Gold Pullback Toward 3,630 as Uptrend Remains IntactHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) for a buying opportunity around the 3,630 zone. Gold is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is retracing after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 3,630 — a significant zone where buyers may look to rejoin the prevailing trend.
Fundamentals: A softer U.S. Dollar and steady demand for safe-haven assets continue to support the case for Gold strength on dips.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support & resistance analysis
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Buy/Sell or SKIP? The Truth About Fake Breakouts you must knowNot every breakout leads to profits—some are traps waiting to catch unprepared traders. This video reveals the critical multi-timeframe logic needed to separate genuine opportunities from fake breakouts.
Chart used is 3 months old for educational purposes only.
USDJPYas i live in japan but not much as i trade on this pair, here is what i see potentional move aftre brinking the resistent or support, can catch up the trend follow.
the line may make youu clear image, this analysis is base on weekly frame to 4H
weekly low.
weekly high
leave your comment or any qustion in the comment.
Pre-FOMC Crossfire US DOLLAR INDEXPre-FOMC Dollar War Map
The weekly chart just printed a fourth straight lower high—
a slow grind down while Friday’s close stayed red.
Liquidity is stacked behind us, perfect fuel if the desks want to run stops before the Fed.
Order flow shows massive resting bids around 96.962, the last structural block.
If that line cracks, expect the move to be fast and brutal.
Cross-markets are whispering the opposite:
equities, metals, and crypto are coiled to run if the dollar slips.
The headlines will call it a surprise.
It isn’t. The map was drawn weeks ago.
Focus on levels, not noise.
Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
Short term analysis main trend is still bullishXAU/USD Technical Analysis (H1)
1. Overall Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is moving inside an upward channel, confirmed by two parallel rising trendlines.
After bouncing from the strong support zone around 3,520 – 3,540 USD, price has been forming higher lows, keeping the bullish structure intact.
2. Key Support & Resistance
Strong Resistance: 3,660 – 3,680 USD zone. Price has been rejected here multiple times, creating a zig-zag/triangle-like pattern.
Dynamic Support: The rising trendline. As long as price stays above this line, the bullish bias remains valid.
Static Support: 3,520 – 3,540 USD. If the trendline breaks, this will be the next key zone to test buyers’ strength.
3. Chart Pattern
Price is consolidating in a triangle/zig-zag formation within an uptrend, often considered a continuation pattern.
If the resistance at 3,660 – 3,680 USD is broken, price may rally toward the psychological level 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
4. Trading Scenarios
Bullish (preferred):
Enter long on pullbacks to the trendline or on a breakout above 3,660–3,680.
Target: 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
Stop-loss: Below 3,620 or under the trendline.
Bearish (alternative):
If price breaks the rising trendline, a correction toward 3,520 – 3,540 USD is possible.
This zone will act as a decisive level for the next direction.
👉 Conclusion: The short-term bias remains bullish, but a clear breakout above 3,660 – 3,680 is needed for confirmation.
Gold faces early selling pressure | Main trend still Buy🟡 XAU/USD – 15/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED rate cut probabilities this week :
-25bps : 96.4% (up from 89.1%).
-50bps : only 3.0% (down sharply from 10.9%).
Trump : Announced more sanctions on Russia, urged NATO to stop buying Russian oil; also emphasized “the possibility of significant FED rate cuts.”
Key event today : New York Manufacturing Index at 1:30 (US time).
⏩ Captain’s Summary : The sharp drop in -50bps expectations caused early selling pressure on Gold this morning. But overall, FED is still certain to cut rates and inflation is cooling → the bigger trend continues to favor Buy .
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : 3665 – 3670 (Weak High & upper cap).
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : 3623 – 3603 – 3587.
Market Structure :
On H1, Gold is moving within a tightening triangle with EqH and EqL .
Main trend stays bullish, but needs a retest of support before rallying toward 3665 – 3670.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3623 – 3625
SL: 3612
TP: 3640 – 3650 – 3660 – 3665+
Buy Zone 2 (FVG)
Entry: 3603 – 3605
SL: 3592
TP: 3620 – 3640 – 3655 – 3665
Deep Buy Zone
Entry: 3587 – 3590
SL: 3575
TP: 3610 – 3630 – 3650
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3665 – 3670
SL: 3678
TP: 3655 – 3645 – 3635 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship faces headwinds this morning as sailors reduce expectations for a -50bps cut. But the larger sail remains filled with dovish FED winds, steering the voyage north. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3623 – 3603 – 3587) is the safe dock to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3665 – 3670) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . The main journey still favors Buy , waiting for the FED to blow more tailwind into the Golden sails.”
BTC/USD Weekend War Map• Weekly sStructure single-prints filled ✅
• Retracing toward key stop zones 114,915 & 113,730
• Hourly range = chop, order-flow weak → no fresh longs
• Vol-midline = profit-taking pivot
Weekend algos have been ruthless lately—another wave lower tonight or Sunday session isn’t off the table.
