SOL in Downtrend: Crypto Winter Hits HardFinally, Solana has broken out of its stagnation.
For a long time, the chart has been building a consolidation in the form of a three-wave WXY correction.
Right now, wave Y is wrapping up. I believe this wave could play out in two scenarios:
🔻• Solana drops from current levels to around 116-118;
🔻• or we see it much lower, in the 108 area.
I’m leaning more toward the second option because the consolidation has been quite prolonged. Plus, as I mentioned earlier, I think we’ve entered a downtrend. Crypto winter has already kicked off and is in full swing.
❌ The invalidation level for my bearish plan is 131.8 — any touch, even briefly, would cancel this scenario.
⚠️Be cautious: don’t trade without stop-losses, and avoid trying to catch the bottom, or you might end up with an unwanted “gift.”
🚀Drop reactions and comments if you want me to post daily updates on Solana.
SOL
SOLUSD Long-Term Market Cycle Analysis |Bear Market Phase ActiveSolana (SOL) was listed on 10 April 2020 at around $0.21 .
During the 2020–2021 bull market (Altseason Phase-4) , SOL showed an exceptionally strong rally after listing and formed its all-time high near $260 on 6 November 2021 .
From that point, a major bear market started.
Between 7 April 2021 and 29 December 2022 , Solana remained in a clear downtrend , printing continuous lower highs and lower lows.
Price dropped from $260 to nearly $8 , resulting in a −96.9% correction , which is typical for high-beta altcoins during bear cycles.
A new bull market phase began on 30 December 2022 , but according to current market structure and cycle analysis , this bull phase has now ended around 13 September 2025 .
The overall structure has shifted bearish , and Solana is currently trading in a confirmed bear market phase starting from 14 September 2025 .
Key Resistance Zones (Strong Reversal Areas):
$148
$174
$210
These levels are expected to act as major supply zones , where strong selling pressure and reversals are likely.
Bear Market Outlook & Risk Projection
Bear market may extend until October 2026
A further downside move of up to −88% is possible within this cycle
If such a correction occurs, there is an 80% probability that SOL could trade in the $45 – $30 range during September–October 2026
Key Support Zones (Accumulation Areas):
$80
$45
$30
Trading Bias
* Avoid long positions during this phase
* Focus on short setups near resistance zones
* Trade with strict risk management and confirmation
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on historical market cycles, structure, and technical behavior .
Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
SOLUSDT – Swing Trade in Play Alright traders, we’re trying another swing trade on SOL —
counting on a rally in the next few days/weeks.
Why? Because the macro picture is finally starting to look a bit less depressing.
Sure…
today’s Jobless Claims weren’t great,
but overall macros are improving slowly,
and that gives the market some space to breathe.
So what do I expect?
👉 Small push down first (because crypto can’t ever go straight up)
👉 followed by a move upward — hopefully the real swing leg we’re waiting for
It’s not guaranteed (nothing ever is),
but the setup looks solid and worth taking with proper discipline.
⸻
⚠️ Trade safely, legends
Use proper risk management,
don’t overleverage,
and let SOL do the heavy lifting. 😄
Good luck! 🚀🔥
SOLUSDT – Up… Finally?Alright traders, I’ll be honest —
a few of my recent trades went south faster than my morning coffee.
So hopefully this one decides to treat us a little better. 😅
We had a small decline during the Asia session,
nothing dramatic, just the usual SOL “I’m bored” dip.
But from this level, I’m expecting a bounce —
maybe not a huge one, but definitely enough to catch a clean move up.
The setup is simple:
👉 small pullback
👉 potential bounce
👉 let’s try to finally win one 😄
Let’s see how it plays out —
trade safe, manage your risk,
and may SOL behave for once! 🚀🔥
$SOL Stuck In ConsolidationSolana has been stuck in this consolidation range the past month ~$125 - 145
Truly an infliction point for CRYPTOCAP:SOL
a break in either direction should be massive upside or downside.
HOPIUM: bullish divergence appears to be forming on the RSI
Solana Breakpoint just kicked off today, but the market showed very little interest.
