GOLD approaches a critical inflection inside the triangleGold is compressing inside a large triangle on the four hour chart and has returned to the twenty four hundred seventy area which acts as the main sell zone at four thousand one hundred seventy to four thousand one hundred seventy five. The market still fails to break above this region and preserves a sequence of lower highs. A breakdown through the triangle support may open the path toward four thousand forty six three thousand nine hundred ninety seven and three thousand eight hundred eighty six where strong liquidity and the two hundred period moving average converge.
The fundamental picture as of November twenty fifth remains mixed. United States inflation is cooling more slowly than expected which keeps treasury yields elevated and limits the attractiveness of gold as a defensive asset. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in the first half of next year persist which supports the metal during pullbacks. Demand from Asian jewelry markets stays muted which adds pressure when yields rise.
Price is approaching a decision point. A rejection from the sell zone may send the market toward four thousand forty six three thousand nine hundred ninety seven and three thousand eight hundred eighty six. A confirmed move above four thousand one hundred seventy five will invalidate the bearish scenario and allow a possible breakout to the upside although the market still looks weaker than the seller for now.
Gold is precious without doubt but inside a triangle nothing shines too confidently until the market shows its choice.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY Is About to Break the Channel – Sellers Are Rising?USDJPY is entering a phase of clear exhaustion after a prolonged bullish run. Price has touched the top of the ascending channel and was immediately rejected , leaving multiple upper wicks – a classic sign that buyers are losing momentum.
Around the 157.80 zone, selling pressure becomes increasingly dense. This is a supply area the market has reacted to multiple times. The closer price moves toward it, the stronger the absorption. No more explosive bullish pushes — instead, every slight attempt upward is quickly pulled back down.
The key level to watch now is 156.40. Price structure is showing signs of forming lower highs, and if the market retests 157.00–157.20 but fails to break through, USDJPY is likely to slide toward 156.40.
If 156.40 breaks, the H4 ascending channel is officially invalidated, and the bearish trend becomes clearer. From there, the market could extend downward toward 155.80.
In short, USDJPY is showing strong signs of weakening : slowing bullish momentum, repeated strong rejections, and a structure tilting toward the downside. A small pullback toward the 157.xx area may become the perfect chance for sellers to step back in.
SBI Life Insurance: Breaking 420-Day Consolidation BUY Setup 🛡️
Entry: ₹1,936-1,945 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹1,984-1,990
Target 2: ₹2,019-2,030
Target 3: ₹2,056-2,075 (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹1,910
Technical Rationale:
MAJOR BREAKOUT after 420 days of consolidation (highlighted in cyan)
Breaking above long-term resistance at 1,930 level with strong momentum
Weekly chart showing powerful +5.27% surge
Volume buildup visible (highlighted) - institutional accumulation
Price breaking above descending trendline from 2024 highs
Trading above both EMAs indicating strong bullish trend
Rounding bottom formation on weekly - classic bullish reversal
High volume (5.03M) confirming breakout authenticity
RSI trending upward with room for further upside
Insurance sector showing relative strength
Clear support base at 1,876-1,910 zone
Risk-Reward: Excellent 1:4+ ratio
Pattern: Multi-month base breakout + Rounding bottom - extremely reliable bullish setup on weekly timeframe
Strategy: Positional/long-term - Book 25% at T1 (1,990), 25% at T2 (2,025), trail remaining 50% with SL at 1,950 after T1 achieved
Key Levels:
Breakout Zone: 1,930-1,945 (critical resistance broken)
Strong Resistance: 1,984, 2,019, 2,056
Major Support: 1,910, 1,876
Major Catalyst:
420-day consolidation breakout = huge pent-up energy
Volume accumulation phase complete
Financial sector strength
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered. 420-day base breakout is significant - these typically lead to sustained moves. Weekly chart for medium to long-term position. Manage risk appropriately and conduct thorough research before investing.
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Nov 25, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Nov 25, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🧾 Backlog data hits at once: Delayed Sept Retail Sales + PPI finally print, giving a clearer view of demand and pipeline inflation.
