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Technical Analysis

US Dollar Flexes, Look For on 99.05Sunday War Map – A weekly candle this strong leaves a mark. The dollar printed a 96.77 low to 98.18 high—a full-bodied bullish bar that demands respect. Macro This week is stacked with U.S. data that can shake the pullback narrative: Tue 30 Sep – JOLTS & Consumer Confidence: first look at hiring demand and household mood. Wed 1 Oct – ISM Manufacturing PMI: factory pulse and price pressures. Thu 2 Oct – Durable Goods & Trade Data: capital-expenditure clues. Fri 3 Oct – Non-Farm Payrolls & Hourly Earnings: the heavyweight. A hot jobs print could delay the December Fed-cut story (futures still price ~70% odds). Technical Targets Expect an early-week pullback as traders digest that massive weekly bar. Two liquidity pools we’ve tracked for months were cleared last week; two upside targets still in play 98.2 and 98.3 remain before the chart reaches a true “bearish-range discount.” Keep eyes on the 99.05 volume node—a well-defined supply zone where cross-market reactions (EUR, gold, crypto) could spike. The dollar controls the tempo. Wait for the market to come to your levels; don’t chase the last candle.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
“ICICI Bank: Where Smart Money Steps InICICI Bank has been trading inside a long-term uptrend channel for the past 3 years. Within this structure, two clear zones are visible: Higher Value Area (Supply Zone): Sellers dominate → price faces rejection here. Lower Value Area (Demand Zone): Buyers dominate → price consistently bounces from here. 👉 Every time price approaches the Lower Value Area around 15 times : (1) Buyers step in aggressively, (2) Price reverses strongly, (3) Risk–Reward becomes highly favorable. (4) This makes the current setup a good accumulation point. Now once again, price is testing the Strong Demand Zone (₹1340–1320). Risk–Reward Setup Buy Zone: ₹1340–1320 Immediate Resistance: ₹1390–1400 Upside Target: ₹1500–1550 (upper channel boundary) Risk: Breakdown below ₹1320 may lead to ₹1200. Fundamental Strength ✔️ Healthy Balance Sheet: Strong capital adequacy, well-managed NPAs. ✔️ Consistent Profit Growth: Strong momentum in NII & PAT over the years. ✔️ Retail & Digital Leadership: Leading share in retail loans + strong digital adoption. ✔️ Sector Tailwind: Indian banking credit growth projected at 14–16%, a positive for ICICI. ✔️ Valuation Comfort: Reasonable PE & PB compared to peers (HDFC Bank, Axis Bank).
NSE:ICICIBANKLong
by rahul25
4
EURGBP Eyes 0.86700 Support for Potential BounceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around the 0.86700 zone. EURGBP is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader trend remains bullish, with the current pullback potentially offering fresh entry opportunities. Key level in focus: 0.86700 — a significant support zone where buyers may look to rejoin the trend. Fundamentals: Ongoing EUR resilience against GBP could help support a continuation higher if this level holds. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
4
BMNR 4H – cup with handle or champagne glass?The current technical setup on BMNR (4H) shows a potential “cup with handle” structure forming within a clear accumulation zone. Price is holding above both the MA50 and MA200, which are positioned below and confirm buyers’ control. The 4H trendline acts as dynamic support, while the 48–50 zone remains the key entry area. The upside potential extends toward 97.50, making this setup attractive for a medium-term outlook. Volume support during the last bounce favors the bullish case, and RSI recovery from oversold levels suggests renewed demand. From a fundamental standpoint, BMNR is still tied to the volatility of speculative growth stocks, yet growing investor appetite for niche digital tech solutions and broader market optimism amid potential rate cuts provide a tailwind. Tactical plan: accumulation from the 48–50 buy zone, with targets at 71.7, 86.2, and a final destination at 97.5. The structure looks like a champagne glass - now it’s just a matter of waiting for the toast at higher resistance.
