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AUDCAD: Trend ContinuationThere's a trend continuation opportunity present on the AUDCAD pair. Here's my breakdown by timeframe. Daily Timeframe: Price pulled back and held supported at EMA20, which isn't a strong indication of support Strong uptrend is indicated by EMA20 above EMA60 H1 Timeframe: There's confluence here where Price is exiting the EMA20/60 band EMA20 also remains above EMA60 for a strong uptrend Pricing breaking DTL also remains valid as there was upside momentum
Long
by FinancialGamblR
The BTC cycle that started at 84K is projected end at 114K This is a cycle update for BTC/USDT. Based on the cycle data, the cycle that started at 84K has ended at 114K. This indicates that we are now entering a new major trend breakdown in the cycle. It can take time, but when there is a new uptrend cycle, we will add. This time frame and action made the end of the cycle that started from 84K This could mean that btc can enter below 110K in the coming time. We have seen more times in the history of BTC that by the cycle end, the trend breaks down in steps.
Short
by SatochiTrader
1
US100 Trend Watch – Critical LevelsUS100 Update On the low time frame, US100 is consolidating around the 24,603 – 24,655 zone after rejecting higher levels. Key levels: 24,655 – 24,603 → short-term resistance zone. A breakout and hold above would confirm bullish continuation. 24,158 → main trend support. As long as this level holds, the broader bullish structure remains intact. Upside scenario: If price breaks and sustains above 24,655, momentum could extend further to test 25,000+. Downside risk: If price falls below 24,603 and especially under 24,158, risk increases for a deeper pullback toward 23,800 – 23,400. 📌 Summary Above 24,655 → bullish continuation toward new highs. Hold above 24,158 → uptrend structure remains safe. Below 24,158 → deeper correction risk, next support at 23,400.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by SatochiTrader
ETH - Near ATH… Price Discovery Reload?BINANCE:ETHUSDT ETH has marched back to its cycle ceiling on the weekly after a long range. We’re now pressing the final resistance band around $4,880–$5,000—where a clean breakout would shift ETH into price discovery again. Confluence is strong here: prior ATH supply + round-number magnet + momentum structure. If buyers clear $5K with a weekly close, I’ll look for the next leg toward $6.5K–$7.25K, then a stretch path into five digits as discovery unfolds. If rejected, a healthy retest toward $4,100–$3,550 would keep the uptrend intact while the range persists. What’s your plan => buy the weekly breakout above $5K, or wait for a dip into $4.1K for better risk–reward? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
7
Gold (XAU/USD) Cycle & Trend OutlookXAU/USD Update On the low time frame, Gold is testing the 3,776 resistance zone after a strong rally. Key levels: 3,776 → local resistance. A breakout and hold above this level would confirm continuation toward higher targets (3,800+). 3,762 – 3,657 → key support range. Holding this zone keeps the main uptrend intact. Upside scenario: If price breaks and confirms above 3,776, bullish momentum continues, extending the rally. Downside risk: Failure to hold 3,762 could trigger a pullback toward 3,657. A deeper breakdown below 3,657 would shift momentum bearish, targeting 3,314. Cycle support: 3,314 is the major cycle trend level that Gold must protect to maintain its broader bullish structure. 📌 Summary Above 3,776 → bullish continuation with potential new highs. Hold above 3,762 – 3,657 → main uptrend remains safe. Below 3,657 → correction risk toward 3,314 cycle level.
