XAUUSD – H1 Outlook: Liquidity Build XAUUSD – H1 Outlook: Liquidity Build While Risk Premium Supports Gold | Lana ✨
Gold is holding firm after a clean rebound from the sell-side liquidity sweep, and the current price action suggests the market is now building structure rather than trending aggressively.
📌 Technical picture (SMC/flow-based)
Price has transitioned from the sell-side sweep into a steady climb, now respecting the upper trendline.
The 4,940–4,970 region is acting as a short-term balance / re-accumulation zone where price is pausing and collecting liquidity.
Above current range, buyside liquidity is visible near the recent highs, with a key magnet around 5,015.
A healthy pullback into 4,920–4,940 would still keep the bullish intraday structure intact and often provides a better re-entry opportunity than chasing highs.
🎯 Scenarios to watch
Bullish continuation: Hold above 4,940–4,970 → reclaim highs → seek liquidity toward 5,015, then extension higher if price accepts.
Corrective dip first: A brief sweep below the range toward 4,920–4,940 → bounce back into the trendline → continuation to highs.
🌍 Macro backdrop (short & relevant)
ETF inflows into oil are rising sharply as US–Iran tensions increase, which typically lifts the geopolitical risk premium. When risk sentiment tightens, gold often benefits as a defensive hedge — supporting the idea that pullbacks may remain corrective, not reversal-driven.
✨ Stay patient, trade the levels, and let liquidity guide the next expansion.
Follow Lana for more intraday updates and share your view in the comments.
Trend Analysis
WLDN (USA) - Energy Services Leader Hits A Speed BumpWilldan Group Inc has been a massive outperformer over the last twelve months, putting up gains of roughly 230% and that's after a 25% pullback! Based in California, they provide technical and consulting services focused on energy transition and grid modernization . This has been a hot sector lately, especially with the rising power demands from data centers and the general push toward electrification. When a stock climbs that high that fast, you usually expect a breather, but the recent 25% drop off the new highs in the last few days has been a bit sharper than your average consolidation.
Fundamentally, the business still looks solid with strong organic growth and a growing backlog of utility contracts. The recent sell-off doesn't seem to be tied to a specific disaster, but rather a combination of the stock reaching a very high valuation and some natural nervousness ahead of their earnings report later this month. There are also reports of increased competition in the niche energy efficiency space, which might be making some holders a bit jumpy after such a big run. For a trend follower, this looks like a typical case of the market doing a double check and taking some profit off the table after getting a bit too excited.
Annual Revenues are going from strength to strength. Will upcoming earnings do the same?
Technically, the chart shows the price has fallen back toward the 50-day SMA , which is exactly the kind of value area momentum traders look for in a strong uptrend. The RSI has crashed down from overbought territory and is now sitting in a much more neutral zone, which flushes out some of the hype / fomo based trades. While the MACD has crossed bearishly and the histogram is showing some momentum to the downside, we are reaching a level where buyers have stepped in previously. I’m waiting to see if the price can stabilize here and show a bit of a turn to prove the primary trend is still in play.
Might be worth a watch.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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Silver - < $30/Oz coming to you by 2030I already know that this post isn't going to get any likes, and quite frankly I don't care at all. I hope you all remember this post and mark it down on your calendars; silver will trade less than $30/Oz within four years.
If you do not think that this is the standard procedure after a complete blow off top, and if you think that the price will go up forever, then I encourage you to take a look at history and see what has happened in the past.
Mark my words... the price will converge toward the 200-week SMA, which sits below $30/Oz. Your silver isn't worth the worthless fiat paper that it trades on.
Total crypto market capitalization analysis and BTC🤝 Congrats to everyone who survived another deep and painful crypto drawdown.
👉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s decline was stopped only around the $60,000 level — that’s where real demand showed up.
👉 At the same time, the Fear & Greed Index dropped to 9, a zone we’ve been pointing to for weeks (or even months) as a historical trend reversal area (8–10).
👉 The total crypto market cap also bounced cleanly from a major level near $2T, suggesting this move wasn’t chaotic.
👉 Liquidations over the last 24 hours exceeded $2B.
Sounds scary — but in context, this number doesn’t even make the Top 10 liquidation events in crypto history.
And yes, we’ve already lived through all of those — otherwise we wouldn’t be here reading this 😉
📈 Scenario in short:
👉 If OKX:BTCUSDT holds above $62–64K in the coming days, it’s a strong hint that the market is not ready to accept lower prices yet, opening room for further upside.
👉 Looking at the total market cap chart, a +35% growth scenario into spring looks like a reasonable baseline.
👉 Ideally, altcoins push market cap higher more aggressively,
while Bitcoin recovers slower and smoother — gradually giving up market dominance.
❓ What do you expect next: a mini altseason or another wave of market downside?
______________
◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates!
🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves
🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
Gold at Weekly Extremes as CPI & Fed Bets Drive Liquidity
🟡 XAUUSD — Weekly Smart Money Plan (SMC)
📈 Market Context
Gold enters the new week in a liquidity-driven environment as traders react to hot U.S. CPI expectations, shifting Fed rate-cut odds, and volatile U.S. yields. News is fueling emotion and stop runs, not clean trends. This is prime conditions for Smart Money to distribute at premium and accumulate at discount.
Expect headline spikes, false breakouts, and engineered moves around key weekly levels.
Smart Money Technical Read
Current State:
After an impulsive bearish displacement from highs, price is now rotating inside a managed weekly range. Upside moves look corrective, while sell-offs are sharp and efficient — a classic sign of institutional control.
Core Bias:
Sell premium / Buy deep discount only after structure confirmation.
No chasing. Let price come to Smart Money levels.
Structure Notes:
• HTF buy-side liquidity already swept
• Bearish displacement signals distribution
• Internal rallies show weak follow-through
• Discount aligns with prior sell-side liquidity
• Premium capped by HTF supply zone
Liquidity Zones & Key Weekly Levels
🔴 SELL GOLD: 5150 – 5152 SL: 5160
🟢 BUY GOLD: 4580 – 4578 SL: 4570
🔴 SELL Scenario — Weekly Premium Distribution
Conditions:
✔ Price spikes into 5150–5152 on news or USD weakness
✔ Buy-side liquidity sweep above recent highs
✔ Bearish CHoCH / MSS on H1–M15
✔ Downside BOS confirms institutional intent
✔ Entry via bearish OB or FVG
Targets:
• 5020 — internal reaction
• 4800 — mid-range liquidity
• 4600s — weekly discount expansion
🟢 BUY Scenario — Weekly Discount Accumulation
Conditions:
✔ Sell-side liquidity sweep below 4580
✔ Deep discount vs weekly range
✔ Bullish CHoCH / MSS on LTF
✔ Strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry from refined bullish OB
Targets:
• 4750 — first reaction
• 4950 — internal liquidity
• 5100+ — if weekly expansion resumes
Institutional Playbook
Inducement → Liquidity Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → OB/FVG → Expansion
Risk Notes
• Expect fake moves during CPI & Fed headlines
• No structure = no trade
• Reduce risk during news spikes
• Patience beats prediction
📍 Weekly Summary
Gold is a Smart Money range game this week:
• Sell strength at premium (5150s)
• Buy weakness only at deep discount (4580s)
Trade levels. Respect structure. Let liquidity do the work.
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for Smart Money gold breakdowns.
BTC at a Critical Market Structure Inflection PointBTC is currently trading at a key range that previously acted as the base for the move from 15K to 120K. From a market structure perspective, this same zone now sits around 59K–65K and has held so far.
While many analysts are calling for an immediate drop to 40K, I don’t see that scenario playing out yet. My expectation is a move higher first toward the 100K–102K region, followed by a lower macro high. From there, I anticipate a larger corrective move targeting the 46K area, which aligns with the previous major high before the 15K capitulation.
BTCUSD RETEST (READ CAPTION)Hi trader's what do you think about BTCUSD
BTCUSD is currently maintaining a bullish market structure, supported by strong buying interest at lower price levels. The overall trend remains positive, and short-term pullbacks are considered healthy retracements within the broader uptrend.
🟢 Support Zone 1: 67,000
The 67,000 level is acting as a key bullish support zone, where buyers are expected to defend the price and maintain upward momentum.
🟢 Support Zone 2: 63,000
This zone represents a strong demand and accumulation area. A retracement toward 63,000 could attract fresh buying interest. A break below this level would weaken the bullish structure.
