MSFT — Bullish Structure Intact Above 373.22, Targeting 739.88.Microsoft remains in a well-defined long-term bullish structure despite the current pullback from the 0.40–0.50 Fibonacci resistance cluster. The recent decline appears corrective in nature and does not signal any structural weakness as long as the stock preserves its main support foundation.
Key Support (Primary Structural Level): 373.22
The level at 373.22 represents the most critical demand zone on the chart.
It marks:
The origin of the previous bullish impulse,
A zone of strong institutional accumulation,
The base that
continues to anchor the long-term trend.
As long as price stays above 373.22, the broader upward cycle remains intact.
Fibonacci Expansion Targets (Long-Term Investor Levels)
The current impulsive leg projects the following upside targets:
483.97 (0.333)
509.67 (0.40)
548.04 (0.50)
593.32 (0.618)
643.96 (0.75)
701.51 (0.90)
739.88 (1.00 — primary long-term extension)
These levels correspond to strategic zones where institutional models anticipate consolidation or profit-taking.
Market Structure & Investor Outlook
The long-term trend remains strongly bullish.
The current pullback is normal retracement behavior.
Secondary demand pockets sit at 446.75 and 413.75 if the pullback deepens.
Macro structure remains fully intact above 373.22.
Bullish Continuation Scenario (Base Case)
If MSFT holds above 483.97 and regains momentum, the price can progress through:
509 → 548 → 593 → 643 → 701 → 739.88
This represents the natural continuation path of the current expansion.
Bearish Scenario (Limited & Non-Structural)
The only valid bearish scenario for now is a return to retest the key support at 373.22.
This move would represent:
A technical retest,
A liquidity sweep,
A refresh of institutional demand, not a trend reversal
As long as price holds 373.22, the long-term bullish structure remains unchanged.
Conclusion
Microsoft continues to demonstrate strong long-term structural integrity.
The only bearish possibility is a corrective move back toward the 373.22 support, after which the broader trend is expected to resume toward the long-term targets: 509, 548, 593, 643, 701, and 739.88.
TERM
Potential Downside Short-term - Long Term EntriesCOINBASE:BTCUSD has broken below the ascending channel that has held for several months, indicating a possible shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is overbought on the RSI and broke below it's 200-day EMA as well. I'll certainly be adding to my long-term position on the way down and will likely grab a long position at some point- will post an update then. Until then, some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on, watching closely
Gold settles near record high on support of China's purchases Gold prices are hovering around $3,960 an ounce, near a record high reached earlier in the session, supported by economic uncertainty and China's central bank's growing gold holdings for the eleventh consecutive month in September. Gold is up 51% so far this year , supported by resilient safe-haven demand, and expectations of #Federal_Reserve_easing.
Technically, the metal fell slightly in a downward corrective movement at the beginning of today's trading, after holding above the $3940 levels, so we expect the downward correction to stop around the $3940 per ounce level, and then rebound again and target the resistance levels of $3996.75 per ounce
CYCLE UPDATE FOR SPELL/USDT $0,002 2025SPELL/USDT – Loading Next Cycle? 🚀
Looking at SPELL on the weekly chart, the structure looks very clear to me.
We had big cycle tops before (A → B → C), and every time after a long accumulation, the price came back with a strong pump.
Right now, SPELL is sitting at the bottom around 0.0005, a level where it has been building support for a long time. If this cycle repeats, the next big wave (D) could target around 0.002 in 2025.
We see here a view that every time it started around the same time.
And the last pattern structure shows the same trend as it did before (exactly the same patterns)
For the trading update SEP/OCT
There is an expectation for $0,001
My view:
As long as we hold this base, I expect a breakout first toward 0.0010 – 0.0012.
If that zone flips into support, then the next leg up could reach 0.0019 – 0.0020.
This would match the previous cycle moves we saw before.
But at the same time, know that cycles go with a study plan and not just random.
There is a trend on this coin where the cycles can run between 32 days and 91 days to targets.
I’m watching closely. Accumulation is boring, but that’s usually where the best moves start. Patience could pay off big here. always do your study and make only choices depending your view as Cycles can take time.
