Explaining Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levelsThis video is designed to help teach you why I use the Fibonacci Defense levels as components of price action and how I use Fibonacci retracement/extension levels (related to previous market trends).
Remember, the three components of price action are TIME, PRICE, & ENERGY.
If you don't understand how price is structured before attempting to use Fibonacci concepts, it's almost like trying to throw darts blindfolded.
You must break down the previous trends in order to try to understand what is happening with current price trends (expansion/contraction/phases).
Watch this video and I hope it helps all of you understand what the markets are doing and how to use Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levels more efficiently.
All types of technical analysis are validation tools - not guarantees. The only thing we get out of technical analysis is a way to validate or invalidate our expectations. A or B. Nothing else.
Get some.
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Spy!
SPY LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅SPY is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the index is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 650$
LONG🚀
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SPY washed away the Stops, and now rinse supportAt the U-MLH the air is very, very thin now.
SPY is experience this and it looks like this market shows it's hand.
It's the second time where the breakout failed.
A classical Double-Top.
Today SPY will open back into the Fork, which is a very bad sign for climbing markets. And if SPY can't close outside the Fork today, it would be a clear short to me.
So, after the Wash of the Stops at the Top, what follows is the "Rinse" of the support level and then way down to the PTG1, the 1/4 line, and further to the PTG2 at the Center-Line.
BEARS LOVE THIS!!! $SPY Break below this daily trend-line is not looking good for the bulls and everything for the bears 🐻. Price closing below would confirm the break of this daily trend. Rising wedge formed at all time highs 👀 is not a good sign.
Best of luck to everyone out there.
Not financial advice
🙂🫡
S&P 500 (ES1!): Short Term Sells For Longer Term Buys TargetsWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 1 - 5th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P500 has been strong, but gave a bearish close on Friday. Looking at the Daily, it is easy to see price is retracing lower, perhaps to the +FVG, which is a great place to look for longs once contacted.
Short term sells are permissible, but be mindful the HTFs are bullish.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Is September For the Bears?QQQ CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! stock market Forecast
Nvidia Stock NASDAQ:NVDA Forecast
Apple Stock NASDAQ:AAPL Forecast
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast
Google Stock GOOGL Forecast
Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast
Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast
Magnificent 7 stocks forecast
TESLA Bullish Wave C still underway...NASDAQ:TSLA is a tough count, the entire macro chart looks like a complex correction (wave 4?) with many series of 3 wave structures.
A triangle in wave B of the current wave appears complete, leading to a terminal thrust up with a target of the High Volume Node resistance at $410 followed by a poke above the swing high touching the R1 pivot at $548.
RSI remains at the EQ.
Analysis is invalidated below the wave B triangle.
Safe trading
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Aug 29, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Aug 29, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🔥 Fed’s favorite inflation gauge hits: PCE arrives just as markets digest Powell’s Jackson Hole tone.
💵 Consumer under the microscope: Spending & income data reveal demand strength heading into fall.
🏭 Regional PMI wrap: Chicago PMI closes out August with a manufacturing pulse check.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 8:30 AM — PCE Price Index (Jul)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Personal Income & Outlays (Jul)
⏰ 9:45 AM — Chicago PMI (Aug)
⏰ 10:00 AM — UMich Consumer Sentiment (Final, Aug)
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #PCE #inflation #Fed #bonds #economy #PMI #consumerconfidence
$BWXT After Earnings Consolidation or Bear Flag?NYSE:BWXT I sold this today for a tiny loss but I think it could have an "after earnings rally." I bought on Aug 21st at what looked like a reversal confirmation. It wasn't. Looks like there is a lot of resistance at the horizontal line area. This could also be a bear flag. I won't know until it resolves. I have an alert over the area of resistance. Let's see what happens.
Most of the time when a stock pulls back like this one, there is a resumption of the prior trend. In this case that is up. Operative word here is "most."
As always, if you like this idea, please make it your own by following YOUR trading plan and rules. Remember, it is YOUR money at risk.
SPX is in a clear breakout trend! SP:SPX has triggered 2 larger bullish patterns.
Both patterns result in higher price.
Despite the weakness in NVDA the markets have shrugged off the decline.
We are trading into new all time highs so price discovery mode is in a effect.
When you have no resistance pivots or volume to trade against at new all time highs you really have to be careful if you're shorting the market.
Volume trends. extension moves, ATR, deviations should all be included in your analysis to define upside target zones.
We continue to remain net long the markets with key shorts in place.
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Aug 28, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Aug 28, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🏔️ Jackson Hole aftershocks: Markets still digest Powell’s stance; cut odds for September in focus.
📉 GDP revision risk: Growth momentum under the microscope with Q2 update.
🛠️ Labor market cooling? Jobless claims set the tone into Friday’s PCE.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly).
⏰ 8:30 AM — GDP (Q2, 2nd Estimate).
