Achronix to List on Nasdaq Through Merger With ACE ConvergenceAchronix is the only independent supplier of high-performance FPGAs and eFPGA IP based data acceleration solutions used in high-growth applications including AI, cloud computing, 5G, networking and automotive driver assistance
Highly differentiated financial profile with estimated 2020 revenues of approximately $105 million, 79% gross margins and 35% operating margins with migration to next-generation products driving an estimated revenue CAGR of 20% to 25% from 2020 to 2025
Business combination with ACE Convergence Acquisition Corp. (Nasdaq: ACEV) positions Achronix to capitalize on non-cancellable backlog in excess of $160 million and over $1.1 billion in identified pipeline opportunities driven by Speedster® and Speedcore™ products
Approximately $2.1 billion estimated post-transaction equity value based on current assumptions with up to $330 million in gross cash proceeds to the company, assuming minimal redemptions
Oversubscribed $150 million fully committed common stock concurrent PIPE financing at $10.00 per share anchored by ACE Equity Partners LLC, funds and accounts managed by BlackRock and Hedosophia; and with participation from other institutional investors
Achronix expected to be listed on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol "ACHX" following an anticipated transaction close by the end of the first half of 2021
Customer validation of Achronix’s products is substantiated by nearly $240 million in orders received in 2020 . Achronix’s new Speedster7t and Speedcore products, built on leading-edge process technology, have contributed to a design pipeline value in excess of $1.1 billion and are expected to drive Achronix’s future growth.
"The next era of growth and opportunity is in the trillions of connected devices providing compute-intensive intelligence, all fueled by network connectivity and 5G,"
finance.yahoo.com
Techsector
Anderson from Colliers reiterated a buy ratingAnalyst Charles Anderson from Colliers reiterated a buy rating on the stock while increasing its price target from $13 to $15.
Anderson is bullish on the company's prospects related to Sony's PlayStation 5, which incorporates Immersion's haptics technology in the new DualSense wireless controller. One of the notable additions to the newest generation of the game console is the inclusion of adaptive triggers in the controller, which facilitate a new level of haptic feedback for players.
Anderson has been using the DualSense controller and called it a "breakthrough" for Immersion to score such a high-profile design win in a mass-market application. Demand for the PS5 has been off the charts, with units flying off digital shelves within minutes of retailers getting additional inventory after launching last month.
"Immersion collects a royalty from each controller and we expect more than one controller will ship per console over time to support multiplayer gaming and to replace worn-out controllers,"
"The DualSense controllers are already available at retail ahead of the PlayStation 5 console launch."
Anderson believes that Immersion will be able to expand into other markets with its haptics technology offerings, and that the company has finally created an "efficient and predictable operating model."
www.fool.com
The analyst also notes that Immersion's fundamentals are becoming more predictable with 80% of revenue coming from per unit royalties, double the amount from four years ago.
seekingalpha.com
Possible Head & Shoulders Pattern forming on FB and Amazon.Possible head and shoulders pattern on FB & Amazon - its not confirmed on both.
The ideal setup is that both decrease in value below the "neckline" marked in blue/red in each respective chart.
Although not guaranteed the price can then increase in value, coming back up to the neckline, where we see a rejection and continuation of the downwards breakout this is the confirmation area of the pattern, in extremely volatile markets we may not see a confirmation on the larger timeframes.
Nvidia is this sustainable?Hello everyone.
So from a fundamental perspective Nvidia has great products and technology, the profit margins are also great. But a 70/1 P/E ratio? Does that seem sustainable? I mean how many years would it take for the P/E to normalize with the price staying the same as it is, to let's say 20/1 which is still high relative to historical standards. Maybe there is something out there that will quadrupple the earnings of this company in a short time.
But let's we what the charts say shall we?
Well from a technical perspective the stock is overvalued, the red middle line is the average of the trend. And as you can see the price is way above the growth average. Pretty much confirming that what the P/E ratio tells us. The problem is in this sort of mania the price could go up even more before eventually going down. It's not safe to short here. Just keeping an eye on this stock is the plan now.
Also it goes without saying, I would never buy a stock at these technical levels and these valuations.
