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EUR/USD Is Walking on Thin Ice📉 EUR/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS — RISING WEDGE LOSING MOMENTUM 1. Market Structure Overview EUR/USD is moving inside a Rising Wedge, a classic bearish reversal pattern. Key observations from current price action: - The higher highs are becoming weaker, showing fading bullish momentum. - The lower trendline has been tested multiple times, increasing the probability of a breakdown. - The price is hovering near your entry zone, right at the confluence between: ✓ Rising Wedge support ✓ Micro lower-high structure - Candles show rejection wicks on the upside, indicating pressure from sellers. This structure suggests the market is preparing for a bearish shift. 2. Main Scenario — Breakdown is More Likely (Preferred) If EUR/USD breaks below the Rising Wedge support with a firm candle close: 👉 Expect a sharp sell continuation toward the demand zone. SELL confirmation checklist: - A candle closes below the dotted support line - Price retests that broken line and rejects → your entry zone - A new lower high forms When this happens, sellers will dominate the next movement. Downside Targets Target 1: Support zone in the green zone Target 2: Previous swing low of the wedge Target 3: Extended bearish continuation if momentum accelerates 3. Secondary Scenario — Weak Bounce but Still Bearish If price bounces slightly from the wedge bottom but fails to break the upper resistance zone, then: - Market remains weakly bullish but highly vulnerable - Momentum will continue to compress - Eventually, a breakdown becomes the high-probability outcome - Buy positions are not recommended here — risk > reward 4. Intraday Bias 📌 Bias: Bearish to moderately bearish 📌 Setup: Sell the retest near the entry zone 📌 Invalidation: Clean breakout above the resistance zone Sellers are in control as long as the price stays inside the wedge and below the resistance zone. 5. Final Verdict EUR/USD is signaling a high-probability bearish reversal: Rising Wedge losing power Buyer exhaustion visible Support line weakened Retest zone beautifully aligned for SELL positions 👉 Expect: Breakdown → Retest → Sell-off toward major support.
Short
by Matthew_TradeRFX
XAUUSD: Strong Growth and Buying OpportunityWith the prospect of a Fed interest rate cut and the weakening of the USD, XAUUSD is showing signs of a strong growth phase. Based on macroeconomic news and technical charts, we can see that the price of gold continues to hold steady above the uptrend line . XAUUSD is currently pulling back to instant support at 4,120,000 USD . The uptrend is supported by the EMA (34, 89) indicators and the current upward trend. The strong support at 4,120,000 USD plays a crucial role in maintaining this upward momentum. Short-Term Forecast: XAUUSD could continue to rise to higher levels if it holds above 4,120,000 USD, with the next target being the TP1 level at 4,200,000 USD , and even the TP2 level at 4,250,000 USD . This is supported by market expectations that the Fed will continue to lower interest rates in December, weakening the USD and boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Conclusion: With a stable upward trend and support from both the market and chart indicators, XAUUSD is likely to continue its upward movement. If there is a pullback to the support level, it will provide an excellent opportunity for buying.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
25
ETH BREAKOUT: DON’T MISS THE NEXT BIG MOVE!📌 ETH/USD MARKET ANALYSIS – 30M (Professional Trader Style) 1. Overall Market Structure - Price has been consolidating inside a descending channel. - Forming consistent lower highs – lower lows, but selling pressure is weakening near the demand zone. - Finally, price created a rectangle compression and then broke out aggressively above the descending trendline. 2. Key Zones ✔ Demand Zone (Strong Support): 2980 – 3010 Multiple rejections + strong bullish reactions → buyers clearly defend this area. ✔ Supply Zone (Key Resistance): 3065 – 3090 Price is approaching this zone again, but momentum suggests a high probability of BREAKING THROUGH. 3. Breakout Confirmation The breakout candle shows: - Strong bullish body - Increased volume - Clear break of previous lower high → CHOCH (Change of Character) This signals that ETH is transitioning from a correction phase into a renewed bullish trend. 4. Trading Plan (Price Action Style) 📌 Primary Scenario – BUY the Retest Wait for price to pull back into the broken supply zone (now a demand flip) at 3065–3075. Enter BUY when you see: - Rejection wicks - Bullish engulfing - FVG reaction - Or any PA confirmation 🎯 TP1: 3120 🎯 TP2: 3160 🎯 TP3: 3200+ ⛔ SL: Below 3045 (below breakout structure) 5. Why This BUY Setup Is High Probability ✔ Clean breakout of the descending channel ✔ Strong momentum push (not a weak fake-out) ✔ Beautiful defense at demand zone ✔ Trendline tested 3 times → valid breakout ✔ Market structure shift from bearish → bullish 6. Pro Tips Don’t FOMO buy the breakout candle Wait for a clean retest for better R:R Focus on zone reaction + CHOCH + bullish momentum Stay patient. The market always rewards disciplined traders.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
Rising Wedge on the Edge — The Breakdown Is Only One Candle AwayCURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS & TODAY’S EXPECTED MOVE 1. Current Market Structure The market is currently respecting the structure of a Rising Wedge — a pattern where price continues rising but momentum weakens, volatility compresses, and the probability of a bearish breakdown increases. Key observations: - Price is moving near the upper boundary of the wedge. - Newly formed highs lack strength → buying pressure is fading. - Recent candles show long upper wicks, indicating strong sell pressure at resistance. - The lower support line has been tested multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. - Buyers are losing control while sellers are beginning to step in. 2. Primary Scenarios for Today ✓ Scenario 1 – Breakdown of the Rising Wedge (High-probability scenario) If a candle closes decisively below the lower support, the market is likely to: - Drop quickly toward the next support levels. - Trigger strong seller participation on the retest of the broken trendline (support → resistance). - Confirm a high-quality SELL entry. Downside Targets: - Target 1: Nearest support zone - Target 2: Previous low of the wedge - Target 3: Major support below (depending on your timeframe) ✓ Scenario 2 – Price holds but remains weak If price bounces from the lower edge but fails to break the upper boundary: - The structure remains weakly bullish but vulnerable. - Any upward move is fragile and easy to reverse. - Not suitable for chasing BUY positions. - Bulls need a strong breakout above the upper trendline to reverse the bias — which currently has a lower probability. 3. Intraday Trend Bias Today’s intraday bias remains: DOWN (or at least corrective to the downside). Confirmation signs: - Support becomes easier to break the more it is tested. - Volume is weak on bullish moves. - Price action is tightening → preparing for a breakout. - Sellers will wait for a clean retest, as shown in your reference chart. 4. Conclusion The market is approaching the end-phase of a Rising Wedge, a classic bearish reversal pattern. Priority today: Wait for breakdown → retest → SELL. Avoid chasing BUY setups due to high reversal risk. Expected development: Break support → Retest → Continue dropping “Your edge is built from discipline — not every setup must be traded, but every trade must follow your plan.” Drop your market bias in the comments — do you expect the breakdown or a surprise breakout?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
BTCUSD – CHANNEL RESPECT & BULLISH CONTINUATION SCENARIO 📌 BTCUSD – CHANNEL RESPECT & BULLISH CONTINUATION SCENARIO (H1 Analysis) 1. Market Structure – Dow Theory Perspective On the H1 timeframe: - BTC has consistently printed Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) inside a well-defined ascending channel. - The recent corrective move into the ENTRY ZONE aligns perfectly with the channel’s mid-support. - Buyers have shown early signs of stepping back in, forming a localized HL and rejecting lower prices. According to Dow Theory: ➡ An uptrend remains intact as long as price continues forming higher lows and doesn’t break key structure support. ➡ BTC is currently maintaining all bullish conditions. This confirms that the pullback is structural, not a reversal. 2. Channel Confirmation & Price Reaction The ascending channel remains active and respected: ✔ Price rejected the upper resistance of the channel ✔ A healthy retracement is ongoing ✔ The market is approaching the ENTRY ZONE with decreasing bearish momentum The reaction behavior is typical of bullish continuation within a trend channel. There is no sign of market breakdown as long as price stays above the SUPPORT ZONE. 3. Key Zones to Watch 🔹 Support Zone (Entry Zone) Located at the mid-range of the channel — a high-probability area for buyers to return. This zone has historically shown strong demand and fits perfectly into the channel geometry. 🔹 Resistance Zone The upper boundary of the chart and liquidity zone. This is where previous rejection occurred, and where TP2 & TP3 are aligned. 4. Bullish Scenario – Primary Outlook BTC is expected to follow a standard: pullback → bullish rejection → continuation upward structure. 🎯 TP1: Minor channel resistance (short-term reaction zone) 🎯 TP2: Previous strong resistance zone 🎯 TP3: Channel top & extended liquidity zone As long as BTC holds above the SUPPORT / ENTRY ZONE, upward continuation remains the highest-probability scenario. 