Bulls need a huge injection here.
SOL looking Spicy... Keep an eye on the structure. Solana is still trapped inside a tight range, but momentum is quietly shifting.
Price continues to reject the same major resistance zone, while buyers are stepping in at the bottom of the range with repeated bullish signals on the lower indicators. Each pullback is showing less downside follow-through, and the oscillators are beginning to build higher lows.
The key level remains unchanged: SOL needs a clean breakout above the range high to open up that much larger volume gap toward the mid-140s. Until then, this is a consolidation with tightening compression.
Hold the range - breakout potential.
Lose the range - $116 becomes the next major support.
Watching this setup closely, SOL looks like it's preparing for a bigger move.
What’s your outlook here?
#BTC Global analysis of BTC. Correction and decline to 65kBYBIT:BTCUSDT
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin is currently in an uncertain phase for everyone, so I have analyzed the most likely outcome of the price movement in my opinion.
On D1, we see a downtrend and a reaction from support levels. As a result, Bitcoin corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, after which it did not reverse the trend but continued to test the 0.5 level.
The trend short line on H8-D1 was broken after several serious touches, and now I am waiting for a retest from the 0.618 Fibonacci level and a further correction to 98500-100000, where the 0.618 and 0.702 Fibonacci levels are also located.
This is a serious resistance level for the price and the place where the structure (BOS) was broken. The price usually returns to this place for further movement along the trend.
I expect this scenario, as I have not noticed that the main cryptocurrency has gathered enough liquidity to update its highs and a global long scenario.
At levels 98500 - 100000, I expect a short scenario to levels 65000 - 75000.
From there, Bitcoin will likely delight us with a long-term outlook and attract a large number of investors.
In addition to this, it is known that a large number of investors hold stablecoins and are ready to buy Bitcoin. Until this happens, we can assume that investors and funds are waiting for a suitable favorable price for the main asset.
$SOL Solana is currently in a clear accumulation phase following a strong reaction from the major demand zone.
The horizontal accumulation in this zone indicates both a re-intensification of liquidity and the market gathering energy for the next directional breakout.
As long as the region holds, the structure is positive, and this accumulation will be the key to the next expansion phase.
Solana Rebounds Weakly with No Clear Trend SignalsSolana on the 4H timeframe is only showing a mild pullback, as neither technicals nor news indicate fresh inflows strong enough to shift momentum. Price remains capped below the 138–142 FVG resistance cluster, and although small rebounds occur, their narrow range highlights the lack of aggressive buying. The Ichimoku cloud and multiple overhead FVGs form a thick supply layer, causing every upward attempt to be sold off — making a breakout relatively unlikely.
Volume behaviour also supports the idea of a technical retracement: it picks up slightly at the lows but fades as price climbs, signalling reactive buying rather than committed inflows. If SOL fails to break above 142, a move back down to fill the lower FVG at 128–123 remains a reasonable scenario.
SOL reversal⚡ SOL/USDT – 1H Reversal Heating Up
BYBIT:SOLUSDT.P holding strong above $136–$138 support — EMA ribbon flipped green and momentum’s curling up.
If bulls defend this level, next leg targets $150 → $160+.
Break below $132 invalidates short-term setup.
“Golden pocket bounce. Calm before the breakout.” ⚙️
SOL 1W – FVG Cleared/Fib Reset Tagged, Is the Reversal Starting?SOL has reached a major confluence area on the weekly chart, tagging the broader Fib Reset Zone and reacting directly from long-term Trendline Support. This is the same structural level that launched previous multi-month rallies, making this an important point for potential reversal.
Price is also sitting just above the 0.618 retracement — historically one of SOL's strongest reaction levels — while the weekly Stoch RSI is emerging from oversold conditions, a signal often seen near macro turning points.
The declining 50/100 EMAs still create overhead pressure, but reclaiming these EMAs would confirm a shift in weekly trend structure and open the door for a broader recovery leg.
If the trendline fails, the lower demand zone becomes the next logical retest. But as long as SOL continues to defend this diagonal and build higher closes inside the Fib Reset Zone, the case for reversing the multi-month downtrend strengthens.
