Structure
EURGBP at Supply – Short Setup Ahead?EURGBP is testing a key supply zone while also entering the overbought region.
Sellers could step in here, making it an interesting area to look for shorts.
However, if buyers manage to break above, further bullish continuation may follow.
⚡ What do you think?
👉 Will the bears take control, or will the bulls push through?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTCUSD | Bullish Bias - Watching for Continuation🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and intact. Price broke major external highs, leaving bullish momentum at the top. Despite a deep pullback into a refined internal OB, structure remains respected — no lows invalidated.
🔹 MTF (30M): Price mitigated the refined OB and made a professional sweep at the lows, giving a temporary bearish appearance, but the bullish structure holds. Continuation setups are forming.
🔹 LTF (5M): Waiting for price to take out the lower timeframe lower high — CHoCH confirmation. Once that shift occurs, bulls will look to attend longs and ride continuation toward the upside.
🔹 Execution Plan: Patience is key. Let smart money reveal itself and the OB defend before committing to entries.
🔹 Mindset Note: Trend is your friend — follow price, stay alert, and wait for confirmations. Popcorn out until the market shows its hand.
XAUUSD | Bullish Bias - Structure Respected, Continuation Play🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and being respected within the major timeframe range. Clean pullbacks and OBs are holding, and price continues breaking highs — climbing steadily toward upside targets.
🔹 MTF (30M): Watching for continuation off the previous highs. Waiting for a sell-side liquidity sweep into the internal framework OB.
🔹 LTF (5M): Once OB is tapped, looking for confirmations to enter longs and ride the next bullish leg toward higher highs.
🔹 Execution Plan: Patience — let smart money reveal itself before taking entries.
🔹 Mindset Note: Price respects structure; our role is to wait for the right confirmation before committing.
NASDAQ (US100) | Bullish Bias - Continuation in Play🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and respected. Momentum is strong to the upside, and higher lows remain intact — bullish intent confirmed.
🔹 MTF (30M): Refined structure shows price slashed through the recent internal OB but held — structure remains intact. A deeper sweep into an internal OB refined the order block further.
🔹 LTF (5M): Price switched character from bearish to bullish. Previous week we caught a bullish move, now looking for a second continuation setup toward highs this week.
🔹 Execution Plan: Waiting for price to mitigate the OB zone. Once tapped, we’ll attend bullish longs with precision.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the edge — let smart money reveal itself before taking the next position.
EURNZD | Bullish Bias - Waiting on Courtyard Liquidity Slash🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is clean and bullish with strong momentum holding to the upside.
🔹 MTF (30M): Looking for continuation longs. Waiting for that sell-side liquidity (courtyard) to be cleared and price to tap into my refined OB zone.
🔹 LTF (5M): Once price reaches the OB, I’ll wait for confirmations before committing to longs. No confirmation, no trade.
🔹 Execution Plan: Patience until OB mitigation — only then will I engage longs toward the highs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Smart money reveals the hand, we follow with precision.
EURGBP| Bullish Bias - Structure Aligned for Continuation🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and respected with strong intent and momentum to the upside.
🔹 MTF (30M): Sell-side liquidity was swept into my refined internal OB. The last bearish move mitigated the block, keeping structure aligned for continuation.
🔹 LTF (5M): Previous week we caught the bullish leg. Now I’m tracking a second entry setup for continuation longs toward the highs.
🔹 Execution Plan: Waiting for price to return into the refined OB zone. Once tapped, I’ll look for LTF confirmations to engage longs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience — let the liquidity clear and allow smart money to show its hand before we commit.
USDCAD| Bullish Bias - Deep Sweep, Smart Money at Work🔹 HTF (4H): Structure remains bullish with strong intent. Price refined into higher-timeframe OBs, digging deeper but still holding bullish order flow.
🔹 MTF (30M): A “Courtyard Liquidity Slash” cleared sell-side liquidity and price mitigated an internal OB. Despite a deep sweep that appeared bearish, structure remains intact.
🔹 LTF (5M): Now waiting for a visual CHoCH to confirm reversal off the significant HTF OB. Only then will I attend longs, looking to ride the next bullish leg into highs.
🔹 Execution Plan: Stay patient — once smart money reveals itself with confirmation, I’ll engage longs from refined zones. Until then, no need to force entries.
🔹 Mindset Note: Deep sweeps don’t change bias; they prepare the path. Let the market prove the hand before we strike.
AUDUSD| Bullish Bias - Momentum Holding Strong🔹 HTF (4H): Structure shows clear bullish intent with strong momentum to the upside. Large bullish candles confirm continuation potential.
🔹 MTF (30M): Price cleared liquidity, mitigated the OB, and refined structure for continuation longs.
🔹 LTF (5M): A CHoCH confirmed directional shift, leading to bullish runs toward the highs.
🔹 Execution Plan: Waiting for price to mitigate my marked OB before reloading longs to target major highs. Until then, patience — let smart money defend the level before we step back in.
🔹 Mindset Note: The market is delivering. Our role is to wait for the OB to be tapped and then execute with precision.
USDJPY| Bullish Bias - Continuation in Play🔹 HTF (4H): Structure remains bullish as external highs continue to break. Price respects bullish intent, confirming upside momentum.
🔹 MTF (30M): Sell-side liquidity has been taken and price tapped cleanly into the OB, showing solid mitigation.
🔹 LTF (5M): A CHoCH has printed, confirming the shift. Now I’m waiting for a second entry opportunity to ride continuation toward the highs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience on LTF — waiting for the next inducement/entry trigger keeps us aligned with HTF strength.
GBPUSD| Bullish Bias - Structure Holding Strong🔹 HTF (4H): Structure remains bullish with strong intent. Price has already mitigated a 4H OB, and a clean CHoCH has confirmed continuation potential.
🔹 MTF (30M): Bullish structure stays intact. I’m tracking the next OB for continuation longs. Waiting for external sell-side liquidity to be slashed before price taps into the zone.
🔹 Execution Plan: Zone to watch sits at 1.33200–1.32600. Once tapped, I’ll shift to the LTF for confirmations to see if smart money defends the area.
🔹 Mindset Note: No rush — let the liquidity clear and the market hand over the play before stepping in.
EURUSD | Bulish Bias - HTF Structure Intact
🔹 HTF (4H): Price remains in bullish structure. Nothing has been invalidated; intent is still respected.
🔹 MTF (30M): After the external sell-side liquidity was slashed, I’m waiting for price to pull back into the marked OB. Current range is simply building liquidity.
🔹 Execution Plan: Once price taps into the OB zone (1.15600–1.15200), I’ll drop down to the LTF for confirmations. Looking for smart money to defend the level before committing to longs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience here is key — waiting for the liquidity to leak and for price to prove its hand.
Price is in a nice sequence for a continuation shortPrice tapped the previous HTF high in the form of a 3-touch structure before starting a bearish move with almost perfect sequence.
After the first impulsive move, the continuation structures became larger further into the run.
We are now trading through an AoI to the left, and price is forming a bigger continuation bear flag structure. Considering we are further in the run, I am looking for a clear confirmation to enter a short trade, preferably with 2x bearish H1 high-test candles on top of the structure or a H4 reversal candlestick pattern.
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👉 The pairs I publish here are usually discussed in detail in my Weekly Forex Forecast (WFF) and are now showing further developments or price action worth mentioning.
Remember, technical analysis is subjective; develop your own approach. I use this format primarily to hold myself accountable and to share my personal market views.
⚠ Ensure you have your own risk management in place and always stick to your trading plan.
*** **** *****
Continuation within a HTF consolidation, wait for confirmation Price is in a larger consolidation phase for the better part of August. After tapping the previous low of the structure at around 1.158, price formed an impulsive leg and is now forming a bullish continuation. Considering Labor Day Monday in the US, it could take some time for price to finish the structure before we see the next impulsive move to the upside.
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*** **** *****
👉 The pairs I publish here are usually discussed in detail in my Weekly Forex Forecast (WFF) and are now showing further developments or price action worth mentioning.
Remember, technical analysis is subjective; develop your own approach. I use this format primarily to hold myself accountable and to share my personal market views.
⚠ Ensure you have your own risk management in place and always stick to your trading plan.
*** **** *****
BANK / USDT: Retest is in progress ,Expecting bullish rally soonBANK/USDT has broken out of the symmetrical triangle pattern and is currently in the retest phase. If this retest holds, price could rally toward the $0.10 target.
Best approach: Wait for bullish confirmation before entering. Always trade smartly with proper risk management and in line with market conditions.
HUNER (1D) — Seller Bias After OB Cluster; Descending BA SlopesHUNER (1D) — Seller Bias After OB Cluster; Descending BA Slopes, 4.00 Support Under Test
Executive read (VPA, 55-bar window)
◉ OB/OS: An OverBought 4/7 tag printed at the apex; no confirmed OS on the right edge. That OB cluster preceded the entire red B→A leg and frames the current risk.
◉ Ranked volume peaks (Top-3):
- B1 (H 4.35/L 4.00) ↑ 68.33M, ↓ 53.3M, Δ +15.03M.
- B2 (H 5.00/L 4.75) ↑ 56.06M, ↓ 44.72M, Δ +11.34M.
- B3 (H 4.71/L 4.39) ↑ 49.81M, ↓ 33.61M, Δ +16.19M.
- S3 (H 4.79/L 4.59) ↑ 41.05M, ↓ 34.1M, Δ +6.95M.
Takeaway: Buying peaks were heavy, but subsequent price action failed to sustain higher highs; sellers have since controlled the B→A leg.
◉ Segment diagnostics:
- C→B advance: top/bottom slopes +22.3° / +21.0° → mature but constructive.
- B→A decline: top/bottom slopes –12.3° / –10.1° → persistent downside pressure.
- Orientation at B: α 212.9° (red) / β 147.1° (red) confirm the bearish state of the current swing geometry.
◉ Levels & structure:
- Support: the S1 low ≈ 4.00 is the active horizontal shelf repeatedly defended.
- Resistance: 4.35 (B1/S1 pivot), 4.71–4.79 (B3/S3 band), then 5.00 (B2). The descending B→A trendline caps bounces before these levels.
Actionable interpretation (educational):
Bias stays bearish-to-neutral while price trades beneath the B→A upper line and below 4.35. A credible shift would require (i) a fresh B-ranked bar with positive Δ near the right edge, and (ii) a close back above the B→A top. Failure to reclaim 4.35 after bounces leaves 4.00 vulnerable; a daily close below 4.00 would validate extension into the S-zones. Conversely, an OS print near 4.00 coupled with flattening BA slopes would set up a tactical mean-reversion toward 4.35 → 4.71/4.79.
XAUUSD M5 BEARISH STRUCTURE QML LATE RETEST PATTERN NO 02Yes, this is the same market structure where we previously identified a buy setup on the M5 timeframe. Once again, the last Higher High (HH) has been formed, and immediately after that, an Order Block (OB) appeared on M5.
If this OB or “engineer candle” had been formed in isolation, it would hold no real value. However, its authenticity becomes valid because price first created the last HH before forming this structure.
This setup aligns perfectly as a QML (Quasimodo Level) with a late retest, according to both the M5 and M15 timeframes.
BTC – Fakeout Before the Big Breakout!Bitcoin has been repeating a familiar pattern:
- Fakeouts below key support zones, trapping early sellers.
- Breakouts back above structure, followed by strong impulsive moves.
We’ve already seen this sequence twice in the past months, and BTC might be setting up for it once again. Price faked out below support, reclaimed it, and is now eyeing a breakout from the falling channel.
🔁If history rhymes, the next leg could trigger a powerful impulse toward new highs. Traders should keep an eye on the $112,000–$114,000 zone — a breakout from here could be the spark for the next rally.
Is BTC about to repeat its playbook? 👀
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr