Adani enterprises in Neutral modeThis stock in neutral mode - means neither good for selller or buyer
Advice --
For quity trader --
please trader according to my red Trendline price and sell above Trendline
-- stopp loss is mandatory if Trendline broken
For option trader -- seems market can go up 200-300 points to touch upper red Trendline
For more chart analysis comments me in this post.
TRAP
Turning Traps into Profitable Opportunities ! TOP 3 PATTERNSTrading traps are a common occurrence in the cryptocurrency market. They can be created by a variety of factors, including market manipulation, technical analysis, and psychological biases. While traps can be dangerous for traders who are not prepared, they can also be a source of profit for those who know how to trade them effectively.
In this article, we will discuss three common trading traps and how to trade them profitably. We will also discuss how traps are created and how they can be used to your advantage.
What Are Trading Traps?
Trading traps are false movements in the price of a cryptocurrency that are designed to trick traders into taking a position in the wrong direction. They can be created by a variety of factors, including:
Market manipulation: Market manipulators may create traps to trick traders into taking positions that are in their favor. For example, they may buy a large amount of a cryptocurrency to drive up the price, and then sell it off quickly to create a sell-off.
Technical analysis: Technical analysts may use traps to take advantage of traders who are following technical indicators. For example, they may create a false breakout of a support or resistance level to trigger stop-loss orders.
Psychological biases: Psychological biases, such as fear of missing out (FOMO) and fear of loss (FUD), can also lead traders to fall into traps. For example, a trader who is afraid of missing out on a potential bull run may be more likely to buy into a false breakout.
In the example above, LINK was trading in a horizontal range for several months. The price then broke below the lower range boundary, which was a sign of a potential bear trap. However, the price quickly reversed and re-tested the lower range boundary. This was a good opportunity to enter a long position, as it showed that the trend was still in place.
How to Identify Trading Traps
There are a few things you can look for to help you identify trading traps, including:
Volume: A sudden increase in volume can be a sign that a trap is being set. This is because market manipulators or technical analysts will often need to buy or sell a large amount of cryptocurrency to create a false movement in the price.
Price action: A false breakout or fakeout is often accompanied by a sharp reversal in price action. For example, a false breakout of a support level may be followed by a sharp sell-off.
Technical indicators: Some technical indicators, such as the Bollinger Bands, can help you identify potential traps. For example, the Bollinger Bands may widen before a false breakout, which can be a sign that a trap is being set.
How to Trade Trading Traps
Once you have identified a trap, you can trade it in one of two ways:
Long trap: If you believe that the trend will continue, you can enter a long position on the re-test of the breakout level.
Short trap: If you believe that the trend will reverse, you can enter a short position on
the break of the breakout level.
Examples of Trading Traps
3.1 Triangular Trap Unveiled:
Discuss the bearish implications of descending triangles in technical analysis and their potential use as manipulation tools.
Explore how market manipulators engineer these patterns to trigger artificial stop-losses.
Case Study: NEAR's Triangular Intricacies:
Analyze NEAR's descent within a descending triangle and its unexpected breakout.
Offer insights into the motives behind orchestrating such traps and how traders can leverage these market dynamics.
Here are some examples of how trading traps can be created and traded:
Shakeout trap
A shakeout trap is a false breakout that is designed to trick traders into taking a position in the wrong direction. For example, a cryptocurrency may be trading in a horizontal range for several months. The price then breaks below the lower range boundary, which is a sign of a potential bear trap. However, the price quickly reverses and re-tests the lower range boundary. This is a good opportunity to enter a long position, as it shows that the trend is still in place.
Fakeout trap
A fakeout trap is similar to a shakeout trap, but it occurs after a trend has already begun. For example, a cryptocurrency may be in a bull market. The price then breaks above a resistance level, which is a sign that the bull market is continuing. However, the price quickly reverses and re-tests the resistance level. This is a good opportunity to enter a short position, as it shows that the bull market may be coming to an end.
Reversal trap
A reversal trap is when the trend of a market changes direction. For example, a cryptocurrency may be in a bull market. The price then breaks below a support level, which is a sign that the bull market is ending. However, the price quickly reverses and re-tests the support level. This is a good opportunity to enter a long position, as it shows that the bull market may be resuming.
The Art of Spotting Fakeouts:
Define the concept of fakeouts and unveil their potential as precursors to bullish movements.
Offer insights into distinguishing genuine breakouts from manipulative traps set by
market actors.
Case Study: ZIL's Quick Turnaround:
Uncover the Zilliqa (ZIL) chart, examining the deceptive fakeout beneath a pivotal horizontal level.