This is one of the most important weekly levels SOL has approached all year.
SOLUSD: Breakout from Bottom Structure Inside Downtrend ChannelHi!
SOL has been trading inside a descending channel, consistently respecting both upper and lower boundaries. Recently, price formed a clear Inverse Head & Shoulders at the bottom of the channel, signaling potential bullish reversal momentum. The neckline breakout aligns with the break of the minor descending trendline, strengthening the shift in structure.
If price holds above the neckline, the pattern projects a move toward the 160–165 USD zone, which also aligns with the channel’s upper boundary, a strong confluence area and natural target for bulls.
However, failure to sustain above the neckline could lead to a pullback toward the right-shoulder region, though the setup remains valid as long as price stays above the head level.
Overall, SOL is showing a bullish reversal signal, with upside continuation favored while above the breakout zone.
SOL 8H – FVG + EMA Rejection, Liquidity Next?SOL has tapped a clean multi-confluence rejection zone: the descending trendline, the 50/100 EMA cluster, and a filled Fair Value Gap all stack at the same price level. This area has acted as a strong pivot throughout November, and today’s reaction is consistent with prior trendline rejections.
The Stoch RSI is already in overbought territory on the 8H, adding momentum exhaustion to the setup. Bears will watch for continuation toward the major liquidity level around $111.97, which remains untested below.
For bulls to regain control, price must break and hold above the EMA cluster and FVG, flipping the trendline into support. Until then, the path of least resistance remains down toward liquidity.
FireHoseReel | All Eyes on Solana at This Critical Level🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel!
Let’s jump into the Solana (SOL) market structure.
👀 SOL – 4H Overview
After breaking its descending curve structure, SOL faced strong resistance at $144 but failed to break it, leading to a sharp rejection.
Price then formed a double bottom and pushed back toward the same resistance. SOL is now trading near this critical zone once again.
📊 Volume Analysis
Volume increased significantly during the formation of the double bottom, driving a sharp move back toward resistance.
If buy volume remains sustained, the probability of a breakout above $144 increases.
✍️ SOL Trading Scenarios
You can use the following scenarios alongside your own trading strategy:
🟢 Long Scenario (Breakout Setup)
A confirmed breakout above $144, supported by a strong increase in buy volume, could provide a solid long opportunity on SOL.
🟢 Long Scenario (Aggressive Risk Setup)
Wait for price to consolidate, then enter during the pullback with decreasing volume, followed by the first signs of renewed buying pressure.
This setup allows for a tighter stop-loss and faster R:R, suitable for higher-risk traders.
🔴 Short Scenario
A loss of the key support at $124, accompanied by strong sell pressure, could activate a valid short setup for SOL.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading is no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades, and enjoy the process of trading with control and discipline.
SOL — WEEK 49 TREND REPORTSOLUSD — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT
Ticker: COINBASE:SOLUSD — 12/02/2025 @ 139.43$
Timeframe: WEEKLY
This is a reactive structural classification of SOL based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive.
⸻
1) Current Trend Condition
• Trend Duration: +8 weeks (Bearish)
• Trend Reversal Level (Bullish): 179.71$
• Trend Reversal Level (Bullish Confirmation): 187.51$
⸻
3) Temperature :
Cooling Phase
⸻
4) Momentum :
Bearish
⸻
Author’s Note
This analysis is fully reactive, not predictive. Market conditions, trend structure, and behavior are classified as they appear in real time. The objective is to identify where directional shifts first occurred, where structural integrity remains intact, and where it would begin to weaken if key levels were breached.
Predictive analysis projects outcomes that do not exist yet. Without price confirmation, prediction is built on baseless assumptions. This framework avoids that entirely by responding only to verified structural changes and live conditions.
The levels shown simply identify where the current trend structure first shifted and where it would begin to lose integrity if breached. Recognizing these boundaries allows for clearer interpretation of market behavior without relying on forward guarantees, speculative projections, or unsupported assumptions.
