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Bitcoin - Range High Pressure, Expansion or Rejection AheadHappy New Year everyone 🎉 I hope you all had a great start to the year. I have been offline for a while due to holidays and some personal stuff, but I am back and ready to start posting trade ideas again. Let’s kick things off with a fresh look at Bitcoin based on the chart I shared. Market Overview Bitcoin has been in a corrective and consolidative phase after the impulsive move down, and price is now trading back into a very clear range. The market structure has shifted from aggressive selling into more balanced, rotational price action, which tells me the market is waiting for a catalyst. Price is currently pushing into the top of this range, an area that has already proven to be meaningful resistance. Range Structure and Key Zones The chart shows a well defined range with a clean support zone at the low of the range and a clear resistance zone at the top. These zones have been respected multiple times, which adds confidence to their validity. Right now, price is testing the top of the range, which is the current resistance, and this is where reactions are expected. Until we see a decisive break, this remains a range environment, not a trend. Bullish Scenario and Expansion Idea If Bitcoin manages to accept above the top of the range, this opens the door for continuation higher. Of course, we are going to have to break the 100k price range first, but if that happens with strong participation and volume, the potential target marked on the chart becomes realistic. In that case, dips into prior resistance could act as support, and price could start building higher highs and higher lows from there. Bearish Scenario and Rejection Risk On the other hand, this area is still resistance until proven otherwise. A rejection from the top of the range would fit perfectly within the current range logic. If buyers fail to hold this level, price can rotate back down through the range and revisit the low of the range, which is the current support. This would keep Bitcoin stuck in consolidation and delay any larger expansion move. What I Am Watching Now The most important thing for me here is acceptance or rejection at the top of the range. I want to see how price behaves inside and around this resistance zone. Strong follow through favors the upside scenario, while weak closes and rejection wicks increase the probability of another rotation lower. Patience is key here, the range will eventually break, but timing matters. Conclusion Bitcoin is at a decision point. The range is clearly defined, the key levels are obvious, and price is now testing the upper boundary. Whether we see expansion toward the potential target or a rotation back toward support will depend on how price reacts at this resistance. Until the market shows its hand, respecting the range and letting price confirm is the smartest approach. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
59
Rejection from Supply Zone Signals Potential Pullback to Key Dem This is a 2-hour BTC/USD chart showing a structured market move framed by clear supply and demand zones Supply Zone (Top, ~94k–95k Price rallies into this upper resistance area and gets rejected, indicating strong selling pressure and exhaustion of the bullish move. Demand Zone (Bottom, ~86k–87k): A well-defined accumulation area where buyers previously stepped in, acting as a likely downside magnet if price continues lower. Ascending Channel: BTC previously trended higher within a rising channel, making higher highs and higher lows. The recent price action shows a **breakdown from the channel**, signaling weakening bullish momentum. Consolidation & Key Levels: The horizontal zone around ~89,978 marks a former consolidation and key support. Price is currently hovering near this level, suggesting it is a critical decision point. Bearish Projection: The dashed levels and downward arrows indicate a potential continuation lower with targets first near 87,756 and possibly deeper toward the demand zone if support fails. Overall Interpretation: The chart suggests a short-term bearish correction after a strong uptrend, driven by rejection at supply. Unless BTC reclaims the broken channel and consolidation support, price is likely to seek liquidity at lower demand levels before any meaningful bounce.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
2
S&P500 This is the level that confirms the Bear Cycle.The S&P500 (SPX) has reached a point where it could be on the verge of initiating a new Bear Cycle as the price action that led to the end of 2025 (mostly Q4) has been very similar with the one in late 2021 that kick-started the 2022 Bear Cycle. What confirmed that Bear Cycle was the market closing a 1W candle below the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). This is extremely critical as it has already proven its role as a catalyst during the most recent short-term pull-back in November, where it held upon tested on the week of November 17 2025 and thus rebounded. This is exactly what took place in November 2021, with the index eventually closing a 1W candle below the 1D MA100 almost 2 months later on the week of January 17 2022. That confirmed the 2022 Bear Cycle as the sell-off was accelerated and in just 1 week, the market even hit the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The structure