📉 Cooler demand, firm prices: Sales miss old expectations while PPI stays positive, not the clean disinflation combo bulls want.
🏠 Housing and confidence: Case Shiller, Confidence, and Pending Home Sales update how higher rates are hitting owners and buyers into holiday season.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 8 30 AM block — Sept backlog
• Retail Sales (delayed): 0.3 percent vs 0.6 old forecast
• Retail Sales ex Auto: 0.3 percent vs 0.7
• PPI (delayed): 0.3 percent | YoY 2.6 percent
• Core PPI: 0.3 percent | YoY 2.8 percent
⏰ 9 00 AM
• Case Shiller 20 City Home Prices (Sept): 1.3 percent vs 1.6
⏰ 10 00 AM
• Business Inventories (Aug, delayed): 0.0 percent vs 0.2
• Consumer Confidence (Nov): 93.2 vs 94.6
• Pending Home Sales (Oct): 0.0 percent
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #stocks #macro #PPI #retailsales #consumer #housing #inflation #markets #investing
GBPUSD About to Drop Hard? Sellers Are Fully in Control!GBPUSD is entering a high-risk phase as both fundamentals and technicals are leaning strongly toward a bearish trend. With UK inflation falling to 3.6%, markets are now almost certain that the BoE will cut rates in December , which immediately weakens the British pound. Adding to the pressure, the upcoming Autumn Budget is expected to include significant tax increases, further weighing on the UK’s already fragile growth outlook.
Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to hold firm. Markets believe the Fed will keep rates higher for longer, and this week’s PCE and GDP data could further strengthen USD momentum. The DXY hovering around 100.22 shows that USD buyers are still in control.
From a technical standpoint, the chart shows GBPUSD being repeatedly rejected at the descending trendline. The 1.31200 area remains the key resistance zone where price is likely to be rejected again if it retests.
The primary scenario points to a weak pullback toward 1.31200 , followed by another leg down toward 1.30400. If US data comes in strong, 1.30400 may break, opening the door for a deeper bearish continuation.
If you want, I can format this as a YouTube script, a social-media caption, or an ultra-short summary.
ANNX 1D - pennant before the next impulse?On the daily chart, Annexon Inc. is forming a bullish pennant after a strong upward move — a classic continuation pattern often signaling the next wave of momentum.
The price remains above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with a golden cross confirming that buyers are still in control.
The key support zone is $2.70–2.90, while Fibonacci targets sit at $4.29 and $5.69 if momentum continues.
From a fundamental view , Annexon stays on investors’ radar as it develops treatments for neurodegenerative disorders - a risky but high-potential biotech niche.
Tactical plan: wait for a confirmed breakout from the pennant. If buyers push through, the uptrend could accelerate fast.
Remember - a golden cross doesn’t always mean golden profits, but it might this time.
SWING IDEA - BEMLBEML Ltd , a key player in India’s defence and heavy equipment sector, is displaying a strong bullish breakout setup supported by multiple technical confirmations.
Reasons are listed below :
Breakout of a long-term trendline after multiple retests
Cup and Handle breakout, signaling continuation strength
VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) breakout indicating accumulation
Bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe confirming momentum
Higher highs and higher lows structure intact
Trading above 50 & 200 EMA, reinforcing trend strength
Target - 5400
Stoploss - daily close below 3940
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
BABA Breakout WatchBABA’s daily chart has shifted from a strong August–October rally into a corrective phase, with price now around 160 and printing a clear sequence of lower highs and lows. Price sits below the MA20 and MA60 but still above the rising MA120 near 141. This keeps the broader uptrend technically alive while short-term pressure remains bearish. A potential Double Bottom is developing in the 150–153 demand zone, with a strong bullish reaction from the second trough and a neckline around 168.
For bulls, the key is clearing the moving-average “ceiling” first. A daily close above 165 would show that buyers are absorbing supply at resistance and open the path toward a retest of the 168 neckline. A confirmed daily close above 168 would validate the Double Bottom and put 175–179 initially, and then 184, on the radar as measured-move targets. For this bullish idea, a sustained move back below 158, and especially a break under 150, would be a clear invalidation and shift focus back toward 148–144 near the MA120.
