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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Friday, August 22, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for Friday, August 22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News Powell’s Jackson Hole keynote is the main event (10:00 AM ET). Markets want clarity on the path to cuts and any framework tweaks; the Fed’s own calendar lists the speech and KC Fed confirms the Aug 21–23 agenda. $SPY/$TLT/ TVC:DXY are the most sensitive. Risk tone turned cautious into the speech. Stocks faded Thursday as traders de-risked ahead of Powell; positioning is tight and headline-sensitive. Dollar firm / gold steady into Jackson Hole. Classic pre-keynote safety bid; futures price a high probability of a September cut, keeping two-way risk for rates and equities. Global cues: Japan CPI lands overnight; UK retail sales postponed. Japan’s July inflation print hits before U.S. cash open; the U.K.’s July retail sales were pushed to Sep 5, trimming one macro catalyst from the tape. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) 10:00 AM — Fed Chair Powell @ Jackson Hole (Keynote). Why it matters: Sets near-term curve path and risk appetite; watch $TLT/ TVC:TNX and TVC:DXY → AMEX:SPY reaction. 1:00 PM — Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count. Why it matters: Energy activity → supply expectations → $CL_F/ AMEX:XLE ; persistent rig drift can nudge inflation expectations. (Released weekly at noon CT/1 PM ET.) Overnight — Japan CPI (Jul). Why it matters: Yen rates and global FX spillovers; a surprise could ripple into U.S. risk before the keynote. All day — Jackson Hole Symposium continues. Why it matters: Secondary speakers can color post-Powell reaction as positioning resets. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #JacksonHole #Powell #DXY #TLT #Gold #Energy #RigCount
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
NYSE - Short | Disaster ImminentStocks continue to struggle, as economic reality rapidly sets in. Of all the indexes, the NYA (NYSE) is the most telling, in my view. To that end, I really don't have much to say, other than this is a beautiful bearish formation, with the economic backdrop to support a short-thesis. Bank losses are beyond anything this world has ever seen, credit defaults are skyrocketing (and holding new highs), bankruptcies have surpassed covid levels, crypto fraud is completely out of control, and wars are raging on 3 continents. The only question now is how deep will it go and how quickly will / to what extent will the federal government intervene? Expect a couple years of deterioration to the downside. Good luck and godspeed!
TVC:NYAShort
by ChiefMacro
2
Gold Breakout Ahead of FOMC – Next Step Trading PlanGold Breakout Ahead of FOMC – Key Levels & Trading Plan Gold surged strongly in line with MMFLOW’s previous outlook, breaking through short-term resistances and the descending trendline within just one session. This early breakout ahead of the FOMC meeting signals that bullish momentum is firmly in play. Even though price moved before the actual FOMC release, the market confirmed our directional bias: after clearing liquidity below, Gold quickly bounced back, reclaiming higher zones. With positive fundamentals supporting the metal in the long run, the bullish case for XAUUSD remains intact. Currently, structure shows a clean breakout of the bearish channel, and we are waiting for a retest of KeyLevels today to fuel the next bullish leg. 📊 MMFLOW Market Outlook Primary Bias: Bullish – Buy the dips Scenarios: 🔹 Buy opportunities near strong support levels 🔹 Tactical sells only at confirmed resistance with rejection Daily chart left a strong bullish confirmation candle, suggesting that pullbacks are opportunities to reload long positions. 🔥 Trading Plan – Buy/Sell Zones & Scalp Strategy ✅ BUY SCALP Entry: 3333 – 3331 Stop Loss: 3327 Take Profit: 3338 – 3343 – 3348 – 3352 – 3356 – 3360 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE (Swing/Position) Entry: 3316 – 3314 Stop Loss: 3310 Take Profit: 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ??? 🔻 SELL ZONE Entry: 3368 – 3370 Stop Loss: 3375 Take Profit: 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3345 – 3340 – 3330 📌 Key Levels to Watch Supports: 3332 – 3323 – 3315 Resistances: 3348 – 3362 – 3370 – 3383 🚨 Risk Note: If price dips too deep into 331x, beware of potential liquidity traps. Always respect your TP/SL as volatility remains high around FOMC events. ✨ MMFLOW Reminder: 👉 KeyLevels = Profits. 👉 Buy the dips, ride the bullish pump.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
OGN ANALYSIS🔮#OGN Analysis 💰💰 #OGN is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and breakouts with high volume and we could see a bullish momentum in #OGN. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and that a bullish movement. 🔖 Current Price: $0.0768 ⏳ Target Price: $0.0998 ⁉️ What to do? - We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #OGN. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲 🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments. #OGN #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
Teva long positionTeva looks like a student who failed an exam and now desperately tries to cover the gaps literally, the gap around 21.4. On the chart we see a clear breakout of the descending channel followed by a neat retest from above, suggesting the stock is ready to get back into a long-term uptrend. Volumes in the 17–17.5 zone act like a safety cushion, preventing the price from dropping too sharply. Technically the next target is gap closure in the 21–22 area, which may unlock the path to higher levels. From the fundamental side, Teva also has some cards to play: the pharmaceutical sector remains in focus due to rising demand for medicines and biotech solutions, and the company has been cleaning up its balance sheet while expanding new business lines. Altogether, both technicals and fundamentals point in the same direction , buyers are not ready to give up just yet.
NYSE:TEVALong
by InvestWorld_777
EUR/USD Set to Test Key Support Level!Hello everyone, the EUR/USD chart currently shows a clear bearish structure. After failing to break the strong resistance at 1.17100, the market has reversed and is forming lower highs and lows. The key support level at 1.16100 is crucial to watch. If the price breaks this support, the pair may continue its strong downtrend, targeting 1.15300. News supporting the bearish trend: FOMC minutes: With a dovish FOMC minutes, the USD is likely to continue strengthening, putting pressure on EUR/USD. Initial jobless claims: Negative data from jobless claims reinforces the bullish trend of USD, pushing EUR/USD lower. Weak PMI: The weakening PMI indicators from the Eurozone increase the likelihood of EUR/USD continuing its downtrend. Strategy: Wait for a break below 1.16100 to enter a SELL trade, targeting 1.15300 as the next levels.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
11
Is Gold About to Explode?Hello traders, today we can see gold making a strong recovery from the support level around 3,300 USD. If the price can break through the immediate resistance at 3,372 USD , gold could reach the target of 3,406 USD . The upward trend is supported by successive higher highs and lows, along with the EMA lines. News Supporting the Bullish Trend: The FOMC meeting minutes are dovish, jobless claims are higher than expected, and the PMI data is weaker than forecast, all indicating a weak economy. This could lead the Fed to maintain a loose monetary policy, weakening the USD. When the USD weakens, gold becomes more attractive, encouraging investors to turn to gold as a safe-haven asset, driving the price higher. Conclusion: Based on both fundamental and technical factors, XAUUSD is trending upwards, supported by dovish FOMC minutes, high jobless claims, and weak PMI data. The next targets are 3,372 USD and 3,406 USD. Strategy: Buy if the price breaks above 3,372 USD, with a target of 3,406 USD. Place a stop loss below 3,316 USD to protect capital.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
10
BTC Explodes: Heading Towards New Targets!The BTC/USDT chart shows a strong upward trend, with the price currently trading within a stable ascending channel. Bitcoin has rebounded from the support level at 3,314.700 USD and is now heading towards the next target at 3,372 USD. This price structure, with higher highs and higher lows, indicates that the bullish trend is strengthening. If BTC remains above the support level at 3,334 USD, the probability of continuing the upward movement towards 3,372 USD is very high. News Supporting the Uptrend: FOMC Minutes: The dovish tone from the FOMC has weakened the USD, which supports BTC's upward trend. Jobless Claims: Higher-than-expected jobless claims data signals a weaker economy, pushing BTC higher. PMI Index: Weak PMI figures reinforce the decline of the USD and create favorable conditions for BTC's price increase. Trading Strategy: Buy when BTC stays above the current support level, targeting the next level at 3,372 USD. Protect capital with a reasonable stop loss.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
GOLD 4H - all eyes on 3350, death cross at workThe technical picture on gold strengthens the bearish case: on the 4H chart, a death cross (MA50 crossing MA200 downward) has formed, signaling short-term pressure from sellers. The key sell zone is 3350, where the 0.618 Fibonacci, descending trendline, and volume cluster converge. From here, a downward move is expected with first targets at 3311, then 3285, and extended potential towards 3270 (127.2–161.8 Fibo). Volume confirms declining buyer interest near local highs, while RSI shows reversal divergence, adding weight to the bearish scenario. Fundamentally , gold is under pressure as the market factors in the possibility of more aggressive Fed actions if inflation risks persist. At the same time, safe-haven demand is weakening due to DXY stabilization. Geopolitics is not providing immediate triggers for gold hedging, which also cools investor interest. Tactical plan: if 3350 acts as resistance, it opens an attractive short opportunity toward the mentioned targets. However, if price breaks and consolidates above 3350, the scenario must be reassessed as stop-hunting will begin. Ironically, gold - the eternal store of value - acts like a teenager again: offended at 3350 and ready for a tantrum downwards.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Thursday, August 21, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for Thursday, August 21, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines Tech jitters spill as Jackson Hole kicks off. Global equities slipped following a tech sell‑off driven by concerns over U.S. intervention in chipmakers, while traders await Fed Chair Powell’s policy cues. AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:TLT under pressure as rate‑cut expectations waver. Sony hikes PS5 prices amid tariffs. Effective August 21, PlayStation 5 models in the U.S. see a $50 price increase—tariff impact spilling into consumer electronics. Raises inflation whispers amid already elevated tech cost narrative. Healthcare activism heats up. Boards at firms like Medtronic, Pfizer, and Novo Nordisk shift under investor pressure—governance shake‑ups adding a layer of corporate risk and potential M&A signals. ⏱ Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 10:00 AM — Advance Services Report (Q2) (Census bureau). Quarterly weight of service economy—strong print supports Pro side of markets; weak could dial back rate‑cut hopes. 10:00 AM — Summer Youth Labor Force Survey (Annual). Goes with job‑market narrative from July—may tweak Fed sentiment depending on labor softening/stability. Jackson Hole Symposium begins. Markets now fully focused on Powell; tone could make or break short‑term equity and bond positions. ⚠ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #Fed #JacksonHole #SPY #SPX #TLT #Sony #tech #tariffs #services #labor #activism #healthcare
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
XAUUSD Daily Plan | Gold Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Hunt in ActionXAUUSD Daily Plan | Gold Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Hunt in Action Gold continued to move lower into liquidity during the late US session yesterday and reacted strongly at the BUY ZONE 3314 – 3316 (MMFLOW Entry), already giving more than +70 pips profit so far ✅. On the M5 – M15 short-term structure, Gold is showing a mild recovery. However, for buyers to take control, price must break the resistance at 3320 – 3322 with strong volume. A confirmed breakout here can trigger further upside momentum and retest higher KeyLevels. 📈 Upside Targets (Intraday): 333x and 334x – these levels may act as Take-Profit zones for longs or potential SELL opportunities in line with the corrective channel on M30 – H1. 🔔 Fundamental Focus – FOMC Meeting Ahead Today, the FOMC meeting will be the key event during the US session. Traders are waiting for clues about the Fed’s rate decision. Any dovish signals about a possible rate cut in September could be the catalyst for a strong Gold rally, breaking the current bearish channel. 👉 During the Asia – Europe sessions, intraday bias remains bullish towards 333x – 334x, where we will also watch for selling opportunities. ⚠️ During the US session, expect high volatility with FOMC, so manage risk carefully. 📉 Technical Trading Plan 🔹 BUY Scalp Setup Entry: 3311 – 3309 SL: 3305 TP: 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360+ 🔹 BUY Zone (FOMC Plan) Entry: 3290 – 3288 SL: 3282 TP: 3295 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370+ 🔸 SELL Scalp Setup Entry: 3342 – 3344 SL: 3348 TP: 3338 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🔸 SELL Zone (FOMC Plan) Entry: 3360 – 3362 SL: 3368 TP: 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 ⚠️ Trading Notes FOMC will bring high-impact volatility – stay alert. Stick to TP/SL discipline and risk management to protect capital. Remember: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
5
Swing Trading Basic- How to Select a Stock for SwingHow to identify a Swing Trading Set up. Let's take an Example of "Arihant Capital Fin". During that Reversal, price start floating above 20 MA. That's an early sign- Real Time EOD Price is now trending above 20 Day's Average price. It means now price is above monthly Average (22 Trading Days /Month). Additionally, Volume confirmation also suggest same trend direction (During June 2025). Moreover 20 MA stops decline, pauses & starts it's reversal Journey. Exactly from hereon, if Price starts giving VCP or 20 MA Supporting scenario, get ready for a Swing Trade in such Stocks. You'll see in the chart, every dip to 20 MA was bought nicely. This is not a buying/ trading advise. Market Factor, Stock & Sector specifics, needs to be considered for trading. Every stock has it's own soul of price movement. This is a psychological journey than Scanning, indicators & Technical skills. You'll master it if you repeatedly practice min 20 charts a Day for at least 6 months! Wish you Happy Trading & Happy Learning!
