WTIUSD: Bearish Drop to 54.66?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, CFI:WTI is eyeing a bearish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price testing resistance after lower highs in a downward channel, converging with a potential entry zone that could spark downside momentum if sellers defend amid recent volatility. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity in the downtrend, targeting lower support levels with approximately 1:4 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 56.94–57.22 for a short position (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 54.66 . Set a stop loss at a daily close above 57.5 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:4 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging oil's volatility in the channel.🌟
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
56.94 – 57.22
(Entry from current price is valid with proper risk & position sizing.)
🎯 Target:
• 54.66
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close above 57.50
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• ~ 1:4
⚠️ This analysis is the request of one of my followers .
💡 Your view?
Does WTI roll over toward 54.66, or do buyers attempt another squeeze above channel resistance? 👇
Stocks
NFLX: Massive Head-Shoulder-Formation!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about the Netflix stock (NFLX). Recently, I spotted major underlying factors that will be highly determining for the whole upcoming price action. The stock already dumped heavily bearishly towards the downside, almost declining over $150 B in market cap. Such a major pullback is in most cases not followed by an immediate market recovery. Most of the time, such a determining price action is likely to move on forward in the direction it came from.
When looking at the chart, we can see that Netflix is about to complete this massive head-and-shoulders formation. The left shoulder as well as the head of the formation have already been completed. Netflix has this main descending trendline within the whole structure, which serves as a major resistance. Especially, when Netflix moves into this area again, it will highly likely be the origin of massive bearishness and a pullback towards the downside.
This implies that the right shoulder of the whole formation will complete once Netflix pulls back from the descending resistance line towards the downside. Once this happens and Netflix breaks down below the neckline of the head-and-shoulders formation, this will be the origin of the whole bearish continuation setup as it is marked within my chart. This setup will be the perfect entry zone for a potential entry on the short side.
Once the whole formation has been completed, the target area of 60 will be activated. Especially when there is a breakdown with high bearish volatility, this will be the origin of a massive bearish continuation. It will be interesting to watch how Netflix completes this whole formation and continues to reach the target zones. Once the targets are reached, there could be a continuation towards the downside if bearish volatility is high enough.
There are also many fundamental factors that make Netflix a bearish stock. One of them is that Netflix as a company faces major critique because of its $72B Warner Bros. deal. Members of Congress call it an "antitrust nightmare". They also define it as a bad business move. Such actions are likely to attract more and more bearish volume moving into the market. As massive bearish deal structures are likely to increase such dynamics.
With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming.
We will watch out for the main market evolutions.
Thank you very much for watching!
BTDR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:BTDR
🎯 Price appears to have bottomed at the low-cap golden pocket, 78.6 Fibonacci retracement and major High Volume Node support. However, a triangle could be printing, suggesting one more push lower is on the table. Getting above $14.50 will negate this.
📈 Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence, but we need to see some follow though to be confident the bottom is in.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave (B), $6, and the structure will start to look bearish.
Safe trading
CISCO is perhaps one of the best shorts for 2026.Cisco (CSCO) has been trading within a 15-year Channel Up and just last month (Dec 2025) it hit the Internal Higher Highs trend-line, which is the Resistance level that has priced the last two major market Tops (Dec 2021, July 2019).
At the same time, it almost reached its All Time High (ATH) of $82.00, which was priced back at the peak of the Dotcom Bubble in March 2000. With the 1M RSI also overbought last month (73.45), this Higher High test presents a strong long-term sell opportunity, perhaps one of the strongest for 2026.
The reason is that, after every such market top since August 2013, Cisco has always corrected back (Bear Cycle) to its 1M MA100 (green trend-line) as part of a technical Bearish Leg to the 15-year Channel Up. So far such 1M MA100 corrections have happened 5 times (green circles).