between the two fractals is so far very similar, with a huge 1W RSI Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs against price's Higher Highs) leading the index towards a potential Top. If the price action continues to repeat that of 2022, then we are looking at the very real possibility of a -27.60% overall correction within roughly 12 months time, with the first potential Target being the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) around 5350 and second the full -27.60% extension at 5050. Those two levels technically form the potential Buy Zone for the next Bull Cycle. The metric though that cannot be ignored as far as long-term buying is concerned, is the 1W RSI, which has historically given optimal buy opportunities when it turned oversold (i.e. 30.00 or below). If this level is hit before any of the above two Targets, we will be turning into long-term buyers again regardless. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TradingShot
5
S&P500 Index Guess for 2026 Using Wall Street Ests S&P 500 Index 19 hours ago S&P500 Index Guess for 2026 Using Wall Street Ests 1 1 Grab this chart 256 19 hours ago Wall Street each January makes an estimate for the year ahead S&P500 Index, the largest index used for indexing returns and for managing capital. It's a fascinating practice to take a 'snapshot' of the mentality of the collective wisdom of Wall Street brokerage firms. These are the top 12 brokers in the US which guide portfolio managers globally. I included the long term average of 9%-10% as a reference so you can see that in 2025 Wall Street was bullish and clustered right around the average return as shown by the cluster of black rectangles. Oddly, the previous year estimates seem to have a "value support" function too where the market held on the pullback in the first quarter of 2025 at the level of the 2024 guesses. See for yourself how this worked in 2025. You can also see that the cluster of guesses around 6600 in the SPX created multiple rounds of volatility in the fall of 2025 as the market ran into selling at the "common guess level". This turbulence could have been the result of people either raising cash or rotating from growth to value stocks in the 3rd-4th quarter. So, on initial glance for 2026, I think the mid-term elections will have the most impact on the market and the uncertainty will cause sideways action through the year and finish with a sub-average, but positive year. IF we go under 6400, then I could see the market head down to 6200-6000 where I had seen it for last year. Either way, stay tuned as I update this "guess" along the way as I have done in years past. Overall, the batting average is quite good, but decide for yourself. Wishing you all a healthy and successful 2026! Tim West January 6, 2026 2:16PM EST (hidden since yesterday due to additional scripts accidentally left on the chart hidden)
EIGHTCAP:SPX500Long
by timwest
1
NZDUSD Breakout and Potential Retrace!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are closely monitoring NZDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.57600 zone. NZDUSD has successfully broken out of its previous downtrend, signaling a shift in market structure. The pair is now in a corrective pullback, approaching a key retracement level and the 0.57600 support-turned-resistance zone, which may act as a strong demand area for bullish continuation. From a fundamental perspective, ongoing weakness in the US Dollar, driven by growing expectations of a potential interest rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, continues to support USD-based downside moves. This macro backdrop favors risk-sensitive currencies such as the New Zealand Dollar, reinforcing the bullish bias on NZDUSD. As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
14
Micro Silver Futures Rally Into Supply With Potential Pullback This is a 2-hour Micro Silver Futures (COMEX) chart** showing price action from mid-December into early January 2026. Trend context: Price previously moved higher within an upward channel, indicating a strong bullish phase. That trend later transitioned into range-bound and corrective price action. Supply zone (upper red band ~79–80) The chart highlights a clear **supply/resistance area** where price was previously rejected. Current price is again approaching this zone, suggesting selling pressure may re-emerge. Support zone / 1st target (~71–72) A well-defined **support zone is marked below current price. This area acted as a reaction base multiple times and is labeled as the **first downside target** if price pulls back. Lower support / 2nd target (~64–65) A broader and deeper **demand/support zone** is identified as a **second downside target**, representing a more significant correction level. Indicator structure: The blue stepped lines (likely a volatility or channel-based indicator) show price oscillating between upper and lower boundaries, reinforcing the idea of **mean reversion between supply and support**. * **Overall bias illustrated:** The chart visually suggests **upside is limited near supply**, with arrows indicating a **potential downward move** toward the first support zone, and possibly the second if momentum weakens further. In summary, the chart presents a market **testing resistance after a strong advance**, with clearly mapped **support levels below** that may come into play if a pullback occurs.
