CADJPY: Another Trap?! 🇨🇦🇯🇵
One of the setups that we discussed on a live stream today is on CADJPY.
It looks like we have a confirmed bearish trap here,
and the price is steadily recovering after a false violation of a key support.
I expect a rise at least to 109.08 level now.
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Technical Analysis
DXY Approaching 98.900 — Weak Labor Market Could Push Fed DovishHey Traders, in today’s trading session we’re monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.900 zone.
The index continues to trade within a descending channel and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the upper boundary near 98.900, which aligns with channel resistance.
Fundamentals: Recent data continues to show signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, with job growth slowing and unemployment ticking higher. This softening backdrop increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish stance in upcoming meetings, potentially weighing further on the dollar.
Next move: Watching for bearish confirmations around the 98.900 zone — rejection here could resume the broader downtrend.
💬 What’s your outlook on the Fed’s next move? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
ASTER — OB Tap → WCL Retrace → Macro DownASTER is forming a clean ABC correction within a larger bearish structure. Price hasn’t yet tapped the order block — I expect a final dip to complete the C-leg before retracing toward the WCL zone. From there, the broader bearish wave should resume.
However, if Bitcoin continues its upward expansion, correlations could invalidate this structure and pull ASTER higher, overriding the current wave bias.
High-timeframe trend stays bearish, but intent always belongs to the present.
Strengths:
• Fractal alignment between macro and micro waves.
• Logical liquidity flow between OB and WCL.
• Flexible bias — corrective long, then macro short continuation.
Weaknesses:
• Requires precise OB tap and strong reaction.
• Bitcoin-driven expansion could neutralize bearish context.
• LTF volatility may distort confirmation signals.
SmellyTaz — decoding chaos
EURAUD: Time to Grow? 🇪🇺🇦🇺
EURAUD is going to fill a gap down opening soon.
I see a strong bullish confirmation with a breakout
of an intraday resistance on a 4H time frame.
Expect a rise at least to 1.482 level.
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LAURUSLABS: 4H Chart Reversal | Target 980-1,000BUY Setup 💊
Entry: ₹924-930 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹963-970
Target 2: ₹980-990
Target 3: ₹1,000+ (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹902
Technical Rationale:
Breaking above key resistance at 925 level with momentum
Strong recovery from recent dip with +0.24% gain
4-hour chart showing bullish reversal pattern
Price reclaiming position above both EMAs
W-pattern (double bottom) formation visible - bullish reversal
RSI trending upward around 70, showing momentum
Volume at 1.35M supporting the breakout
Clear support established at 902 level
Multiple resistance levels: 950, 963, 980, 1,000
Pharma sector showing resilience
Breaking above previous high at 950 zone
Risk-Reward: Good 1:3+ ratio
Pattern: Double bottom/W-pattern breakout - classic bullish reversal on 4H timeframe
Strategy: Intraday to short-term swing - Book 35% at T1 (965), 35% at T2 (985), trail remaining with SL at 930 after T1
Key Levels:
Breakout Zone: 925 (now support)
Strong Resistance: 950, 963, 980, 1,000
Critical Support: 902, 875
For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered. 4H chart analysis for short-term trades. Watch 902 support closely. Conduct your own research before investing.
EURGBP Is Looking For A Larger RecoveryEURGBP Is Looking For A Larger Recovery with a complex correction from a technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
EURGBP has turned around strongly this year and even broke above the downward channel connected from the 2023 highs. This suggests that wave C has ended at the lower side of a very big triangle, and the pair could still be recovering within subwave D. It may eventually reach the upper side of the pattern around 0.89 within W-X-Y formation, where wave Y can now be in play; ideally it will reach higher prices soon with break out from current triangle.
EURAUD – structure breathes in waves.Price retraces toward a clean order block within a discount zone after a strong impulsive leg. Correction is forming a precise ABC pattern, likely to complete near 1.767 before the next wave resumes toward 1.835.
Strengths:
Wave symmetry, confluence with order block, and IDM liquidity structure all align. Setup maintains bullish context from higher timeframe while defining risk clearly below C.