The last two major ones (as mentioned after the Jul 2019 and Dec 2021 Tops), declined by -44.43% and -40.16% respectively. Assuming there is a decreasing rate of -4% on each new Bearish Leg, we can claim that the emerging one could drop by -36%. That translates into a $52.00 Target but a direct test of the 1M MA100 is estimated (based on its current trajectory) to take place around $55.00. So a 55.00 - 52.00 Target Zone would seem fair.
If however for some reason, the 1M RSI hits 39.00 before the price reached $55.00, it would be advisable to start buying regardless, as 39.00 has been the Support since 2011, marking not only the 2022 and 2020 bottoms (Higher Lows) but also the first one of the 15-year Channel Up on August 2011.
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TSLA: Historical Gigantic Triangle Breakout, Next 200% in Sight!Hello There,
Welcome to my new analysis about the Tesla stock (TSLA). On the broader and global timeframe perspective, this stock is sending huge and historical signals that should not be underestimated. TSLA is continuously within this major uptrend from where it always had the ability to form new higher highs after the others. Now, TSLA is surging higher into the next spheres. Such price action is indicating massive events likely to follow through in 2026.
As when looking at my chart, we can see there that TSLA already broke out above the upper boundary of this gigantic triangle formation. Such a formation is, in a high number of cases, marking the starting point of a huge expansion towards the upside. Especially as TSLA already completed the wave count within the triangle formation, this is marking a huge confirmation of this gigantic formational structure.
As it is seen within my chart, TSLA is now building up above the upper boundary of this giant formation and is setting up the next bullish setup from where the next phases of the bull run are likely. There are also underlying factors supporting this trend, such as the 100-EMA and 50-EMA. As this uptrend is going on, TSLA has major supports here. From this level, the next bounces are highly likely. Currently the bullish setup is already building up, and a continuation should be expected.
Also, TSLA had the ability to expand their China business massively. Such a gigantic market is likely to boost sales, which in turn is bullish for the underlying stock. This dynamic is also attracting a lot of investors and whales to further move into this stock. It will be fascinating to see this dynamic expand in the upcoming times and how the actual market sets up further dynamics for the price action.
Technically, TSLA is already confirming the next major 200% move. As this whole formation has been completed, this is already the cornerstone of confirmation in this whole structure. Considering such a dynamic, there is a high likelihood that TSLA won't reverse or get stuck within the whole structure. It is important that TSLA stay above the upper boundary of the triangle. As long as this is the case, the next expansionist move is likely to happen soon.
With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming.
We will watch out for the main market evolutions.
Thank you very much for watching!
Cipher Mining(CIFR) 1D: compression before expansionCipher Mining is a US-listed Bitcoin mining company with direct exposure to the BTC cycle and infrastructure scalability.
On the daily chart, price is forming a symmetrical triangle after the prior impulse. The key decision zone sits around 15, where the 0.786 Fibonacci level, diagonal support, MA100 and volume profile align. This area defines the execution zone, while direction is confirmed by higher timeframes.
Direction comes from the higher timeframes. On the weekly and monthly charts, indicators maintain a bullish configuration: moving averages are rising and positioned below price, the broader structure remains intact, and oscillators stay neutral-bullish with no reversal signals. This confirms that the current daily consolidation is occurring within a larger bullish context. The daily MA100 acts as dynamic support inside the range, strengthening the importance of the 15 level.
The base scenario assumes support holding at 15 followed by an upside breakout from the triangle. Initial targets sit near 20.5, followed by 25.5. A decisive breakdown below 15 invalidates the setup.
Fundamentally, CIFR remains a cyclical mining play. Revenue remains elevated, with the next quarterly estimate around $88M. EPS is still negative and free cash flow remains under pressure, which is typical during expansion phases. Strong financing inflows help support liquidity and ongoing infrastructure growth. The stock remains a leveraged bet on Bitcoin continuation.
In short: daily defines the entry, weekly and monthly define the direction.
S&P500 Index Guess for 2026 Using Wall Street Ests
S&P 500 Index
19 hours ago
S&P500 Index Guess for 2026 Using Wall Street Ests
1
1
Grab this chart
256
19 hours ago
Wall Street each January makes an estimate for the year ahead S&P500 Index, the largest index used for indexing returns and for managing capital. It's a fascinating practice to take a 'snapshot' of the mentality of the collective wisdom of Wall Street brokerage firms. These are the top 12 brokers in the US which guide portfolio managers globally.
