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GOLD CYCLE ANALYSIS - WAVE 5 PATTERN EMERGING1️⃣ MACRO CONTEXT — GLOBAL CONDITIONS ARE RELOADING GOLD’S NEXT MEGA WAVE Gold is entering a multi-year super-cycle powered by a rare combination of global instability and monetary shifts: - Ongoing geopolitical conflicts (Ukraine, Middle East) continue to elevate safe-haven demand. - U.S. economic momentum is slowing → rising recession probability. - The market is pricing in aggressive Fed rate cuts in the coming year → real yields cooling, a direct catalyst for gold upside. - Central banks (China, India, Turkey) are buying gold at the fastest pace in 50 years, diversifying away from the USD. These macro foundations perfectly align with the repetitive growth cycle pattern displayed in chart. 2️⃣ STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS — GOLD IS REPEATING ITS 5-WAVE GROWTH CYCLE On the 1D chart, gold is moving exactly within a classic 5-wave impulsive cycle: Wave 1: A long accumulation zone → first breakout. Wave 2: Shallow correction, maintaining higher lows. Wave 3:The strongest expansion phase — identical to the 2024–2025 rally. Wave 4: A consolidation wedge + sideway pullback inside the green zone you marked. Wave 5 (Forming Now): The next explosive leg upward, projected by the white path on your chart. Price is currently sitting inside Accumulation Zone 4, building energy before launching the final impulsive wave. 3️⃣TRADE SCENARIO — BASED ON STRUCTURE + MACRO ALIGNMENT 🔵 Primary Scenario: Bullish Super-Cycle Continues If price holds the ascending yellow trendline and the Zone 4 support: - Gold completes its corrective zigzag → then accelerates into Wave 5, aiming for new all-time highs. Macro factors reinforce this bullish scenario: - Fed rate cuts expected → lower real yields. - USD entering a weakening cycle. - Geopolitical tensions remain elevated. - Central banks increasing gold reserves aggressively. → This is the dominant, high-probability scenario. 🔴 Secondary Scenario: Macro Repricing Pullback Only triggered if: - The Fed unexpectedly turns hawkish again (low probability), - Geopolitical tensions ease significantly (low probability). In that case, gold may retest lower zones: 3125 → 2523, exactly as marked on your chart. 4️⃣ RISK MANAGEMENT — WHEN THE MODEL FAILS The super-cycle view becomes invalid if: - Daily close breaks below the green Wave 4 accumulation zone. - U.S. bond yields spike sharply higher again. - DXY rallies above 115. These conditions contradict the current global macro trajectory, so the probability remains low. 5️⃣ GOLD’S 5-WAVE PATTERN IS NOT RANDOM Each accumulation zone (1–2–3–4) shares identical behavior: - 6–12 weeks of tight consolidation - Breakout triggered by macro news - Each impulsive wave larger than the previous one This is the footprint of a long-term impulsive super-cycle, currently unfolding from 2023–2026. Given the macro backdrop and repeated structural pattern, Wave 5 is positioned to become the strongest and most extended wave of this entire cycle. I
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
AUDNZD: Tight Consolidation_Preparing for the Next Upward LegAUDNZD is entering a phase where the market looks “mature enough” to continue its uptrend , as AUD maintains a stronger base than NZD thanks to diverging policy expectations . While the RBA remains cautious about inflation, the market is increasingly less confident about the RBNZ outlook , causing short-term capital flows to lean toward AUD. This divergence forms a key foundation supporting a bullish bias for AUDNZD. On the 4H chart, the price structure remains clean and well-defined. After rebounding from the lows, the market is now consolidating within a tight range with higher lows forming. Price is holding firmly above the 1.1450 support zone, signaling that selling pressure is not strong enough to break the structure . The current setup favors a pullback → consolidation → continuation scenario rather than a trend reversal. In this context, 1.1450 acts as a critical anchor point for buyers. As long as price continues to hold above this level, AUDNZD has a solid basis to advance toward 1.1500 in the short term. The preferred strategy is to prioritize BUY setups on pullbacks , while avoiding chasing price near resistance . In summary , AUDNZD is displaying a move that is “calm yet decisive.” As long as the trend structure remains intact and capital continues to favor buyers, patience in waiting for the right entry zone will be the key to staying aligned with the market in a disciplined and sustainable way.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