Weaknesses:
Momentum confirmation pending; daily RSI could signal exhaustion if recovery stalls. EUR fundamentals remain sensitive to data shocks that can distort technical structure.
SmellyTaz — decoding chaos.
UPS 1W - delivery of a trend reversal is on the way?On the weekly chart, UPS is holding strong around the $82–90 support zone - a key level where buyers historically step in. The structure suggests the end of the long corrective channel and the potential start of a bullish reversal.
Technically, a confirmed breakout above the channel could trigger momentum toward $158, $176, and $202 - attractive targets for mid-term traders.
From a fundamental standpoint, UPS continues to streamline operations, improve automation, and prepare for peak season shipping. Growing e-commerce volumes and steady fuel costs may support stronger margins ahead. If earnings start to reflect these improvements, the stock could easily shift gears into a sustainable uptrend.
* UPS announced that it will report its Q3 results on October 28, 2025.
* The company is introducing increased seasonal charges and shipping rates starting October 26 ahead of the holiday season, which may temporarily reduce demand.
* UPS also announced plans to equip 5,000 of its trucks with air conditioning in the hottest regions of the US, a step to improve working conditions but at a cost.
* The high dividend yield (~7.5%) raises questions about sustainability, as the payout is almost equal to free cash flow.
Tactical play: as long as $82–90 holds, bulls have the initiative. Once the breakout is confirmed - the next big delivery might just be profits.
Gold Compresses Before the Fed Storm– Sideways or a Sudden Drop?Good day, fellow traders,
Looking at the current XAUUSD chart, this is truly a highly sensitive phase. After last week’s sharp decline, gold has been narrowing its range within a contracting triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, with lower highs and higher lows — a clear sign that the market is “building pressure” before a potential breakout.
At the moment, price is hovering around 4,070 USD/oz, just below the EMA34 and EMA89 lines — indicating that sellers still hold a slight upper hand. The key support zone lies around 4,040, while the strong resistance level sits near 4,220, where a bearish reaction could occur if price retests that zone.
Combining this with the latest news — the USD continues to strengthen while the market awaits the upcoming FOMC meeting — I lean toward a sideways-to-slightly-bearish scenario over the next 24 hours. Price could fluctuate between 4,060–4,100, then drift lower to retest 4,040 or even 3,950, unless the Fed delivers an unexpectedly dovish tone.
In summary, XAUUSD is in a compression phase , awaiting a major catalyst. Without fresh bullish factors, the short-term trend remains sideways-bearish, with mild downside risk before any potential technical rebound.
Senores Pharma: Cup & Handle Breakout! Target 803+BUY Setup 💊
Entry: ₹768-775 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹787-795
Target 2: ₹803-810
Target 3: ₹830+ (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹752
Technical Rationale:
Powerful breakout from rectangular consolidation (740-770)
Strong bullish momentum with +3.10% surge today
Breaking above resistance zone with conviction
Cup and Handle pattern visible - classic bullish continuation
Price breaking above descending trendline (pink shaded area)
Rising above both EMAs indicating trend reversal
High volume (378.97K) confirming breakout strength
RSI spiking above 60, showing momentum building
Clear support established at 755-760 level
Multiple resistance levels marked: 771, 787, 803
Ascending triangle formation breakout
Risk-Reward: Excellent 1:3+ ratio
Pattern: Cup & Handle + Ascending Triangle breakout - highly reliable bullish signals combined
Strategy: Short to medium-term swing - Book 30% at T1 (790), 35% at T2 (805), trail remaining with SL at 770 after T1
Key Levels:
Breakout Zone: 771 (now support)
Strong Resistance: 787, 803
Support: 755, 752, 740
Sector: Pharma sector showing strength amid market volatility
For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered. Multiple bullish patterns converging - strong setup but manage risk. Conduct your own research before investing.Retry
IBIT: ready for liftoffOn the daily chart, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) trades at $62.97, testing the key 0.705–0.79 Fibo zone ($61.63–63.87). This area marks a breakout and retest line, forming a clear buy zone. The technical structure remains bullish: after breaking out and pulling back, price holds potential to move toward $69.39, with Fibo extensions targeting $76.54 and $85.63. Volumes confirm buyer activity on dips, and the bullish flag pattern supports the continuation of the upward trend.
