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MUltibagger in making After a downfall of 58% from it's high, Jindal Saw formed a base at around 153. After a sequential gains in Q3 results stock surges and gives a breakout at 176. Jindal Saw is a manufacturing company focused on pipes mainly used for water, oil and gas, sewarage with a market cap of 11365 cr. Financials are all good for the company, PE : 10 ROE : 15% Positive cashflow Stock declines to a level of 177 after a breakout and now is the best time to buy this stock for a huge upside.
NSE:JINDALSAWLong
by shubham_sali
AUDCHF - Pullback Into Structure, Watching the ReactionAUDCHF remains overall bullish, trading cleanly inside the rising blue channel. After the recent push higher, price is now pulling back into a very interesting area. We’re approaching the intersection of the demand zone and the lower blue trendline. This is exactly the kind of confluence I like to see in a trending market. As long as this intersection holds and price respects the lower boundary of the channel, I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, with confirmation coming from lower timeframes. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
1/20 - Pre-Market read and Game plan for the day. 1) Primary plan: Sell the retest (bearish continuation) Bias stays short while below POI 1 (25,128) and especially below POI 2/PDL area. A+ entry idea for today: • Let price pop into POI 2 (25,096.5) or POI 1 (25,128) • Wait for rejection (lower high, strong red candle, failure to hold above, wick + close back under) • Targets (scale): 1. POI 3 (25,044.75) 2. POI 4 (25,021.25) 3. POI 5 FVG MID (25,002.5) 4. POI 6 (24,979.25) • Invalidation: A clean reclaim + hold above POI 1, and especially if it starts accepting above 25,128 (don’t fight that). Why this is clean: you’re using your POIs like “stairs” — sell at the top stair, take profit at the next stair down. ⸻ 2) Secondary plan: Bounce scalp ONLY if a POI holds If price sweeps into POI 5 / POI 6 and you get a hard rejection + reclaim (fast snap back), that’s your mean reversion scalp. • Long scalp trigger: reclaim back above the POI you swept (ex: wick under 25,002.5 then closes back above it) • Targets: back to POI 4 → POI 3 → POI 2 • Rule: if it accepts below the POI you’re trying to long, don’t average down — next stop becomes POI 6 / POI 8 zones. ⸻ 3) Flip plan: Only get bullish above POI 1 If price reclaims POI 1 (25,128) and holds (not just wicks), then you can tell members: • “Okay, bears failed — now we look for pullback longs into POI 1/POI 2 as support.” • Upside “checkpoints”: 25,311 (NY PM High) then 25,430 (NY AM High / PDH) ⸻ Why you are NOT changing POIs from yesterday 1. POIs are HTF anchors, not feelings. They’re built off prior session highs/lows, PDH/PDL, and liquidity/FVG zones. Those levels don’t change just because price is noisy. 2. POIs only change after “acceptance” or “mitigation.” You adjust levels when price fully breaks + accepts (multiple closes through) or when the zone is clearly mitigated (used up and no longer reacting). 3. Consistency = tradable data for the community. If you move POIs every morning, your members can’t build pattern recognition. Keeping them fixed lets everyone see the same reactions. 4. Your screenshots literally show POIs working. Price is reacting around POI 1/2 and then stair-stepping lower — that’s exactly what POIs are for.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by TradeswithB
EUR/USD: Resistance Broken, Phase One CompletePhase one is complete: the local resistance at 1.1721–1.1736 has been broken. In addition to the 'Call Ladder' opened on January 14, several vertical Call Spreads hit the market this past Friday, just ahead of the rally. While a correction was technically overdue from a charting perspective, the timing of these entries suggests these players might be 'in the know.' So, to answer the big question: is the Euro headed higher? Rather than guessing, I’ll be analyzing the exchange reports (which are currently glitching) and will provide an update shortly. If last week’s portfolios are being closed out, the sentiment will shift back toward a weaker Euro. However, I suspect these positions are still being held. We’ll see what the data says. Relying solely on charts to draw conclusions is definitely not my style — and I hope it isn’t yours either.
