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Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Analysis : Potential Reversal & Supply From Target Zone 📈 USD/JPY 1H: Potential Reversal and Supply Retracement Play 🔑 Key Context: Bearish Trend with Demand Zone Reaction The chart initially shows a strong downward trend or significant pullback, characterized by lower swing highs and lower swing lows on the 1-hour chart. This bearish movement breached a prior low established around November 27th. Prior Structure: Price fell sharply, breaking below a level that was part of a previous consolidation or minor distribution phase (the area marked 'D-R Supply' boundary). Current Action: The price has recently made a strong low and is now showing signs of an aggressive move back up (a recovery rally). 🎯 Identifying Key Zones The analysis highlights three critical zones based on supply/demand and technical structure: 1. Reversal Zone (Demand) 🟢 This is the lowest green box, around 154.650 - 154.800. Significance: This zone acted as a strong Demand area, causing the significant bullish reversal/bounce we are currently seeing. It's the point where buyers stepped in aggressively, stopping the immediate bearish momentum. The low of the move touched the upper boundary of this zone before the strong rally began. 2. D-R Supply (Drop-Base-Drop/Rally-Base-Drop Supply) 🔴 This is the overall consolidation area that was previously broken, roughly between 155.600 and 156.400. Significance: This large area represents where a significant amount of selling pressure entered the market, leading to the large drop. The current move upward is likely a retracement back into this supply structure. 3. Target and Volume Burst Zone 🔵 & 🟢 Target (Blue Box): This level, around 156.350 - 156.450, appears to be the immediate objective for the current bullish move. It lines up with the bottom of the old consolidation area (the D-R Supply). Volume Burst (Top Green Box): This zone, from approximately 156.450 to 156.650, represents the upper part of the broken supply zone. This is a potential high-probability area where the initial sellers are likely to defend their positions, leading to a strong reaction (a "Volume Burst" of selling/distribution). 💡 Trading Hypothesis: Retracement to Supply The current price action suggests the following trade setup: Scenario : The bounce from the Reversal Zone (Demand) is expected to continue as a retracement to test the broken D-R Supply zone above. Entry: Traders who entered at the Demand Reversal Zone would be looking to hold the position. New entries might look for continuation patterns to join the current rally. Take Profit: The Target (blue box) and the lower part of the Volume Burst zone are key areas for taking profit on long positions, as price is expected to encounter significant resistance there. Continuation/New Trade: Once the price reaches the Volume Burst area, a new short trade setup could be considered, anticipating a rejection and resumption of the overall bearish bias or a continuation of the downtrend from that high-resistance level. ⚠️ Caveats and Confirmation The current rally needs to maintain momentum and successfully break above the CZ (Confirmation Zone) level marked around 156.000 to confirm the target is achievable. Failure to sustain the rally above the 156.000 area could indicate a shallower retracement or a potential double-bottom/range setup. Risk Management: Any long trade should place a stop-loss below the Reversal Zone low.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSDT 30M Analysis: Reverse Zone Re-Test Before Major Drop 📊 BTCUSDT 30-Minute Technical Analysis – Reversal Zone Under Pressure This 30-minute BTCUSDT chart highlights an important bearish setup forming after a sharp downside move. Bitcoin is currently consolidating near a Reversal Zone, suggesting that price may attempt a retest before continuing lower. 🔻 Market Structure Overview Bitcoin recently experienced: A strong impulsive sell-off A brief consolidation phase A minor recovery back into a previous support now acting as resistance This structure indicates that sellers are still in control. 🟥 Reversal Zone (Major Resistance Area) The highlighted red zone is the primary bearish reaction area. Why this zone matters: Price broke below this level with strong momentum It is now acting as a potential supply zone A bearish candlestick pattern in this area would confirm sellers stepping in Your chart clearly notes: “Bearish Pattern Need On That Zone.” A rejection here is the most important bearish confirmation. 