EURUSD Is Not Reversing — It’s Respecting the Downtrend 1. Market Structure: Clean & Disciplined Downtrend
EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, clearly respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The structure is bearish by design, not chaotic lower highs and lower lows are consistently maintained. Each orange-circled area on the chart highlights failed bullish attempts. These are not random rejections; they are systematic sell-side responses at the channel’s upper boundary, confirming strong supply control.
This is a trend market, not a range.
2. Trendline & Price Behavior
The descending resistance trendline has been respected multiple times:
- Price rallies into resistance
- Momentum weakens
- Sellers step in aggressively
- Structure rolls over into continuation
The most recent pullback failed once again near the upper channel, validating this zone as an active short area, labeled clearly as “Downtrend Trade”.
As long as price remains below this trendline, bullish scenarios are counter-trend and low probability.
3. Current Positioning & Momentum
Price is currently consolidating after a minor corrective bounce, but this bounce:
Lacks impulsive bullish candles
Shows overlapping price action
Remains capped below trend resistance
This is distribution before continuation, not accumulation.
The white projected path reflects the higher-probability scenario:
➡️ a minor consolidation → another leg lower toward the lower channel boundary.
4. Key Levels & Trade Logic
Dynamic Resistance: Upper channel trendline
Short Bias Valid While Below: ~1.1640–1.1660 region (trend-dependent)
Downside Continuation Target: Lower channel near 1.1550–1.1580
Any bullish breakout must:
- Break the channel
- Hold above it
- Show impulsive continuation
Until then, selling rallies remains the dominant strategy.
5. Professional Trader’s Read
This is a high-clarity trend environment:
No need to predict reversals
No need to overcomplicate structure
Simply trade trend + location + rejection
The market is offering repeated, clean short setups the kind professional traders wait for.
Summary
EURUSD is not forming a bottom. It is printing disciplined bearish structure inside a descending channel. Every rally into resistance is an opportunity for sellers, not a signal of reversal.
In trending markets, the edge belongs to those who trade with structure not against hope.
Trend
NZDJPY to form a higher high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Trend line resistance is located at 91.95.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 91.95 (stop at 92.31)
Our profit targets will be 90.91 and 90.61
Resistance: 91.80 / 92.00 / 92.50
Support: 91.20 / 90.62 / 89.97
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USOIL — High Risk — 01/19/2026The current state of the world makes this a high risk trade, but my set up is clear. Let's see what happens.
Indication — Last week, price broke the previous high at 59.77 to find the new level of sellers at 62.36.
Correction — After reaching this new level of sellers price corrected back to the previous swing high and swing low levels in the uptrend (the break-out level).
Continuation — Currently, buyers and sellers are equal, but if price gets above 59.77, it is a signal that buyers have momentum and are taking control of the market. At 59.77 I will put my trust in the market structure and buy the continuation to 62.36, the price that the market showed us that it's capable of reaching as of last week.
Condition: I will place this trade so long as price doesn't break the 4H swing low first.
BTC – The Perfect Intersection!I called this area the "perfect intersection" for a reason.
BTC is now reacting around a level where everything lines up:
- the lower blue trendline
- the 90,000 round number
- a clear demand zone
- and prior structure acting as support
When multiple factors meet at one place, I pay attention.
As long as BTC respects this zone, the path remains open for another push higher.
If buyers step in here and defend it, I’ll be looking for continuation rather than guessing tops.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
ETH – Correction in play, patience matters hereETH did exactly what we were expecting.
Price got rejected from the upper bound of the wedge, and that rejection triggered the correction phase.
Now the focus shifts lower.
As long as ETH holds the lower bound of the wedge, which also aligns nicely with the demand zone, the overall bullish structure remains intact.
I’ll be patiently waiting for trend-following long setups from support, once the market shows clear rejection.
Let the setup come to you...
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
DXY - Trend Shift Confirmed...I’ve been watching DXY closely, and this move matters.
After a prolonged bearish phase, price broke above the orange resistance, and that’s where the bias shifted. What was resistance is now acting as support, and that’s a key change in behavior.