I included the long term average of 9%-10% as a reference so you can see that in 2025 Wall Street was bullish and clustered right around the average return as shown by the cluster of black rectangles. Oddly, the previous year estimates seem to have a "value support" function too where the market held on the pullback in the first quarter of 2025 at the level of the 2024 guesses. See for yourself how this worked in 2025.
You can also see that the cluster of guesses around 6600 in the SPX created multiple rounds of volatility in the fall of 2025 as the market ran into selling at the "common guess level". This turbulence could have been the result of people either raising cash or rotating from growth to value stocks in the 3rd-4th quarter.
So, on initial glance for 2026, I think the mid-term elections will have the most impact on the market and the uncertainty will cause sideways action through the year and finish with a sub-average, but positive year. IF we go under 6400, then I could see the market head down to 6200-6000 where I had seen it for last year.
Either way, stay tuned as I update this "guess" along the way as I have done in years past. Overall, the batting average is quite good, but decide for yourself.
Wishing you all a healthy and successful 2026!
Tim West
January 6, 2026 2:16PM EST
(hidden since yesterday due to additional scripts accidentally left on the chart hidden)
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Jan 9, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Jan 9, 2026 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
• 🚨 Jobs Day: Payrolls, unemployment, and wages hit together — the single most important macro catalyst of the week.
• Labor cooling vs resilience: Markets assess whether hiring strength holds without reigniting wage pressure.
• Rates and risk reset: Payrolls outcome will drive front-end yields, equity multiples, and January positioning.
• Housing check: Starts and permits add context on rate sensitivity in real economy demand.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
8 30 AM — Labor and Housing
• U.S. Employment Report Dec: 73,000
• Unemployment Rate Dec: 4.5 percent
• Hourly Wages Dec: 0.3 percent
• Hourly Wages Year over Year: 3.6 percent
• Housing Starts Oct: 1.33 million
• Building Permits Oct: 1.34 million
10 00 AM
• UMich Consumer Sentiment Jan: 53.4
⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #JobsReport #NFP #wages #labor #macro #markets #trading
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Jan 8, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Jan 8, 2026 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
• Labor check ahead of payrolls: Jobless claims act as the final labor signal before Friday’s jobs report.
• Growth efficiency read: Productivity data feeds directly into margin and inflation narratives.
• Macro breadth day: Trade deficit and consumer credit round out the growth and demand picture.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
8 30 AM
• Initial Jobless Claims Jan 3: 210,000
• U.S. Trade Deficit Oct: -58.4 billion
• U.S. Productivity Q3: 4.9 percent
3 00 PM
• Consumer Credit Nov: 9.2 billion
⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #JoblessClaims #Productivity #macro #markets #trading #stocks
The Insider Intel Community Is Now Live!We’re excited to announce that our new Insider Intel Community is officially open — built for traders who want to level up their analysis, connect with others, and discuss real market structure setups across Forex and Stocks.
Inside the community, members can access two dedicated trading hubs:
💹 The Trading Floor FX – Focused on Forex price action, ICT concepts, and macro drivers.
📈 The Equity Exchange – Covering stock setups, swing ideas, and long-term plays.
We’re posting more frequent breakdowns, setups, and weekly bias updates within the community to keep discussions structured and informative. You’ll also find built-in trading tools like a heat map, news feed, and economic calendar to support your analysis workflow.
This is a space for traders who value structure, collaboration, and clarity — designed to learn, share, and grow together.
If you’re part of the Insider Intel network, you can now explore the new community area directly through our main portal.
Stay sharp. Trade smart.
— Insider Intel Team
Tesla (TSLA) | Maintaining Bullish Structure & Supporting Key Levels
Tesla continues to show strong bullish structure across the higher timeframes.