⸻
Methodology Overview
This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
SOL Near Inflection PointCRYPTOCAP:SOL is holding well above the mid S/R zone and showing solid strength. If it continues to rebound from this area, price could push back toward the upper resistance.
But if SOL breaks below this zone, it may slide down toward the $80 levels.
DYOR, NFA
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SOLANA → Countertrend correction. Bear market BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is forming a correction after retesting the intermediate bottom of 120.0. Ahead lies a fairly strong and important zone of interest, to which the market may react...
The market structure is bearish. After updating the low within the bearish trend, a countertrend correction to the liquidity zone is forming. A retest of resistance at 143-145 may end in a false breakout and a fall.
Bitcoin is also stagnating. There is no strong support from the fundamental side, and the market is also far from technical support. There is still potential for a fall...
Resistance levels: 143.35, 145.67, 150.8
Support levels: 133.12, 128.3
The coin is within the trading range of 120.0 - 144.0. Accordingly, after a retest of support, a retest of resistance is forming, but pressure on the market is being exerted by a weak fundamental background and a downward trend. A false breakout of this zone of interest could trigger a sell-off...
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOL — Fibonacci & Anchored VWAP ConfluenceSOL continues to be one of the most technically reliable assets, consistently respecting Fibonacci levels and key market structures. The zone between $135–$134 stands out as the next high-probability long opportunity, with multiple Fibonacci clusters lining up with the anchored VWAP from the swing low. The $134 level also aligns with the 75B market cap, adding an additional layer of confluence.
I’m looking for a long setup in this zone, targeting the $139–$140 order block for TP. This gives a clean 1:3 R:R, with the stop placed just below $133.
I’m currently developing a dynamic confluence indicator that highlights stacked support and resistance zones with high-probability reversal zones. The $139–$140 zone is currently showing a cluster of resistance, reinforcing it as the ideal TP target.
_________________________________
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SOLUSDT /// 30NOVSolana has consistently shown resilience across multiple market cycles, repeatedly demonstrating its ability to establish new price structures and reach fresh targets. Despite this long-term strength, the asset is currently under notable selling pressure. With Bitcoin experiencing a 30% decline, interest from investors and smart money toward Solana has also cooled off.
From a structural perspective, the $149 level remains a significant resistance zone, while the $127 support area appears increasingly vulnerable and may be tested or even broken in the near term.
This brings up a key question for many market participants:
Where could Solana become attractive from an investment standpoint?
In my view, the $100 region is where I would personally begin reassessing Solana for potential long-term positioning—depending, of course, on how price approaches that level and the quality of market momentum at that time.
As always, broader market conditions will play a major role in determining whether Solana can regain strength or continues to consolidate under seller dominance.
TradeCityPro | SOL Testing Major Trendline for Next Big Move👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I want to review SOL, one of the most popular cryptocurrencies, ranked 6th on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $76 billion.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Solana has been respecting a descending trendline coming from higher timeframes. The price has touched this trendline multiple times, and it has interacted with it again recently.
✨ Overall, after completing its previous bearish wave, Solana has formed a range box, and the price has been oscillating between the support and resistance zones I’ve marked for you.
✔️ The top of this box can be identified at 144.07, since the price has reacted to this level twice. However, the entire zone I've highlighted is a significant resistance area.
💡 This resistance overlaps with the descending trendline from the daily timeframe, forming a strong PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone).
💥 On top of that, while Solana was moving from the bottom of the box toward the top, market volume was decreasing, and the size of the bullish candles was very small — both clear signs of weak buying pressure.
📊 Once the price reached the PRZ, sellers entered the market again, and the price is now moving downward along the trendline.
🧩 If this trendline does not break, and the price continues moving downward toward the $126 support, the chances of the support failing increase significantly. In that scenario, a short position can be taken on a break of that support.
📈 However, if the trendline does break, then the 144.07 level becomes the best trigger for trendline breakout confirmation.
⚡️ A stabilization above this zone would give us confirmation of a bullish reversal on Solana and provide a clean setup for opening a long position.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️






















