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1.6 FIB Ceiling - Stock market correction soon in NOV/DEC.You can apply 1.6 FIB to FAANG or QQQ for high probability ceilings. VIX "structure" (pattern) or setup also indicates it. Stocks forming a sharp "wedge drop", extension from 50dma.
Bullish near term (probably?), correction in NOV/DEC.
I wonder if the first 5 (monthly) trading days in NOV are not volatile AF. 😂
XNCR 1D time to growth?XNCR: the uptrend hasn't started yet - but someone's quietly accumulating
XNCR spent nearly 4 months building a base and finally broke out of consolidation with a clear upward move. The pattern looks like a range with a narrowing triangle at the bottom — the breakout came with rising volume. Entry makes sense in the 9.00–9.20 zone on a retest. Volume profile and Fib levels confirm the importance of this area, plus there’s a clean support shelf at 9.00. The target is 15.65, which aligns with the height of the structure. The 200-day MA is still above price, but a push beyond 11.00 could open the door to acceleration.
Fundamentally, Xencor is a biotech company focused on monoclonal antibodies. After a tough 2023–2024 and cost reductions, the market is beginning to price in signs of recovery. Key partnerships remain intact, the pipeline is alive, and recent data for XmAb7195 was well received at industry events. Valuation remains low, and biotech ETF flows are slowly picking up.
Still a relatively low-volume name, but the structure is clean, the setup is readable, and fundamentals are turning. With a tight stop below 8.50, the risk-reward looks solid.
AUDCHF 1D - wedge falls, price risesOn the daily chart AUDCHF shows a classic falling wedge, already broken to the upside with a retest of the 0.5250 entry zone. Price is consolidating above this level, giving bulls a chance to build momentum. The nearest targets are 0.5295, followed by 0.5374 and 0.5448. Moving averages are flattening, while RSI, recovering from seller pressure, supports a potential upward trend.
Fundamentally , the pair reflects the tug-of-war between risk appetite and safe-haven demand. The Aussie gets moderate support from commodity strength, while the franc remains a defensive play. If global risk appetite stays firm, capital is more likely to flow out of CHF into higher-yielding currencies like AUD.
Tactical plan: consider longs around 0.5250, with targets at 0.5295, 0.5374, and 0.5448. If bulls hold above the breakout zone, the structure may turn into a solid bullish leg.
The only question is: will the franc stay defensive while the Aussie fires up the barbecue?
RKLB: the rocket is fueled and ready for orbitOn the daily chart of Rocket Lab (RKLB) , the price is trading at $44.38 after a confident breakout above key consolidation zones. Technically , the break of the $40 level confirmed the strength of the bulls and solidified the upward structure. The next target is $66 - a strong resistance aligned with the Fibo extension and if momentum holds, the market could extend toward $86.54, where long-term levels converge. EMA indicators remain below the price, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Fundamentally , Rocket Lab stands as a leader in the small-launch vehicle sector, strengthened by contracts with NASA and consistent commercial demand. Amid growing interest in the aerospace industry and rising competition with SpaceX, the company benefits from diversified revenue streams and steady launch schedules. On the geopolitical side, increased defense programs in the U.S. and allied nations provide additional long-term support.
Tactically , the zone above $40 now acts as a support: as long as price holds above it, the bullish scenario remains intact. Targets are set at $66 and $86.54. Short-term corrections are possible if the market overheats, but the broader structure points upward, with institutional flows suggesting accumulation.
If this scenario plays out, Rocket Lab won’t just launch satellites - it’ll launch portfolios into orbit.
BABA: triangle with tensionOn the weekly chart, BABA has already formed a golden cross - price is above both MA50 and MA200, confirming a bullish trend shift. The stock is now approaching the upper edge of the symmetrical triangle and the key resistance at $122, which also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
The numbers inside the triangle represent the contraction phases, not Elliott waves. This is a classical consolidation before a potential breakout. If the $122 level is broken and retested, upside targets are $128 (0.618), $137 (0.786), and eventually $148–181 (1.0–1.618 extension).
Volume is rising, MACD is flipping bullish, and RSI is climbing out of oversold territory — all signs point to growing bullish momentum.
Fundamentally, Alibaba benefits from China's economic rebound, possible regulatory relief, and ongoing share buybacks. With Chinese tech rotating back into favor, BABA could lead the rally.
So if you're still waiting for a signal - it's already here. The golden cross is done, price is flying above moving averages, and all that’s left is a clean breakout. Watch $122 — that’s the launchpad.
