Rebound correction Silver. H4 09.10.2024Rebound correction Silver
Silver made a reversal downwards, which I wrote about in the last post Now the price has approached the margin zone and local support 30.20 from which they can make correction upwards. However, I believe that the fall will continue to the strong support zone 28.06-28.86 and in this zone I will look for culmination and a buy signal. Also, silver is now trading in the past profile accumulation area and if there is no reaction up, it will confirm the thoughts of a deeper decline.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
Tradingidea
NASDAQ near the buyers' zone. H4 04.09.2024NASDAQ near the buyers' zone
The NASDAQ stock index is forming a correction and is approaching the strong zone of buyers 18293-18579 from which I expect its rebound upwards. So far the move down is within the correction and now the price is trading in the margin zone. But as for me, there is not enough downward manipulation and then we will look at the buyback volumes. If they appear, we will act.
Beginning of AUDUSD workout. H4 03.09.2024Beginning of AUDUSD workout
Yesterday in the closed channel I recommended subscribers
to look for sales of the Australian dollar from the strong zone
0.6790-0.6816 with the perspective of corrective
fall to 0.6640+-
The price gave a reaction in the morning and I believe that
the push down will continue. It remains to cover a major
growth candle and then I will increase sales.
It is also desirable that the cumulative starts
to grow on the fall, they often get after that.
Already right now, even at 0.1 lot almost returned
the cost of a monthly subscription
Waiting for NaturalGas to rise. H4 30.08.2024Waiting for NaturalGas to rise
Gas tried to break down to 2.00 twice and bought back twice.
And large volumes are now around 2.10 and defending.
If they are not pushed down, they may rise to the upper boundary of the flat to 2.30 and even 2.50.
Increased vertical volumes came in at the moments of buyback, which often coincides
with the culmination and turns the market.
Waiting for WTI rebound. H4 30.08.2024 Waiting for WTI rebound
Oil WTI has been flattening with pullbacks all week, which is exhausting. My top-up was knocked out together with the rest of the last buy. Although the total plus came out due to partial fixation. Now the price is back to the key support area, it went down to the buyers' zone 73.34-72.63 and near the specified 1/2 margin. There are no large volumes, which is confusing, but they can make a buyback. Therefore, you should look here for confirmations on your strategy. If pushed the zones below, then the price will go to 71.
USDCAD in the area of option hedges. H4 29.08.2024 USDCAD in the area of option hedges
The price has entered the area of option hedges and margins at 1.3460.
However, given the strongly growing cumulative delta, there are concerns
whether it can go up without updating the low near 1.3440.
I think it will be pulled down first, ideally to knock out stops, capture liquidity,
show a culmination and then go into corrective growth. The nearest target is around 1.36
Ambiguous situation Gold. H4 28.08.2024Ambiguous situation Gold
There is an ambiguous situation on gold.
We are trading close to the nearest buyers' zone,
but there are no volumes of buybacks and on the contrary bids are pushing down.
Can go up to 1/2 margin, and from there make a rebound.
That is why I will be out of the market on gold until the situation becomes clearer.
If they can completely cover the segment down with fixing under 2470,
then we will get repositioning downwards and look for sales from the pullback.
But we have not done it yet, the priority is to work on the bullish trend.
Will there be a false breakdown WTI ? H4 20.08.2024Will there be a false breakdown WTI ? H4 20.08.2024
Oil is in an interesting situation right now. Initially I was waiting for repositioning to buy, however the price went lower. As a result, I closed my purchases on be and now the question is whether or not there will be a false breakdown of the support zone 71.30-72.40. The poured volume in the margin at 73.50 did not give a buyback reaction, but oil moves very insidiously. It could do a false breakdown and then come back on volumes and form a delayed culmination. In any case, the rebound is somewhere near, so watch carefully.
Possible correction WTI. H4 27.08.2024Possible correction WTI
Oil has now approached the marginal resistance zone 77.41-77.97,
as shown in the previous analysis.
Large point volumes have appeared in the zone and may mean
fixation of purchases and the beginning of accumulation
of corrective sales.
The question is whether the pullback will be
and how deep it will be.
In general, I expect an approach around 1/2 of the margin
and then up again from there. That's why yesterday at 77.40
I closed 50% of buys and I'm still in the waiting mode.
Oil after filling volumes likes to make
gains and then go into a reversal.
Trading Idea of week 35 - S&P500 - TradingMasteryHubWelcome to the TradingMasteryHub Trading Ideas!
Are you ready to gear up for the upcoming week? Join us as we dive into a detailed analysis to uncover top trading opportunities that could potentially boost your trading account. We’ll break down our strategy, defining precise Entries, managing Risk, and pinpointing the optimal Exit zones—steps that can transform your trading performance. Whether you’re just starting out or looking to fine-tune your approach, these insights are crafted to help you on your path to mastering the markets.
S&P 500 Poised to Break New All-Time Highs!