Saturday scalpers: stay alert , stops tight.
DAMUSDT: Long setup from daily resistance at 0.08568The level is formed by an anomalously large bar from 09.09. Its strength is confirmed by the price stopping just below it on the local timeframe and entering a consolidation. I expect minimal volatility before the level and a continuation of the consolidation. If the consolidation is short, a strong breakout may not occur, resulting in a false breakout.
Scenario:
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Prolonged consolidation
Repeated precise tests of the level
Consolidation with price compression
Do not open a trade if the scenario does not play out.
Do not open a trade solely because the price is crossing a key level, even if it is very strong. Pay attention to how the price crosses the level.
The Trader's House
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context
📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS.
📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 .
📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority)
🎯 Entry:
FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593
FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560
OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540
⛔ SL: below 3520
✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High)
✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740
2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend)
Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break.
🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680
✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567
⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long.
3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario)
If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated.
🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): To the New Highs!
US100 index successfully broke and closed above a major
daily resistance cluster on Friday.
The index will likely grow more and reach new highs soon.
The next resistance is 24300
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Bitcoin — resistance test and growth targetsBitcoin is trading near the 115,000 zone, facing key resistance at the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci levels. A breakout above 116,900 would pave the way toward the next target at 125,000. In case of a pullback, support lies at 112,000 and 110,000, with deeper support near 104,000.
From a fundamental perspective, cryptocurrencies remain supported by institutional inflows and the demand for digital assets as an inflation hedge. Growth potential persists as long as equity markets show strength and the US dollar remains under pressure.
A stock you buy and forget — the longer you hold, the more you earn.
GOLD Sideway Waiting for a Strong Breakout on Interest Rate News📊 Timeframe: H1
💡 Technical Analysis:
Gold is currently moving in a sideways structure within a clearly defined range, forming a mild descending channel on the chart.
The market shows signs of a short-term correction, likely to retest key Fibonacci support levels before a potential breakout.
Two important Fibonacci levels to watch: 0.5 (3,593) and 0.618 (3,574) – this could be the final corrective wave before a strong upward move.
Upcoming interest rate news today may act as the catalyst for a significant rally.
🟢 Suggested Trade Plan
BUY zone: 3,593 – 3,690
Stop Loss (SL): 3,580
Take Profit (TP):
Target 1: 3,615
Target 2: 3,630
Target 3: 3,640
Target 4: 3,650
🎯 New ATH: 3,675+ if the channel high is broken
📌 Key Notes
Watch for price reactions near the Fibonacci support zones, especially before and after the interest rate announcement.
Manage your position sizing carefully—avoid over-leveraging during potential high-volatility news events.
This is a personal analysis for sharing trading ideas only, not financial advice.
💬 Feel free to share your thoughts and add your perspective so we can trade more effectively together on TradingView! 📈✨
ETH head and shoulders?I hope I am wrong but it looks like ETH is forming a head and shoulders pattern. This coming week is decisive in determining if ETH will break out past $5k and reach new ATH's or if it will decline into a bear market.
The supply zone appears to begin at $4.6k and the nearest real demand zone is down at $2.5k.
I will be price watching closely this week as it is a decisive one. Best of luck, be careful.
Thoughts?
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 15 → Sept 19, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 15 → Sept 19, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🌐 Global central bank ripple: ECB’s Thursday decision sets tone for USD and cross-asset flows into Fed week.
📉 Positioning tight: After CPI/PPI last week, funds are leaning light into Wednesday’s Fed — volatility risk high.
🍏 Mega-cap overhang: Apple supply chain chatter + tech sector leadership in focus post-launch event.
💵 Dollar + oil watch: Stronger dollar and stubborn crude prices remain headline risk for equities.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
Tue 9/16
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Aug)
Wed 9/17
⏰ 8:30 AM — Housing Starts & Building Permits (Aug)
⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Policy Decision + SEP (dot plot)
⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Powell Press Conference
Thu 9/18
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (Sep)
⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — Conference Board Leading Economic Index (Aug)
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #FOMC #Powell #Fed #RetailSales #jobs #economy #bonds #Dollar #oil #AAPL #megacaps
BTC/USD – Sunday Market ReadQuiet overnight tape, but the 115 200 order-block is still the hill the bulls are defending. Volume stayed thin through Asia, yet price hasn’t given up ground. Above, a fat negative volume node sits near 115 979 and that’s the real KEY area here, a clean break or a sharp rejection.
Yesterday’s inside-bar kept price boxed in, and we’re now stretched at the top of the daily range. I’m watching the 113–114k area where volume thins out and buyers often step in. Big picture stays bullish, but I’d rather wait for a clean pullback or a real breakout above the highs before touching a new position.
