GBPUSD: Reached a clear zone, watching for reversal cluesThe market has recently pushed upwards with momentum.
What we’re looking at here is a leg started with a beautiful initial rejection, the kind I love trading and forecasted previously:
Price is now reaching a clear level that might provoke a small term reaction.
And when price finds its feet in these kinds of zones, I immediately think of what opportunity is offering: If price gives us a confirmation cue, that might be the signal to get involved: not just in candlestick structure but also in volume behavior.
Target: 1.34340
It's a risky setup as this leg has pushed up with strength
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Support_and_resistance
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,478 after a strong bullish rally, breaking through multiple resistance levels last week. Price surged above $3,440 and is now consolidating just below the $3,483 resistance, with short-term momentum supported by the MA`s.
If buyers can secure a clean break and hold above $3,483, the next upside target sits at $3,506, followed by $3,525. On the downside, initial support lies at $3,462, with deeper retracement levels at $3,440 and the Support Zone. A break back below $3,393 would weaken momentum and shift focus toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,371–$3,350).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,483
$3,506
$3,525
Support:
$3,462
$3,440
$3,417
$3,393
$3,371
$3,350
🔎Fundamental Focus – Week of Sept 1–6
It’s a heavy week for U.S. data with ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings, ADP Employment & Jobless Claims, and Friday’s NFP report. These releases will set the tone for Fed expectations and could bring sharp moves in gold. Markets will be especially sensitive to labour data as it shapes the path for rate cuts.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold rallied strongly yesterday, reaching into the $3,422 resistance zone, but failed to hold above and has since pulled back to around $3,409. Price is consolidating just above the $3,406 level, with short-term momentum still supported by the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green) trending higher.
For the bullish case to continue, gold needs a decisive break and hold above $3,422, which would open the way toward $3,445. If price remains capped, we may see a deeper correction, first into $3,386, then $3,363, and potentially retesting the First Support Zone ($3,347–$3,328).
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,422
$3,445
Support:
$3,406
$3,386
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Friday, Aug 29
Today brings key U.S. data including Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Spending, Chicago PMI, and UoM Consumer Sentiment. These reports will give fresh signals on inflation and growth.
⚠️ It’s also the last trading day of August — expect higher volatility. Manage exposure carefully heading into the weekend.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,400, pushing higher after reclaiming the $3,386 level, with the next target at $3,406. A clean break and sustained hold above $3,406 would open the path toward $3,422.
On the downside, failure to clear resistance could trigger a pullback into the $3,386 support, with deeper weakness exposing $3,363 and the $3,347–$3,328 support zone.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,386
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thursday, Aug 28
Today’s focus is on U.S. Prelim GDP and Unemployment Claims, both high-impact releases likely to move gold. Pending Home Sales also on the calendar.
⚠️ Volatility expected — watch for sharp moves and possible fakeouts around release times.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold briefly broke above the $3,386 resistance, but failed to hold and has since pulled back, now trading around $3,376. The rejection highlights $3,386 as a key barrier, while price remains supported above the $3,363 level with the 50MA (pink) still trending upward.
If buyers can reclaim and sustain above $3,386, the next upside targets are $3,406 and $3,422. On the downside, a break below $3,363 would expose the $3,347–$3,328 support zone, with further weakness opening the door toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281).
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,386
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
$3,304
$3,281
Cup and handle pattern spotted: Optimistic view for GoldOANDA:XAUUSD is showing a clean Cup and Handle setup. The price dipped to around 3,310, rounded out, and climbed back to the 3,350–3,360 zone, that’s our cup. Now it's pulling back slightly into a tight handle.
If price breaks above it with strength, I’d be expecting a move toward 3,368$. Until then, it’s a waiting game, no breakout, no trade.
Classic bullish setup forming, as anticipation is building up.
GBP: ER & Options Align — A Signal Worth Watching📌 GBP: ER & Options Align — A Signal Worth Watching
Interesting confluence on the British Pound:
The 1σ Expected Range (ER) for the Friday expiry (22.08) perfectly aligns with the cluster of put options at 1.35 — the same level I highlighted earlier.
🎯 Why it matters:
When market structure (ER) meets real positioning (puts), you get a reasonable support zone.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,344 after failing to break $3,367 minor resistance and hold above the $3,353 level, with both the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green) now sitting above price and acting as dynamic resistance.