5
Gold Just Paused at a Strange Level What is Coming Nex🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: – Price has broken out of the short-term consolidation, followed by a clean retest structure forming right at the breakout zone a classic continuation signal. Key Levels from Chart: – Entry Zone: around the retest area just above 4280–4286 – Stop Loss: 4262 – 4264 – Take Profit 1: 4317 – Take Profit 2: 4381 Next Move: – As long as price holds above the SL zone and respects the breakout retest structure, XAU/USD is positioned for a continuation leg toward 4317, with potential extension toward 4381.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
The ETH Move No Trader Is ExpectingETHEREUM 1D MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Current Price Structure - ETH previously completed a strong bullish impulsive wave, breaking through multiple resistance levels before reaching the major 4,800–5,000 resistance zone, where the market formed a clear distribution top. -After distribution, price entered a large corrective decline, following the descending dotted trendline visible on your chart. -Recently, ETH has formed a broad accumulation block (highlighted in green), similar to the previous accumulation phases that triggered massive ETH rallies earlier in the year. Inside this zone, ETH is now building a series of higher lows, showing early signs of bullish reconstruction. -The current rising green structure indicates that price is forming a stair-step bullish pattern, preparing for a potential macro reversal. 2. Key Liquidity Zones -Major Resistance Zone: 4,800–5,000 -This is the next major destination if ETH successfully completes the accumulation and transitions into expansion. -Accumulation Block: 2,750–3,150 -This is where smart money is currently active — sweeping liquidity, trapping sellers, and accumulating long positions. -Multiple liquidity grabs have already occurred inside this range, confirming strong institutional absorption. -The current structure closely mirrors previous accumulation rectangles on the chart that led to massive bullish expansions. 3. Today's Market Scenario (1D Outlook) Matches perfectly with the upward projection on your chart. 🔹 Main Scenario – Bullish Continuation After Accumulation ETH is likely to follow this sequence: -Continue building higher lows inside the accumulation block. -Retest the inner structure trendline without breaking the macro zone. -Form a clean break above the descending dotted trendline — signaling a bullish structure shift. -Retest the broken trendline to form the final higher low. -Begin expansion to the next major liquidity magnets: -Short-term targets: 3,600 → 3,800 -Mid-term continuation: 4,200 → 4,500 -Macro target: 4,800–5,000 resistance zone This is fully aligned with the green arrow projection you drew. 4. Market Psychology -Big players are actively accumulating within this wide range clear repeated liquidity sweeps prove institutional activity. -Retail traders are losing positions during sudden spikes and false breakdowns, which is typical behavior during accumulation phases. -The market is more likely preparing for a major trend reversal, not a continuation downward. -The price behavior mirrors earlier patterns: Accumulation → Trendline Break → HL Retest → Massive Expansion -This repetition increases confidence in the bullish outlook. 5. Intraday Strategy Guidance (1D) Given the macro accumulation: -Avoid selling aggressively the probability is against sustained bearish continuation. -Best opportunities come from buying dips inside the accumulation zone. -Watch for liquidity sweeps below local lows to identify smart-money entries. High-probability setups: ✔️ Strategy 1: Buy the Bottom of the Range Entry zones: 2,750–3,150 Targets: 3,600 → 3,800 ✔️ Strategy 2: Buy the Retest After Trendline Breakout This is the cleanest and safest setup. Targets: 4,200 → 4,500 → 4,800+ ETH is currently in the prime zone where large investors position themselves before a new bullish cycle.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
ETH Awaits Direction as Market Prices In Upcoming Fed Signals🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD Market State: – Price has broken down from the previous range and is now testing the lower support area, showing weakening momentum after the sharp decline. Key Levels: – Support Zone / Target 1: 3152 – Support Zone / Target 2: 3073 – Resistance / Recovery Target 1: 3288 – Resistance / Recovery Target 2: 3393 Next Move: – Price may form a short-term base around 3152; holding this level could trigger a recovery toward 3288 → 3393. – If 3152 fails to hold, downside continuation toward 3073 remains the more likely scenario.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Matthew_TradeRFX