CME:6EH2026Long
by ClashChartsTeam
$MSTR counter trend bounce?NASDAQ:MSTR has finally broken out of it's bottoming structure and looks set for a counter trend rally. If we can break above $200, then there's little resistance above. I think the highest probability is that we see $263-272 before the bounce is over so that we fill the gaps left from the move down. There's one gap at $205 and another at $258. I think if btc can rally into $103k-112k, that MSTR will sharply follow to the upper resistance levels. I do not think we'll break the upper blue trend line. Then I think we'll see continuation to the downside to one of the two lower $100 range targets. Let's see how it plays out.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by benjihyam
1
BULL – In My Top 10 Picks for 2026: Is Webull the Next HOOD?I’ve been following BULL (Webull) closely, and it’s firmly in my top 10 picks for 2026. Structurally, the story is very compelling. Retail participation in financial markets continues to grow, and platforms that serve these investors—brokerages like Webull—are direct beneficiaries of this trend. When I think about the trajectory, BULL reminds me a lot of our early calls on HOOD. Robinhood currently trades at a market capitalization of roughly $97 billion. BULL, on the other hand, is valued at only around $4 billion. That gap highlights the potential upside if Webull can continue to grow its user base and improve monetization. The numbers alone are not the full story, of course. Financial results and execution matter, and Webull will need to prove that it can convert its growing user base into consistent revenue streams. But structurally, the ingredients are there. As user monetization improves, I expect financial performance to start reflecting this, which could be a major catalyst for the stock. The stock's 52-week range of $7.57 to $79.56 further fuels my bullish stance. After dipping to its lows amid broader market volatility, BULL has shown resilience, trading around $8.16 as of mid-January 2026. This setup strongly reminds me of our early HOOD call positions when the stock was trading around $9, back in its post-IPO correction phase. Robinhood eventually surged as retail trading boomed, and I anticipate a similar catalyst for Webull—perhaps through strategic partnerships, international expansion, or even acquisition interest in a consolidating industry. In my view, BULL represents a rare combination of structural tailwinds, compelling valuation, and optionality. For those looking for a top pick for the year, it checks all the boxes.
NASDAQ:BULLLong
by TopgOptions
2
The Trade That Changed Me ForeverThere was a trade years ago that worked perfectly. Not because it was lucky. Not because the market was easy. But because I didn’t think. Everything was already decided. Structure was clear. Risk was defined. I just executed. And that moment stayed with me. Think about driving. The road changes. Traffic changes. Conditions are never the same. Yet you don’t overthink every move. You don’t debate the steering or the brakes. You just drive. Because repetition turned chaos into instinct. That’s exactly what happened with my trading. Flawless Execution Is the Turning Point That trade taught me something simple: Trading becomes profitable when execution becomes automatic. When price reaches your level, there’s no conversation. No hesitation... No emotion... No noise... YOU. JUST. ACT. I didn’t feel excitement. I didn’t feel fear. I felt calm. When execution becomes second nature, trading stops being heavy, and starts flowing... Just like driving. Question for you: When did trading start to feel natural for you? or are you still forcing every decision? ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~ Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
43
AUD/USD: Bull Trap Incoming?AUD/USD is showing clear signs of a slowdown in the bullish trend after December’s impulse, with price now consolidating below a key supply area and within a structure that is starting to lose momentum. On the daily chart, the market delivered a clean directional move, but the current phase is typical of a context where institutional players begin to distribute gradually, while retail traders tend to enter late, chasing the trend. This makes the current zone a major decision area: either price breaks higher and accelerates, or it triggers a bearish rotation into the demand blocks below. From a technical standpoint, price action highlights a recent top in the 0.6740–0.6760 area, followed by an immediate rejection and pullback. At the moment, AUD/USD is trading within a balance zone between 0.6660–0.6685, which acts as a “holding” range where the market could attempt one last recovery before a potential breakdown. The key point is that the structure is becoming increasingly fragile: bounces are less explosive and price is no longer printing progressive highs with the same efficiency. The most