Price has respected the monthly Fibonacci golden zone (234–212) as a solid re-entry area, aligning with a bullish order flow and structural break to the upside.
We can see price now consolidating above a key monthly POI (around 384–359), forming a potential continuation zone as it builds liquidity for the next leg higher.
The long-term bullish projection remains intact, with extended targets toward 831–850, completing a full swing move if momentum persists.
The overall structure remains supported by broader NASDAQ tech strength, reinforcing Tesla’s alignment with sector performance.
In our private trading discussions, we explore deeper setups like this — identifying structure shifts, key liquidity pools, and macro confluence zones across multiple assets.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making investment decisions.
PROCTER & GAMBLE Can it turn bullish in 2026?Procter and Gamble (PG) has been within more than 1 year correction since its November 27 2024 All Time High (ATH). Even though we expect the general outlook for the stock market in 2026 to be bearish, PG may turn out to be one of the best investment choices.
The reason is purely technical and has to do with this 1-year correction approaching its 1M MA100 (green trend-line). That has been the stock's absolute buy level since September 2009 and the aftermath of the U.S. Housing Crisis. As you can see it has since offered 4 excellent long-term buy opportunities.
Going further back, PG has been trading within a 26-year Channel Up since the 2000 Dotcom crash. Again the 1M MA100 turned out to be the market's ultimate Support (thus most optimal buy level), making a remarkable triple bottom in the next 12 months. As a result, the 1M MA100 has practically only broken (and that only for 3 months) in early 2009.
In addition to that, the 1M RSI is also about to test its own 26-year Support Zone, which has market PG's four major market bottoms during that time span.
As a result, given that a potential contact now with the 1M MA100 will complete a -26% decline from the recent ATH, exactly the correction % of the 2022 Bearish Leg (Inflation Crisis), there are very high probabilities for the market to find a bottom.
So if that's indeed one of the rare high cap buy opportunities in 2026, what could be the Target. Well PG had three major Bull Cycles (Legs) within this Channel Up, +188.23%, +113.39% and +178.81% respectively. If the Bull Cycle that can start will be minimum +113.53%, then we can expect PG to hit at least $280 before the next Top on the 0.786 Channel Fib.
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SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 1 of 2026SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 1 of 2026
Technical Look:
Price moved exactly as planned in my December 21 Weekly SPY outlook (you can check the linked idea). The market bottomed on December 17, which was also anticipated in my December 14 Weekly SPY prediction. After that, price pushed into all time highs and got rejected from those levels.
Currently, SPY is retracing from the highs and appears to be seeking additional liquidity and energy before any continuation higher. This consolidation phase may take longer than initially expected.
Scenarios – Prediction:
I am tracking two main scenarios for SPY during January 5–9.
Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario
The 684 level is marked as an options put wall. I will be closely watching for a 4H close above this level.
A confirmed 4H close above 684 would indicate that the bullish scenario is in play, and I would look to engage on the long side.
Potential upside targets for this scenario:
686.75 – 689 – 691.75
Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario
If price fails to break above 684 and starts declining, I would consider that SPY is seeking lower prices.
Downside targets in this scenario:
678.75 – 673 – 669.25
If price breaks 678.75 aggressively , I would then consider lower targets to be in play. Otherwise, the 678.75 level could act as a strong bounce zone for a potential upside reaction.
Position Management Notes:
Each target level may cause significant pullbacks or reversals. Personally, I take partial profits at these levels and keep the remaining position open toward the next targets, while trailing the stop loss to breakeven. This is how I manage my positions.
I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
Rejection from Supply Zone Signals Potential Pullback to Key Dem
This is a 2-hour BTC/USD chart showing a structured market move framed by clear supply and demand zones
Supply Zone (Top, ~94k–95k
Price rallies into this upper resistance area and gets rejected, indicating strong selling pressure and exhaustion of the bullish move.
Demand Zone (Bottom, ~86k–87k):
A well-defined accumulation area where buyers previously stepped in, acting as a likely downside magnet if price continues lower.