SPY SPX Scenarios Friday, Dec 12, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Dec 12, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • Post-FOMC digestion day: Markets continue to price Powell’s messaging and rate-path implications from earlier in the week. • Light macro calendar: No major inflation or labor prints — flows, positioning, and technicals matter more than data today. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) 10 00 AM • Wholesale Inventories (Sept): 0.1 percent ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #markets #trading #macro #stocks
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Gold Pullback or Reversal? Key Zone Decides the Next Move🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: – Price is pulling back after the recent bullish impulse and is hovering just above the minor support zone, suggesting a potential retracement setup before continuation. Key Levels: – Support / Entry Zone: 4204 – 4205 – Stop-Loss Zone: 4193 – 4194 – Take Profit 1: 4229 – Take Profit 2: 4247 Next Move: – A clean retest of the 4204–4205 support zone may trigger another bullish leg toward 4229 → 4247, as long as price holds above the 4193–4194 rejection area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
How To Rally After Pause In XAUUSD GoldThis video explains how the rally in XAUUSD Gold developed after a pause on the daily timeframe. The analysis focuses on how Gold formed a consolidation phase, how price held above key structure, and how momentum began to rebuild after the pause. By observing the shift in candle behavior, breakout strength, and follow-through, we explore how a rally can continue once the market completes a natural pause. The purpose of this breakdown is to highlight how daily timeframe structure, pause formation, and momentum alignment can help understand price behavior in XAUUSD Gold—purely for educational and analytical learning.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by ProTradeMatrix
Gold Just Confirmed the Breakout...........1. Current Market Structure Gold continues to hold strongly above the symmetrical triangle breakout, confirming the bullish structure you anticipated earlier. Price action is showing: - A clean series of higher highs & higher lows after the breakout. - Price maintaining above the upper boundary of the triangle → buying pressure still dominant. - EMA 34 acting as dynamic intraday support. - EMA 89 positioned far below → forming a strong deep support base that protects the uptrend. - Liquidity at 4128–4135 remains untested — a sign that buyers are absorbing early, not allowing deep retracements. The market is in post-breakout consolidation, preparing for another controlled upward extension. 2. Trader Psychology This is the phase where traders often hesitate: - Late sellers are trapped after the breakout. - Impatient buyers chase the move at the top. - Smart money accumulates during consolidation above the breakout zone. Your accurate pre-breakout analysis strengthens trader confidence, but discipline is required to wait for clear setups, not emotional entries. 3. Market Reasoning / Key Drivers Price behavior indicates: - Strong demand sustaining above 4218–4226, which is now the new structural support zone. - Uptrend momentum remains intact as oscillators stay in high territory without bearish divergence. - The absence of a liquidity sweep toward 4128–4135 shows that demand is overwhelming supply. - Gold continues to follow your expected bullish roadmap, confirming your market structure reading and liquidity interpretation. As long as price holds above the new support range, the higher target zones remain valid. 4. Trading Strategy 📌 SETUP 1 — Timing Sell Zone SELL ZONE: 4315 – 4318 TP: 4312 – 4307 SL: 4322 ⚠️ Countertrend only trade on rejection. Manage risk carefully. 📌 SETUP 2 — Timing Buy Zone BUY ZONE: 4200 – 4203 TP: 4206 – 4211 SL: 4196 ✔️ Best alignment with the current bullish structure. 5. Trend & Price Outlook Main Trend: Bullish continuation after a clean breakout. Key levels to watch: - 4218–4226 → must hold for the bullish structure to stay intact. - If held: gold targets higher zones exactly as projected in earlier analysis. - Oscillators show momentum is elevated but not weakening, allowing the uptrend to continue without signaling reversal. In summary: Your earlier scenario unfolded perfectly the breakout, the structure shift, and the momentum follow-through all validated your analysis. The market continues to move in line with your roadmap, reinforcing your credibility and mastery of price behavior and liquidity flow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