Fundamentally , the main driver is bitcoin itself, with institutional demand for BTC ETFs staying strong. Large funds continue accumulating positions, while expectations of a softer Fed tone add pressure on the dollar, fueling capital inflows into crypto. This strengthens the bullish case for IBIT.
Tactical plan: watch $61.6–63.8 as the key entry zone. Holding above opens the path toward $69.3, followed by $76.5 and $85.6. The scenario breaks only if price falls below $61.
And let’s be honest: IBIT isn’t just a ticker - it’s the “accelerate bitcoin” button for your portfolio.
Gold Bullish Reversal Expected from D-FVG ZoneKey Observations and SMC Components:
D-FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap):
The most important element is the large shaded gray box at the bottom, labeled D-FVG. This indicates an Inefficiency or Fair Value Gap identified on the Daily timeframe, making it a powerful area of demand where institutional buying pressure is expected.
CRT-L and CRT-H:
CRT-L (Current Range Low/Bottom) is placed near the bottom of the D-FVG zone, marking a key support level.
CRT-H (Current Range Top/High) marks the high of the recent drop.
Current Price Action:
The price is currently at $3,974.61 and has been trending down. It is approaching the key support/demand zone (D-FVG).
Projected Move:
The curved line and green arrow indicate the anticipated price action: a continuation of the drop into the D-FVG zone, followed by a strong rejection and a reversal upwards (a rally).
The rally's TARGET is marked by a dotted line, sitting below the CRT-H level (around $4,020 - $4,030).
Trading Bias and Expectation
The overall bias is short-term bullish following the retracement. The analyst expects price to:
Retrace/Consolidate: Drop into the high-probability D-FVG demand zone (around $3,920 to $3,940).
Reverse and Rally: Find strong support in this zone, then reverse and move upwards to hit the intermediate TARGET.
SHAILY: Rectangle Consolidation Breakout | Target 2,650BUY Setup 🔩
Entry: ₹2,460-2,475 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹2,527-2,540
Target 2: ₹2,581-2,600
Target 3: ₹2,650+ (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹2,409
Technical Rationale:
Strong consolidation within rectangular range (2,409-2,527) for extended period
Breaking above mid-range with +1.31% gain today
Trading above both EMAs showing bullish trend strength
High volume (188.88K) indicating institutional interest
RSI around 65, healthy momentum with upside potential
Price respecting rising trendline support (black line)
Clear support established at 2,409 level
Multiple resistance levels mapped: 2,476, 2,527, 2,581
Engineering plastics sector showing resilience
Flat base consolidation - sign of strength before breakout
Risk-Reward: Strong 1:3.5+ ratio
Pattern: Flat base consolidation breakout - bullish continuation pattern indicating strength
Strategy: Medium-term swing - Book 30% at T1 (2,530), 30% at T2 (2,590), trail remaining with SL at 2,480 after T1
For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered. Strong consolidation base suggests accumulation - manage position size appropriately. Conduct thorough research before investing.
ZBTUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.2444BINANCE:ZBTUSDT.P recently broke through the only support level it had been consolidating above for five days. This indicates accumulated momentum for a further move. The lack of reaction to the breakout also supports a short-side scenario.
I’m watching to ensure volatility doesn’t spike during a potential retest of the level — if it remains stable, the setup could turn into a strong short opportunity.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Asset decoupled from the market (relative strength/weakness vs. BTC)
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Prolonged consolidation
No reaction after a false break
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EURUSD – When the Green Light Begins to ShineHello traders,
On the 4-hour chart, EURUSD is showing signs of shifting from a consolidation phase to a clearer mild uptrend . The price has found a solid base near the 1.1595–1.1600 area, rebounding from the ascending trendline and now aiming for resistance around 1.1710 — a level where a stronger breakout could occur if buying momentum strengthens.
Not just technically, but also fundamentally, recent Eurozone economic data such as PMI and consumer confidence beating expectations , combined with a softer USD as markets await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, are creating a favorable backdrop for the euro to attract capital inflows.
