NZDCAD: Bullish Move From Trend Line 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD may bounce from a strong falling trend line that
I spotted on a daily time frame.
As a confirmation, the price formed a double bottom
pattern on an hourly time frame and violated its neckline.
Goal - 0.8051
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Technical Analysis
EURUSD: Buying Interest Builds at 1.1610 as Shutdown DragsHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.16100 zone. The pair remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching a strong daily support area at 1.16100 that aligns with the ascending trendline.
Structure: The market has been maintaining higher highs and higher lows, with the current retracement offering a potential continuation setup within the bullish structure.
Key level in focus: 1.16100 — a critical zone of confluence between daily support and trend structure, where buyers have previously shown strong interest.
Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is nearing the 98.800 daily resistance while facing headwinds from the ongoing US government shutdown. Extended fiscal uncertainty and a weakening DXY backdrop strengthen the bullish case for EURUSD.
Next move: Watching price reaction at 1.16100 for potential bullish continuation — sustained buying pressure here could pave the way for a move toward recent highs.
Trade safe,
Joe.
GOLD H1 – Holding Above $4,000, Next Expansion in PlayGold continues to build momentum after the historic breakout above $4,000, confirming the zone 3996$ (Fibo 0.618 reaction) as a strong intraday support. Buyers are keeping control, with the market now looking towards higher Fibo expansion zones.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – Fibo Matrix)
3996$ Zone: Breakout ATH support + Fibo 0.618 → Key pivot, as long as price stays above, bulls remain in charge.
4018 – 4020: First intraday resistance → short-term reaction level.
4043$: Psychological resistance aligned with Fibo expansion.
406x – 407x: Major SELL Reaction Zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618) → possible scalp rejection zone.
4095$+: Extended expansion zone, next upside liquidity target.
🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Setup)
✅ BUY Setup:
Entry: 3996 – 4000 (retest support).
Targets: 4018 → 4043 → 406x.
Stop Loss: Below 3984.
⚠️ SELL Setup (Scalp only):
Entry: 406x – 407x if rejection confirmed.
Target: 4020 – 4000
Stop Loss: Above 4096.
🔑 Francis Key Takeaway
The breakout above $4,000 is a structural shift.
👉 As long as Gold holds 3996 support, dips remain strong buying opportunities.
👉 Short-term traders can watch the 406x – 407x Fibo reaction for potential rejections.
🚀 The path to $4,100 is open – trade with precision, follow the liquidity.
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Oct 8, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Oct 8, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 FOMC Minutes drop: Traders zero in on the Fed’s tone around balance sheet runoff and rate-cut timing clues.
📉 Macro sentiment reset: Bond yields + USD volatility remain key — equities tracking real-rate shifts post-minutes.
💬 Fed chorus continues: Barr, Kashkari, and Goolsbee headline a dense speaker lineup shaping policy narrative.
💻 Tech leadership check: Mega-caps face another liquidity test as macro dominates tape action.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 9:20 AM — Alberto Musalem (St. Louis Fed) remarks
⏰ 9:30 AM — Michael Barr (Fed Governor) speech
⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Minutes (September Meeting)
⏰ 3:15 PM — Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis Fed) speech
⏰ 5:45 PM — Michael Barr (Fed Governor) remarks
⏰ 7:15 PM — Austan Goolsbee (Chicago Fed) speech
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #FOMC #Fed #Powell #Barr #Kashkari #Goolsbee #minutes #bonds #Dollar #economy #megacaps
Future of #GOLD #XAUUSDSurprises from #Gold #Levels and #Positional #Targets.
Based on Analysis from yearly chart and #Fibonocci retracement and #extension
& Based on Elliot wave theory, Gold didn't give a retracement at 1.618 levels, which means, Gold broke and holding above 2950., which means the next possible stop is at 2.618 Fib extension and #elliot wave #analysis 3rd wave. Until it reaches this levels the momentum will continue and will reach quickly !
So the ultimate possible target will be #4617.
The Intermediate monthly resistances will be 4041 / 4277 / 4617.
Riding the 3rd wave, which is an Impulse wave will give quick positional targets.
Need not believe this analysis blindly. Do your own analysis and wait and watch the wonders.
Analysis shared for Educational purpose only. Do your own analysis, to be successful on a longer run !!!
#technical #analysis #wonders. There is no holy grail.