🔴 Resistance Zone: 75,000
The 75,000 level is the nearest resistance, where short-term selling pressure and profit-taking may appear.
🔴 Supply Zone: 79,000
The 79,000 level is a major supply and distribution zone and a potential upside target if bullish momentum continues.
📈 Market Bias
Above 67,000 → Bullish trend remains active
Pullbacks toward 67,000 – 63,000 → Buy-on-dips zone
Break below 63,000 → Bullish setup invalid
Overall, BTCUSD favors a buy-on-dips strategy while price holds above key support zones.
please dont forget to like comment and follow thank you
EURGBP | FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST | Q1 | W6 | Y26📅 Q1 | W6 | Y26
📊 EURGBP | FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST |
🔍 Analysis Approach
I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on:
• Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐
• Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅
This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price.
💡 My Motto
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.”
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ On Losses
Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed.
We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section.
Stay sharp 🧠
Stay consistent 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈
FX:EURGBP
AUDNZD | Multi-Year Range Break AttemptPrice spent nearly a decade rotating inside a defined range.
No trend. No edge. Just time being absorbed.
Now we’re seeing:
• Rising structure from the lows
• Compression into range high
• First clean push above long-term resistance
This is the part of the chart where outcomes expand.
Above this level = acceptance → higher-timeframe trend shift
Failure here = rejection → rotation back into value
No rush. No bias.
Let price confirm whether this is a true regime change or a liquidity probe.
Reminder:
The higher the timeframe, the fewer trades — but the bigger the consequences.
📌 Levels > indicators
📌 Structure > opinions
📌 Time > everything
Watching how price behaves around range high.
OANDA:AUDNZD
Spring in play?The crypto market just went through another heavy liquidation event, with BTC flushing down to 59k. As expected, altcoins took the brunt of the move with many breaking structural lows and sentiment capitulating.
Even so, a number of alts are now showing tradeable relief‑rally structures. These aren’t guarantees nothing ever is, but the setups are technically clean, with clear invalidation levels and logical upside targets if the market stabilises.
The key thing to keep in mind:
If BTC continues lower (which is still very possible), many of these setups will likely get invalidated and push into their yearly S2 pivots or deeper support zones. Until then, the structure on several alts supports the idea of short‑term relief before the next major decision point.
I’ll be using this same template across multiple charts so the logic stays consistent.
Price swept the October 10th lows and printed a low‑volume spring relative to the selling climax. It has since closed back inside the range and is currently holding above the new yearly S1 support (at least for now).
Targets & Management
TPs
- First target sits just below the yearly pivot
- If price reaches that level, trail the stop toward the range EQ
Depending on BTC’s strength, the stop can continue to trail, but one step at a time
Risk
As always, risk management is everything. These setups are valid only while structure holds, and BTC remains the dominant variable.
SIREN READY FOR REBOUND🔥 Fortune AI Radar — CRYPTOCAP:SIREN
Fresh activity detected on CRYPTOCAP:SIREN today.
Data suggests increasing market interest & buyers stepping in.
Technicals currently lean bullish, with momentum trending upward.
Whales showing hints of accumulation and hype rising among trader
KEL - Bullish Expanding Triangle breakoutKEL – Monthly Technical Outlook
CMP: ~8.94
Time Frame: Long-Term (Monthly)
Risk Level: Moderate–High
KEL has confirmed a bullish expanding triangle breakout on the monthly structure after a prolonged multi-year downtrend (2017–2023). Price compression between higher highs and lower lows resolved to the upside, backed by expansion in range and momentum.
Structure Breakdown:
Primary Breakout Zone: 7.20–7.60
Immediate Resistance: 10.90–11.00 (recent supply rejection zone)
Base Support (Must Hold): 7.40–7.80
Structural Support: 6.30–6.50
The breakout candle from the 3–4 range marked a regime shift. Current consolidation under 11 suggests digestion before next leg.
Upside Projections (Fibonacci Expansion)
T1: 11.70–12.50
T2: 15.50–16.00
T3: 18.50–21.00
Extended Long-Term Projection: 22+ (if macro + liquidity cycle aligns)
A sustained close above 11 on monthly basis activates the next impulsive leg toward 15–16.
Risk Scenario
Failure to hold above 7.40 would invalidate the breakout structure and drag price back toward 6.30. A breakdown below 6 would negate the bullish thesis.