🟦 Mini Reversal Zone (Previous Demand Area) Below current price sits a smaller demand zone. This zone previously showed: Buyer reactions Short-term reversals Support in the recent downtrend If price breaks below this mini zone, BTCUSDT may aim for deeper liquidity levels, confirming bearish continuation. 📉 Expected Price Behavior Based on the projected path drawn on your chart: Price will retest the Reversal Zone A bearish engulfing, pin bar, or rejection wick may form Price may drop aggressively after confirmation Final target is a deeper zone around the previous swing lows The downward arrow illustrates the expected continuation if bulls fail to defend nearby support. ⭐ Key Takeaways Bitcoin remains in a bearish structure on the 30M timeframe A strong bearish pattern in the Reversal Zone is required for confirmation Rejection from this resistance may trigger another downside wave Break and hold above the zone would invalidate the short-term bearish outlook 🧠 Short Summary for Minds Bitcoin is approaching a key Reversal Zone on the 30-minute chart. If a bearish pattern forms here, BTCUSDT may continue dropping toward lower support levels. Sellers remain strong unless bulls break above the resistance zone.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Holds Its Breath Ahead of PMI: Breakout or Breakdown?If I had to describe gold right now, I’d call XAUUSD a “predator hiding in the bushes” — no longer in a wild breakout phase, but quietly waiting, watching, and preparing for the next news-driven move. In terms of fundamentals, the market is awaiting the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI, forecast at 49.0, slightly higher than the previous 48.7, but still below the 50 threshold . In other words, the U.S. manufacturing sector is expected to look “less bad,” but not strong enough to change the bigger picture. With that backdrop, neither the USD nor gold has a solid reason to break out before the data — sentiment is simply: wait for the actual numbers, then move. On the H4 chart, gold is pressing against the upper trendline, right at the 4,300–4,310 resistance zone , while support sits below at the 4,220 level overlapping the rising trendline and the Ichimoku cloud . These two areas form a natural “price box”: the top attracts profit-taking from buyers, the bottom attracts fresh dip-buyers — a classic setup for a healthy sideway accumulation phase. My preferred scenario: XAUUSD may continue oscillating between 4,220–4,310, where spikes toward 4,30 tend to trigger selling, while dips to around 4,22 draw in buyers. As long as price does not clearly break out of either boundary, I consider this a sideway market within a larger bullish structure , ideal for trading the range rather than trying to predict the next breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Paradise_Noir
24
XAUUSD – Bullish Structure Holding Above EMAsXAUUSD – Bullish Structure Holding Above EMAs Gold continues to trade in an upward structure, with price respecting both the 7-EMA and 21-EMA on the 15-minute chart. Momentum remains constructive as buyers maintain control above the intraday trendline and volume supports the ongoing push. The setup highlights a potential continuation zone, with price consolidating above key EMAs and forming higher lows. As long as structure holds, the market may look for liquidity toward the next intraday highs. This idea focuses on the current price behavior, EMAs alignment, and bullish market sentiment—not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Harry_Megat
1
XAUUSD Analysis - Trendline Rejection & Potential Bounce Setup📊 XAUUSD 30-Minute Technical Analysis – Trendline Pressure & Key Demand Zone This 30-minute XAUUSD chart shows gold currently trading under a clear descending trendline, indicating short-term bearish pressure. Price has rejected the trendline multiple times, confirming sellers are still active in the market. 🔻 Current Market Structure Gold is forming lower highs and lower lows, respecting the downtrend structure. Recent candles show rejection from the trendline once again, suggesting a potential continuation toward the lower support zone. 🟦 Mini Reversal Zone (MRZ) A key short-term demand area exists between 4,190 – 4,185 (marked in blue). This zone has previously acted as a minor support, and the price may attempt a temporary bounce from here. 🟩 Major Demand Zone / Volume Burst Area The stronger reversal area sits below the MRZ, highlighted in green. This is where the chart indicates: High buying volume previously entered the market Bullish reactions were seen earlier The next impulsive leg may start once price enters this volume burst zone This zone will be crucial for spotting bullish reversal patterns, such as: Bullish engulfing Pin bar / hammer Break and retest setups 🔍 What We Need Inside the marked demand zones, we need a positive bullish pattern to confirm buyer strength. Entering without confirmation may be risky due to ongoing trendline resistance. 📉 Expected Price Path The projected price movement shows: A drop from current levels toward the MRZ A potential short pullback Final sweep into the Volume Burst Zone A possible bullish reversal from that deeper area If a strong bullish pattern forms in the green zone, buyers may push back toward the trendline and possibly attempt a breakout. ⚠️ Important Notes Trendline remains the immediate barrier for buyers Bearish continuation is possible until the deeper support zone is tested Only bullish confirmation patterns can validate a reversal ✅ Short Summary (For Minds / Social Posting) Gold is still under bearish pressure on the 30M chart, moving inside a descending trendline. Price is expected to test the Mini Reversal Zone and possibly drop deeper into the Volume Burst Demand Zone. A bullish reversal is only valid if a strong positive pattern forms in these areas.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Dec 2, 2025 🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Dec 2, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🎤 Bowman testimony hits at 10 AM — this is the only fixed macro event of the day, and her tone on regulation and economic conditions can nudge yields. 🚗 Auto Sales (Nov) TBA — release time unclear, but this report can move cyclicals if it prints far from expectations. Previous level was 16.4 million annualized. 📊 Key Data and Events (ET) 10 00 AM • Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman — Testimony TBA • Auto Sales (Nov) Previous: 16.4 million Note: Release time is not announced ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational use only, not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #stocks #macro #fed #autosales #markets #trading #investing
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
XAUUSD: Bearish Correction Targets $3822 amidst Uptrend.​Scenario: Bearish Corrective Move within a larger Uptrend. ​ Current Price (Approx.): $4,218.81 ​ Chart Context: Price has already retraced from the recent high of $4,381.73 and is currently hovering near the 0.236 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,249.74) and above the 0.4 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,158.02). ​Key Levels ​ Key Resistance Zone (Potential Reversal): $4,338 (Close to the recent high/start of the pullback). ​ Primary Target (Take Profit): $3,822 (Coincides with the 1.0 Fibonacci Retracement level of the structure shown, indicating a full retracement of the move from $3,822.46 to $4,381.73).
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by adham2022
XAUUSD — Long-Term Bullish Structure Toward 4708.76Market Structure Gold remains in a strong long-term bullish trend, supported by higher-timeframe momentum and repeated accumulation phases. The current price action is consolidating above major structural supports, keeping the long-term upside target 4708.76 valid. Key Support Zones Key Support Zone 1 — 3839 This is the primary structural floor. As long as price holds above 3839, the bullish trend remains intact and the path toward the higher target stays open. A clean bounce from this zone would reinforce the bullish continuation. If 3839 Breaks — Key Support Zone 2 — 2775 A decisive breakdown below 3839 would signal a deeper correction toward the secondary support at 2775. This zone represents a major historical demand area, where large-scale buying interest is expected to reappear. A hold above 2775 would maintain the long-term bullish macro outlook. Main Target 4708.76 This is the projected long-term extension target based on the broader impulse wave. As long as gold stays above 3839, the probability of reaching this upper target remains high.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by adham2022
NVO long-term TAThere's a good chance that Novo Nordisk will shine again! Technically speaking the volumes and the indicators have not turned bullish yet, but despite of the long downtrend the indicators have been improving for quite some time, weekly accumulation is rising steadily, which signals positive divergence, the current area of $40-45 is good for the support and potential new uptrend in the process. Can it dive even lower? Sure it can but that will push the divergence even higher. In short, keep an eye on NVO.
