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Bitcoin - Range High Pressure, Expansion or Rejection AheadHappy New Year everyone 🎉 I hope you all had a great start to the year. I have been offline for a while due to holidays and some personal stuff, but I am back and ready to start posting trade ideas again. Let’s kick things off with a fresh look at Bitcoin based on the chart I shared. Market Overview Bitcoin has been in a corrective and consolidative phase after the impulsive move down, and price is now trading back into a very clear range. The market structure has shifted from aggressive selling into more balanced, rotational price action, which tells me the market is waiting for a catalyst. Price is currently pushing into the top of this range, an area that has already proven to be meaningful resistance. Range Structure and Key Zones The chart shows a well defined range with a clean support zone at the low of the range and a clear resistance zone at the top. These zones have been respected multiple times, which adds confidence to their validity. Right now, price is testing the top of the range, which is the current resistance, and this is where reactions are expected. Until we see a decisive break, this remains a range environment, not a trend. Bullish Scenario and Expansion Idea If Bitcoin manages to accept above the top of the range, this opens the door for continuation higher. Of course, we are going to have to break the 100k price range first, but if that happens with strong participation and volume, the potential target marked on the chart becomes realistic. In that case, dips into prior resistance could act as support, and price could start building higher highs and higher lows from there. Bearish Scenario and Rejection Risk On the other hand, this area is still resistance until proven otherwise. A rejection from the top of the range would fit perfectly within the current range logic. If buyers fail to hold this level, price can rotate back down through the range and revisit the low of the range, which is the current support. This would keep Bitcoin stuck in consolidation and delay any larger expansion move. What I Am Watching Now The most important thing for me here is acceptance or rejection at the top of the range. I want to see how price behaves inside and around this resistance zone. Strong follow through favors the upside scenario, while weak closes and rejection wicks increase the probability of another rotation lower. Patience is key here, the range will eventually break, but timing matters. Conclusion Bitcoin is at a decision point. The range is clearly defined, the key levels are obvious, and price is now testing the upper boundary. Whether we see expansion toward the potential target or a rotation back toward support will depend on how price reacts at this resistance. Until the market shows its hand, respecting the range and letting price confirm is the smartest approach. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
35
GBPUSD Bearish Structure After Supply Zone RejectionThe GBPUSD 2-hour chart shows price rejecting a higher-timeframe supply zone after a liquidity sweep, followed by a clear change of character (CHoCH) indicating a bearish shift in market structure. Price then continues within a descending channel, suggesting sustained selling pressure. Two downside targets are marked, with the first target near recent support and the second aligning closer to the demand zone, highlighting a continuation move toward lower liquidity areas.
Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
2
XOM: Winners of the Venezuelan Oil-Poker!Hello There, in the past days we have witnessed spectacular events that will be historically determining for the oil market and oil company stocks. One of the largest oil reserves country Venezuela changed from a socialist government to a state under U.S. influence. Since the government changed the plan is that oil companies can take up their business again, which was not possible before. As Venezuela has one of the largest oil reserves, this could mean massive changes for those companies. One of those companies is ExxonMobil (XOM). The company already had big plans to expand their oil production before 2007. Since 1999, the Venezuelan government has begun expropriating private businesses and, in the majority, oil companies. This also led to the seizure of ExxonMobil in 2007, where thousands of millions of barrels of oil were expropriated into government control. The company has had no ability to get their reserves and continue their businesses in Venezuela since then. As a government change happens in Venezuela, this will create major bullish foundations for XOM. The price already gained over 300% in a continuous uptrend since the corona pandemic in 2020. A potential continuation of their business will likely expand their revenues by up to 40% more. Such factors will have tremendous effects on the price action. As seen in my chart, XOM will likely complete this gigantic bull flag in the next time. Already before this major event, XOM could complete this gigantic broadening wedge formation. The targets of this formation were already confirmed by the breakout. Now the bull flag formation forming above the upper boundary offers the next double confirmational formation. From this point of view this creates a fundamentally and technically bullish perspective for XOM. The targets marked in my chart are already active. When there are massive news in the oil industry there is a high likelihood for major price moves. With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming. We will watch out for the main market evolutions. Thank you very much for watching!