Bias
As long as KEL sustains above the breakout base (7.4–7.8), structure favors higher highs over time. Volatility will remain elevated due to expanding triangle dynamics, meaning wide swings are normal within bullish bias.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Please do your own research and assess your risk before investing. Market investments carry risk of capital loss.
BTCUSD: Structural Recovery and Key Resistance ChallengeMarket Outlook: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is showing signs of strong accumulation on the 15-minute timeframe after finding solid support near the 65,000 level.
Trend Dynamics: We are observing a recovery path characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The primary hurdle remains the blue ascending trendline; a decisive break above this level would confirm a full structural shift.
Support & Resistance: The 64,911 level has acted as a key structural floor. Significant overhead supply is expected between 76,000 and 78,000.
Projected Path: The analysis anticipates a minor retest of local demand before an impulsive move toward the upper liquidity zones.
ETH-USDTYesterday I mentioned Ethereum around 2090, and today it is breaking through 2090-2100. If this range is broken, a significant resistance will be removed 🚀💲💲
And this could pave the way for a rise towards 2450, although there’s also 2250 in between 📊
So we should wait for the break of 2090-2100 for an upward move 🔼💰
BTC Play 2/8/2026Purple zone is my estimated yearly liquidity zone I marked that I figured had previously longs stop losses inside of it. This made a touch on the 4h, with a hard rejection, with a break on the 15m and a hard rejection. I believe it will target 74,500 to either breakout, or fade. If its a break out, i believe 78k is in store. If its a fade 60-58k could be very possible.
Gold zones are my 4h estimated liquidity zones for that yearly touch. This is where i estimate price is heading with no bias at the moment.
The play in question is based off of the recent 4h unswept zones.
I marked 15m trendlines using the zones, which i call the flag.
A 15m candle broke the flag, i entered a long.
I can watch each TP zone for wick rejections, continuations.
Entry is 69250. Good luck all.
XRP ripple weekly perspectiveXRP, the defense at 1.1086-1.109 demand floor was technically a retest floor and holding buyers as weekly rejection candle .
i fee it should come to 0.5285 floor with a reversal in the form of inverted head and shoulder.
A technical push into 1.8635 broken demand floor could be rejected based on the structure except trade dynamics is altered by economic data report
looking at the structure from the month of october 2025 we can see the break and retest at 2.700-2.6952-2.6742,shortly after a sell continuation
another sell continuation was 2.3597$ break and retest sell confirm.
its important to note that each of the key broken zones will now act as dynamic resistance to upswing on the weekly timeframe.
what is xrp
XRP is the native cryptocurrency of the XRP Ledger (XRPL), a decentralized, open-source blockchain launched in 2012 for fast, low-cost cross-border payments.
Key Features
It enables transactions settling in 3-5 seconds at near-zero fees using a consensus protocol with trusted validators, avoiding energy-intensive mining like Bitcoin. A fixed supply of 100 billion tokens exists, with about 59 billion in circulation, making it efficient for bridging currencies without intermediaries.
Ripple Connection
While associated with Ripple (the company), XRP operates independently on the XRPL; Ripple uses it in products like RippleNet for institutional transfers, but the ledger is permissionless. Recent developments include post-SEC clarity (2023-2025 rulings) boosting adoption for payments and tokenized assets.
who are the founders of xrp??
Ripple Labs (originally OpenCoin, founded in 2012 and renamed in 2013) was co-founded by Chris Larsen and Jed McCaleb. Larsen, an entrepreneur, brought business expertise, while McCaleb handled technical development; they built on Ryan Fugger's earlier RipplePay concept from 2004.
XRP Ledger Creators
XRP and its underlying XRP Ledger were developed starting in 2011 by Jed McCaleb, David Schwartz (chief cryptographer), and Arthur Britto, focusing on efficient, low-energy payments. McCaleb left in 2014 to found Stellar, but Schwartz remains key at Ripple.
#xrp #ripple #xrpusdt
GBPUSD: Intraday Buying Setup 04/02/2026The FX:GBPUSD pair dropped after the DXY reversed to bullish. Since the start of this week, the price has been declining. We’ve identified a potential buying zone where we believe the price will likely move. Once the price reaches our marked ‘point of interest’ the trade will activate and you can set a stop loss based on your analysis and risk management.
