Teslashort
TSLA Overheating !!TSLA overheating and valuations are currently stretched for even the most optimistic assumptions. Based on current valuations at $490, Tesla would need to be delivering 1,300,000 cars within the next 5 years. In my models, stock is fairly valued at +/- 280 but with an initial target of 360.
On technical side at the top here you will notice exhaustion as predicted deliveries enter into "overpromised" territory. Of course the usual crowd will defend with China plant opening and unicorns expected. Based on current expectations, TSLA will need to deliver almost 475k cars this year and with demand starting to cough via late cycle fears this is looking doubtful to say the least.
Flow wise, actively selling 490 overshoots with initial targets at 360 followed by 280 extensions. While to the topside, invalidation and reassessment necessary at 525. Tracking closely delivery numbers for 2020 but with the boat fully loaded on one side and short interest as a percentage of float still below 20% it is a screaming sell.
Good luck all those on the sell-side in TSLA over the coming sessions.
TESLA MANIPULATIONHello Traders.
Stochastic RSI is sky high.
Would like to bring to your alert that Tesla is a "Castle in the Sky".
I have done the fundamental analysis on Google and bring to you a message.
Facebook and Google are both funneling money into Tesla.
Tesla is the last castle in the sky for the "New World Order".
Apparently, Elon knew the whole time. This was an Irish pyramid scheme.
Apple is in on it too even.
If you watch the MACD Moving Time Frame (composite moving average) signals on the third chart from the top, we see a sky high signal line with oscillation between buy and sell.
Why?
They're faking out the day traders.
Rise. Destroy Tesla. They "cannot" crash? They are. The one castle in the Sky.
Exposed.
Wait for the South Korean whales to move first.
Britain should be in on this too.
- dysonring2050
Tesla! 420 next year?Hi guys, Tesla just came down to long term support and held, and then came up and reject resistance so it looks as if we are in the same range as from 14-16.
We are currently sitting in the middle of the range, I believe that the next big break will set the trend for the next 6-12 months.
Fundamentals:
For Tesla to succeed and see enormous growth they need to achieve full self-driving, I think they are still a few years away.
The second thing is battery production and having access to the largest EV market which is China. This is coming with the gigafactory being built this year.
Overall I am bullish on innovation so I'm bullish on Tesla, this doesn't mean we can't lose support and test lower :).
Tesla Short ReversalHi guys its Brian here with a short opportunity for Tesla.
Tesla is currently in a downtrend ever since start of the year as seen by the downward sloping trend channel. The price has also always been consistently below the ichimoku cloud from February onwards.
Tesla reached the support level of about 175 level at the start of June and showed an upward correction but the correction is starting to end as seen by the strong red candle upon hitting the blue trend resistance channel. Volume also increased on the 2nd red candle showing there is strong bearish pressure driving prices downwards.
If shorting here, take profit could be set at about 195ish or even the previous support level at 180ish
www.brianchai.com
Free Trading Group
TSLA bounced as expected, next? Tesla updated Support ResistanceUpdate to previous analysis looking for a bounce then leg down (click) .
Tesla bounced as expected, helped by an overall market bounce.
The market bounce was also expected, per this S&P500 plot (click) .
Dead Cat bounce or true Reversal is unclear for the overall market.
Many analysts on the news are calling for doom and gloom for Tesla.
So nothing new there, ''talking heads" have been saying that forever.
But clearly we have a major downturn in sentiment towards this stock.
The downward velocity has been increasing (accelerating).
The last wave is probably not done yet, a lower low is likely.
Looking for a "blow off" spike below supports on high volume.
193-195 is immediate resistance but should be surpassed.
203-205 is mostly likely bounce target, then a leg down.
253-256 is MAJOR resistance, I am selling there for sure.
174-178 is immediate support but will not hold another hit.
139-143 will be strong support perhaps after $150 stop hunt.
123-126 is MAJOR support that if approached is a big buy.
.
See some of my other plots and trade calls below.
I also plot Forex and Crypto, take a look at my profile page .
SPX bounce
SPX top Oct 2018
FaceBook bounce
Twitter bounce
NetFlix bounce
Amazon scalp
Gold long
Silver long
Oil long
Of course, I have had total FAILS on some ideas too, not going to pretend.
But all of my plots show PRECISE entries, TIGHT stops, and EXACT targets.
Precision is the way of the Fib. Almost every turn happens at a Fib Line.
CNBC and Morgan Stanley are idiots. TSLA is a buy.This is a fractal analysis of THE most undervalued and hated upon and shorted upon Tech stock of our generation.
The constant barrage of anti Tesla FUD has gotten to such an extreme level that me and my wife had to make a friggin youtube video about it on our
quite small youtube channel:
youtu.be
This analysis is quite simple, based on a fractal idea, and in early 2016 we had the same situation as now.
The chart situation looked very similar. Back then, the stock also fell by a factor of 2 over months, reaching brutal lows in early 2016.#
The same people were responsible: CNBC, Chanos, Morgan Stanley et al.
Very very similar situation back then. And we all knew what happened afterwards.
People shorting Tesla are like People who in the early 20th century said:
THIS AUTOMOBILE WILL NEVER TAKE HOLD. I'LL PREFER MY HORSE ANY DAY!
Or people who back in the 90s said: BAAAAHHH...I WILL NEVER USE THIS STUPID INTERNET THING!!
Or people who now also say: BITCOIN IS A FRAUD, IT WILL NEVER SEE MAINSTREAM ADOPTION.
People who don't understand what a paradigm shift is occuring now in the automotive sector, the transition from ICE cars, to electric cars,
need to wake up. Shorting this stock at these levels here is madness. But, it is a perfect opportunity to get in cheap for a nice long position.
CNBC and their vassals Chanos and Morgan Stanley, want to manipulate this market, because they get money from Big Oil and the old, dying, Legacy carmakers.
The ICE car is dying, and they are desperate. Sales of traditional cars stay constant at best, but tend more to the downside.
Whereas electric vehicle sales x10 folded worldwide from 2013 to 2018. They continue to do the logistics- S curve, and are growing exponentially.
And so is Tesla.
Demand for the Model 3 is huge, and the Shanghai Gigafactory 3 will soon go online. They have consistently sold x2 more cars every year than in the previous year. 2019 will be the same.
A cheap model 3 produced in China, flooding the market. Production margin will increase even more.
Would you have shorted the Automotbile in 1900?
Or the Locomotive in 1830?
Would you have shorted the Television in 1950?
Or the PC in 1980?
Then why short Tesla? WHY SHORT INNOVATION?
It doesn't make sense.
And CNBC and Morgan Stanley are idiots and manipulators.
This was my anti Tesla FUDsters and Shorters rant. Enough now ! CIAO !
TESLA - BEARISHTesla has broken out of the bullish channel and is now looking very bearish.
Blue triangle indicates the current range.
Green box is buy.
Red box is sell.
Blue line indicates potential support/resistance .
Red line indicates t/p.
This is a log chart.
This is not financial advice. All charts shown on my page, including this one, are just for fun.
If you enjoy my ideas please give this post a like and follow my page if you would like to see future posts! :)
This chart is made using fib channels.






