The Market Is Preparing a Bigger Move — Most Traders Won’t See 📌 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN 1. Support Zone Buyers consistently defend this area. Each dip into this zone creates higher momentum on the rebound. Strong liquidity pool — ideal for building long positions. 2. Resistance Zone (Neckline Zone) Acts as the confirmation level for the double-bottom pattern. Break and retest will be the key signal for a continuation run. This zone contains trapped sellers → breakout may cause a squeeze. 3. Double-Bottom Formation A textbook reversal pattern indicating exhaustion of the previous downtrend. Both bottoms show clear absorption and equal reaction. 4. FED Event Catalyst The “WAIT FOR FED” note on the chart marks a possible volatility spike. Price may show fakeouts around resistance before choosing a direction. A manipulation wick above the resistance is possible → be patient and let the market confirm. 📌 TRADE SETUP (LONG BIAS) 🔔 ENTRY ZONE: Break & Retest of Resistance Zone → Enter after price closes above resistance and retests it successfully. 🛑 STOP LOSS: Below the retest low → This protects you from FED-driven fakeouts. 🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS: TP1: First liquidity sweep after breakout TP2: New short-term high TP3: Extended target toward the projected upward curve 📌 BULLISH SCENARIO - Break resistance - Retest - Build higher-lows - Push into expansion phase - FED catalyst accelerates breakout This is the cleanest path and aligns with the chart’s projection. 📌 BEARISH SCENARIO (ALTERNATIVE) If price fails to break resistance and rejects strongly: - It may revisit the support zone again - But as long as support holds, bias remains long - Only a breakdown below support invalidates the setup You don’t need to catch every move — you only need to catch the right one with discipline.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
BTC Is Retesting the Breakout📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE -BTC formed a strong bullish impulse from the Strong Support Zone, breaking above the descending trendline with a powerful breakout candle. -This shifted the market structure from bearish → bullish on H1. 📉 (2) PRICE REACTION After breaking out: -Price tapped the Weak Support Zone (highlighted purple area) -Buyers stepped in immediately — confirming support -Price is now pulling back again into the same demand area This shows bullish willingness to defend the zone. 📐 (3) HTF CONTEXT This breakout aligns with broader bullish sentiment: -BTC continues to create higher swing lows on H1. -As long as price holds above the Weak Support Zone, the trend remains bullish. 🎯 (4) EXPECTATION The most likely scenario: 📌 BTC dips into the Weak Support Zone → forms a higher low → rallies toward 94,000 – 95,200. 💥 (5) TRADING SIGNAL BUY SETUP Entry Zone: 92,200 – 92,600 (Weak Support Retest Zone) Stop Loss: Below 91,700 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 93,171 TP2: 93,596 TP3: 94,091 Final Target: 95,200 Why this setup works Strong breakout with volume Clean retest into fresh demand Higher-timeframe bullish structure Buyers showing presence at every dip This is a low-risk pullback entry inside a bullish continuation setup.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
EURUSD Is Compressing in a Falling Channel 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE BREAKDOWN (H1) 1️⃣ Bullish Impulse → Start of Correction Price created a strong upward leg, setting the tone for a bullish environment. Right after that, EU shifted into a controlled descending channel a normal corrective phase. 2️⃣ Falling Channel Structure Inside the channel: -Clear LH → LL sequences -Repeated taps on both channel boundaries -Each push into the Support Zone shows strong buying reaction (long wicks, V-bounces) This shows buyers defending the zone, not sellers taking control. 3️⃣ Current Position -Price is moving in the mid-to-lower part of the channel, heading back toward the Support Zone -This aligns with how price has been behaving for the past several days — liquidity sweep → bounce → move toward upper channel. The projection you drew is absolutely logical: A final sweep deep into the Support Zone before a bullish breakout. 