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BABA: triangle with tensionOn the weekly chart, BABA has already formed a golden cross - price is above both MA50 and MA200, confirming a bullish trend shift. The stock is now approaching the upper edge of the symmetrical triangle and the key resistance at $122, which also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
The numbers inside the triangle represent the contraction phases, not Elliott waves. This is a classical consolidation before a potential breakout. If the $122 level is broken and retested, upside targets are $128 (0.618), $137 (0.786), and eventually $148–181 (1.0–1.618 extension).
Volume is rising, MACD is flipping bullish, and RSI is climbing out of oversold territory — all signs point to growing bullish momentum.
Fundamentally, Alibaba benefits from China's economic rebound, possible regulatory relief, and ongoing share buybacks. With Chinese tech rotating back into favor, BABA could lead the rally.
So if you're still waiting for a signal - it's already here. The golden cross is done, price is flying above moving averages, and all that’s left is a clean breakout. Watch $122 — that’s the launchpad.
I hate to say it, but BTC is done - !Cycle ended!I've plotted the time in which each bull cycle takes to complete. Each run is getting shorter, not longer.. So looking at the previous run, we can see that we saw an expanded ABC to correct - one more little peak at at ATNH but then down into the inevitable correction. I think exactly the same thing is playing out here. We've seen so much brevado, but almost no new liquidity - there may well be a rate cut or two coming in September but I feel it's already priced in. When Powell inferred there would be cuts a few weeks ago, the market jumped but then dumped. Buy the rumour, sell the news. So - I'm out, cashed in my chips. Off to buy a new car.
NASDAQ at Record Highs after US CPI report, but can it last?In today’s video, we break down the major market moves triggered by the July US CPI report. Headline CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month—right in line with expectations and a slowdown from the previous month. Year-over-year, headline inflation came in at 2.7%, just under the 2.8% forecast, while Core CPI rose 0.3% MoM (matching forecasts) but was a bit hotter at 3.1% YoY (vs. 3.0% expected).
These “not as bad as feared” inflation numbers kept hopes alive for a September Fed rate cut, pushing the odds of a cut to 96%. Markets responded strongly: the NASDAQ 100 closed at a record high, just shy of the 24K handle, with broad gains in tech and communication stocks, as traders bet on a more dovish Fed.
We also cover the technical setup for the NASDAQ 100 and key risk factors heading into the second part of August.
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RKLB: the rocket is fueled and ready for orbitOn the daily chart of Rocket Lab (RKLB) , the price is trading at $44.38 after a confident breakout above key consolidation zones. Technically , the break of the $40 level confirmed the strength of the bulls and solidified the upward structure. The next target is $66 - a strong resistance aligned with the Fibo extension and if momentum holds, the market could extend toward $86.54, where long-term levels converge. EMA indicators remain below the price, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Fundamentally , Rocket Lab stands as a leader in the small-launch vehicle sector, strengthened by contracts with NASA and consistent commercial demand. Amid growing interest in the aerospace industry and rising competition with SpaceX, the company benefits from diversified revenue streams and steady launch schedules. On the geopolitical side, increased defense programs in the U.S. and allied nations provide additional long-term support.
Tactically , the zone above $40 now acts as a support: as long as price holds above it, the bullish scenario remains intact. Targets are set at $66 and $86.54. Short-term corrections are possible if the market overheats, but the broader structure points upward, with institutional flows suggesting accumulation.
If this scenario plays out, Rocket Lab won’t just launch satellites - it’ll launch portfolios into orbit.
Warning!!! Critical Moment For Bitcoin! Could the top be in?!Chart says it all. You can see how Bitcoin is about to break or pullback from a multi-cycle trend line. This is a critical juncture and resistance is strong, which is why it has to do a lot of convincing to make me become bullish again. If the trend did break, then it would be huge and a new pattern will probably emerge. We certainly need to pay attention to these lines and how Bitcoin behaves in this range.
Warning!!! Critical Moment For Bitcoin! Could the top be in?!Chart says it all. You can see how Bitcoin is about to break or pullback from a multi-cycle trend line. This is a critical juncture and resistance is strong, which is why it has to do a lot of convincing to make me become bullish again. We certainly need to pay attention to these lines and how Bitcoin behaves in this range.
XNCR 1D time to growth?XNCR: the uptrend hasn't started yet - but someone's quietly accumulating
XNCR spent nearly 4 months building a base and finally broke out of consolidation with a clear upward move. The pattern looks like a range with a narrowing triangle at the bottom — the breakout came with rising volume. Entry makes sense in the 9.00–9.20 zone on a retest. Volume profile and Fib levels confirm the importance of this area, plus there’s a clean support shelf at 9.00. The target is 15.65, which aligns with the height of the structure. The 200-day MA is still above price, but a push beyond 11.00 could open the door to acceleration.