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
8
PROCTER & GAMBLE Can it turn bullish in 2026?Procter and Gamble (PG) has been within more than 1 year correction since its November 27 2024 All Time High (ATH). Even though we expect the general outlook for the stock market in 2026 to be bearish, PG may turn out to be one of the best investment choices. The reason is purely technical and has to do with this 1-year correction approaching its 1M MA100 (green trend-line). That has been the stock's absolute buy level since September 2009 and the aftermath of the U.S. Housing Crisis. As you can see it has since offered 4 excellent long-term buy opportunities. Going further back, PG has been trading within a 26-year Channel Up since the 2000 Dotcom crash. Again the 1M MA100 turned out to be the market's ultimate Support (thus most optimal buy level), making a remarkable triple bottom in the next 12 months. As a result, the 1M MA100 has practically only broken (and that only for 3 months) in early 2009. In addition to that, the 1M RSI is also about to test its own 26-year Support Zone, which has market PG's four major market bottoms during that time span. As a result, given that a potential contact now with the 1M MA100 will complete a -26% decline from the recent ATH, exactly the correction % of the 2022 Bearish Leg (Inflation Crisis), there are very high probabilities for the market to find a bottom. So if that's indeed one of the rare high cap buy opportunities in 2026, what could be the Target. Well PG had three major Bull Cycles (Legs) within this Channel Up, +188.23%, +113.39% and +178.81% respectively. If the Bull Cycle that can start will be minimum +113.53%, then we can expect PG to hit at least $280 before the next Top on the 0.786 Channel Fib. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:PG
by TradingShot
SAP Approaches a Key Weekly Support Area Worth WatchingSAP remains a core European enterprise software name, with its AI-driven cloud transition back in focus. Technically, price has arrived at a level I’ve been waiting for for quite some time. The strongest area on the current chart for a mid- to long-term investor to keep an eye on sits roughly between €180 and €206. Why is this zone so important? Because multiple technical criteria align in this area in a clean and compact way. Criteria inside the highlighted box: 1. Channel projections — both larger and smaller structures. 2. Equal waves. 3. Fibonacci retracement (38.2%) — in strong long-term trends, these levels often act as key reaction zones. 4. Round number €200 — psychological levels matter, especially for long-term positioning. 5. Previous highs — the pause in early 2024 now starts to offer liquidity that can act as support. 6. Weekly EMA 200 — last, but definitely not least. From a purely technical perspective, initiating a mid- to long-term position from this zone would not be a mistake. This clears the first filter — technical structure. From here, fundamentals and your own thesis should take over. My role is to make sure you don’t make technical mistakes , and at current levels,you don't. If this was helpful, feel free to hit the LIKE / Boost button. See you soon. Cheers, Vaido
XETR:SAP
by VaidoVeek
MICRON scripted blue-print. More than -50% sell-off expected.Micron Technology (MU) is on an amazing long-term rally since the April 2025 Low, currently on the 6th straight green month (1M candle) and 8th in the last 9 months. Its historic price action however shows that this remarkable uptrend may be coming to an end as the price is approaching the top of its 17-year Channel Up (started after the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis). Technically, this post April 2025 rally, is the Bullish Leg of this Channel Up and it already broke above the 0.786 Channel Fibonacci, a level that has only broken 3 times in total, with the last being in June 2018. At the same time, it is close to completing a +601.35% rise, which despite being unusually high, Micron has done such rally 3 times in the past. The remarkable feat is that all those rallies where exactly +601.35%! Last but not least, the 1M RSI is massively overbought and is approaching Resistance 2 (89.00), which was last seen on the June 2014 High. All those factors collectively, force a huge bearish dynamic long-term. At best, we may see this rally exhaust near $440 on the short-term, thus fulfilling the +601.35% Bullish Leg blue-print but on the long-term the value of selling give much higher return. And