ADA Makes Small Gains Market SidewaysI have been in a bit of a time crunch lately and realized that I made some mistakes that might not have mattered to someone that understands technical analysis, however it would completely confuse a beginner. Since, I assume I have some beginners here, I decided to take some extra time out of my day, slow down, and explain what I see properly. This way, it will avoid any undue confusion, because that is the last thing I want to do. If you want to understand why the gains are so small, and we are seeing bullish and bearish patterns, you have to take a look at BTC. BTC has been trading sideways for about 2 weeks now. When an asset is trading sideways it becomes vulnerable to price movements by either bears or bulls, and really, there is no way to tell which way it is going to go. Traders hate sideways markets the most due to their unpredictability. So, that being said, it is taking the steam out of a lot of assets. Now lets look at ADA, you can see the slope of ADA is beginning to flatten, this means it is losing steam and its bull run is coming to and end. This can always change depending on the direction of the market, but right now, people are reluctant to trade when the market is sideways. Not to mention the ascending wedge that is forming, which is letting you know a pullback is on its way. However, like I said in my last chart, this happens very slowly, and usually takes more than 2 major higher highs and 2 higher lows to occur. The important thing to know is that a pullback is likely on its way. That being said, there is a possibility that ADA can reach the target between 2.16 and 2.24. That is not very far from its last high. However, unless I see another sign like a change in the overall market direction, I will assume a pullback. So if you think about it, the risk reward isn't too good if you are entering ADA at this point. We are looking at smaller highs, a flattening slope, tiny highs, an ascending wedge, and overall market uncertainty. On Sep 15th El Salvador will make a decision whether or not BTC becomes legal tender. That is important to note. Another important thing to note is that there are likely people holding out on ADA until they see smart contracts released live on the 12th, I expect a small bump from that. The most important thing here is the overall market and the signs. I expect ADA to keep consolidating, however if there is a break below the 200MA, watch it carefully, and I mean that. I will continue to update you on this as much as I can. Again, I apologize for any confusion from my last post and I hope this helps clear things up.
Now for some good news. As a person who follows ADA closely, I know that the adoption of the platform will happen very quickly with the release of smart contracts on the 12th of September. In fact, I think it was built with such a great foundation, I might just do an entire post on the fundamentals of Cardano sometime in the future. Pretty soon, we will see NFTs being created, DeFi, applications being developed, and overall strong adoption of the ADA blockchain platform as a whole. If there will be any immediate reason for ADA to move higher, it will likely be news coming from the summit on the 25-26 of September. So I would keep an eye on their twitter accounts around that time.
Again, I apologize for having less time to post at the moment, but that will change in a couple weeks.
I am going to make a video soon teaching everyone my approach to charting. I will cover the entire workflow process I go through. I hope you enjoy it.
Tell me what you think?
This is not financial advice. DYODD.
TIME
ADAUSD Gears Up for ATH TestDue to it being the start of the week, ADA's volume has returned, and with it, brought the possibility of a price movement. Like I said before, we got a retest of the 200MA which is often accompanied by a nice little bounce. I figured this, along with the volume, would create the momentum it needs for a ATH test. We are getting to the end of our ascending triangle and a price movement is going to happen. That is all that is going on at the moment. I took a look at the weekly and the daily and there wasn't a change in patterning from what I have already seen. We have an uptrend at the moment. The next all time high test will likely determine whether the trend continues or reverses. If ADA can conquer the all time high, this will put much needed energy back in ADA and I will hopefully see my 3.24 target reached sooner than later. If ADA cannot defeat the current all time high, that would be devastating and could signal a trend reversal with prices falling though our support zones. However, with all of the volume in the market we have today and all of the volume it has built at the top, especially the 2.83 level, ADA has everything it needs for a test. Lets see what happens.
I am going to make a video soon teaching everyone my approach to charting. I will cover the entire workflow process I go through. I hope you enjoy it.