🎯 TRADING SIGNAL Entry Zone: 1.1595 – 1.1620 (deep in Support Zone + channel bottom) Stop Loss: Below structure: 1.1560 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 1.1653 TP2: 1.1664 TP3 (major breakout): 1.1688 Why this setup works The falling channel is corrective, not bearish. Strong reaction every time price tests Support Zone. Liquidity tends to build below the channel → ideal environment for a sweep + expansion. The highest probability scenario: Final sweep down → bullish reversal → breakout toward 1.1688. 📈 SHORT SUMMARY EU is correcting inside a falling channel, but buyers remain in control at the Support Zone. Expect one more liquidity sweep before a strong upward breakout.
Long
by RexTraderSignal
ETH Is Quietly Loading Up for Its Next Major Rally1. Current Market Structure (1H) ETH continues to maintain a clean short-term uptrend with: - Higher lows forming consistently → buyers remain in control. - Price holding above EMA 34 → intraday bullish rhythm intact. - EMA 89 sitting lower, confirming strong medium-term momentum. - Demand zone 2280–2300 acting as the key intraday support. - Liquidity resting below 2230–2250, potential draw if a pullback occurs. Price action shows compression → energy buildup → preparing for the next expansion leg. 2. Macro Alignment Macro conditions continue to support a bullish bias: -DXY weakening → risk assets get a tailwind. -US Treasury yields cooling → reduces pressure on crypto. -Market pricing in earlier Fed cuts for 2025 → liquidity shifts toward risk-on assets. -BTC and ETH correlation stays elevated → BTC strength fuels ETH upside. Macro flow + technical structure both point to continuation of the upward cycle. 3️⃣ Current Structure (Right Range) You marked SUPPORT ZONE & RESISTANCE ZONE. ETH is repeating the same playbook: - Long wick rejection into Support - Price oscillates inside the range (liquidity creation) - A breakout is likely to follow once enough orders are collected. This is the third accumulation cycle — textbook bullish continuation. 🎯 TRADING SIGNAL BUY SETUP Entry Zone: 3310 – 3350 (Support Zone dips / liquidity sweeps) Stop Loss: Below support box: 3250 Take Profit: Partial at 3450–3500 Full target at 3600+ (expected breakout continuation) Why this works: ETH has shown the exact pattern twice: Range → Liquidity Sweep → Expansion. Current price is building the third range — probability favors another upward expansion. 📈 SUMMARY: ETH is not random it is systematically accumulating before each major pump. As long as price holds the Support Zone and continues ranging, the bullish continuation scenario remains the highest-probability play. Next Move: – Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. – ETH/USD (1H)
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Ethereum 1H: Holds Its Bullish Channel 🔹 MARKET BRIEFINGMarket State: – Price is pulling back from the channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around mid-range, while still respecting the ascending channel structure. Key Levels: – Support: 3,160 – Resistance: 3,440 – Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520 Next Move: – Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. The bullish structure on XAUUSD has now been fully established and this is a valid buy signal at the current price. Momentum, structure, and demand alignment are all pointing in the same direction, confirming that buyers are in control and the market is ready for the next upward leg. Why ETH Dropped After the Fed Rate Cut 1. Macro Overview – Why ETH Pulled Back Even After the Fed Cut Despite the Fed cutting interest rates a move typically supportive for risk assets ETH corrected sharply due to short-term “sell the news” positioning, profit-taking from the recent rally, and liquidity reshuffling as markets reassessed the pace of future cuts. However, the broader macro environment still favors long-term bullish continuation: lower borrowing costs, easing financial conditions, and improving risk appetite all support capital rotation back into crypto once volatility cools. In other words, yesterday’s drop was a tactical shakeout, not a structural trend reversal, and the market is now forming a sideways accumulation phase consistent with a bullish continuation setup. 2. Market State ETH is pulling back from the ascending channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around the mid-range. The price is still respecting the channel structure, indicating that buyers are absorbing supply and forming a consolidation base rather than breaking trend. This aligns with a sideways phase before the next expansion leg upward. 