Ascending Channel:
BTC previously trended higher within a rising channel, making higher highs and higher lows. The recent price action shows a **breakdown from the channel**, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
Consolidation & Key Levels:
The horizontal zone around ~89,978 marks a former consolidation and key support. Price is currently hovering near this level, suggesting it is a critical decision point.
Bearish Projection:
The dashed levels and downward arrows indicate a potential continuation lower with targets first near 87,756 and possibly deeper toward the demand zone if support fails.
Overall Interpretation:
The chart suggests a short-term bearish correction after a strong uptrend, driven by rejection at supply. Unless BTC reclaims the broken channel and consolidation support, price is likely to seek liquidity at lower demand levels before any meaningful bounce.
Huntsman Corp $HUN — The "Cheat" BreakoutHuntsman Corp: the company is a global leader in specialty chemicals, specifically dominating the MDI-based polyurethane market which accounts for roughly 75% of its operations and serves critical "future-proof" sectors like energy-saving insulation, automotive light-weighting, and EV battery encapsulation.
While the stock has weathered a difficult cyclical trough—marked by a significant 65% dividend reset in late 2025 to preserve cash—the bull case for 2026 rests on its aggressive $100 million cost-restructuring program and its strategic pivot away from volatile commodity chemicals toward high-margin "differentiated" products.
Huntsman’s high operating leverage is positioned to convert modest volume gains into an outsized earnings breakout.
DJI - Ascending Channel Rejection at 49,000 | Trump Policy
Executive Summary
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) trading at 48,996.08 after a sharp 466-point drop (-0.94%) on January 7, 2026. Price rejected from the upper ascending channel resistance near 49,600 and is now consolidating within a key support zone between 48,500-49,000. Despite the pullback, the Dow just triggered a rare Dow Theory buy signal on January 6 when both the Dow Industrials and Dow Transports hit record highs simultaneously - the first such signal in over a year. Trump policy headlines creating volatility, but the secular bull market remains intact.
BIAS: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH - Support Zone Test
The trend remains bullish on higher timeframes. Current pullback is a healthy consolidation within the ascending channel. Watch the 48,500-49,000 support zone for bounce or breakdown.
Current Market Data - January 8, 2026
Current Price: 48,996.08 (-466.00 / -0.94%)
Day's Range: 48,951.99 - 49,621.43
52-Week Range: 36,611.78 - 49,621.43
Market Status: Closed (Last update Jan 7, 17:00 GMT-5)
Index Type: CFD
Performance Metrics:
1 Week: +1.29%
1 Month: +2.14%
3 Months: +5.09%
6 Months: +10.15%
YTD: +1.85%
1 Year: +14.45%
All timeframes positive. Best 4-day start to a year since 2018 (+1.9% through first 4 trading days).
THE BIG STORY - Dow Theory Buy Signal + Trump Policy Chaos
Historic Dow Theory Signal
On January 6, 2026, the Dow Theory flashed a bullish signal for the first time in more than a year. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Dow Jones Transportation Average tallied record closing highs on the same day - a classic confirmation that the secular bull market remains alive and well.