Fundamentally, Xencor is a biotech company focused on monoclonal antibodies. After a tough 2023–2024 and cost reductions, the market is beginning to price in signs of recovery. Key partnerships remain intact, the pipeline is alive, and recent data for XmAb7195 was well received at industry events. Valuation remains low, and biotech ETF flows are slowly picking up.
Still a relatively low-volume name, but the structure is clean, the setup is readable, and fundamentals are turning. With a tight stop below 8.50, the risk-reward looks solid.
AMPL: structure clean, volume right, fundamentals warming upAMPL just broke out of a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart. The breakout was confirmed with decent volume, and now price is calmly pulling back into the 11.30–12.00 zone — exactly the kind of textbook retest that gets serious traders interested. The 0.618 Fib level sits at 11.30, and 0.5 at 11.99, strengthening this entry area. Volume has tapered off post-breakout, which is typical before a continuation. Moving averages are stacked bullish, confirming the trend shift. First upside target is 13.52, followed by 14.89, and if the full h = h move plays out, price could reach 18.50. A natural stop sits just below 11.00. Clear structure, solid risk control — this is one of those setups that checks all the boxes.
On the fundamental side, Amplitude remains a key player in product analytics and digital optimization. After a slow 2024 marked by cost-cutting and stagnating revenue, the company is showing early signs of recovery this year. The broader SaaS market has stabilized, and AMPL is benefiting from renewed enterprise demand, especially for AI-driven user behavior analytics. Recent earnings came in better than expected, and institutional interest has quietly returned. Valuation is still moderate at these levels, giving it room to re-rate if momentum builds.
A clean breakout with technical alignment and an improving macro picture - when both sides of the story match, it's worth paying attention.
Gaussian will tell the exit signal!Please do not fomo at the current prices , instead be prepared to sell some once Gaussian LMACD signal line and lmacd line come together before crossing to the upside. Might be happening soon in the coming months Unfortunately this signals lags a little bit so you won't be catching the actual peak but we will be in a really good spot to get out before coming back down to the Gaussian Core in late 2026 around 40-50k.
USDJPY 1H - market buy with a confirmed structureThe price has bounced from a key support zone and is showing early signs of recovery. A clear base has formed, and the MA50 is starting to turn upward, indicating a shift in short-term momentum. While the MA200 remains above the price, the overall structure suggests a potential continuation of the bullish move.
Trade #1 — entry at market, target: 145.939, stop below recent local low.
Trade #2 — entry after breakout and retest of 145.939, target: 148.000, stop below the retest zone.
Volume has stabilized, and the reaction from support is clear. As long as price holds above the last swing low, buying remains the preferred strategy.
YEXT 1W - breakout confirmed, retest inside bullish channelYext stock just pulled a clean breakout of the weekly downtrend line, retested the buy zone around the 0.5 Fibo level ($7.32), and is now bouncing within a rising channel. The 200MA and 50EMA are both below price, supporting a shift in trend even though the golden cross hasn’t formed yet. The volume increased on breakout, and there's low overhead supply - a classic setup for continuation. The arrow shows the expected move, contingent on confirmation.
Targets: 9.15 - 11.40 - 15.06
Fundamentally, Yext offers enterprise-grade AI-powered search solutions and recently gained attention with new product updates. With AI adoption accelerating, the company may ride the next wave of institutional interest.
When price retests the zone, MA is supportive, and there's no overhead resistance - that’s not noise, that’s a signal.
AUDJPY 1D: breakout toward 100–105AUDJPY has confirmed an inverse head and shoulders breakout on the daily chart, with a strong move above the neckline. All key moving averages, including MA50 and MA200, remain below the current price — confirming bullish momentum. Volume increased on the breakout, and price has held above the 95.6 neckline zone. As long as that level holds, the setup remains valid. Targets are set at 100.36 (1.618 Fibo) and 105.19 (2.0 Fibo).
VTI 1D: breakout on the daily within a long-term weekly uptrend On the daily chart, VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) has broken through the key $303.5 resistance level with strong volume. This breakout occurs within a larger weekly uptrend channel, highlighting a continuation of the long-term bullish structure.
Volume profile shows a clear path ahead: $321.7 (1.272 Fibo) and $345 (1.618 Fibo). The golden cross (MA50 crossing MA200 from below) further supports the bullish case.
