What we know? Oil is likely bullish in 2nd Half (24'). BTC leads the small caps. TNX usually works as a head wind (and has took a pause). Rate cuts are very bullish for small caps and financials benefit in this environment? technically; the 20dma works as a driver. 50dma and 200dma just gives you context. You can add MACD to confirm things. Im speculating that...
KWH's Journal Entry #47 "Timing" A. Which session is being traded? —North America! (8AM-11AM) "Level" B. Which key level is price trading from? —Week Low! "Behavior" C. What behavior is price exhibiting at the key level? —Star! Conditions are met! Place the position where most optimal!
KWH's Journal Entry #46 "Timing" A. Which session is being traded? —North America! (8AM-11AM) "Level" B. Which key level is price trading from? —Week Low "Behavior" C. What behavior is price exhibiting at the key level? —Star! Conditions are met! Place the position where most optimal!
KWH's Journal Entry #44 "Timing" A. Which session is being traded? —North America! (8AM-11AM) "Level" B. Which key level is price trading from? —Equilibrium! "Behavior" C. What behavior is price exhibiting at the key level? —Star! Conditions are met! Place the position where most optimal!
KWH's Journal Entry #44 "Timing" A. Which session is being traded? —North America! (8AM-11AM) "Level" B. Which key level is price trading from? —00! "Behavior" C. What behavior is price exhibiting at the key level? —Engulfing! Conditions are met! Place the position where most optimal!
KWH's Journal Entry #43 "Timing" A. Which session is being traded? —North America! (8AM-11AM) "Level" B. Which key level is price trading from? —00! "Behavior" C. What behavior is price exhibiting at the key level? —W Pattern! (C) Conditions are met! Place the position where most optimal!
KWH's Journal Entry #42 "Timing" A. Which session is being traded? —North America! (8AM-11AM) "Level" B. Which key level is price trading from? —50! "Behavior" C. What behavior is price exhibiting at the key level? —M Pattern! (C) Conditions are met! Place the position where most optimal!
This is what SPY will do near and mid term: - Begin drop somewhere between 11/3 (today) and 11/8 (next week) to 398-405 range [ 402 point target by end of November 2023 ] - Bounce/relief rally to 434-444 by mid to late December 2023 - Massive drop in 2024 to 360-380 minimum, possibly as low as 290s Short it, buy it, then short it again. These are very...
Defining the levels of reversals in terms of fibonacci ratios derived from Convid19 crash. Second alternative colored fib channel is placed in respect to established unity. Old version contained colored fib channels covering period from 2008 crash. Whereas in current version, the interconnectedness in fibs are based on metrics of Covid19 volatility ONLY ....
The price action of Borr Drilling retested the bottom of its Accumulation range about a year ago, and now a bullish Three Drives pattern appears to be forming, one which is almost ready to extend its final upward leg. As always, I strive to render these ideas of mine so obviously that their explanation will require no words, and this forecast is no...
A quick look at the look at the price action history of Bluzelle suggests that the impressive run up since midsummer has come to end ... but I've been wrong before, so I welcome your tough questions. After all, this venue exists to arouse the reverse-engineers and to provoke the thinkers to do what we do best, right? As always, I strive to render these ideas of...
Since we're approaching the channel breakout in linear scale: It's time to redefine timefibs to a cycle of 2 historic tops so that ATH is 0. Golden Ratio of the cycle has defined the reversal, so making rest timefibs more solid. The channel applied here is functioning on log scale which is aimed at bigger moves, because falling 2 years straight has eliminated...
Wide Pattern Coverage and Derived Price Levels: Keeping in mind the narrative of upcoming FED tightening policy because CPI & PPI figures. Also many longer term investors were disappointed about the financial reports of MSFT CORP. This negative incentive sets general dilation of falling fractal which covers negative market intentions. Fractal of Falling: Net...
Original idea: Current idea: This parabolic Time curve mimics the Price expansion against Time. It looks the way it is, because of natural expansion of the market and the fact that as we move into the future with overall increasing Market Cap, for making similar % like in the past, market needs RELATIVELY more resources. For example it was easier to make 100% in...
I dowse on stocks and the market, and I'm working more on targeting swing highs and lows both in price and time. If TSLA is around $153.00 in the time frame Nov. 23rd, it's definitely time to reverse long. In the mean time, stay short!
29-30 October are important dates for BTCUSD pair according to my timing. I will wait for that date, see where the price goes and open position according to that with tight stop loss. I assume price will go up and this will be the short-time uptrend before the price hits the real bottom.
The SPX chart has 2 goals and one constraint: Demonstrate the VIX / VVIX ratio as an inverse momentum indicator for SPX. The VIX is risk adjusted" by VVIX and the ratio is more useful than VIX alone. "Useful" is similar to 'Statistical Power' and means less data required to identify smaller changes amidst higher volatility. Suggest that an ATH of SPX...
This has been a grueling past 6 months trying to complete this corrective Wave IV before beginning the final motive Wave V of a 13 year bull market. Bulls and Bears playing mid-term options have been punished continuously for staying too long. I think it is important to keep the bigger picture in mind here - i.e. SPY will very likely make one last All Time High...