If price instead loses 158 on a daily close without ever reclaiming 165, the bounce looks more like a relief rally inside the downtrend, with sellers likely pressing for a deeper test of 150 and potentially 144. Until either 165 breaks topside or 158 fails, expect noisy consolidation between support at 150 and resistance near 165. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
Thought of the Day 💡: Let the level confirm the idea, not the other way around.
------------------------
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Strong Bullish Pattern
There is a high chance that US100 will rise
after a formation of a cup & handle pattern on a 4h time frame
with a breakout of its neckline with a bullish imbalance.
Expect a rise at least to 24850
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ADA/USDT | Cardano Slides to 0.38 and Bears Keep Pushing!By analyzing the CRYPTOCAP:ADA chart on the 3 day timeframe, we can see that price finally dropped to 0.38, which confirms the bearish pressure we talked about earlier. ADA is now trading near 0.40 and the chart still looks weak. Buyers are not showing real strength and momentum is clearly on the sellers’ side.
If the drop continues, the next downside target I am watching is 0.36. Make sure you monitor price reaction at this level.
From my perspective, the 0.32 to 0.36 zone is a possible long term accumulation area for investors who use proper risk management and do their own research (DYOR).
For now the bias stays bearish until ADA reclaims strong levels with real demand.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USD/CHF Consolidates Within Prolonged RangeUSD/CHF continues to trade within a well-defined horizontal range between approximately 0.7850 and 0.8100, showing limited directional momentum over recent months. The pair’s repeated rejections from both upper and lower boundaries highlight market indecision and equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.7987 has acted as a median line within the range, while the 200-day SMA around 0.8218 remains well above current price, signaling that the broader trend bias is still neutral to slightly bearish. The MACD is marginally above the signal line, suggesting mild bullish momentum, though not yet sufficient to confirm a breakout. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers around 59, reflecting improving sentiment without reaching overbought conditions.
For now, USD/CHF remains confined within its established consolidation structure. A decisive close above 0.8100 would indicate a potential shift in momentum, while a move below 0.7850 would reaffirm range continuity or open the door to renewed weakness.
-MW
AUD/USD Holds 200-Day SMA - All Eyes on 0.6425 SupportThe Australian Dollar continues to hover near a key support area, with AUD/USD stabilizing around 0.6450 after several sessions of downside pressure. The pair is currently testing the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6461, which has provided a temporary floor despite broader weakness.
The 50-day SMA sits slightly above at 0.6541, forming a short-term resistance zone. The MACD remains marginally below the signal line, showing a weak bearish bias with limited downside acceleration. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers near 40, reflecting subdued momentum and suggesting the pair is neither oversold nor showing strong recovery signs yet.
From a broader technical perspective, the pair remains trapped between key Fibonacci retracement levels — support around 0.6425 and resistance near 0.6730. Sustained closes below the 200-day SMA could open the door for a deeper pullback, while a rebound above the 50-day SMA would signal renewed buying interest within the longer-term consolidation.
-MW
DXY Tests Key Resistance Amid Improving MomentumThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is testing a significant resistance zone around 100.30 after a steady climb from its October lows. Price has reclaimed the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and is now approaching the 200-day SMA near 99.85, a level that has acted as dynamic resistance for most of the year.
The RSI currently reads around 64, indicating improving bullish momentum but not yet overbought territory. The MACD histogram remains slightly positive, with the signal and MACD lines close to crossing, suggesting continued short-term strength but the potential for consolidation near resistance.
If price sustains above the 100.00–100.30 region, it would mark the first notable break above the 200-day SMA since early 2024 — a potentially constructive technical shift. However, repeated rejections from this level could keep the broader structure range-bound between 96.40 and 102.00.
Overall, the chart shows improving momentum within a long-term neutral framework. Confirmation above the 200-day SMA would be required to validate a sustained bullish bias.