5. Alternative Scenario If BTC breaks below the support zone: - Price may retest the lower channel boundary - Market would enter a deeper correction phase - Trend remains bullish unless the lower channel is broken This scenario is less likely but still important to consider. 6. Technical Summary ✔ BTC continues respecting the rising channel ✔ Price is forming clean HL patterns ✔ Pullback is controlled — not impulsive ✔ Liquidity targets remain untouched above ✔ Structure supports bullish continuation Everything aligns with a high-probability bullish continuation setup. 🔥 Conclusion BTC remains in a well-defined bullish channel, and current price action is moving exactly according to prior projections. As long as price stays above the SUPPORT / ENTRY ZONE, the market strongly favors an upward continuation toward TP1 → TP2 → TP3. This is a clean, structure-based opportunity for channel traders, trend traders, and momentum traders alike.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Week of Dec 1 to Dec 5, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Dec 1 to Dec 5, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🏭 PMI and ISM reset the growth story: Monday and Wednesday bring manufacturing and services surveys that will steer the “soft landing versus slowdown” debate into year end. 🎤 Powell in prime time: Monday night remarks from the Fed Chair are the key policy event of the week and can move yields and risk right into the Asia open. 🧾 Backlog inflation and income data: Friday’s delayed September PCE, income, and spending finally land, giving a cleaner read on the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. 📉 Jobs and ADP midweek: ADP and weekly claims keep traders focused on labor cooling versus resilience ahead of the next full employment report. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) MONDAY, DEC 1 ⏰ 9 45 AM • S and P Final United States Manufacturing PMI (Nov) — prior 51.9 ⏰ 10 00 AM • ISM Manufacturing (Nov) ⏰ 8 00 PM • Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks TUESDAY, DEC 2 ⏰ 10 00 AM • Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman testifies ⏰ TBA • Auto Sales (Nov) — around 16.4 million expected WEDNESDAY, DEC 3 ⏰ 8 15 AM • ADP Employment (Nov) — expected around 42,000 ⏰ 8 30 AM • Import Price Index (Sept, delayed) • Import Price Index excluding fuel (Sept, delayed) ⏰ 9 45 AM • S and P Final United States Services PMI (Nov) ⏰ 10 00 AM • ISM Services (Nov) THURSDAY, DEC 4 ⏰ 8 30 AM • Initial Jobless Claims (week of Nov 29) • United States Trade Deficit (Oct) ⏰ 12 00 PM • Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman speaks FRIDAY, DEC 5 — PCE Backlog Day ⏰ 8 30 AM • Personal Income (Sept, delayed report) • Personal Spending (Sept, delayed report) • PCE Price Index (Sept, delayed report) • Core PCE Price Index (Sept, delayed report) • PCE and Core PCE year over year (Fed’s preferred inflation gauges) ⏰ 10 00 AM • University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, preliminary (Dec) — around 51.0 ⏰ 3 00 PM • Consumer Credit (Oct) — prior roughly 13.1 billion ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #stocks #macro #Powell #PCE #ISM #ADP #inflation #economy #markets #investing
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
SPX WEEK 48 — Strong Bounce Into Year-End! 2026 BULL RUN COMING?Strong week for the SP:SPX index. After two weeks of hesitation candles, price finally shifted back into strength and pushed decisively higher. This week’s candle not only reclaimed momentum but fully erased last week’s cooling-off behavior. Price also moved well above the key mid-range levels that traders usually watch to define trend health. It’s now sitting firmly above the major risk zone and continues building distance away from it — a clear sign of strength. From the moment this week’s upside break triggered, the index has gained roughly 1.9%, and that kind of move typically translates into solid returns for options traders playing directional setups. Major support zones sit lower around 5900, 5100, and the deeper structural support near 4000. As long as price holds above the upper layers of support, momentum remains intact. On the higher-timeframe monthly chart, the trend has been active for eight straight months with no signs of exhaustion. Price is still far above the level where the monthly trend began, and even further above the long-term midline — showing how dominant the larger trend still is. The 2-day chart continues to support the overall bullish structure, breaking above short-term levels and maintaining strength after multiple confirmations earlier in the week. This week was a clean continuation of the broader uptrend — strong candle, strong momentum, and strong positioning above every major structural region. Elite clarity. Elite precision. More coming soon.