NYSE:XOMLong
by VincePrince
10
HOME DEPOT About to break its 2-year Support.Home Depot (HD) is on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), having arrived here after a violent 2-month sell-off that tested that trend-line for the first time since the April 07 2025 Low. In fact, this has been the stock's Support since the November 13 2023 break-out (more than 2 years) as it never closed a 1W candle below it. Now, it has completed almost 2 months of trading on it without a major move, but looks ready to break below it, as it appears to be repeating the 2022 Bear Cycle, based also on the 1W CCI. That Cycle has basically been the Bearish Leg of the stock's long-term Channel Up pattern. Technically this new sell-off should seek the next level of long-term Support, the 1M MA100 (red trend-line), which was last approached during the March 2020 COVID flash crash. As a result, we expect the price to hit at least $295.00 before the possibility of a new long-term bottom formation. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:HDShort
by TradingShot
Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity🟡 Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity ⏳✨ Gold is not a market that rewards constant action. It rewards waiting, observation, and precise timing. Many traders believe that trading more means earning more. In Gold, this mindset often leads to overtrading, emotional decisions, and unnecessary losses. ⏱️ 1. Gold Moves in Phases, Not Constant Trends Gold spends a large amount of time in: consolidation 🔄 slow accumulation 🧩 controlled ranges 📦 During these phases, price appears “boring,” but the market is actually preparing. Trading aggressively in these conditions usually means trading noise, not opportunity. 🧠 2. Activity Feeds Emotions, Timing Controls Risk High activity leads to: impatience 😤 forced entries 🎯 emotional exits ❌ Good timing, on the other hand, comes from: understanding context 🧭 waiting for price to show intent 📊 acting only when conditions align ✅ Gold punishes impatience faster than most markets. 🏦 3. Institutions Trade Less, But Trade Better Large players do not chase every candle. They wait for: liquidity to build 💧 weak hands to exit 🧹 price to reach meaningful zones 📍 When timing is right, Gold often moves fast and decisively — leaving overactive traders behind. ⚡ 4. Big Gold Moves Come After Quiet Periods Some of the strongest Gold expansions begin after: low volatility 😴 reduced participation 📉 trader boredom 💤 This is why patience is not passive — it is strategic. 🧩 Key Insight In Gold, doing less at the right time often outperforms doing more at the wrong time. 🎯 Final Takeaway ❌ More trades ≠ more profits ✅ Better timing = cleaner execution 🟡 Gold rewards discipline, context, and patience Master timing, and activity will take care of itself.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by MarketViewLab
6
#Livestock Livestock Feeds PLC price (Weekly) at 40% discount #Livestock Livestock Feeds PLC (W1) at 40% discount — Buy Zone or Breakdown? Livestock Feeds is currently trading at a critical decision level after a prolonged pullback from its recent all time highs of 10.85naira per share. Price action is now interacting with a well-defined demand zone, making this an important area for both swing traders and position investors. Current price: 6.70naira/share Technical Outlook After peaking around the ₦10.85 region, price entered a corrective phase, not an impulsive sell-off. The decline has now brought price back into a level that may begin act as consolidation support.The latest weekly candle shows a bullish reaction from demand, suggesting selling pressure is weakening and buyers are beginning to step back in. Key Technical Levels **My preferred Buy Zones** ₦5.45 – ₦6.65 → Primary buy zone ₦4.21 - ₦5.45 → Secondary Buy zones Resistances / Targets ₦10.20 → Previous swing high (TP1) ₦13.90 → Expansion target (TP2) As long as price **holds above ₦4.2 on a weekly close, the broader structure remains bullish, Invalidation lives under 4.2naira per share Fundamental Context Livestock Feeds operates within Nigeria’s agro-industrial value chain, benefiting from long-term growth in protein consumption and food security initiatives. This makes LIVESTOCK better suited for medium-term positioning rather than passive long-term holding. Trade Thesis Price is in demand zone Clear upside levels already defined Risk can be tightly managed below ₦5.45 Weekly close below ₦4.2 invalidates the bullish setup ***This is not financial Advice*** **Always manage your risk**. This is a level-based setup, not a blind buy.** Summary: LIVESTOCK is at a make-or-break level. Holding support opens the door for a medium-term recovery toward ₦10+, while a breakdown below ₦4.2 flips my bias bearish.