-MW
Gold (XAU/USD) – Market Structure Analysis | November 24, 2025Bias: Neutral → Slight Bullish
Key Level to Watch: 4,075.24 USD
Gold is stabilizing inside a tightening consolidation zone, holding structure above the 4,040–4,000 support region while struggling to secure acceptance above the 4,100 psychological level. This compression indicates reduced volatility and signals an upcoming breakout as liquidity builds on both sides of the range.
Intraday order-flow shows buyers stepping in with higher lows and a steady recovery back into resistance. However, the broader structure remains neutral until a decisive break confirms directional dominance.
⸻
Technical Breakdown
Market Structure
• Market is range-bound between 4,000–4,100, forming a compression pattern
• Higher intraday lows indicate emerging bullish presence
• No confirmed breakout yet — market remains balanced
Key Resistance Zones
• 4,075.24 – Initial reaction level
• 4,087.69 – 4,090.45 – Critical breakout band
• 4,099.86 – 4,104 – Upper resistance cluster
• 4,150 – Higher-timeframe structural resistance
Key Support Zones
• 4,044.09 – Immediate intraday support
• 4,036.62 – Secondary support
• 4,032 → 4,000 – Structural support and bearish validation floor
⸻
Outlook & Interpretation
Gold remains in a neutral structure with slightly improving bullish sentiment. For buyers to take full control, price must break and hold above the 4,087–4,090 region. Until then, the market sits in equilibrium, with both sides defending key liquidity zones.
⸻
Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario
Break and hold above 4,087–4,090 → upside targets:
• 4,099 → 4,104 → 4,150
Neutral Scenario
Price remains between 4,044 – 4,087 → expect continued consolidation and liquidity build-up.
Bearish Scenario
Break below 4,044 → downside targets:
• 4,036 → 4,031, with 4,000 as the broader structural support.
XAUUSD: Stuck Above 4,000, Just Waiting for the Next DropThe current context shows gold being “squeezed” between two forces : on one side, improving risk appetite as markets expect the Fed to cut rates; on the other, ongoing geopolitical and global financial concerns . As a result, price is holding above 4,000 but finding it hard to break higher.
On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is moving sideways with a slight downside tilt, spending most of the time inside or below the Ichimoku cloud . The latest bounce only reached the 4,100 area before being sold off again, showing that the cloud and the top of the channel are still acting as a lid on the downtrend. In the middle of the range, price is hovering around the temporary support at 4,050 – which is also the level highlighted on the chart as a potential breakdown point.
Trading idea: if price fails to hold 4,100 and we get a clear H1 close confirming weakness, the intraday bearish trend could resume and drag gold back toward the 4,050 zone.
Good luck and trade safe!
NZDCHF: Bearish Wave is Coming 🇳🇿🇨🇭
Quick update for NZDCHF.
As the trend remains globally bearish,
I still believe that the pair will drop soon.
With a high probability, the price will reach 0.448 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURNZD: Bullish Movement Confirmed 🇪🇺🇳🇿
There is a high probability that EURNZD will continue rising
after a test of a strong rising trend line on a 4H.
A double bottom pattern formation on that on an hourly time frame
confirms a strong bullish sentiment.
Expect a rise at least to 2.0585
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Eicher Motors – Breakout Trade SetupPrice has broken out of a 2-month consolidation range (₹6,880–₹7,200) with strong volume.
This indicates momentum continuation toward upper resistance levels.
✅ Buy Above: ₹7,200 (Breakout confirmation zone)
🎯 Targets (Swing / Short-Term):
T1 – ₹7,227
T2 – ₹7,336
T2 – ₹7,468
🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹6,880 (below range support + 20EMA area)
⏳ Duration:
5–10 trading sessions (short-term swing trade)
📈 Reasoning (Professional View):
Breakout from a long consolidation box
Strong bullish candle + volume expansion
RSI breakout above 60 shows momentum shift
Above 20EMA after a sharp reversal
education purpose only
NASDAQ DEC 2025, Next week will unveil it all.I often like to use this approach, where I start from the most generic timeframe that still carries importance, moving into smaller timeframes narrowing the timeframe at each step, finally concluding with a short-term trade opportunity.