Now lets talk about why ADA has so much strength. Cardano is about to release smart contract September 12 with the Alonzo release. This addition makes it a viable competitor to ETH as an open source platform. Right now, it is just a glorified ledger. As a person who plans to be a Cadano Developer once Alonzo is released, it makes me wonder how far ADA can go. I have heard people say it cannot go to 100 dollars because it will need around a 3T market cap. But considering in the past 2 weeks ADA has added 31B to its market cap, it's definitely not out of the realm of possibility. Also, considering Grayscale Investments has picked it up, I think it has a LOT more room to grow.
Tell me what you think?
This is not financial advice. DYODD.
Solana Price Analysis: Breaks to All-Time High Solana (SOL/USD) the 10th-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, with a total market cap of over $21 billion reached a new all-time high of $81.97. The rally is showing signs of a slow down after it rallied more than 120% since the beginning of the month.
Equal Waves Pattern
From a technical perspective, SOL/USD has rallied in a three wave pattern from the low of $1.27. According to the Elliott Wave theory, the magnitude of wave A should be equal to the magnitude of wave C.
To find the possible end of wave C, the Fibonacci extension tool can be used to project wave C which can be 100% Fib extension of wave A and B. In our case, the 100% Fibonacci extension comes in at $76.64, which is exactly near the levels were the rally has started to lose steam.
To the downside, possible support areas come in at the end of wave A of $58.92 followed by $41.0. On the flips side if the current rally wants to extend more, we have the 1.272 Fibonacci extensions at $92.33 and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions that come at $112.27.
Bitcoin Now & the FutureThis Gann Box set to one division.
Red Vertical : Time to move towards target
Blue Vertical & Orange Vertical : Volatility pivot low/high, mark of a cycle.
All Geometrical lines and shapes should hold as solid SR levels. voids are areas of accelerations in time and price.
Feel free to monitor this chart daily, and zoom in to see it play and take effect until the price is outside of this box.
Enjoying following this chart and playing it!
PYPL looking to break all-time-highs?PYPL made a new all-time-high in February of 2021 and now it's looking to make new all-time-highs.
Fundamentally:
* Sales growth quarter over quarter is more than 30%
* Earnings-per-share expected to grow +5% over the next year
Technically:
* Beta score of over 1
* General up-trend
* In rage from year-to-date
* Found new support at $289.46
* Steady volume as it makes new support
Trade Idea:
* Look for buying opportunities near its new support of $289.46
* A break below that, $277.87 should hold as support since it's acting a pivot
OR
* Wait for a weekly close above $309.14 to confirm the break
FAST trying to make new all-time-highsFAST is trying to break through and close above its recent all-time-high of $54.31.
Good news is that it's holding its previous all-time-high of $51.89 as support.
With buying pressure slowing down it may come back down to retest the $52.50 to $53.10 area as support before making another attempt at breaking and closing above $54.31
Final thoughts
* Strong up trending stock
* Expected to have earnings-per-share growth over the coming year
* Great long term hold as it pays dividends
Trade Idea
* Look for buying opportunities around the $52.50 to $53.10 area
OR
* Wait for a confirm break and close above $54.30
Fibonacci and Trends Show Imminent Pullback and Possible BearOil is facing double historical resistance, currently on one and the other is in the near horizon. Given the recent minor pullback in which it passed a major resistance, it's more likely that it would stumble again this or next month as the trend subsides. The proximity to the Fibonacci time/price retracement is an indicator that for the bullish trend to continue, the same pace must continue for the coming months, which is unlikely since the gain in the last few months was very fast relative to history. Support level expected at 58.
Discovering the hidden path of Bitcoin. Seems like some reversal patterns are hidden like times before.
It's quite interesting that everything says that we are still in the path to the top of the glow and many trendlines have been acting as support /resistance for months and it's pretty fun watch how it flows pretty accurate kinda "gan-ish"
I can explain more about my vision here in the comments below if you have some doubts ore ideas to share.