NYSE:NVO
by MoxGo_Analytics
Bitcoin Extends Decline Toward Fibonacci Support as Momentum RemBitcoin continues to trade under clear downside pressure after breaking beneath its long-standing ascending trendline in November. The recent rebound attempt stalled near the underside of that same trendline—now acting as dynamic resistance—and price has since rotated lower again. The broader structure shifted bearish once price fell below the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA, both of which are now flattening or turning lower. This places the market in a momentum-cooling environment where sellers remain in control unless a sustained recovery develops above key moving averages. The chart also highlights confluence around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the major swing low, which sits near the latest reaction zone. The initial bounce from this area shows that participants are aware of the level, though the follow-through remains limited for now. Momentum indicators reflect persistent weakness. The MACD remains in negative territory, with both signal lines tracking below zero and only modest signs of stabilization. RSI recently dipped into the 30-zone before attempting to lift, indicating oversold conditions were tested but broader momentum has not convincingly recovered. Overall, the chart continues to lean bearish as long as the market holds below the broken trendline and the major moving averages. Price behavior around the Fibonacci region will be an important gauge of whether this decline matures into a deeper corrective phase or begins to base out. -MW
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREX.com
Gold Breaks Out of Triangle Structure as Trend Strength Remains Gold has pushed through the upper boundary of a contracting triangle formation, marking a continuation of the broader uptrend that has been intact since early in the year. The breakout follows several weeks of compression, with progressively higher lows aligning along a rising trendline, while buyers repeatedly tested the upper diagonal boundary. The moving averages reinforce the constructive bias: price continues to trade well above both the 50-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, with the 50-day maintaining a strong upward slope. This places the current move firmly within a longer-term bullish structure, and the recent expansion in distance from the 50-day SMA highlights renewed upward momentum following the consolidation phase. Momentum indicators are also showing early signs of improvement. The MACD lines have begun curling higher after a period of easing, suggesting that downside momentum has faded. RSI has climbed back into the mid-60s, reflecting strengthening buying interest without yet indicating overstretched conditions. Overall, the breakout from the triangle aligns with the prevailing uptrend and indicates a return of bullish pressure. As always, how price behaves on any retest of the breakout area—or near the rising trendline—may provide additional insight into the durability of this momentum shift. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREX.com
USDJPY Pulls Back After Retesting Major Resistance, Momentum ModUSD/JPY has retreated from the 157.00 resistance area after a brief attempt to break higher, with price slipping back below the short-term rising trendline drawn from the October swing lows. This marks the first decisive violation of that trendline since the rally began, suggesting that upward momentum may be cooling. The 50-day SMA continues to trend higher and remains above the 200-day SMA, keeping the broader structure constructive. However, the recent candle rejections near resistance indicate hesitation at the top of the multi-month advance. Momentum indicators reflect this moderation. The MACD histogram has been flattening, with the signal and MACD lines narrowing after weeks of positive alignment. Meanwhile, RSI has turned lower from the upper 60s, moving toward its mid-range zone, showing that buying pressure has softened without yet indicating oversold conditions. Overall, the current pullback highlights a shift from aggressive upside momentum toward a more neutral or consolidative posture. How price behaves around the rising moving averages and prior trendline region may offer additional context for whether buyers maintain control or if the pair transitions into a broader corrective phase. -MW
by FOREX.com
CL1! — Bullish Above 58 with Target at 62.22Crude oil maintains a constructive bullish structure as long as price holds above the 58.00 key support zone. This level remains the foundation of the current upward bias. The next meaningful obstacle for buyers sits at the 60.69 resistance, which aligns with a major Fibonacci cluster and has shown strong rejection in previous attempts. A clean breakout and sustained close above 60.69 would confirm renewed bullish momentum. Above that resistance, the path opens toward 61.71 followed by the main upside target at 62.22, which represents the completion of the current Fibonacci expansion. As long as price trades above 58, the bullish scenario remains valid. A failure at 60.69 may trigger a temporary pullback, but the broader structure favors continuation toward 62.22 once the level is cleared.