BTC Long (short term high risk)Hi,
I just entered a BTC long, expecting a further upwards move after the indication and pullback.
Hopefully it will short term go to around 119k, but can be a further continuation of the bull trend longterm. But thinking short term in this one, I set a stop loss just below this weekend's pullback low.
Lucky trading!
David.
ICP Wave 2 correction! Simple ABC zigzag...is the move done thouSince the 14th of August the crypto markets have been in a corrective phase, a much needed retracement if you ask me. There were plenty of bullish moves before the 14th on loads of alts (Arbitrum) to keep us busy but we need the reset so we can continue with confidence that the bottom will not fall out from under us. Displayed is a wave 2 retracement of wave 1, which is the second 1,2 pattern (Extremely Bullish) in the move up. Likely we will see this fractal play out on a smaller degree, following in past fractals footsteps. Triple 1,2 is the move i believe is the most probable at this point (Expanding Diagonal is super rare) Happy Trading 🌊
PROP - Riding the Cycle? The Next Wave May Just Be Starting!Markets move in cycles; and PROP is no exception.
If you’ve been following our previous analyses, you’ll recognize the accumulation zone we highlighted earlier. Well, this updated chart adds another layer: the cyclical rhythm of price action.
🔁As shown, PROP has been moving in clearly defined waves, bouncing between key zones with consistency. The current cycle appears to have bottomed — once again — inside the lower bound, where strong demand continues to hold.
We’re now in the early phase of what could be a fresh bullish cycle. If the rhythm plays out as before, the path of least resistance could take us toward the median zone ($6.5 - $7.5) and possibly all the way back to the upper bound ($15 - $17) by late 2025 or early 2026.
🔍 Supporting Fundamentals
While the chart speaks volumes, the fundamentals back it up:
Energy demand is surging globally, fueled by AI, data centers, and electric infrastructure — all of which require massive power capacity.
Oil and gas remain essential in this transition phase, especially with renewable infrastructure still years away from matching base-load demand.
PROP (Prairie Operating Co.) controls 65,000 acres in the DJ Basin — one of the most productive oil regions in the U.S. With advanced drilling tech and low-cost operations, PROP is well-positioned to ride out volatility and capitalize on rising demand.
🎯 Key Zones to Watch
- Support: $2.5–$3
- Median target: $6.5–$7.5
- Macro resistance: $15–$17
📌 We’re not just seeing structure — we’re seeing rhythm, confluence, and timing align.
If this cycle continues to play out, PROP might just be preparing for its next major wave.
Are you ready to catch it?
🧠 Previous posts and technical breakdowns are attached for full context.
➡️ As always, speak with your financial advisor and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
📚 Always follow your trading plan => including entry, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All strategies are good, if managed properly.
~ Richard Nasr
Bullish Bet , UnionBankBanknifty at support.
UnionBank on recent high making sideways moves, which means consolidation.
Once Banknifty Bounce back, UnionBank will break the resistance on weekly and monthly Basis and will start moving higher.
It has higher targets on a short and long term investment.
Good to hold for short term.
Good Stock for Medium to Long TermClosed at 181.52 (05-06-2025)
Printed HH on Daily tf.
Should retrace towards 177 - 178
& then may be around 165 -166 to print
HL.
188 - 195 is the resistance for now that
needs to be sustained.
Crossing this may move the price towards
235 - 236.
Medium to Long term target can be around
290 - 300 if 260 is crossed with Good Volumes.
Czech Republic: A Dividend HeavenThe Prague Stock Exchange (PSE) PSECZ:PX is characterized by a concentration of mature, dividend-paying companies, particularly in sectors such as energy, banking, and heavy industry. Unlike growth-focused exchanges in the U.S. or Asia, the Czech market offers relatively few stocks with high reinvestment or expansion trajectories.
Preference for Payouts
Over the past two decades, Czech listed companies have consistently distributed a significant share of profits as dividends. This reflects both limited reinvestment opportunities in a relatively saturated domestic market and a shareholder preference for cash returns. For example, CEZ and Komercni banka have maintained payout ratios above 70% in most years.