If you agree with our work, please comment below.
Team Setupsfx_
GOLDOn the daily timeframe, gold continues to show a firmly established uptrend, forming a sequence of higher highs. The recent pullback was a necessary move toward the trendline for re‑accumulation. The presence of a clear fake breakout wick signals strong buying pressure stepping in at a critical moment. With this bullish confirmation, we anticipate another upward leg targeting the 5100 level, followed by 5430.”
I’ll place our latest gold analysis in the comments.
Gold Recovers From Key Support - Bulls Target $5,100Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. Gold previously traded within a clearly defined ascending channel, where price respected both the rising support and resistance lines, signaling a controlled bullish trend and steady buyer dominance. This structure eventually led to a clean breakout above the channel and above the key Buyer Zone, triggering an impulsive bullish expansion. The rally accelerated sharply and culminated at a local top, where price showed signs of exhaustion and strong selling pressure emerged. From this peak, XAUUSD experienced a sharp drop, confirming a short-term structural shift and initiating a corrective phase. After the sell-off, price found support near the lower levels and formed a clear reversal from the lows, indicating that buyers stepped back in aggressively. This reaction marked a “turned around” point and initiated a recovery move. Currently, XAUUSD is consolidating above the Buyer Zone, which now acts as a key support area around 4,880–4,900. Multiple reactions and breakouts from this zone suggest acceptance above support and reinforce its importance. From a market structure perspective, this behavior points to a corrective bullish recovery rather than a continuation of the prior sharp sell-off. Above current price, the Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 5,100 stands out as the next major area of interest. This zone previously acted as strong resistance and rejected price during the last bullish attempt, making it a logical upside target and potential decision point. My primary scenario favors a continuation higher as long as price holds above the Buyer Zone and continues to respect the rising support line drawn from the recent swing low. In this case, a gradual push toward the 5,100 resistance area (TP1) is likely, representing a measured recovery within the broader structure. However, a strong rejection from the Seller Zone could trigger another pullback toward support, while a decisive breakdown and acceptance below the Buyer Zone would invalidate the bullish recovery scenario and signal renewed downside pressure. For now, structure suggests buyers are attempting to regain control after the sharp drop, with price stabilizing above key support and targeting the next resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Long Setup: Targeting 78k Liquidity ZoneTrade Rationale: This long opportunity is based on the successful defense of the lower demand zone and the subsequent momentum shift.
Execution Levels:
Current Interest Area: Around 68,821.
Potential Entry: Looking for entries on a pullback toward the 65,000 demand zone, as indicated by the projected path.
Primary Target (TP): 77,500 - 78,000 (Aligning with major overhead resistance).
Risk Management:
Invalidation Point: A sustained 15-minute close below 62,000 would negate the bullish outlook.
Management Tip: Consider moving the Stop Loss to break-even once the price clears the local resistance at 72,000.
Sentiment: Bullish continuation as long as the market structure maintains its current trajectory.
Flushing Out Weak Hands!A very volatile week in PM's ended in a 4% rally, large swings in prices are normal after such a parabolic move upwards.
The question now for those who bought in the past two months is whether they sell out or hold out.
Looking at the longer term picture, I lean towards a wave 3 just completed at the highs and the look of a wave 4 corrective move has begun, is the worst over?....it's too early to tell conclusivaly...wave 4's in PM's tend to develop into triangle patterns...so it's likely we have a gyrating or oscillating move up and down for a period, this will confuse and whipsaw many traders.
It's a lower probability that this correction is a sub wave 4 within major 3 and minor wave 5 has begun from the lows which bounced off the trend line.
I expect a further rally this week for a day or two and possibly hit $5130-5150 ish...any further push higher would shift the odds to a bullish scenario.
Stock markets as I expected...are moving to ATH's..despite the bears forever calling the tops...I do expect market tops very soon as this last leg upwards peters out...a large correction or worse in stock markets would likely drag PM's down.
So summing up...a likely traingle playing out in gold and silver, buy the dips carefully, watch your leverage and just hold.
The coming major wave 5 up in PM's will be spectacular, just don't sit on the sidelines waiting for that perfect entry or fear holding you back after this weeks lesson.
Appreciate a thumbs up, good tarding and God Bless you all!






