NYMEX:CL1!
by adham2022
NBIS Bearish ContinuationNBIS on the 1D chart is locked in a clear downtrend since mid-October, rolling over from highs above 140 to consolidate around the 94 area. Price is trading below the 20-day MA (~99.40) and 60-day MA at 106.23, while still holding above the long-term 120-day MA near 81.57. Momentum confirms the bearish tone: MACD is negative with the line below the signal, and Squeeze Momentum is deeply red, showing strong downside pressure. Structurally, price is moving inside a Bear Flag consolidation after a sharp drop, pointing to a potential continuation move lower once the range gives way. For now, 106.23 is the key resistance, reinforced by the 60-day MA, with an intermediate supply band around 98–100 near the 20-day MA. As long as price stays capped beneath that zone, the primary path favors a downside break. A daily close below 93 and the lower flag boundary would lean toward continuation, opening room toward 90 first and then the stronger demand region around 85. If 81.57 fails on a decisive breakdown, an extension toward 78 cannot be ruled out. On the flip side, a daily close back above 100 and a clean reclaim of the 20-day MA would start to challenge the bearish narrative, potentially squeezing price toward 102 and even 114 if momentum flips. Until that happens, sellers keep the upper hand and invalidations should be respected with discipline. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations. Thought of the Day 💡: The best trades aren’t the loudest setups, they’re the ones with clean levels and clear invalidations. -------------------------- Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
NASDAQ:NBISShort
by bbqgio
2
NAS100 — Bearish Below 25,333 with Target at 25,054Price remains capped below the 25,333 key level, keeping the market in a clear bearish structure. As long as price trades under this zone, bullish attempts are likely to fail, and any rebounds should be viewed as corrective only. A sustained move below the intermediate supports at 25,181 and 25,166 strengthens the downside momentum and confirms continuation toward the primary bearish target at 25,054. Momentum and structure remain aligned to the downside while the key level holds.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by adham2022
EUR/USD Is Walking on Thin Ice📉 EUR/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS — RISING WEDGE LOSING MOMENTUM 1. Market Structure Overview EUR/USD is moving inside a Rising Wedge, a classic bearish reversal pattern. Key observations from current price action: - The higher highs are becoming weaker, showing fading bullish momentum. - The lower trendline has been tested multiple times, increasing the probability of a breakdown. - The price is hovering near your entry zone, right at the confluence between: ✓ Rising Wedge support ✓ Micro lower-high structure - Candles show rejection wicks on the upside, indicating pressure from sellers. This structure suggests the market is preparing for a bearish shift. 2. Main Scenario — Breakdown is More Likely (Preferred) If EUR/USD breaks below the Rising Wedge support with a firm candle close: 👉 Expect a sharp sell continuation toward the demand zone. SELL confirmation checklist: - A candle closes below the dotted support line - Price retests that broken line and rejects → your entry zone - A new lower high forms When this happens, sellers will dominate the next movement. Downside Targets Target 1: Support zone in the green zone Target 2: Previous swing low of the wedge Target 3: Extended bearish continuation if momentum accelerates 3. Secondary Scenario — Weak Bounce but Still Bearish If price bounces slightly from the wedge bottom but fails to break the upper resistance zone, then: - Market remains weakly bullish but highly vulnerable - Momentum will continue to compress - Eventually, a breakdown becomes the high-probability outcome - Buy positions are not recommended here — risk > reward 4. Intraday Bias 📌 Bias: Bearish to moderately bearish 📌 Setup: Sell the retest near the entry zone 📌 Invalidation: Clean breakout above the resistance zone Sellers are in control as long as the price stays inside the wedge and below the resistance zone. 5. Final Verdict EUR/USD is signaling a high-probability bearish reversal: Rising Wedge losing power Buyer exhaustion visible Support line weakened Retest zone beautifully aligned for SELL positions 👉 Expect: Breakdown → Retest → Sell-off toward major support.
Short
by Matthew_TradeRFX