Thus, the most likely short-term scenario is that EURUSD might dip slightly toward ~1.1600 for momentum , then bounce up toward ~1.1710. If this move is confirmed by a clean breakout above resistance, it could mark the start of a more sustainable bullish trend.
In short, traders should wait for technical confirmation from support and a breakout above resistance before stepping in. It may not be a dramatic surge, but it’s a steady and promising bullish opportunity — the “golden bull” of EURUSD looks ready to move.
METUSDT: short setup from daily support at 0.5067BINANCE:METUSDT.P is consolidating near its lowest price point. Buyers show no attempt to absorb the decline, indicating weak demand. A continuation of the downward move is likely. The key reference level is 0.5067. Low volatility before the breakout remains an essential condition.
Key factors for this scenario:
Global & local trend alignment
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Asset decoupled from the market
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Prolonged consolidation
Consolidation with price compression (squeeze)
Closing near the level
No reaction after a false break
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Riding the Crypto TOTAL Market Cap WavesHey stars ✨ — just popping in with a little dose of chart magic and market wisdom 🌙💫
I’ve been watching the TOTAL Crypto Market Cap chart (yes, the big picture one!) and something beautiful is forming — a rising channel pattern on the weekly timeframe. It’s like the market is climbing a staircase of light, pausing to recharge, and then glowing higher again.
Here’s what I’m seeing:
The channel support has held strong three times already 🌟 — each bounce confirming that this trend still has confidence and flow behind it.
Every time price touches the top of the channel, we tend to see a pause or small correction.
So, the rhythm is:
🌟 Buy near support.
🌟 Take some profits near resistance.
It’s simple, elegant, and works beautifully when the market respects structure.
But… we never want to get too comfy in a single scenario 👀✨
Because when a channel finally breaks, it can go either way:
A break above the channel often signals acceleration — and that’s when we wait for a retest of the breakout to go long again 🚀
A break below means the trend is losing its shine — and we can prepare to short or hedge after the breakdown retest ⚡
So, whether you’re team bull or bear, keep your eyes on that linework. The market always gives a little whisper before the next move… if you’re calm enough to listen 🌌
Let’s trade smart, stay kind to ourselves, and remember — good energy attracts good setups ✨💫
NASDAQ Watching 24,975 for Fresh Bounce in Ongoing UptrendHey Traders,
In tomorrow’s trading session, we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around the 24,975 zone. NASDAQ remains in a broader uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, approaching the key 24,975 support and resistance area that aligns with the ascending trend structure.
If buyers step in at this level, we could see a continuation of the bullish momentum in line with the prevailing trend.
Trade safe,
Joe
GBPJPY Eyes 203.000 as Risk-On Mood Weakens YenHey Traders,
In tomorrow’s trading session, we’re monitoring GBPJPY for a buying opportunity around the 203.000 zone. The pair remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the 203.000 support and resistance area, which aligns with the prevailing trend structure.
On the fundamental side, easing tensions between the US and China are fueling a risk-on environment, typically leading to weaker demand for safe-haven assets like the JPY. This sentiment shift could support further upside in GBPJPY if buyers step in at this level.
Trade safe,
Joe
GOLD 4H | Harmonic AB=CD Bearish Reversal in PlayGold recently formed a clear double top at the all-time high (ATH), accompanied by a bearish divergence on higher timeframes — signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. That divergence has played out perfectly, aligning with the current bearish market structure.
The price has now broken below the key accumulation range between 4000 and 4149, confirming a shift in sentiment. With the trend consistently printing lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), the overall market bias remains bearish.
🔹 Technical Breakdown
We currently have a bearish AB=CD pattern completing near the 3800 zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden ratio (0.618) on the D leg.
Although AB=CD is traditionally a bullish harmonic pattern, here it’s being used within a downtrend context to identify a potential reversal or continuation zone — depending on market reaction at D.
Key Zone to Watch:
🟡 3800 – 3840 → Major potential reaction zone (Fib confluence + AB=CD completion).
If sellers hold this level, we could see further downside momentum.
🔹 Daily Chart View
On the daily timeframe, bullish momentum looks weak — every recovery candle is smaller, and volume favors sellers. With the AB=CD pattern confirmation and price failing to reclaim the 40050 zone, the bias stays bearish.