Value Investment - BIDU - Improved Profitability After The VirusAll comments and likes are very appreciated.
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Fair Value and Profit Drivers |
Our fair value estimate is $190 per share, with a 2020 P/E of 31 times and 2021 P/E of 25 times.
We expect a 5% CAGR in online marketing revenue in the next five years, driven by recovery in the longer term. This is because weak macroeconomics (resulting in weaker demand and pricing for ads), substantial increase in ad inventory by Bytedance and Tencent, and moving customers’ landing pages to Baidu’s platform play an important role in the current weakness. We do not expect these headwinds to persist in the longer term, except Baidu’s competitor still have room to increase ad load. As the moving of landing pages is completed, the economy recovers, iQiyi’s in-feed revenue improves after cleaning up unhealthy ads, and video content can be approved more quickly after the 70th national day on Oct. 1, 2019, we expect Baidu and iQiyi’s advertising revenue to recover from a low base.
We expect other revenue to grow at a 17% CAGR in the next five years, driven by strong growth at iQiyi. 49% of the others revenue was iQiyi’s membership revenue in 2019, which will see growth from increasing subscriber number and high-quality original and licensed content at iQiyi. Baidu will spend more marketing dollars up front for app installation and cultivating app usage, but revenue generated from the users will occur during the lifetime of the users. Hence, we expect to see revenue grow faster after initial investments. Should the return on investment be poor, Baidu will have no choice but to cut back on sales and marketing expenses, which will boost margin. DuerOS and cloud are also other areas of investments.
We assume operating margin will rise back to 20.2% in 2024, compared with 5.9% in 2019. Excluding iQiyi, Baidu’s core operating margin is assumed to rise to 20.2% in 2024 from 19.1% in 2019. We think our assumptions of only a small-margin recovery for Baidu’s core operation have sufficiently incorporated the ever-increasing competitive environment in the Internet sector. This is particularly true in searching for general information, because it is still a necessity, and wide-moat Baidu has a dominant market share of over 70% in search. We are confident that Baidu resume growth for search. Our five-year net revenue and operating profit growth are 9% and 40% respectively.
Wide-moat Baidu’s fourth-quarter 2019 results were largely within our expectations, and after fine-tuning our model, we are cutting our fair value estimate to $190 from $199. However, we think the shares are undervalued, as Baidu is on track for improved profitability after the coronavirus outbreak. Fourth-quarter 2019 year-over-year revenue growth was 6%, at the high end of the latest guidance range of 4% to 6% and its previous guidance of negative 1% to 6%. Meanwhile, Baidu core revenue in the quarter grew 6% year over year, excluding spin-offs, at the high end of the latest guidance of between 4% and 6% and the previous guidance of between 0% and 6%. Baidu’s net income was CNY 6.3 billion in the quarter compared with guidance of CNY 6.2 billion to CNY 6.7 billion. Net income of Baidu core rose 84% year over year, at the low end of the guidance of 83% to 90%. Management said it expects 2020 first-quarter revenue to decrease 5% to 13% year over year for Baidu and to drop 10% to 18% for Baidu core compared with advertising peer Weibo’s 15% to 20% drop. We assume an 18% year-over-year decline in the first quarter; a 3% decline in the second quarter; followed by a 9% increase in the second half of 2020; and no growth in the full year of 2020 for Baidu core revenue. Our non-GAAP operating expense plus cost of revenue for 2020 is 7% higher than the annualized level that is based on the more rational level in the fourth quarter of 2019. Our five-year revenue and operating profit CAGR are 9% and 40% (low base in 2019 due to record low margin of 6%), respectively, versus 9% and 11% previously.
Risk and Uncertainty |
We think Baidu faces high levels of risk, given intense competition along with questions as to whether its AI-related investment will generate satisfactory returns.
Though Baidu is the largest search engine in China, it is competing with the other two Internet giants, Tencent and Alibaba, and Google’s potential return to Chinese search market is also a threat. Regarding the search engine business, Tencent invested in Sogou, and Alibaba acquired UC Web, which owns a mobile search engine, Shenma. Competition has extended to each key area of mobile Internet usage, such as navigation, O2O services, online video services and so on. Baidu’s margins have been significantly dragged down by aggressive spending in video content and O2O marketing but recovered to 18.5% in 2017 from 14.2% in 2016 as Baidu divested margin-dilutive businesses.