NSE:ARIHANTCAPLong
by Saishayu_Option_Scalpers
USDCAD: Overbought Market & Pullback 🇺🇸🇨🇦 USDCAD looks overbought after a yesterday's bullish rally. The price reached a key daily resistance and I see a confirmed bearish breakout of a support line of a rising channel on an hourly time frame. I expect a retracement at least to 1.3864 support. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
EURJPY: Bullish Move After Liquidity Grab 🇪🇺🇯🇵 It looks like we have a huge bearish trap after a test of a solid rising trend line on a daily. I see multiple strong bullish confirmations on an hourly: a bullish imbalance candle and a bullish change of character. I think that the price may rise to 172.0 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
3
GBPUSD Trend Update – Following the ChannelGBPUSD Trend Update – Following the Channel The GBPUSD pair is currently moving within a well-defined descending channel. Price behaviour in currency pairs often shows more sustainability, as their values are consistently balanced by fiscal and monetary policies. This makes the present structure an important reference for the coming sessions. On the H1 timeframe, the 1.3400 level appears to be the next key area to watch. Price may either start a new bullish leg from here or at least stage a meaningful corrective bounce within the channel. This area could also serve as a potential long-term buying zone for GBPUSD. Until then, traders can take advantage of intraday reactions when price retests the descending trendline near 1.3490 and 1.3445. These levels provide opportunities for short-term scalping setups, with profit targets of around 30–40 pips. Meanwhile, the 1.3600 region stands as a solid resistance zone. If the long scenario plays out, this would be an important target for longs, or alternatively, a strong level to consider short positions for those looking at longer-term setups. Overall, the channel is holding well and offering clear structure for trade planning. Traders can use this framework to align entries with market behaviour. #GBPUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trendline #ChannelTrading #Scalping #SwingTrading
Long
by BrianLionCapital
2
Gold Rejecting Resistance After Liquidity Grab – Bow & Arrow SetThis is a textbook liquidity grab + rejection setup. Price executed a liquidity grab above structure, shooting into previous highs to build momentum for the drop — classic bow and arrow effect. After sweeping stops and pulling back, price retested the nearest resistance (around 3,324–3,325), but hasn’t broken the body high — this confirms sellers are still active. The push down was strong enough to reach the 4H support zone, and although price bounced, it looks like a temporary pullback rather than a reversal. As long as price stays below 3,347, this short bias holds. The structure still supports downside continuation unless a clear breakout occurs. Bias: Bearish — expecting continuation down toward 3,312 and possibly back to test 3,307.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by AutoMarkets
Gold Respecting Key Support — Downtrend Still Active on the 4HPrice on XAUUSD is currently hovering around the 3,324 zone, reacting to a clear support area that’s held firm since the last major dip. The uptrend is no longer valid — it's been broken multiple times and has now been decisively rejected. We’re still trading below a short-term descending trendline, which remains active. A prior liquidity sweep below support (around 3,247.54) may have been a fakeout to trap late sellers. If price fails to break the short-term trendline, this bounce could be short-lived. However, a clean breakout above the trendline could open up retracements toward the 3,360–3,384 area. Stay alert for a retest of support at 3,310–3,324, and watch how price behaves near the trendline before considering entries. Bias: Neutral to Slightly Bearish — Until trendline break is confirmed, downside continuation is still on the table.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by AutoMarkets
ETH at $4,100 – Can Bulls Defend Key Support Before FOMC..?ETH + FOMC = Volatility Ahead ? 🔥 Ethereum at Make-or-Break Zone: $4,100 Support in Focus! Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the 4H timeframe is showing a decisive battle between bulls and bears. After topping near $4,700, ETH has been in a steady downtrend, respecting the descending trendline. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch * Immediate Support: $4,100 – $4,150 (0.5 Fib retracement) * Major Support: $3,950 – $4,000 (0.618 Fib retracement) * Resistance Zone: $4,300 – $4,350 (descending trendline) * Major Resistance: $4,600 – $4,700 (recent swing high) 📈 Bullish Scenario ✅ A breakout above $4,300 trendline resistance could trigger strong momentum toward $4,500 - $4,600. ✅ Holding $4,100 support will keep buyers in control. 📉 Bearish Scenario ❌ If ETH fails to hold $4,100, expect a deeper retracement toward $4,000 (0.618 Fib). ❌ A break below $3,950 may extend the fall to $3,700 – $3,600. ⚠️ Market Note 📌 Today’s FOMC meeting could heavily impact the crypto market trend. Expect volatility as Fed commentary on interest rates may guide ETH’s next major move. ⚖️ Conclusion ETH is at a critical support zone where the next move will define short-term direction. * Above $4,300 → Bulls regain control. * Below $4,100 → Bears target $4,000 and lower.
by Kartik_Elkunchwar