This post focuses solely on technical analysis, price action and trend behavior on the NDX. No fundamental expectations or macroeconomic interpretations are included.
I will be updating this post as trade opportunities develop.
A summary of this idea is provided at the end.
--- Long-Term Behavior ---
Long term outlook indicates that NDX had a strong bullish momentum until now, it pushed above the almost 5 year bullish trend marked with orange lines.
However, before it pushed above, NDX experienced a sharp decline. (marked with yellow circle)
But price carried back up with the yellow trend and created a much stronger bullish movement which managed to push further.
Now that stronger bullish movement is also over, NDX should be falling back for a retest. The last monthly candle was possibly the beginning of that retest movement.
After the retest two scenarios are possible, either it continues the bullish movement with a much higher pace or price fails to hold the retest and falls back toward the lower boundary of the previous long-term trend.
-- Short-Term Behavior --
In this section, I will be investigating the short-term movements to better predict a possible trade opportunity.
If we zoom into the yellow trend, the price was following a path estimated with the purple lines. Which also justifies the last months harsh fallback.
I expect NDX to start moving towards the lower boundary of the trend marked with yellow. (also, weekly RSI shows clear decrease in bullish momentum, indicating the yellow trend is coming to an end)
With all these in mind, to further predict the next 2-3 weeks movement, zooming into the last couple of months. NDX's last bearish movement, which I have shown with blue trend, can go two ways which the next weeks price movement will unveil. If the next week starts up bullish and the price fails to go down further NDX may rapidly rise. On the other hand, If it forms a steeper downtrend which I have shown in the second snapshot, it may possibly keep moving down for the long-term retest.
note that the trend drawings are estimations and may not be totally accurate.
-- Summary and Final Verdict --
Next week, we should see a clear directional bias for NDX
Bearish scenario: If price continues downward and establishes a steeper trend (as shown in the image), NDX is likely heading toward a full retest of the long-term breakout area.
Target: ~22,000
Bullish scenario: If the index shows clear signs of reversal and rejects further downside, a swift recovery toward previous highs is possible.
Target: ~26,500
I will be updating the post as we get a clearer image...
$SPY and $SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 24 to Nov 28, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY and SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 24 to Nov 28, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
📉 Shutdown backlog week: Most major September reports finally drop on Tuesday and Wednesday — Retail Sales, PPI, Durable Goods — all of which normally move markets but are arriving late due to the October shutdown.
🏠 Housing and consumer read-through: Case Shiller, Consumer Confidence, and Pending Home Sales give traders a real-time read on the health of housing and spending as the holiday season begins.
📉 Liquidity thinning: Thanksgiving week historically brings lighter volume and sharper moves when data surprises.
📊 Key Data and Events (ET)
Below are only the trader-relevant items, with delayed reports clearly marked.
TUESDAY, NOV 25 — The Big Data Dump
⏰ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 0.6 forecast)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales ex-Autos (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 0.7 forecast)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Producer Price Index PPI (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent
Year over year: 2.6 percent
⏰ 8:30 AM — Core PPI (Delayed Sept)
Prior: 0.3 percent
Current: Not available due to shutdown
⏰ 8:30 AM — Core PPI Year over Year
Actual: 2.8 percent
⏰ 9:00 AM — Case Shiller Home Price Index, 20-City (Sept)
Actual: Not available
Forecast: 1.6 percent
⏰ 10:00 AM — Business Inventories (Delayed Aug)
Actual: 0.1 percent
⏰ 10:00 AM — Consumer Confidence (Nov)
Actual: 93.4 (vs 94.6 forecast)
⏰ 10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Oct)
Actual: 0.0 percent
WEDNESDAY, NOV 26
⏰ 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 22)
Actual: 225,000 (vs 220,000 forecast)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 2.9 percent prior)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods ex-Transportation (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.4 percent
THURSDAY, NOV 27
🦃 Thanksgiving — No economic releases
FRIDAY, NOV 28
⏰ 9:45 AM — Chicago PMI (Nov)
Forecast: 43.8
⚠️ Note: Many September reports are still delayed due to the federal government shutdown from Oct 1 to Nov 12. All delayed items are explicitly labeled above.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #macro #trading #stocks #inflation #consumer #PPI #retailsales #housing #markets
XAGUSD Silver Outlook (Count 2)Here is my primary view on FX_IDC:XAGUSD . This is an updated view taking in to account the monthly time frame chart which i have recently shared, i may work on publishing the monthly idea soon.