attractive probabilistic scenario is tied to a bearish rotation: a clean breakdown below the 0.6660 level would significantly increase the odds of a move into the first intermediate demand zone around 0.6600–0.6620, with a potential extension toward the deeper demand block between 0.6450–0.6520 (the area where the market previously accumulated before the bullish impulse). This lower zone represents the natural “magnet” if distribution completes, as it aligns with liquidity and a prior rebalancing area within the trend. Daily RSI is also losing strength and normalizing, consistent with a market shifting from an impulsive phase into a corrective one. In this type of environment, the most dangerous moves are “W-shaped” patterns or sharp spikes above recent highs, as they often serve to grab liquidity before reversing aggressively. For this reason, the 0.6740–0.6760 range remains the ideal zone to monitor for a potential fake breakout, followed by a drop back below 0.6700 as a weakness trigger. Looking at the COT report, Australian Dollar positioning shows Non-Commercial traders still net short (short exposure higher than long exposure). Meanwhile, the Dollar Index also shows a speculative component leaning short, but with dynamics that require caution: if USD finds macro support, even for a technical rebound, AUD/USD would automatically become vulnerable. The key takeaway is that we do not have a “clean bullish” positioning backdrop for AUD, making an extended rally less sustainable without a fresh accumulation phase. From an FX sentiment perspective, the signal is extremely clear: the majority of traders are short AUD/USD (87%), with only 13% long. This matters because, from a contrarian angle, it could still fuel one final upside push via a short squeeze. However, when price is trading below supply and fails to progress, such an extreme sentiment imbalance can also act as a trap signal: if the market breaks lower, many shorts already in position may take profits too early, while late longs get liquidated, accelerating the downside move. Finally, seasonality on AUD/USD suggests that January is often not a linear month: the market frequently experiences rotation and rebalancing phases after year-end trends. This fits perfectly with the idea of a mean reversion / pullback phase before any potential new directional cycle. Operational conclusion: as long as AUD/USD remains below 0.6740–0.6760, the bias stays for a controlled correction, with downside acceleration risk below 0.6660. My focus is on a distribution pattern followed by a rotation toward 0.6600 and then 0.6450–0.6520, while keeping the alternative scenario open for one last bullish liquidity grab before the real move unfolds.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
16
CADJPY – Bullish Structure IntactOn the CADJPY daily chart, price is trading within a well-defined bullish structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows and supported by an ascending dynamic trendline. Following the impulsive move into the 114.50–115.00 area, the market is currently undergoing a consolidation phase below a daily supply zone, with compressed highs and a short-term loss of momentum. This price behavior is consistent with a technical pause rather than a structural reversal, especially considering that the lower demand areas between 112.50–111.00 remain clean, well-defended, and aligned with previous breakout levels. From a COT perspective, the outlook remains constructive for CADJPY. On the CAD side, Commercials are showing a renewed increase in net long exposure, while JPY positioning continues to reflect structural weakness, leaving the market exposed to further carry-driven flows. January seasonality reinforces this setup: historically, the Japanese yen tends to underperform during this month, while the Canadian dollar shows relative stability, creating a favorable backdrop for a bullish continuation after potential pullbacks. On the FX sentiment side, retail positioning is heavily skewed to the short side (above 70%), providing a clear contrarian signal. The majority of market participants remain positioned against the prevailing trend, increasing the probability of continuation once weak hands are flushed out. In summary, CADJPY remains medium-term bullish, with a preference for long exposure on pullbacks into daily demand. Only a decisive and confirmed break below 111.00 would invalidate the constructive scenario and require a reassessment of the directional bias.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
EURUSD at a Turning Point: Bull Trap Rally Into SupplyRight now, EURUSD is trading within a very clean daily structure, where price is essentially “compressed” between two major forces: a higher-timeframe supply zone overhead and a strong daily demand zone below. After the latest bearish leg, price is rotating back toward the lower side of the range again, and this is exactly the type of area where institutional money makes real decisions: either defend demand and rotate higher, or break the base and trigger continuation into deeper liquidity. From a pure price action perspective, the market is not trending aggressively at the moment, it’s transitioning, and transition phases are where traders either catch their best trades… or get chopped if they force entries too early. On the daily chart, the most important element is the major demand area below current price, which has already acted as a pivot for bullish rotations in the past. This zone is not just a generic “support”: it’s a real liquidity pocket where buyers previously stepped in with enough strength to reverse momentum. Price is now revisiting that same area again after rejecting the upper side of the structure, and the reaction here will likely define the directional flow over the next 1–3 weeks. Above, the chart shows a well-defined supply zone sitting under a descending trendline. This creates a classic “sell-the-rally” environment, unless the market proves otherwise through a clear daily reversal sequence. Technically, the current downside move looks more like a controlled retracement than panic selling. Price is bleeding lower into demand, and that usually opens two scenarios: the first is a rotation long from demand back into the mid-range/premium area, and the second is a “fake bounce” that fails under resistance and leads to a bearish breakdown continuation. The projected path on the chart highlights exactly this concept: a potential rebound into the grey zone (where sellers can re-enter), followed by a deeper push lower if bulls fail to reclaim structure. From an RSI perspective, the market is pushing into oversold territory on the daily, which supports the idea that selling at these levels may be “late.” Oversold doesn’t mean “buy immediately,” but it does increase the probability of a bounce, especially when it aligns with a demand zone. Looking at positioning, the COT picture is sending a key message: the Euro side is not positioned as a strong bullish story right now. In the Euro FX report, Large Speculators remain net long, but positioning is not extreme and the longer-term COT index is still relatively depressed. This suggests EUR is not in a “crowded long” state that would fuel an explosive bullish continuation. On the USD side, the COT index is higher, signaling that the market still holds a structural bias toward USD strength. This combination supports the idea that any EURUSD upside is more likely to be corrective/rotational, rather than the start of a new macro bull trend — unless price breaks and holds above the key daily supply. Seasonality adds another layer: EURUSD in January often shows choppy and mixed performance early in the month, with direction becoming clearer later on. Finally, FX sentiment shows around 60% of retail traders currently long EURUSD, versus 40% short. This isn’t an extreme reading, but it still leans toward a classic contrarian interpretation: retail is already positioned for upside while price remains in a technically vulnerable area. From an execution standpoint, this means that if EURUSD bounces from demand, it can still be a valid long, but it should be treated as a tactical long, not a “buy and hold” narrative. And if the bounce fails under resistance, sentiment positioning can amplify the downside move as late longs get trapped. At this stage, my bias is neutral with a slight bearish tilt on the broader picture, but bullish for a short-term rotation if demand prints a strong and credible daily reaction. The key is not predicting direction, it’s reacting to confirmation at the most important location on the chart.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
GBPNZD: Retail Is 68% Long…GBPNZD is trading around 2.3269 and after the strong rally we’ve seen, this feels like a zone where price may “breathe” a bit before the next move. In simple terms: we’re already high, so this is not the best place to chase a fresh long. Around this area (roughly 2.33–2.35), the market usually does one of two things: either it breaks and keeps running, or it delivers a classic “messy move” where it first flushes late buyers and then continues higher. My base case is the second scenario: a pullback first, with a move down into the 2.305–2.300 zone, which is the most logical area where real buying interest could step in. I still like the GBP-stronger-than-NZD idea. The COT positioning supports that NZD is structurally weaker than GBP, so even if we get a short-term drop, I don’t see it as a trend reversal, more like a reset before the next leg. Seasonality also helps the bias: January tends to be mildly supportive for GBP, while NZD doesn’t really shine in this period. That’s why, in my view, any aggressive short from here is only a tactical pullback trade, not something I’d want to hold as a long-term bearish swing idea. One more key point: retail sentiment is already heavily skewed long (around 68% long). And when the crowd is stacked on one side, the market often pulls a fake move first, shaking people out, hitting stops, and only then delivering the clean continuation. That’s exactly why I’d rather not buy up here. Plan: I’m treating this area as “sell to buy lower.” Either price rejects from here and pulls back into 2.305–2.300, or I stay patient and wait for price to reach that zone and show confirmation before looking for a long with better upside and less stress. The only thing that would invalidate the pullback idea is strong acceptance above the 2.345–2.35 area, because if price holds above that zone, it’s not pulling back… it’s simply continuing.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
Elliot Waves Strategy ExplainedElliott Wave theory is not a forecasting tool. The moment it’s used that way, it becomes useless. It does not tell you where price will go. It describes how participation unfolds once direction is already present. At its simplest, markets alternate between expansion and digestion. Impulse waves show commitment and follow-through. Corrective waves show hesitation, overlap, and redistribution. Everything else traders add on top is interpretation, not edge. Most traders fail with Elliott Waves because they try to label the market instead of read it. Wave counts are adjusted after every pullback to protect bias. When a count needs defending, it has already lost its value for execution. Wave completion does not mean reversal. Strong trends extend, truncate, or move into complex corrections without ever giving clean countertrend entries. Acting on a “finished” wave without a structural break is just early positioning dressed up as analysis. The subjectivity of Elliott Waves is the warning label. If two valid counts exist, neither can justify risk on its own. Structure, location, and participation come first. The wave count only adds context to what price is already showing. Used correctly, Elliott Waves help with expectations and trade management. They stop traders from chasing late impulses and from exiting too early during normal corrections. Used incorrectly, they create the illusion of control over an uncertain market. Elliott Waves don’t give certainty. They give restraint. And restraint is far more valuable.
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDEducation
by tomas_jntx
14
1/14 Pre-Market Read - Game plan Pre-market POIs / Game Plan (MNQ 15m) Key context from the chart: • We mapped the session range + prior levels and stacked POIs to create a clean “ladder” for targets. • Important nearby references on your screenshot: Asia High ~25926, Asia Low ~25852.50, London High ~25878.75, London Low ~25701, PDL ~25803.25, and upside POIs. My POI Ladder (targets) Upside • POI 1: 25,871.25 • POI 2: 25,920.50 • POI 3: 26,006.00 • POI 4: 26,083.50 • POI 5: 26,106.25 Downside • Bear POI 1: 25,738.75 • Bear POI 2: 25,652.75 • Bear POI 3: 25,615.50 How I’m trading it today (simple rules) Bullish idea • If price reclaims/holds POI 1 (25,871) and starts holding above POI 2 (25,920) → I’m looking for step-ups into POI 3 (26,006) then POI 4/5. • Best entries: retest/hold of POI after a breakout candle (confirmation > guessing). Bearish idea • If price loses PDL (~25,803) and can’t reclaim, that’s a warning. • Break + hold below POI 1 (25,871) opens the door to Bear POI 1 (25,738) then Bear POI 2 (25,652). What to watch at open • Reaction at POI 1 / POI 2 (they’re your “decision levels”). • Sweeps into a POI then immediate reclaim = reversal trigger. • Clean hold above POI = continuation trigger. Not financial advice — just my plan + levels from my system.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by TradeswithB
1
XRP - Waiting for the Market to Confirm the Next Move!XRP is currently sitting at a key area of interest. Price is holding around a strong demand zone, right on top of the $2.00 round number. That combination alone is enough to grab attention, especially after the recent impulsive move higher. For now, this area is where buyers are expected to defend. That’s why my focus is on buy setups, not chasing price. That said, I’m not jumping in blindly. The last major high marked in green is the line in the sand. A clean break and hold above that level would confirm that bulls are taking control, and that’s when I’d look for entries with more confidence. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
6
CHFJPY - Pullback Into a Key Confluence!CHFJPY has been overall bullish , respecting the rising blue channel nicely over the past weeks. Right now, price is pulling back into an important intersection: the demand zone lining up with the lower blue trendline. This is the kind of area where trends usually get tested, not broken. As long as this confluence zone (highlighted by the blue circle) continues to hold, my bias remains straightforward: I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, preferably after confirmation on lower timeframes. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
11
CVD and Open Interest DivergenceOpen Interest answers a simple but critical question: are traders committing new risk, or are they exiting existing positions? When price rises while Open Interest increases, new contracts are being added in the direction of the move. This confirms expansion and signals that the market is willing to fund higher prices. When price rises while Open Interest falls, positions are being closed into strength. That behavior reflects distribution rather than continuation. The same logic applies on the downside. Falling price with rising Open Interest signals aggressive short participation. Falling price with declining Open Interest signals profit-taking, not fresh selling pressure. Cumulative Volume Delta adds context to this positioning data. It measures whether aggressive market orders are driving price or being absorbed by passive liquidity. When price prints higher highs but CVD fails to confirm, buying pressure is weakening despite higher prices. Participants are lifting offers with less urgency, and absorption is occurring. When price stalls or compresses while CVD continues to rise, it suggests that aggressive buyers are being absorbed by larger passive sellers. The move looks strong on price, but commitment is thinning. These divergences become most meaningful when they appear at structurally relevant locations. Inside ranges, they frequently expose failed breakouts where price briefly escapes but participation does not follow. At highs and lows, they reveal exhaustion, where liquidity has been collected but no new initiative remains. During established trends, they help differentiate healthy continuation from late-stage rotation, where the trend persists visually but weakens internally. The highest-quality environments occur when structure and participation align. A clean break of structure followed by expanding Open Interest and confirming CVD indicates that the market has accepted the new direction. Risk is being added, not removed, and aggressive flow supports price discovery. When one of these components is missing, vulnerability increases. Breaks without Open Interest expansion often fade. Moves with Open Interest but no CVD confirmation frequently stall or retrace. Many traders struggle because they trade direction without measuring commitment. They react to candles instead of assessing whether the move is being funded. CVD and Open Interest shift the focus from where price moved to why it moved. This perspective reduces overtrading, filters false momentum, and clarifies when patience is required. Used correctly, these tools are not predictive indicators. They do not call tops or bottoms. They expose when a market narrative is weakening before structure fully changes. That awareness improves timing, limits unnecessary exposure, and prevents chasing moves already sustained by trapped or exiting participants. In leveraged markets, understanding participation is not an edge. It is a requirement for survival.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD.MH2026Education
by HyroTrader
11
USDJPY – Structural Bullish ContinuationUSDJPY remains structurally bullish on the daily timeframe, with price continuing to respect an ascending channel that has been intact since Q4. The recent consolidation phase above prior daily demand has allowed the market to absorb supply without breaking structure, confirming strong underlying demand pressure. From a price action perspective, the pair is printing higher lows within the channel, while the most recent impulsive leg has reclaimed the mid-range equilibrium, suggesting continuation rather than distribution. The current pullback scenario appears corrective and controlled, with no signs of structural weakness as long as price holds above the daily demand zone around 154.50–155.00. From a COT standpoint, non-commercials remain net long Japanese Yen futures, but recent changes show a reduction in long exposure rather than aggressive short building. This typically aligns with trend continuation phases in USDJPY, especially when paired with rising open interest on USD Index futures, signaling sustained USD strength rather than exhaustion. Retail sentiment remains heavily skewed to the short side, with approximately 78% of traders positioned against the move. This persistent bearish crowd positioning acts as a contrarian fuel, increasing the probability of further upside expansion as stops remain above recent highs. From a seasonality perspective, January historically favors USDJPY strength, with positive average performance across 5, 10, and 20-year datasets. While short-term volatility is expected mid-month, the broader seasonal bias supports continuation rather than reversal. Conclusion: As long as price holds above the daily demand zone and maintains channel structure, USDJPY remains a buy-on-dips market. Upside targets remain aligned with the upper channel resistance and the 160.50–161.50 supply zone, where profit-taking and structural reassessment become relevant.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
