TESLA option play planFirst of all thanks to papa E and orange toasty for becoming besties, we getting the mad pump.
Second of all it was a reasonably easy bet to take. Why take 2x on vanilla trump vs harris when you can slap on some out of the money option calls? its a full win/lose bet but the options get you 5-10x average for this one.
Risk - Reward ratio is everything. If your taking the risk make sure the reward pays for it.
Putting this one down so I can reference going forward. Yeh we might go flat for few months.. or dump because of tarrifs and xyz blah blah,, but This is just the strong bull option which is the scenario im aiming to hopefully play.
Euphoria/blow off phases tend to have two main features
1. its velocity/momentum is faster than you think (its over before you know it; just when your getting really excited)
2. it tends to go higher than you thought
PE ratios, valuations etc are hinting at top energy here.
lets ride it and hopefully jump ship in time.
Teslashort
Tesla Are we pushing down to 249 or 241 ??? Good morning Trading Fam
A quick update with Tesla , we did not a see a break up into our buy zone and now a correction or more is in place to 249 or 241. However beware this is either a correction or a bigger move down which currently we need more info to figure out before we make that thesis.
Enjoy the video
Kris/ Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
TESLA – Slippery Slope to 208 or a Drop All the Way to 191?Alright, traders, here’s the lowdown on Tesla (TSLA). Things are looking a bit dicey as the price slips through key zones. If the bulls don’t step in soon, we could see TSLA sliding down to the 208-207 range (black box). But if that level doesn't hold, we’re in for a deeper pull toward the 191-188 zone (orange box).
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: 218
First Support: 208-207 (black box) – Bulls need to show up here, or it’s more downside.
Deeper Target: 191-188 (orange box) – If sellers keep control, this could be the next landing zone.
The sellers seem to have the upper hand for now, but a bounce from 208 could shift things in the bulls' favor. Keep an eye on lower time frames to catch any early signs of a reversal.
If this analysis helped you, drop your thoughts in the comments—do we hold 208, or are we heading for 191? Follow, share, and spread the word if you found this valuable. Stay tuned for more updates.
Mindbloome Trader
TESLA (TSLA) Plummets: Short Trade Hits Key TargetsTesla has shown a strong downward movement, breaking below key support levels. The entry point was established at 247.34, and since then, the price has declined rapidly, confirming the bearish momentum.
Key Levels
Entry: 247.34 – This level marked the beginning of the short trade as Tesla broke down below the Risological dotted trendline.
Stop-Loss (SL): 253.24 – Positioned slightly above the resistance formed by the recent highs, this level provides sufficient protection in case of a reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 240.03 – Already achieved, confirming the initial bearish move.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 228.22 – The next level of profit where further downside pressure see sellers locking in profits.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 216.40 – Tesla has reached this point, reflecting strong bearish momentum, possibly heading towards the final target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 209.10 – This is the final support level where the trade could conclude, given the sustained bearish sentiment.
Trend Analysis
Tesla has broken below both the Risological Dotted trendline (red line), indicating a solid downtrend.
The steep sell-off suggests the stock may continue its downward trajectory unless there is a strong reversal or news event that shifts market sentiment.
The bearish momentum is well in play for Tesla, and with TP3 already hit, the stock is moving towards the final profit target at 209.10
Tesla Weekly Analysis ? Bearish quite possibly Weekly: Tesla:
My thesis is if we continue bearish and break the pitchfork resistance at the 200 area we will then go down to 176 range which could possibly see some type of correction before continuing to head to our first goal which is 142.93 which then we could see a correction before heading further south.
The key here is with the bearish thesis is to make sure we break the 205 area , then 190 then go to 180 range first before this thesis becomes more true and evident to our lower targets.
Let me know what you think ?
MB Trader
Tesla is closing to resistance level, More Correction?Firstly, Tesla is closing to the downtrend line, which might be rejected to drop.
Secondly, the high volume candle shares the same level with this resistance area, double confirmed the importance of this resistance level.
So, in my opinion, it may go bullish after break above the resistance level.