Structural Support & Tax environment
The Czech Republic provides a structurally supportive environment for dividend-oriented investors. One key advantage is the tax framework. Czech residents are exempt from capital gains tax if they hold an investment for more than three years. This strongly favors long-term investing.
For non-residents, a 15% withholding tax on dividends applies—unless the investor resides in a country outside the EU/EEA that does not have a tax treaty or tax information exchange agreement with the Czech Republic.
Key Dividend-Paying Companies
CEZ (CEZ) PSECZ:CEZ
Industry: Energy (Electricity generation and distribution)
Dividend History (Gross per Share) / Dividend Yield (%)
2020: CZK 34 10.1%
2021: CZK 52 5.8%
2022: CZK 48 18.83%
2023: CZK 145 5.43%
2024: CZK 52 5.9%
Dividend Growth:
2020 to 2021: +52.9%
2021 to 2022: -7.7%
2022 to 2023: +202%
2023 to 2024: -64.1%
Komercni banka (KOMB) PSECZ:KOMB
Industry: Banking and financial services
Dividend History (Gross per Share) / Dividend Yield (%)
2020: CZK 23.9 3.63%
2021: CZK 99.3 10.62%
2022: CZK 60.42 9.22%
2023: CZK 82.7 11.41%
2024: CZK 91.3 10.76%
Dividend Growth:
2020 to 2021: +315.6%
2021 to 2022: -39.2%
2022 to 2023: +36.9%
2023 to 2024: +10.4%
Moneta Money Bank (MONET) PSECZ:MONET
Industry: Banking and financial services
Dividend History (Gross per Share) / Dividend Yield (%)
2020: CZK 0 (dividend suspended)
2021: CZK 3 10.67%
2022: CZK 7 10.53%
2023: CZK 8 12.82%
2024: CZK 9 8.08%
Dividend Growth:
2020 to 2021: N/A
2021 to 2022: +133.3%
2022 to 2023: +14.3%
2023 to 2024: +12.5%
Bitcoin Ascending Broadening Wedge (4H)After a clean breakout above the macro downtrend, BINANCE:BTCUSDT rallied into its supply zone — but price action has since become increasingly volatile, forming a rising broadening wedge (also known as a megaphone pattern).
Pattern Insights
• The structure is defined by diverging trendlines, with each swing becoming larger and more erratic.
• This pattern often signals instability or exhaustion, especially near key resistance.
• While it can break either way, broadening wedges in an uptrend frequently resolve to the downside, especially when supply is overhead.
Key Levels
• Resistance: ~$ 98K-$99.5k supply zone — the upper boundary of the pattern.
• Support: ~$93.5k area — prior S/R, potential flip zone.
• Reversal: A breakdown below ~$93k could confirm a short-term bearish resolution and open the door to ~$88.5k.
• Continuation: A breakout above the upper boundary with volume could trap shorts and ignite a squeeze toward new highs.
Until then, BTC remains in a high-volatility structure, best approached with caution or as a range-trading opportunity.
The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe.The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe.
Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears: At the current price of 157.04, the market is in a tug-of-war between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears).
Bulls are defending key support levels near 152.48 (Fibonacci 100% retracement of Wave C) and 154.34 (Expanded Flat target). A hold above these levels could signal a potential reversal.
Bears are attacking resistance levels at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100% projection of Wave C) and 162.82 (Expanded Flat target). A break below 152.48 could accelerate downward momentum.
Recent Price History: The market has been in a downtrend recently, with the price dropping from 191.18 (July 10, 2024) to 157.04. Key Fibonacci levels (e.g., 161.8% retracement at 159.84) and Elliott Wave patterns (e.g., Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate) have guided this decline. Momentum indicators (e.g., RSI at 47.51) suggest the downtrend may be losing steam, but the MACD histogram turning positive hints at a potential short-term bounce.
Current Sentiment (Technical & News):
Technical Indicators: Mixed signals. RSI (47.51) is neutral, while MACD shows a bullish crossover (histogram turning positive). The price is below key moving averages (e.g., 200-day SMA at 167.35), indicating a bearish bias.
News Sentiment: Mixed to slightly negative. Ad revenue pressures and regulatory risks weigh on sentiment, but long-term growth catalysts (AI, cloud) provide optimism. Analysts maintain a "Buy" rating despite near-term challenges.