SWING IDEA - NAVA Nava Ltd , a diversified natural resources and energy company, is showing a promising swing opportunity with a breakout backed by strong technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
Cup and Handle breakout, a strong bullish continuation pattern
Confirmed bullish price action post breakout
Bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe
Volume spike, confirming breakout strength
Trading near its 52-week high, showing momentum
Sustaining above 50 & 200 EMA on the daily chart
Target - 750 // 810
Stop loss - daily close below 645
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Alphabet (GOOG) Forms Bull FlagAlphabet’s recent price action suggests a brief consolidation phase following a powerful uptrend. After a sustained advance through late summer, price has developed a bull flag pattern — a downward-sloping channel (highlighted in blue) forming just below recent highs, often seen as a continuation setup within strong trends.
The 50-day SMA (blue) continues to rise sharply above the 200-day SMA (red), confirming the broader bullish structure. Price remains comfortably above both moving averages, reinforcing underlying strength despite short-term pullback behavior.
Momentum indicators show mixed signals typical of consolidation:
The MACD has flattened slightly, with the signal lines converging but still holding in positive territory, indicating a temporary slowdown rather than a full reversal.
The RSI (14) has eased from overbought levels to around 63, suggesting that buying pressure has cooled but remains generally supportive of the trend.
Overall, Alphabet’s chart maintains a constructive technical setup. The bull flag pattern, combined with rising moving averages and resilient momentum, indicates that the broader uptrend remains intact pending a confirmed breakout from the consolidation channel.
-MW
Nikkei 225 Extends Uptrend Within Ascending ChannelThe Nikkei 225 index continues its strong upward trajectory, maintaining a well-defined ascending channel since mid-2025. Recent price action shows a sharp rally to the upper boundary of the channel, supported by sustained bullish momentum.
Both moving averages confirm the prevailing uptrend — the 50-day SMA (blue) remains above the 200-day SMA (red), reflecting a healthy technical structure. The latest surge pushed prices well above these averages, suggesting strong market conviction despite the steep short-term rise.
Momentum indicators paint a similar picture:
The MACD histogram remains positive, with the MACD line comfortably above the signal line, indicating ongoing upward momentum.
The RSI (14) has climbed above 70, signaling overbought conditions that may precede a brief pause or consolidation, especially as the index approaches the top of its trend channel.
In summary, the Japan 225 maintains a robust bullish trend within its established ascending channel. While momentum remains favorable, traders may watch for potential cooling or pullback signals near the channel’s upper boundary before assessing the next directional phase.
-MW
USDCAD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.39700 zone, USDCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.39700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XANUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.0990BINANCE:XANUSDT.P is at its all-time low.
The price recently tested this level cleanly, which confirms its relevance.
All that remains is to wait for one's own entry point.
Key factors for this scenario
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Asset decoupled from the market (relative strength/weakness vs. BTC)
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
No reaction after a false break
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AUDUSD Eyes 0.65900 as Gold Nears Record HighHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.65900 zone. AUDUSD remains in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price moving toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias is bullish, with price retracing toward trend support.
Key level in focus: 0.65900 — an important area where buyers may look to re-enter.
Fundamentals: Gold continues to rise and is nearing a fresh ATH, supported by a bearish US Dollar bias. Given the positive correlation between AUDUSD and Gold, further upside on the pair remains likely.
Next move: Monitoring price reaction at 0.65900 to assess whether the trend resumes higher.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Silver Is Extending Impulsively Higher; All-Time Highs SoonSilver Is Extending Impulsively Higher, which can push the price into all-time highs from a technical point of view and by Elliott wave model.
Silver is on the rise and has been outperforming gold quite a lot over the last week, and it looks like an extended leg up is still in progress; seems like wave three of an extended impulse, therefore more gains are possible after next three-leg retracement. Based on the 4-hour chart, there is a chance that price goes towards 50usd, but there can be some new pullback first. Ideally red wave (4) could stabilize near 45.86. Only a sharp impulse down closer to 43 level will be an indication that higher degree wave four has started.
Higher Time frame charts show an ongoing bull cycle that is now targeting the high from April 2011, which could be the next major level and a potential area for a new retracement, maybe sometime in 2026.
BNBUSDT — Bullish consolidation ahead of resumed uptrendThe bullish consolidation in BNBUSDT that I’ve been watching has begun to resolve in the market’s favor. Price action is coiling after two consecutive white spinning-top candles, a pattern that signals indecision but also a readiness to resume the prior trend when confirmed. The move has occurred on heavier volume concentrated in the current price area, and the pair sits roughly halfway between two key Fibonacci retracement levels — a location that commonly precedes a corrective bounce rather than a full trend reversal. Trend Strength sits just above zero, suggesting a fragile bullish bias rather than conviction.