$TSLA Powering down expected until we break the channel The chart is still showing a bearish trend with the price trading within a descending channel, indicating a consistent downtrend.
Key Levels:
- $200 Resistance:
The failure to reclaim and hold above $200 reinforces bearish sentiment.
- 0.618 Fibonacci Support at $165:
This level is the next major support within the current downtrend. A break below could lead to further declines.
- Target 1 ($165): Immediate support level, aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
- Target 2 ($100): A deeper support level and potential downside target if bearish momentum continues.
The price remains below the moving averages, further supporting the bearish outlook. NASDAQ:TSLA is likely to test the $165 level, with the potential for further decline towards $100 if the bearish trend persists. A bullish reversal would require a break above the descending channel and key resistance levels.
TSLA Bearish Trend with Key LevelsTechnical Overview:
- Support Levels:
Immediate support at $164 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement). Further support around $100.
- Resistance Levels:
Primary resistance near $260 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
- Moving Averages:
The daily 50MA is currently above the price, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Volume Analysis:
Volume is relatively stable, but a decrease could indicate further bearish movement.
Outlook:
Tesla is currently within a descending channel, showing bearish tendencies. A breakdown below the $164 support could target $100.
Conclusion:
NASDAQ:TSLA current bearish trend suggests a potential move down to $100, with key support at $164. Watch for volume changes and price action at these levels.
Tesla bears be excited >> (-20%?) Tesla, come on, you just paid Elon musk so much money. What is exactly worth +50% in a month? In addition to what you see technically from what I outlined, I think the entire market is due for a correction. Given tesla's beta relative to the market, I anticipate at least 20% retracement from 260 towards 210 maybe 230. Ill be updating this as it changes.
Chapter 10 | Tesla Bankruptcy Update - Next Stop: Ch. 11I first identified the Tesla short in April 2022 (linked to this post).
Since then we have seen a -75% selloff, followed by a ferocious BAILOUT in January 2023, only to be left for dead at -55% from ATH.
Although the Elon-EV cult remains in utter denial, the facts are the facts. Electric vehicles, car vending machines, "the future", robots, aliens, crypto trucks, crypto wallets, crypto dipto, whatever other narratives correlate, are all done. Over.
... wait a minute.. wait a minute..
Am I suggesting that Tesla was actually "bailed out". Yes.
Think about it. This cult has become so far-reaching that people were allocating significant portions of their retirement into the Tesla #EV #cult #fantasy... that's a problem. So the company was bailed out in January 2023, some time was "bought", and now here we are. Going nowhere 🤣, as the market enters yet another correction / selloff phase. Only this time, there won't be a multi-trillion dollar stimmy-bailout.
Ya'll, this market is SATURATED with fraud and tall tales. Example:
Tesla is valued higher than the "Big 3" combined. But Tesla 🤣 has less than 6% of the automotive market share. Think about that. This is a level of speculation that makes 1929 look like a game of Candyland... all thanks to podcasts and social media.
⚠️Tesla is not bullish now ⚠️☝️The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌
☝️ALL videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment.
Musk Prioritizes Other Ventures Over TeslaMusk Prioritizes Other Ventures Over Tesla: AI Chips Diverted to X and xAI
A recent leak from internal Nvidia emails obtained by CNBC has raised questions about Elon Musk's leadership of Tesla. The emails reportedly show Musk directing the chipmaker to prioritize shipments of thousands of artificial intelligence (AI) processors originally reserved for Tesla to two of his other companies, X and xAI. This move has caused delays in Tesla's receipt of these crucial components, potentially impacting the company's AI development goals.
This news comes amidst Musk's ambitious push to establish Tesla as a leader in the AI and robotics space. Tesla has significantly increased its purchases of Nvidia's flagship AI chip, the H100, aiming to grow its active chip count from 35,000 to 85,000 by the end of 2 024. To support this growth, Tesla reportedly allocated a significant portion of its budget to AI training and inference, estimated at $10 billion for the year.