The S&P 500 has climbed back above its long-term uptrend (green trend line) that’s been in play since early November 2023. The current all-time high (ATH) of 5,680.4, set on July 16th, also marked the beginning of a mid-term downtrend (red trend line). However, two weeks ago, we witnessed a significant breakout from this downtrend, accompanied by high volume, which also reestablished the long-term uptrend. The last four trading days have been range-bound between key support (green) and resistance (blue) zones, with a stable volume profile (orange box) in between.
If the price manages to break through the key resistance zone (blue), new ATHs are highly likely. This presents a clear and compelling trading opportunity that we’re excited to share with you.
How to Turn This into a 5-Star Setup!
Before we rush into a trade, excited by the prospect of bullish momentum, it’s crucial to do our homework. This means waiting for multiple confirmations before entering the trade:
1. The Trend is Your Friend: The chart shows different trends depending on the time frame. We’re trading on a 15-minute chart, where the uptrend is clear. But we also need to confirm that the higher time frame (above our execution trend) is in an uptrend and not in a consolidation phase following a longer-term downtrend.
- Box Checked: We saw a breakout from the mid-term downtrend on August 15th with high volume (RVOL > 3) and a 15-minute close above the last higher low of that downtrend on August 19th, also with high volume.
2. We Need New Bullish Momentum: To hit new ATHs, we require strong buying pressure. This could come from a catalyst like favorable news (e.g., interest rate cuts by the Fed) or a technical breakout above the key resistance zone (blue).
- Box Checked: We’ll look for a 15-minute close above the blue zone, RVOL > 3 at the breakout, and ideally, a U.S. market opening above the previous day’s Volume Profile high to confirm a trending day.
- Plus: Price must be above both the session VWAP and 2-day VWAP.
- Bonus: An additional catalyst in the form of a market-moving news event.
3. We Need Patience: Only when all the above criteria are met should we enter the trade.
- Entry: After a 15-minute candle closes above the blue zone, but only if the risk/reward ratio is >1.3 up to Target 1.
- Risk Management: Stop Loss (SL) at 5,624.7, just below Friday’s Pivot R1 minus 6 points for market noise. Take Profit (TP) Target 1 is set at 5,678, just below Pivot R2 (also the 1.618 Fib Extension), where we’ll scale out 50% of the position and move the SL to the entry level, making the trade risk-free.
- Profit Target 2 (50%): This will likely be around 5,730, just below the 2.618 Fib Extension. If we don’t see new ATHs, TP Target 2 will be triggered by a close below the highest green 15-minute candle.
4. We Need Discipline: Trading only when all conditions are met will give us an edge in the long run.
- Discipline: Sticking to your rules is crucial for consistent trading. Without discipline, you lose the ability to analyze and refine your edge, leaving you at the mercy of emotional decisions.
5. We Need to Review Our Trades: Keeping a Trading Journal is essential for learning from both mistakes and successes. We’ll provide another e-Learning session focused on this vital topic. A simple journal can significantly improve your trading.
Always Have a Plan B!
Sometimes Plan A doesn’t play out. That’s why it’s important to have a Plan B—a slightly less optimal, but still viable, 4-star setup.
In this case, if the breakout above the blue zone doesn’t occur and the market reverses towards the green zone, we might consider a short trade instead. But again, we need a separate checklist:
1. Range Trades Need a History: The market must test key zones (green and blue) more than twice each to confirm a range.
- Confirmation: More than two touches of the green and red zones have already occurred.
2. We Need Bearish Momentum: A bearish environment is necessary for a return to the range. This could be triggered by a negative catalyst (e.g., lower unemployment rates) or a breakdown below VWAP.
- Box Checked: We need a 15-minute candle close below both session VWAP and 2-day VWAP, RVOL > 3, and the market ranging within the Volume Profile.
3. We Need Patience: Enter the trade only when all conditions are met.
- Entry: After a 15-minute candle closes below both VWAPs, with a risk/reward ratio >1.7 up to TP Target 1.
- Risk Management: SL at 5,647, just above Friday’s Pivot R1 plus 6 points for noise. TP Target 1 at 5,602, just above Pivot P (0.382 Fib retracement), where we’ll close 100% of the position.
4. We Need Discipline: As always, sticking to the plan is key.
5. We Need to Review Our Trades: Keeping track of your trades ensures you learn and improve over time.
---
Conclusion and Recommendation
By focusing on clear trends, momentum, and discipline, you can capitalize on high-probability trading setups like the ones we’ve outlined here. However, it's crucial to understand that not every 5-star setup will be a winner. Even the most promising setups don’t guarantee success every time. The true key to long-term profitability lies in consistently following a well-defined strategy and maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio. Over time, this disciplined approach can lead to steady profits, helping you grow your trading account while minimizing losses.
Having a solid Plan B also keeps you prepared for whatever the market throws your way. With these strategies, you’re not just following the market—you’re mastering it.
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- In-depth market analysis
- Proven trading setups
- Effective risk management techniques
- The importance of discipline in trading
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TradingMasteryHub
Continued growth Gold. H4 26.08.2024Continued growth Gold
Gold continues to grow steadily given the escalating conflict
between Israel and Lebanon.
The correction last week ended near the local support 2477
and made a new bounce upwards.