Right now, DXY is pulling back into that same orange zone, which lines up perfectly with the lower trendline of the rising structure. That confluence is what matters.
As long as this support holds , I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, staying aligned with the new bullish momentum rather than fighting it.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURUSD Compresses at Demand — Breakdown Trap or Reversal Setup?EURUSD on the H1 timeframe remains in a clear short-term downtrend, defined by a descending trendline and a sequence of lower highs. Each bullish attempt into the trendline has been firmly rejected, confirming sellers remain in control of structure.
Price is now pressing into a well-defined demand zone around 1.1590–1.1600, where selling momentum has slowed and candles are beginning to compress. This behavior suggests selling pressure is being absorbed, rather than accelerating lower, which is typical ahead of a reaction or short-term reversal.
The key level to monitor is the trendline break.
– A clean break and close above the descending trendline, followed by acceptance above 1.1624, would confirm a bullish shift, opening room toward 1.1655–1.1690.
– Failure to hold the demand zone would invalidate the rebound scenario and expose liquidity below 1.1590 before any meaningful recovery.
➡️ Market state: Downtrend testing demand
➡️ Bias: Neutral → Bullish only on trendline break
➡️ Bullish trigger: Break & close above 1.1624
➡️ Bearish invalidation: Sustained break below 1.1590
At this point, EURUSD is at a decision zone either forming a base for reversal or preparing for one final liquidity sweep before turning higher.
Gold at a Critical Decision Zone — Distribution Risk After Wave Gold on the H4 timeframe is showing signs of structural exhaustion after a strong impulsive advance. Price has completed a full bullish sequence into the 4,700–4,725 resistance zone, where upside momentum has clearly stalled. The failure to sustain above this region suggests buyers are losing control at premium prices.
From a price action perspective, the market has transitioned from expansion into sideways-to-distribution behavior. The rejection from the highs and subsequent pullback toward 4,560–4,580 indicates that this level is now acting as a key pivot. While price is still trading above the rising EMA structure, momentum has slowed significantly, and candles are becoming overlapping — a classic warning sign after a mature rally.
The projected path highlights a corrective phase rather than immediate continuation. A rebound toward 4,650–4,680 may occur as a corrective bounce, but unless Gold can reclaim and hold above 4,700, rallies are likely to be sold into. A confirmed break below 4,560 would signal a bearish continuation, opening downside targets toward 4,410 and potentially deeper liquidity below.
➡️ Market state: Post-rally distribution
➡️ Bias: Bearish below 4,700
➡️ Key resistance: 4,700–4,725
➡️ Key support: 4,560 → 4,410
➡️ Bullish invalidation: Strong acceptance above 4,725
At this stage, Gold is no longer in clean trend mode — it is correcting a completed move, and risk is shifting from trend-following longs to defensive or short-biased positioning until structure resets.
Asian Market Trend Reversal in London MarketI have been doing some significant back testing on certain Forex (JPY) currencies. There is a good amount of reversals that take place in the London Market. My approach would be to enter with the opposite trend at the opening of the London Market on certain nights. I cannot do it any other way than automatically as it would be 2 a.m. my time. I would like to now paper trade it as a tester before going live but I cannot find any pinescript code for this kind of strategy. Thank you in advance for your advice and assistance.
Gold Is Absorbing Sell PressureOn the 45 minute timeframe, Gold is clearly transitioning from an impulsive bullish leg into a balanced range environment, where smart money activity becomes more selective and tactical rather than directional chasing. The chart shows a well respected range high (resistance around 4,630–4,640) and range low (support around 4,575–4,585), with price repeatedly rotating between these two extremes. This repetitive oscillation is not noise. it reflects a classic auction process, where liquidity is being exchanged and built up for a larger move.
The repeated reactions at resistance (highlighted by multiple failed breakout attempts) indicate that sellers are still active at premium prices, absorbing late breakout buyers. However, what stands out is that each rejection fails to produce sustained downside momentum. Instead, price consistently returns to the support band and is aggressively defended, especially near the EMA zone and prior swing lows. This behavior strongly suggests absorption rather than distribution, which is a hallmark of accumulation within a higher timeframe bullish trend.