3. Key Levels Support: 3,160 Resistance: 3,440 Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520 4. Next Move The bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH trades above the channel’s support. Reclaiming 3,440 would signal renewed buyer strength and open a clean path toward 3,520, with potential continuation into the channel’s upper boundary. Until then, ETH is likely to move sideways within the range as the market digests the macro shift and prepares for the next bullish leg.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
GOLD IDEA TIME RATE 4H🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (4H) Market State: – Price is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, respecting both the rising support line and the descending upper boundary, showing balanced but tightening momentum. Key Levels: – Triangle Support: ~4185–4195 – Triangle Resistance: ~4250–4260 – Liquidity Zone Below: 4128 – 4135 Next Move: – A breakout above the triangle resistance could trigger a bullish continuation leg toward higher highs. – If price rejects at the upper boundary and breaks below the rising trendline, liquidity at 4128–4135 becomes the next downside magnet.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RexTraderSignal
Ethereum Holds Its Bullish Channel as Markets Stabilize🔹 MARKET BRIEFINGMarket State: – Price is pulling back from the channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around mid-range, while still respecting the ascending channel structure. Key Levels: – Support: 3,160 – Resistance: 3,440 – Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520 Next Move: – Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. – ETH/USD (4H)
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
ORCL - From Erections Come CorrectionsORCL is a textbook example of a setup I call: “From Erections Come Corrections.” 1. It also shows why log charts lie to you on the way down. When you’re evaluating downside risk, remember: every stock is always 100% away from zero. A linear chart makes the real danger obvious. I don’t even need to measure this one — the drop is roughly 50% staring you in the face. 2. Look at the speed of that drop. If you’re one of those heroes trying to squeeze an extra 3% at the top and end up wearing a -50% drawdown because you had no exit plan… that’s not bad luck — that’s greed and negligence teaming up to hand you a bag of sh*t. 3. But if you actually respected risk, took profits, and GTFO/STFO with cash in hand? Now you get to walk back in as a well-refined gentleman or lady, gracefully to start building a position at at a “500% discount,” as Trump would say. 4. Notice anything magical on my chart?0 No algos. No secret indicators. No fairy-tale narratives. Not even candlesticks. Just plain vanilla price action. That’s proper charting. Keep it simple. You chose to play this game, so at least play it right. Lastly, if the market tanks here, ORCL will just keep tanking as well. BUT! you will be getting in with a 50% discount already. That, my friends, is the difference. THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥 Let’s keep climbing. If you enjoy the work: 👉 Drop a solid comment Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
NYSE:ORCLLong
by RealMacro
5
Fed Cuts Rates, USD Weakens — Gold’s Moment Has Arrived!Based on the current market landscape, XAUUSD is entering a phase where buyers hold a clear advantage , supported by both favorable macro conditions and a technical structure that reinforces a new bullish leg. This is a period where gold isn’t rising just because of news — it now has a solid foundation to sustain its trend. To begin with, the Fed’s 0.25% rate cut — from 4.00% to 3.75% — immediately pressured the USD. Lower rates naturally drive capital away from USD-denominated assets and toward safe-haven assets like gold. In addition, J obless Claims are projected to rise to 220K, up from 191K, signaling a slowing labor market. A weaker labor market often pushes the Fed further into an easing stance — a key catalyst that helps gold maintain its upward momentum. On the chart, price is rebounding from the 4,190 support zone, an area that has repeatedly shown strong buying interest. The structure remains above the Ichimoku cloud, signaling that the medium-term uptrend is still intact . The accumulation happening directly inside this support area further strengthens the scenario of XAUUSD retesting the 4,240 resistance. As long as 4,190 holds, the bullish momentum is essentially “open and ready” for buyers. Combining both fundamentals and technicals, gold is standing in front of a clear opportunity to extend its bullish expansion. This is a phase where the market is less noisy, the bullish bias is clean and decisive , and monetary policy is providing a solid launchpad. If buyers keep control above 4,190, the 4,240 target becomes only a matter of time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