Emphasize the strategic importance of waiting for a retest post-fakeout as a confirmation signal.
Conclusion
Trading traps can be a dangerous but profitable part of cryptocurrency trading. By understanding how traps are created and how to identify them, you can increase your chances of trading them successfully.
Additional Tips for Trading Trading Traps
Use stop losses: Stop losses can help you limit your losses if you are wrong about a trade.
Be patient: Do not rush into a trade just because you see a trap. Wait for the
GRT : Bear Trap and Ascending channelThe journey of Graph (GRT) has been marked by a strategic escape from a bear trap and a subsequent ascent into a bullish parallel channel. Let's delve into the dynamics that unfolded, highlighting GRT's resilience in the face of adversity.
Key Events:
Bear Trap at $0.08:
GRT found itself in a range-bound scenario, with a crucial support level at $0.08.
A sudden and sharp drop below this level initially appeared bearish, creating a trap for unsuspecting bears.
Swift Recovery:
Contrary to the bearish indications, GRT showcased remarkable resilience by swiftly recovering from the bear trap.
This rapid rebound hinted at strong buying interest and a potential change in market sentiment.
Technical Analysis:
Formation of a Bullish Parallel Channel:
GRT's price action post-bear trap reveals the emergence of a bullish parallel channel.
This channel signifies a more controlled and sustainable upward movement, often indicating a positive trend.
Successful Swipe from Previous Day's Low:
GRT strategically executed a swipe from the lows of the previous day, adding to the bullish narrative.
Such swipes often serve as confirmation of support levels and fuel the next leg of the upward move.
Trading Strategies:
Channel Trading Opportunities:
Traders may explore opportunities within the bullish parallel channel, considering long positions as the price respects the channel boundaries.
Identifying potential reversal or continuation patterns within the channel can aid in tactical decision-making.
Monitoring Key Levels:
Keep a close eye on critical support and resistance levels, including the $0.08 level, which previously acted as a pivotal point for GRT.
Breakouts or breakdowns from these levels could signal significant shifts in market sentiment.
Conclusion: Navigating GRT's Bullish Trajectory
GRT's ability to rebound from a bear trap and establish a bullish parallel channel underscores its resilience and appeal to market participants. Traders can leverage these insights to devise strategies that align with the current market dynamics.
🚀 Escaping Bear Traps | 📈 Bullish Parallel Channel | 💡 Strategic Trading Approaches
💬 Share your perspectives on GRT's recent price action and your strategies for navigating its bullish trajectory! 🌐✨
BLUR: Manipulative Moves ! 🌐📉🚀Today, let's cast our spotlight onto a fresh contender in the crypto arena—BLUR. Despite recently joining the Binance exchange, BLUR has wasted no time in showcasing its distinctive character, creating waves with its unconventional market behavior. Join me as we unveil the stealthy moves of this intriguing newcomer. 🔄💼
Deciphering BLUR's Market Dynamics:
New Kid on the Block:
Recent Binance Listing: BLUR has recently entered the illustrious realm of Binance, gaining attention for its unique market tactics.
Sweep of Low – Market Mastery:
Strategic Maneuver: BLUR employs a fascinating tactic known as the "sweep of low," a calculated move to capture liquidity at lower price levels.
Ruthless Efficiency: This maneuver can lead to swift market exits for unsuspecting participants, creating an environment where only the vigilant thrive.
Strategic Insights and Trading Considerations:
Market Caution:
Inherent Volatility: BLUR's market behavior suggests a level of volatility that demands caution.
Sharp Movements: Be prepared for sudden and sharp price movements, especially during and after a sweep of low.
Analyzing the Patterns:
Watchful Eye: Keep a watchful eye on BLUR's chart for patterns associated with liquidity sweeps and subsequent price surges.
Learning Opportunities: Understanding these patterns may present unique opportunities for traders who can navigate BLUR's market dynamics effectively.
Community Vigilance:
Stay Informed:
Community Awareness: Keep an ear to the ground within the BLUR community for insights and announcements.
Dynamic Market: The dynamic nature of BLUR's market requires continuous monitoring and adaptability.
Conclusion:
BLUR emerges as a unique and enigmatic player in the crypto space, showcasing unconventional strategies and market behavior. Traders and enthusiasts alike should approach BLUR with a discerning eye, appreciating the potential opportunities that arise from its distinctive moves.
May your crypto endeavors be as mysterious and rewarding as the journey with BLUR!
