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Smartmoneyconcept

XAUSD : M30 Long BiasThis trading plan adopts a bullish bias, anticipating an upward move initiated with an entry into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone highlighted on the chart. Key Components of the Plan: Entry Zone: The primary entry for a long position is upon price entering the FVG area (Fair Value Gap). This gap represents a price imbalance, often caused by institutional buying or selling, where the market tends to revisit to fill the gap before continuing its trend. Buying at this zone provides a good risk-reward profile. Price Context : Current price is approaching the FVG after a prior strong bullish move, indicating the possibility of a pullback to accumulate before price continuation. Target Area: Expect the price to move upward from the FVG zone towards higher levels, potentially reaching recent swing highs or resistance zones mapped by Smart Money Concepts such as order blocks or liquidity targets. Stop Loss Placement: A prudent stop loss can be placed just below the lower boundary of the FVG zone or below the strong recent low, to protect against extended downside moves invalidating the trade setup. Trade Rationale: The plan leverages smart money concepts where institutional buying in the FVG zone creates a strong demand area for positioning long. This is backed by the technical structure seen in the chart and typical market behavior of filling such gaps.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by famousone_chn
NZDUSD - M30 Bias LongThis trading plan carries a bullish bias aimed at capitalizing on a probable upward continuation after a well-defined pullback zone. The core idea is to wait for a pullback into a high-probability entry area derived from the Golden Ratio level of the Fibonacci retracement. This Fibonacci zone acts as a natural retracement level where institutional buyers may seek to accumulate positions. Within this Fibonacci pullback zone lies a Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a price imbalance indicating an area that price tends to revisit and fill during corrections. This FVG acts as an additional confluence factor, strengthening the demand and support within this zone. The overall expectation is that after this pullback and order flow confirmation, price will resume the upward trajectory toward the Base 1 supply zone at the higher price level marked on the chart. This Base 1 zone represents a strong resistance zone or target where traders can plan their exit or partial profit-taking. From a fundamental perspective, the trade is supported by a weakening USD, which generally favors NZD/USD strength. This fundamental factor complements the technical Smart Money Concepts setup, increasing the confidence in a bullish continuation. Key Points: Bias: Long, targeting upward momentum continuation after pullback. Entry Zone: Pullback zone at Golden Ratio Fibonacci level with FVG inside Confluence: FVG provides demand zone strength and better entry quality. Target: Move to Base 1 supply/resistance zone. Fundamental Support: Weak USD supports NZD strength. Trading Concept: Smart Money Concepts focusing on institutional order blocks, Fibonacci retracement, and liquidity gaps.
Long
by famousone_chn
XAUUSD - 4-Hour Chart with Smart Money Concepts - Long BiasThis trading plan takes a bullish bias outlook based on the Smart Money Concepts framework and fundamental analysis of a weakening USD. The current price action shows Gold approaching a critical Base 1 zone (demand/order block) around the 3375-3390 level, which acts as a key support area where institutional buying pressure is likely to emerge. Above the current price, there is a well-defined High Time Frame (HTF) Supply Zone that represents a potential resistance area filled with liquidity. This zone provides a target for the expected upward move and highlights where sellers may enter to push prices lower again after the rally. This setup also incorporates the concept of Fair Value Gap (FVG) visible near the Base 1 area, indicating a price imbalance that price often revisits to fill before continuing its trend. The FVG adds confluence to the potential demand zone, reinforcing the likelihood of a strong bounce from this area. Fundamentally, the USD is considered weak at this moment, which further supports the bullish outlook for Gold prices, as USD weakness generally propels Gold higher due to its inverse relationship. The proposed price path anticipates a short-term pullback into the Base 1 zone or FVG area, followed by a strong rally toward the HTF Supply Zone near 3430-3440. This reaction is expected to offer favorable risk-to-reward opportunities for long positions. Key Points: Bias: Long, looking for buying opportunities near Base 1 demand zone and FVG area. Supply Zone: HTF Supply Zone above as a target and liquidity cluster. Liquidity: Presence of buy liquidity within the Base 1 and FVG zones to fuel the upward move. Fundamental Support: USD weakness supports Gold rally. Smart Money Concept: Trading around institutional order blocks and FVG for optimal entries. Price Expectation: Pullback to Base 1/FVG then rally to HTF Supply Zone.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by famousone_chn
ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) LONGThe Technology Sector Continues to Break Records The tech sector keeps setting new highs, and alongside individual stocks, it's a great idea to consider investing in an ETF that mirrors the profits of the NASDAQ 100 index. One of the most attractive options is TQQQ - it’s more affordable than the index itself, yet offers similar growth potential aligned with the entire tech sector. I expect continued growth through the end of the year, assuming the geopolitical landscape remains relatively stable. From a technical standpoint, those looking to minimize risk might prefer to wait for a retest of previous highs. However, my approach is to gradually build a position both before the breakout and after the retest of the highs. A classic technical analysis pattern -the cup formation, also supports the bullish case for entry. As George Soros wrote in his book: “What moves the market : our expectations or the events themselves?” I’d say it’s both. The key is not to miss the wave. P.S. Don’t forget: with TQQQ, you also receive dividends - a nice bonus while riding the trend.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by InvestWorld_777