BTC Price Action: Bulls vs BearsBitcoin has shown a gradual recovery after a prolonged corrective phase, with market structure leaning toward a constructive buildup. Fundamentally, sentiment is influenced by global macro conditions—investors are watching U.S. monetary policy signals, while stable demand from institutions and long-term holders continues to provide a supportive backdrop. On-chain activity remains steady, with balanced exchange inflows and outflows suggesting no extreme directional pressure in the near term.
From a technical perspective, the market has shifted momentum from bearish flows into a developing bullish sequence. The recent break of structure on the 4H timeframe highlights strengthening upside intent, though price is still moving within a broader accumulation phase. Current flows suggest the possibility of a short-term dip for liquidity before continuation to higher levels, aligning with the overall constructive weekly outlook.
GRAB 1W: Two Years of Silence — One Loud BreakoutGRAB 1W: When stocks go quiet for two years just to slap bears across both cheeks
The weekly chart of GRAB shows a textbook long-term accumulation. After spending nearly two years in a range between $2.88 and $4.64, the price is finally compressing into a symmetrical triangle. We’ve already seen a breakout of the descending trendline, a bullish retest, and the golden cross between MA50 and MA200. Volume is rising, and the visible profile shows clear demand with little resistance overhead.
The $4.31–$4.64 zone is key. Holding this level opens the path to $5.73 (1.0 Fibo), $6.51 (1.272), and $7.50 (1.618). The structure is clean, momentum is building, and this accumulation doesn’t smell like retail — it smells institutional.
Fundamentally, GRAB is a leading Southeast Asian tech platform combining ride-hailing, delivery, fintech, and financial services. Yes, it’s still unprofitable (–$485M net loss in 2024), but revenue is growing fast, recently crossing $2.3B. Adjusted EBITDA has been improving steadily, and the company holds $5.5B in cash equivalents with minimal debt — giving it excellent liquidity and expansion flexibility.
Valued at ~$18B, GRAB operates in the world’s fastest-growing digital market, with increasing institutional exposure from players like SoftBank and BlackRock. The 2-year base hints at smart money preparing for the next big move.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: by market
— Targets: $5.73 → $6.51 → $7.50
— Stop: below $4.00 or trendline
If a stock sleeps for 2 years and forms a golden cross — it’s not snoring, it’s preparing for liftoff. The only thing left? Don’t blink when it moves.
WLDUSDT: Short setup from daily support at 1.5900BINANCE:WLDUSDT.P has a mirror level, which was first resistance and is now support. Although a deep false breakout occurred yesterday, the asset reacted to the level, confirming its relevance. Today, another anomalously large bar on the 5-minute timeframe confirmed the presence of this level. Currently, a gradual squeeze toward the level with low volatility is observed.
Additional consolidation is needed to make a decision about opening a trade. I am adjusting the level to 1.5848, considering the latest false breakout.
In case of increased volatility or another false breakout, I will remove the asset from the watchlist, as it will become choppy price action at the level.
Scenario:
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
No reaction after a false break
No reaction after a false break:
Volatility contraction on approach
Momentum stall at the level
Repeated precise tests of the level ("sticking")
Consolidation with price compression (squeeze)
No reaction after a false break
Ethereum at a Critical Resistance Zone – Will $4,800 Hold or Bre📝 Analysis:
Ethereum (ETH/USDT, 4H) is testing a critical resistance zone at $4,700–$4,800, where several technical factors converge:
1. Descending Channel:
Price is touching the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel.
2. Fibonacci Extension:
The recent rally has reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (~$4,720), which often acts as a potential reversal zone.
3. Resistance Cluster:
The $4,700–$4,800 area combines both static resistance and the channel top, making it a high-risk region for buyers.
4. Wave Structure:
The strong rally from ~$4,050 could be part of a corrective wave (possibly Wave D). If ETH fails here, we may see a sharp pullback.
⸻
📊 Scenarios:
🔸 Bearish Case (more likely):
Rejection from $4,720–$4,800 could trigger a correction toward:
• First support: $4,580–$4,600
• Key support: $4,100–$4,200
🔸 Bullish Case (conditional):
A daily close above $4,800 would confirm a breakout from the channel, opening the door for targets at:
• $4,950–$5,000
⸻
📌 Conclusion:
ETH is at a make-or-break level. Failure to hold above $4,800 could bring a strong correction, but a confirmed breakout may fuel a run toward $5,000.
NZDUSD Pullback Toward 0.59300 Within Ongoing UptrendHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around the 0.59300 zone. The pair is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, though price is pulling back after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 0.59300 — an important area where buyers may look to step in and resume the upward trend.
Fundamentals: Broader USD weakness and improving risk sentiment continue to favor commodity-linked currencies like NZD, making this level one to watch closely.
Trade safe,
Joe.