8
A retest framework is a processMost traders know support and resistance, but few have a rule set for when those levels become tradable. In crypto, levels are breached constantly. What matters is not the breach. What matters is what the market accomplishes by breaching it and how it behaves once it returns. The framework starts by defining a clear swing high and swing low. These are the most recent meaningful extremes where price demonstrably changed direction, not intraday noise. The midpoint between them becomes equilibrium, your objective reference for premium versus discount within that swing. This midpoint is not predictive. It simply organizes the playing field. Next comes liquidity. Equal highs, equal lows, and inefficient consolidation clusters are not decorations on the chart. They are incentives. Stops pool there. Traders position emotionally there. The market goes there to transact. When price moves into that pocket and leaves a wick that is quickly reclaimed, you have the sweep. This is the first proof that the breakout traders were the liquidity, not the beneficiaries. A sweep alone is not structure. So the next requirement is transition. In an uptrend, buyers defend higher lows. When the last defended low is violated after a sweep, you get the break of micro-structure. In a downtrend, sellers defend lower highs. When the last supplied high is reclaimed after liquidity is taken below, you have transition in reverse. This is where narrative changes from continuation to rotation. Then comes displacement. This is the market proving participation through momentum. A structural transition followed by compressed candle ranges or low-volume drift lacks authority. But a transition followed by clean directional movement shows that the opposing side stepped in with urgency. This is not retail FOMO. This is participation. The retest becomes the execution filter. Price returns to the broken zone or swept liquidity level. It interacts there without hesitation, without sweeping back through the same side, and without expanding candle ranges against the narrative you built. This is where professionals position. Not because it is perfect timing, but because it is permissioned timing. The stop goes beyond the narrative fracture point, not a generic percent. The target goes toward the next liquidity incentive in line, not a vague R:R fantasy. This sequencing matters even more inside funded evaluations. Prop traders fail most often when they cluster mistakes. A retest framework reduces mistake clustering because it forces the trade to form a story before it forms exposure. It narrows invalidation distance, improves average R:R, and protects daily drawdown math naturally. It also gives you neutrality after streaks. The framework does not amplify confidence. It anchors confidence to conditions. The retest framework does not promise that a trade works. It promises that a trade has a reason to work. And having reasons before exposure is the edge that compounds careers in crypto, especially when liquidity and volatility drain fast.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SamDrnda
6
EUR/USD – When COT, Seasonality and Price Action Align BearishPrice has completed a bullish impulsive leg and reached a key daily supply zone around 1.1780–1.1800, where a clean and well-structured bearish reaction developed. The break of the ascending channel, followed by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirms a daily structure shift. Price is now rotating lower toward an initial intermediate demand area at 1.1620–1.1580, a technically relevant zone where a corrective bounce is statistically possible. However, the main liquidity magnet remains the deeper daily demand at 1.1560–1.1500, still unmitigated and representing the primary bearish extension scenario. The technical bias remains short as long as price stays below the 1.1720–1.1740 resistance area. 2. COT Report – EUR vs USD On EURO FX futures (CME), Commercials remain heavily net short, consistent with a distribution phase following the recent rally. Non-Commercials are still net long, but without meaningful expansion, a typical configuration near a medium-term top. On the U.S. Dollar Index, Commercials maintain a structural net long position, while Non-Commercials are gradually reducing short exposure. This positioning supports the view of a USD stabilization phase, aligning with a broader corrective bearish continuation on EUR/USD. 3. Seasonality Historical seasonality shows that January is on average a weak month for EUR/USD, particularly during the second half of the month. After an initial sideways phase, the pair statistically tends to develop downside pressure, with lows often printed between mid and late January. This seasonal pattern favors short continuation or sell-on-rallies scenarios, rather than fresh bullish expansions. 4. Retail Sentiment Retail sentiment shows a majority of long positions (around 54%), while price continues to move lower. This classic price–sentiment divergence reinforces the bearish bias, suggesting the market is moving against the retail crowd, as typically observed during directional corrective phases.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
