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Ethereum: relief rally or more downside? key levels to watchEthereum. Who else watching this knife finally stop spinning? After the brutal flush from the 3k area toward 2.2k, headlines talk about forced liquidations and a reset in leverage according to market sources. On that backdrop ETH on the 4H is parking right inside a major demand zone from December. On the 4H chart we see price bouncing off 2.2k with a fat volume shelf below and a VPVR gap above into 2.4k. RSI was ultra oversold and is now turning up while price holds a slightly higher low - early bullish divergence. That combo for me points to a relief move rather than an instant new crash. I am leaning long toward 2.38k first, then 2.5k if shorts start to cover. ✅ Base plan: as long as 2.23k-2.25k support holds on 4H closes, I treat dips to 2.3k as buy-the-dip territory with targets 2.38k and 2.5k. More cautious traders can wait for a clean break and retest of 2.38k from above before stepping in. ⚠️ If 2.23k snaps and RSI dumps back under oversold, the structure flips and opens the door to 2.1k and maybe lower - I might be wrong, but I would not want to be holding longs there. I am flat for now, stalking either a sweep of 2.2k with strong rejection or a confirmed higher low before committing capital.
by Trade_Logic_AI
#XAUUSD (Gold) -Trend Analysis: 26/01/26 to 30/01/26#XAUUSD 1H chart illustrates the performance of the Ryan-Trend Pulse indicator during the final week of January 2026. showing how a systematic approach can navigate both parabolic rallies and sharp trend reversals. The market maintained a strong bullish posture through January 29th, where successfully captured the upward momentum. However, as the market reached local exhaustion & price shifted. Following a hit to our Stop Loss on the long side, the indicator immediately identified a structural shift, provided an instant reversal entry. By transitioning from a Long position to a Short as the trend reversal, we were able to capitalize on the subsequent sell entries, effectively recovering the initial loss and moving into significant profit. Consistency in trading comes from the math, not just the entries. I maintained a strict 1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio, Risk per Trade: 3% of total capital. Despite the mid-week reversal and the SL hit, the high-probability nature of the trend-following signals resulted in a 15% net profit for the week. The currently the price shows the market in a sustained bearish correction following the blow-off top near $5,600. We currently have one Short position running in profit, with the indicator maintaining a bearish bias as we head into February 2026. Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and should be used in conjunction with a complete trading plan and proper risk management.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ryanpierce_trading
BTC - Building BlocksRight now, BTC is short-term bearish, trading below the green structure around $90,000. As long as price remains under this level, upside momentum stays capped and the market is vulnerable to more downside. The key risk level is clear: If BTC breaks below the lower blue trendline, this would signal a shift into a long-term bearish phase, opening the door for a deeper move toward the $80,000 area. On the flip side, there’s still a bullish path: If BTC manages to reclaim and hold above the $90,000 structure, momentum flips back in favor of the bulls, with price targeting the upper bound of the wedge near $100,000. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
13
AUDUSD - When Structure Meets RealityAUDUSD is now retesting a strong technical intersection: the weekly resistance marked in green is lining up perfectly with the upper bound of the weekly rising channel in blue.⚔️ On top of that, price is sitting in an over-bought zone after an extended push higher. As long as this intersection holds, the odds favor a bearish correction, with price rotating lower toward the lower bound of the channel. This wouldn’t be a trend reversal, but a healthy reset within the bigger structure. If this zone gets cleanly broken and accepted above, then the narrative changes. Until then, I’m respecting resistance and letting structure lead the bias. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
USDCAD - From Sellers to BuyersLast week, the focus was clear: price was trading inside the orange supply zone, and that was a clean area to look for shorts. Sellers did their job perfectly there. Fast forward to now, and the context has changed. USDCAD has pushed lower and is retesting a strong demand zone, an area where buyers have previously stepped in. As long as this demand holds, the bias shifts again, this time toward looking for longs, not chasing, but waiting for price to show rejection. Let price confirm… then react📈 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
3
USDJPY - Where Trends Like to Reload!USDJPY remains overall bullish, and this pullback is doing exactly what strong trends usually do. Price is now approaching a key confluence: the rising trendline lining up perfectly with a former support zone. As long as this trendline + support intersection holds, I’ll be looking for trend-following longs, not counter-trend trades. 🐂 A clean reaction here keeps the bullish structure intact and opens the door for continuation toward higher levels. If support fails, the idea is invalid. Until then, the trend gets the benefit of the doubt. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