In this outlook silver is currently close to working through a series of wave 4's and 5's. As I mention on the chart if the projected levels change but the sequence is accurate then I’ll be happy with that.
I have added some more comments in the chart regarding the Elliott wave guideline of alternation, which we should consider when forecasting future price action.
In line with the monthly chart, this outlook now shows the $87 target, and the analysis behind it. I have changed the wave degrees to reflect this current impulsive rally being in the cyan primary degree sitting under the purple cycle degree wave III.
More comments on the chart.
NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK: HOLDS 26000, EYES ON 26277–26600Nifty closed at 26068, staying firmly above the key psychological level of 26000. The index made a high of 26246 and a low of 25856, again respecting my broader range of 26400–25400.
Bias: Bullish above 26000, cautious below 25850.
If Nifty sustains above 26000, upside continuation towards 26277 (ATH), 26492 (important Fibonacci level), and 26600 remains possible.
Below this week’s low of 25856, weakness can extend towards 25600.
Expected range for the coming week: 26600–25600 .
Sector View:
Last week I highlighted strength in PSU Banks, Private Banks, Auto, and Metals.
PSU index gave up early gains and closed flat. Auto ended the week 1% higher, showing sustained momentum. Metals fell 3% and closed at the weekly low, signalling pressure.
For Nifty to move higher, PSU and Private Banks along with Auto must remain strong. Metals need to avoid fresh weekly lows to prevent broader drag on sentiment.
BANKNIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK: STRONG CLOSE BUT WITH CAUTION
BankNifty posted an all-time high weekly close but formed a shooting star candle, indicating possible exhaustion.
If BankNifty sustains above 59267, it can extend towards 60087 (important Fibonacci level).
Below 58600, downside may open towards 57800–57700.
Expected range: 60000–57700.
S&P 500 WEEKLY OUTLOOK: WATCH FOR MONTHLY PATTERN CONFIRMATION
S&P500 closed at 6602, down 130 points from last week.
If the index sustains above 6700, the uptrend can resume towards 6840, 6881, 6930, and 7000.
However, if the monthly candle confirms a bearish engulfing pattern, a 10–14% correction from current levels becomes possible. Traders should consider hedging long positions.
Overall Market View:
Nifty is holding above a critical level and remains positioned for a breakout if sectors align. BankNifty needs confirmation above 59267 for further upside. Global cues from S&P500 will be important as a bearish monthly pattern could impact risk sentiment.
LUMN preparing the next step or just warming upLUMN returned to the key accumulation zone near 6.63 and held above this support. The retest created a potential reversal structure on the daily chart. Divergence and increasing volume confirm the presence of demand. A breakout above 7.65 will confirm the beginning of an impulse toward 11.95 and later toward the extension area near 17.27.
L umen Technologies is a major provider of telecommunications and cloud services with a wide data center network. The company serves corporate clients and government institutions with a focus on network infrastructure cyber security and data transmission.
Fundamental picture as of November 23
Lumen maintains stable cash flow and continues to reduce its debt burden. Management improved its profit outlook. Network modernization reduces operational expenses and gradually increases margins. Corporate demand remains stable which supports long term recovery. Revenue growth remains moderate and is still affected by competition and legacy contracts.
Technical view
As long as the price stays above the zone near 6.30 the accumulation structure remains valid. A confirmed breakout above 7.65 will open the path toward 11.95 while a move above that level will allow development toward 17.27. The bullish scenario remains valid while price stays above demand.
Market mood
LUMN looks like the speaker who stayed silent for a long time then suddenly raised a hand. Now the audience listens.






