The zone labeled “Accumulation Zone” is critical from a professional standpoint. It sits at the confluence of horizontal support, prior value acceptance, and dynamic support from the moving average. This is where weak hands are typically shaken out via stop hunts, while stronger participants gradually build long exposure. The projected red path illustrates the risk scenario: if price loses acceptance below this zone, liquidity will likely be drawn toward the lower demand levels near 4,550–4,520. Importantly, such a move would still be considered a liquidity sweep, not a trend reversal, unless price establishes strong bearish structure afterward.
Conversely, the green projection outlines the higher probability expansion scenario. If price holds the accumulation zone and reclaims resistance with a clean close and follow through, the range resolves to the upside. In that case, the blue measured-move projection toward the 4,700 supply / next target zone becomes technically valid, aligning with range expansion theory: balance precedes expansion. The compressed volatility and equal highs near resistance further support the idea that buy-side liquidity is being engineered above the range, not randomly tested.
In summary, Gold is not weak - it is coiling. As long as price continues to respect the accumulation zone and does not show acceptance below support, the broader bias remains bullish. The market is currently rewarding patience: reactive longs at support offer favorable risk to reward, while aggressive longs at resistance remain vulnerable. The next sustained move will not come from the middle of the range, but from a liquidity event at either boundary with current structure favoring an upside resolution once accumulation is complete.
Range Control After Impulse — ETH Is Being Prepared, Not RejectCOINBASE:ETHUSD has completed a strong impulsive breakout and is now consolidating in a controlled range on the H1 timeframe. Price remains above the EMA cluster, confirming that the recent move was a bullish shift, not a false breakout. Price is currently rotating between 3,380–3,410 resistance and 3,260–3,280 support. Rejections at the top and consistent buyer reactions at support indicate range acceptance and post-impulse consolidation, not distribution. Sellers have failed to produce a lower low, keeping the bullish structure intact. The EMA cluster is rising and aligned with the lower range, reinforcing the view that pullbacks are corrective. As long as price holds above the EMAs, bearish continuation lacks confirmation.
Primary scenario: continued range compression followed by a clean breakout above 3,410, opening the path toward 3,450+.
Alternative scenario: acceptance below 3,260 would signal a deeper correction, though still within a broader bullish context.
Summary: ETH is pausing after strength. This is consolidation, not weakness patience is required while the market prepares for its next expansion.
“Lower Highs Keep the Pressure On — EURUSD Still Trapped EURUSD remains firmly locked in a descending structure on the H1 timeframe. The chart clearly shows a sequence of lower highs, each one precisely capped by the same descending trendline. Every bullish attempt into this trendline has been sold aggressively, confirming that sellers continue to control market structure. The highlighted swing points are critical: they demonstrate repeated trendline rejections, a classic sign that this is not a random pullback, but a well respected bearish structure.
Price is currently compressing between:
- Descending trendline (dynamic resistance)
- Horizontal support base around 1.1620
This compression reflects indecision, but within a bearish context. Importantly, bullish candles into the trendline lack follow through, while bearish impulses break structure faster a subtle but crucial sign of seller dominance.
Primary Scenarios
🔴 Scenario 1 — High-Probability (Trend Continuation):
If price fails again at the descending trendline and loses the 1.1620 support, EURUSD is likely to enter a markdown phase, targeting the liquidity pool near 1.1590 – 1.1585.
This scenario aligns perfectly with the prevailing downtrend logic: sell rallies, not chase breakouts.
🟢 Scenario 2 — Countertrend Break (Lower Probability):
A clean break and acceptance above the descending trendline, followed by a retest, could trigger a short-term bullish correction toward 1.1660 – 1.1680. However, unless structure shifts decisively, this move would still be considered corrective, not a trend reversal.
