GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,930.90
Target Level: 3,882.75
Stop Loss: 3,962.92
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Techincalanalysis
AUD/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
AUD/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.921
Target Level: 0.910
Stop Loss: 0.928
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.175 level.
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AUD/NZD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/NZD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.137.
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EUR/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 173.742.
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US100 BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 24,768.0
Target Level: 24,035.6
Stop Loss: 25,254.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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LiamTrading – GOLD Weekly Plan - new ATHLiamTrading – GOLD Weekly Plan: Prepare for the breakout to a new ATH
The new trading week opens with an extremely complex sentiment — many traders are confused, and even the “sharks” have to be cautious.
But if you look more closely at the price structure, everything becomes clear: gold is still in a sustainable uptrend.
🧠 Psychological & Trend Analysis
Gold just closed the week with a strong upward force, confirming the continuation of the medium-term uptrend.
At this stage, “Selling the top” is almost a dangerous action – as each correction is shallow and quick, not allowing sellers to exit in time.
This creates a strong “fear of missing out” (FOMO) mentality – causing money to continue flowing in when the price hits the trendline or technical retracement zone.
📊 Technical Analysis
On the H4 chart, the upward structure of gold is clearly visible following the impulse + correction box model (each accumulation – breakout repeats).
The 3820–3830 area continues to be the “golden retracement point” as it coincides with the medium-term uptrend line.
Last week's bounce from this area brought excellent profits for those who patiently waited.
Currently, the next target for gold is at the Fibonacci 1.618 level – around 3980, which is also a significant psychological level where many investors might take profits.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Buy setup (trend-following):
Entry: 3830
Stoploss: 3815
Take Profit: 3980
Sell reaction (short-term when target is reached):
Entry: around 3980
Stoploss: 3988
TP open depending on price reaction (scalping strategy)
🔍 Conclusion
Gold is still on the right growth trajectory, with short corrections being just opportunities to “accumulate”.
Continue trading with the trend, patiently waiting for prices to retrace to strong confluence zones instead of FOMO at high prices.
I will continue to share more details in daily updates here.
Follow me to not miss the latest gold scenarios.
USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 60.68
Target Level: 64.67
Stop Loss: 58.00
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 8H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.065 level.
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EUR/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on EUR/CHF right now from the support line below with the target of 0.935 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
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EUR/GBP BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR-GBP uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.870 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/GBP pair.
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BTC vs. The Broader Market: A Dangerous Powerful Wave is Coming Today, we're taking a deep dive into the two most important charts in the crypto space: Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) and the Total Crypto Market Cap (TOTAL). Using an Elliott Wave framework on the weekly timeframe, we can see a clear bullish structure taking shape. However, some underlying weaknesses in key indicators warrant a cautious approach. Let's break it down.
1. Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): The Path to a new All-time high Hinges on a Key Level
As we can see on the weekly chart, Bitcoin appears to have completed a major five-wave impulse cycle which topped out around the $108,000 mark. This was followed by a necessary ABC corrective phase.
The exciting part is what comes next. We are potentially witnessing the beginning of a brand new five-wave impulse.
Wave (1): Appears to have started from the $74,000 low and peaked near $124,000.
Wave (2): A healthy correction followed, finding support around $107,000.
If this count is valid, we are now in the early stages of Wave (3), which is typically the most powerful and extended wave in an impulse sequence.
The Critical Condition:
For this bullish count to remain the primary scenario, the current weekly candle must NOT close below $123,000. A weekly close below this crucial level would risk invalidating the start of this new impulse, suggesting that we may still be within a more complex corrective structure (such as a regular flat correction Check the article).
Also during wave (3) the Weekly RSI must go beyond "80" showing strong momentum ( if it fails to do so then it's a caution signal to be strongly considered because a reversal could happen at any time!)
Indicator Analysis:
Bearish Divergences: We must note the lingering bearish divergences on both the RSI and MACD. These signals are suspicious and suggest that momentum is not fully confirming the recent price highs. They need to be monitored closely.
Volatility Coiling: The Bollinger Band Width Percentile (BBWP) is showing significant contraction. This coiling of the bands indicates that weekly volatility is decreasing, which often precedes a massive price expansion in the coming weeks or months, However the lack of BBWP exhaustion (spectrum crossing 90%) remains a bullish sign combined with the contraction
Trend Strength: The ADX is rising on the weekly chart, confirming that a strong trend is in progress.
Volume: On-Balance Volume (OBV) and general volume profiles appear adequate for now.
2. Total Crypto Market Cap (TOTAL): The Broader Market Picture
The Total Crypto Market Cap chart tells a very similar story, reinforcing our Bitcoin analysis. The bullish phase began in sync with BTC back in November 2022.
The current Elliott Wave structure for the entire market is as follows:
Wave (1): Completed in March 2024.
Wave (2): Corrected into May 2024.
Wave (3): Finshed on March 2024
Wave (5): Finshed on December 2024
Currently the Total market cap chart is closely alligned with BTC chart which confrims the BTC leadership is intact. The current Elliot count of TOTAL market cap indicated wave (1) started April 2025 but curretly wave 2 showing caution signals
A Significant Red Flag - The Volume Divergence:
While the price structure remains bullish, there's a concerning signal under the hood. On the weekly RSI, we see a double bottom pattern, which is typically bullish. However, looking at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) during the same period, the OBV printed a lower low.
This is a classic bearish divergence between price/momentum and volume. It indicates that the recent push higher is not being supported by genuine, strong volume, suggesting conviction is weak.
Alternative Scenario:
If this volume weakness persists, we might see Wave (2) extenstion to around $3.23 Trillion. This would lead to a deeper Wave (2) correction, From that support, Wave 3 could launch that would still likely reach our ultimate ATH.
Conclusion: Bullish Outlook with a Note of Caution
Bringing both analyses together, the macro view for the crypto market remains decisively bullish. The Elliott Wave structures on both BTC and the TOTAL chart point towards significantly higher valuation, the lack of BBWP exhaustion on weekly charts of BTC & Total market cap remains a strong bullish indication combined with the BBWP expansion.
However, the market is showing signs of fatigue. The bearish divergences on Bitcoin's indicators and the critical volume divergence on the TOTAL chart cannot be ignored. This suggests that while the overall destination is uptrend, the journey might include a corrective dip before the next explosive leg higher.
Key Takeaways:
Overall Bias: Bullish.
Key Level for BTC: Watch the weekly close relative to $123,000. This is our line in the sand for the current impulsive structure.
Key Concern: The lack of strong volume confirming the market's recent move up warrants caution.
Volatility: Brace for a significant expansion in price movement. The compressed BBWP on both charts suggests a major move is brewing.
Stay vigilant and manage your risk accordingly. The next few weekly closes will be critical in determining whether we blast off directly or take a detour first.
GOLD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,865.68
Target Level: 3,657.24
Stop Loss: 4,004.25
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/AUD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
EUR/AUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.776
Target Level: 1.771
Stop Loss: 1.780
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/CAD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on EUR/CAD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.620.
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchFollowing yesterday’s analysis, gold failed to hold momentum above $3,883 and sold off sharply, breaking back toward first support zone. Price tested the $3,828 level before rebounding, with the 50MA (pink) now acting as resistance.
A sustained break above $3,861/50MA could invite a retest of $3,883, with upside targets at $3,903 if momentum extends.
Failure to clear the $3,361/50MA risks renewed downside toward $3,828, with a deeper move opening secondary support zone. The 200MA (green) remains a key dynamic support if selling pressure escalates.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,861
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,842
$3,828
$3,796
$3,776
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Oct 3 (NFP Day)
Today is packed with high-impact US data:
🚩Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP),
🚩Average Hourly Earnings,
🚩Unemployment Rate,
🚩ISM Services PMI, plus several FOMC speeches.
⚠️ Reminder: US government data may be impacted by the shutdown, so releases could be delayed or revised.
High volatility and sharp swings expected.
LiamTrading – Gold Plan: Wide Range + US Politics Exert Pressure
Gold continues to fluctuate within a wide range as market sentiment is heavily influenced by news from the United States. On October 3rd, the US Senate is expected to vote again on the temporary budget bill. If it fails, the federal government could shut down, extending into the following week. This will undoubtedly have a strong impact on safe-haven flows, making gold increasingly sensitive to key technical resistance levels.
📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
Gold is moving within a wide sideways structure, oscillating around strong resistance – support zones.
Fibonacci Resistance + Psychological level around 3878–3881 → suitable for short-term Sell scalping.
Confluence Support (Retest + Volume) around 3828–3830 → ideal zone to watch for Buy, expecting a recovery wave.
The major trend still leans towards an increase, however, in the short term, the market will experience many liquidity sweeps.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Sell (short-term – prioritize on M15):
Entry: 3878–3881
SL: 3886
TP: 3860 – 3855 – 3840 – 3822 – 3810
Buy (retest support + volume):
Entry: 3828–3830
SL: 3822
TP: 3845 – 3860 – 3877 – 3890
📌 Conclusion
Today's range is quite wide, suitable for scalping according to psychological resistance zones.
Short-term Sell at Fibonacci resistance levels.
Buy when price retests confluence support with volume.
Political news from the US will be a catalyst causing significant gold volatility, so maintaining disciplined capital management is essential.
👉 Stay closely tuned to the scenarios, I will update frequently as the market experiences new fluctuations.
XAUUSD – Prioritize Sell After Breaking Trendline
Hello Traders,
Gold has experienced a strong upward movement for several consecutive days, but now the market is showing significant reversal signals. The upward trendline on H4 has been broken, confirming a weakening buying momentum. In the medium term, the preferred scenario will be selling rather than continuing to chase buys.
Basic Context
The U.S. Treasury has just repurchased an additional $2 billion in bonds, bringing the total repurchase this week to $4.9 billion. This move indicates efforts to stabilize the bond market, but also reflects significant pressure on the USD and the U.S. financial situation.
In the short term, the injection of additional bond liquidity makes gold more unpredictable, and the trendline break at this time is an important warning signal.
Technical Perspective
Breaking the upward trendline → confirms a structural change.
MACD signals weakening, with buyers losing clear momentum.
The 3865 – 3868 zone is a beautiful resistance retest point to Sell.
If the price falls deeply, the support areas around 3830 – 3810 – 3790 will be the next targets.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell (main priority):
Entry: 3865 – 3868
SL: 3875
TP: 3855 – 3832 – 3810 – 3790
Buy Scalping (counter-trend – high risk):
Entry: 3803 – 3805
SL: 3795
TP: 3822 – 3835 – 3850
Conclusion
Gold has broken the trendline, prioritizing Sell in the short and medium term.
News from the U.S. bond market further emphasizes instability risks, making counter-trend Buy moves only suitable for short-term Scalping.
Follow me for the earliest updates on scenarios as price paths change.
NDSN - 9 months HEADS & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
LiamTrading – Intraday Trading Outlook LiamTrading – Intraday Trading Outlook
Looking at the global financial picture, we can see an extraordinary alignment:
Equities – All-Time High (ATH)
Housing Prices – ATH
Bitcoin – ATH
Gold – ATH
Money Supply – ATH
National Debt – ATH
CPI Inflation – averaging 4% annually since 2020, twice the Fed’s “target”
Federal Reserve – continuing to cut interest rates this month
It is clear that cheap money combined with persistent inflationary pressure is a powerful driver behind gold’s move into historic territory. In this context, looking for buying opportunities in line with the trend remains the more rational approach.
📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
Gold is moving within a well-defined upward channel.
Volume Profile indicates the POC around 3840–3850, an important level for potential scalping buys.
The VAL aligns with the rising trendline near 3820–3822, providing strong confluence for medium-term buying.
A confirmed break above 3895 (new ATH) would support further trend-following buys.
Key resistance sits at 3913–3915, suitable for short-term scalping sells.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping: 3845 | SL 3839 | TP 3856 – 3870
Buy zone (main): 3820 – 3822 | SL 3816 | TP 3832 – 3845 – 3860 – 3875 – 3890
Sell scalping: 3915 – 3913 | SL 3920 | TP 3900 – 3885 – 3872 – 3860
Buy breakout: A confirmed move above 3895 → continue buying with targets open towards 3915+
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, supported by both fundamental and technical factors. Short-term corrections are better viewed as opportunities to build on buy positions. That said, it is important to keep an eye on nearby resistance levels to optimise entries.
👉 This is my personal perspective on XAUUSD and not investment advice.
Follow me to stay up to date with daily gold scenarios 🔥
(XAU/USD) – Gold to reach $4,000/oz: Where is the best buy point1. Price Structure & Main Trend
On the H1 timeframe, gold still maintains a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
After the Break of Structure (BoS), price retraced to test the Buy Zone around 3,862 and bounced back up.
Currently, price is trading above both EMA34 and EMA89, confirming that the uptrend remains dominant.
2. Key Zones
Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Short-term support, aligned with the previous BoS. If price holds above this zone, the bullish scenario is strengthened.
Order Block (OB) 1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support zone if the Buy Zone is broken.
Order Block (OB) 2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, activated only in case of a strong correction.
Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): around 3,912. A potential short-term resistance where profit-taking may occur.
Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breaking above this area may lead gold to a new all-time high.
3. Trading Scenarios
Bullish (Main Scenario):
Look to buy at 3,862 – 3,865 if price retests.
SL: Below 3,850 (under Buy Zone and EMA89).
TP1: 3,912 (Sell Scalping Zone).
TP2: 3,933 – 3,935 (new ATH).
Bearish (Defensive Scenario):
If price breaks below Buy Zone and closes under 3,860, it may test OB 3,806 – 3,810.
In a worse case, if OB1 is also lost, short-term bullish momentum could weaken, pushing gold to OB 3,763 – 3,770.
4. Summary
Gold on H1 maintains strong bullish momentum after breaking structure. The optimal plan is to prioritize buying at key support, manage risk tightly, and gradually take profit at resistance zones. If price surpasses 3,933, gold may enter a new all-time high phase.
BITCOIN BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 119,475.11
Target Level: 114,149.01
Stop Loss: 123,016.02
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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