Viewed on a slightly wider timeframe, BNBUSDT is grinding inside a shallow range that resembles a consolidation brick; the path of least resistance still leans toward the upside provided the short-term structure holds. Conventionally, the presence of consecutive indecisive candles on increased volume near mid-Fibonacci territory combined with a mildly positive momentum indicator favors a corrective rebound rather than an extended sell-off.
Key short-term levels to monitor on the way up are the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement as the likeliest target for the initial bounce, with a secondary cap at the 50% retracement if buyers show enough follow-through. Beyond those, a return toward prior highs remains plausible, though that area will present a zone of elevated resistance and will need clear volume-backed breakout confirmation to be trusted.
RSI and other momentum readings are consistent with a measured recovery rather than an impulsive surge, so expect the move to unfold over the coming 2–3 weeks. If the market fails to sustain above the 38.2% level and momentum turns down, the alternate scenario would be a continuation of the consolidation or a deeper retracement toward the lower Fibonacci boundary.
Short summary:
Setup : consolidation with two white spinning-top candles, heavier volume locally, price midway between two Fibonacci levels, Trend Strength slightly > 0.
Base case : corrective bounce to 38.2% (primary) — up to 50% (maximum) — then continuation higher toward prior highs (resistance zone).
Timeframe : ~2–3 weeks.
Gold Nears $4000, BofA Warns of Mid-Cycle Correction 🚀 XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan| MMFLOW TRADING
📊 Market Context
Gold is pushing toward the $4,000/oz milestone, but a fresh warning from Bank of America has traders on alert. Strategist Paul Ciana points out that gold is currently trading 20% above its 200-day moving average — a level that historically preceded sharp corrections (2008, 2011, 2020, 2022).
That said, mid-term forecasts from Goldman Sachs, UBS, and even BofA still project gold could reach $4,200–$4,900/oz in the coming year. The long-term bullish trend remains intact, but in the short term, the risk of sudden corrections is high as the market shakes out FOMO-driven buying pressure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price is consolidating near the ATH Zone and major liquidity levels around 3990–4000.
Buy Zone: 3935–3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) – attractive area to reload long positions.
Sell Zone: 3993–3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a potential trap area as gold tests the $4000 psychological mark.
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: 3935–3933, with main support at 3910.
SELL Zone: 3993–3995 (watch liquidity reaction).
Psychological resistance: 4000.
📈 Trading Scenarios & Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3935–3933
SL: 3927
TP: 3940 - 3945 - 3950 - 3960 - 3970 - 3980 - ???
✅ SELL ZONE: 3993–3995
SL: 4000
TP: 3988 - 3984 - 3980 - 3970 - 3960 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The 3990–4000 zone is a heavy liquidity cluster — expect false breakouts before reversals.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation; avoid chasing FOMO near the highs.
Adjust position sizing carefully, as volatility may spike while markets debate the risk of a “mid-cycle correction.”
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a long-term bullish trend, but traders must respect short-term risks. MMFLOW prioritises buys at 3935–3933 while keeping a cautious eye on the 3993–3995 sell zone near the $4000 mark. Upside targets point toward 3980+, with potential for higher extensions if momentum holds.
📢 Stay tuned with MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups as gold tests historic highs!
DXY Watching 98.800 Resistance as Shutdown Risks Weigh on DollarHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.800 zone. The Dollar Index remains in a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price approaching a key daily resistance area.
Structure: The market has been forming lower highs, consistent with bearish momentum. The 98.800 level aligns with both structural resistance and trendline rejection zones.
Fundamentals: The ongoing US government shutdown continues to pressure sentiment around the Dollar. The longer the impasse persists, the higher the risk of fiscal strain and downside pressure on the USD.
Next move: Watching how price reacts around 98.800 — a rejection here could confirm further downside continuation in line with the prevailing trend.
Trade safe,
Joe.
NGAS 1D - bulls waiting for the green lightOn the daily chart, Natural Gas has broken out of a falling wedge, but price remains below the MA200, while EMA still hovers above it - a mixed signal showing short-term hesitation within a longer-term downtrend.
The 3.10–3.20 buy zone remains key - that’s where the retest area aligns with short-term support. If buyers can reclaim the EMA and push above the MA200, the next upside targets are 4.14 and then 4.92.