Diverting these chips to X and xAI throws a wrench into Tesla's plans. The delay in receiving over $500 million worth of processors could potentially slow down Tesla's AI development initiatives. This raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and the prioritization of Musk's various ventures.
Here's a deeper dive into the implications of this situation:
• Impact on Tesla's AI Development: The delayed arrival of AI chips could hinder Tesla's progress in areas like autonomous driving and other AI-powered features planned for its vehicles. This could lead to delays in the rollout of new features or impact the performance of existing ones.
• Investor Confidence: Tesla's investors might be wary of Musk's leadership if they perceive a lack of focus on Tesla's core business. Diverting resources to other ventures could raise questions about his commitment to Tesla's success.
• Conflict of Interest: Some may question the ethical implications of a CEO prioritizing chip allocation for his other companies over the one he leads. This could raise concerns about Musk's use of his position for personal gain.
• Transparency and Communication: The lack of transparency surrounding the chip allocation decision could further erode investor confidence. Tesla shareholders deserve clear communication regarding the rationale behind this move.
While the exact purpose of X and xAI remains unclear, some speculate these companies might be involved in ventures related to Neuralink, another of Musk's ventures focused on brain-computer interfaces.
The situation warrants further investigation. Here are some key questions that need answers:
• Justification for Chip Diversion: What is the rationale behind prioritizing X and xAI over Tesla for these crucial AI chips?
• Impact on Tesla's Roadmap: How will the delay in receiving the chips affect Tesla's AI development roadmap and the rollout of new features?
• Disclosure and Transparency: Were Tesla shareholders made aware of the potential delays caused by chip allocation to other companies?
Only time will tell how this situation unfolds. However, one thing is clear: the decision to divert AI chips away from Tesla has raised serious concerns that demand proper explanation and a commitment to Tesla's continued success in the AI race.
Should You Short Tesla? A Look at China's Potential RisksShould You Short Tesla? A Look at China's Market Rebound and Potential Risks
Tesla (TSLA) stock has been on a downward spiral in 2024, and some investors are considering shorting the stock. This strategy involves borrowing shares, selling them at a high price, hoping the price falls, and then repurchasing them at a lower price to return to the lender. While China's electric vehicle (EV) market rebound and competition from local players present challenges for Tesla, shorting the stock comes with significant risks.
China's EV Market Rebound: A Double-Edged Sword
China, the world's largest EV market, experienced a slow start in 2024 due to various factors, including supply chain disruptions and COVID-19 lockdowns. However, recent reports indicate a significant rebound in April. This is good news for the overall EV industry, but it's a mixed bag for Tesla.
Tesla's China Woes:
• Sales Slump: While Chinese EV makers like BYD and NIO reported strong sales growth in April, Tesla's sales in China dropped significantly compared to the previous month. This could be due to a combination of factors:
o Increased Competition: Chinese manufacturers are offering a wider range of EVs at competitive price points, catering to local preferences.
o Brand Perception: Recent quality control issues and negative publicity might be impacting consumer trust in Tesla.
Headwinds for Tesla:
Beyond China, there are other concerns for Tesla:
• Job Cuts and Demand Concerns: Tesla's recent job cuts fueled speculation about weakening global demand, potentially leading to production slowdowns.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Rising interest rates and inflation could dampen consumer spending on high-priced EVs.
• Increased Competition: Legacy automakers are aggressively entering the EV market with advanced technology and established production capabilities.
The Case Against Shorting Tesla
Despite these challenges, shorting Tesla comes with inherent risks:
• Short Squeeze: If Tesla's stock price unexpectedly rises, short sellers face significant losses as they scramble to repurchase shares at a higher price. Tesla has a large and passionate fanbase who might jump in to buy the dip, further squeezing short positions.
• Elon Musk Factor: Tesla CEO Elon Musk is known for his unpredictable actions and ability to rally investor sentiment. A positive announcement or innovation could trigger a sharp stock price increase, catching short sellers off guard.
• Long-Term Potential: Tesla remains a leader in EV technology and innovation. The company continues to invest in R&D and expand its production capacity, potentially positioning itself for future growth.