A break and sustained hold back above $3,353 would be needed to regain short-term bullish momentum, opening the path to $3,367 (minor resistance) and $3,380. Failure to reclaim $3,353 keeps the bias tilted bearish, with downside pressure likely toward $3,329 and $3,313 - $3,295.
Current structure remains under pressure while price stays below the moving averages, with sellers holding the near-term advantage.
📋 Bullish Plan
The $3,329–$3,313 zone aligns with main buy-side liquidity and a fair value gap on both the 1H and 4H charts — making it a high-probability reaction area.
📌 Key Levels
Resistance:
‣ $3,353
‣ $3,367
‣ $3,380
‣ $3,399
Support:
‣ $3,329
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,295
‣ $3,281
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Aug 15
Busy session ahead with multiple high-impact US releases, including Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales, and Import Prices — key indicators for consumer demand and inflation trends that can directly affect USD and gold volatility.
Later, we have Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations, which may influence market expectations for Fed policy.
⚠️ It’s Friday — expect high volatility spikes. Manage risk carefully and avoid holding unnecessary exposure over the weekend.
GBPCHF meets strong support: A reversal here is high probabilityLooking at GBPCHF and how it fits within my approach to structure-based trading, this one is really speaking my language.
Price has come down into a key higher-timeframe support zone: a zone that’s proven itself multiple times in the past. Now, price has shown some initial rejection there, making my long position towards 1.1000 a clear, rational target.
What makes this setup different could be the patience behind it. As we let the market complete its downward leg, waited for price to revisit a reliable zone, and now anticipating a bounce back. It’s a move that I’ve captured across my previous charts again and again.
Let me know in the comments what you think
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is holding above the $3,353 support after reclaiming the 50MA (pink), but price remains capped just under the $3,367 minor resistance level and 200MA (green), which is acting as dynamic resistance.
A decisive break and hold above the minor resistance and 200MA would likely strengthen bullish momentum, opening the way to $3,380, followed by $3,399 and $3,422. Failure to break through could see price rotate back toward $3,353; a break below this level would shift focus to $3,329 and $3,313.
📌 Key Levels to watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,367
‣ $3,380
‣ $3,399
‣ $3,422
Support:
‣ $3,353
‣ $3,329
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,295
🔎 Fundamental Focus
A high-impact day for USD with Core PPI, PPI, and Unemployment Claims — all potential volatility drivers for gold.
Later, multiple FOMC member speeches and President Trump’s remarks could add further swings.
Expect sharp intraday moves around data releases and headline risk into the US session — manage positions and risk accordingly.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has broken above the 50MA (pink) but remains capped below the 200MA (green), trading just above the $3,353 key level. This area is acting as a pivotal barrier — a clean break and sustained hold above $3,353 is needed to shift momentum bullish.
A sustained break and hold above this zone could see momentum build toward $3,380, with further upside potential to $3,399 and $3,422. Failure to clear this area may keep price trapped in the pullback structure, risking another retest of $3,329 and possibly the Secondary Support Zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,380
‣ $3,399
‣ $3,422
Support:
‣ $3,353
‣ $3,329
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,295
🔎 Fundamental Focus
Multiple FOMC speeches and President Trump remarks today could spark volatility.
Expect choppy price action — manage risk around headlines.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is holding above the $3,369 level after rejecting from the $3,387 resistance zone. Price action remains bullish for now, with structure supported by the rising 50MA, which is acting as dynamic support.
To extend higher, bulls need a clean break and hold above $3,387, which would open the path toward $3,422 next.
If price fails to hold above $3,369, we could see a pullback into the $3,358–$3,344 zone, which remains the first key support. Below that, the next area of interest is the Pullback Zone at $3,329–$3,313 — a former resistance turned support, and a likely area for dip-buying interest.
A break below that would shift focus to the Secondary Support Zone at $3,295–$3,281, where price last launched its breakout.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,387 ‣ $3,422
Support:
‣ $3,369 ‣ $3,358‣ $3,344‣ $3,329–$3,313‣ $3,295–$3,281
🔎Fundamental Focus:
No high-impact data today, but markets may remain reactive.
EURJPY: Overextended move to meet daily resistanceThe current market context on EURJPY shows an overextended move that has been pushing higher as price is about to reach a well-established daily resistance. The rally into this resistance lacks healthy retracements, and momentum is likely unsustainable without a deeper correction. The probability of a pause or reversal here under this circumstances increases substantially.
This extension exaggerates this imbalance making it a high probability setup. Volume and price action near this level becomes critical in this case. Signs such as long upper wicks, bearish engulfing patterns will hint that the move may be running out of steam.
I would be targeting a decent pullback towards 170.700.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER Analysis - Can buyers push toward 4,100$?TRADENATION:XAGUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting there's chances for potential continuation on the upside.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and now came back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 4,100 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURNZD Continuation setup following recent bearish momentumThe market has recently pushed down with momentum.
Price attempted a timid "echo bounce" back into the broken support but was rejected, confirming this area now serves as area for bearish re-entries.
From what I can tell, we're entering the next leg of what I call the “Gravity Spiral Phase”, where sellers take over after taking a clear zone. Each wave down is not just a move, but a continuation of momentum migration into new bearish move.
Target: 1.93500
This level marks the next gravity anchor, a zone where price memory may attempt to stabilize, but only temporarily.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has continued its rally, breaking through the 3,416 resistance and pushing into the next upside zone.
Price is now trading around 3,421, just below the 3,440 resistance cluster.
The structure remains bullish with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA, which are acting as dynamic support.
A confirmed break and hold above 3,440 would open the path toward 3,458 and potentially the higher‑timeframe target at 3,478 if momentum extends.
If price fails to sustain above 3,416–3,440 and begins to fade, watch the initial pullback toward 3,400.
A deeper move below that would shift focus to 3,383 - 3,362 and then the Pullback Support Zone.
Failure to hold there could expose price to the lower Support Zone if bearish pressure builds.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ 3,440
‣ 3,458
‣ 3,478
Support:
‣ 3,416
‣ 3,400
‣ 3,383
‣ 3,362
‣ 3,336
🔎 Fundamental Focus
⚠️Not much on the calendar today. Still, manage your risk and stay prepared for any unexpected volatility.
AUDNZD: Ongoing Reversal from ResistanceI am watching for a reversal on AUDNZD as marked on my chart, expecting a reversal with a downside target at around 1.08700.
This is a high probability setup taken into account the overextended upside move to this resistance zone.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
AUDJPY Technical Breakout - Targeting 97.400 Next?TRADENATION:AUDJPY has recently broken decisively above a key resistance zone that had previously capped price for several months. This breakout was preceded by a period of compression and range-bound price action, where bullish momentum steadily built up, indicated by higher lows pressing against the resistance level. This type of structure typically leads to an explosive breakout, which we are now seeing unfold.
After the breakout, price came back for a clean retest of the broken resistance zone, which has now flipped into support. The retest held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest at this level and confirming the validity of the breakout.
With this structure in place, the bullish momentum is likely to extend further toward the next target zone around 97.400, provided price remains above the current support.
As long as the price holds above the retested zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. A breakdown back below this area, however, would be a warning sign and could open the door to a deeper pullback.
Remember, always wait for confirmation before entering trades, and maintain disciplined risk management.
Gold Short Term OutlookGold continues its short-term recovery after bouncing from the Support Zone and reclaiming the $3,300 level. Price is now testing the $3,328 resistance zone, with both the 50MA and 200MA converging just below price.
A confirmed break and hold above $3,328 would open the door to higher resistance levels. However, failure to clear this zone could lead to a retest of the Support Zone. If that fails to hold, a deeper retracement toward the HTF Support Zone may follow.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,328
‣ $3,341
‣ $3,356
‣ $3,383
Support:
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,300
‣ $3,267
‣ $3,241
🔎 Fundamental Focus
All eyes on U.S. unemployment claims today
Expect volatility around the release – stay sharp.
GOLD - POTENTIALLooking at gold. Its still in a bit of limbo after the NFP reaction on Friday. However it is looking like the draw on liquidity is higher. Therefore my bias on gold for the start of the week is bullish so will be looking to get the most optimal entry to take some buys to the upside.
If we can manage to find a decent enough move price really could rally upwards.
ABCD PatternGHNI Analysis
Closed at 738.08 (04-07-2025)
Monthly Closing above 648 would be
a positive sign.
784 - 785 is the Resistance for now.
It has the potential to touch 1000 - 1100
if it Crosses & Sustains 785 with Good Volumes.
On the flip side, 680 - 682 & then 657 - 660 may
act as a Support.