Synthesis: The technical picture aligns with the news—short-term bearishness (price below MAs, ad revenue concerns) but potential for a reversal if support holds (undervaluation, bullish MACD).
Key Levels & Momentum:
The price is currently below the 50-day SMA (161.89) and 200-day SMA (167.35), signaling bearish dominance.
Momentum is fading (RSI neutral, Stochastic not oversold), but the MACD histogram suggests a possible short-term bounce.
2. Elliott Wave Analysis (Contextualized to Current Price)
Relevant Elliott Wave Patterns:
Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate (Valid): Suggests the downtrend may be nearing completion, with Wave 5 potentially ending near 152.48-154.34 (Fibonacci 100% projection).
Expanded Flat Upward Candidate (Potentially Valid): If the price holds above 152.48, this pattern could signal a corrective rally toward 162.82.
Wave Count vs. Indicators/Sentiment:
The Diagonal Ending pattern contradicts the bearish news sentiment but aligns with oversold technicals (RSI, MACD). This divergence suggests a potential reversal if support holds.
The Expanded Flat pattern would confirm a bullish reversal if the price breaks above 160.31.
Near-Term Projections:
Downside: A break below 152.48 could extend losses to 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci projection).
Upside: A hold above 152.48 and break above 160.31 could target 162.82 (Expanded Flat target) and 167.35 (200-day SMA).
3. Strategy Derivation (Realistic, Actionable NOW, News Considered)
Primary Strategy: WAIT (due to conflicting signals).
Why Wait? The technical setup is mixed (bullish MACD vs. bearish MAs), and news sentiment is neutral-to-negative. The upcoming Q1 earnings could add volatility.
If Price Holds Support (152.48-154.34):
BUY with confirmation (e.g., break above 160.31).
Entry Zone: 154.34-156.13 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement).
Stop-Loss: 151.44 (below recent low).
Take Profit: TP1 at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100%), TP2 at 162.82 (Expanded Flat target).
Risk/Reward: ~1:2 for TP1.
If Price Breaks Below Support (152.48):
SELL with confirmation (e.g., break below 150.06).
Entry Zone: 152.48-151.44.
Stop-Loss: 154.34 (above support).
Take Profit: TP1 at 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci), TP2 at 145.90 (Wave 5 projection).
News Context Check:
Earnings uncertainty and ad revenue pressures favor caution. Reduce position size if trading.
4. Trade Setup (Actionable, Realistic, News Aware)
Direction: WAIT (watch key levels).
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: 160.31 (breakout confirmation).
Downside: 152.48 (breakdown confirmation).
News Reminder: Be mindful of Q1 earnings and ad revenue trends.
5. Summary Section
✅ Investor / Long-Term Holder Summary:
Key Support: 152.48 (accumulation zone if held).
Long-Term Outlook: Undervalued (DCF: $260 vs. $157). Focus on AI/cloud growth.
Action: Wait for pullback to 152.48 or break above 167.35 (200-day SMA).
$NYSE:WOLF - analysis of annual cot levelsPlease remember that this idea does not constitute investment advice.
NYSE:WOLF
After a personal analysis of the institutional value of the COT, buy and sell program levels are outlined. Since the asset is at its minimum, the idea is to wait for the price to head inside the buy program, wait for a swing to form in the direction of the target level (the first sell program) and open the trade at the break of this. The position is medium-term (from 1-2 weeks to 1-2 months); without financial leverage and the maximum profit area is that outlined by the sell program. Personally I do not use stop loss as the trade does not involve the use of financial leverage, however if a level for the stop loss were to be identified, this would be below the buy program.
For any clearly ask me.
EURUSD - the upcoming US PCE & the ECB rate decisionAt the moment, we are seeing that the bulls are fighting hard to keep MARKETSCOM:EURUSD elevated. But they are struggling to overcome some key resistance barriers. But the upside doesn't look very promising, due to the upcoming US PCE numbers and the ECB rate decision. Let's dig into the possible near-term outcome scenarios for the $FX_IDC:EURUSD.
What are your thoughts on this?
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