Alternative Strategies
Instead of shorting Tesla, investors might consider these options:
• Put Options: Put options allow investors to profit if the stock price falls. This strategy offers limited downside risk compared to shorting.
• Investing in Competitors: Investors could look at Chinese EV companies that are gaining market share, potentially benefiting from the rebounding market.
• Hedging: Combining long positions in Tesla with short positions in other EV stocks can create a more balanced portfolio.
Conclusion
TESLA $TSLA | TESLA MOMENTUM AFTER EARNINGS - Apr. 24th, 2024TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA | TESLA MOMENTUM AFTER EARNINGS - Apr. 24th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $165.00 - $181.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $160.00 - $165.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $141.25 - $160.00
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H/2H: DNT, lean bullish
NASDAQ:TSLA earnings report yesterday had price move around 16% to the upside. Currently price has pulled back to around only a 10% gain. I tightened the new DNT zone so bears and bulls can have early entries in their respective directions. Bulls should be looking for a close above 165.00 and bears should be looking for a close below 160.00.
I did not label every level of importance because I didn't want to make the charts too messy and I used the 2H timeframe today instead of the 4H because I wanted to show the extra price action.
Linked below are the two previous ideas from this year!
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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TESLA $TSLA - April 8th, 2024TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA - April 8th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $181.00 - $208.50
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $162.00 - $181.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $135.00 - $162.00
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: DNT - Lean Bearish
4H: DNT
NASDAQ:TSLA has been trading through a clean range for about a month now. There was strong bearish momentum that ran through my DNT zone and into my bearish zone before creating the range. There have been four tests to the bottom level of the zone @ 166.00/162.00 and three tests to the top level of the zone @ 177.50/181.00, currently approaching a potential fourth test of the top of the zone.
For early entries for bulls and bears all of the zones can be adjusted as follows (shortening DNT zone, extending bearish and bullish zones):
Bullish: $177.50 - $208.50
DNT: $166.00 - $177.50
Bearish: $135.00 - $166.00
The weekly timeframe has strong bearish structure, the daily timeframe has the range shown but still holds bearish structure, and the 4H timeframe most recently has developed bearish structure but has created the range so I have labeled it as DNT as there is no clear direction that price is following.
There have been slight level adjustments compared to my previous post that better fit the current structure price has created. I have drawn arrows on the range for easier distinction for what I am looking at, combined with potential breakout arrows and potential breakdown arrows. Both the bulls and the bears have roughly a 15% +/- price change as the targets I have shown.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Tesla Stock in Limbo: A 43% Plunge Leaves Investors Wary Ahead oTesla, once the undisputed champion of the electric vehicle (EV) market, finds itself in a precarious position. The company's stock price has been on a downward spiral, tumbling nearly 43% in the last month. This dramatic decline has left investors apprehensive as Tesla prepares to report its earnings.
Several factors are contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding Tesla. Firstly, concerns are swirling about the company's business strategy. Sales of electric vehicles have dipped, raising questions about whether Tesla can maintain its growth trajectory. The much-anticipated Cybertruck has yet to materialize, and delays in the rollout of the cheaper electric vehicle have further dampened investor enthusiasm.
Elon Musk, Tesla's enigmatic CEO, hasn't helped matters. His focus on ventures outside of Tesla, coupled with his penchant for making controversial pronouncements, has sown seeds of doubt among some investors. They worry that Musk's attention is divided, potentially hindering Tesla's ability to navigate the increasingly competitive EV landscape.
Adding to the woes is the overall market correction. Rising interest rates and inflation have dampened investor appetite for growth stocks, a category Tesla once dominated. Tesla's lofty valuation, currently sitting at nearly 47 times forward earnings, also makes it a prime target for a sell-off. This high valuation is particularly concerning given the recent sales slump and the uncertain outlook for the EV market.