BTCUSD H4 — Range Compression After Selloff, Bullish Path On the Bitcoin H4 chart, price has completed a sharp impulsive markdown from the prior distribution area and is now stabilizing between a clearly defined demand zone below and an overhead resistance zone around the 89.5k–90.5k region. The reaction from demand was strong enough to stop the selloff, but structurally the market is still in repair mode, printing overlapping candles and lower highs beneath resistance a classic post-impulse consolidation, not yet a trend reversal. For a bullish continuation, BTC must first hold above the demand zone, then break and accept above the local resistance, which would open the path toward the premium resistance/target zone near 95k as projected. That upside scenario implies absorption of supply and a successful range expansion. However, failure to reclaim resistance and a breakdown back below demand would invalidate the bullish path and signal continuation of the broader corrective structure. Key point: this is a transition phase confirmation comes only with acceptance, not anticipation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
Silver & the $100 MagnetFrom a long-term perspective, Silver remains clearly bullish, holding well above the blue rising trendline. Zooming in, the short-term structure is just as clean. XAGUSD is trading inside a rising red channel, respecting both its upper and lower bounds with precision. As long as this red channel continues to hold, my focus stays on trend-following long setups. The natural target remains the upper bound of the channel, which aligns perfectly with the $100 level, a round number that has been acting like a magnet for price. What do you think? Does Silver tap $100 again before any deeper correction? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
TICKMILL:XAGUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
7
EURGBP - It is just a correction for nowEURGBP has been bearish, trading cleanly inside a falling red channel. After the recent bounce, price is now retesting the upper bound of that channel, and more importantly, this area lines up with a clear red structure zone. This kind of confluence is exactly where corrective rallies tend to run out of steam. As long as price remains capped below the channel resistance, the bias stays simple: 👉 Look for trend-following shorts, in line with the broader bearish structure. A clean rejection from this zone would confirm that sellers are still in control. Only a strong breakout above the channel would force a reassessment. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
5
AUDCHF - Pullback Into Structure, Watching the ReactionAUDCHF remains overall bullish, trading cleanly inside the rising blue channel. After the recent push higher, price is now pulling back into a very interesting area. We’re approaching the intersection of the demand zone and the lower blue trendline. This is exactly the kind of confluence I like to see in a trending market. As long as this intersection holds and price respects the lower boundary of the channel, I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, with confirmation coming from lower timeframes. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
USDCHF - Let the Market Come to YouUSDCHF remains overall bullish, and price is now doing exactly what we want to see in a healthy trend. We’re currently retesting a key intersection: – the lower blue trendline – and the green structure support As long as this intersection holds, my focus stays on trend-following long setups. I want to see buyers step in again from here and defend structure before considering any entries. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
USDCAD - Back Into Supply, Sellers Watching CloselyUSDCAD is now hovering around a clear resistance and supply zone. This area has already proven itself in the past, and price is once again reacting to it. As long as this zone holds, the bias remains to the downside, and we’ll be looking for short setups, ideally confirmed on lower timeframes. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
15
EURUSD Is Stalling at Supply — Distribution Pressure Is Quietly On the EURUSD H1 chart, price has completed a sharp impulsive rally and is now stalling directly inside a well-defined resistance zone, where upside momentum has clearly weakened. After the vertical push, the market failed to extend higher and instead transitioned into a tight sideways range, signaling acceptance rather than continuation. Candles inside this zone are overlapping, with repeated rejections near the upper boundary a classic sign of distribution, not consolidation for another leg up. Structurally, this sideways behavior after an impulse suggests buyers are losing control, while sellers are gradually absorbing liquidity at premium prices. As long as price remains capped below resistance, the bias favors a range breakdown scenario. A clean loss of the lower boundary of the sideways zone would likely trigger a controlled bearish expansion, targeting the next liquidity pocket below, followed by a deeper continuation toward the lower demand region where profit-taking becomes logical. This is no longer a breakout environment. EURUSD is in a sell-high, patience-required phase. Failure to reclaim and hold above resistance keeps the path of least resistance to the downside, with rallies into the zone serving as opportunities for distribution rather than continuation.