SP:SPXLong
by GURULifeline
Why We Loaded $MSTR at $169 (5:1 Risk/Reward to $355)Have you ever watched a stock pull back 65% and wondered if it was opportunity or disaster? Have you ever missed a major setup because fear told you to stay away? This analysis breaks down why NASDAQ:MSTR at $169 presented a textbook geometric retracement opportunity with exceptional risk/reward asymmetry. Hello ✌️ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational breakdown of structure-based position entry. 🎯 Analytical Insight on MSTR MicroStrategy pulled back from $543 to $169 a 65% retracement that brought price directly into a major accumulation zone. This wasn't random. It aligned perfectly with: Fibonacci retracement from 2020 lows to 2024 highs A long-term ascending trendline dating back to 2020 The monthly $112 support zone that held as a floor Our position entry: $169 Our invalidation level: $131.80 (below structure) Our first target: $360 (previous resistance zone) Risk: $37.20 per share Reward: $191 per share Ratio: 5.13:1 This setup didn't require predicting the future. It required identifying where risk was defined and reward was probable based on historical price structure. 📚 Educational Section: Why Geometric Retracements Work The Psychology of Pullbacks When price drops 65%, most traders experience: Fear that it will continue falling forever Doubt about whether the trend is still valid Paralysis from watching others panic sell Professional traders see the same chart differently: Defined risk at structural support Historical patterns of mean reversion Favorable asymmetry when risk is small relative to potential reward The majority fears what professionals buy. 📉 Understanding Market Structure Markets don't move in straight lines. They: Trend in one direction (impulse) Retrace to gather liquidity (correction) Resume the primary direction (continuation) The 0.618 to 0.786 retracement zone historically shows the highest probability of reversal in trending assets. Why? Early sellers have exhausted Value buyers recognize the discount Risk can be defined tightly below support At $169, MSTR offered: Clear invalidation below $131.80 Multiple timeframe confluence Structural support from prior consolidation 🎯 Why This Entry Made Sense Risk Was Defined Below $169, the next logical support was $131.80. If price broke below that level, the bullish structure would be invalidated. This gave us a clear exit point before entering. Reward Was Probable The previous resistance zone at $360 represented a 113% gain from entry. Even a conservative 50% retracement would target $220+, still offering excellent reward. Structure Aligned Monthly support held Trendline from 2020 intact Retracement zone tested multiple times Volume showed exhaustion, not acceleration 📊 Tools Used for This Analysis Fibonacci Retracement Identified the 0.786 level as a deep pullback zone where buyers historically step in. Trendline Analysis The ascending line from 2020 provided dynamic support that price respected. Volume Profile Showed accumulation at lower levels with decreasing selling pressure. Horizontal Support Zones The $105-110 monthly level acted as a psychological floor, preventing further collapse. Risk/Reward Calculator Entry: $169 Stop: $131.80 Target: $360 Result: 5.13:1 asymmetry 🛡️ Risk Management Framework Stop Loss Below Structure Our stop at $131.80 was placed below the invalidation point. If price reached that level, our thesis would be wrong and we'd exit with controlled loss of $37.20 per share. Position Sizing Based on Risk With $37.20 risk per share, position size was calculated to risk only 1-2% of total capital. This meant even if wrong, the account remained intact. Target Based on Structure, Not Hope $360 wasn't arbitrary. It represented previous resistance where sellers had historically appeared. We planned to reduce exposure at that level. 🧠 Trader Psychology: Why Most Miss These Setups Fear of Catching a Falling Knife After a 65% drop, the brain assumes it will continue. But without defined support, there's no knife just falling into the void. At $169, support was visible and the stop at $131.80 was clear. Recency Bias The most recent price action (the drop) feels like it will continue forever. Historical structure suggests otherwise, but emotions overpower data. Herd Mentality When everyone is bearish, contrarian positions feel uncomfortable. But the best risk/reward setups rarely have crowd consensus. Waiting for Confirmation Many traders wait for price to "prove" itself by moving higher first. By then, risk has expanded and reward has diminished. Entry at $169 with $37.20 risk is superior to entry at $250 with $118.20 risk to the same stop level. 📌 Proper Entry Execution We didn't enter the entire position at once: First third at $169 (initial position) Second third at $155 if support retested (average down if structure held) Final third reserved if $140 tested (closer to stop but maximum opportunity) This scaling approach: Reduced emotional pressure Improved average entry if structure tested Maintained discipline through volatility 🏆 What Professionals Do Differently They Don't Chase Momentum Entry at $543 (the top) felt safe because price was rising. Entry at $169 felt dangerous because price was falling. Professionals understand that perceived safety is often maximum risk. They Define Risk First Before asking "how much can I make," they ask "how much can I lose." The $131.80 level answered that question clearly. They Accept Being Wrong If MSTR broke $131.80, the position would be exited without hesitation. No hoping, no averaging down into a broken structure. Wrong is wrong. They Journal Every Decision Entry logic, risk parameters, and target zones were documented before entry. This removes emotion from exit decisions later. 🎯 Key Takeaways ✅ Risk/reward asymmetry matters more than being right: A 5:1 setup allows you to be wrong multiple times and still profit overall if position sizing is consistent. ✅ Structure defines opportunity: Random entries have random outcomes. Entries at defined support with clear invalidation have statistical edges. ✅ Emotions are the enemy: When $169 felt scary, that was the signal. When $543 felt safe, that was the warning. ✅ Patience beats prediction: We didn't predict $169 was the bottom. We identified it as a zone where risk was small ($37.20) and reward was large ($191). That's enough. ⚠️ Important Disclaimers This analysis is educational and reflects a specific position entry based on technical structure. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell MSTR or any security. Position entries, stop losses, and targets are shared for educational purposes to demonstrate risk management principles. Your risk tolerance, timeframe, and capital allocation should differ based on your individual circumstances. Past price structure does not guarantee future performance. MSTR could have broken $131.80 and invalidated this setup entirely, resulting in a controlled loss. Not all setups work, which is why risk management exists. Always conduct your own analysis, consider your risk tolerance, and consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions. All trading and investing involves risk of loss. ✨ Support This Content If this breakdown helped you understand structure-based entries and risk management, leave a comment with your thoughts or questions. Your engagement helps us create more educational content like this. 📜 Do your own research. Manage your risk. Trade with discipline.
NASDAQ:MSTREducation
by RB_T
GBP/JPY: Mild Growth in the Short TermGBP/JPY is currently showing a mild uptrend, supported by both macroeconomic and technical factors. With expectations that the Fed will lower interest rates in the near future, the low-interest-rate environment is helping GBP strengthen against JPY. The Japanese yen remains weak due to BoJ's easing policy , providing an opportunity for GBP/JPY to continue its upward move. On the H4 chart, GBP/JPY is following a steady uptrend, supported by a solid trendline. The Ichimoku cloud also supports this trend, with the price consistently staying above the cloud , reinforcing the upward momentum. In the short term, if 205.50 holds, GBP/JPY could continue to target the 206.20–206.40 range. However, the strong resistance at 208.00 should be monitored if the price continues its upward move. In summary, the mild uptrend is expected to persist in the short term, with opportunities to buy on slight corrections , but it's important to pay attention to key support and resistance levels.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
36
AVGO: Path to $829.77 – Navigating Critical Fibonacci Zones​1. Overall Thesis and Price Structure ​Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) exhibits a strong underlying bullish trend, fundamentally driven by demand for its AI chips and the successful integration of VMware. The technical objective targets a final high of $829.77. However, the path requires breaking through significant resistance levels defined by the Fibonacci structure. The current price is \mathbf{\$402.96}, maintaining the bullish momentum. ​2. Crucial Resistance and Volatility Points ​The analysis identifies two critical intermediate targets. The first and most significant hurdle is at $567.10, which aligns closely with the \mathbf{0.618} Fibonacci Golden Ratio. This zone is expected to trigger major volatility, profit-taking, and consolidation. The price action at $567.10 is the key test for trend continuity. Should the price break this level decisively, the next primary resistance target is $688.63, paving the way for the ultimate goal. ​3. Key Support and Trend Invalidation ​The long-term structural support, or the "Invalidation Point" for the bullish scenario, is the Key Zone at \mathbf{\$206.00}. As long as AVGO trades above this level, the multi-year uptrend remains valid. In the short term, the stock needs to overcome immediate resistance near $414.77 to gather momentum and continue its push towards the intermediate Fibonacci targets.