Volume & Market Behavior Insight
Volume expansion appears mainly on bearish impulses, while pullbacks show weaker participation reinforcing the idea that smart money is still positioned on the sell side. This is typical behavior during a controlled downtrend, where liquidity is harvested above trendline touches.
Conclusion
As long as EURUSD trades below the descending trendline, the market bias remains bearish. The structure favors continuation lower, not aggressive longs. Patience here is key the market is offering information, not entries yet.
PAF (London) - African Gold Miner on a RipPan African Resources PLC has been a massive standout on the London market, rallying over 220% in the last year. Based in South Africa, this mid-tier gold producer focuses on low-cost operations and tailings retreatment projects. The trend has been incredibly consistent, and might still be too extended, but we did just get a touch and bounce off that 20-day which has been consistently providing support.
The primary driver here is fairly clear - record gold prices. The company has been capitalizing on the global political uncertainty (which looks to continue) and the precious metals bull market, which has boosted margins and cash flow significantly. The recent pause in the stock price isn't necessarily bad news; it looks like a standard reaction to the underlying commodity cooling off slightly after its own run. The business case remains tied to the macro environment for gold, which is still looking robust.
Technically, the chart remains bullish but is in a tight consolidation phase. The price has pulled back to test the 20-day SMA (the green line), which has acted as immediate support throughout this entire rally. The RSI has cooled off from overbought levels down to a bit under 60, resetting the momentum without breaking the trend structure.
If you think the future of Gold is bright and shiny, this could be one to keep an eye on.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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GBPUSD - From Bullish to Bearish, keeping it simpleGBPUSD has shifted gears.
After losing its bullish structure, price is now trading inside a falling red channel, keeping the broader bias bearish.
As GBPUSD retests the upper bound of the falling channel, and that retest lines up perfectly with the orange supply zone. This is a classic area where sellers tend to step back in.
As long as this intersection holds, the plan is simple:
wait for lower timeframe confirmation and look for trend-following short setups, aiming for continuation back toward the lower side of the channel.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
HTRUSDT to the riseThe last time I published the idea on HTR when it was $0.255 it did the 10X as I predicted and reached $2.5.
Again, it is not the same now as it was then.
The value of Total2 is now around 1.35T and keep a close eye on this one. Once it reaches around 1.75T Total2 the whole of alt market will gain retail volume and the cycle starts again.
HTRUSD is currently in accumulation phase and I am calling this as their bottom.
There has been a new advancements for their feeless instant settlement chain.
1. DEX (dozer.finance)
2. Nano contracts (About to reach permission less deployment)
3. Great roadmap for 2026 with AI, Privacy, new token release model, blueprint marketplace. (hathor-public-files.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com)
4. Incentive for being an early Liquidity provider. (dozer.finance)
The volume is currently low but make use of this opportunity to accumulate both on CEXs and DEX. When the volume finally reaches you won't get such good opportunity.
I am not expecting anything less than 100X this time around. Current price for KUCOIN:HTRUSDT is around 1 cent and the price will definitely reach the previous ATH when altseason begins (Which again I expect in few weeks). Gather and wait is what I will be doing myself. LP on DEX looks attractive if you like to be technical and get advantage of their rewards.
X: @HathorNetwork
Website: hathor.network
DEX: dozer.finance
Telegram: @HathorOfficial
Disclaimer:
The content reflects my personal opinion and is not financial advice.
Always do your own research before trading.
Ideas published from my account are for educational purposes only.
Consolidation Before Expansion or Deeper Liquidity Grab?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a clearly defined range, bounded by a strong supply zone overhead and a well-established demand zone below. After the recent impulsive move into the upper supply area, price was met with aggressive selling pressure, resulting in a sharp rejection and a return back toward the mid-range. This behavior confirms that the market is still in a balancing phase rather than trending decisively.
The supply zone around the 91,800–92,200 region continues to act as a distribution area, where previous upside attempts have failed to gain sustained acceptance. The most recent rejection from this zone reinforces the presence of active sellers defending higher prices, suggesting that breakout attempts remain vulnerable unless supported by strong momentum and follow-through.