The major Internet companies in China have been investing in AI-related business, such as cloud computing, voice and image recognition, and autonomously driven cars. At the current stage, it is difficult to predict whether Baidu will be the final winner in AI and whether the returns will reward its investment.
In addition, regulatory risk is a concern. Following the Wei Zexi incident in early 2016, Chinese authorities launched new regulations for online search and advertising, which clearly defined paid search results as advertising. These regulations took effect Sept. 1, 2016. Given stricter standards for online advertisers, Baidu’s online marketing services revenue growth declined to 1% in 2016. If the local authorities release more policies regarding Internet business, such as online advertising and online finance, Baidu’s revenue could be negatively affected.
Since 2017, Baidu has discontinued the disclosure of MAUs for its mobile search and mobile maps, which is possibly due to weaker numbers.
I and/or others I advise hold a material investment in the issuer's securities.
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All comments and likes are very appreciated.
Best Regards,
I0_USD_of_Warren_Buffet
EXTREMELY IMPORTANT WEEK FOR QQQTICKER: $QQQ
Huge bear volume on Friday and a close near the LOD. Next week is key as we have tech earnings.
If we break the low of Friday (221.67), I expect further pullback. RSI on the hourly time frame is down in the over sold category but keep in mind that with earnings and potential news, RSI levels could get extreme. Volume will be a key indicator for this incoming week. We already had above average volume on Friday and I expect we will continue to have high volume this coming week. This means great trading opportunity.
Long term, the bulls are still in complete control. Anything above 212.24 will just be a daily HL.
QQQ bulls running the showTICKER: $QQQ
Just like SPY, QQQ also confirmed its daily cup and handle pattern. Bulls in full control at the ALL TIME HIGH.
Weekly RSI is at 70, the highest since the top of the V shape bounce of April 2019.
"The trend is your friend" they say and its true, don't doubt the bulls.
Anything above $203.44 on the daily time frame is a high lower.
QQQ weak comparative to othersTicker: $QQQ
QQQ is clearly weekly than SPY, IWM, XLF, and XLV.
QQQ is not close to ATH resistance of 206.05 whereas the other sectors are near ATH or broke daily resistance.
If the market pulls back, QQQ will set a daily lower high compared to 206.06 and I expect an equilibrium.
If markets are strong, I will watch to see if QQQ could break 266.05 to add fuel to the market fire.
Apple stock continues to rally, $295 is the target! 100% in 2019Over the last 14-weeks, Apple stock has had 2 red weeks, and they've been almost negligible. The stock is up nearly 80% this year alone!! We can see the stock gain 100% by the end of the year if this continues, especially around the holiday season. Since Apple is on all-time highs, the only instrument to help us with the potential upside target is the Fib extension, we've used two different levels to identify levels at which Apple may get attracted to and/or stall.
The first target level is $275 based on the Fib extension from the impulse that brought price up to this high.
The second target is $295 based on the Fib extension from the move that managed to drop price heavily in December 2018.
Where could a trader get in? The logical level is where the last slight pullback happened and the broken high at $240-$250 however that is pretty far from the current price, if the equity market does see a pullback then Apple may be more prone to retrace.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is for educational purposes exclusively, this does not constitute investment or trading advice. TRADEPRO Academy is not responsible for any market activity.
Amazon stock back up to $1950-$2000.Amazon stock has been on the rise for the past few days on strong volume through some key resistance points, one being the year to date POC. The upside structure is starting to build up as well, as the low that caused the move higher was higher than the previous drop. The volume on the recent pop shows promise to the upside. There is a resistance point that is coming up which may spell trouble for the stock.
The resistance between $1845 and $1865 is based on a previous peak high and the 100% Fib extension on the current move. This level could push price down again into the $1770 support however if it breaks the upside is going to open.
Tech has gone up nearly 50% this year alone and Amazon is a lagger, the retail spike during the holiday season will have some effect on the upside of the stock as well.
