)
Regulatory interventions or taxation shifts on precious metals
🔹 Forward Path
Should this thesis gain traction, a follow-up will cover:
Monthly timeframe structural pivots
Silver-to-Gold ratio mean reversion mechanics
SLV ETF flows and miner outperformance signals
Key levels to watch for parabolic breakout validation
Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. Charts and visuals may include AI enhancements.
SILVER1! at resistance zone – confirmation before entryDaily Chart Update: SILVER1!
SILVER1! is currently sustaining near its resistance zone at 116000–117700.
If the resistance holds, we may see lower prices ahead.
However, if this level is breached, SILVER1! has the potential to move towards 120000.
Thank you !!
Silver Daily NEOWAVE Analysis Since its sharp decline of over 15% in April 2025, Silver has been unfolding in a Running Contracting Triangle. The market is currently advancing in Wave D, with Wave E expected to complete the structure. Once Wave B concludes, a bullish thrust to the upside is anticipated; however, failure to materialize could indicate the development of an X-wave instead.
Silver Continues to Face Bearish Pressure ? Hello, what do you think about the trend of TVC:SILVER ?
Silver continues to face downward pressure as it trades within a descending channel. Recent price action shows that the metal is testing resistance and struggling to maintain upward momentum. Given the current market dynamics, including a strong US Dollar and global economic concerns, the bearish trend is likely to persist in the short term.
With the bearish factors and technical indicators in place, it’s important to closely monitor price action near the support zone to look for potential shorting opportunities. Be cautious and manage risk effectively.
As long as the trendline remains intact, selling remains the favored strategy.
Silver is Again in the Bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Silver (XAG/USD) ▲ Thief Strategy: Layer & Escape!🔥🦹♂️ THIEF TRADER’S SILVER HEIST PLAN! 🚨💰 (XAG/USD "The Silver")
🎯 MISSION: BULLISH LOOTING! 🐂💎
💣 ENTRY: ANY PRICE! But Thief OG’s use LAYERS! 🎯👇
(Multiple Limit Orders = More Stolen Profit!)
🔫 Buy Limit Layers: 38.500 | 38.300 | 38.000 | 37.800 | 37.700 (Add more if you’re greedy!)
🛑 STOP LOSS: Thief SL @ 37.000 (Adjust based on your risk, OG!)
🚨 TARGET: 40.500 (But escape at 40.300 before cops arrive!) 🚔💨
🔫 THIEF TRADER’S RULES:
✔ Scalpers: Only LONG side! Use Trailing SL to lock stolen cash! 💰
✔ Swing Traders: Layer up & hold till escape zone! 🏦
✔ News Alert! 🚨 Avoid new trades during high-impact news! Protect your loot with Trailing SL!
💎 WHY SILVER?
✅ Bullish Momentum! 🐂🔥
✅ Weak Bears = Easy Loot! �💀
✅ Fundamentals & COT Report BACKING US! 📊🔍 (Check links below!)
🚀 BOOST THIS PLAN!
💥 Hit LIKE & BOOST! Help us STEAL MORE MONEY! 💸🔥
🚨 Stay Tuned for the NEXT HEIST! 🦹♂️💣
🎯 REMEMBER: TAKE PROFIT & RUN BEFORE COPS ARRIVE! 🚔💨
🔥 THIEF TRADER OUT! 🤑 SEE YOU IN THE NEXT TRADE! 💣🚀
Silver at a Crossroads – 38.50 Break or 38.00 Collapse?Right now, Silver is worth keeping on the radar.
After falling from multi-year highs near 40 down to 36.20, the metal reversed and broke above both the falling trendline from the top and the 37.80 resistance.
Similar to Gold, the final sessions of last week were marked by range trading, with a clear top at 38.50 and bottom at 38.00.
Looking ahead:
• Bullish case: A break above 38.50 would be significant for buyers and could open the door for another test of the 40.00 zone.
• Bearish case: A daily close below 38.00 would be very negative, confirming a lower high at 38.50 and raising the probability of an ABC-type correction. In this scenario, 35.50 support becomes a likely target, with potential for a 2,500-pip drop.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
"THE SILVER JOB" // $XAG/USD ROBBERY PLAN UNLOCKED🚨SILVER HEIST LOADING... BULLS ON THE MOVE! 💥 XAG/USD THIEF PLAN 💰🐂
Asset: XAG/USD “The Silver”
📈 Plan: Bullish Thief Raid
🎯 Target Zone: 40.000 – “Police Barricade Resistance” + Overbought Hotspot
🛑 Stop Loss: 37.500 – Vault Alarm Level
💼 Entry: “Anywhere, Anytime” – The thief is layering his limit orders like a true market infiltrator!
💸💣THE THIEF'S MASTER ROBBERY PLAN👇
🧠 Mindset:
This isn’t just a trade — it’s a full-scale Silver Heist 🐱👤💰
The Thief has eyes on the big vault near 40.000, and we’re sneaking in using multiple limit orders. No fixed entry — just strategic placements near pullbacks or recent swings.