EURUSD – Bears Still in Control!EURUSD has been overall bearish, trading within a clear descending channel. After rejecting the 1.1950s, price broke structure and shifted momentum to the downside.
At the moment, price is retesting a strong structure zone that aligns with the upper red trendline of the channel. This area acts as a confluence resistance.
As long as EURUSD trades below this zone, the bears remain in control. I’ll be looking for short opportunities from here with the next bearish impulse in mind.
If this structure is broken upward, only then would the short-term bias start to shift. Until then, the path of least resistance remains down.
Do you think EURUSD will respect this resistance, or could we see a breakout to reverse the trend? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.
VTI 1D: breakout on the daily within a long-term weekly uptrend On the daily chart, VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) has broken through the key $303.5 resistance level with strong volume. This breakout occurs within a larger weekly uptrend channel, highlighting a continuation of the long-term bullish structure.
Volume profile shows a clear path ahead: $321.7 (1.272 Fibo) and $345 (1.618 Fibo). The golden cross (MA50 crossing MA200 from below) further supports the bullish case.
Fundamentally, VTI represents the entire U.S. equity market - large to small caps - and benefits from economic resilience, declining inflation, and passive inflows. It’s a logical macro play for trend continuation.
Tactical plan:
— Entry by market or after retest $303.5
— TP1: $321.7
— TP2: $345
— Invalidation below $300
The whole market breaking out? That’s not noise — it’s the signal.
I hate to say it, but BTC is done - !Cycle ended!I've plotted the time in which each bull cycle takes to complete. Each run is getting shorter, not longer.. So looking at the previous run, we can see that we saw an expanded ABC to correct - one more little peak at at ATNH but then down into the inevitable correction. I think exactly the same thing is playing out here. We've seen so much brevado, but almost no new liquidity - there may well be a rate cut or two coming in September but I feel it's already priced in. When Powell inferred there would be cuts a few weeks ago, the market jumped but then dumped. Buy the rumour, sell the news. So - I'm out, cashed in my chips. Off to buy a new car.
NASDAQ at Record Highs after US CPI report, but can it last?In today’s video, we break down the major market moves triggered by the July US CPI report. Headline CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month—right in line with expectations and a slowdown from the previous month. Year-over-year, headline inflation came in at 2.7%, just under the 2.8% forecast, while Core CPI rose 0.3% MoM (matching forecasts) but was a bit hotter at 3.1% YoY (vs. 3.0% expected).
These “not as bad as feared” inflation numbers kept hopes alive for a September Fed rate cut, pushing the odds of a cut to 96%. Markets responded strongly: the NASDAQ 100 closed at a record high, just shy of the 24K handle, with broad gains in tech and communication stocks, as traders bet on a more dovish Fed.
We also cover the technical setup for the NASDAQ 100 and key risk factors heading into the second part of August.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Warning!!! Critical Moment For Bitcoin! Could the top be in?!Chart says it all. You can see how Bitcoin is about to break or pullback from a multi-cycle trend line. This is a critical juncture and resistance is strong, which is why it has to do a lot of convincing to make me become bullish again. If the trend did break, then it would be huge and a new pattern will probably emerge. We certainly need to pay attention to these lines and how Bitcoin behaves in this range.
Warning!!! Critical Moment For Bitcoin! Could the top be in?!Chart says it all. You can see how Bitcoin is about to break or pullback from a multi-cycle trend line. This is a critical juncture and resistance is strong, which is why it has to do a lot of convincing to make me become bullish again. We certainly need to pay attention to these lines and how Bitcoin behaves in this range.
AMPL: structure clean, volume right, fundamentals warming upAMPL just broke out of a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart. The breakout was confirmed with decent volume, and now price is calmly pulling back into the 11.30–12.00 zone — exactly the kind of textbook retest that gets serious traders interested. The 0.618 Fib level sits at 11.30, and 0.5 at 11.99, strengthening this entry area. Volume has tapered off post-breakout, which is typical before a continuation. Moving averages are stacked bullish, confirming the trend shift. First upside target is 13.52, followed by 14.89, and if the full h = h move plays out, price could reach 18.50. A natural stop sits just below 11.00. Clear structure, solid risk control — this is one of those setups that checks all the boxes.
On the fundamental side, Amplitude remains a key player in product analytics and digital optimization. After a slow 2024 marked by cost-cutting and stagnating revenue, the company is showing early signs of recovery this year. The broader SaaS market has stabilized, and AMPL is benefiting from renewed enterprise demand, especially for AI-driven user behavior analytics. Recent earnings came in better than expected, and institutional interest has quietly returned. Valuation is still moderate at these levels, giving it room to re-rate if momentum builds.
