BTC Key Levels in 4H🧭 BTC 4H Market Analysis
BTC remains in a structural equilibrium phase, holding within a tight consolidation pocket ($111,422 – $111,691) as the market attempts to sustain above the midrange base. Price has been building gradually higher lows since the last retest of the Major Support Zone ($107,466 – $108,122), signaling a slow reaccumulation phase within a broader corrective context.
This “Consolidation for Upside” zone marks a pivotal decision area. Sustained acceptance above $111,600 will likely confirm strength continuation toward the Initial Resistance Zone ($112,818 – $113,347), setting the stage for a possible breakout sequence toward the higher resistance layers at $114,758 – $115,313 (Second Resistance) and $116,112 – $117,157 (Major Resistance).
The 4H market tone currently shows balance, with buyers defending dips efficiently but yet to assert full control. For any bullish follow-through, the next few candles will need to establish closing strength above the consolidation ceiling — ideally a clean break and retest confirmation above $111,700.
If price fails to expand upward and instead slips back below $110,524, the short-term tone shifts to neutral, and BTC may drift back into its lower demand range at $109,421 – $108,961 (“If Consolidation Failed – 1st Support Zone”). That’s where buyers are expected to defend again; loss of this zone would expose the deeper Major Support Zone ($107,466 – $108,122), a key structural area that has historically served as a base for directional reversals.
The broader structural context indicates that BTC is compressing within a mid-range pocket, likely preparing for a breakout leg into early November. Given the price compression near the consolidation high, momentum bias leans constructively bullish, provided the upper range holds firm.
📊 Summary:
Current Range: $111,422 – $111,691 (Consolidation for Upside)
Immediate Support: $110,524
If Consolidation Fails – 1st Support Zone: $109,421 – $108,961
Major Support Zone: $107,466 – $108,122
Initial Resistance Zone: $112,818 – $113,347
Second Resistance Zone: $114,758 – $115,313
Major Resistance: $116,112 – $117,157
Market Tone: Balanced / Constructive
Bias: Mildly Bullish while holding above $110,500; range-neutral below $109,400.
Support_and_resistance
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around 4121, consolidating after a modest recovery from the 4075 support zone. Price is currently caught between the MA50 and MA200, showing signs of indecision as buyers and sellers battle for short-term control.
While the broader uptrend remains structurally intact, short-term momentum is still bearish to neutral, with gold struggling to close above the 4151 resistance. A decisive break above 4151 could pave the way for a corrective rally toward 4192 and 4227, where the MA200 may act as dynamic resistance.
On the downside, if gold fails to hold above 4117, another retest of 4075 is likely. A clean break below this level could extend weakness into 4020, with 3984–3953 marking the deeper support base where dip-buyers are expected to become active again.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4151
4192
4227
4279
Support:
4117
4075
4044
4020
3984
🔎 Fundamental focus:
Even though gold is under short-term pressure, the overall trend is still healthy. Uncertainty in the global economy continues to support gold, and many traders see price drops toward key support levels as good buying opportunities.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains under downside pressure after failing to hold above the 4151 resistance yesterday, with price now trading around 4104. The metal continues to trade below both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that short-term momentum remains bearish within a broader corrective phase.
If buyers can reclaim 4117 and 4151, a corrective bounce toward 4192 and 4227 may follow. However, failure to defend 4075 could trigger another wave of selling toward 4020, and potentially deeper into the 3984-3953 zone, where fresh demand could start building up.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4117
4151
4192
4227
Support:
4075
4044
4020
3984
🔎 Fundamental focus:
Gold continues to trade under macro uncertainty as the U.S. government shutdown drags on, delaying major data releases and weighing on investor confidence. The lack of economic transparency has led to erratic price swings, while persistent U.S.–China trade tensions and weaker manufacturing sentiment add further risk aversion.
$SOL / Solana to $300+?All things suggest a strong launch opportunity for Solana.
If $200 holds, it's a good accumulation level. RSI is at 50, in the Fibonacci Golden Zone, with a weekly demand level, and the $250 weekly resistance/supply level has been tested 3+ times.
Solana bulls have a solid chance to reach $300+ short-term, especially with potential ETF filings.
XAUUSD : What is the expected reversal point for XAU/USD?hi everyone
The drop in gold indicates profit-taking. This can be observed as other XXX/USD pairs continue to move normally. After forming a double top, the decline has now reached around the 0.618 Fibonacci level. I’m more interested in the 0.786 level, which is around 3961.89 or 3818.06
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold dropped like a rock yesterday, extending its sharp sell-off into the early Asian session, where price briefly touched 4,004 before bouncing back. The move marked one of the steepest single-day declines in weeks, slicing straight through multiple support zones before finding some footing just above 4075(deeper support zone).
Price is now hovering around 4,141, showing early signs of stabilization after yesterday’s flush-out. While the broader uptrend remains intact, short-term momentum has clearly shifted bearish, with the MA50 now acting as dynamic resistance. If buyers can reclaim 4,192 and the MA200, a corrective bounce toward 4,227 and 4,279 could follow.
However, failure to hold above 4,117 would likely trigger another leg lower toward the Deeper Support Zone (4,075–4,044), where stronger buying interest are expected.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4151
4192
4227
4279
4321
Support:
4117
4075
4044
4004
3984
🔎 Fundamental focus:
While short-term sentiment has flipped cautious, the broader macro backdrop remains gold-supportive — ongoing political risk and weak global growth continue to attract dip buyers on major corrections.
Attractive Bullish Gold SetupHey, it’s Erik!
XAUUSD is currently in a fascinating phase. After a strong pullback from the upper boundary of the ascending channel, gold is now heading toward the lower boundary. This region aligns with a key support zone, and a potential reaction here could propel the price back upward.
If buyers manage to defend this level, the potential for a rise to $4,380 is significant. This level coincides with the middle of the channel and previous resistance, making it a logical short-term target in this bullish market structure.
However, there’s an important caveat. If the market fails to hold this support, the bullish scenario could lose its validity, and we might see a continuation of the downward trend. That’s why it’s crucial to wait for clear confirmation before entering. A rejection wick, increased buying volume, or a bullish engulfing pattern are all key technical signals to watch for the right entry point.
So, what do you think? Ready to seize this opportunity, or do you see other risks? Share your thoughts with us!
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold attempted another run-up yesterday but failed to sustain momentum, leading to a renewed pullback this session. Price is currently trading around 4259, slipping below the MA50 as short-term momentum softens after repeated rejections from the 4362 resistance zone.
Despite the rejection the broader trend remains bullish above the MA200, though short-term momentum has clearly weakened. If buyers manage to reclaim 4321, gold could reattempt the upside toward 4362 and 4406.
However, a break below 4,279 would expose the First Reaction Zone (4,227–4,192), where buyers will likely defend to maintain trend structure. A deeper breakdown beneath this area could open the way toward 4,151–4,117 near the MA200.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4321
4362
4406
Support:
4279
4227
4192
4151
4117
🔎 Fundamental focus:
The U.S. government shutdown continues to pressure risk sentiment, with political negotiations showing little progress. Several key data releases this week, including PMI and durable goods orders, remain uncertain due to the data blackout, adding to market caution.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold had a strong pullback on Friday following last week’s sharp rally and is now consolidating between 4,279 and 4,227. The retracement has allowed the market to cool off after consecutive all-time highs, while buyers are still defending the First Reaction Zone (4,227–4,192).
Price remains above the MA200, maintaining the broader bullish structure, but continues to struggle reclaiming the MA50, which now acts as short-term resistance. A break above 4,279 could re-ignite bullish momentum toward 4,321 and 4,362, while a failure to hold 4,227 may invite deeper correction toward 4,151–4,117.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4279
4321
4362
4406
Support:
4227
4192
4151
4117
🔎 Fundamental focus:
This week’s calendar features key U.S. data releases, including Flash PMIs, Durable Goods Orders, and Consumer Sentiment, though many reports risk delay due to the ongoing government shutdown. The blackout continues to cloud market visibility and reinforce safe-haven demand for gold.
ER: The Hidden Tool 95% of Traders Ignore (But Shouldn’t)What if I told you there’s a free, stats-backed tool that shows you where price is likely to stop or reverse — with 68% confidence?
Meet Expected Range (ER) — not a magic bullet, but a massive edge when used right.
✅ Based on CME data & Nobel-winning math
✅ Defines high-probability support/resistance zones
✅ Free from CME website.
I never trade without checking ER anymore.
It turns noise into structure.
👉 Check the screenshots yourself — see how price reacted at each edge last week.
The only thing you need to do?
→ Grab ER data from the CME website daily
→ Apply a simple conversion formula
→ Plot it on your futures chart
That’s it.
Now you’ve got statistically grounded levels right in front of you.
Depending on your market view, you can:
• Short from the upper ER boundary
• Use it as a trend support entry zone
• Hide stops beyond the range — because price statistically won’t reach them
⚠️ Caveat: ER isn’t a crystal ball.
But in normal markets - ER zones hold ~4 out of 5 times.
Question for you:
Are you using ER? Or still guessing support/resistance?
Transparency first. No hype. Just real results.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its historic rally, printing new all-time highs almost daily. Price is currently hovering around 4,356, consolidating just below the 4,385 resistance after a steep vertical move higher.
Momentum remains strong, with price holding well above both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control.
Immediate resistance sits at 4,385, followed by 4,406, 4,425, and 4,445. If price fails to break above 4,356, watch the First Reaction Zone (4,329–4,307) for a potential minor pullback.
Failure to hold this zone could open the way for a deeper correction toward lower support areas in line with the moving averages.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4356
4385
4406
4425
4445
Support:
4329
4307
4280
4257
4235
4205
🔎 Fundamental focus:
The U.S. government shutdown and ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions continue to cloud market sentiment, driving investors toward safe-haven assets. The uncertainty has created a “no-ceiling” environment for gold, where every dip is quickly absorbed and traders keep chasing fresh all-time highs amid strong momentum and risk aversion.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its powerful ascent, extending gains and printing new all-time highs in nearly every session.
Price is currently trending near 4,235 — an intraday resistance level — while momentum remains firm, showing sustained buyer dominance.
If price reclaims and holds above 4,235, the next resistance sits at 4,257, followed by 4,280 as an extended upside target.
Immediate support is seen at 4,205, and if a deeper pullback develops, watch the First Reaction Zone (4,176–4,150) for potential re-entry opportunities.
The broader bias remains bullish with MA50 and MA200 continuing to provide dynamic trend support.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4235
4264
4280
Support:
4205
4176
4150
4112
4082
🔎Fundamental Focus:
Markets are increasingly betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later, boosting gold’s appeal as lower yields reduce the cost of holding the metal. At the same time, the U.S. government shutdown is adding another layer of uncertainty, freezing data releases and shaking confidence in fiscal management.
Tensions between the U.S. and China, along with political instability in parts of Europe and Asia, continue to weigh on global risk sentiment. Meanwhile, central banks and large funds keep accumulating gold as a hedge against debt, inflation, and a weakening dollar.
Together, these forces have created an environment with no clear ceiling for gold, as every dip is met with strong buying and momentum keeps pushing prices to new record highs.
Gold Analysis: Will Buyers Push the Price to 4,150?Hello everyone, Kilian here!
XAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. This stability indicates that the market is following a sustainable uptrend, and it’s no surprise that investors remain confident in the strength of the buyers.
Price Action and Growth Potential
Recently, price action has clearly shown that buyers are in control. The strong bullish momentum could lead to a significant breakout, potentially breaking through the resistance zone that has been hindering the price's upward movement. If this happens, XAUUSD could continue its uptrend, with a retest of the support level before advancing further.
A successful retest would further strengthen the bullish trend and potentially spark a powerful move toward the 4,150 target, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Potential Risks and Key Factors to Watch
However, we cannot overlook the possibility that the price might fail to break through the strong resistance zone. If this occurs, it could signal that bullish momentum is weakening. In this case, there might be a retracement, with the next target being the support zone at the lower boundary of the channel.
Tips for Traders
As always, the most important thing in trading is to confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Whether or not this scenario plays out, being prepared for every situation will help you minimize risks and optimize your profits.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues to extend its bullish move, currently trading around 4070 after reclaiming the 4051 resistance. Next resistance sits at 4082 — a clean break above this level could open the path toward 4112, aligning with the rising channel’s upper trendline.
If price fails to sustain momentum above 4082, a pullback toward lower support levels is likely.
The first support lies near 4020–3984, where the 50MA may offer dynamic support.
A deeper retracement could extend into the First Reaction Zone, which aligns closely with the channel’s lower trendline and may attract renewed buyer interest.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4082
4112
Support:
4051
4020
3984
3953
3924
🔎Fundamental Focus – Week of Oct 13, 2025
The focus this week shifts to Fed Chair Powell’s speech on Tuesday, which could shape expectations for the next policy move.
⚠️ US Government Shutdown Update:
Shutdown risks remain elevated as negotiations in Congress continue to stall. The impasse threatens to delay the release of key economic data, adding uncertainty and volatility to markets. Any sign of progress or breakdown in talks could trigger sharp moves in USD and gold.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted the need for a confirmed break above 4046 to sustain bullish momentum.
However, gold failed to hold above the level, leading to a sharp pullback into lower support zones.
Price is now trading below 4000 and under the 50MA, showing short-term bearish pressure.
A clean break above 4000/MA50 could reignite bullish momentum toward 4020 → 4046 → 4,064. Failure to reclaim 4000 risks a deeper retracement toward 3937 (Secondary Support Zone) and 3909–3881 (Deeper Support Zone) where the MA200 may provide dynamic support.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4000
4020
4046
4064
Support:
3970
3,937
3,909
3,881
🔎 Fundamental Focus | Fri, Oct 10
Today’s key data includes Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations, alongside multiple FOMC speeches (Daly, Goolsbee, and Musalem) — all of which could provide fresh policy clues and volatility for gold.
⚠️ Note: The US government shutdown continues to impact economic data releases, causing uncertainty around timing, revisions, and overall market reliability.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted that gold was extended and due for a retracement.
Price failed to hold above 4046 and sharply pulled back, testing the upper edge of the First Reaction Zone, which also aligns with the MA50, now acting as dynamic support.
For bullish momentum to continue toward 4064 and 4080, price needs to reclaim and hold above 4046.
Failure to do so could trigger another retest of the reaction zone and potentially a deeper pullback toward the lower support levels before buyers step back in.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4046
4064
4080
Support:
4020
4000
3970
3937
3909
🔎Fundamental Focus | October 9, 2025
Today’s spotlight is on Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which is expected to set the tone for the day. Markets will be watching closely for any hints on rate-cut timing or comments addressing economic risks amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown.
Additional Fed officials — Bowman and Barr — are also scheduled to speak throughout the day, which could add layers of volatility if their remarks differ in tone from Powell’s.
With U.S. data releases still limited by the shutdown, today’s Fed communications will be the key market driver.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its strong bullish run, extending gains above 4000, with price now approaching the 4046 resistance level. Momentum remains firmly in buyers’ hands with no clear signs of exhaustion so far, although price is now moving into overextended territory following several strong impulsive moves.
If bullish momentum remains strong and buyers manage to break above the 4046 resistance, price may extend toward the 4064 level. However, failure to clear 4046 could trigger a pullback toward lower support zones.
Immediate support sits at the First Reaction Zone (4000–3970) — a natural area for a short-term pullback if price starts to cool off.
Deeper retracement zones are found around 3937 and 3909, where the broader uptrend could rebuild momentum should short-term profit-taking intensify.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4046
4064
4080
Support:
4020
4000
3970
3937
3909
🔎Fundamental Focus | October 8, 2025
All eyes are on the FOMC Meeting Minutes later today, scheduled for 8:00 pm (GMT+2).
Despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, the Fed’s communications remain unaffected since it operates independently.
Several Fed officials — including Mester, Barr, Goolsbee, Logan, and Kashkari — are also speaking throughout the day, which could add volatility.
⚠️ Stay cautious — sentiment remains headline-driven amid the shutdown and multiple Fed speeches today.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is pulling back after failing to clear resistance around 3970, showing the first signs of intraday exhaustion following the sharp rally. The bias remains bullish, but it’s healthy to see some correction after strong momentum.
The MA50 acts as the first line of dynamic support, aligning with the 3937 support level. Failure to hold above this zone may open the way for a test of lower reaction zones before fresh buying interest emerges.