Fundamentally, VTI represents the entire U.S. equity market - large to small caps - and benefits from economic resilience, declining inflation, and passive inflows. It’s a logical macro play for trend continuation.
Tactical plan:
— Entry by market or after retest $303.5
— TP1: $321.7
— TP2: $345
— Invalidation below $300
The whole market breaking out? That’s not noise — it’s the signal.
AMAZON TROUBLENASDAQ:AMZN Is currently trading Just 11% below its all time high and currently Facing exhaustion.
Amazon is currently trading 217$ range which was previous support now turned resistance (Daily Timeframe) , making a double top pattern and a negative divergence on the RSI.
The best Trades are the ones with multiple confirmations
- Trading at a resistance (1D chart)✅
- Negative Price Action at the resistance (Double Top Pattern)✅
- RSI negative divergence✅
- Market Structure ✅
Entry Criteria
- A Red candle at the entry Line Marked
- Stoploss Above the Entry Candle
Target 1- 211$
Target 2- 208$
Keep Your Risk Reward Intact! Not An investment Advice
$TSLA | Robotaxi Launch Incoming? - Plan Rock Solid w/ 3 TradesNASDAQ:TSLA
Launch could be as soon as Sunday, June 22. However, Musk has emphasized safety as priority. There is the potential to undercut traditional taxi services at less than $0.20 per mile. Tesla’s government and military contracts are key growth drivers but further clash between Musk and President Trump could cause further volatility in price action. Long-term $271 is a critical price point. There are several ways to play Tesla:
* Range between $270 and $350
* $330 to $400 into price discovery
* Breakdown under $270 targeting $212 and $204
BTC Macro Cycle Outlook (Log Chart)Bitcoin continues to respect its logarithmic ascending channel that has defined every major bull and bear cycle since 2015. Each cycle top has historically aligned with the upper blue trendline, marked by sharp rejections (red arrows 🔴).
Currently, BTC is pushing within a steep short-term channel, mirroring previous parabolic phases. If the structure holds, we could see a final push toward the $300,000 zone, which aligns with the channel resistance — potentially marking the next cycle top.
📈 This chart captures the bigger picture — filtering out short-term noise and focusing on the rhythm of Bitcoin’s long-term cycles.
Do you think this cycle will end like the last two? Or are we in for something different?
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC Educational Idea by 1PercentFundedBTC Update : These are the possible scenarios for BTC based on 2021
Scenario A. BTC rejects 108/109k (Purple Arrow) & retest 98k (High Probability)
Scenario B. BTC retest 110/111k (Black Arrow) & creates a double top before dumping to 88/98k
Our team will be building shorts at 108k onwards & will add if 111k is given. 117.5k invalidation.
2007 Top /2025 day 38td t-minus 2.5 days Major TOP The chart in focus is the 2007 chart we are now day 38 in the pattern and in 2007 we took 40td to make a new high And I have posted my models .I see the next rally to reach anywhere from 6035/on the low end to 6177 on the high end focus 6147 where Ax 1.618 = wave C or 3 Best of trades WAVETIMER
Dow Jonas - Elliot wave📉 DJI — Elliott Wave Top in Sight?
🔍 A long-term analysis with serious implications...
I've been diving deep into the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), using Elliott Wave principles — and what I see may signal the end of one of the longest bull markets in history.
Elliott was right — the massive bull cycle did arrive and extended well into the 2000s. But now, that journey looks to be nearing its final destination.
Currently, I believe we're witnessing the development of an Ending Diagonal pattern — a structure often seen at the end of a major impulse. This formation appears to be completing a set of blue sub-waves, which in turn cap off the larger green primary impulse wave.
📍 The box marks my anticipated top for the DJI. From this point, I expect a strong reversal and the beginning of a major correction.
Now here's the shocking part:
If this correction plays out in time and reaches the Fibonacci 0.382 level, that would suggest a retracement spanning up to 86 years — yes, 86 years.
This isn’t just about markets anymore — such a scenario could carry massive consequences for the global economy and society as a whole.
If, however, we see a strong breakout above the box, then the ending diagonal thesis would be invalidated, and we might instead be witnessing an extended wave 5 — complete with five internal sub-waves.
But either way — the top is coming. It’s just a matter of when, and how hard we fall.
💬 What are your thoughts? Could we really be on the edge of a generational peak?
Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market.
Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends
Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level.
A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure.
Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month?
If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Here’s where we could see solid support:
Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time
Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March
Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark
Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K
Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone
Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region
Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup
Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce
Resistance Levels & Confluences
Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears
Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement
233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside
Potential Trade Setups
Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K
Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades.
New Indicator Release
The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.