as far as a potential Target for this upcoming Bear Cycle is concerned, the 0.236 Channel Fibonacci level is the strongest candidate as virtually all major corrections since 2011 have hit that trend-line before the market bottomed. As this chart shows, the 0.236 Fib level has been touched 6 times since 2011, with the market hitting at least its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) in the process on a minimum -50% decline. The 1M MA100 (green trend-line) has been its true long-term Support since July 2016. As a result, it is highly probable that Micron drops below the 1M MA50 and hits the 0.236 Fib at around $140 before the market bottoms and turns into a long-term Buy again. At the same time, it is useful to keep an eye on the 1M RSI and Support Zone 1. This has given the last 3 major Buy Signals since December 2018. As a result, if the stock hits that level before reaching $140, we will turn into long-term buyers regardless of the price. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MU
by TradingShot
1
DJIA: Major Formation About to Breakout!Hello There, welcome to my new analysis about the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA). The index recently came through with some important developments that caught my attention. Especially, the bullish build-up should not be underestimated here. Currently, the index has already completed a main formation, which is setting up the path for further price action upcoming. In my analysis I detected the most important signs to consider for the upcoming price action. As when looking at my chart, we can see there that the DJIA is trading within this major ascending channel formation. Within this formation, the Dow Jones already bounced several times within the lower boundary. These signs are really bullish and point to a continuation of the bullishness and a major breakout just about to set up. Currently the index is already penetrating the upper boundary of the ascending channel, marking a structure from which a breakout is likely. The most important part within this whole structure is the inverse head and shoulder formation. Within this formation, the left shoulder and the head were already formed. Now the index is about to complete the right shoulder of the whole formation. Once the breakout happens and the index stabilizes above the neckline, the whole formation will be completed. Once this major breakout happens, the target zones as seen in my chart will be activated. What should not be underestimated here also is that a majority of analyst recommendations point in the bullish buy direction. Therefore, the index is currently considered as a strong buy candidate. Also, there are many major industry developments that support further bullish price action within the next times. Especially when the index attracts more industry leverage from major firms moving into the market, this will also confirm the breakout from a fundamental perspective. Right now, we will watch out for the major confirmational price actions to set up within the upcoming times. Especially when a strong breakout happens, this will confirm the next steps within the structure. Currently, there are not many signs of invalidation. However, when the index falls below the 48600 level, this will firstly invalidate the bullish continuation. If this happens, further assumptions need to be made. With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming. We will watch out for the main market evolutions. Thank you very much for watching!
TVC:DJI
by VincePrince
2
The Honest Company (HNST): decision zone, not imaginationPrice is testing a strong support area where diagonal support, volume profile and the 0.618 Fibonacci zone converge. This level previously acted as a launchpad for impulsive moves, and price is reacting again. Selling pressure is fading, downside volume is drying up, and the structure remains intact. No breakdown so far - this is a technical test, not weakness. The first objective is a recovery back toward the 3.90–4.00 area. Holding above support opens the path to 5.50 and later toward the 6.00+ zone, where heavy volume is located. The scenario is invalidated only by a clean breakdown below support with no recovery. Fundamentally, the picture is stabilizing. The company printed positive EPS in 2025, quarterly revenue remains in the 90–100M USD range, and forward estimates show no deterioration. The market is asking one question: does this base hold? The answer is being written right now.
NASDAQ:HNSTLong
by TotoshkaTrades
IonQ (NASDAQ: IONQ) – Strong Reversal Structure Forming Within WIonQ is showing strong signs of recovery, holding firmly within the Fib golden zone and an overlapping weekly FVG that aligns with an OTE retracement, which previously broke market structure to the upside. This confluence zone has proven to be a solid base of support, and as long as price continues to respect this level, the bias remains bullish. From a swing perspective, our primary target zone sits around $136, completing a full bullish swing structure. Notably, recent fundamental analysis supports this outlook — with sources such as Yahoo Finance projecting long-term growth potential and even forecasting possible $1,000 price targets in extended market cycles. Technical View: - Weekly structure: bullish BOS confirmed - Price holding key FVG/OTE confluence - Next major liquidity targets: $84 → $136 Disclaimer: This breakdown is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research) before making investment or trading decisions.
NYSE:IONQLong
by INSIDER_INTEL
Dow Approaches the 50,000 Mark with CautionZooming out to the monthly time frame, a clear contracting price structure emerges, connecting consecutive higher highs from January 2022, November 2024, and December 2025. This diagonal-like formation increases the risk of sharper price scenarios as the Dow approaches the 50,000-threshold. Should a clean breakout above the 50,000 level occur, price extensions toward 51,300 and 53,000 become likely. These targets are derived using the Fibonacci extension tool, measured from the September 2022 low to the November 2024 high, and projected from the April 2025 low. On the downside, in line with overbought monthly RSI conditions and a trendline connecting higher highs between 2022 and 2025, a sustained move below 48,000 could extend corrective projections toward 45,000 and potentially 40,500. Such a scenario would likely coincide with a broader market pullback or corrective phase before the longer-term uptrend resumes. Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREX.com
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Jan 7, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Jan 7, 2026 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • Services and labor cross-check: ADP, ISM Services, and Job Openings together shape the near-term labor and growth narrative. • Rates sensitivity: Markets will gauge whether services strength offsets soft manufacturing momentum from earlier in the week. • Setup into Friday jobs: Today’s data can influence positioning ahead of the official employment report. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) 8 15 AM • ADP Employment Change Dec: 48,000 10 00 AM • ISM Services Index Dec: 52.2 percent • Job Openings Nov: 7.6 million • Factory Orders Oct: -1.2 percent ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #ISM #ADP #JOLTS #macro #markets #trading
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
NFLX: Massive Head-Shoulder-Formation!Hello There, welcome to my new analysis about the Netflix stock (NFLX). Recently, I spotted major underlying factors that will be highly determining for the whole upcoming price action. The stock already dumped heavily bearishly towards the downside, almost declining over $150 B in market cap. Such a major pullback is in most cases not followed by an immediate market recovery. Most of the time, such a determining price action is likely to move on forward in the direction it came from. When looking at the chart, we can see that Netflix is about to complete this massive head-and-shoulders formation. The left shoulder as well as the head of the formation have already been completed. Netflix has this main descending trendline within the whole structure, which serves as a major resistance. Especially, when Netflix moves into this area again, it will highly likely be the origin of massive bearishness and a pullback towards the downside. This implies that the right shoulder of the whole formation will complete once Netflix pulls back from the descending resistance line towards the downside. Once this happens and Netflix breaks down below the neckline of the head-and-shoulders formation, this will be the origin of the whole bearish continuation setup as it is marked within my chart. This setup will be the perfect entry zone for a potential entry on the short side. Once the whole formation has been completed, the target area of 60 will be activated. Especially when there is a breakdown with high bearish volatility, this will be the origin of a massive bearish continuation. It will be interesting to watch how Netflix completes this whole formation and continues to reach the target zones. Once the targets are reached, there could be a continuation towards the downside if bearish volatility is high enough. There are also many fundamental factors that make Netflix a bearish stock. One of them is that Netflix as a company faces major critique because of its $72B Warner Bros. deal. Members of Congress call it an "antitrust nightmare". They also define it as a bad business move. Such actions are likely to attract more and more bearish volume moving into the market. As massive bearish deal structures are likely to increase such dynamics. With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming. We will watch out for the main market evolutions. Thank you very much for watching!