⏰ 11:00 AM — Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug).
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #GDP #joblessclaims #JacksonHole #bonds #economy
$CRWV Round Bottom Reversal?NASDAQ:CRWV is a hot IPO running from a low of $33.52 to a high of $187 back to a low of $85.26 and now trading, as of this post, at $94.67. I bought a small position on Aug 21st on what I thought at the time was a follow through from the low on Aug 20th. My entry price was $94.58, and I have not gotten stopped out as the price has not dropped below $85.26, the most recent low.
It looks to me to be forming a rounded bottom reversal. I have drawn in what I think seems to be an important price level at 96.60. “If” it can get up and over that I plan to add to my position. And my stop remains the same, a breach of the most recent low.
This one is clearly not out of the woods and is a high-risk trade as it is below important moving averages. On the other hand, the risk is well defined. If you like this idea, please make it your own by following your trading plan. Remember, it is your money at risk.
From Earnings Whispers:
CoreWeave Missed Expectations
Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 4:07 PM ET
CoreWeave (CRWV) reported a loss of $0.25 per share on revenue of $1.21 billion for the second quarter ended June 2025. The consensus estimate was a loss of $0.20 per share on revenue of $1.08 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was a loss of $0.17 per share. The company missed expectations by 47.06%.
The company said during its conference call it expects third quarter revenue of $1.26 billion to $1.30 billion and 2025 revenue of $5.15 billion to $5.35 billion. The company's previous guidance was 2025 revenue of $4.90 billion to $5.10 billion. The current consensus revenue estimate is $1.23 billion for the quarter ending September 30, 2025 and revenue of $5.01 billion for the year ending December 31, 2025.
CoreWeave, the AI Hyperscaler™, delivers a cloud platform of cutting-edge software powering the next wave of AI.
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🇺🇸➡️🇮🇳 U.S. slaps 50% tariffs on Indian goods (textiles, gems, leather, machinery) starting today — inflation & trade ripple risk.
💻 Earnings spotlight: Nvidia, CrowdStrike, Snowflake, Alibaba reporting this week → tech volatility in focus.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ All Day — U.S. Treasury Auctions (10-year note, 5-year note + FRN).
⏰ 11:45 AM — Richmond Fed Pres. Tom Barkin speaks.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #tariffs #India #Treasury #earnings #tech #Nvidia
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-26This new video should help you understand the dynamics playing out related to SPY/QQQ, BTCUSD and GOLD/SILVER.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SPYis below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 645.29
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 641.80
My Stop Loss - 647.22
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CRWV - Bearish zigzag sequence in play against 8.12.2025 highIt favors daily zigzag correction since June peak. Below 155.05 high if (B) wave, it should continue downside towards 67.6 or lower. Short term bounce in 2 should expect to fail in simple, double or triple correction to continue downside. SPY is showing impulse sequence from April-2025 low and expect pullback soon, which may fuel more weakness in CRWV.
Google Elliot Wave count adjustedNASDAQ:GOOGL appears to be completing a motif wave 3 with a push into all time high on overbought bearish divergence in the RSI. This would align with 2.618 Fibonacci extension target, a high probability ending point for wave 3.
Wave 4 would be expected to terminate at the nested wave (4) which aligns with triple support - Daily Pivot, High Volume Node and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement. The ascending 200EMA may come to meet price at this point adding confluence.
For now the trend remains up.
Safe trading
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Tuesday, August 26, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for Tuesday, August 26, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
Post-Jackson Hole digestion 🏔️ → markets recalibrate. Traders continue parsing Powell’s keynote; the path of cuts into September remains the dominant driver for $SPY/$TLT/$DXY.
Durables in focus ✈️📦. Core capital goods orders (non-defense ex-air) are the cleanest read on business investment; softness fuels cut odds, strength = “higher-for-longer.”
Housing affordability squeeze 🏠. Case-Shiller and pending sales provide a 2-sided look at price momentum vs. turnover; AMEX:XHB and AMEX:XLY key tickers.
Consumer mood check 🛒😬. Conference Board Confidence frames labor market sentiment and forward spending intentions.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET)
8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Jul)
Consensus: ~-0.3% headline; core orders expected flat/slightly positive.
Why it matters: Big-ticket spending → business cycle pulse.
9:00 AM — S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Jun)
Prior: +6.0% y/y.
Why it matters: Tracks housing inflation pressure; feeds into consumer wealth effect.
10:00 AM — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (Aug)
Prior: 100.3.
Why it matters: Labor perceptions & spending intentions → AMEX:XLY sentiment.
10:00 AM — Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey (Aug)
Regional check on factory activity; complements durables.
10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Jul)
Prior: -4.1% m/m.
Why it matters: Leading indicator of housing turnover; affordability squeeze.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #durablegoods #housing #consumerconfidence #Fed #DXY #TLT