Techincalanalysis
SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,733.3
Target Level: 4,466.5
Stop Loss: 4,911.7
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
NZD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.581
Target Level: 0.574
Stop Loss: 0.585
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.340 level area with our short trade on GBP/USD which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.175 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAU/USD – 01/10 | US Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits🔎 Context & News
US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold.
FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain.
Key Events Today (ET / UTC) :
• ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC
• ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC
→ Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold.
📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session.
📈 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS.
EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact.
Resistance :
3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618).
3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test).
Support :
3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest).
3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone).
3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias).
🎯 Trade Plan
✅ Buy (trend priority)
Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876
• SL: 3,869
• TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920
Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841
• SL: 3,826
• TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907
Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822
• SL: 3,808
• TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897
⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR)
Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907
• SL: 3,912
• TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841
Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921
• SL: 3,925
• TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876
📝 Conclusion
Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations.
Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921.
⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1.
📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates.
💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is recovering from yesterday’s sharp pullback and is currently trending just above the $3,861 level. A sustained break above this area could see price push toward the $3,883 resistance, with a possible extension to $3,903.
Failure to hold above $3,883 could trigger another pullback into lower support zones.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,861
$3,842
$3,828
$3,796
$3,753
$3,734
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Wed, Oct 1
Key US data on deck today:
🚩ADP Non-Farm Employment
🚩ISM Manufacturing PMI
🔶ISM Manufacturing Prices
👉 Expect high volatility and swings.
GOLD H1 – THE WOLFE WAVE PATTERN IS FORMINGHello trader 👋
Gold has surged back strongly after a nearly 70-point drop yesterday. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the newly established ATH, with the potential to extend short-term targets towards 3,960 – 4,000 if the uptrend continues.
On the H1 chart, the price structure indicates the possibility of forming a Wolfe Wave pattern. This will be the main reference frame for intraday trading, taking advantage of the fluctuation range within the pattern.
⚖️ Short-term trading strategy
🟢 Buy Scenario (priority following the main trend):
Entry: 3,852 – 3,854
SL: 3,847
TP: 3,865 → 3,878 → 3,890
👉 Trend-following trade, suitable for holding positions and maximizing profits.
🔴 Sell Scenario (scalping at the upper boundary):
Entry: 3,877 – 3,879
SL: 3,884
TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,838
👉 Short-term sell order, only for scalpers within the pattern range.
📊 General Outlook
Gold continues to be supported by a major uptrend, but the H1 range suggests there could be some consolidation within the Wolfe Wave.
Buying positions are still prioritized for the day, as they align with the trend and allow for more effective order management.
Traders need to closely monitor price action at the upper and lower boundaries to make flexible decisions.
💡 News Factors to Watch
In the next hour, the market will focus on political news from the US, especially the potential US Government shutdown. This could be a catalyst for increased gold volatility during the session.
📌 Conclusion: Intraday trading prioritizes buying at support levels – selling scalps at the upper boundary within the H1 Wolfe Wave pattern. Tight capital management and clear SL to minimize risks. I will continue to update new scenarios for you – stay tuned so you don't miss out 🚀.
XAU/USD Trade Setup – Bullish Continuation in Play?Gold (XAU/USD) has recently shown a strong bullish recovery after a sharp drop from the $3,870 area. The price is currently consolidating near the $3,843 zone, forming a potential bullish continuation pattern.
We’ve now seen:
A V-shaped reversal off the $3,805 support zone
Strong bullish candles breaking short-term resistance
A potential higher low formation, signaling buying interest
🧠 Trade Idea:
🟢 Long Position Setup
Entry: Around $3,840.80
Stop Loss: $3,830.48 (below the recent low)
Targets:
🎯 TP1: $3,854.94
🎯 TP2: $3,861.25
🎯 TP3: $3,871.18 (extended)
This gives a solid risk-to-reward ratio of ~2:1 or better, depending on your target level.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Key resistance levels: $3,855, $3,861, $3,871
Key support level: $3,830
Candlesticks show strong bullish momentum with little selling pressure during pullbacks.