Now new historical highs are being formed and judging by margins and options,
can push the price to 2575,
and there we will look at the volumes,
a local culmination of the correction is possible.
Rebound EURUSD before the start of correction H4. 22.08.2024Rebound EURUSD before the start of correction
On the Euro I expect a rebound to the area of 1.1170
and the start of correction there.
The rebound was made, but the nuance is that the cumulative
continues to fall,
which means that they can still make an outburst to fill
the culmination volumes.
Without them they are unlikely to make a downward reversal.
They may reach 1.12, where there is also a strong option resistance,
and then down.
In any case, I will not enter without confirmation of volumes
and I advise you to wait for the conditions.
The NASDAQ index is gearing up for new high. H4 20.08.2024The NASDAQ index is gearing up for new high
NASDAQ index made a major segment overlap up and the question is if they are going to give a pullback before continuing the growth. Along the way they formed 2 important buy zones, but there is no culmination at the top. I expect a pullback down to the zones and then buying. Most likely we will push from the nearest zone 18920-19200 and then rise to test the high near 21000. Also, just in case I have specified the far zone of buyers 18400-18670, but it is unlikely that we will reach there.
Repositioning Silver to buy H4 19.08.2024 Repositioning Silver to buy
Silver has formed a pattern of repositioning to buy
and if the pullback is given, I will look for a buy at 1/2 margin 27.90 to continue the growth.
I am targeting the area of 30, and further I will clarify.
On options bounced off the option hedge area at 26.50
and the hedge up around 30 and 32 is filled.
The main OI has now moved to the new December contract,
so be careful with volumes, they have only just started to come in from last week.
Thing's about to get WILD! Wilder World has to be one of my favourite crypto projects atm, just because I love everything about this project. They are basicly making a GTA metaverse game and are making the cars, the buildings, billboards, items etc purchasable as unique NFT's. I got to say they are putting some real work in to this and it looks amazing..
The good projects will be the one's sticking around in the crypto space the longest.. Can't believe this is still a #400 coin on Coinmarketcap. I will see this among the top 100 cryptos for sure!
We're currently doing a really nice 3rd bounce from the channel support line. Stochastic is oversold and are turning upwards.
For me this is a longer term #HODL for the bull run, but a nice target would also be at the top of the channel about 400% up from here!
Make sure to follow me on X for more weekly updates: @PuppyNakamoto
Our wolf pack are hunting profits, one block at a time.. 🐺
BITFINEX:WILDUSD KUCOIN:WILDUSDT CRYPTO:WILDUSD
GBPUSD scalping signalsGBP/USD: Bulls push to test the 1.2840 resistance
Instead of continuing to rise, the Pound Sterling (GBP) is more likely to trade in a range between 1.2740 and 1.2840. Downward momentum has slowed; any further GBP weakness is likely limited to a retest of the 1.2710 level, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
SELL Scalping zone SELL GBPUSD now zone 1.28000-1.28200
↠ Stoploss 1.28400
→ Take Profit 1 1.27700
→ Take Profit 2 1.27000
Good luck everyone
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 4H chart idea, which has been playing out perfectly inline with our trading plans,
As shared at the beginning of the week; We had 2406, as an open gap above and 2383 open gap below.
- Both of these gaps were hit!!! The retracement zone provided the bounce for the push up hitting 2406. This followed with a ema5 cross and lock opening 2429, which was also hit perfectly. We then had 2429 cross and lock opening 2461, which was hit today completing this chart idea - BOOOOM!!!!
We are now seeing the rejection at 2461 and price is now heading towards 2429 for support. Support here and we are likely to see another 2461 re-test or a break and lock below 2429 will open 2406 for a test.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2406 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2406 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2429 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2461 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2383 - DONE
2360
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2360 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2328 - 2302
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GBP/USD Breakdown Analysis 1.21RR% - Comprehensive Multi-TimeHello Traders,
In today's breakdown of the GBP/USD pair, I share an in-depth analysis covering both higher and lower time frames. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, this video aims to provide valuable insights and education to enhance your trading skills.
Key Points Covered:
1. Higher Time Frame Analysis:
- Overview of the current trend and key support and resistance levels.
- Examination of major chart patterns and their implications.
- Long-term price action and fundamental factors influencing the pair.
2. Lower Time Frame Analysis:
- Detailed look at recent price movements and short-term trends.
- Identification of potential entry and exit points based on technical indicators.
- Strategies for intraday and swing trading.
3. Educational Insights:
- Explanation of technical analysis concepts used in the breakdown.
- Tips on how to combine multiple time frame analyses for more accurate predictions.
- Practical advice for managing risk and improving trading discipline.
I invite you to watch the video and share your thoughts and comments. Let's learn and grow together as a trading community!
Happy Trading!
Abdul Kalk Mohamed Afrideen
BTCUSDT - one n only support for today, holding or not??#BTCUSDT. perfect move as per our last couple of ideas and congratulations to all followers,
now market have one n only area for today that is your most important supporting area 62400
that area can create a massive volume to any side. keep close it.
if market clear that level then it will leads you towards downside further areas which is 60000 and up to 58000
don't be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely