GBP/NZD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/NZD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2.320 level.
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Techincalanalysis
GBP/CAD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
GBP/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.883
Target Level: 1.871
Stop Loss: 1.891
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPUSD Short Confluence and stacking the oddsFPMARKETS:GBPUSD
Fundamental: Bearish (5/5).
Technical: Bearish (7/7) — Diamond Vault (7-Stack) candidate; SL=0.0121, TP distance=0.0314.
Weak UK inflation and growth; dollar steadies. Trend structure bearish across EMAs; momentum favors sellers while rebounds face supply overhead.
USDJPY Long #confluence country #trade the stacks. OANDA:USDJPY
Fundamental: Bullish (5)
Technical: Bullish (6/7) — actionable threshold met (≥6)
20-word summary: Dollar-yen supported by rate differentials; EMAs aligned; momentum constructive; watch 152 zone and intervention risk while trend persists this week.
Actionable Trade (Long): ATR 1.181 → SL distance 1.79512; Stop 150.08088; TP 156.54331 (2.6R).
TSLA: Fundamentals Are Collapsing While Valuation Stays in OrbitTesla is trading near multi-month highs… but the fundamentals tell a very different story.
EPS has dropped by 50%, revenue growth has almost stalled, and yet the stock still carries a Forward P/E of 164.
This combination — slowing growth and extreme valuation — looks like the definition of an institutional bubble setup.
🧮 Fundamental Context
Over the past few years, Tesla’s growth has slowed dramatically:
Revenue rose from 31B → 53B → 81B → 96B → 97B — barely any increase.
EPS climbed from 0.2 → 1.6 → 3.6 → 4.3 — and then fell by half.
Quarter-over-quarter metrics remain negative, with no visible recovery trend.
Meanwhile, the Forward P/E of 164 implies double-digit expansion ahead — which clearly isn’t happening.
The fundamentals simply do not justify this kind of valuation.
Right now, Tesla’s numbers resemble the early phase of a valuation compression cycle — where prices eventually catch up with reality.
📉 Technical Structure
Technically, Tesla has been moving in a broad sideways range, forming what looks like a long-term Wave 4 structure.
We’re currently inside the “B” leg, which could already be complete or near completion.
Once that wave ends, the next expected move is a Wave C decline.
Key levels to watch:
📍 Upper resistance zone: $400 – $550
📍 Primary cluster: around $250
📍 Support zone: $150 – $200
The chart shows clear volume concentration around $250 — once that level breaks, the next liquidity pocket sits between $150 and $200.
That’s where a potential bottoming cluster could form before the final upward leg.
⚠️ Market Outlook
While other FANG names maintain solid balance sheets and stable earnings, Tesla’s fundamentals are deteriorating sharply.
Yes, the stock may still see short-term pumps driven by sentiment or Musk’s fan base — but markets always return to fundamentals.
And those fundamentals are pointing downward.
📊 Summary
EPS and revenue both trending lower 📉
Forward P/E at 164 — completely disconnected from growth metrics
Technical range suggests potential decline toward $200–$150
Current price action likely part of a larger corrective structure
Long-term investors should exercise extreme caution ⚠️
Tesla isn’t a short-term “growth story” anymore — it’s a valuation risk story.
Until earnings stabilize and margins recover, this stock looks massively overpriced.
EURNZD trend breakout and start of correctionEURNZD has broken below the ascending channel and confirmed the breakout under 2.0350. This indicates the start of a corrective phase. Downside targets are 2.0190, 2.0020, and 1.9860. As long as the price stays below the confirmation zone, sellers dominate the market. A return above 2.0370 would cancel the bearish outlook and restore the upward trend.
The New Zealand dollar remains supported by stable macroeconomic data and expectations that the RBNZ will maintain tight policy longer than the ECB. Meanwhile, the euro faces pressure from weak industrial performance and sluggish recovery across the eurozone. These factors favor further downside for EURNZD.