Price is trading above the breakout zone, indicating buyers are in control.
⚠️ Risk Management:
As always, wait for confirmation near the entry zone. Be cautious of false breakouts, especially around the $3,840–$3,845 region. Stick to your stop loss and take profit levels.
LiamTrading – Follow the Buy trend, target ATH 3915
The gold market continues to show the strength of the upward trend. After yesterday's shakeout, we witnessed a very clear Long Squeeze: all buying forces were forced to exit, but immediately after, the price quickly rebounded. This is the hallmark of a strong trend – the more it shakes out, the more momentum it creates for a new peak.
Today's perspective:
Continue to follow Buy, do not SELL against the trend.
The Buy position from 3797 is still held, if the price returns to retest, we will continue to add orders.
Prioritize observing the POC of the Volume Profile to place Buy orders, in case the price adjusts deeper, the VAL area coinciding with the rising trendline will be an extremely safe buying point.
Trading scenario
Buy 3847–3844, SL 3840, TP 3868 – 3880 – 3900 – 3915
Buy 3821–3819, SL 3814, TP 3835 – 3850 – 3868 – open
In summary: The upward trend remains extremely strong, the short-term target is ATH 3915. Just follow the trend, prioritize Buy to maximize profits.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please follow the scenario and follow me to get the earliest updates.
NEXT: big move in the makingNEXT: recent trend change from down ward to up in combination with increased volumes and positive corporate developments - closest target at $0.93C.
*** Graphite - as every mining corporation/ governments are chasing new graphite projects and and industrial corporations are trying to secure enough graphite "ex-china" to continue their normal operations - NEXT already is producing and recently got its first graphite supply contract, also NEXT has capacity to rapidly increase production and get more contracts.
*** Graphite is needed almost everywhere - from Nuclear plants to tanks, plains and electric cars and with 700%+ tariffs on Chinese graphite are coming by Dec/2025 - most of the western world will be under supplied by a minimum of 30% for at least next 5 yrs+. Perfect Cash Storm for NEXT is in the making.
Closest price test for NEXT is $0.93 (probably will break it with ease) - 2nd stop - $1.78 - also possibility of FOMO run in Dec/2025(once tariffs finalized) that could drive NEXT to test $4.85 by end of FEB/2026.
AUDNZD Reached Strong ResistancePrice on AUDNZD has been rallying aggressively, but the move now looks overextended as it drives straight into a major resistance zone, an area where sellers have stepped in before.
If buyers fail to break through and price rejects here, that’s the signal sellers are defending strongly, meaning a high probability reversal to the downside is to come next.
USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 62.93
Target Level: 64.18
Stop Loss: 62.10
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.527
Target Level: 0.523
Stop Loss: 0.529
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so NZD-CHF is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 0.467.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/NZD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/NZD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.137.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EUR/AUD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on EUR/AUD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.778.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BITCOIN BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 109,018.58
Target Level: 113,324.76
Stop Loss: 106,141.68
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/AUD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/AUD is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 2.043 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 65.18
Target Level: 63.42
Stop Loss: 66.35
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
ETHUSD ANALYLTICAL IDEA, FOR 30 SEP, 2025.After the quick fall below $4000, in value, the second in command on the coin market sharply went back to its original position and currently trades around $4100, but the overall direction is bullish as considered the altcoin season. But the question is, will it hold? Or continue pushing above or below well, for now, we can only sit tight on our hands, as my Bias remains bearish for the short term, and I look forward to taking sell trade positions as the price continues to push further in that direction.
As usual, my calls or analysis are based on what we see, the current Bias, and from a probability standpoint, meaning that this projection may be or may not be validated, so tread carefully, and as usual, this is not financial advice, trade responsibly.