For me was crown/h&s when we got the top of this cycle so that's why I expected break the neckline and back. My idea was reach 19k but seems like we got some moves like the bottom of the bullrun, so the price action could craft a diamond reversal pattern, or some other patterns that I mention in the chart.
Statistically ,this drop is an amazing BUY Hi crypto traders,
Thought process:
I calculated the time between the top and drop each time the price fell more than 15% during the previous cycle. The average time was 30 days. Similarly, I did the same but from the top to new ATH with average time of almost 100 days.
Conclusions:
1. It is important to note that when the BTC price drops, it is only aprox. 1/3 of pain. We still have 2/3 of the pain on the way up with fear and uncertainty and people calling for lower prices.
2. Statistically speaking, we have already bottomed 20 days ago. Now we haver until mid-end of July to go through fearful times caused by mainstream media and youtube “influencers” (between us, they don’t provide better odds of success in trading than a flip of coin).
EUR/NZD Fibonacci Span long termIn my opinion we are still in an uptrend in the market, the last span placement has a clear high low. It is trending bearish on lower time frame. You can clearly see how the market reacts to previous fib span lines. Simply go to the smaller time frames to check for break of resistance & retests to find which line has more bearing. Then, you can return to the weekly & come up with your own projections. I save the charts in this format, then make copies when I go the lower time frames for mark ups & the typical 5 - 15 minute trades I usually make.
GBP/CAD Fibonacci Span Tool - Speculation The first three are set to the best of my knowledge of how you use the tool. The last one is speculative because the high in the market is only assumed at this point, in my analysis. It appears the previous lower ranging area broke to the upside. If there is only one previous example & it eventually broke to the north, the probability in the current consolidation is that it will do the same.
BTC Wekendtheory Guessing fun !Hello trader,
Good mood and profitable deals 💲
I noticed that the big guys skipped the last 2 weekends to scare off the retail trade and then go back upstairs on Monday. Maybe this time it will play out right away.
For my followers möchte ich heute ein quiz starten.Gehen wir diese woche bis zum schluss der nächsten wochenkertze rauf oder runter📊,und bei welchen preis wird die nächste weekly kerzte schließen❓
Der Gewinner kan sich 4 detailed posts wünschen, einen pro woche.Long short setups für alle märkte oder education!!
Wen mehr als 500 user mitraten gibt es für den sieger noch eine zusätzliche überaschung 🤪
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Next bullrunPullback weekly after making all time high currently uptrending and weekly price rebound EMA30
Small Timeframe - Fractal Wyckoff - BTCI've noticed several small timeframe Wyckoff distribution schematics unfold during this downtrend for Bitcoin., basically after every major impulse down.
Wyckoff schematics, like most things in charting markets, tend to have a fractal nature. See attached article for reference. So it is no wonder when you have a large timeframe Wyckoff schematic playout, you will see similar schematics playout on smaller timeframes.
This schematic is still premature, imo, and will have to monitor volume. Will it play out?
Confluence factors:
1. FIB time lines up very nicely with the impulse moves and corrections thus far.
2. FIB speed fan has the current local trend bending into a equal triangle along the top for resistance (golden pocket 0.618 / 0.66)
3. Possible UT at the 8 FIB time where it meets the FIB fan at 0.5.
4. Possible UTAD at 0.786 resistance of the Trend-based Fib extension. This was a major support flipped into resistance level previously, and caught a major wick almost to the dollar just about 2 weeks ago around 45500.
5. The 1.618 Fib extension is also acting as support at the base of the triangle (around $31K).
6. First target based on a simple 1:1 from the height of the triangle gives us about 19873, and is right around the 2.272 Fib on the same extension.
EURUSD: time to short for some 200 pipsPrice already started rejecting at two important Gann 0.5 levels + 99 bars level from previous pivots points (triple timing confluence); indicating that it's time to create a swing and change direction.
I am targeting a price decline to reach the next visible equal lows of liquidity (around 200 pips).