TVC:GOLDLong
by SatochiTrader
US30 Update On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating aroundUS30 Update On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating around 46,351 – 46,398 after testing the breakout zone. Key levels: 46,398 – 46,351 → short-term decision zone. A breakout above this area could confirm bullish continuation toward 47,170. 46,177 – 45,796 → support zone for the main uptrend. As long as price holds above this, the bullish cycle remains intact. Upside scenario: If price reclaims and holds above 46,398, momentum strengthens for another push higher, with 47,170 as the next major resistance. Downside risk: If price fails to hold above 46,177, deeper correction could follow, with 45,796 as first support. Cycle level: 41,097 is the cycle start and a critical must-hold area for the long-term bullish structure. 📌 Summary Above 46,398 → bullish continuation toward 47,170. Hold above 46,177 – 45,796 → main uptrend safe. Break below 45,796 → correction risk, broader weakness possible. 41,097 → cycle start and major long-term support.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by SatochiTrader
BTC/USDT Breakdown: Loss of Key Levels Confirms Bearish Structur📉 BTC/USDT Market Update Bitcoin has broken down key structural levels, confirming a bearish outlook in the short to mid-term. ✅ Low Time Frame Support Lost: The $112,083 – $112,531 demand zone has failed to hold, indicating that buyers are losing control on lower time frames. ✅ Main Trend Zone Rejected: The $113,798 – $114,000 supply area acted as strong resistance, and BTC was unable to reclaim this key trend level. ✅ Momentum: Current price action shows continuation to the downside, with sellers stepping in aggressively after repeated failed attempts to sustain higher levels. Bias: Bearish As long as BTC trades below $113,800, the market structure favors sellers. Further downside pressure may target the $111,000 – $110,800 range in the near term. ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $113,800 – $114,000 (Main trend rejection zone) Support: $111,000 – $110,800 (Next liquidity pool)
Short
by SatochiTrader
UDS - Correction Inside an Uptrend: Eyes on 1.45–1.35UDS remains overall bullish on the 4H , riding a rising channel. After the impulse, price is drifting in a falling channel and inching toward the lower blue trendline. The 1.45–1.35 area is key 🔑. It lines up with channel support and a prior structure base—clean confluence for buyers to step in. As long as it holds, I’ll look for trend-following longs toward 1.80 first, then 2.00–2.20 on momentum 🚀. If 1.35 breaks and holds, I’ll step aside and reassess a deeper pullback toward 1.25 before looking for fresh confirmation ⏳. What’s your move here => buy the dip at confluence or wait for a break of the red channel before joining? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
NZDCAD: Weak Bearish SignalThis pair is interesting, but must be approached with caution. Daily Timeframe: Price crosses below HTL, but the overall daily price action is quite chaotic so should proceed with caution H1 Timeframe: Price fails to make a new higher high on the intraday timeframe, which is a good sign that this uptrend is weakening There's also greater confluence with the overall downtrend as price crosses below ATL Another indication of downtrend is price below EMA20 and EMA20 is pushing below EMA60
Short
by FinancialGamblR
MSTR - Trendline Support vs. Supply Cap!MSTR has been overall bullish on the daily, respecting a rising trendline since last year. Price is coiling right beneath the 330–350 supply band after multiple rejections. This area is key 🔑. It overlaps prior supply and the rising trendline—clean confluence. If bulls defend the trendline and we see a clean daily close above 350, momentum could extend toward 400 first, then 470–520 inside the broader range 🚀. If the trendline gives way, I’ll look for a deeper dip toward 260–240 demand before bulls try again. Until then, structure favors the upside while the line holds. What’s your plan => buy strength above 350 or wait for a retest on the trendline first? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by TheSignalyst
1
AUDCHF: Weak TrendMomentum is beginning to pick up on the AUDCHF pair. This is based on the EMA behavior along with price's behavior around the ATLs plotted. Here are my observations across two key timeframes. Daily Timeframe: Price crosses below ATL > first indication of momentum picking up EMA20 is beginning to move away from EMA60 > second indication of momentum H1 Timeframe: EMA20 diverges away from EMA60 > indication of momentum Price crosses below intraday HTL > confluence with overall downtrend if there isn't a liquidity trap
Short
by FinancialGamblR
USDCHF — Rally Into Structure, Short the Retest?USDCHF has been overall bearish on the 4H, sliding inside a falling channel. After a bounce, price is rotating back into the 0.798–0.802 structure zone, right at the channel’s upper bound. This confluence is key 🔑. If sellers react here, I’ll look for rejection shorts toward 0.790 first, then 0.785–0.780 near the channel floor. A clean 4H close and hold above 0.802 would invalidate the idea and expose 0.806–0.810 next ⏳. What’s your plan => fade the rally at supply, or wait for confirmation before jumping in? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
EURAUD: Counter-Trend TradeNot my conventional signal as this one is looking to trade in the opposite of the trend. Daily Timeframe: EMA20 is barely below EMA60 > downside momentum might pick up Price is barely crossing below EMA20 > another indication of downside momentum Price crossed below ATL, pulled back, and now seems to be continuing lower H1 Timeframe: Price crosses below ATL > first indication of uptrend failing to continue Note that EMA20 is above EMA60 still > there is a risk that this will trap sellers
Short
by FinancialGamblR
GBP/USD - 1H Forecast - YoYo Trade Setups🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBP/USD – 1H Breakdown Cable’s been wildin’ 🤯 — we smashed into that daily imbalance, tapped supply, and now price is bleeding lower straight into demand. 🔑 What’s Cooking: Price tagged the Daily IMB + 71% retrace, then dumped. Now chilling near demand around 1.345 – 1.348 (possible snack stop 🍫). If bulls defend here → we get a bounce back toward 1.357 – 1.360 supply for a cheeky liquidity grab 🏹. From there? Expect a heavy distribution dump back toward 1.3350 lows 📉 🎯 Playbook: Demand bounce → push into 1H / 4H supply. Reject at supply → sell-off continuation. 🔍 Outlook Short-term: Relief bounce incoming 🕺 Mid-term: Looking heavy, bears wanna drag this lower. Bias : Bounce first → then bigger dump 🚀🔪
by jamesibartram
AUD/USD - Forecast (To fall further)🇦🇺🇺🇸 AUD/USD – 8H Breakdown AUD/USD just wrapped up that juicy Wave 3 run and topped near 0.6780. Now we’re cooling off with a corrective pullback — perfect spot to hunt buys 👀 🎯 Buy Zones Buy Zone 1: 0.6520 – 0.6530 → first bounce area ⚡ Buy Zone 2 (Preferred): 0.6460 – 0.6480 → 71% retrace + wedge support 🏹 📈 Playbook Let price dip into demand (ideally Buy Zone 2). Load up → ride it back toward 0.6700. If bulls flex, we sweep those 0.6780 highs for liquidity. 🚀 🔍 Outlook Short-term: Expect deeper retrace into demand. Mid-term: Bulls looking for another leg higher. Bias : Pullback → Buy continuation 🔥
Long
by jamesibartram
3
USD/JPY - Fake Breakout. Is price Distributing💹 USD/JPY – 4H Forecast Weekly Structure: Price is still holding strong above demand, with 151.0 acting as the big liquidity magnet. Daily Structure: We’ve been stuck in a wide consolidation range between 146.0 support and 150.9 resistance. Market keeps faking both sides, but bulls are slowly regaining control. 4H Structure: Recent fake breakout/manipulation flushed stops before shifting bullish. Imbalances (Daily + Weekly) got filled on the push up. Price is now respecting the bullish structure, eyeing a move higher. Buy Zone 1 (Preferred): 146.7 – 147.0 Buy Zone 2 (Needs confirmation): 146.1 – 146.2 Upside liquidity target sits around 150.9 – 151.0 BSL. 🔍 Outlook Short-term: Pullback into demand zones. Mid-term: Bullish continuation → eyes on 150.9 – 151.0. Bias : Short-term retrace → Mid-term bullish.
Long
by jamesibartram
1
XRP - Triangle Breakout, Eyes on 3.2?XRP broke out of its descending triangle on the daily and shifted the structure bullish. Price is now trading inside the 3.00–3.20 resistance band. This zone is key 🔑. It’s prior supply and the top of the range. A clean daily close above 3.20 would open 3.40, then 3.60+ inside a fresh markup leg. If buyers fail to clear it, I’ll watch for a healthy dip toward 2.80–2.90 (triangle base + demand) to reload. Bias stays bullish while the 2.70–2.80 floor holds. What’s your plan - buy the break above 3.20 or wait for a retest into 2.80–2.90? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
USD/CHF - Trade Setup🔎 Bias Short-term bullish continuation after BOS confirmation. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1H Structure: Market broke structure (BOS) after sweeping liquidity below 0.7890. Demand Zone : 0.7885 – 0.7900 aligns with 71% fib retracement and MSS reversal. Liquidity : Sell-side cleared, price reclaiming higher order flow. Targeting : Re-test of previous range highs + imbalance fill above 0.8030. 🎯 Entry / Exit Entry zone: 0.7890 – 0.7900 Targets: TP1: 0.7960 TP2: 0.8030 Invalidation : Below 0.7870 ⚖️ Risk Management SL below 0.7870 Risk 1–2% only, scaling partials at TP1 📌 Outlook Clean structure shift, demand respected, and liquidity sweep complete. If bulls maintain control, upside continuation toward 0.8030 is on the cards. Bias : Bullish continuation 📈
Long
by jamesibartram