🔹 Weekly Chart Insight
Historically, gold tends to retrace after 9 consecutive straight bullish weekly candles.
From 1990 to 2025, each 9-week rally phase has been followed by a notable correction ranging from 6% to 14%, showing that extended rallies often precede profit-taking phases.
This current rally phase mirrors that same behavior patterns — making a corrective move toward 3800–3700 highly probability.
🧭 Final BIAS
The technical confluence between the bearish structure, double top + divergence, and AB=CD D-leg near golden ratio and 9 week rally gives a high-probability bearish setup.
If 3940 fails to hold, next potential downside target lies near 3900-3775, aligned with long-term structure support.
USDCAD: Pullback Trade From Support 🇺🇸🇨🇦
There is a high chance that USDCAD will pull back
from the underlined key horizontal support.
A formation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern on an hourly
time frame suggests a strong buying interest.
Goal - 1.399
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD — Coiled Energy vs Dollar | Volume Flow Meets Patience🧭 Context
Bitcoin started the week on the front foot, pressing toward the Flat TPO Top at 116 077.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) notched its fourth consecutive inside week, boxed between 97.56 and 99.19 — a quiet coil ahead of the Fed.
Crypto stretches while fiat meditates — a calm standoff where market psychology meets structure geometry.
📐 Technical Map
BTCUSD trades inside a bearish weekly range, yet buyers defend every dip.
Volume confirms accumulation from imbalance lows.
Key zones: 112.845 low → 116 077 high — measured-move corridor + prior TPO distribution shelf. A wick through 116 077 completes this week’s 10 % rotation
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
DXY strength = tightening risk appetite.
Fed decision mid-week sets November’s flow regime.
Until then, Bitcoin trades inversely: Dollar up → Crypto breathes out.
📊 Volume & Order Flow Map
Professional suite: Bookmap
Tracking bid/ask delta pressure around 112 845 and 116 077.
Liquidity depth shows absorption below range highs.
Volume clusters reveal short-covering rotations — not new conviction (yet).
Institutional footprint signals patience, not chase.
🎯 Plan
Full bias shift only if BTC closes above 116 077 with confirmed volume expansion.
If not, we reassess lower — control risk, collect flow, and stay structured.
“The Market Therapist”
Every trader thinks the market is emotional.
It’s not. You are.
The market doesn’t care about your caffeine, your new monitor, or your conviction.
It only respects structure, flow, and timing — and it punishes anyone who confuses belief with evidence.
So if Bitcoin grinds higher while the Dollar sleeps in a coil — breathe.
Nothing’s changed yet.
Pros wait. Amateurs anticipate. Only one gets paid.
Ramco Cements Breaking Key Resistance | Target 1,100+BUY Setup 🏗️
Entry: ₹1,058-1,065 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹1,083-1,090
Target 2: ₹1,099-1,110
Target 3: ₹1,123-1,135 (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹1,036
Technical Rationale:
Breaking above descending channel (blue shaded area) - major bullish reversal
Strong momentum with +1.11% gain today
Price reclaiming 1,060 resistance zone
Breaking above both declining trendlines convincingly
High volume (343.03K) supporting the breakout
Consolidation zone (1,000-1,060) now acting as support
RSI trending upward, showing momentum building
Cement sector showing strength on infrastructure demand
Multiple resistance levels mapped: 1,036, 1,083, 1,099, 1,123
Clear support at 1,000 psychological level
V-shaped recovery from October lows
Risk-Reward: Strong 1:3+ ratio
Pattern: Falling wedge/descending channel breakout - highly reliable bullish reversal pattern
Strategy: Medium-term swing trade - Book 30% at T1 (1,085), 30% at T2 (1,105), trail remaining with SL at 1,065 after T1
Key Levels:
Breakout Zone: 1,060 (critical level crossed)
Strong Resistance: 1,083, 1,099, 1,123
Major Support: 1,036, 1,000, 980
Sector Catalyst:
Infrastructure spending boost expected
Cement demand picking up seasonally
For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered. Major pattern breakout - manage position sizing appropriately. Cement stocks can be volatile. Conduct thorough research before investing.






