20
XAUUSD Ready to Break Out – Strong Uptrend Ahead!Hello traders! Today, we will analyze the XAUUSD currency pair. Fundamental Factors Affecting XAUUSD: Fed rate cut: The Fed is expected to cut interest rates in the December meeting, which will weaken the USD and make gold a more attractive safe-haven asset for investors. Geopolitical situation: The tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to escalate, creating global instability and driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Weak economic data: Weak ADP employment data and GDP data from the US have increased market expectations that the Fed will maintain or cut interest rates, making gold even more attractive. Technical Analysis: On the chart, XAUUSD is currently trading within a clear upward trendline, with strong support at 4.170 USD. This is a price level that has been tested and bounced multiple times in the past, showing stability and the potential for continued growth. The immediate resistance level for XAUUSD is at 4.220 USD, where the price has encountered resistance before. If XAUUSD breaks through this resistance, the price could continue moving towards higher targets, such as 4.250 USD. Thank you for listening to my analysis, and I wish you successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
30
EURUSD Poised for a Breakout as the Fed Turns DovishWhen looking at EURUSD right now, we can clearly see the shift in momentum: the Fed has become more dovish , while Europe is not rushing into easing . The USD weakened after the rate-cut decision, and the ECB delivered a more optimistic outlook on economic growth — creating a solid foundation for the next bullish leg on the euro. On the H4 chart, price is moving within a steady ascending structure, supported by the rising trendline and the Ichimoku cloud. The zone around 1.1680 acts as the nearest support — aligning with both the trendline and the base of the previous breakout. A clean scenario would be a mild pullback into this area, confirming demand before pushing higher again. The psychological resistance at 1.1770 becomes the natural upside target if the bullish trend continues. As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1680, the bias remains bullish with a clear preference for a buy-on-dip strategy, following the capital flow shifting away from the USD toward the euro. What remains is to see how price approaches 1.1770 — through a smooth retest or an additional false break before the real breakout. Either way, it opens the door for high-quality entry opportunities in the sessions ahead.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
7
USD/MXN Extends Its Downtrend as Price Breaks Below Key SupportUSD/MXN continues to follow a well-established bearish structure, with price making a fresh move below the 18.04 support zone—an area that previously served as a mid-2023 pivot and has acted as a consolidation base in recent months. The clean breakdown reinforces the prevailing downtrend that has persisted since the spring reversal. Both moving averages support this directional bias. Price remains well beneath the 50-day SMA, which has consistently acted as dynamic resistance throughout the decline. The 200-day SMA also slopes downward, underscoring the longer-term weakness and offering a wide separation from current price levels—typical of a mature trending environment. Momentum indicators align with this directional pressure. The MACD histogram remains negative with the signal lines trending lower, reflecting sustained downside momentum rather than a short-lived impulse. Meanwhile, the RSI sits near the lower third of its range, showing persistent bearish momentum without yet signaling extreme oversold conditions. The recent violation of support highlights continued dominance by sellers within the broader downtrend. Attention now turns to how price behaves around the next historical level near 17.62, which previously acted as a structural floor on the chart. -MW
by FOREX.com