NSENG:LIVESTOCKLong
by Ifiok-Trades
NZDUSD Breakout and Potential Retrace!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are closely monitoring NZDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.57600 zone. NZDUSD has successfully broken out of its previous downtrend, signaling a shift in market structure. The pair is now in a corrective pullback, approaching a key retracement level and the 0.57600 support-turned-resistance zone, which may act as a strong demand area for bullish continuation. From a fundamental perspective, ongoing weakness in the US Dollar, driven by growing expectations of a potential interest rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, continues to support USD-based downside moves. This macro backdrop favors risk-sensitive currencies such as the New Zealand Dollar, reinforcing the bullish bias on NZDUSD. As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
3
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Jan 6, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Jan 6, 2026 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • Quiet macro session: No major inflation or labor data ahead of Wednesday and Friday’s heavier releases. • Services tone in focus: Final PMI helps confirm whether services momentum held up into year-end. • Markets in reset mode: Early-year positioning and flows remain the primary driver. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) 9 45 AM • S and P Final U.S. Services PMI Dec: 52.9 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #PMI #services #markets #trading #stocks #macro
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Micro Silver Futures Rally Into Supply With Potential Pullback This is a 2-hour Micro Silver Futures (COMEX) chart** showing price action from mid-December into early January 2026. Trend context: Price previously moved higher within an upward channel, indicating a strong bullish phase. That trend later transitioned into range-bound and corrective price action. Supply zone (upper red band ~79–80) The chart highlights a clear **supply/resistance area** where price was previously rejected. Current price is again approaching this zone, suggesting selling pressure may re-emerge. Support zone / 1st target (~71–72) A well-defined **support zone is marked below current price. This area acted as a reaction base multiple times and is labeled as the **first downside target** if price pulls back. Lower support / 2nd target (~64–65) A broader and deeper **demand/support zone** is identified as a **second downside target**, representing a more significant correction level. Indicator structure: The blue stepped lines (likely a volatility or channel-based indicator) show price oscillating between upper and lower boundaries, reinforcing the idea of **mean reversion between supply and support**. * **Overall bias illustrated:** The chart visually suggests **upside is limited near supply**, with arrows indicating a **potential downward move** toward the first support zone, and possibly the second if momentum weakens further. In summary, the chart presents a market **testing resistance after a strong advance**, with clearly mapped **support levels below** that may come into play if a pullback occurs.
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
5
Market Structure and OB + Demand ReactionNASDAQ:AAPL On the Daily timeframe, AAPL’s market structure remains clear and well-defined. Price has formed two Breaks of Structure (BOS), confirming overall bullish trend continuation. After that, a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) appeared, which led to a corrective move to the downside. During this correction, price reacted strongly from a strong Order Block + Demand zone, where Apple then formed a bullish (CHoCH) and resumed its uptrend. This price action clearly indicates that buyers are still in control of the market. Currently, price is consolidating around the 271.00 level, which is a fresh OB + Demand zone and serves as an important decision area. Key Levels & Expectations: 271.00 OB + Demand (Current Support) 290.00 Major Supply Previous High ATH zone 310.00 Final Bullish Target Stop Loss: Below 260.00, under the Demand zone Bias: As long as price holds above 271.00, bullish momentum is expected. A bullish reaction from this zone can push price toward the 290.00 supply zone. If a daily candle closes inside or above the supply zone, the final target at 310.00 becomes active. When Order Blocks align with market structure, trend continuation carries a high probability. Disclaimer: This chart is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves high risk; always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Markovic_VascoView
SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 1 of 2026SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 1 of 2026 Technical Look: Price moved exactly as planned in my December 21 Weekly SPY outlook (you can check the linked idea). The market bottomed on December 17, which was also anticipated in my December 14 Weekly SPY prediction. After that, price pushed into all time highs and got rejected from those levels. Currently, SPY is retracing from the highs and appears to be seeking additional liquidity and energy before any continuation higher. This consolidation phase may take longer than initially expected. Scenarios – Prediction: I am tracking two main scenarios for SPY during January 5–9. Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario The 684 level is marked as an options put wall. I will be closely watching for a 4H close above this level. A confirmed 4H close above 684 would indicate that the bullish scenario is in play, and I would look to engage on the long side. Potential upside targets for this scenario: 686.75 – 689 – 691.75 Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario If price fails to break above 684 and starts declining, I would consider that SPY is seeking lower prices. Downside targets in this scenario: 678.75 – 673 – 669.25 If price breaks 678.75 aggressively , I would then consider lower targets to be in play. Otherwise, the 678.75 level could act as a strong bounce zone for a potential upside reaction. Position Management Notes: Each target level may cause significant pullbacks or reversals. Personally, I take partial profits at these levels and keep the remaining position open toward the next targets, while trailing the stop loss to breakeven. This is how I manage my positions. I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Week of Jan 5 to Jan 9, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Jan 5 to Jan 9, 2026 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • First full week of the year: Positioning resets, fresh macro signals, and liquidity normalization after holidays. • Growth vs labor balance: ISM, services data, and jobs will shape early 2026 rate expectations. • Labor market focus Friday: Payrolls and wages remain the dominant macro driver for rates and equities. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) Monday Jan 5 10 00 AM • ISM Manufacturing Index Dec: 48.3 percent • Auto Sales Dec: 15.6 million Tuesday Jan 6 9 45 AM • S and P Final U.S. Services PMI Dec: 52.9 Wednesday Jan 7 8 30 AM • ADP Employment Change Dec: 45,000 10 00 AM • ISM Services Index Dec: 52.1 percent • Job Openings Nov: 7.7 million • Factory Orders Oct: -1.2 percent Thursday Jan 8 8 30 AM • Initial Jobless Claims Jan 3: 199,000 • U.S. Trade Deficit Oct: 58 billion • U.S. Productivity Q3: 4.7 percent 3 00 PM • Consumer Credit Nov: 12.4 billion Friday Jan 9 🚩 Primary Macro Day 8 30 AM • U.S. Employment Report Dec: 54,000 • Unemployment Rate Dec: 4.7 percent • Hourly Wages Dec: 0.3 percent • Hourly Wages Year over Year: 3.5 percent • Housing Starts Oct: 1.33 million 9 45 AM • UMich Consumer Sentiment Jan: 53.5 🧭 Trading Context • Manufacturing still contractionary while services remain expansionary. • Labor data Friday will set the tone for January rate expectations. • Expect higher volatility as liquidity returns and positioning rebuilds. ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #markets #macro #jobs #ISM #Fed #trading #stocks
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Constellation Brands: Navigating 2026’s Volatile SpiritsConstellation Brands (STZ) stands at a critical crossroads as it prepares for its January 7 earnings release. The beverage giant faces a complex cocktail of macroeconomic pressures and shifting consumer habits. While its Mexican beer portfolio remains a titan, the broader landscape suggests a challenging year ahead. Investors now weigh the company’s "premiumization" strategy against a cooling economy. Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Headwinds Geopolitical friction increasingly dictates the company’s bottom line. Recent shifts in U.S. trade policy have introduced fresh tariff concerns for Mexican imports. These duties directly impact the Beer Division, which relies on cross-border production. Management recently cited these "macroeconomic headwinds" as a primary reason for lowering fiscal 2026 guidance. Simultaneously, inflation has eroded the purchasing power of the core Hispanic consumer base. High-end beer sales for this demographic showed more pronounced declines than the general market. Furthermore, the 2026 USMCA review adds a layer of geostrategy to supply chain planning. Constellation must navigate these regulatory waters to protect its dominant import position. Business Model: The Power Brand Pivot Constellation has aggressively restructured its business model to prioritize high-margin "Power Brands." The company recently divested "mainstream" wine assets and Svedka vodka to focus on labels like Kim Crawford and The Prisoner. This shift aims to insulate the company from the volatile lower-end market. However, the Wine & Spirits segment still faces persistent volume declines. The strategy relies on the resilience of "premiumization"—the idea that consumers drink "less but better." Recent data suggests this trend is slowing as households tighten their budgets. Despite this, Constellation's beer brands like Modelo Especial continue to gain dollar share. This suggests the company’s brand equity remains robust even in a downcycle. Innovation, Technology, and Patent Analysis Innovation is no longer just about new flavors. Constellation is leveraging high-tech solutions to optimize its sprawling operations. The company utilizes AI and machine learning for advanced demand forecasting and