On the downside, the demand zone near the 89,600–89,900 region remains a critical area of interest. This zone has previously absorbed selling pressure effectively, leading to sharp reactions and range continuation. A corrective rotation back into this demand area would be structurally healthy, allowing the market to sweep liquidity and potentially establish a higher low before the next directional move.
If demand holds and price forms a clear higher-low structure, Bitcoin could rotate back toward the upper boundary of the range and challenge the supply zone once again. A clean break and sustained acceptance above supply would signal a transition from consolidation into bullish expansion, opening the path toward higher liquidity targets.
Conversely, failure to hold the demand zone would invalidate the range structure and increase the probability of deeper downside continuation. Until either boundary is decisively broken, Bitcoin remains in a state of equilibrium, with price oscillating between supply and demand as the market builds liquidity for its next impulsive move.
Bitcoin Holding Key Demand: Is This the Launchpad Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is currently in a corrective phase following a sharp sell-off from the recent highs. After breaking below short-term structure, price has transitioned into range-bound consolidation, suggesting that bearish momentum is slowing rather than accelerating. The recent impulse down was followed by compression near support, a common behavior when the market is absorbing sell pressure. Despite the rejection from the mid-range resistance, price has not printed a new lower low, keeping the broader structure in a neutral-to-recovery state.
🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
- Major Support / Demand Zone: The 90,100–90,300 region is a well-defined support zone, where price has repeatedly reacted and found buyers. This area also aligns with previous consolidation and represents a strong demand base.
- Intermediate Resistance: The 91,600 level acts as the first key resistance. This zone previously supported price and now functions as a supply flip level.
- Upper Target / Supply: The 92,900–93,000 area is the next major upside target, aligning with prior range highs and overhead liquidity.
These levels define the potential recovery path if demand holds.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
- Currently, BTC is trading directly above the key support zone, placing price at a high-probability reaction area. The presence of repeated wicks and small-bodied candles suggests buyer absorption, not aggressive sell continuation.
- Price is also attempting to stabilize around dynamic levels, reinforcing the idea of short-term base formation.
My scenario:
As long as Bitcoin holds above the 90,100–90,300 support zone, the current price action can be treated as a corrective base rather than bearish continuation. A sustained push above 91,600 would likely trigger a relief rally toward the 92,900–93,000 target zone.
However, a clean hourly close below the support zone would invalidate the recovery scenario and open the door for a deeper move lower, signaling renewed bearish control.
For now, the market is defending demand and waiting for confirmation.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
Support zones can fail quickly. Let price confirm strength above resistance or weakness below demand, avoid early entries, and always manage your risk.
BTC Stalls at Premium After Vertical Rally — Liquidity Below Hi Guys!! On the H1 chart, Bitcoin has just completed a strong impulsive bullish leg, breaking cleanly above the EMA 89 and accelerating straight into a clearly defined resistance zone around 95,700. This type of vertical expansion typically reflects aggressive buy-side execution, but it also leaves the market structurally imbalanced. As price reaches the resistance area, momentum noticeably slows and candles begin to compress, signaling that buyers are no longer willing to chase at premium levels while early longs start to take profit.
The current price action should be read as a post-impulse distribution and pause, not immediate trend continuation. With price holding just beneath resistance and failing to produce strong bullish follow-through, the probability increases that the market will rotate lower to rebalance. Below current price lies a series of stacked liquidity pools and inefficiencies, first around 94,080, then 93,146, and deeper toward 91,800–90,900, which also aligns closely with the rising EMA structure. These levels represent logical downside magnets where sell-side liquidity rests after the sharp rally.
From a market structure perspective, a pullback into these zones would be technically healthy, allowing Bitcoin to mitigate the imbalance created by the impulsive move and test whether demand is genuinely strong or merely momentum-driven. If price reacts positively and shows acceptance within the lower liquidity zones, that would provide a stronger base for a renewed bullish continuation later on. However, only a clean and sustained acceptance above the 95,700 resistance would invalidate the corrective scenario. Until then, Bitcoin remains in a premium consolidation phase, with downside liquidity acting as the dominant draw before the next major directional decision.