NASDAQ:NFLX
by VincePrince
1
SMR 1D: Small reactors. Big nerves.I am looking at NuScale Power without emotions. After a strong impulsive move, the price is in a deep correction phase and is now forming a base. The key focus is not old trendlines, but current market behavior. On the daily chart, RSI reached oversold levels and started to turn up, while price is no longer making aggressive new lows. This signals weakening selling pressure. Volume increased noticeably in the 16.50–18.00 zone, suggesting accumulation rather than panic selling. This is not a fast reversal, but a classic stabilization phase after a sharp sell off. From a technical perspective, as long as this base holds, a recovery scenario remains valid. Initial upside levels are around 23.50, followed by 30.65. In a more optimistic scenario, the 42.00 area becomes relevant, but only if momentum and volume continue to confirm. Fundamentally, NuScale remains a high risk but strategic story. The company continues to develop small modular nuclear reactors, targeting long term demand from energy infrastructure and data centers. As of late 2025, profitability is still negative, with Q4 2025 EPS estimated around −0.16 USD, which is already priced in by the market. Revenue remains modest, with near term estimates around 9 million USD, but the real value lies in government backed programs, long term energy contracts, and the strategic role of SMR technology in the energy transition. This is why the stock reacts sharply to any shift in sentiment around nuclear energy and infrastructure spending. For me, this is not a place for excitement, but a zone to watch carefully. As long as RSI continues to recover and volume confirms demand, the base scenario stays constructive. If the base fails, the market will quickly remind us that future technologies still come with present day risks. Nuclear energy promises stability. The SMR chart reminds us that the road there is anything but calm.
NYSE:SMRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
3
RGTI: The Bullish Dragon Awakens for 2026 The Bull Case: Technical Setup: The Dragon Pattern We are witnessing a textbook Bullish Dragon formation on the Rigetti chart, signaling a major trend reversal. The Head: Formed at the previous swing high before the initial decline. The Feet: We have two distinct lows—the "Left Foot" followed by a higher "Right Foot." This higher low indicates that selling pressure is exhausted and buyers are stepping in earlier than before. The Hump: The mid-pattern peak that provides our primary resistance level. The Trigger (Tail): A breakout above the trendline connecting the "Head" and the "Hump" confirms the pattern. With the stock recently showing resilience around the $23.60–$25.00 level, a move above the hump will confirm the "Tail" extension toward targets at $35.00 and $50.00. Fundamental Bull Case: 2026 Technology Roadmap: Rigetti is on track to deploy its 150+ qubit system by late 2026, targeting a 99.7% median two-qubit gate fidelity. This is a critical step toward their 1,000+ qubit goal in 2027. Strong Liquidity: As of late 2025, Rigetti fortified its balance sheet with roughly $600 million in cash and equivalents, providing a substantial runway for R&D without the immediate need for dilutive financing. Strategic Partnerships: Recent support for NVIDIA’s NVQLink platform positions Rigetti at the intersection of AI supercomputing and quantum processing, a high-growth hybrid niche for 2026. Commercial Momentum: The company secured $5.7 million in purchase orders for its Novera systems in late 2025, with deliveries scheduled for the first half of 2026, marking a shift from pure research to commercial hardware sales. The Verdict: The confluence of a confirmed "Dragon" reversal pattern and a well-funded 2026 roadmap makes RGTI a high-conviction play for the next phase of the quantum revolution.