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is consolidating between $3,660.93 (resistance / buy trigger) and $3,626.93 (support / sell trigger). Current price is near $3,648, sitting mid-range. Breakout confirmation is key. 🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation) Trigger: 30-min body close above $3,660.93. Targets: $3,662.79 → $3,665.17 → $3,669.30. Management: Take partials at the first target, move SL to breakeven once $3,661 is cleared, trail remainder if momentum continues. 🔽 Bearish Plan (clean if floor breaks) Trigger: 30-min body close below $3,626.93. Targets: $3,621.49 → $3,619.00 → $3,616.88. Management: Scale partials at the first target, protect remaining position at breakeven. Trail if selling momentum builds. 🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk — small size) Shorts: rejection near $3,659–$3,660, target $3,648–$3,650, SL above rejection high. Longs: bounce near $3,627–$3,628, target mid-range (~$3,640–$3,645), SL under wick low. ✅ Break Confirmation Strong 30-min body close beyond the trigger. Expansion candles with follow-through. ❌ Invalidation Breakout closes back inside the box on the next bar. Multiple wicks through levels without momentum. 📌 Bottom Line Above $3,660.93 → bullish bias toward $3,662.79 → $3,665.17 → $3,669.30. Below $3,626.93 → bearish bias toward $3,621.49 → $3,619.00 → $3,616.88. Inside range = scalp only, keep risk tight.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxt8
This $PENGU Can Fly Summary COINBASE:PENGUUSD has traced a broad 2025 “cup” base, with April setting the low and price now back to the January supply shelf. Price forming a bullish wedge just below all-time highs. As we retest what I call the "blue sky" box, we attempt to resolve a contracting wedge to the upside, printing a fresh daily higher high (HH). While price accepts above local resistance, the path of least resistance is higher with an initial magnet toward the ATH "blue sky" box. Market Structure and Setup The higher-timeframe structure is the completed cup + reclaim of the former supply shelf ("blue sky" box). On the daily, the sequence is: retest of the shelf as support → wedge compression → upside break → HH. This multi-timeframe alignment (HTF reclaim + D1 momentum) provides defined risk against the shelf and clear upside reference points (ATH → extensions). Fibonacci-Based Upside Roadmap Anchor the swing from the April handle low to the August/September impulse high. The roadmap is: First waypoint: prior ATH band / 1.00 extension (supply; expect reactions). Continuations: 1.272 and 1.618 extensions of the April → August leg as conditional targets if ATH is accepted and weekly momentum persists. These are waypoints, not promises—active only while price holds above the reclaimed shelf. Microstructure: Acceptance > Expansion The break produced a HH, but the higher-quality entry often comes from acceptance: a shallow pullback that holds the top of the blue box and forms a D1/4H higher low (HL). That HL becomes the pivot to trail against. If momentum continues without a pullback, treat local range highs as a go-with trigger and manage tightly. Execution Plan Setup A – Retest Buy (preferred): Accumulate on a controlled retest into the blue breakout box, then look for a 4H reclaim and higher low to confirm buyers. Invalidation is a daily close back below the shelf or loss of the HL. Distribute into the ATH band first; let a runner work toward 1.272/1.618 if acceptance above ATH materializes. Setup B – Continuation Buy: If there’s no retest, enter on a clean break-and-hold above the recent HH as a momentum trigger. Invalidation sits under the breakout pivot (last 4H swing). Use smaller size and trail faster given the paid-up entry. Setup C – Failed-Break Short (contingency/hedge): Engage only if price loses the shelf on a daily close and then rejects on a reclaim attempt from below. Invalidation is re-acceptance back above the shelf. Targets are the cup’s midpoint and the 50–61.8% retrace of the April → August impulse. Invalidation Criteria Near-term: a daily close back below the blue shelf = reclaim failed; stand down and wait for fresh structure. Structural: a weekly close back inside the mid-cup range would negate the completed base and argue for more time/width. Risk & Sizing Risk ≤1% per idea; position size = account_risk ÷ (entry→stop). Cut risk further if liquidity is thin or wicks are frequent. Use reduce-only stops and avoid clustering at obvious lows/highs. Take 30–50% into ATH supply; trail the remainder beneath 4H HLs or a fast EMA pair (e.g., 8/21) to self-finance the trade. Fundamental/Flow Linkages As a high-beta crypto/NFT-adjacent asset, PENGU’s tape is sensitive to broad crypto liquidity, meme-beta flows, and listing/funding dynamics. A trending BTC/ETH backdrop and favorable risk sentiment are supportive; adverse headlines, liquidity air-pockets, or exchange changes can truncate moves abruptly. Key Risks Crypto beta: a risk-off impulse in majors typically unwinds alt momentum irrespective of local structure. Liquidity/venue risk: thinner books can produce stop-hunts and gap moves; listing or market-maker changes can impact spreads. Narrative fatigue: meme/NFT-linked tokens can overshoot then mean-revert sharply as attention rotates. Technical failure: acceptance back below the shelf converts today’s support back into resistance and invites a deeper cup-middle retrace. Conclusion While PENGU consolidates around ATHs, I want to be long on retests that form higher lows or on clean continuation through range highs. First distribute into the ATH band; if acceptance builds above it, press runners toward the 1.272 → 1.618 roadmap. Lose the shelf on a daily close, and the trade is off until structure rebuilds. Not financial advice. Levels and sizing should be adapted to your process and constraints.
PYTH:PENGUUSD
by seaphoss