BTC SUPPLY: Breakout Strength or Bull Trap in Disguise?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has just delivered a strong impulsive breakout, reclaiming multiple key levels in a very short period of time. However, where price is currently reacting is far more important than the breakout itself. Right now, BTC is pushing directly into a higher-timeframe supply / resistance zone, and this is where the market must prove whether this move is continuation-driven or simply a liquidity sweep before a deeper correction.
Market Structure Context
From a structural perspective, BTC broke out cleanly above the 92,300–92,500 range, which previously acted as a major resistance and EMA cluster. That breakout was impulsive, confirming bullish intent and momentum strength. Price then accelerated rapidly toward the 95,500–96,400 supply zone, leaving behind multiple inefficiencies and unmitigated demand zones below.
This type of vertical move almost always creates unfinished business underneath.
Key Zones to Watch
Immediate Supply / Resistance: ~95,500–96,400
→ Strong selling pressure previously entered here
First Structural Support: ~94,400–94,600 (flipped resistance)
Major Demand Zone: ~92,300–92,500 (EMA + structure + base)
Primary Scenario – Healthy Pullback (Most Probable)
The current consolidation under supply suggests absorption rather than continuation. If price fails to break and hold above the supply zone, the market is likely to rotate lower to rebalance liquidity.
Expected path:
- Rejection from supply
- Pullback toward 94,400
- If that fails, continuation into 92,300–92,500, where buyers are expected to defend aggressively
This would still keep the overall bullish structure intact, forming a higher low.
Alternative Scenario – Bullish Continuation
If BTC accepts above the supply zone with strong volume and closes, this invalidates the pullback thesis. In that case:
- The market transitions into price discovery
- Upside continuation opens toward 97,000+
This scenario requires acceptance, not just wicks.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is strong but strength alone is not enough at major supply.
Right now, BTC is at a decision zone, where smart money typically distributes or reloads.
Until price shows acceptance above resistance, pullbacks are corrective, not bearish, and they are often the best opportunities within a larger bullish trend.
This is no longer about chasing momentum. It’s about reading where the market wants balance before the next expansion.
BTC - Structure Flip, Next Leg Loading...BTC just did something important.
Price broke above a key resistance, and that level has now flipped into support. This kind of structure shift usually confirms that the previous range is done and a new leg is starting.
That said, this doesn’t mean price can’t breathe.
A pullback toward the $92,000 demand zone is still possible, especially since it lines up nicely with the lower blue trendline. If that happens, it would still be considered a healthy correction.
As long as structure holds, the expectation remains the same:
one more impulse higher, with the $100,000 round number acting as the next magnet.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Above the Trendline — Is Gold Reloading for the Next ATH Break?Market Structure Overview
Gold remains in a strong bullish market structure on the H1 timeframe. The impulsive rally that pushed price into a new All-Time High (ATH) was followed by a healthy pullback not a reversal. Importantly, price continues to respect the ascending trendline, confirming that buyers remain in control.
This is a classic bullish continuation environment, where the market pauses to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion leg.
Liquidity, Gap & Institutional Context
Below current price, we can clearly see a Liquidity Zone and an unfilled Gap, formed during the aggressive impulsive move. These areas represent institutional footprints and serve as strong downside protection. As long as price holds above this liquidity base, any pullback should be treated as corrective, not bearish. The EMA 89 is also rising and aligning closely with the gap area, reinforcing the bullish framework.
Trendline & Price Behavior
Price has just completed a controlled pullback into the trendline, followed by a reaction bounce. This behavior signals:
- Sellers are failing to break structure
- Buyers are defending higher lows
- Market is compressing energy for continuation
There is no structural evidence of distribution at this stage.
