AUDNZD: Pullback From Support Confirmed 🇦🇺🇳🇿
There is a high probability that AUDNZD will rise from the underlined support.
A bullish violation of a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly
time frame provides a reliable confirmation.
Goal - 1.1133
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Technical Analysis
US30 Pullback Toward 44,600 Within Ongoing UptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 44,600 zone. Dow Jones (US30) is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is pulling back after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 44,600 — a significant area where buyers may look to step in and continue the upward trend.
Fundamentals: Market sentiment remains broadly supportive for equities, with risk appetite steady as investors weigh U.S. economic data and central bank policy outlook.
Trade safe,
Joe.
IOTA Finishing A Bullish Triangle?IOTA can be finishing a bullish triangle pattern that can send the price higher from technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
Cryptocurrency IOTA with ticker IOTUSD remains in sideways consolidation, and it more and more looks like a bullish ABCDE triangle pattern in wave (B) that can be coming to an end soon. We are actually tracking final subwave “c” of E of (B), so soon watch out for a strong bullish breakout into wave (C), which can send the price back to March 2024 highs. Keep in mind that bullish confirmation is only above upper triangle line and 0.25 level.
IOTA is a cryptocurrency designed for the Internet of Things (IoT). Unlike traditional blockchains, it uses a unique technology called the Tangle—a directed acyclic graph (DAG) that allows transactions to be feeless, scalable, and lightweight. This makes it well-suited for machine-to-machine payments, microtransactions, and secure data transfer. IOTA’s goal is to be the backbone of a machine economy, enabling devices to transact and share data autonomously.
CADJPY: Bullish Move After Liquidity Sweep 🇨🇦🇯🇵
It looks like we have a confirmed bear trap after a test
of a key intraday horizonta support on CADJPY.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle indicates
a strong bullish sentiment now.
I expect a bullish move to 107.58
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GOLD: market at a crossroads after the impulseOn the 1H chart, gold remains in an uptrend channel, but after testing the 3545–3550 zone, a corrective pullback is possible. The red lines represent a projected head-and-shoulders scenario, but the pattern is not yet confirmed - it remains only a forecast. Key levels to watch: 3510 as initial support and 3480 as a deeper target if price breaks the channel to the downside. As long as price holds above, the broader trend remains bullish.
From a fundamental perspective , weak ADP employment data provided short-term support, yet the market reaction was muted since dovish Fed expectations are already priced in. Stronger dollar data or rising Treasury yields could put renewed pressure on gold. Fed commentary in the coming days will be crucial for market direction.
Tactical plan: monitor the 3545–3550 zone where sellers may step in. A confirmed break below 3510 opens the way to 3480, but without a completed head-and-shoulders, the move remains speculative. Gold is notorious for punishing premature shorts, so caution is warranted.
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 4, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 4, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
📉 Markets on edge after ADP + Beige Book — traders want to see if Thursday’s labor + growth data confirm a slowdown.
🏦 Treasury supply + Fed tone continue to steer $TLT/$TNX.
⚙️ Productivity & costs add another layer to the inflation debate.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Trade Balance (Jul)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Productivity & Unit Labor Costs (Q2, rev.)
⏰ 11:00 AM — Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #joblessclaims #labor #economy #bonds
Gold chart showing Technical Analysis at its bestTA doesn’t get much more exact than this. Gold beautifully displayed why TA is such a powerful manifestation device. Look how perfectly Gold broke up and then used the dotted measured move line as a staircase to climb its way to the full breakout target. Perfection. Those who’s off at TA as just imaginary or arbitrary lines, have not seen this kind of accuracy play outthe and time again as I have during my time as a technical analyst. Posting this as a prime example for posterity. *not financial advice*
“XAUUSD – Strong Sell Setup from All-Time High Resistance “XAUUSD – Strong Sell Setup from All-Time High Resistance 🚨📉”
Currently, gold has reached a strong resistance zone around 3575 – 3600, where price is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish rally. This area is a key supply zone and could trigger profit-taking or fresh short entries.
From here, I am expecting a potential correction move.
1st Target: Around 3480 – 3450, where we can see a clear demand zone and previous consolidation.
If bearish pressure continues, the price may extend towards the final target at 3330 – 3320, which is also a key support point aligned with previous market structure.
Market structure shows a clear higher low formation earlier, which fueled this rally, but after tapping into resistance, a short-term pullback seems highly likely.
📌 Overall, short-term bias = bearish correction, while long-term trend remains bullish unless price breaks below the 3320 support zone.
Will USD/MXN Break Above its Bearish Channel?USD/MXN is showing signs of a potential shift after months of steady declines within a well-defined descending channel.
The pair recently found a floor near 18.50, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel, and has since rebounded back above its 50-day SMA for the first time in weeks. This suggests selling pressure is easing, with early signs of a possible breakout from the downtrend.
The 200-day SMA still looms overhead near 19.70, acting as a longer-term resistance barrier, but intermediate levels such as 19.07 and 19.49 will be key checkpoints if momentum continues higher. On the momentum side, the MACD is flattening and on the verge of a bullish cross, while the RSI has lifted above 50, reinforcing a shift in short-term sentiment.
For now, the bias is cautiously turning constructive. A sustained move above 19.07 would strengthen the case for a broader recovery, while a failure to hold the 18.50 floor could see the downtrend resume. -MW
EUR/USD Consolidation Won't Last ForeverEUR/USD is showing signs of indecision after its strong summer rally, with the pair now consolidating below a key descending trendline.
Price has struggled to clear the 1.1740–1.1750 zone, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the prior downswing. Sellers have defended this level consistently, creating a series of lower highs while support around 1.1580 has held firm, forming a narrowing range.
The 50-day SMA is flattening near current price action, reflecting a neutral short-term trend, while the 200-day SMA remains supportive further below, keeping the broader bias constructive. Momentum indicators suggest balance: the MACD is hovering near the zero line without a clear signal, while the RSI sits around 50, confirming a lack of directional conviction.
For now, EUR/USD remains trapped between overhead trendline resistance and key horizontal support. A decisive break in either direction should determine the next leg—above the descending trendline for renewed bullish momentum, or below 1.1580 to open a deeper correction. Until then, consolidation looks set to continue. -MW
How Far Will the Gold Breakout Run?Gold has finally broken free from its months-long consolidation, and the chart signals a decisive bullish breakout.
Price had been coiling within a contracting triangle pattern since April, capped by resistance around $3,430. Last week’s strong move above that ceiling, followed by accelerating momentum, confirms buyers are back in control.
The 50-day SMA is turning higher, reinforcing near-term bullish sentiment, while the 200-day SMA remains well below current price action, highlighting the strength of the broader uptrend. Momentum indicators are supportive: the MACD has crossed bullishly above its signal line, and the RSI has surged into overbought territory (77+), reflecting strong demand but also hinting at possible short-term consolidation after such a sharp rally.
Going forward, as long as gold holds above the former breakout zone near $3,430, the bias remains bullish. Traders will watch closely to see if momentum carries price toward fresh highs, while any pullback toward support could provide a retest opportunity.
Gold’s technical picture has shifted decisively—this breakout marks a potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
-MW
MARKET HOLDING SUPPORT-CAN BULLS BREAK 4,700RESISTANCEhi trader's
The market is currently holding near the support area of 4,250 – 4,350, showing signs of accumulation after a recent downtrend. This zone is acting as a base for a possible bullish move.
First Support (4,350): Price already tested and respected this level, showing strength from buyers.
Second Support (4,250): If the market dips further, this will be the next key area to watch for a bounce.
Risk Level (4,060): Below this level, bullish momentum weakens, so traders must stay cautious.
Resistance (4,700): If the price breaks above this barrier, a strong upward push toward the supply zone is likely.
Supply Zone (4,900): This is the main target area where sellers may re-enter the market.
👉 Based on the structure, if the market holds above support levels and breaks 4,700 resistance, there is potential for a move toward 4,900. However, if the market breaks below 4,060, then further downside risk opens
Do you think buyers have enough momentum to break the 4,700 resistance and push toward 4,900 supply zone?”
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IBIT: ready for liftoffOn the daily chart, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) trades at $62.97, testing the key 0.705–0.79 Fibo zone ($61.63–63.87). This area marks a breakout and retest line, forming a clear buy zone. The technical structure remains bullish: after breaking out and pulling back, price holds potential to move toward $69.39, with Fibo extensions targeting $76.54 and $85.63. Volumes confirm buyer activity on dips, and the bullish flag pattern supports the continuation of the upward trend.
Fundamentally , the main driver is bitcoin itself, with institutional demand for BTC ETFs staying strong. Large funds continue accumulating positions, while expectations of a softer Fed tone add pressure on the dollar, fueling capital inflows into crypto. This strengthens the bullish case for IBIT.
Tactical plan: watch $61.6–63.8 as the key entry zone. Holding above opens the path toward $69.3, followed by $76.5 and $85.6. The scenario breaks only if price falls below $61.
And let’s be honest: IBIT isn’t just a ticker - it’s the “accelerate bitcoin” button for your portfolio.
JBLU: Breakthrough and growth potentialAn analysis of JetBlue Airways (JBLU) shares on the daily chart indicates the formation of a bullish pattern with a clear breakout of the resistance level. After consolidation and a rebound from significant support levels, the price broke through the upper boundary of the descending triangle, which is confirmed by an increase in trading volume. This breakout opens the way to a target level around $6.95, which corresponds to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Technical analysis indicators also confirm the strengthening of the bullish momentum, pointing to favorable prospects for further growth. We expect the upward movement to continue, with the previous resistance zone acting as a key support level after the breakout. Given the current dynamics and technical signals, JBLU shares are of interest to investors seeking medium-term profits.
Gold Pullback Toward 3,510 as BRICS Demand and Dollar Weakness.Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,510 zone. Gold is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is retracing after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 3,510 — an important zone where buyers may look to step in and resume the upward trend.
Fundamentals: Geopolitical alignment among Russia, China, India, and North Korea strengthens the case for continued gold purchases by BRICS central banks. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has broken below 98.400 support and could retrace further to the downside, adding to gold’s bullish backdrop through negative correlation.
Trade safe,
Joe.
EURUSD – Recovery Opportunity from Strong SupportIn recent days, the US dollar has come under pressure as labor market data (JOLTS and ADP) came in weaker than expected. This has fueled expectations that the Fed may soon move toward cutting interest rates. Meanwhile, the euro has found support from signs of stability within the EU, giving EURUSD an edge for a potential rebound.
On the H4 chart, EURUSD is currently testing the rising trendline and the support zone around 1.1540. This area has acted as a strong bounce level multiple times in the past. If it holds, price could push back up to retest 1.1650 and potentially higher resistance levels. The EMA34 and EMA89 continue to provide dynamic support for the medium-term bullish structure.
XAUUSD: Preparing for a Short-Term Gold Correction?Hello traders, from my perspective, XAUUSD is currently influenced by a mix of fundamental and technical factors. Fundamentally, both the JOLTS Job Openings and ADP Non-Farm reports came in weaker than expected, indicating a slowdown in the U.S. labor market. This usually puts pressure on the USD and provides upward momentum for gold. However, after a strong continuous rally , gold is showing signs of needing a short-term correction to rebalance the market.
XAUUSD has surged from 3,480 to the 3,539 area and is now approaching the key resistance level around 3,600. Price action has moved too far from the EMAs and is clinging tightly to the rising trendline , which often triggers short-term profit-taking pressure. The nearest support level sits at 3,500.
In the short term, a reasonable strategy is to look for sell opportunities around the 3,600 resistance zone, targeting a pullback toward 3,500. If this level fails to hold, the downside could extend to even lower levels.
Nevertheless, it’s important to note that the broader trend remains bullish; therefore, this decline should be viewed as a short-term correction before gold potentially regains momentum at stronger support areas.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Breakout!
With a strong bullish rally, WTI Crude Oil violated a significant
daily resistance cluster yesterday.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose an important
demand zone now.
I will expect a bullish continuation from that.
Next resistance - 66.6
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XAUUSD (GOLD) BREAKDOWN OR BOUNCE FROM 3469Hi trader's
Gold has recently broken above its resistance and is now retesting the same levels from below. At the same time, the market structure is hinting at the formation of a possible Head & Shoulders pattern – a well-known reversal setup.
Currently, Gold is holding near important levels:
Support 1: 3469 – This is the immediate level to watch.
Support 2: 3452 – 3448 zone, a deeper demand area where buyers may step in.
Supply Zone: 3510 – The next upside level if bullish momentum returns.
⚠️ If Gold breaks below 3469, it could confirm weakness and extend the move toward the second support area (3452–3448).
✅ On the other hand, if 3469 holds as support, the market may reject lower prices and continue bullish momentum toward the supply zone at 3510.
This setup highlights the importance of the 3469 level — it is acting as a decisive point between bearish continuation and bullish retracement
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❓ What’s your view on Gold at these levels?
BANKNIFTY 25 SEP 2025 53600 CE (15-min timeframe)CMP: ~₹960
RSI: ~41 (trying to recover from oversold zone)
Price is bouncing from support (~₹890–900) with strong volume.
Resistance is near ₹1,020–1,050 (EMA cluster).
📌 TradingView Post (short & crisp):
Buy above ₹965
🎯 Target: ₹1,020 / ₹1,080
⛔ Stop-loss: ₹890
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🏦 Traders bracing for a labor + Fed double header — ADP jobs and the Beige Book will steer rate-cut odds into Friday’s NFP.
📉 Stocks drifted Tuesday post-JOLTS miss — markets looking for confirmation of labor cooling.
💻 Tech earnings rotation continues — volatility in AMEX:XLK spilling into broader tape.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 7:00 AM — MBA Mortgage Applications
⏰ 🚩 8:15 AM — ADP Employment Report (Aug)
⏰ 10:00 AM — ISM Services PMI (Aug)
⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — Fed Beige Book
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #ADP #BeigeBook #Fed #labor #ISM #bonds #economy
BTCUSD: Selling Pressure Increases – Risk Toward 100,500 USDThe Bitcoin market is under heavy pressure following a series of negative headlines. Expectations of a Fed rate cut have weakened , and the stronger USD has driven capital out of crypto. BTC quickly dropped to around 108,035 USD. At the same time, ETF outflows and large-scale liquidations dragged the price down to a 7-week low , marking a nearly 12% drop from the recent peak. Notably, a whale dumping 24,000 BTC triggered a sharp flash crash, sending BTC plunging within just a few hours.
On the 12H chart, the downtrend is evident: BTC is capped by the descending trendline, while both short-term and long-term EMAs have turned lower. The most likely scenario is a technical rebound toward 109,500 USD before continuing its decline toward the major support at 100,500 USD.
Trading Strategy (for reference):
Prefer Sell on rally near 109,500 USD.
Stop-loss: above 112,000 USD.
Targets: 105,000 USD first, then 100,500 USD.
TradeCityPro | ARBUSDT Easiest Short Trigger!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s go for the analysis of Arbitrum (ARB/USDT), one of the favorite coins among airdrop hunters with great memories, and still one of the most popular DeFi tokens.
🌐 Overview of Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, let me remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section out of this part and made it a separate daily analysis as per your request, so we can discuss Bitcoin’s condition in more detail and analyze its charts and dominance separately.
This is the general Bitcoin dominance analysis that we promised to cover separately and analyze in longer time frames:
📈 On the 4H timeframe, ARB experienced a strong bullish wave. After breaking 0.4059 and moving out of the range box (0.36–0.40), it had a sharp rally reaching 0.6146.
❌ After rejection from this key weekly resistance, ARB formed a lower high and sharply corrected, eventually breaking below a resistance trendline.
📉 It has now reached the strong support at 0.4738, which also aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. According to Dow theory, the 50% level is also a very critical area, making this point an important PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone).
✅ For long positions: It’s still a bit early. With a trendline breakout you could attempt something, but personally, I’d wait for a higher high and higher low structure before going long.
⚠️ For short positions: The setup is much clearer. After breaking below 0.4738, we can open a short position targeting 0.4358, while keeping risk management in mind for opening positions.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
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