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📈 BTC: GROW after Liquidity Trap! Bitcoin, the flagbearer of the crypto realm, is currently demonstrating a masterful dance within an ascending channel. Beyond the technicalities, there's a fascinating interplay of liquidity that savvy traders are watching keenly. Let's unravel the dynamics of BTC's ascent, the lingering liquidity, and what it implies for the next upward swing.
Chart Analysis: BTC's Ascending Channel Strategy
BTC has established itself within a well-defined ascending channel, a testament to the underlying bullish sentiment. However, the artistry lies not just in staying within the lines but in the strategic maneuvers within this channel. As BTC glides higher, there's a deliberate leave-behind of liquidity beneath, setting the stage for a cleaner upward trajectory.
Liquidity Tactics: Setting the Stage for a Surge
One intriguing aspect of BTC's current movement is the deliberate creation of liquidity pockets below the lower boundary of the channel. This isn't accidental; it's a tactical move to clear out lingering long positions. By doing so, BTC aims for a more decisive and sustainable upward movement, unburdened by overhanging positions.
Trading Strategy: Anticipating the Clear Run
For traders navigating the BTC landscape, recognizing the channel dynamics and understanding the liquidity strategy becomes crucial. Anticipating the potential sweep of these lower liquidity zones and a subsequent retest around the $33,000 mark can provide strategic entry points for those eyeing the next leg of the bullish journey.
Conclusion: BTC's Precision Play
BTC's ascent within the ascending channel is more than just a technical pattern—it's a strategic play of liquidity dynamics. The deliberate actions to clear out positions below the channel suggest a meticulous approach to ensure a cleaner and more robust upward movement. As BTC continues its precision play, traders are on the lookout for the anticipated surge beyond $33,000.
🚀 BTC Analysis | 📉 Liquidity Sweep Strategy | 💡 Ascending Channel Tactics
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Are you ready to ride the precision wave with BTC? Share your insights, strategies. 💚🚀💚
CADCHF: Is That a Bear Trap?! 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF is trading on a key daily support at the moment.
We can see that the price violated the underlined structure but then
suddenly bounced and returned above that.
It makes me think that it might be a bear trap.
We may expect a pullback to 0.6477 now.
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The Volume Trick: A Bullish Mirage 📈Trading cryptocurrencies often requires deciphering the subtle cues that the market offers. One such phenomenon is the apparent decrease in trading volume while prices continue to climb. While this may seem like weakness, it can, in fact, be a trap for shorts and a strong bullish signal. Let's dive into this intriguing market dynamic.
Understanding the Volume Puzzle:
Trading volume typically reflects market participation and strength.
A decrease in volume might suggest waning interest or weakening momentum.
The Deceptive Setup:
Sometimes, as prices rise, trading volume shrinks, creating the illusion of market fatigue.
This scenario may lead short-sellers to believe the market is losing steam.
The Reality:
Contrary to appearances, this setup often serves as a trap for shorts.
It may signify that long-term holders are not rushing to sell, indicating strong hands.
The Bullish Implication:
A market that can sustain or increase prices with lower volume is demonstrating resilience.
This can be a precursor to a significant bullish move.
Trading Strategy: Navigating the Volume Mirage
Traders should exercise caution when interpreting volume patterns.
A decrease in volume amid a price rise should not be automatically seen as bearish.
Risk management remains vital, as markets can be unpredictable.
Conclusion: The Volume Illusion
Recognizing the subtleties of trading volume can provide valuable insights into market dynamics. When volume decreases but prices continue to rise, it often confounds short-sellers and sets the stage for a bullish surge.
Remember that trading is both an art and a science, and making informed decisions is key in the crypto landscape. Stay vigilant, adapt to changing conditions, and, above all, trade wisely.
As we navigate the complexities of the crypto market, let's keep an eye out for these volume tricks that may just be a prelude to a bullish rally. 📊🚀🌐
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"HODL" Mentality: Lessons for TradersThe HOMie Mentality: Buying at ATH
Many novice traders, or HOMies, fall into the trap of buying a cryptocurrency when it's near its all-time high (ATH).
They're influenced by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and jump into the market without a clear strategy.
Market Dynamics: Understanding the Cycle
Cryptocurrency markets follow a cyclical pattern of ups and downs.
Novice traders often enter during the euphoric "FOMO" phase when prices are at their peak.
The Emotional Rollercoaster: Avoiding HOMie Mistakes
To avoid the HOMie trap, it's crucial to detach emotions from trading decisions.
Create a clear strategy with entry and exit points, and stick to it.
Risk Management: Protecting Your Investments
Novice traders should prioritize risk management.
Only invest what you can afford to lose, and avoid putting all your funds into a single asset.
Education: The Key to Success
Novice traders can transition from being HOMies to informed investors by educating themselves.
Learn about technical analysis, market cycles, and different trading strategies.
Conclusion: From HOMie to Trader
The HODL mentality can be a valuable strategy when used wisely, but it shouldn't lead novice traders to make impulsive decisions. By understanding market dynamics, managing risk, and educating themselves, HOMies can transform into informed traders who navigate the crypto market with confidence.
Remember, successful trading takes time and patience, and every trader, even the most experienced, started as a novice. 🌐📈💡
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Power of Bullish Divergence 📈Divergence, a powerful concept in technical analysis, has been making waves in the world of Bitcoin trading. Recently, we witnessed a remarkable 90% surge in Bitcoin's price, driven by a bullish divergence pattern on the weekly chart. In this post, we'll delve into the significance of this pattern and explore the potential outcomes of a similar bullish divergence on the daily Bitcoin chart.
Weekly Chart Bullish Divergence:
A bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes lower lows, while a relevant technical indicator, in this case, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), forms higher lows.
In simple terms, it suggests that while the price is weakening, the momentum is picking up, potentially indicating a trend reversal.
The recent bullish divergence on the weekly Bitcoin chart was a game-changer, leading to a substantial 90% price increase.
Daily Chart Potential:
Now, let's shift our focus to the daily Bitcoin chart and what we can expect from a bullish divergence on this timeframe:
50% Potential Gain: While it's difficult to predict exact price movements, historical patterns suggest that a bullish divergence on the daily chart could lead to significant gains.
Confirmation Needed: Remember that trading based on a single indicator can be risky. It's essential to confirm the bullish divergence with other technical indicators or chart patterns for added reliability.
Risk Management: Maintain a disciplined approach to risk management. Determine stop-loss levels and position sizes based on your risk tolerance.
Caution and Patience:
The crypto market is known for its volatility. While bullish divergences can be strong signals, they are not foolproof.
Be patient and wait for confirmation before entering a trade. False signals can occur, so consider using multiple indicators to cross-verify your analysis.
Conclusion:
The recent 90% growth following a bullish divergence on the weekly Bitcoin chart showcases the power of this technical pattern. While it doesn't guarantee future success, it provides valuable insights into potential trend reversals.
As we look at the daily chart, the prospect of a 50% gain from a similar pattern is intriguing. However, exercise caution, practice strict risk management, and consider multiple factors before making trading decisions.
Trading in the crypto market is exciting, but it's also challenging. Stay informed, stay analytical, and remember that a diversified approach and continual learning are keys to success in crypto trading. 🚀📊🧐
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Long BTC/USDTP - Potential MM's Weekend TrapLooks like a 5-wave Elliott wave move up, with waves 3 and 5 hopefully hitting over the weekend.
Wave 0 starting during the NYC session/reversal, potentially offering-up a nice “market maker weekend trap”, topping-out at wave 5.
If true, price should also retrace back down for the “midweek reversal” next week.
Invalidation (stop loss) would be price closing below wave 0 (red S1 line on the CPR).
Shout out to Tino @TradersReality Craig Percoco, @TradeTravelChill and Anup's magical CPR.
Bitcoin's Second Bottom Before Halving: A Potential Trap When Bitcoin undergoes a significant price decline and subsequently forms another bottom before the halving, some traders might interpret this as an attractive entry point to buy Bitcoin at a seemingly discounted price. The expectation is that the halving will trigger a supply shortage and, in turn, drive up the price.
However, financial markets are inherently uncertain and influenced by various factors, both within and outside the cryptocurrency space. While historical patterns and past halvings may provide insights, they do not guarantee future outcomes. The second bottom could be a "bear trap," luring traders into buying, only for the price to continue declining or remaining stagnant, resulting in losses for those who entered the market with high expectations.
It is essential for traders and investors to exercise caution and avoid making decisions solely based on historical patterns or event speculation. Conducting thorough research, staying informed about market developments, and employing proper risk management strategies are crucial when participating in the volatile and unpredictable world of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Additionally, seeking advice from financial experts can help in making informed investment choices.
Smart money bear trap thesis?Tags: Blackrock Bitcoin ETF, Inflation, PCE, FED, Wage-price spiral, BTC.D, ETH/BTC
Could we be mimicking 1970's market? So last PCI reading came 3% but core CPI is still high and Core PCE (FED's preferred inflation measure) has been sticky in 4.5% area for past several months. Whilst inflation expectations have been tamed by FEDs continued "We remain focused on getting inflation back to 2%." This message must be maintained and a recession is inevitable.