Key Levels
Support / Buy Zone:
4,550 – 4,575 (Liquidity Zone + trendline confluence)
4,520 – 4,540 (Gap + EMA support)
Resistance / Targets:
ATH zone (previous high)
Next Target: 4,660 and above (liquidity expansion zone)
Scenarios
➡️ Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation):
Price holds above the trendline and liquidity zone, forms a higher low, then breaks above the ATH. Acceptance above ATH opens the door for a strong expansion toward 4,660+, driven by breakout traders and stop-run liquidity.
⚠️ Risk Scenario:
A clean breakdown below the trendline followed by acceptance below the liquidity zone would delay continuation and trigger a deeper pullback into the gap. Until that happens, bearish setups remain counter trend.
Conclusion
Gold is not showing weakness it is consolidating above key bullish structure. Trend, liquidity, and momentum all align in favor of another upside leg. The market is not asking if it wants to go higher, but from where it wants to launch .
Symmetrical Triangle Signals an Imminent ExpansionGold is currently trading in a high-compression environment on the H1 timeframe after a strong impulsive rally that printed a fresh all-time high (ATH). Following this aggressive bullish expansion, price has transitioned into a symmetrical triangle consolidation, reflecting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers rather than a structural reversal.
The triangle is forming above the rising EMA, which is a key bullish characteristic. This indicates that the broader trend remains intact and that the current consolidation is likely a pause for continuation, not distribution. Higher lows are being respected, while lower highs reflect profit-taking and short-term supply entering the market near the ATH.
From a price action perspective, the triangle is developing after an impulsive leg higher — a classic continuation setup. Each rejection from the upper trendline has been met with shallower pullbacks, suggesting sellers are losing strength while buyers continue to absorb supply near the apex. This behavior typically precedes a volatility expansion.
The bullish scenario favors a clean breakout and acceptance above the descending trendline, which would confirm continuation toward the next upside objective near 4,648 and potentially beyond, as breakout traders and trapped shorts add momentum. Given the ATH context, upside liquidity remains largely untapped, increasing the probability of an expansion move once price escapes compression.
Alternatively, a temporary downside sweep toward the lower triangle boundary or EMA could still occur as a liquidity grab, but as long as price holds above the rising EMA and the structure remains intact, such a move would be considered corrective rather than bearish.
In summary, Gold is coiling tightly beneath ATH in a symmetrical triangle continuation pattern. The broader bias remains bullish, and the market is approaching a decisive moment where compression is likely to resolve into a strong directional move with upside continuation currently holding the technical advantage.
EURUSD at a Structural Turning Point — Reversal Confirmation On the H1 timeframe, EURUSD is showing early signs of a potential trend transition, but the market is still positioned at a highly sensitive decision zone where confirmation is critical. The broader context remains bearish, as price has respected a well-defined descending structure and stayed below the dynamic resistance represented by the moving average. The recent sharp bullish candle from the 1.1618 support zone indicates a liquidity sweep and aggressive short covering, suggesting that sellers may be temporarily exhausted. This impulsive move breaks the immediate bearish momentum and introduces the possibility of a short-term bullish cycle starting to form. However, from a structural perspective, this alone is not enough to confirm a full reversal. Price is currently reacting around the 1.1670–1.1695 resistance zone, which aligns with prior breakdown structure and acts as a key supply area. This level will determine whether the move is a genuine change of character or simply a corrective retracement within the larger downtrend. If EURUSD can achieve clean acceptance above the 1.1695 level, followed by a higher low, the market would officially transition into an early bullish cycle. In that scenario, upside expansion toward the 1.1720 and 1.1750 liquidity targets becomes highly probable as buyers take control. Conversely, failure to hold above current levels would strongly suggest a bearish continuation scenario. A rejection from resistance would likely send price back toward the 1.1618 support, where liquidity rests. A breakdown below that level would invalidate the reversal attempt and confirm continuation of the bearish cycle.
In summary, EURUSD is currently sitting at a cycle inflection point. Bulls have made their first statement, but the market still requires structural confirmation. Until price proves acceptance above resistance, this move should be treated as a corrective phase rather than a confirmed trend reversal.






