by Mathew_TraderGold
Natural Gas – Trend Shift in Progress?After being bearish bearish for a while, Natural Gas has broken out of the descending red trendline, signaling a clear shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. What stands out here is how price reacted after the breakout. Instead of selling off again, it held above the recent support zone and started building higher structure. As long as this new bullish structure holds, the bias remains to the upside, with room for continuation toward higher levels. Any pullbacks that stay above support are, for me, opportunities to watch. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by TheSignalyst
10
XAUUSD (H4) – Liam Plan Macro tailwinds remain, but price is extended | Trade reactions, not emotions Quick summary Gold remains supported by a strong macro backdrop: 📌 Fed hold probability in January: 95% → USD/yields capped. 📌 Geopolitical tension (Kremlin praising Trump over Greenland, NATO cracks) adds safe-haven demand. Technically, price has pushed aggressively into upper expansion territory. At this stage, the edge is reaction trading at key levels, not chasing strength. Macro context (why volatility stays elevated) With the Fed very likely holding rates in January, markets are highly sensitive to USD and yield shifts. Rising geopolitical noise keeps gold bid, but also increases the risk of headline-driven spikes and liquidity sweeps. ➡️ Conclusion: directional bias is secondary to execution quality. Trade levels + confirmation only. Technical view (H4 – based on the chart) Gold is trading inside a rising channel, currently extended toward the upper Fibonacci expansion. Key levels to focus on: ✅ Major sell Fibonacci / wave top: 4950 – 4960 ✅ Sell wave B / reaction zone: 4825 – 4835 ✅ Buy entry / structure support: 4730 – 4740 ✅ Sell-side liquidity: 4520 – 4550 (below structure) Price is stretched above the mid-channel — conditions where pullbacks and rotations are statistically more likely than clean continuation. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – reaction trading) A. SELL at Fibonacci extension (primary idea) ✅ Sell zone: 4950 – 4960 SL: above the high / fib extension TP1: 4830 TP2: 4740 TP3: 4550 (if momentum accelerates) Logic: This is an exhaustion area aligned with wave completion and fib extension — ideal for profit-taking and mean rotation, not trend chasing. B. SELL wave B reaction ✅ Sell: 4825 – 4835 Condition: clear rejection / bearish structure on M15–H1 TP: 4740 → 4550 Logic: Classic corrective wave zone. Good for tactical shorts within a broader volatile structure. 2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – only on reaction) BUY at structural support ✅ Buy zone: 4730 – 4740 Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on lower TF) TP: 4825 → 4950 (scale out) Logic: This is a key flip zone inside the rising channel. BUY only if price proves acceptance — no blind dip buying. Key notes (risk control) Market is extended → expect fake breaks and sharp pullbacks. Avoid mid-range entries between levels. Reduce size during geopolitical headlines. Confirmation > prediction. What’s your play: selling the 4950 fib extension, or waiting for a clean reaction at 4730–4740 before reassessing? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
6
Bitcoin Breakdown Complete: Accumulation or Just a BounceOn the BTCUSD H1 timeframe, price action has officially shifted into a post-breakdown environment, and the structure on this chart is very clear from a professional market-structure perspective. Bitcoin previously spent a significant amount of time rotating inside a tight accumulation/balance range around 93,000 – 93,500, with price holding above the EMA 89. However, that range was distribution, not accumulation. The decisive bearish impulse candle sliced cleanly through the range, the EMA, and prior intraday support confirming acceptance below value, not a fake break. After the breakdown, price attempted to stabilize briefly, but sellers maintained control and forced continuation lower. This behavior tells us two things: 1. Buyers failed to defend the range, and 2. The market is now actively searching for real demand, not resting. The current move into the 91,800 – 90,800 support zone is structurally logical. This zone aligns with a prior demand base and represents the first area where responsive buyers may step in. The green projected path on the chart reflects a technical rebound scenario, but it should be viewed strictly as a corrective reaction, not trend continuation. As long as price remains below the broken accumulation range (~93,000), any upside move is classified as a lower-high pullback within a bearish intraday structure. A clean reclaim and acceptance back above that range would be required to shift bias bullish again. Until then, rallies are vulnerable to selling pressure. This is not a dip-buy environment yet, it is a range failure followed by a liquidity run. If price reacts strongly from the support zone, short-term bounces are tradable. But structurally, Bitcoin remains weak below value, and patience is required to see whether this support produces real accumulation or simply fuels the next leg down. Smart traders wait for confirmation not hope.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BlackGoldMarket