Volume on the breakout supports growing bullish interest, while fundamentals - like rising seasonal demand - may soon add more fuel to the move.
Tactically , watch how price behaves near MA200. Once EMA flips back on top, momentum could accelerate fast. Until then, the market’s like a gas burner waiting for that click - ignition pending
Ascending channels trading applied to Gold current situation🔼 Ascending Channel – Explained Simply
An ascending channel is a bullish pattern — but not always a bullish ending.
It shows a market climbing step by step between two parallel rising lines:
the lower trendline (support) and the upper trendline (resistance).
🧠 Market Psychology
Buyers dominate, but sellers still show up at every swing high.
Each dip gets bought, keeping the trend alive —
until one side finally breaks the rhythm.
⚙️ How to Trade It
• Inside the channel:
Buy near the lower rail, take profit near the upper rail.
• Breakout play:
Go long on a confirmed close above resistance,
or short on a clean break below support.
• Stops:
Just outside the opposite rail — below support for longs, above resistance for shorts.
• Targets:
Use the channel height projected from the breakout point.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
• False breakouts happen often.
• Too-steep channels usually fail faster.
• Volume must confirm — low volume = fake strength.
• Statistically, breakdowns occur slightly more often than breakouts.
________________________________________
Key takeaway:
An ascending channel isn’t a promise of a bull run —it’s a structured climb that eventually ends.
Trade the rhythm, not the hope. 🎯
Statistically, in 57% of cases, up channels are broken to the downside
Gold now situation: the recent 1k pips is way-way-way to steep
Confirmation came with a drop under 3950 zone
Usually, in the case of such a steep channel, all the move is negated, so a drop to the 3850 zone.
However 3900 zone is strong support now, so a break under 3950 zone could lead to "only" a drop to this support.
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 7, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 7, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Shutdown overhang: The U.S. Trade Deficit release remains at risk; traders lean on Fed commentary for macro tone.
📉 Rates + dollar watch: Treasury yields stay elevated ahead of FOMC Minutes (Wed); AMEX:SPY sensitivity to TVC:DXY remains high.
💬 Fed parade: Five speakers on deck — market parsing for any shift in post-Powell narrative.
💻 Tech + liquidity: $AAPL/ NASDAQ:MSFT flows continue driving AMEX:XLK rotation amid tightening liquidity backdrop.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — U.S. Trade Deficit (Aug)
⏰ 10:00 AM — Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed) speech
⏰ 10:05 AM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Vice Chair for Supervision) remarks
⏰ 10:45 AM — Stephen Miran (Fed Governor) speech
⏰ 11:30 AM — Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis Fed) speech
⏰ 3:00 PM — Consumer Credit (Aug)
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #Bostic #Bowman #Kashkari #Miran #tradebalance #shutdown #bonds #Dollar #megacaps #economy
JD.com Bullish ABCD Harmonic Pattern SetupJD.com (JD) is forming a bullish ABCD harmonic pattern, with the current price advancing from point C toward the projected D completion zone. Based on the Fibonacci measurements, the AB=CD projection and 1.618 extension align near $56–57, suggesting a strong potential target area and confluence with the upper channel resistance.
A sustained move above $46.5 (B point) would confirm the continuation toward the D leg target. Momentum indicators are gradually turning positive, supporting the bullish bias in this setup.
Invalidation:
If price reverses and breaks below the C point, the ABCD harmonic structure would be invalidated, signaling potential weakness or a deeper retracement.
Applovin Craters...Is Robinhood next? APP fell sharply intraday today after announcement came late into the session about an SEC probe into the company.
The SEC loves to do this with new S&P500 stocks.
Applovin was one of the strongest stocks in the market recently and its finally been knocked back down to earth.
You have to wonder if HOOD will be the next SEC probe.
Robinhoods controversial NFL prediction markets could a big controversy.
ZKCUSDT: short setup from daily support at 0.3228BINANCE:ZKCUSDT.P has been falling almost continuously since its listing, with short pauses.
Right now, after another downward impulse, I see a pause. This consolidation could last for a day or for several—it's impossible to predict.
However, a clear tendency is visible on the chart: drop → consolidation → drop.
Key factors for this scenario
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Asset decoupled from the market (relative strength/weakness vs. BTC)
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GBPCAD: Another Gap Trade 🇬🇧🇨🇦
With a high probability,
GBPCAD will fill the gap down soon.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle after a NY session opening
provides a strong confirmation.
Goal - 1.8796
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