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by adham2022
XAU/USD: Strong Uptrend, Ready to Break to New HighsHello traders! Today, we’ll analyze gold (XAU/USD), which is currently in a strong uptrend, and explore opportunities to capitalize on this momentum. The latest news shows that gold has surged on November 26th, with the market anticipating that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might cut interest rates in December. Spot gold reached its highest level since mid-November, touching 4,170 USD/ounce. Factors such as mixed economic data from the U.S ., concerns about the labor market , and weakening consumer confidence have created a positive sentiment for gold. From a technical analysis standpoint, the chart shows that XAU/USD is moving in a clear ascending wedge . The current price is near the support zone at 4,130 USD, with the potential for the uptrend to continue towards 4,240 USD if the price maintains its bullish momentum. Indicators like EMA 34 and EMA 89 both support the upward trend, reinforcing the potential for new highs. Trading Strategy: Buy when the price adjusts to 4,130 USD and shows signs of reversal. The target for the uptrend could be 4,240 USD, and if the price breaks this level, we can expect gold to move towards 4,300 USD. A stop-loss can be placed around 4,120 USD to protect the account. With positive market trends and technical support, gold is likely to continue its upward momentum in the near future. Stay updated and take advantage of this opportunity!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
19
Unlocking Potential: Power Finance Corporation Analysis! 💼📈Traders, let's delve into Power Finance Corporation today ! 🌟 In the daily timeframe, we're witnessing a range-bound movement, with the price testing previous swing highs. 🔄 Anticipate a breakout above this level(red box), potentially targeting Rs. 450 and beyond. But before that it may come around at Rs.400 to go up further. PFC appears poised for bullish action! 🚀 Options traders, explore 400 CE or below 400 CE options with ample liquidity. Let's capitalize on this opportunity! 💼📊 Thank you. See you again in the next post! Best regards, Alpha Trading Station
NSE:PFCLong
by AlphaTradingStation
Top 4 Price Action Signals For Beginners. Forex, Gold Trading I will reveal 4 accurate price action signals that even a newbie trader will manage to easily recognize. Watch carefully because these signals alone will help you to make a lot of money trading Forex, Gold or any other financial market. Change of Character Change of character is a strong signal that indicates a trend violation and a highly probable market reversal. In a bearish trend, the change of character will be a bullish violation of the level of the last lower high. Check how the change of character accurately indicated a bullish reversal on EURJPY pair. In a bullish trend, a bearish violation of the level of the last higher low will signify a change of character and a highly probable bearish reversal. Bearish violation of the last higher low level and a change of character on USDJPY gave a perfect bearish signal. Breakout of Consolidation No matter what time frame you trader, you probably noticed that quite often the markets become weak and start consolidating . Most of the time, the prices tend to consolidate within horizontal ranges. Breakout of one of the boundaries of the range can give you a strong trading signal. Check how the price acted on GBPCHF. The breakout of the support/resistance of the range always gave an accurate signal, no matter what was the preceding direction of the market. Trend Line Breakout of a Pattern There are a lot of trend line based bullish and bearish price action patterns: the ranges, the wedges, the triangles, the channels. What unites these patterns is that the violation of the trend line of the pattern gives a strong trading signal. A bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge, a bullish flag and a symmetrical triangle will give us a strong bullish signal. Just look how EURUSD bounced after a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern. While a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising wedge, a bearish flag or a symmetrical triangle will indicate a highly probable bearish continuation Here is how a bearish breakout of the support of a symmetrical triangle formation helped me to predict a bearish movement on Gold. Neckline breakout of a horizontal pattern There are a lot of different price action patterns. One element that unites many of them is the so-called horizontal neckline. In bearish price action patterns like double top, head and shoulders, descending triangle, triple top, etc. a horizontal neckline represents a support from where buyers are placing their orders. Bearish violation of such a neckline will be considered to be an important sign of strength of the sellers and a strong bearish signal. In bullish price action patterns like double bottom, inverted head and shoulders pattern, ascending triangle, cup & handle, etc. a horizontal neckline represents a resistance where sellers a placing their orders. Its bullish violation will a strong bullish signal. Below is a perfect example how a bullish breakout of a neckline of an inverted head and shoulders pattern on Bitcoin triggered a strong bullish rally. Here is how a breakout of a neckline of a double top on USDCAD confirmed an initiation of a bearish correctional movement. The most important thing about these price action signals is that it is very simple to recognize them. You should learn the basic price action rules and a couple of classic price action patterns, it will be more than enough for you to identify confirmed bullish and bearish reversals on any time frame and any trading instrument. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
14
1 Test – 2 Breaks” in Gold: How It WorksIn the gold market, there’s a price behavior pattern that professional traders always pay attention to: “1 test – 2 breaks”. This is not a lucky pattern or a coincidence — it is a repeating market behavior driven by liquidity, psychology, and institutional order flow. Once you understand this rule, you’ll read gold’s movement far more clearly, especially during volatile phases. 1. What does “1 test – 2 breaks” actually mean? This rule describes how gold typically reacts when it approaches a major support or resistance zone: First time: Price tests the level and rejects strongly. Traders think the zone is “solid”. Second time: Price returns but reacts weaker. This is where the market is collecting liquidity. Third time: The level gets broken decisively, starting a strong move in the breakout direction. In short: Gold respects the level the first time, tricks traders the second time, and breaks for real on the third. 2. Why does gold follow this rule so often? Not random. There are three core reasons: 2.1. Gold has extremely high liquidity Gold (XAUUSD) is one of the most liquid assets in the world. Institutions dominate Volatility is high Price often seeks stop-loss zones This makes support/resistance areas get tested multiple times before the real break. 2.2. Retail traders believe too much in “strong levels” Retail traders tend to: Buy at support Sell at resistance Place SLs below/above obvious levels Result? Market makers know exactly where liquidity clusters are , so they push price to test those zones multiple times before the real move. 2.3. Institutions need liquidity to build large positions Big players can’t: Buy directly at the bottom Sell directly at the top They need price to revisit the zone to gather liquidity → then break it decisively. The “1 test – 2 breaks” pattern reflects this institutional flow perfectly. 3. How to apply this rule in gold trading (1) Don’t enter on the first test The first reaction is strong but often not sustainable . Avoid FOMO — just observe. (2) The second test reveals the market’s intention If the second reaction is: Weaker Low momentum Weak rejection wicks Lack of strong buyers/sellers → It likely indicates liquidity harvesting. (3) The third approach is where the breakout often happens If price comes back the third time with: Faster momentum No higher highs / lower lows No clear rejection Clean, steady approach → It’s a strong sign the zone is about to be broken cleanly . You can then look for breakout entries or retest entries. 4. Important notes Don’t apply this rule mechanically Only use it on significant zones, especially on H1 and H4 Confirm with momentum or volume Avoid using it during high-impact news (NFP, CPI, FOMC…) 5. Conclusion: Gold doesn’t move randomly — it repeats behavior The “1 test – 2 breaks” rule works because: Institutions need liquidity Retail SLs cluster at predictable spots Gold’s volatility + liquidity amplify the pattern Recognizing this gives you: Fewer premature entries Fewer SL hunts More confidence during real breakouts
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Paradise_Noir
16
Gold: Safe-Haven Demand Surges After Venezuela TensionsHey Traders, In the coming week we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,195 zone. Gold remains in a clear uptrend, and the current correction is guiding price back toward a major support-and-trendline confluence, where buyers have consistently defended the structure. On the fundamental side, safe-haven flows are heating up again. Following Trump’s announcement that a land operation against Venezuela is expected to begin soon, markets quickly shifted into risk-off mode. Geopolitical uncertainty has historically driven capital toward traditional havens — and Gold often reacts first. If tensions continue to escalate, the 4,195 zone could become the launchpad for the next bullish extension, with sentiment strongly supporting upside. Trade safe, Joe
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
33
NGAS 1D - bulls waiting for the green lightOn the daily chart, Natural Gas has broken out of a falling wedge, but price remains below the MA200, while EMA still hovers above it - a mixed signal showing short-term hesitation within a longer-term downtrend. The 3.10–3.20 buy zone remains key - that’s where the retest area aligns with short-term support. If buyers can reclaim the EMA and push above the MA200, the next upside targets are 4.14 and then 4.92. Volume on the breakout supports growing bullish interest, while fundamentals - like rising seasonal demand - may soon add more fuel to the move. Tactically , watch how price behaves near MA200. Once EMA flips back on top, momentum could accelerate fast. Until then, the market’s like a gas burner waiting for that click - ignition pending
FX:NGASLong
by TotoshkaTrades
1