XAUUSD – The UP Trend Is Still Well ProtectedThe gold market is no longer asking “will it go up or not” — the real question now is how the rally unfolds . When we combine the news backdrop with the price structure on the chart, the bullish picture of XAUUSD becomes increasingly clear.
On the fundamental side , recent U.S. economic data shows a cooling labor market , while expectations for the Fed to continue easing monetary policy remain intact . Yields and the USD are not strong enough to trigger a deep sell-off, and safe-haven demand is still present. This creates a solid macro foundation supporting higher gold prices, rather than a random technical bounce.
From a technical perspective , the uptrend remains clean and well-structured:
• Price is above the Ichimoku cloud, and the cloud is sloping upward → the primary trend remains bullish.
• The 4,300 zone is acting as both a dynamic and psychological support, where price has just pulled back and reacted positively.
• The long-term ascending trendline remains intact → the Higher Low structure is still preserved.
The most logical scenario at this stage is consolidation above 4,300, followed by a continuation toward the 4,380 – 4,390 zone, where the upper trendline resistance converges. This is a classic behavior of a strong market: no sharp sell-offs, no panic — just a pause before the next leg higher.
👉 In summary:
The UPTREND in XAUUSD continues to dominate. As long as 4,300 holds, any pullback should be viewed as a trend-following opportunity, not a reversal signal.
Technical Analysis
XRP – Daily OutlookXRP Army,
Price is still trading inside a descending channel, keeping the short-term structure bearish.
We recently saw a reaction from daily support, but this move alone is not enough to confirm a reversal.
In the past, this support level has shown clean deviations, where price dipped below and quickly reclaimed the level.
A similar scenario could play out again, but confirmation is required.
Key observation:
For any bullish continuation, XRP needs to reclaim the broken support level and hold above it.
Without a reclaim, this move remains a relief bounce within a downtrend.
I’ll be watching lower timeframes for a potential deviation and reclaim before considering longs.
Until then, caution is warranted.
Levels to watch:
Resistance: reclaimed support + upper channel
Support: current daily support zone
MrC
Silver Bullish Structure into Supply, Pullback Targets MarkedThis 1H Silver (XAGUSD) chart highlights a well-defined bullish market structure with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations as price trends higher along a rising trendline. After a strong impulsive move, price enters a consolidation phase, then continues upward, respecting the dynamic trendline support.
Price is currently trading just below a clearly marked Supply Zone, signaling potential short-term exhaustion. The projection illustrates a possible corrective pullback from supply, with downside targets aligned at prior structure and liquidity levels.
1st target sits near the previous support (~63.37)
2nd target aligns deeper into the range (~61.17)
Below, a higher-timeframe Demand Zone is marked, representing a strong area of interest if deeper retracement occurs.
Overall, the chart presents a trend-continuation context with a tactical short-term pullback scenario from premium prices.
This Pullback Is Not a Sell SignalEUR/USD is still bullish inside a clear ascending channel. Price is consolidating near the upper half of the structure this is pause, not reversal.
Key Points
Structure: Higher highs & higher lows remain intact
Support: EMA 34 & EMA 89 + channel support holding
Current move = supply absorption, not distribution
Scenarios
Main: Hold above channel → continuation toward 1.176 → 1.180 → 1.184
Risk: Only a clean break below channel invalidates the bullish setup
Bias: Buy pullbacks, don’t chase
Strong trends pause before they move again.
JTO – Weekly OutlookPrice broke below the previous support and confirmed an S/R flip, turning that level into resistance.
Last wick from October 6th is now fully filled, which means that inefficiency has been resolved.
We are currently trading below key weekly support, and price is consolidating at lows.
At this point, there is no clear confirmation of a reversal yet.
Key observation:
If price creates a deviation below current support, I’ll be watching for long opportunities on lower timeframes, targeting a move back into the range.
If not, this level may act as acceptance and continuation to the downside.
Patience is key here — let the market show its hand.
Levels to watch:
Resistance: previous weekly support (now S/R flip)
Support: current lows after wick fill
What do you think — deviation reclaim incoming or further downside first?
USDJPY Still Hot – 157.00 Is CallingHello traders,
USDJPY is currently showing a short-term bullish bias , as the narrative of a weak JPY despite the BOJ’s rate hike has not yet shifted overall market sentiment. Although the BOJ raised rates to 0.75%, the yen remains soft, indicating that much of the move was already priced in, and markets are still skeptical about the pace of further tightening.
At the same time, the USD continues to hold relative strength across the currency basket, providing a solid foundation for USDJPY to stay supported.
From a technical perspective, price action reflects a “slow but steady” uptrend : higher lows are being formed, and the 155.50 area is acting as a key support and pivot zone . The consolidation around 155.5–156.0 suggests accumulation, and as long as this base holds, the probability favors a move higher to retest the upper resistance.
The preferred scenario is to look for BUY opportunities on pullbacks : if price holds above 155.50 and shows a rebound, the near-term target is 157.00. Only a clear H4 close below 155.50 would weaken the short-term bullish outlook and warrant a reassessment.
Thank you for listening, and wishing you successful trading ahead.
EUR/USD | EURUSD Pullback From Supply, Buyers Step Back In!By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 6 hour timeframe, we can see that price moved up as expected and reached the supply zone between $1.178 and $1.182. As soon as price hit this key area, selling pressure appeared and EURUSD dropped to $1.17.
After reaching this level, buyers stepped in again and demand increased. Right now, #EURUSD is trading around $1.17330. I expect to first see another upward move, and then we should watch the price reaction again at the $1.178 to $1.182 supply zone.
THE LATEST TA on EURUSD :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Dec 19, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Dec 19, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
• Housing + sentiment check: Existing home sales and consumer sentiment close out the week, offering a read on demand resilience after a heavy CPI and labor stretch.
• Light macro, positioning matters: With no inflation or labor surprises today, flows, OPEX dynamics, and technical levels take priority.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
10 00 AM
• Existing Home Sales (Nov): 4.1 million
• Consumer Sentiment, Final (Dec): 53.5
⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #markets #housing #consumer #trading #stocks
Bitcoin Isn’t Bouncing It’s Reloading for the Next DropBITCOIN (BTCUSD) – H1 MARKET ANALYSIS
1. Current Market Structure
Bitcoin is maintaining a clear short-term bearish structure on the H1 timeframe. Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers remain in control. The recent bounce is corrective and lacks follow-through, signaling weakness rather than trend reversal.
Key structural points:
- Breakdown below previous consolidation blocks
- Failure to reclaim prior value areas
- Bearish momentum remains dominant
2. Moving Averages & Trend Confirmation
- EMA 34 (blue) is acting as dynamic resistance
- EMA 89 (red) defines the broader bearish trend
Price remains below both EMAs, and every attempt to move higher is rejected a classic trend-following sell environment.
This alignment confirms that:
- Rallies are selling opportunities
- Trend continuation is favored over mean reversion
3. Consolidation & Liquidity Behavior
Bitcoin is currently compressing sideways just below resistance, forming a short consolidation range. This behavior indicates:
- Liquidity is being built
- Buyers are failing to regain control
- Market is preparing for the next impulsive move
In bearish conditions, this type of consolidation typically resolves to the downside.
4. Scenarios Ahead
Primary Scenario – Bearish Continuation (High Probability):
- Price continues to range briefly below EMA resistance
- Liquidity builds within the gray consolidation zone
- Breakdown triggers the next leg lower
Downside objectives:
- First support: ~85,800
- Expansion zone: 85,000 – 84,500 (liquidity draw)
Invalidation Scenario:
- Only valid if price breaks and holds above EMA 89
- Structure must shift to higher highs on H1
Until then, upside moves remain corrective.
5. Trading Bias & Conclusion
Bias: Sell rallies
Market State: Bearish trend + corrective consolidation
Strategy: Follow structure, wait for breakdown confirmation
Bitcoin is not reversing it is pausing before continuation.
As long as price stays below key moving averages and resistance zones, the path of least resistance remains downward.
Visa: Completing Correction, Upside Potential AheadVisa Inc. is a global payments technology company that operates one of the world’s largest electronic payment networks. It enables secure electronic transactions between consumers, merchants, and banks in over 200 countries, focusing on fast, reliable, and cashless payments.
Visa has pulled back roughly 15% from its highs and appears to be completing a clear A-B-C corrective decline. Moves out of triangle formations are often final legs within corrective structures, suggesting a new bullish push could be approaching. This outlook is reinforced by the unfilled gap near 371, which historically tends to act as a price magnet over time. As a result, a reversal to the upside over the coming weeks or months would not be surprising. A breakout above the corrective channel would serve as a key confirmation for trend resumption.
Highlights:
Visa appears to be completing an A-B-C decline
Channel break signals potential upside continuation
Unfilled gap at 371 remains a key upside target for 2026
Bullish confirmation above 344.50
Support levels at 311 and 298 on deeper pullbacks
BTC Is Not Bottoming Yet — This Is a Controlled Sell-Side On the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin continues to trade within a clear downtrend structure. Each rebound has produced a lower high, followed by renewed selling that prints lower lows. The sideways boxes on the chart are not accumulation phases; they function as distribution / position-unwinding zones within a broader bearish trend, where price pauses to build liquidity before continuing lower. At this stage, BTC is still inside a weak corrective bounce and has not reclaimed any key structure that would justify a trend reversal narrative.
Key technical levels to respect:
- Near-term resistance / supply: 87.7k–88.0k (marked resistance zone). Failure to accept above this area keeps rallies corrective.
- Range support / demand: 85.1k–85.3k (range low). A clean break below this zone would confirm downside continuation.
- Structural liquidity target: 74.8k, the next major downside magnet if the range resolves lower.
Expected price behavior:
BTC is likely to continue short-term ranging, producing several push-and-fail attempts below resistance before rotating back toward the range low. A decisive breakdown of the range floor would open the path toward the 74.8k liquidity zone. Only a sustained reclaim and acceptance above 87.7k–88.0k would invalidate the current bearish structure.
Macro & U.S. Policy: Why Conditions Remain Unfavorable for Crypto
1) Monetary policy remains restrictive.
Despite expectations for gradual easing in 2025, U.S. monetary policy is still firmly in restrictive territory. This environment limits risk appetite and historically weighs on high-beta assets like crypto when liquidity expansion is absent.
2) Policy uncertainty suppresses risk-on behavior.
Ongoing ambiguity around the Fed’s policy path and broader U.S. macro direction keeps markets cautious. In such conditions, Bitcoin tends to move sideways or trend lower rather than sustain impulsive upside moves.
3) Regulatory and headline risk persists.
While long-term regulatory clarity may ultimately benefit the crypto space, near-term developments around regulation and oversight continue to act as headline risk, reinforcing defensive positioning especially during periods of thinner liquidity.
Conclusion:
Technically, BTC remains under sell-side control on H4, and macro conditions in the U.S. do not yet support a clean risk-on reversal. Until Bitcoin reclaims key resistance and breaks the sequence of lower highs, the higher-probability scenario remains range → breakdown → continuation toward lower demand.
ETH Is Free — But Not Trending YetETH/USD – 1H
Price has broken the descending trendline, signaling selling pressure is weakening.
However, this is a technical rebound, not a confirmed uptrend.
Key Levels
Support: 2,760–2,800 (strong buyer reaction)
Current zone: 2,940–2,960 (decision area)
Resistance: 3,150–3,160 (major supply)
Outlook
Base case: range / shallow pullback, then a retest toward 3,050–3,160.
Bullish continuation only if price closes and holds above 3,160.
Bottom Line
Momentum has improved, but the real move comes after resistance breaks.
Patience beats prediction here.
EURUSD Finds Its Rhythm: Buyers Remain in ControlIn the current trading phase, EURUSD is presenting a clean and easy-to-read bullish structure , especially when viewed against a news backdrop that has recently tilted slightly in favor of the euro . Following the ECB’s more stable and optimistic tone , the market has shown less appetite for aggressive USD buying, creating room for EUR to maintain its short-term advantage .
Looking at the chart, the price structure remains clearly constructive : the uptrend is intact with higher highs and higher lows. Recent pullbacks appear to be nothing more than a healthy pause, as price continues to find solid support around the 1.1700 zone — a well-defined technical level where buying interest repeatedly steps in. This behavior confirms that buyers are still in control, rather than stepping aside.
Under a favorable scenario, EURUSD has room to extend higher and test the 1.1800 area , which stands as the nearest resistance and a logical upside target for the current move. As long as price holds above 1.1700, the bullish bias remains dominant, and any pullback should be viewed as opportunity rather than risk.
In summary, EURUSD is advancing in an orderly bullish manner — not rushing into a breakout, yet showing no signs of meaningful weakness . If market sentiment remains steady, the upside path stays open for traders willing to stay patient and follow the trend.
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD, EURCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
The pair is trading in a healthy bullish trend on a daily.
The price is steadily rising within a rising channel.
It looks like we are going to see a test of its support soon.
Probabilities will be high that another bullish movement
will start from there.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The price is approaching a significant confluence zone
based on a major horizontal support and a rising trend line.
I will expect a bullish movement from there.
3️⃣ #NZDUSD daily time frame 🇳🇿🇺🇸
The market is trading in a bullish trend.
I see a falling parallel channel - a bullish flag pattern,
after a completion of the last impulse.
Your next signal to buy will be a breakout of its resistance
line and a daily candle close above it.
4️⃣ #EURCHF daily time frame 🇪🇺🇨🇭
I see 2 important bearish clues:
the price violated a solid rising trend line
and a horizontal neckline of a head and shoulders pattern.
These signals indicate a highly probable bearish reversal.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Accumulation Ahead of Another Wave
Gold is stuck within a tiny horizontal range,
testing a resistance cluster based on a current All-Time High.
I think that a bullish accumulation is currently taking place.
A signal that I am looking for to buy Gold is a breakout
and a daily candle close above 4384 - ATH level.
It will be a strong signal that will push the prices higher.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Is Sitting on the Edge — Bounce or Breakdown?EUR/USD – 1H
Price is holding at a well-defined support zone (~1.1700) after sustained selling pressure.
Momentum is weak, but selling is no longer aggressive → early stabilization.
Key Levels
Support: 1.1685–1.1705
Resistance: 1.1755–1.1765
Upside target (if bounce holds): 1.1800–1.1810
Scenario
Base case: support holds → corrective bounce toward resistance.
Failure scenario: clean break below support opens continuation lower.
Bottom Line
This is a decision zone, not a chase.
The move only becomes clear after price reacts at support.
Ethereum Isn’t Weak — It’s Being AbsorbedETH/USD – H1 Technical Breakdown
Ethereum is currently trading inside a well-defined sideways range, bounded by a firm support zone near the lower box and a clearly defended resistance band above. This is not random consolidation it is structured balance, where liquidity is being built rather than released.
On the price action side, ETH has repeatedly swept liquidity near the support zone and responded with sharp rebounds, indicating aggressive absorption by buyers. Each sell-off into the lower boundary has failed to extend, suggesting that downside momentum is being capped. Meanwhile, upside attempts are still capped by the resistance zone, keeping price compressed inside the range.
From a trend and moving average perspective, price is now attempting to reclaim the short-term EMA, while the longer EMA still acts as a dynamic ceiling. This creates a classic compression environment: volatility contracts, fake moves appear, and impatient traders are forced out.
Market Logic Going Forward
- As long as ETH holds above the support zone, downside remains corrective, not trend-defining.
- A clean acceptance above the resistance zone would signal range resolution, opening room for expansion toward the upper targets.
- Until that happens, ETH is in a positioning phase, not a trending phase — chasing candles inside the box remains low probability.
Key Takeaway
This is not a market choosing direction yet. It is a market testing commitment. The real move begins when price leaves the range with acceptance, not when it reacts inside it.
DAX Rebound Signals Potential Upside After Key Support HoldGerman DAX was very non-directional, basically since June of 2025 and what I see is some very nasty moves on both sides of the market, but what got our attention recently is that the price has stopped at key support levels around 23k to 23300 area, from where we can see a very interesting and strong rebound. What is most important is that this rebound is coming after only three waves down from all-time highs, so it can be part of a WXY complex correction here in a fourth wave on a daily chart. Of course there can be some other labelings as well, but with any approach you will probably come out with the same idea that this whole price action in this five to six month range is corrective, and whenever we see a correction we know that sooner or later it should be fully retraced, meaning the price could already be headed back toward the highs from current levels.
Bounce looks impulsive, and it may have formed a bullish setup formation with waves 1 and 2, so we think that more gains are coming within wave 3, especially if breaks back above 24500 bullish confirmation level.
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation SetupXAUUSD – H1 Timeframe Bullish Analysis
Overall Trend
XAUUSD is respecting a bullish trendline, which confirms that the market is still in an uptrend.
Price is forming higher lows, indicating that buyers are in control of the market.
As long as the bullish trendline holds, the market bias remains bullish.
Demand Zone
The confluence of the demand zone and the bullish trendline strengthens the probability of upward continuation.
Buyers are likely to defend this zone.
Triangle Pattern
Price is forming a symmetrical / ascending triangle.
This pattern usually acts as a continuation pattern in an uptrend.
Price compression inside the triangle indicates that a strong breakout is likely.
Breakout Expectation
A clean H1 candle close above the triangle resistance will confirm a bullish breakout.
After the breakout, price is expected to move toward the next all-time high (ATH) at 4420.
MACD Indicator
MACD is showing bullish momentum stabilization.
The contraction of the histogram suggests that momentum is building and an expansion may follow soon.
A bullish MACD crossover or expansion above the zero line will further support the upside move.
Trade Plan (Bullish)
Buy Entry: now 4327 or after the triangle breakout.
Stop Loss: 4305
Take Profit:
TP1: Previous high 4355
TP2: Next resistance 4390
Final Target: ATH 4420
Disclaimer
This chart is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves high risk; always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
GBPJPY: Bullish Wave Almost Confirmed?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY turned bullish after the news today.
The price is currently breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern.
If a today's daily candle closes above its trend line, there
will be a high chance to see more growth.
Next resistance will be 209.5 then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FETCH – Weekly AnalysisFETCH is currently trading at a key HTF support zone that has acted as
support → resistance → support multiple times in the past.
Price is also compressing against a descending trendline, which increases the probability of a volatility expansion.
Key observations:
Strong historical support around current price
Downtrend structure still intact
Potential trendline breakout if buyers step in
No confirmation yet → patience required
Bullish scenario:
Weekly close above the descending trendline
Support holds as higher low
➡️ Possible trend reversal / expansion
Bearish scenario:
❌ Loss of HTF support
➡️ Continuation of the macro downtrend
Always wait for confirmation. What’s your bias here?






