A clean breakout with technical alignment and an improving macro picture - when both sides of the story match, it's worth paying attention.
Gaussian will tell the exit signal!Please do not fomo at the current prices , instead be prepared to sell some once Gaussian LMACD signal line and lmacd line come together before crossing to the upside. Might be happening soon in the coming months Unfortunately this signals lags a little bit so you won't be catching the actual peak but we will be in a really good spot to get out before coming back down to the Gaussian Core in late 2026 around 40-50k.
USDJPY 1H - market buy with a confirmed structureThe price has bounced from a key support zone and is showing early signs of recovery. A clear base has formed, and the MA50 is starting to turn upward, indicating a shift in short-term momentum. While the MA200 remains above the price, the overall structure suggests a potential continuation of the bullish move.
Trade #1 — entry at market, target: 145.939, stop below recent local low.
Trade #2 — entry after breakout and retest of 145.939, target: 148.000, stop below the retest zone.
Volume has stabilized, and the reaction from support is clear. As long as price holds above the last swing low, buying remains the preferred strategy.
YEXT 1W - breakout confirmed, retest inside bullish channelYext stock just pulled a clean breakout of the weekly downtrend line, retested the buy zone around the 0.5 Fibo level ($7.32), and is now bouncing within a rising channel. The 200MA and 50EMA are both below price, supporting a shift in trend even though the golden cross hasn’t formed yet. The volume increased on breakout, and there's low overhead supply - a classic setup for continuation. The arrow shows the expected move, contingent on confirmation.
Targets: 9.15 - 11.40 - 15.06
Fundamentally, Yext offers enterprise-grade AI-powered search solutions and recently gained attention with new product updates. With AI adoption accelerating, the company may ride the next wave of institutional interest.
When price retests the zone, MA is supportive, and there's no overhead resistance - that’s not noise, that’s a signal.
AUDJPY 1D: breakout toward 100–105AUDJPY has confirmed an inverse head and shoulders breakout on the daily chart, with a strong move above the neckline. All key moving averages, including MA50 and MA200, remain below the current price — confirming bullish momentum. Volume increased on the breakout, and price has held above the 95.6 neckline zone. As long as that level holds, the setup remains valid. Targets are set at 100.36 (1.618 Fibo) and 105.19 (2.0 Fibo).
AMAZON TROUBLENASDAQ:AMZN Is currently trading Just 11% below its all time high and currently Facing exhaustion.
Amazon is currently trading 217$ range which was previous support now turned resistance (Daily Timeframe) , making a double top pattern and a negative divergence on the RSI.
The best Trades are the ones with multiple confirmations
- Trading at a resistance (1D chart)✅
- Negative Price Action at the resistance (Double Top Pattern)✅
- RSI negative divergence✅
- Market Structure ✅
Entry Criteria
- A Red candle at the entry Line Marked
- Stoploss Above the Entry Candle
Target 1- 211$
Target 2- 208$
Keep Your Risk Reward Intact! Not An investment Advice
$TSLA | Robotaxi Launch Incoming? - Plan Rock Solid w/ 3 TradesNASDAQ:TSLA
Launch could be as soon as Sunday, June 22. However, Musk has emphasized safety as priority. There is the potential to undercut traditional taxi services at less than $0.20 per mile. Tesla’s government and military contracts are key growth drivers but further clash between Musk and President Trump could cause further volatility in price action. Long-term $271 is a critical price point. There are several ways to play Tesla:
* Range between $270 and $350
* $330 to $400 into price discovery
* Breakdown under $270 targeting $212 and $204
BTC Macro Cycle Outlook (Log Chart)Bitcoin continues to respect its logarithmic ascending channel that has defined every major bull and bear cycle since 2015. Each cycle top has historically aligned with the upper blue trendline, marked by sharp rejections (red arrows 🔴).
Currently, BTC is pushing within a steep short-term channel, mirroring previous parabolic phases. If the structure holds, we could see a final push toward the $300,000 zone, which aligns with the channel resistance — potentially marking the next cycle top.
📈 This chart captures the bigger picture — filtering out short-term noise and focusing on the rhythm of Bitcoin’s long-term cycles.
Do you think this cycle will end like the last two? Or are we in for something different?
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr






















