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Technical Analysis

$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 24, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 24, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Month-end positioning: Flows light as traders prep for Thursday’s 🚩 GDP + Jobless Claims. 💻 Mega-cap drift: Tech leadership remains central with $AAPL/ NASDAQ:NVDA volatility post-Powell. 💵 Rates + housing: Home affordability narrative continues to weigh on broader risk tone. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — New Home Sales (Aug) ⏰ 4:10 PM — San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speech ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #housing #Powell #economy #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SOL/USDT | Solana at $220.5 – Bulls Preparing for Next Rally!By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price started a correction and entered the $220 demand zone. After that, some buying pressure appeared, and SOL is now trading around $220.5. If the price can hold above this level, we can expect the start of the next bullish wave. The possible upside targets are $230, $242, $254, and $262. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
21
Introduction to a Trading System 1: Setting timeframes + bonusIntroduction to a Trading System: Setting Timeframes & Logarithmic Scaling This educational video is the first in the "Signal and Structure" series, where an experienced crypto trader with 5+ years in cryptocurrency and additional forex background shares their systematic approach to chart analysis and trading. Key Topics Covered: Logarithmic Scale Fundamentals - Why log scale is essential for cryptocurrency trading - How it provides better perspective on price movements across different time periods - Demonstrates using Bitcoin's price history how log scale reveals the true magnitude of moves and shows market maturation Strategic Timeframe Selection System - Introduces a unique 5-timeframe system based on dividing by 4: - Monthly (30 days) - the base unit - Weekly (≈30÷4 days) - 2-Day (≈week÷4) - 12-Hour (48 hours÷4) - 3-Hour (12÷4) Trading Philosophy - Emphasizes simplification over complexity in trading - Explains why using non-standard timeframes (2-day instead of daily) provides an edge - Discusses how higher timeframes show cleaner structure while lower timeframes display more chaos - Advocates for making trading easier by reducing noise and confusion Practical Insights - Higher timeframes (monthly/weekly) show more reliable patterns and are watched by institutional traders - Lower timeframes become increasingly chaotic but still contain tradeable patterns - The importance of stepping back to see the bigger picture in markets The instructor brings a unique perspective influenced by classic traders like Gann and Wyckoff, and has developed over 140 custom indicators for their trading system. The video sets the foundation for understanding market structure before diving into signals and trading strategies in future episodes.
Education
by StructureAndSignal
2
HBARUSDT – Support Retest Could Spark a BounceHBAR is currently retesting a key support zone between $0.22 and $0.23, an area that has acted as a strong demand level over the past few sessions. Despite some recent pullbacks, the broader structure remains bullish, and price action suggests buyers are still defending this zone. A successful hold here could lead to a short-term rally, with targets aligned to previous resistance levels. Risk is clearly defined, offering an attractive risk-to-reward setup for spot traders. 🔹 Trade Setup: • Entry Zone: $0.22 – $0.23 (Support zone) • Take Profit Targets: 🥇 $0.28 – $0.31 🥈 $0.36 – $0.40 • Stop Loss: Daily candle close below $0.21
Long
by Richtv_official
DRIFT Breakout Setup – Higher High + Retest in PlayDRIFT is showing strong bullish momentum after months of accumulation. The token has broken out, printed a higher high, and is now retesting the previous range high as support — a classic setup for continuation. With price hovering near the 21-day EMA, this zone could act as a launchpad if sentiment holds. The structure supports a potential leg higher, making this a high-reward, low-risk opportunity for swing traders. 🔹 Trade Setup Entry Zone: $0.68 – $0.72 Take Profit Targets: 🥇 $1.02 🥈 $1.27 🥉 $1.50 Stop Loss: Daily candle close below $0.60 📊 Keep an eye on volume confirmation and overall market sentiment. A clean bounce from this support zone could validate the setup. 📌 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below! 🔔 Follow for more crypto setups and technical insights.
Long
by Richtv_official
1
AAPL Approaches Key Resistance After Strong RallyApple’s share price has staged a sharp rebound in recent weeks, climbing above both the 50-day (225.78) and 200-day SMA (221.80). The sustained move higher has carried price into the 256–260 zone, where it is now testing a major horizontal resistance level established earlier this year. Momentum indicators reflect the strength of the rally but also highlight stretched conditions. The RSI sits at 75, signaling overbought territory, while the MACD remains firmly above its signal line, showing ongoing bullish momentum. These readings suggest strong buying pressure, though the risk of a pause or pullback near resistance should not be overlooked. A confirmed breakout above 260 would mark a significant technical shift, potentially resuming the broader uptrend, while failure to clear this level could see consolidation or a retracement back toward the short-term moving averages. -MW
NASDAQ:AAPL
by FOREX.com
USD/MXN Extends Decline Within Downward ChannelUSD/MXN continues to trade inside a well-defined descending channel that has contained price action since mid-April. The pair recently bounced from the lower boundary of the channel near 18.20, but remains capped by resistance around the 50-day SMA (18.63). The broader structure remains bearish as the 200-day SMA (19.57) continues to slope lower above price. Momentum indicators align with this view. The RSI is currently at 35, hovering near oversold territory but not yet signaling a clear reversal. The MACD remains in negative territory with the signal line above the MACD line, showing that bearish momentum is still intact despite the recent stabilization. If the channel persists, traders may monitor the upper boundary near 19.00 as resistance, while the 18.20 region serves as immediate support. A break beyond either side of the channel could indicate a potential shift in trend strength. -MW
by FOREX.com
USD/CHF Consolidation Within Downtrend ChannelUSD/CHF continues to trade within a descending channel, highlighting persistent downside pressure since breaking below the 0.8400 level earlier this year. Both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages slope lower, reinforcing the broader bearish structure. The MACD remains in negative territory with its signal line above the MACD line, suggesting momentum still leans to the downside. Similarly, RSI hovers near 43, below the neutral 50 mark, indicating that buyers have yet to regain control but without showing oversold conditions. Price action has recently tested the upper boundary of the channel but was unable to break above it, keeping the pair confined within its established range. Unless there is a decisive breakout from this structure, the technical picture favors ongoing consolidation within the bearish channel. -MW
by FOREX.com
Bitcoin Dominance at Channel Resistance – Reversal Ahead?Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has reached the top of its ascending channel around 58.5%, which is acting as a strong resistance. 🔹 Main Scenario (More Likely): A rejection from this resistance zone could trigger a pullback toward 57.8% – 58%, giving some relief to altcoins in the short term. 🔹 Alternative Scenario: If BTC.D manages to break and hold above 58.5%, the next upside target would be around 59%. ⚖️ Conclusion: • Current levels are risky for further upside. • Probability of a correction is higher. • This setup may favor altcoin outperformance if dominance drops.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CryptoPilot
Gold hits record 3,759 | Safe-haven flows surge back🟡 XAU/USD – 23/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News Today Gold surged nearly +2% , hitting a record $3,759/oz . Geopolitical tensions : Israel launched missiles into Lebanon, killing 5 (including 4 US citizens) → safe-haven demand rushed back into Gold. USD weakened , capital flowed out of stocks & bonds → strong support for precious metals. ETFs & speculators : heavy buying amplified the rally. Silver : jumped to its highest level in 14 years, reinforcing strength in the precious metals sector. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold is fueled by geopolitics, macro factors, and safe-haven demand. But after a hot rally, the big question: continue breaking highs or face sharp swings if the FED shifts tone? 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H45) Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) 3,771 – 3,787 (Fibo 0.5–0.618 confluence, ATH test zone) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Near support: 3,740 (previous high turned support) OB Dock: 3,717 – 3,723 Breakout Harbor: 3,689 – 3,691 Market Structure Gold broke out to Higher High around 3,755 – 3,759. Main trend remains bullish, but prone to volatility / pullback after a hot rally. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (trend-follow priority) Buy Zone 1 (OB) Entry: 3,717 – 3,723 SL: 3,707 TP: 3,725 – 3,730 – 3,735 – 3,740 – 3,750 Buy Zone 2 (Breakout Retest) Entry: 3,689 – 3,691 SL: 3,678 TP: 3,699 – 3,710 – 3,7xx ⚡ Sell (short-term scalp if overbought) Sell Zone (ATH test) Entry: 3,783 – 3,785 SL: 3,795 TP: 3,759 – 3,740 – 3,717 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The geopolitical storm pushed the Golden sails past 3,759. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,717 – 3,689) is the safe dock for sailors to board the northbound trend. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,771 – 3,787) may raise heavy waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. The main voyage remains bullish, but after a hot rally, sailors must keep a firm hand on the helm to avoid being thrown off by choppy swings.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
GBPUSD – Is the Downtrend Returning?The latest UK PMI data continues to paint a bleak picture: manufacturing remains below the 50 threshold, while services are forecast to decline compared to the previous period. This weakens confidence in the GBP, adding further downward pressure on GBPUSD. On the chart, GBPUSD has broken a key dynamic support structure and is now retesting the broken trendline around 1.3550. This newly formed resistance zone is likely to cap price action. If it fails to break above this level, the bearish scenario is expected to continue. The next target for sellers lies at 1.3340, which aligns with a previous strong support area and serves as a key equilibrium level on the higher timeframe. Conclusion: With weak fundamentals and a bearish technical structure, the priority scenario is for GBPUSD to remain under pressure and continue lower. Wishing you successful trades!
Short
by ShadowReaper_
2
EURUSD – Uptrend Remains Intact?Hello everyone, let’s take a look at the chart. EURUSD is maintaining its bullish structure, with the trendline being respected multiple times. Each touch of support has led to a strong rebound, showing that buying pressure remains dominant. Currently, the 1.1730 zone acts as a key support. If this level holds, EURUSD is likely to continue consolidating before breaking higher. The next target lies at 1.1920, a strong resistance both technically and psychologically. Conclusion: EURUSD remains in a clear uptrend. As long as the trendline and the 1.1730 support are not broken, the preferred scenario is for price to move higher, with a short-term target at 1.1920.
Long
by ShadowReaper_
11
XAUUSD: A New Launchpad from the 3,700 ZoneHello traders, the gold market is entering an intense phase as U.S. economic data signals a slowdown. The Flash Manufacturing PMI (51.8 vs. 53.0 prior) and Flash Services PMI (53.8 vs. 54.5 prior) both declined, weakening the USD and providing momentum for gold, the ultimate safe-haven asset. On the chart, XAUUSD continues to move within a steady ascending channel, with the 3,700 zone acting as a key support level. If this level holds, gold could push higher toward the 3,750 target, which stands as both a technical resistance and a strong psychological barrier. However, the spotlight remains on Fed Chair Powell’s upcoming remarks. A dovish tone could fuel a breakout for gold, while a hawkish stance may trigger a short-term pullback before resuming the broader uptrend. Bottom line: Gold has the advantage, and the big question is – does XAUUSD have enough momentum to conquer 3,750 and ignite a powerful new rally?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShadowReaper_
6
Equinox Gold 4H Chart Outlook Bullish ImpulseHere is my current take on AMEX:EQX Equinox Gold Corp. The 4H chart shows an unfolding bullish impulse. I hold this stock and have added to this position numerous times as shown on the chart. As the outlook suggest we could see a pull back in green wave iv at some point, which could provide another potential point to add to the allocation once it has played out. It's correlation to gold hasn't been very strong recently, but that can always change, I'm of the opinion that gold is overdue a pull back, I have linked one potential outlook on OANDA:XAUUSD , I have some other variations which I will work to post out soon. so keeping a close eye on Gold at these levels. More comments on the chart.
TSX:EQXLong
by TheWaveCave
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 23, 2025 🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 23, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Post-Fed digestion: Equities and bonds still recalibrating after last week’s SEP + Powell tone. 💻 Mega-cap watch: Tech + AI flows continue to drive AMEX:XLK sentiment. 🌐 Central bank chatter: A busy Fed speaker slate gives extra volatility into month-end. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 9:00 AM — Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman speech ⏰ 🚩 9:45 AM — S&P Global Flash PMIs (Sep) — Services & Manufacturing ⏰ 10:00 AM — Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speech ⏰ 🚩 12:35 PM — Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Powell #Fed #PMI #economy #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Cocoa Futures (ICE) – Long Trade Setup🍫 Cocoa Futures (ICE) – Long Trade Setup Direction: Long Bias Contract: Cocoa (NY / ICE) Current Price: ~7,437 🔍 Technical Setup Price has been consolidating after the sharp run-up and has now pulled back into a key long-term trendline (yellow support). A downtrend channel breakout is forming – if price clears this, it opens the door to a relief rally. I’m looking for price to push back toward the 8,500–9,000 zone as a first target (previous structure resistance). EMA cross (9 vs 19) is flattening, signaling potential shift in momentum. 📊 COT & Sentiment Speculators remain net long in cocoa, reflecting continued bullish sentiment. Commercials (hedgers) are still short, but that’s typical for producers – nothing extreme. Fundamentals remain tight: Black pod disease in Cameroon hitting yields. Stockpiles in London/NY at multi-year lows. Consumer demand holding up despite high prices. This alignment supports a bullish recovery if technicals confirm. 🎯 Trade Plan Entry: Current levels around 7,400–7,500, scaling in on confirmation. Target 1: 8,500 (previous resistance zone). Target 2: 9,000+ if momentum extends. Stop Loss: Below 7,000 to protect against breakdown. Risk/Reward: ~1:2 setup. ⚠️ Risks Stronger-than-expected supply recovery in Ivory Coast/Ghana. Weak grind demand data (sign of demand destruction). Speculators cutting long positions aggressively. ✅ Conclusion Cocoa has pulled back into long-term support, with positioning and fundamentals still supportive of higher prices. If the descending trendline breaks, I’m positioning for a long swing toward 8,500–9,000. This cocoa strategy has a profitability rate of 66% and average 9.4% gain on a long position.
ICEUS:CC1!Long
by AlphaTurtle
2
USDT Dominance Hits Major Resistance – What’s Next for Crypto?📊 On the 4H timeframe, USDT dominance (USDT.D) is approaching the 4.60% – 4.70% resistance zone, a level that has repeatedly triggered strong rejections in the past. 🔹 Primary Scenario A rejection from this resistance is the more likely outcome. If confirmed, it could signal a bullish move for Bitcoin and altcoins as capital flows back into risk assets. 🔹 Alternative Scenario If USDT.D manages to break and hold above 4.70%, this would indicate risk-off behavior in the market, potentially leading to increased selling pressure on crypto assets. ⚖️ Summary: • 🔻 Rejection at resistance → Positive signal for crypto rally • 🔺 Break & hold above 4.70% → Warning of further downside in crypto
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by CryptoPilot
1