Key points:
Dow Industrials hit record high of 49,462.08 on Jan 6
Dow Transports hit first record since Nov 25, 2024
100-year-old indicator confirms bull market intact
Rotation trade benefiting cyclicals and value stocks
Transportation stocks big beneficiaries of rotation
Trump Policy Headlines Creating Volatility
We're only one week into 2026 and the market is already dealing with a flood of geopolitical headlines:
Trump called for 50%+ increase in U.S. defense budget to $1.5 trillion by 2027
Executive order blocking defense contractors from dividends/buybacks until they speed up production
Plans to ban Wall Street firms from buying single-family homes
U.S. intervention in Venezuela - deal to import $2B of Venezuelan crude
"Donroe Doctrine" drama targeting Greenland, Colombia, Cuba
European defense stocks hitting record highs on spending expectations
MACRO DRIVERS - What's Moving the Dow
1. Defense Sector Turmoil
Trump's executive order sent defense stocks tumbling:
Lockheed Martin (LMT): -4.8%
Northrop Grumman: -5.5%
General Dynamics: -3.6%
RTX (Raytheon): -2.5%
European defense stocks at record highs (BAE +5.8%, Leonardo +4.4%)
Stocks bounced in afterhours trading
2. Financial Sector Weakness
JPMorgan Chase (JPM): -2.3% after Wolfe Research downgrade
Blackstone: -5.6% on housing ban news
Invitation Homes: -6% on single-family home ban
Banks expected to report higher Q4 profits next week
Investment banking revenue accelerating
3. Labor Market Data Mixed
JOLTS: Job openings fell to 14-month low in November
ADP: Private payrolls +41,000 in December (weak)
Initial jobless claims: 214,000 (better than expected)
Friday's NFP report is the key data point
Unemployment expected to drop to 4.5% from 4.6%
4. Fed Policy Outlook
83% odds Fed pauses at Jan 27-28 meeting
Hot economy could mean fewer rate cuts
Need unemployment near 5% for significant easing
Few economists expect that in near term
Rate cut expectations fading
5. Venezuela Oil Deal
Trump deal to import up to 50 million barrels of Venezuelan crude
U.S. "selectively rolling back sanctions" on Venezuelan oil
Revenue to stabilize Venezuela economy
Repay Exxon and ConocoPhillips for nationalized assets
Oil prices fell sharply on supply expectations
Brent: $59.96 | WTI: $55.99
Technical Structure Analysis - 45 Minute Timeframe
Ascending Channel Pattern
The chart shows a well-defined ascending channel (blue shaded area):
Lower trendline support connecting higher lows
Upper trendline resistance connecting higher highs
Channel intact since mid-December
Price rejected from upper channel resistance near 49,600
Currently testing mid-channel support zone
Dashed midline providing dynamic support/resistance
Key Price Action
Jan 6: Hit record high 49,462.08 (Dow Theory confirmation)
Jan 7: Rejected from 49,621.43 intraday high
Sharp 466-point drop (-0.94%)
Now consolidating at 48,996.08
Testing critical support zone
Key Levels
Resistance:
49,621.43 - 52-WEEK HIGH / Day's high (red line)
49,462.08 - Jan 6 record close
49,300-49,400 - Upper channel resistance zone (pink box)
50,000 - Psychological round number
Support:
48,951.99 - Day's low / immediate support
48,500-49,000 - Current support zone (pink box on chart)
48,300 - Channel midline support (dashed line)
47,600 - Lower channel support (red line)
47,300 - Major support level
SCENARIO ANALYSIS
BULLISH SCENARIO - Bounce from Support Zone
Trigger Conditions:
Price holds 48,500-49,000 support zone
Bullish rejection candle on 45min/1H
Volume confirmation on bounce
Defense stocks stabilize
Friday NFP comes in strong
Price Targets if Bullish:
Target 1: 49,300-49,400 (upper channel)
Target 2: 49,621 (52-week high retest)
Target 3: 50,000 (psychological)
Extended: 50,500+ (new ATH territory)
BEARISH SCENARIO - Channel Breakdown
Trigger Conditions:
Price breaks below 48,500 support
Volume confirmation on breakdown
Defense sector continues selling
Weak NFP data Friday
Fed hawkish signals
Price Targets if Bearish:
Target 1: 48,300 (channel midline)
Target 2: 47,600 (lower channel support)
Target 3: 47,300 (major support)
Extended: 46,500 (deeper correction)
NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Range Consolidation
Most likely short-term outcome:
Price consolidates between 48,500-49,300
Wait for Friday NFP for direction
Digest Trump policy headlines
Healthy consolidation before next leg
Dow Theory signal provides floor
MY ASSESSMENT - CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH
Bullish Factors (Dominant):
Dow Theory buy signal (first in over a year)
Best 4-day start since 2018
All performance metrics positive
Secular bull market intact since Oct 2022
Ascending channel structure holding
Rotation into cyclicals/value continuing
Strong Q3 GDP (4.3%)
Banks expected to report strong Q4
M&A activity surging
Bearish Factors (Caution):
Sharp rejection from 52-week high
Defense sector turmoil (Dow components)
Trump policy uncertainty
Fed rate cut expectations fading
Friday NFP risk event
Elevated valuations (98th percentile)
My Stance: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH - Buy Support Zone
The Dow Theory signal is significant - this 100-year-old indicator just confirmed the bull market is alive. The pullback from 49,621 to 48,996 is a healthy 1.3% correction within the ascending channel. The 48,500-49,000 support zone is the key level to watch.
Strategy:
Watch for bounce at 48,500-49,000 support zone
Long on bullish rejection candle with volume
Target 49,300-49,400 (upper channel)
Extended target 49,621 (52-week high)
Stop below 48,300 (channel midline)
Wait for Friday NFP before large positions
Trade Framework
Scenario 1: Support Zone Bounce
Entry Conditions:
Price tests 48,500-48,800 zone
Bullish rejection candle (hammer, engulfing)
Volume spike on bounce
RSI oversold on lower timeframes
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 48,500-48,800 at support
Stop Loss: 48,200 below support zone
Target 1: 49,300 (upper channel)
Target 2: 49,621 (52-week high)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5
Scenario 2: Breakout Above 52-Week High
Entry Conditions:
Price breaks above 49,621 with volume
Momentum indicators confirming
Strong NFP data Friday
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 49,650-49,700 on confirmed breakout
Stop Loss: 49,200 below recent support
Target 1: 50,000 (psychological)
Target 2: 50,500 (new ATH territory)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2
Scenario 3: Channel Breakdown
Entry Conditions:
Price breaks below 48,300 channel midline
Volume confirmation
Defense stocks continue selling
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 48,200-48,300 on confirmed breakdown
Stop Loss: 48,700 above breakdown level
Target 1: 47,600 (lower channel)
Target 2: 47,300 (major support)
Risk-Reward: ~1:1.5
Risk Management Guidelines
Position sizing: 1-2% max risk per trade
Friday NFP is major risk event - reduce size before
Trump headlines can move markets suddenly
Defense stocks are Dow components - watch sector
Scale out at targets
Don't fight the trend - it's still bullish
Key Events to Watch
Thursday Jan 8: Initial jobless claims, trade deficit, Q3 productivity
Friday Jan 9: December Non-Farm Payrolls (KEY EVENT)
Next Week: Bank earnings begin (JPM, BAC, WFC, C)
Jan 27-28: FOMC Meeting (83% odds of pause)
Invalidation Levels
Bullish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes below 47,600 (lower channel)
Dow Transports break down significantly
VIX spikes above 20
Major geopolitical escalation
Bearish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes above 49,621 (new ATH)
Strong NFP data Friday
Defense stocks recover
Fed signals more rate cuts
Conclusion
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at a critical juncture after rejecting from the 52-week high. The Dow Theory buy signal confirms the secular bull market is intact, but Trump policy headlines are creating short-term volatility.
The Numbers:
Current Price: 48,996.08
52-Week High: 49,621.43
YTD Performance: +1.85%
1-Year Performance: +14.45%
Best 4-day start since 2018
Key Levels:
49,621 - 52-WEEK HIGH (bullish target)
49,300-49,400 - Upper channel resistance
48,996 - Current price
48,500-49,000 - Support zone (WATCH THIS)
47,600 - Lower channel support
The Setup:
Dow Theory just flashed a buy signal for the first time in over a year. The ascending channel is intact. The pullback is healthy. Watch the 48,500-49,000 support zone for the next move.
Strategy:
Buy support zone (48,500-49,000)
Target 49,300-49,400 (upper channel)
Extended target 49,621 (52-week high)
Stop below 48,300
Wait for Friday NFP for confirmation
The Dow Theory signal says the bull market is alive. Trade accordingly.
List your thoughts below!
TSLA- Want to buy? Be aware of deeper correction, wait on 370/80Tesla has made a very nice recovery from the April 2025 lows and even reached new highs near the 500 area, but we are now seeing an interesting retracement at the start of 2026. This pullback can still be corrective, but it should be deeper then, as we are still missing the three subwaves within wave four, before the market can complete this correction.
A very interesting support zone for those looking to rejoin the trend comes in around the 380 -370 area. This zone aligns with the previous fourth wave area and the former swing high from May 2025. The Elliott Wave Oscillator also points room to more downside, as momentum could likely reach levels similar to those seen around the July and November 2025 as shown on the daily chart, withi hilighted arrows on the indicator.
Highlights
• Key support zone to watch is 380–370
• Current pullback likely part of wave four, still missing three subwaves
• Elliott Wave Oscillator suggests deeper pullback is due
• Broader bullish structure remains valid above the 275–277 invalidation zone
Breaking: UniFirst Announces Financial Results For Q1 2026UniFirst Corporation (NYSE: UNF) (“UniFirst” or the “Company”) today reported results for its fiscal 2026 first quarter ended November 29, 2025.
First Quarter 2026 Consolidated Results
Consolidated revenues increased 2.7% to $621.3 million compared to $604.9 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by organic growth in the core Uniform & Facility Service Solutions segment.
Operating margin was 7.3% compared to 9.2% in the prior year period, reflecting planned investments in growth and digital transformation initiatives.
Net income was $34.4 million compared to $43.1 million in the prior year period and diluted earnings per share was $1.89 compared to $2.31 in the prior year period.
Adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.3% compared to 15.5% in the prior year period.
The quarterly tax rate was 26.9% compared to 25.6% in the prior year period.
Financial Performance
In 2025, UniFirst's revenue was $2.43 billion, an increase of 0.20% compared to the previous year's $2.43 billion. Earnings were $148.27 million, an increase of 1.92%.
About UNF
UniFirst Corporation provides workplace uniforms and protective work wear clothing in the United States, Europe, and Canada. It operates in three segments: Uniform & Facility Service Solutions; First Aid & Safety Solutions; and Other.
EUR/USD Bearish Breakdown – Targets in FocusThis EUR/USD 2-hour chart shows a clear bearish trend. Price moved from consolidation into a rising channel, then formed a rounding top and broke down. After a brief pullback, EUR/USD continues to trade inside a descending channel, aiming toward lower support levels marked as the 1st and 2nd targets.
Quantum's NQ Trade Thesis 1/9/26SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ 📸
💡Mixed data this AM so need to see how the market reacts on open. Also have tariff decision today so that could also provide another huge move.
🟢Bullish if... Above pivot at 25,731 with buyside support
🔴Bearish if... Under pivot down to buyside support/poc around 25,670s.
📍Pivot - 25,731
📈Upside 🧲 25,818 - 25,838 - 25,850 - 25,863
📉Downside🧲 25,731 - 25,710 - 25,687 - 25,638
⚠️News:
8:30am
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Non-Farm Employment Change
Unemployment Rate
Housing Permits
Housing Starts
10:00am
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
Nuclear Renaissance: Why $NNE is Primed for a 2026 MoonshotCan NASDAQ:NNE find the momentum to return to the upper trend-line?
Technically, we are looking for a continuation of the bounce off the lower boundary to validate the next leg up.
While these lines are extrapolated, the historical respect for this channel suggests a significant 'reversion to the mean' or a push toward the upper standard deviation if the current news cycle continues to favour small modular reactors (SMRs).
The AI Power Crunch: By 2026, the demand for "always-on" carbon-free power for AI data centres has moved from theory to urgent necessity.
Tech giants like #Meta and #Amazon are actively signing nuclear deals, and NASDAQ:NNE ’s portable micro-reactors (KRONOS and ZEUS) are positioned as the "plug-and-play" solution for these power-hungry hubs.
What do you think? Are we heading back to the top of the channel, or is a breakdown imminent?"






