1
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Bullish Continuation SetupXAUUSD Technical Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup 📊 Market Structure Overview: The chart shows a clear bullish structure shift, marked by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) events that validate strength from buyers. After forming equal lows and a liquidity sweep at the strong support zone, price has aggressively moved higher, breaking through minor resistance levels and showing clear bullish intent. 🧱 Key Technical Elements: 🔹 1. Strong Support Zone (Demand Rejection) Price respected the strong demand zone between $3,260 – $3,280, where aggressive buying was seen after forming a bullish engulfing breakout. This zone aligns with previous demand and a major BOS, confirming institutional buying interest. 🔹 2. Bullish Order Flow & Break of Structure (BOS) Multiple BOS levels across July and early August highlight a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, indicating trend continuation. The most recent BOS after July 30 shows an impulsive break, confirming bullish dominance and clean order flow. 🔹 3. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Bullish FVG (Mid-July): Price respected and bounced from this zone, showing previous imbalance was filled and used as a base for continuation. New FVG (Above $3,420): The current upside target lies within this area, acting as a magnet for price due to unfilled orders. 🔹 4. Buy-Side Liquidity & Target Zone The market is approaching a buy-side liquidity zone around $3,385, a key short-term target where previous highs and stop orders are likely pooled. If liquidity above $3,385 is taken efficiently, price may expand into the FVG zone between $3,420 – $3,460. 🔹 5. Bullish Confirmation & Momentum The candle structure shows a clean bullish impulsive move, followed by minor consolidation—likely a bullish flag/pennant indicating potential for further continuation. Momentum is favoring buyers, and short-term consolidation above $3,340 is healthy for continuation. 🔐 Liquidity & Institutional Narrative Equal Lows (EQL) and FVG fills suggest prior liquidity was swept and used to fuel institutional long positions. The recent BOS confirmed that smart money has shifted bias toward longs, and price is now targeting remaining inefficiencies to the upside. The clear alignment of BOS, liquidity sweep, and bullish FVGs reinforces a strong institutional footprint on this move. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Level Type Price Zone (USD) 🔺 Resistance / FVG 3,420 – 3,460 🎯 Immediate Target 3,385 📉 Short-Term Support 3,340 – 3,320 🛡️ Major Demand Zone 3,260 – 3,280 📌 Conclusion & Outlook: XAUUSD has initiated a strong bullish leg from the demand zone, confirming accumulation and structural reversal. Price is now moving toward the buy-side liquidity target of $3,385, with potential continuation toward the FVG resistance zone of $3,420–$3,460. As long as price remains above the $3,320 structure support, the bullish bias remains intact. Any pullbacks should be seen as buying opportunities, especially on lower timeframe confirmations.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
BTC Hits Premium Zone – Bearish Reversal Loading? BTC Hits Premium Zone – Bearish Reversal Loading? 🧠 Technical Breakdown: 🔹 1. Previous Market Structure & CHoCH The chart shows a clear shift in structure (CHoCH) on the left, which marked the start of the bearish leg. Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continuation of lower highs and lower lows until recent liquidity grab near the $112,551 zone. Equal highs and liquidity above were taken out, making the move into the Premium Order Block zone highly significant. 🔹 2. Liquidity and Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zones A major Liquidity + FVG zone was left unmitigated between $113,000–$112,000, and price is likely to revisit it. This aligns with the target zone at $112,890, which is highlighted as a magnet for price to rebalance the inefficiency. 🔹 3. Order Block & Premium Supply Zone A well-defined Order Block is marked just below the resistance zone near $115,166–$116,021. Price is currently retracing into this zone, suggesting a potential reaction point for smart money to re-enter shorts. Volume is expected to pick up here, and a reversal could initiate if price fails to break above this supply. 🔹 4. Volume Profile and Market Imbalance Volume clusters are heaviest near the $114,000–$114,300 range, indicating high activity and previous accumulation/distribution. Thin volume near the $112,551 zone further confirms price may drop quickly if rejection happens. 🔹 5. Support & Liquidity Sweep Support zone around $112,551 is a previous liquidity pool and weak low that has not been fully cleared. Price is likely to revisit this zone in the short term to clear liquidity and complete market rebalancing. 🔐 Institutional Narrative: Smart money engineered a liquidity sweep to the downside, then caused a retracement into premium. Now, BTC/USD is positioned in a high-risk zone where sell-side institutions may enter to push price lower. If this order block holds, expect a rejection toward $112,890, followed by possible deeper continuation into the liquidity void below. 📌 Key Levels: Level Price (USD) Strong Resistance Zone 115,166 – 116,021 Order Block (Sell Area) 114,800 – 116,000 (approx.) Immediate Support 113,000 – 112,551 Target (Liquidity Zone) 112,890 Weak Low (Final Sweep) 112,000 📉 Trade Outlook & Strategy: 🔺 If price reacts bearishly at Order Block: Look for lower timeframe BOS/CHoCH confirmation. Entry: Short on rejection at or near $115,000–$115,500 Target 1: $112,890 Target 2: $112,000 (extended liquidity sweep) Stop-loss: Above $116,200 (invalidates bearish OB) 🔻 If price breaks and closes above $116,021 with momentum: Structure flips bullish, and the OB is invalidated. Look for long setups on retracement to $114,000 zone. 🧭 Conclusion: BTC/USD is currently trading within a Premium Zone, testing a strong Order Block below key resistance. Price may face a bearish reaction, targeting the liquidity zone at $112,890. Smart money footprints suggest a potential trap for breakout buyers, and if momentum fades, we can expect a downside reversal to sweep remaining liquidity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
1