A clear break above 3970 will likely invite momentum buyers and push price toward the 4000 and possibly 4020 resistance levels.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
3970
4000
4020
Support:
3937
3909
3880
3820
🔎Fundamental Focus:
The ongoing U.S. government shutdown continues to delay key data and elevate risk sentiment. With uncertainty rising and liquidity thinning, gold is highly reactive to political headlines, leading to erratic intraday volatility. Safe-haven demand underpins dips, but sudden reversals remain possible.
XAUUSD: A Correction Is Coming – Don’t Miss Out!Hey everyone, Kilian here!
Let’s dive into today’s XAUUSD analysis!
The price is currently moving within a clear upward channel, with price action testing the upper boundary. This could act as a dynamic resistance level, and if the price is rejected here, we might see a slight pullback, bringing the price back to the support zone at 3,900.
If buyers can successfully defend this support level, the bullish structure will remain intact, and gold could resume its move to higher levels. However, if the price breaks below the support, a deeper correction toward the lower boundary of the channel may open up a potential selling opportunity.
Keeping an eye on confirmation signals like engulfing candle patterns, strong rejection candles from support, or increased buying volume will help you time your entries for buying positions. That said, always prioritize risk management! Make sure to confirm the signals and implement a solid risk management strategy before entering a position.
What do you think about this move? Feel free to share your thoughts and strategies in the comments below!
The Gold Bulls Take Control!Hi everyone, Kilian here!
Let’s talk about XAUUSD.
Gold is showing a clear and structured bullish trend right now. The price continues to move within a well-established ascending channel, and the price action has consistently respected both the upper and lower boundaries. This suggests that the buying pressure remains strong.
The next logical step for me is a break above the current resistance zone. If we see that breakout, I expect the price to pull back briefly to test the support level before continuing its upward movement. A successful retest of support would solidify the bullish structure and set the stage for a move toward the 3,970 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
However, if the resistance proves too strong and the breakout doesn’t happen, this could signal a weakening of the bullish momentum. In that case, we could see a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel, offering another potential entry point.
It’s crucial to always confirm your setups and manage risk properly. Be prepared for both scenarios, and best of luck with your trades!
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchFollowing yesterday’s analysis, gold failed to hold momentum above $3,883 and sold off sharply, breaking back toward first support zone. Price tested the $3,828 level before rebounding, with the 50MA (pink) now acting as resistance.
A sustained break above $3,861/50MA could invite a retest of $3,883, with upside targets at $3,903 if momentum extends.
Failure to clear the $3,361/50MA risks renewed downside toward $3,828, with a deeper move opening secondary support zone. The 200MA (green) remains a key dynamic support if selling pressure escalates.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,861
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,842
$3,828
$3,796
$3,776
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Oct 3 (NFP Day)
Today is packed with high-impact US data:
🚩Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP),
🚩Average Hourly Earnings,
🚩Unemployment Rate,
🚩ISM Services PMI, plus several FOMC speeches.
⚠️ Reminder: US government data may be impacted by the shutdown, so releases could be delayed or revised.
High volatility and sharp swings expected.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold failed to hold above $3,883 yesterday, triggering a pullback into the $3,861 support where the 50MA is currently holding as dynamic support. Price is now consolidating just above this level.
If bullish momentum continues, a retest of $3,883 is likely, with a breakout opening the path toward $3,903.
A break below $3,861 would expose the $3,842–$3,828 supports, with risk of a deeper pullback into the First Reaction Zone and a possible 200MA test.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,861
$3,842
$3,828
$3,812–$3,796 (First Reaction Zone / MA200 confluence)
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Oct 2
The spotlight today is on US Unemployment Claims.
👉 With NFP tomorrow, traders should expect positioning swings and volatility around today’s data.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is recovering from yesterday’s sharp pullback and is currently trending just above the $3,861 level. A sustained break above this area could see price push toward the $3,883 resistance, with a possible extension to $3,903.
Failure to hold above $3,883 could trigger another pullback into lower support zones.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,861
$3,842
$3,828
$3,796
$3,753
$3,734
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Wed, Oct 1
Key US data on deck today:
🚩ADP Non-Farm Employment
🚩ISM Manufacturing PMI
🔶ISM Manufacturing Prices
👉 Expect high volatility and swings.






