NASDAQ:RGTILong
by BallaJi
TSLA- Want to buy? Be aware of deeper correction, wait on 370/80Tesla has made a very nice recovery from the April 2025 lows and even reached new highs near the 500 area, but we are now seeing an interesting retracement at the start of 2026. This pullback can still be corrective, but it should be deeper then, as we are still missing the three subwaves within wave four, before the market can complete this correction. A very interesting support zone for those looking to rejoin the trend comes in around the 380 -370 area. This zone aligns with the previous fourth wave area and the former swing high from May 2025. The Elliott Wave Oscillator also points room to more downside, as momentum could likely reach levels similar to those seen around the July and November 2025 as shown on the daily chart, withi hilighted arrows on the indicator. Highlights • Key support zone to watch is 380–370 • Current pullback likely part of wave four, still missing three subwaves • Elliott Wave Oscillator suggests deeper pullback is due • Broader bullish structure remains valid above the 275–277 invalidation zone
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ew-forecast
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Jan 8, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Jan 8, 2026 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • Labor check ahead of payrolls: Jobless claims act as the final labor signal before Friday’s jobs report. • Growth efficiency read: Productivity data feeds directly into margin and inflation narratives. • Macro breadth day: Trade deficit and consumer credit round out the growth and demand picture. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) 8 30 AM • Initial Jobless Claims Jan 3: 210,000 • U.S. Trade Deficit Oct: -58.4 billion • U.S. Productivity Q3: 4.9 percent 3 00 PM • Consumer Credit Nov: 9.2 billion ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #JoblessClaims #Productivity #macro #markets #trading #stocks
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
The Robinhood vs. Coinbase War is raging. Is the Battle decided?While Robinhood has certainly been faster at launching traditional banking features, Brian Armstrong has explicitly confirmed a pivot for Coinbase to become a "financial super app" (or "everything app") to directly compete in that same space. As of late 2025 and early 2026, Armstrong has shifted Coinbase’s narrative from being just a "crypto exchange" to becoming a "bank replacement" The Coinbase "Everything App" Pivot In his 2026 roadmap and recent interviews, Armstrong outlined a vision that looks very similar to what Robinhood is building, but powered by blockchain rails: The "Everything Exchange": In December 2025, Coinbase officially launched tokenized stock trading and prediction markets (via Kalshi) within its main app. They also flagged plans for 24/7 perpetual futures on both crypto and stocks for 2026. Primary Financial Account: Armstrong stated his goal is for Coinbase to be a "bank replacement" where users handle all spending, savings, and investing. This includes an aggressive push for the Coinbase Card and using stablecoins (USDC) for everyday payments. On-Chain "Super App": Coinbase recently rebranded its wallet as an "everything app," integrating messaging, social networking, and "mini-apps" that run on its Base network. This model is more akin to China’s WeChat than a traditional US brokerage. Robinhood currently feels like the "Amazon of Finance" because they already offer the full "Prime" experience (credit cards, 3% IRA matches, and gold subscriptions) using traditional rails. Coinbase’s counter-argument is that traditional rails are "outdated". Armstrong's bet is that by building the same services on Base (their Layer 2 network), they can offer faster, cheaper, 24/7 global services that Robinhood’s traditional banking partners can't match—like instant 200-millisecond transaction "Flashblocks". What do you think?
NASDAQ:HOOD
by BallaJi
SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 1 of 2026SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 1 of 2026 Technical Look: Price moved exactly as planned in my December 21 Weekly SPY outlook (you can check the linked idea). The market bottomed on December 17, which was also anticipated in my December 14 Weekly SPY prediction. After that, price pushed into all time highs and got rejected from those levels. Currently, SPY is retracing from the highs and appears to be seeking additional liquidity and energy before any continuation higher. This consolidation phase may take longer than initially expected. Scenarios – Prediction: I am tracking two main scenarios for SPY during January 5–9. Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario The 684 level is marked as an options put wall. I will be closely watching for a 4H close above this level. A confirmed 4H close above 684 would indicate that the bullish scenario is in play, and I would look to engage on the long side. Potential upside targets for this scenario: 686.75 – 689 – 691.75 Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario If price fails to break above 684 and starts declining, I would consider that SPY is seeking lower prices. Downside targets in this scenario: 678.75 – 673 – 669.25 If price breaks 678.75 aggressively , I would then consider lower targets to be in play. Otherwise, the 678.75 level could act as a strong bounce zone for a potential upside reaction. Position Management Notes: Each target level may cause significant pullbacks or reversals. Personally, I take partial profits at these levels and keep the remaining position open toward the next targets, while trailing the stop loss to breakeven. This is how I manage my positions. I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
2