Disclaimer: The following idea is for educational purposes. TRADEPRO Academy is not held liable for any actions taken in the market as a result of this idea. This idea does not constitute investment or trading advice.
Apple is Falling from the TreeShares of AAPL are trouble, so long as this zone of support between $144.79-150.24. If not, a possible relief rally may come in to play because it's getting oversold on a weekly basis (RSI <30). Even so, any strength should be sold in to, as I see this thing falling hard. Minor breakout resistance (dotted white line), but the extensions from the major move has downside targets at 127.2% and 161.8%, $127.60 and $98.80, respectively. Finally, $89.78 is the line in the sand... if we get there, you'll get a chart from me far in advance.
It may be worth stepping in to a small position, but go easy because you're betting this the bottom. Have an exit strategy, and if possible, play via options to define risk. I'm buying some near dated called expecting a bounce to $178.78, give or take. From there, I'll be looking to go short on a longer-term.
Happy Trading!
Market resistances are clear on every time frameSPY closed at the low of the week with only the low of October 259.85 as support, and we are likely to test that level first thing next week. It's clear the MA20 on every timeframe is important for SPY, and both the tech and financial sectors and this has been rejecting every bounce attempt on every timeframe so far.
Bears have the momentum on every timeframe; we're watching for changes of 4 hour trends and until then, the bulls are proving nothing to us
Google Enters Bear Market Territory$GOOG has now dropped over 20% since its July high, bringing the stock into bear market territory for the first time in 7 years -- since August 2011 (both time periods marked on chart.)
I remain bearish on Google for the remainder of 2018. Macroeconomic conditions and trade tension combined with an over valued market and much needed correction in the technology sector are making an end of year rally for U.S. equities seem increasingly unlikely.
Watching SQ hourly chart to signal a solid entry for a swingSQ has a night daily equilibrium playing out. We're looking for the hourly supports to break next week to signal healthy daily consolidation is coming to set a daily higher low above 64.69. I will potentially buy the hourly trend change, another strategy I may employ is to wait for the daily trend to change and break our resistance of 80.32 - that would eliminate some of the reward and some of the risk.
I'll be keeping an eye on SPY to ensure it does not break it's recent lows - if the market dumps to lower lows, I certainly do not want to be holding any swing positions!
PVTL finding its bottom - a fundamental play for mePVTL is a company I like fundamentally. I'm a software engineer and I've developed on their platform Pivotal Cloud Foundry, and I do like it. I know the decision makers at that former employer also really like the platform. I'm of the opinion that these guys will be a prime target for an acquisition by Amazon. I have seen absolutely no indication that this would ever happen, but knowing what these guys do and watching the direction they've taken, I believe it would make perfect sense if it happened.
When I saw the gap down over-reaction to earnings last month I bought a long term position after hours, and ended up selling it a couple days later for very small profit when it was clear the chart was going to break down to lower lows.
Now that PVTL is building a base of support in the $19 range I'm starting to get interested again in making a longer term swing investment. Thursday was a daily inside bar that broke bullish on Friday and even closed above the IB resistance. I didn't play that because of the IB bullbreak fake-out on October 1st. It is worth noting however that Friday did the opposite - it had an IB bearbreak fake-out.
I'm also noticing some potential bullish divergence here on the RSI and MACD, where the price is making lower lows and the oscillators are making higher lows (this is much more evidence on the MACD). The last daily lower high is is 19.93, call it $20 psychological, although a riskier play would be to get in a little early on the break of 19.68 because of the divergence I just mentioned.
Looking at the 4hr chart, breaking 19.68 would also change the 4hr trend, giving us a new higher low and higher high. I personally feel comfortable taking that trade, as I believe $20 will easily break if the 4hr resistance breaks on big volume.
The next daily resistances are at 20.11 sand 20.19 - there is a clear band of resistance in the low $20 range so a more patient and risk-averse trader may choose to hold off until all of those resistances break.
When the daily oversold bounce does start to play out we will be looking for a lower high on the daily compared to 23.95.
Key range: 18.45 - 19.68






