However, there is a silver lining. The recent plunge has pushed Tesla's stock price into what some analysts call "no man's land." This means there's a significant gap between the current price and potential downside. While the stock could fall further, the dramatic decline has already priced in a considerable amount of negativity. This could pave the way for a "relief rally" if Tesla's earnings report isn't a complete disaster.
Some analysts believe the negative sentiment has been overblown. They argue that Tesla's brand recognition and technological prowess still position it well for the future. The upcoming launch of the Robotaxi service in August could be a game-changer, generating new revenue streams and reigniting investor confidence.
The coming weeks will be crucial for Tesla. The earnings report will be a watershed moment, determining whether the company can regain its footing or succumb to the current headwinds. Investors will be keenly watching for any signs of a turnaround in sales, updates on the Cybertruck and the cheaper EV rollout, and any concrete plans for the Robotaxi service.
Tesla's story is far from over. The company's future hinges on its ability to navigate the current challenges, deliver on its promises, and adapt to the evolving EV market. Only time will tell if Tesla can emerge from this "no man's land" and reclaim its pole position in the electric vehicle revolution.
Tesla Loses Half-Trillion Dollar Shine: Bulls Feeling the SqueezTesla, the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer, has hit a rough patch in 2024. This week, the company's market valuation slipped below $500 billion, marking a significant blow to investors who had placed big bets on Tesla's continued growth.
Several factors seem to be contributing to Tesla's woes. Firstly, concerns are mounting about the company's ability to maintain its breakneck growth trajectory. Recent reports indicate weaker-than-expected sales figures, leading some analysts to question whether Tesla can meet its ambitious production targets. Adding fuel to the fire, Tesla announced a round of job cuts this week, further amplifying anxieties about slowing growth. is decline coincides with a broader slump in the company's stock price, which has shed a staggering 37% so far this year.
Secondly, a recent exodus of high-ranking executives has rattled investor confidence. Several key figures have departed Tesla in recent months, leaving a void in leadership This instability at the top management level has cast a shadow over the company's future direction.
These developments have significantly dampened the enthusiasm of investors who had previously been bullish on Tesla. The company's stock has become one of the worst performers on the prestigious S&P 500 Index in 2024, erasing a colossal $290 billion in shareholder wealth. This decline marks a stark turnaround from the meteoric rise Tesla experienced in previous years, when its stock price soared on the promise of a revolutionary electric vehicle future.
However, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. They point to the company's continued innovation in battery technology and its lead in the EV market as reasons for hope. They argue that the recent stock price slump presents a buying opportunity for those with a long-term investment horizon.
"Tesla has been through disasters before," said one analyst, "We maintain our outperform rating on the stock." This sentiment is echoed by others who believe that Tesla's core strengths remain unmatched and that the current challenges are merely temporary hurdles.
Only time will tell whether Tesla can weather this storm and reclaim its former glory. The coming months will be crucial as the company strives to address concerns about slowing growth, leadership changes, and a softening market. Tesla's ability to reignite investor confidence and reignite sales growth will determine whether the bulls can once again take the reins.
TESLA $TSLA - Feb. 16th, 2024Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ TVC:NDQ
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $195.75 - $260.50
(BUY ZONE ADJUSTABLE DOWN TO 208.50)
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $177.25 - $195.75
(DNT ZONE ADJUSTABLE UP TO $208.50)
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $113.00 - $177.25
Tesla broke out of its range lasting from Jan. 25th - Feb 15th. Breakout price was at 195.75, the Feb 15th daily candle broke and closed above this price level. This can mark a bullish trend, however; a safer bullish zone can be extended to start at 208.50, with the DNT zone also extending to end at 208.50. I personally like the early entries after a strong bullish candle yesterday with over a +6% move. Some other high frame bullish entries could be a retest of the top of the range, or a breakout of the 208.50 area. Some high frame bearish entries could be a test and rejection of the 208.50 area, or a break back into the range area. Long term targets would be the 230 - 260 area, would need another look once price moves closer. I quickly marked every recent structure 1 - 6 that I considered when looking to enter a new position to show somewhat where my mind was at. As price moves to new levels and zones and develops new structure I will update this.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!