Look at 10Y3M yields and 10Y2Y bond yields. We have real pain yet to come.
So headline inflation is being curved down and celebrated however the next step is the risk of a wage-price spiral which is being priced in and expected to also not become a threat once unemployment rises but the job markets are remaining resilient. Therefore, the FED will hold interest rates at 5.25-5.50 bps until inflation is confidently curbed. We have not yet seen fear in markets from recessionary risks. Everyone is thinking it will be a mild one however the future is hard to foresee and there are underlying financial risks not in the limelight yet.
Now, you have the market context we shall dive into the charts!
HIGH Long Trade Everyone is looking for Short Trade
Will Go LONG !!!!
Reason of taking this trade.
*After breakdown consolidating near resistance level
* Sellers are Shorting at Resistance
* Increasing liquidity
* more retail sellers are coming in trendline breakdown
* Price Action + Trap
Don't forget to FOLLOW for More IDEAS
BTC False Breakout Potential at 25K !!BTC has a lot of potential to make a trap at 25K.
It can be seen that on the daily chart, BTC already has a Bearish Divergent.
On the weekly chart, DeathCross has just been discovered on BTC for the first time.
the movement is still in the BearFlag pattern.
Stay careful, and keep DYOR
BTC ready for is a TrapHello Birdies,
EPIC SHORT ALIGNING!!!
A exciting week this was. But stay cautious this is a bull trap in progress.
As you all know we trade what we see RIGHT!
So here is what we are seeing on our weekly chart.
The falling wedge going to work as a bull trap.
There is a huge trendline which was broke down and converted into resistance
The trendline starts in Jan 2021
Converted to resistance in Jun 2022
Retested as resistance in Aug 2022
Its going to test it again somewhere in Feb 2023
Work as a trap and boom
Don't beat the line after snake is gone. Trade what you see
Bull Run Or Bull Trap, answer in 1 dayIt is quite simple, we are sitting at 23250 for BTCUSD at the moment, if we want to confirm that this is a bull run that can go longer and signal the start of a change out of the bear market we need a monthly candle close above 23250 for a new monthly higher high "above July and August 2022", this will be the first "proper" monthly higher high SINCE the ATH. If BTC fails to achieve this, it will be a lower high and we are in for quite some downside. Lets not forget FOMC at 1st of Feb, so maybe we will have a rally into that and get the monthly high we so desperately need.
AMD heading toward support areaFor those of you who are following along with me on my little obsession with AMD, the past week was pretty exciting for those who were shorting the stock as the price dropped out of that short-covering rally like a rock for a $9.46 gain.
AMD is now reaching a very uncertain area with 3 support levels to get through and it's actually touched an ascending trend line, so I'm expecting a few bounces to occur. My first short target is the middle of the support area at 59.80, but with hindsight, it should have been 63.62 which is the first support level below the 2-year line. The ultimate target is still 50. It's very possible AMD will make a double-bottom before it gets to 50 so I would look out for that. I'm still bearish at this point.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and the above statements are not investment advice. My comments are only intended for educational purposes. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
SPX. The Certainty Trap ‘Never’ &‘always’ have no place in MKTS!Just passing this cool info written by a guy called Ben Carlson.
- Ben discusses the differences between probability and certainty:
"There are two arguments I see on a regular basis that show up as a result of data overload:
…because that’s never happened before.
…because that’s what’s always happened before.
-The problem with this line of thinking is that it can lead investors to fall into what I like to call the certainty trap. It’s this all-or-nothing line of thinking that causes so many to constantly attach extremes to every single market move or data point they see. The beginning of the recovery or the end of the world is always right around the corner. The assumption is that we’re always either at a top or a bottom when most of the time the markets are probably somewhere in the middle."
-The reason the investing certainty trap is so easy to fall for is because historical data can feel so safe and reassuring. Look here, my data says that this has never (always) happened in the past. Surely this trend will continue. I’ll just sit here and wait for my profits to start rolling in.
-‘Never’ and ‘always’ have no place in the markets because no one really knows what’s going to happen next. ‘Most of the time’ is a much more reasonable goal, because nothing works forever and always in the markets. If it did everyone would simply invest that way. I think a much more levelheaded approach is to follow the Jason Zweig 10 word investment philosophy:
-Anything is possible, and the unexpected is inevitable. Proceed accordingly.






