Following the breakout and confirmation, EURNZD is likely to continue its correction. As long as the price remains below 2.0350, the bias stays bearish with targets at 2.0190, 2.0020, and 1.9860.
MEMECORE/USDT — Range Recovery Forming, Watching Higher levelsMEMECORE has shown a steady rebound from the lower range near $2.00, regaining short-term momentum as it attempts to reclaim the $2.34 zone, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times.
A confirmed breakout above $2.34 would signal a shift in momentum and open the path toward the range high at $2.53, where the next major liquidity zone sits.
📊 Technical Overview:
Range Support: $2.00
Range Resistance: $2.34
Breakout Target: $2.53
Bias: Neutral → Bullish above $2.34
If MEMECORE continues to hold above the $2.00 base with rising volume, the structure suggests potential for a range breakout and short-term trend reversal.
📈 Outlook: Building strength inside range
🎯 Targets: $2.34 → $2.53
SILVER BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 4,960.5
Target Level: 5,379.0
Stop Loss: 4,680.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
NZD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 86.714
Target Level: 86.288
Stop Loss: 86.998
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CAD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CAD/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 106.478 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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XAUUSD – Bearish Scenario ActivatedXAUUSD – Bearish Scenario Activated: watch for sell retest at 4,303–4,305, deep buy at 4,208–4,210 🟡
Gold just hit a historical peak of 4,381, but the subsequent sharp drop opens up the risk of a short-term correction. On H1, the price is blocked by a descending trendline and the sell zone cluster at 4,30x; below are liquidity zones and the bottom trendline waiting to be retested.
Quick chart insights
Structure shifts to a descending triangle pullback after breaking the upward momentum.
Sell zone 4,303–4,305 coincides with the descending trendline + heavy volume (VP).
Below 4,26x is Liquidity Buy; deeper lies the 4,208–4,210 mark near FE 4.236 and the trendline base — the final “shakeout” zone before recovery.
Trading Plan (if–then)
Sell retest (priority in weak rebound)
Entry: 4,305–4,303
SL: 4,310
TP: 4,287 → 4,260 → 4,242 → 4,220
Condition: rebound to 4,30x and the appearance of a rejection/engulfing candle on H1 below the descending trendline.
Deep buy (liquidity sweep + rebound)
Entry: 4,210–4,208
SL: 4,204
TP: 4,225 → 4,242 → 4,270 → 4,298
Condition: deep shakeout to 4,21x, appearance of pin bar/absorbing volume at the bottom trendline.
Invalidation
Sell scenario invalidated if H1 closes above 4,310.
Buy scenario invalidated if H1 closes below 4,204 (risk of deeper trendline range).
Key Levels to Watch (easy on mobile)
Resistance: 4,303–4,305 • 4,320–4,325 (descending trendline)
Support: 4,260–4,255 • 4,242 • 4,210–4,208 • 4,200
Expected move: rebound to 4,30x → sell down to 4,26x/4,24x; sweep 4,21x → rebound to 4,27x–4,29x.
Quick Context (macro)
Expectations of Fed rate cuts + geopolitical risks keep the major trend upward, but after ATH, there’s often a short-term sell-off to rebalance positions.
Monitor USD/yield fluctuations: a strong USD will support the sell retest scenario; a cooling USD creates opportunities for a rebound from buy zones.
AUD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 97.676 area.
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GOLD|When the market loses balance, dominance leaves a footprint🔍 Market Context
After establishing a short-term peak in the 4,385 – 4,372 USD range, gold has entered a phase of strong technical correction , with consecutive red candles breaking the short-term upward structure.
The sellers temporarily dominate, pushing the price through the H1 upward trendline. However, the support zone below (Liquidity Zone + Order Block Bullish) is beginning to show absorption force, indicating the possibility that buyers might return at discounted price levels.
💎 Technical Analysis
Previous Bullish BoS: confirms the main trend is still long-term bullish .
FVG Down Zone: 4,285 – 4,260 USD → an unfilled price balance area during the decline, potentially a place for price to retrace to “fill the gap” before choosing a direction.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,222 – 4,218 USD → a short-term support area where new buying liquidity appears.