route optimization. These digital transformations help mitigate rising logistics and raw material costs. * Patent Strength: Constellation holds 74 global patents, with 54 already granted. * R&D Focus: The company operates state-of-the-art centers for fast prototyping. * Scientific Stewardship: A major focus remains on water restoration and ag-tech to ensure supply chain sustainability. The patent portfolio reveals a focus on packaging efficiency and product stability. These intellectual assets provide a long-term moat against competitors. Management and Leadership Discipline CEO Bill Newlands has maintained a disciplined approach to capital allocation. The leadership team remains committed to an investment-grade rating while returning cash to shareholders. In late 2025, the company authorized a $4 billion share repurchase program. This move signals management’s confidence in the stock’s intrinsic value despite recent volatility. Leadership is also implementing a "leaner" organizational structure. They aim to save over $200 million by 2028 through efficiency initiatives. This proactive management style is essential as the company navigates a period of "operating deleveraging." Earnings Watch: What to Expect on January 7 Wall Street expects a contraction in both top and bottom lines this Wednesday. Analysts project quarterly earnings of $2.66 per share, an 18% decline year-over-year. Revenue estimates sit at $2.18 billion , reflecting a double-digit percentage drop. | Metric | Consensus Estimate | Year-Over-Year Change | | Revenue | $2.18 Billion | -11.6% | | EPS | $2.66 | -18.2% | | Beer Sales | $2.01 Billion | -1.0% | Investors will focus on the Beer Division’s resilience and the rate of Wine & Spirits contraction. Management's guidance for the remainder of 2026 will likely dictate the stock's direction for the quarter. The Verdict: A Value Play in Transition? Constellation Brands is currently a story of short-term pain versus long-term potential. The stock trades at an attractive price-to-free-cash-flow multiple of roughly 13.8x. This is significantly below its five-year average. While cyclical downturns and tariffs create noise, the company's "Power Brands" continue to lead the market.
NYSE:STZLong
by TradeThePool
S&P500 This is the level that confirms the Bear Cycle.The S&P500 (SPX) has reached a point where it could be on the verge of initiating a new Bear Cycle as the price action that led to the end of 2025 (mostly Q4) has been very similar with the one in late 2021 that kick-started the 2022 Bear Cycle. What confirmed that Bear Cycle was the market closing a 1W candle below the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). This is extremely critical as it has already proven its role as a catalyst during the most recent short-term pull-back in November, where it held upon tested on the week of November 17 2025 and thus rebounded. This is exactly what took place in November 2021, with the index eventually closing a 1W candle below the 1D MA100 almost 2 months later on the week of January 17 2022. That confirmed the 2022 Bear Cycle as the sell-off was accelerated and in just 1 week, the market even hit the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The structure between the two fractals is so far very similar, with a huge 1W RSI Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs against price's Higher Highs) leading the index towards a potential Top. If the price action continues to repeat that of 2022, then we are looking at the very real possibility of a -27.60% overall correction within roughly 12 months time, with the first potential Target being the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) around 5350 and second the full -27.60% extension at 5050. Those two levels technically form the potential Buy Zone for the next Bull Cycle. The metric though that cannot be ignored as far as long-term buying is concerned, is the 1W RSI, which has historically given optimal buy opportunities when it turned oversold (i.e. 30.00 or below). If this level is hit before any of the above two Targets, we will be turning into long-term buyers again regardless. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TradingShot
ASML Keeps Progressing HigherASML has been bullish for most of the second half of 2025, and with the current strong push to new highs it looks like we are dealing with a new motive wave structure, now unfolding as wave five. But keep in mind that this is a final leg, and this wave could complete the higher degree structure. But for now, the trend still needs to complete five subwaves within wave five, which could allow price to extend higher, potentially toward the 1300 area, after a blue subwave four retracement as shown on the daily chart. The key level to watch is around 1110, which was also the high from July 2024. As long as price stays above that level, the uptrend remains intact. A push back below it would likely signal a temporary slowdown rather than a trend reversal. Highlights – ASML remains in a strong uptrend and is unfolding wave five – Potential extension higher after a blue subwave four pullback – Key support to watch is 1110 – A break below 1110 would signal temporary slowing, and enw correction ahead.
NASDAQ:ASML
by ew-forecast