DXY Is Still Bearish; Final Leg Of The Wedge Pattern?DXY Is Still Bearish, but it can be trading in final leg of ending diagonal a.k.a. wedge pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective.
US Dollar Index – DXY made only a three-wave rise from the lows, which indicates for a correction within downtrend. So recovery can basically still be a fourth wave rally, just a bit deeper one that can still belong to an ending diagonal a.k.a. wedge pattern. Final wave “v” of 5 can be still missing, so be aware of a continuation lower within a new three-wave abc decline, especially if breaks below the lower side of the corrective channel near 97.70 level.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD Potential UpsiddesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15700 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.15700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NAS100 – Potential Short Setup After Sharp RallyOn the 5-minute chart, NAS100 has made a strong upward move following a sharp drop earlier in the session.
Price is now approaching a potential exhaustion point near 23,940–23,960. I expect a reversal from this zone, followed by a move back toward 23,725 and possibly lower.
Trade Plan:
Sell Entry: 23,940–23,960 zone after confirmation
Stop-Loss: Above 23,960
Take-Profit: 23,725 initial target; further downside possible if momentum continues
Notes:
Watch for reversal candlestick patterns or break of short-term structure before entering.
This setup is based on intraday momentum and may require fast execution.
Potential inverse head and shoulders on NASDAQ (CASH100) - 15minI’m watching the Cash100 for a potential long setup.
On the 15min chart, an inverse head and shoulders pattern appears to be forming — potentially a continuation pattern following this week’s strong upward move.
I’m still waiting for confirmation of key variables, which will be assessed at 11:30am (GMT+1).
Trade Details:
📊 Risk/Reward: 2.4
🎯 Entry: 23 845
🛑 Stop Loss: 23 825
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 23 891
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 23 912
#GTradingMethod Tip: Lower volume on the right shoulder vs. the left shoulder strengthens the setup.
Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Outlook Explained
US Dollar has a very bearish start of this week.
A violation of a key daily support yesterday leaves
another strong bearish clue.
With a high probability, the market will continue falling
and reach 97.2 support soon.
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USDJPY – Bullish Trend Continues StronglyThe USDJPY pair is currently trading within an upward channel, with solid support at 146.500 JPY, and there is potential for further gains towards the next resistance level at 148.400 JPY.
The chart shows that the price continues to form higher lows, reinforcing the bullish trend. The strength of the US dollar, supported by the Fed's tightening policies, further drives this trend.
Impact from News:
Strong US labor market data and decisive monetary policy from the Fed continue to support the USD. If USDJPY breaks through the resistance at 148.400, the bullish trend may continue toward the 150.000 JPY level.
However, if the support at 146.500 is broken, a pullback to 145.000 could occur.
In summary, the bullish trend remains strong, with the next target being the resistance at 148.400 JPY.
Crypto Market Slows Down For A Pullback Within A Bullish TrendGood morning Crypto traders! Cryptocurrencies are coming slightly lower on the intraday basis due to stock market decline yesterday, but we still see them approaching support, so still be aware of a bounce and recovery at the end of the week or maybe next week because of an upcoming weekend. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart can be trading in wave »y« of a complex w-x-y correction in wave 4, unless it's a flat correction, but support is the same at 3.6T – 3.5T area, from where we may see a bullish continuation within wave 5.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI held at +0.2% m/m (2.8% y/y); Core +0.3% m/m (3.1% y/y) heading into today’s PPI. Watch $SPY/ SP:SPX vs TVC:DXY and NASDAQ:TLT for inflation momentum cues.
🤝 Tariff truce extended 90 days — U.S.–China pause now runs through Nov 10, removing near-term trade shock risk for NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AAPL and other SP:SPX heavyweights.
🇨🇳 China credit contraction — July new bank loans fell for the first time in 20 years, signaling weak demand and adding a global growth headwind to the tape.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊
📅 Thu, Aug 14
• 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (week ending Aug 9)
• 8:30 AM — PPI (July) — Headline & Core
• 2:00 PM — Richmond Fed’s Tom Barkin speaks
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #CPI #PPI #Fed #SPY #SPX #DXY #TLT
Gold Eyes Short-Term Pullback Before Key Support Test"Gold Eyes Short-Term Pullback Before Key Support Test 🏆📉"
Market Structure
The chart shows a clear range-bound price action between the strong support near 3,303 – 3,316 and the resistance zone around 3,420 – 3,440.
Multiple Higher Lows (HL) indicate that the market has been trying to build a bullish structure, but the recent level rejection from resistance suggests sellers are still defending that zone aggressively.
2. Key Zones
Resistance (3,420 – 3,440): Price tested this level and faced a sharp rejection, marking it as a strong supply zone.
Support (3,303 – 3,316): Historical buy reactions are seen here, making it a crucial demand zone.
Entry Zone: Around 3,351 – 3,360, which is being used for the current short setup.
3. Pattern & Price Action
BOS (Break of Structure) occurred earlier on the left side of the chart, breaking above previous highs and confirming bullish strength at that time.
BOL (Break of Low) later on indicates a shift in momentum, as price failed to maintain the bullish push and created a bearish swing.
The Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) earlier provided a springboard for upward movement, but recent momentum failed to sustain.
4. Current Trade Idea (Short Bias)
Entry: 3,351 – 3,360 (retracement to minor resistance after breakdown).
Stop Loss: Above 3,380, protecting against a false breakout.
Target: 3,316 (mid-term) with a possible extension to 3,303 if bearish pressure continues.
5. Sentiment & Risk Factors
Bears are currently favored due to the rejection from major resistance and the inability of bulls to reclaim 3,380+.
If the price reclaims and holds above 3,380, this short setup will be invalidated, and the market could retest 3,420 – 3,440.
📌 Summary:
XAUUSD is trading in a defined range, with the current structure leaning bearish after resistance rejection. A short position from the entry zone targets the strong support below, but traders should remain cautious as higher lows in the past indicate that bulls may still attempt to defend support aggressively.
Apple Is Climbing the Fibonacci Channel Ladder – Step 5 Ahead?On the monthly chart, Apple (AAPL) is steadily moving within a well-defined ascending Fibonacci channel, like climbing a ladder — step by step.
The price is currently testing Step 4 , a zone that has acted as a strong resistance barrier.
Despite the pressure here, the structure still appears bullish, and even a minor pullback might simply be a pause before the next move.
If momentum picks up, we could soon see a breakout toward the next step — targeting 234 at Step 5.
The trend remains technically intact unless the channel is broken, and the overall formation still leans toward continuation.
GBPUSD: Complete Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for GBPUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.3577 - 1.3590 area
Resistance 2: 1.3657 - 1.3705 area
Resistance 3: 1.3745 - 1.3790 area
Support 1: 1.3450 - 1.3480 area
Support 2: 1.3400 - 1.3430 area
Support 3: 1.3300 - 1.3330 area
Support 4: 1.3140 - 1.3174 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURGBP Steps Into A Correction Within Ongoing RecoveryEURGBP is sharply down after reaching April highs for wave »v« of an impulse into wave A. As expected, the pair is now unfolding a three-wave abc corrective setback within higher-degree wave B. Currently, EURGBP is breaking below the channel support line in a sharp and impulsive projected wave »a«. A corrective recovery in wave »b« may follow, considering that RSI is already at the lower side of its range. Overall, we are still tracking this correction toward the 0.85x support area, which could act as a base before a potential bullish continuation higher into wave C.
GOLD ON FIRE – 3358 WALL ABOUT TO CRACK, 337x NEXT STOP!📌 Market Overview
Following the CPI release, Gold is showing strong buying momentum, with a clear aim to break the 3358 resistance and push quickly towards the 337x zone – a key equilibrium level where SELL pressure is expected to react.
Price bounced sharply from the 333x area back into the 335x range. If 3358 breaks, there’s a high probability we will test 337x within the day, triggering SELL volume.
Today’s market is expected to be relatively quiet, with no major news scheduled. The daily range could stay around 35–40 dollars.
With the current bullish momentum, the preferred strategy is to wait for price to retest early BUY support zones around 334x to catch the next upside wave in line with the primary trend.
🎯 Key Trading Zones
🔹 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3338 – 3336
SL: 3332
TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔹 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3375 – 3377
SL: 3382
TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340
📊 Key Levels
Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376
Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310
⚠ Risk Note
No major economic releases today, so intraday moves may rely heavily on technical reaction points. Watch MMFLOW Key Levels closely – a break of 3358 could accelerate the move to 337x, while holding below may trigger short-term pullbacks.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Bullish Rally Continues
S&P500 is going to continue rising at least to 6500 level.
A confirmed break of structure BoS on a daily indicates
a clear dominance of the buyers.
With the absence of high impact US news today, the market will
remain strongly bullish.
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USDJPY Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 148.900 zone, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 148.900 support and Resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD is Nearing an Important Support Area!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.59300 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY continues its uptrend, aiming for 200,000 JPY.GBPJPY is currently trading within an ascending channel, with a strong rebound from support levels near 198,000 JPY. After forming a higher low at 199,000 JPY, the chart suggests the possibility of continuing the uptrend if GBPJPY can break through the next resistance at 200,000 JPY.
Recent news about the UK GDP growth and statements from Bank of England (BoE) officials are supporting the British Pound. Additionally, the BoE's tightening monetary policy to control inflation is helping stabilize and strengthen the Pound against the Japanese Yen. On the other hand, with the Bank of Japan's interest rate policy remaining largely unchanged, the JPY continues to weaken amid economic challenges.
If GBPJPY can break the 200,000 JPY resistance, the next upward target will be 201,000 JPY, and further towards 202,000 JPY. However, the current support lies at 199,000 JPY, and if this level is broken, a pullback to 198,000 JPY may occur.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has broken above the 50MA (pink) but remains capped below the 200MA (green), trading just above the $3,353 key level. This area is acting as a pivotal barrier — a clean break and sustained hold above $3,353 is needed to shift momentum bullish.
A sustained break and hold above this zone could see momentum build toward $3,380, with further upside potential to $3,399 and $3,422. Failure to clear this area may keep price trapped in the pullback structure, risking another retest of $3,329 and possibly the Secondary Support Zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,380
‣ $3,399
‣ $3,422
Support:
‣ $3,353
‣ $3,329
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,295
🔎 Fundamental Focus
Multiple FOMC speeches and President Trump remarks today could spark volatility.
Expect choppy price action — manage risk around headlines.
EURJPY: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY successfully violated a significant daily resistance cluster.
With a high probability, it turned into a strong support now.
We can expect a bullish continuation from that.
Next resistance - 173.5
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