Order Block Bullish: 4,203 – 4,185 USD → a confluence area between OB and Fibo 0.786, where large capital might return.
Deep Bullish OB: 4,142 – 4,128 USD → the final defense zone for the main upward trend.
Order Block Bearish: 4,372 – 4,385 USD → a critical resistance area, likely to react if the price retraces.
The current structure shows gold is in a retracement – liquidity rebalancing phase, lacking sufficient signals to reverse the trend.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,222 – 4,203 USD
Entry: 4,222 – 4,203
SL: 4,185
TP: 4,260 → 4,318 → 4,372
✅ Condition: Strong rejection candles (rejection / engulfing bullish) appear at the support zone or small reversal BoS.
➡️ This is a “buy the dip” setup following the main trend, leveraging the liquidity zone and confluence OB.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Sell reaction at FVG Down 4,285 – 4,260 USD
Entry: 4,260 – 4,285
SL: 4,300
TP: 4,222 → 4,203
✅ Condition: Strong bearish candles or rejection signals appear at the FVG zone.
➡️ This setup is for scalping traders or short-term shorts in the unfilled price balance area.
⚠️ Risk Management
Do not FOMO buy when the price has not confirmed the 4,222 zone.
If the price breaks below 4,185 → wait for a re-test to continue selling towards the 4,128 zone.
Maintain moderate volume, as the market is in a rebalancing phase – liquidity is still noisy.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in a transitional phase after a strong decline .
The 4,222 – 4,203 USD zone will be key to determining whether the medium-term upward trend continues.
If this zone holds, gold is likely to retest the 4,318 – 4,372 USD range.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy reaction at 4,222 – 4,203 USD when confirmed.
Sell technically at FVG 4,260 – 4,285 USD if clear rejection appears.
🔥 “When the market loses balance, the strongest side will leave a trace – and this time the trace lies around the 4,220 USD zone.”
USDJPY D1 TRADE IDEA FRAMEWORK, FOR 20TH OCT, 2025.The UJ market is overall on an uptrend and currently in and out of range, which seems the price is trying to retrace downwards a bit to fill the Gap Area indicated below.
Now let's talk a little bit about Market Gaps...
One of the regular behaviour of the markets that happens is that usually after a sessional jump(GAPS) most times which is created after the weekend of a past trading week, the markets usually most times make a Gap because of the lack of trading activity over the weekend that create a void in prices, so in other for the market to create a balance before the market continues in its determined direction? It usually, as always, comes back to fill the Gaps of inactivity before it resumes on a balanced trajectory.
This is why, in most cases, holding trades over the weekend isn't advisable to avoid overnight fees, swaps, and drawdowns in capital or profits when holding a position, especially when under-capitalized, because these kinds of Gaps or Jumps in price happen due to fresh information that comes into the market before a new session begins.
GBP/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 200.306 level area with our short trade on GBP/JPY which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Correction Begins ...LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Correction Begins - Watch for Selling at Key Resistance Zone
Hello traders community,
After a surge due to geopolitical tensions, XAUUSD (Gold) is starting to show signs of a mid-term correction. The upward momentum has stalled, and prices are showing weakness from the peak region.
The market is currently in a state of tug-of-war, influenced by various macro factors, creating clear two-way trading opportunities.
📰 Macro Analysis: Interwoven Market
Gold prices are currently caught between three main streams of information:
Support (Bullish): The Israel–Hamas conflict and escalating geopolitical risks remain the main "safe haven" factor, keeping Gold prices anchored at high levels.
Pressure (Bearish): Signs of "cooling down" in US-China trade tensions reduce the demand for safe haven assets and restrain Gold's upward momentum.
Long Term (Bullish): Expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates continue to support Gold in the long term, although it does not have a strong short-term impact.
This contradiction makes it difficult for the market to break further, instead necessitating a technical correction.