🔒 Stop Loss: Hidden beneath recent traps (37.500). If the alarm goes off — we vanish.
🚔 Target: 40.000 – Major resistance where the market police are camping! It's also an overbought zone, so get in, loot, and exit clean.
📉 SITUATION REPORT:
📊 Market Mood: Bullish
🔥 Momentum Shift: Strong breakout signs
⚠️ Danger Zone: High volatility approaching — stay alert!
💥 Macro + Technical Confluence: Bulls gathering force – volume rising, trend intact.
👇 TIPS FROM THE THIEF 👇
🧲 Scalpers & Swingers:
Stick to the Long side only!
Use a Trailing SL like a grappling hook — protect profits as you climb.
⚔️ If you’re undercapitalized, layer wisely and avoid overexposure!
📰 News Threat?
Don’t raid during sirens (major releases). Wait it out, then re-enter when it’s calm again.
🧠 Psych Game:
Avoid revenge trades. Set your plan, rob smart, rob clean 🧤🔍
🚀 Ready to Ride with the Robbery Crew?
💖 Boost this Idea to support the Thief Guild!
🎯 Stay tuned for more Heist Plans!
🤑 Join the raid. Rob the market. Run with profits. 🎒💨
Silver is in the Bearish trend after testing ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAGUSD Analysis : Bearish Setup 2x Supply to Next Reversal Zone🔍 Market Context & Technical Overview
Silver (XAGUSD) has recently gone through a sharp corrective phase after breaking above a key structural high and retesting previous resistance. The current price action reflects a clean MMC-patterned behavior, including volume absorption, QFL trap, and interaction with a descending trendline that has now become critical for further directional bias.
🧠 Key Observations Based on MMC Principles
🔵 1. Volume Absorption at the Triangle Breakout
After a prolonged consolidation phase inside a triangle pattern, volume absorption took place—indicating hidden accumulation.
A breakout above the structure was confirmed with momentum (also breaking a previously established “High Breaked” level).
This breakout led to a vertical move towards the 2x Channel Supply Interchange Zone, where price reversed sharply.
🟥 2. Supply Interchange Zone (2x Confirmed)
Price encountered resistance at the green supply block, which acted as a 2x supply zone—a critical confluence where previous sellers re-engaged.
This area had previously served as the channel boundary, creating a supply interchange effect.
⚠️ 3. QFL Zone Trap (Fake Momentum)
The price printed a QFL structure, where it created a flat base, faked a move up, and quickly reversed.
The QFL base acted as a trap for late buyers, which aligned with the start of a bearish phase that is still ongoing.
📉 4. Downtrend & Trendline Respect
Price has respected a strong descending trendline since the reversal at supply.
Each retest has resulted in a lower high, confirming the bearish structure is intact for now.
Currently, the price is trading below this trendline, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment.
📦 Key Levels to Watch
Zone/Level Type Role
38.70 – 39.20 2x Supply Zone Strong resistance, reversal origin
37.40 – 37.60 Minor Level Short-term support turned resistance
36.00 – 35.40 Next Reversal Zone ✅ High-probability long area, MMC expects reaction
Trendline Dynamic Structure control, needs break for bullish shift
🔁 Scenarios Based on Structure
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from Green Demand Block
Price is approaching the next MMC reversal zone (green box below 36.00).
MMC logic suggests a 100% probability of bullish reaction based on:
Volume cycle completion
Downward exhaustion
Proximity to previous institutional accumulation zones
Expected move: bounce toward trendline retest and minor resistance at ~37.50.
📉 Scenario 2: Break Below Green Zone = Panic Sell
If the green zone fails to hold:
A panic drop toward 34.80–35.00 is possible.
However, based on MMC mapping, this is less likely without a major macro catalyst.
💡 Strategic Thoughts (MMC Traders’ Lens)
We’re observing a classic MMC Phase 3 correction following Phase 2 expansion.
The current cycle favors reaccumulation, especially if a wick or engulfing candle forms inside the green zone.
Price action traders should wait for confirmation (e.g., break of trendline, bullish structure on 1H) before entering.
📌 Educational Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice)
Setup Entry Zone Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2
Reversal Long 35.80 – 36.20 35.40 37.50 38.70
Trendline Break Long Above 37.10 36.40 38.00 39.00
Bearish Continuation Below 35.40 36.10 34.80 33.90
🧾 Conclusion & Final Note
Silver is trading at a make-or-break point as it approaches a high-probability reversal zone, identified through MMC methodology. Watch the price action near 36.00 closely—it holds the key to whether we begin a new bullish phase or extend this bearish cycle.
✅ MMC traders will stay reactive, not predictive, and align with structure.
🚨 Patience is key—let the market show its hand before commitment.
#XAGUSD: A Strong Bullish Move, Possible Target at $45?Silver is currently experiencing a correction, but the overall price remains bullish. Analysing the data, we can see a potential price reversal in our area of interest. Following the recent higher high, price is poised to create another record high. We should closely monitor volume and price behaviour. A strong volume signal would indicate a potential bullish move in the future.
Good luck and trade safely.
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