GBP/USD Daily: Bullish Structure IntactGBP/USD remains embedded within a well-defined bullish structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows and supported by an ascending channel in place since the November lows. Following the strong December bullish impulse, price is currently consolidating below a key daily supply zone between 1.3500 and 1.3600, an area that has previously triggered profit-taking and bearish reactions. The ongoing pullback is developing in an orderly manner, with no structural breakdowns so far, and is guiding price back toward a daily demand / equilibrium zone between 1.3350 and 1.3400, which aligns with the mid-range of the channel and former broken highs. As long as price holds above this area, the structural bias remains constructively bullish, with scope for continuation toward range highs and a potential extension into the 1.3700–1.3800 area. A clean and confirmed loss of the daily demand zone would invalidate the medium-term bullish scenario. COT Report (British Pound & USD Index) The COT data on British Pound futures still reflects a mixed but improving picture. Non-Commercials remain net short; however, a reduction in short positions compared to previous weeks suggests that speculative bearish pressure is gradually being absorbed. On the USD Index side, Non-Commercials maintain a net short exposure, while Commercials continue to increase long hedging activity, pointing to a structurally fragile US dollar in the medium term. The combination of a stabilizing GBP and a still-weak USD continues to support a bullish underlying scenario for GBP/USD, particularly on controlled pullbacks. Seasonality January seasonality for GBP/USD shows a generally positive historical bias, especially during the second half of the month, with stronger performance when price follows a consolidation phase after a prior bullish impulse. Current price action aligns well with this historical pattern: a pause, liquidity absorption, and the potential for renewed upside later in the month, in line with macro conditions and positioning. Sentiment (Retail Positioning) Retail sentiment is currently balanced (50% long / 50% short), a neutral condition that reduces the risk of aggressive contrarian signals. Such a distribution typically favors cleaner directional moves, especially when supported by a coherent technical structure and macro backdrop. The absence of excessive retail positioning strengthens the view that any downside moves are more likely corrective rather than the start of a genuine bearish trend. Operational Conclusion (Bias) Medium-term bullish bias, with a preference for buy-the-dip opportunities around the daily demand zone. As long as price holds above 1.3350–1.3400, the bullish continuation toward 1.3600 and potentially 1.3700 remains valid. A cautious approach is warranted near supply, with aggressive positioning only upon clear structural confirmation.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
EURGBP - When Structure Breaks, Bias FollowsFor a while, EURGBP was respecting a rising blue broadening wedge, keeping the overall momentum bullish. That changed. 📉 Momentum has now shifted from bullish to bearish after price broke below the blue rising structure, signaling a clear loss of upside control. Since then, price has been trading inside a falling red channel, confirming that sellers are in control for now. 🔍 What matters next: As long as EURGBP remains below the broken structure and continues to trade within the falling channel. Any pullback toward the upper bound of the red channel, and the previous structure low marked in red, will be considered a sell zone! I’ll then be zooming into lower timeframes and looking for trend-following short setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
7
Why Time Is a More Important Indicator Than Price?Everyone stares at price... Very few traders watch time.⏱️ 📌 What Time Reveals Price can lie. Time can’t. 📌 When price: - Spends too long at resistance → sellers are weak - Fails to drop fast → demand is absorbing - Breaks late → move is usually stronger Time shows intent. If price holds a level longer than expected, something is changing! 📌 How to Use This Practically Next time price hits a key level: Don’t rush the entry. 📌Instead, watch: - How long it stays there - Whether rejection is immediate or delayed - Time tells you who’s in control. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
53