📊 Technical Analysis
The M30/H1 chart clearly shows the correction structure forming:
Declining Structure: Prices have formed a distinct peak and dropped sharply, breaking short-term upward structures. The current uptrend is merely a technical recovery wave.
Dominant Sell Zone: The $4306 zone is an extremely important confluence area. This is:
The 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level, a common retracement ratio.
An old support zone that has been broken, now becoming strong resistance ("Sell fibonacci and support" on the chart).
A large previous liquidity area, where sellers will strongly defend this region.
Price Decline Target: The main target for this decline is the VAL (Value Area Low) zone of the Volume Profile indicator, around $4180. This is a high-volume trading area, where buyers are likely to return.
🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy
The main priority is to watch for selling at Fibonacci resistance zones.
Scenario 1: Sell Correction (Sell) 📉
Entry: $4306
Stop Loss (SL): $4312 (A tight, safe SL above the resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP): $4288 - $4265 - $4233 - $4210 - $4190 (Final target is the VAL zone)
Scenario 2: Buy at Strong Support Zone (Buy) 📈
Entry: Watch for buying when prices correct deeply to the VAL $4178 zone.
Stop Loss (SL): $4170
Take Profit (TP): $4198 - $4225 - $4246 - $4270
Summary
Although long-term macro factors continue to support Gold, technically, a mid-term correction has begun. The optimal strategy is to watch for selling (Sell) when prices recover to the confluence resistance zone $4306 and take profits at the targets below, especially the VAL $4180 zone.
Always manage your capital tightly. Wishing traders a successful week!
Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
GBP/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on GBP/CHF, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 1.076.
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BITCOIN SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 111,579.80
Target Level: 109,830.73
Stop Loss: 112,744.35
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/AUD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/AUD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.794 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,341.28
Target Level: 4,245.41
Stop Loss: 4,404.72
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/NZD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
EUR/NZD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2.042
Target Level: 2.007
Stop Loss: 2.066
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD — Decline from Supply ZoneEURUSD pair, after testing the 1.1780–1.1820 supply zone, shows a clear sellers’ reaction and forms a descending channel. Volume profile confirms bearish pressure, indicating a potential continuation of the downward move. Key downside targets are located at 1.1610, 1.1557, and 1.1200. As long as the price remains below 1.1720, the short bias remains valid.
From the fundamental side, euro weakness is driven by dovish ECB comments and strong U.S. data, while the dollar index holds near local highs. This supports the continuation of the bearish scenario in the coming weeks.
Conclusion: bearish setup remains valid below 1.1720–1.1780, with targets 1.1550–1.1200.
Diamond Vault Setup: 5 Fundamental + 7 Technical Stacks in Full OANDA:USDCHF USDCHF — Diamond Vault Setup: 5 Fundamental + 7 Technical Stacks in Full Alignment
The USDCHF setup stands out as a Diamond Vault trade — where both Fundamental and Technical confluence align with precision.
We are stacked with the Big 5 Fundamentals: softening US inflation, dovish Fed commentary, firm Swiss GDP resilience, stabilizing risk sentiment, and ongoing safe-haven flows into the Franc.
On the Technical side, all 7 stacks are in play — price trading below every EMA, RSI under 45, a clearly negative MACD, and an ADX above 25 with strong −DI dominance, confirming sustained bearish pressure.
This alignment represents a rare high-probability setup where macro and momentum are synchronized.
A break below 0.79 could open the door toward 0.7750 with confirmation from continued divergence across momentum oscillators.
⚠️ Reminder: Even with full confluence, proper money management is key.
Position sizing should respect your ATR-based risk model — Stop Loss = 1.52×ATR, Take Profit = 2.6×Risk minimum.
Protect capital first, profits second.
Bias: 🔻 Extremely Bearish
Classification: 🟩 Diamond Vault (5 Fundamentals + 7 Technicals)
ADX: 17.39 (rising) | −DI dominance: confirmed
suggest SL 0.8033 TP 0.7748






