ETH Liquidity Sweep Complete: Accumulation or Trap On the ETHUSD H1 timeframe, the market has just completed a clean liquidity sweep below value, and the structure now transitions into a very sensitive decision zone. Ethereum previously traded inside a high-volume liquidity range around 3,280 – 3,350, where price repeatedly stalled and failed to expand higher. The sharp bearish impulse candle slicing through this range was not random it was a distribution break, confirmed by strong momentum and a decisive loss of the EMA 89. Once price accepted below that EMA, upside continuation was structurally invalidated. Following the breakdown, ETH rotated briefly inside a lower accumulation zone (~3,160 – 3,220). However, this was not true accumulation it was bearish acceptance, evidenced by overlapping candles, weak bounces, and failure to reclaim the EMA. The final sell-off flushed liquidity directly into the major support zone around 3,050 – 3,080, where reactive buyers are now expected to appear. From a professional market-structure perspective, the current price action suggests sell-side liquidity has been largely cleared. This opens the door for a technical rebound, but context is critical: any bounce from this support should be treated as corrective, not trend-confirming, until price can reclaim and hold above the broken accumulation range near 3,220 – 3,240. The projected upside path on the chart reflects a mean-reversion scenario a bounce from support, followed by a retest of prior value. If ETH fails at that retest, it would confirm the move as a classic liquidity grab + lower-high setup, increasing the probability of another downside leg. Only sustained acceptance back above the liquidity range would flip bias bullish again. Key takeaway: ETH is currently trading in a post-distribution environment. The dump was structural, not emotional. Support may produce a bounce, but until value is reclaimed, rallies are reactions not reversals. Smart traders now wait for confirmation at the reclaim, not at the bottom.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
2
ETH Is Testing Major Demand After BreakdownETH Is Testing Major Demand After Breakdown – Bounce Is Likely, But Context Still Matters On the H1 timeframe, Ethereum has just completed a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking down from the prior consolidation and accelerating straight into a well-defined support zone around 3,070–3,090. The nature of this move is important: price did not drift lower gradually, but instead sold off aggressively after failing at the 3,220–3,240 resistance zone, confirming that sellers were firmly in control at higher prices. The rejection from resistance occurred directly beneath the descending EMA cluster, which acted as dynamic resistance throughout the pullback. This alignment between horizontal resistance and EMA pressure created a high-probability sell zone, and once price failed to reclaim it, bearish momentum expanded rapidly. Structurally, this confirms that the prior consolidation was distribution rather than continuation. Now that ETH has reached the support zone, downside momentum is beginning to slow. Long lower wicks and reduced follow-through suggest sell-side exhaustion, opening the door for a technical bounce. In bearish or corrective environments, this type of reaction is common once price reaches a higher-timeframe demand area. However, any upside from this level should be treated as corrective by default. The first upside objective sits near 3,150–3,170, followed by the more critical 3,220 resistance zone, which now represents the key decision area. A move back into this zone would be a mean-reversion rally unless price can reclaim it with acceptance and strong follow-through. As long as ETH remains below the former resistance and under the EMA, the broader bias stays bearish to neutral, despite the likelihood of a short-term bounce. Only a clean reclaim of resistance would invalidate the downside continuation thesis and suggest that the sell-off was a false move. In summary, Ethereum is currently reacting at demand after an impulsive breakdown. A relief bounce is technically justified, but unless structure is reclaimed, this move should be read as a pause within bearish control rather than the start of a new bullish trend.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
2