AMEX:BMNRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Cognex (CGNX) – Downtrend Breakout + Double Bottom ConfirmationOn the Weekly timeframe , NASDAQ:CGNX is showing strong bullish technical signals: The long-term downtrend line has been broken both on body and shadow, confirmed with high volume . The last weekly candle is forming near a retest, while on the Daily chart, a strong bullish candle confirms buyers stepping in. A clear Double Bottom pattern has formed, with the neckline overlapping the downtrend line, providing stronger confirmation. Price is trading above EMA50 & EMA100 , with EMA50 attempting a bullish cross over EMA100. The stock has also broken through local resistance , opening the way for higher targets. MACD is bullish, showing positive momentum. RSI is already inside the overbought zone. However, since no divergence is present, this could still support bullish continuation, though short-term pullbacks are possible. Key Levels: If the breakout and retest confirm, the first target is the nearby resistance zone. A further move towards the next resistance level (~$72–73) is possible if momentum sustains. Important Note: This analysis is not a buy/sell signal , but rather an educational outlook. While technicals are bullish, traders should remain cautious as RSI is in the overbought zone, where short-term corrections are common. (For educational purposes only, not financial advice.)
NASDAQ:CGNXLong
by Binhuseyn
BULL 4H - Bulls are back in town?On the 4H chart, the setup looks solid: a falling wedge breakout with both MA50 and MA200 left below the price. Buyers stepped in with volume, confirming interest in the move. The first target sits around $18.35, and if momentum continues, the next checkpoints are $22 and $27.6. From a fundamental angle, Webull keeps expanding its client base and strengthening its position in the competitive brokerage market. With retail trading demand still alive, recovery scenarios for the stock look plausible. The tactical play is simple: as long as the price stays above the moving averages, bulls are in control. Still, watch for pullbacks - markets love to test support after breakouts. And yes, the ticker “BULL” practically screams the trend. Just make sure you don’t treat it like a real bull - those don’t care about targets.
NASDAQ:BULLLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Adobe (ADBE) – Double Bottom + EMA50 Breakout PotentialOn the Daily timeframe, NASDAQ:ADBE is showing early signs of strength: A Double Bottom pattern has formed, often seen as a bullish reversal signal. RSI divergence was present at the pattern lows, and RSI has broken above its trendline, suggesting momentum shift. Price closed above the EMA50 , an important technical milestone. MACD is in positive territory, supporting a potential continuation upward. Volume has not spiked dramatically, but it is gradually increasing compared to recent history. Key Levels: If the downtrend resistance line is broken and price retests neckline/downtrend area successfully, the pattern projects a move at least towards the next local resistance zone. Confirmation is crucial: a breakout without retest can be a false signal. Important Note: This analysis is not a buy/sell signal. It highlights potential upside if key technical levels are broken and confirmed. Patience for breakout + retest may provide a clearer setup. (For educational purposes only, not financial advice.)
NASDAQ:ADBELong
by Binhuseyn
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) – Triangle Breakdown with Heavy VolumeOn the Weekly timeframe, KDP has broken down from a Triangle pattern , with price also pushing below the first major support zone while volume increased. Typically, Triangle patterns project a move equal to the triangle’s widest range. Based on this, the chart suggests a possible continuation towards the $18–20 zone. There is also a notable gap area around $15, which could act as a magnet for price if selling pressure continues. RSI is already oversold territory, and MACD is deep in negative momentum. This may result in a short-term bounce or correction upward before continuing the downside move. However, it’s important to remember that patterns do not always play out fully — sometimes reversals occur before reaching the projected target. Key Takeaway: This analysis is not a call to short the stock. It is a cautionary outlook for those considering BUY positions. Given the strong breakdown and technical signals, it may be wiser to remain patient until stronger signs of reversal appear. (For educational purposes only, not financial advice.)
NASDAQ:KDPShort
by Binhuseyn
I'm still long biased @ $XAUUSD (but deleveraging)Technical View A potential bullish cup & handle pattern is forming, often seen as a continuation signal. Price has already broken out of a bearish channel, which suggests that buyers have taken control. Triangle and wedge formations point to pressure building upward. The broader macro channel remains intact, so the larger trend has not been broken. Clear invalidation levels are visible near 3,730 and 3,612, which provides trade structure from a technical perspective. Overall, the technical picture continues to lean bullish. Macro View US CPI remains sticky while jobless claims are softening, hinting at stagflation dynamics. The Federal Reserve is under pressure to cut rates, with real interest rates already negative. Historically, when real rates are negative, gold tends to outperform bonds as a store of value. Global central banks remain net buyers of gold as they diversify away from Treasuries. This combination is similar to the 1970s stagflation backdrop: falling rates with inflation uncertainty often encouraged capital flows into gold. Opinion Technicals suggest upward momentum. Macro factors also support a bullish bias. The main caveat is that positioning in gold is already heavy, which can lead to sharp short-term volatility. Directionally, however, the long bias aligns with both the charts and the macro backdrop. Disclaimer This post reflects only my personal market observations and opinions, shared for educational and informational purposes. It should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendation, or a call to action. Trading financial markets involves risk, and you should carefully assess your own situation and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. Past performance or historical patterns do not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional if needed.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by TheAlphaGroup
CUDISUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.07366The situation here looks quite obvious: the BINANCE:CUDISUSDT.P is being slammed down hard. There was an attempt to buy the dip, which led to a strong rally, but that rally was completely engulfed. Now the price is once again near its all-time low. The fact that the decline continued after the failed rally clearly indicates a complete absence of buyers. Key factors for this scenario Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Liquidity grab (false move against the trend) Volatility contraction on approach Momentum stall at the level Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
GOLD 1H - flag breakout confirms bullish momentumOn the 1H chart, gold has completed a bullish flag formation and already broken out to the upside. Key retest levels sit at 3748 and 3730, where buyers may confirm control. With EMA50 and EMA200 holding below, structure remains bullish. RSI has cooled off, supporting a potential continuation move. Fundamentally , dollar weakness and Fed uncertainty sustain safe-haven demand. Tactical plan: watch for price reaction on a possible retest of 3748–3730, as buyer interest here could launch a push toward 3820–3830. The breakout has already happened - now gold needs confirmation to extend the rally.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
SOLUSDT 1D - Bulls back in control with Golden Cross and channelOn the daily chart, SOLUSDT is forming a bullish continuation structure. After the Golden Cross (MA50 crossing MA200), the price is now pulling back toward the midline of the ascending channel and the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 166.38. This confluence with the broken trendline and 200 EMA makes this zone a prime technical area of interest. Support: 166.38 (0.5 Fibo), EMA200 (161.77), broken trendline Resistance: 182.84–189.67 (Fibo 0.705–0.79), 206.54, target - 255.93 (Fibo 1.618) This retracement looks healthy, supported by higher volume during the prior bullish leg. As long as the 166.38–161.77 zone holds, continuation toward 206.54 and potentially 255.93 is on the table. Fundamentally, Solana remains a key L1 narrative with strong traction in DePIN and AI-linked dApps. The rising TVL and investor sentiment support the trend. Watch price action around 166 for confirmation - this is the battleground.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold–Consolidation Before Next Move | Breakout or Retest?Gold is trading around 3,773 after a strong rally, now moving in a consolidation range. Immediate resistance sits in the 3,790–3,800 zone, where bulls need a breakout for further upside momentum. On the downside, key supports are marked at 3,763 and 3,747. If price holds above these supports, we could see another bullish leg higher. A clean break below 3,747 may open the way toward deeper support at 3,720. Currently, the market is in a decision zone — the next breakout will confirm the short-term direction. 👉 Do you expect Gold to break higher, or retest deeper supports first? Share your view in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LUCIFER_EARNING_CLUB
1
USDT Dominance at a Critical Turning Point–Will Correction BeginIn my previous analysis, I highlighted that USDT dominance had likely completed a 5-wave Elliott structure around 4.60%–4.65%, suggesting that a corrective ABC decline could follow. That call played out accurately, with dominance stalling right at the projected resistance zone. 🔎 Current Update: • Price has now hit the top of the larger descending channel as well as the upper boundary of the short-term rising channel → creating a confluence resistance near 4.70%. • This level remains a high-probability reversal zone. 📊 Scenarios: • 🔻 Bearish (More Likely): Rejection from 4.65%–4.70% could confirm the corrective ABC pattern, targeting 4.30%–4.20% next. 👉 This would signal capital rotation back into crypto & altcoins. • 🟢 Bullish (Alternative): A confirmed breakout above 4.70% would open the door toward 4.90%, extending pressure on the crypto market. ⸻ 📌 Conclusion: Given the technical confluence, the odds still favor a pullback in USDT dominance, which could give altcoins some room to breathe in the coming sessions.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by CryptoPilot
1
God Candle on SQD Entering Its Next Era After a massive breakout from sub-$0.10 levels, $SQD has rallied over 100% in 24h, fueled by growing adoption news and upcoming staking/rewards utility. Chart Setup Strong parabolic move with volume confirming trend. Local top printed around $0.28 before sharp rejection → healthy cooling phase now around $0.20 support zone. Key support: $0.20 psychological + breakout retest. Resistance: $0.25–$0.28 range (previous rejection zone). Scenarios Holding above $0.20 could set up a higher low → continuation toward $0.30+. Failure to hold $0.20 may trigger a deeper retrace into $0.16–$0.18 accumulation zone before the next leg. Narrative Catalyst SubSquid isn’t just hype – it’s solving blockchain data infra across Solana, Ethereum, Polkadot & more. With 100M+ daily API calls, 70+ projects, and staking about to go live, token demand could accelerate alongside ecosystem adoption. 📌 Outlook Near term → consolidation after vertical run. Mid term → continuation likely as adoption narrative + staking kick in. Long term → if SubSquid becomes the “AWS of Web3 data,” today’s moves may just be the beginning.
Long
by Crypto_Meehow
BTC: Reclaim 110.4–111.1k or lose 108.7k — the pivot__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is in a corrective phase after the 117–124k top, still holding the HTF demand at 108,713–107,286. Price is highly level‑driven, with a mild risk‑off tone capping rebounds near 110.4–111.1k. Momentum: 📉 Slightly bearish below 110,402–111,135, with a low‑range structure holding above 108,713. Key levels: • Resistances (1H/4H/1D) : 110,402–111,135 (major lid), 114,471, 117,971. • Supports (12H/1D/1W) : 108,713–107,286 (demand zone), 98,330 (weekly base). Volumes: Very high on the sell‑leg in 4H/2H/1H; normal to moderate on 1D. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H filters stay up, while 6H/4H/2H lean down; 1H/30m/15m show tactical long windows on support. A reclaim of 110.4–111.1k would align TFs higher. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Reading NEUTRAL SELL → confirms capped rebounds and slightly contradicts the HTF up filter. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic stance: HTF trend still up but fading; stay opportunistic and disciplined around key levels. Global bias: Neutral‑bearish below 110,402–111,135; bias invalidated if a daily close above 111,135 holds. Opportunities: • Reclaim buy: Go long on breakout + held retest of 110,402 toward 111,135, targeting 114,471 next. • Tactical sell: Fade clean rejections at 110,402/111,135 if risk‑off persists, targeting 109.0k then 108,713. • Breakdown sell: Short confirmed loss of 108,713 (≥2 closes + failed retest) toward 107,286. Risk zones / invalidations: • A break of 108,713 likely opens 107,286 and raises downside momentum risk. • Reclaim of 111,135 invalidates tactical shorts and unlocks 114,471. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): • PCE in line: supports “higher‑for‑longer” and a firm USD → mild headwind. • Fed “data‑dependent”: restrictive but flexible; market guided by levels. • Spot ETFs: negative daily flow, 7‑day near neutral → cautious near term, MT adoption intact. Action plan: • Long (reclaim): Entry 110,450–110,650 / Stop < 108,713 / TP1 111,135, TP2 114,471, TP3 117,971 / R:R ~2–3. • Short (rejection): Entry 110,100–110,300 / Stop > 111,135 / TP1 109,000, TP2 108,713, TP3 107,286 / R:R ~1.8–2.5. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall, HTFs remain constructive while MTF/intraday manage a base‑building range under nearby resistance. 1D/12H: Up filters softening; 108,713–107,286 defended; a reclaim above 111,135 would target 114,471. 6H/4H/2H: Down sequences with notable sell volume; 110,402 caps rebounds; loss of 108,713 likely opens 107,286. 1H/30m/15m: Tactical long windows on support (absorption/wicks), yet need a sustained push >110,402; otherwise the low range persists. Major divergences/confluences: HTF support confluence (108,713–107,286) vs mild risk‑off impulse; clearing 110.4–111.1k aligns TFs higher. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is slightly constraining but not shocking, while on‑chain/flows set the tactical pivot. Macro events: • PCE in line and firm USD: reinforce “higher‑for‑longer” → mild risk‑off bias. • Fed data‑dependent: restrictive yet flexible; elevated sensitivity to levels. • New US tariffs: potential near‑term inflation impulse → possible risk‑off spillovers. Bitcoin analysis: • STH Cost Basis ~109.5–111k: a key psychological/technical pivot; fast regain fits bull‑market behavior if held. • Options/futures: post‑expiry “cleanup” and positioning reset; snapbacks likely if levels are reclaimed. • ETFs: daily outflows, 7‑day near neutral; MT adoption intact, but caution short term. On-chain data: • Sentiment washed out (low Fear & Greed) with improving hashrate: structurally supportive backdrop. • Stablecoins: recent issuance indicates “dry powder,” not guaranteed to deploy. Expected impact: Without a reclaim of 110.4–111.1k, mild risk‑off weighs; above it, MT/flow confluence favors a squeeze toward ~114.5k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is basing in a low range atop HTF supports, with a mild macro headwind. - Overall trend: neutral‑bearish below 110.4–111.1k, yet 12H/1D filters remain up. - Most relevant setup: reclaim buy above 110.4–111.1k toward 114.5k; conversely, loss of 108.7k targets 107.3k. - One key macro: PCE in line and a data‑dependent Fed keep a mild risk‑off tone. Let the levels lead: wait for a confirmed reclaim above 110.4–111.1k or a breakdown of 108.7k before committing risk. ⚖️
Long
by Ox_kali
EUR/USD Mid-Range HoldThis week’s price action has done its job Two recent highs were taken out after the massive bull-back we mapped. First targets on the cross pairs are still open, so I’m standing by into the weekend—no new adds here. Right now EUR/USD sits mid-range. Bias remains lower if the dollar keeps its bid, but I’ll let next week’s closes confirm. Fresh Brookings research this week tied the dollar’s safe-haven status directly to U.S. trade policy. Even with the tariff drama earlier this year, current rates (≈17–18%) stay well below the 26% “tipping point,” leaving the us dollar reserve role intact. Fed Chair Powell’s recent remark that U.S. equities are “fairly highly valued” only adds to the cautious tone that supports the dollar. Next Week’s Data to Watch Tue – U.S. Consumer Confidence Wed – Eurozone CPI Flash Thu – U.S. Q2 GDP Final Fri – U.S. PCE Price Index & Personal Income/Spending Stronger U.S. numbers here would reinforce the dollar’s strength and keep pressure on EUR/USD.
Short
by CORE5DAN
GBPCHF: Bullish After the News 🇬🇧🇨🇭 There is a high chance that GBPCHF will continue rising, following a strong bullish reaction to US news today. The market completed an accumulation on a key support and a formation of a bullish imbalance candle indicates clear strength. Goal - 1.0703 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
IPUSDT: short setup from daily support at 8.378A very sharp decline in the BINANCE:IPUSDT.P was stopped at the 8.414 level. Usually, the natural reaction to such a drop is a correction, but we are not observing one here. It is precisely this lack of a correction that is drawing my attention. On the downside (for a short scenario), there is a consolidation zone that formed from Aug 30th to Sept 7th, which is a heavy area that could be difficult to break through. Additionally, the asset has already covered a significant distance today, and there might simply not be enough energy left for a breakout. Therefore, I will be watching very closely how exactly the price approaches this level. Key factors for this scenario Correlation with the market Volatility contraction on approach Momentum stall at the level No reaction after a false break Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
2
PCE Core Drops, Is XAUUSD Ready to Explode?Hello traders! Today, I'll share with you a detailed analysis of XAUUSD, combining important economic news and the current market trend . The US core PCE index for this month is forecasted at 0.2%, lower than the previous 0.3%, indicating a decrease in inflation. This could lead the Fed to maintain low interest rates , which is favorable for gold. When interest rates are low, holding gold becomes cheaper, thus boosting demand and driving gold prices higher . The XAUUSD chart shows a strong upward trend within the price channel. Gold is trading in an ascending channel , with support at 3,715.000 and a target at 3,800.000 . If support holds, the price of gold may continue to rise to higher levels. With support from both fundamental and technical factors , the upward trend of XAUUSD is currently very strong. Wishing you successful trades and always finding great opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShadowReaper_
3
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Intraday Confirmation A quick follow-up for the yesterday's analysis on WTI Crude Oil. The price went up as I predicted. The market managed to violate a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame, providing a strong intraday confirmation. The price will likely grow more and reach 65.58 level after a completion of a retracement. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FX:USOILLong
by VasilyTrader
1