Lingrid | EURUSD Monthly High Rejection Short OpportunityFX:EURUSD has pushed into the 1.17700 supply band, where the October high aligns with a channel border, creating a dense resistance cluster. The rally looks extended after a sharp A-B-C recovery from support, and recent candles show hesitation rather than follow-through. While structure remains technically bullish above the upward trendline, momentum is beginning to stall near premium pricing.
If bears step in at this historic level, price could rotate lower toward the 1.1670 zone, where prior breakout structure and dynamic support converge. That area may attract bids again, but only after a corrective flush relieves the current imbalance.
➡️ Primary scenario: rejection at 1.1770 → pullback toward 1.1670.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a firm close above 1.1780 could invalidate the rejection setup and open continuation toward 1.1800
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Trend Analysis
NVDA Sitting on a Decision Zone – Dec. 15 Could Be ExplosiveNVDA doesn’t look healthy right now. The structure has already rolled over, and what we’re seeing now feels more like damage control, not buyers stepping in with confidence.
After the breakdown from the prior range, price tried to bounce, but every push higher has been weak and quickly sold. That tells me sellers are still active, and buyers are mostly reactive.
Right now, NVDA is hovering around the 175 area, which is acting like a temporary pause. It’s holding for now, but it doesn’t feel like a strong base — more like the market catching its breath.
Levels that matter
The first level I care about is 175.
That’s where price is trying to stabilize. If NVDA loses this area, the downside opens up fast.
Below 175, I’m watching 172–170. That zone lines up with prior support and liquidity from earlier moves. If price gets there, I’d expect some reaction, but if it doesn’t hold, things can accelerate lower quickly.
On the upside, 178–180 is the first real resistance. This area has rejected price multiple times already. If NVDA can’t reclaim and hold above it, upside moves are likely just short-lived bounces.
Above that, 183–185 is the bigger test. That’s where the previous structure really broke down, and sellers are likely waiting again.
Let check GEX options positioning to see if it fits the picture
Options positioning lines up with the weakness on the chart.
There’s strong PUT interest below, which explains why price is pausing instead of free-falling. But overhead, CALL resistance is stacked, especially above 180, which makes sustained upside harder.
That’s why downside moves feel sharper, and upside moves feel slow and heavy.
How I’m approaching NVDA
As long as NVDA stays below 180, I’m cautious leaning long. That level needs to be reclaimed and held for the chart to start improving.
If price loses 175, I’d expect momentum to pick up toward 172–170.
For me:
* Below 175 → downside continuation risk
* Between 175–180 → chop and traps
* Above 180 with acceptance → relief rally attempt
Until proven otherwise, this still looks like bearish consolidation, not a reversal.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
XAUUSD – Monday Liquidity Model | Order Block + Trend BiasGold opens the week with a clear directional bias.
Price is trading within the dominant trend while resting near a higher-timeframe order block.
Expect early-week liquidity sweep followed by a reaction from the OB and continuation along the trend line.
Key focus:
• Liquidity grab below/above Asia range
• Order Block reaction zone
• Trend line hold for continuation
⚠️ Waiting for a fresh bearish order block to form before any trade execution.
GBP/USD Trendline Breakdown & Pullback SetupPrice is trading within a well-defined ascending channel after a strong bullish run. A clear Break of Structure (BOS) has formed near the highs signaling potential trend exhaustion. Price is now pulling back toward the rising trendline acting as dynamic support.
If the trendline fails downside momentum could accelerate toward:
Target 1: 1.3288
Target 2: 1.3187
Overall the chart highlights a bullish to bearish transition zone where a confirmed breakdown may offer a clean continuation move to the downside. Clean structure clear levels and favorable risk to reward.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad start to the week with price following our path and red boxes to pave it's way into our target levels as well as giving buyers opportunity to get that long trade into the immediate EXC target which is now complete.
Now, with FOMC tomorrow we would expect this to want to hover around here and attempt the lower support levels which stand at 4002 and below the 4195. 4190 is the key level and price needs to stay above that to continue higher. A break below will confirm the move for us.
For us, the plan is working so we'll stick with it.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Overtrading Gold – Biggest Account KillerOvertrading Gold – Biggest Account Killer
🧠 What Overtrading REALLY Means in Gold
Overtrading is not just trading too often — it’s trading without edge, patience, or contextual alignment.
In XAUUSD, overtrading usually looks like:
Multiple entries in the same range
Chasing price after impulsive candles
Trading every wick, every breakout, every news spike
📌 Gold gives the illusion of opportunity every minute — but institutions trade very selectively.
🧨 Why Gold Is the Perfect Trap for Overtraders
Gold is engineered (by behavior, not conspiracy) to punish impatience 👇
🔥 Extreme volatility
🔥 Fast candles & long wicks
🔥 Sudden reversals
🔥 News-driven manipulation
🔥 Liquidity sweeps above & below range
💣 Result?
Retail traders feel forced to trade — and end up trading against structure and liquidity.
🧩 The Overtrading Cycle (Account Destruction Loop)
Most gold traders repeat this cycle unknowingly ⛓️
1️⃣ Enter early (no confirmation)
2️⃣ Stop-loss hit by wick
3️⃣ Re-enter immediately (revenge)
4️⃣ Increase lot size
5️⃣ Ignore bias & HTF context
6️⃣ Emotional exhaustion
7️⃣ Big loss → account damage
📉 This cycle has nothing to do with strategy — it’s pure psychology.
🧠 Why Strategy Stops Working When You Overtrade
Even a 60–70% win-rate strategy will fail if:
❌ Trades are taken outside optimal time
❌ Entries ignore higher-timeframe direction
❌ Risk increases after losses
❌ Rules are bent “just this once”
📌 Gold exposes discipline weakness faster than any other market.
⏰ Time Is the Hidden Edge in Gold
Gold does NOT move efficiently all day ⏱️
🟡 Asian Session → Range & traps
🟡 London Open → Liquidity grab
🟢 New York Session → Real direction
Overtraders:
❌ Trade Asian noise
❌ Enter mid-range
❌ Chase NY expansion late
Smart traders:
✅ Wait for liquidity first
✅ Trade after manipulation
✅ Enter once direction is clear
📉 Statistical Damage of Overtrading
Let’s talk numbers 📊
🔻 More trades = more spread & commission
🔻 Lower average R:R
🔻 Lower win probability
🔻 Higher emotional stress
🔻 Faster drawdowns
💡 One A-grade setup can outperform 10 random gold trades.
🧠 Psychology: The Real Root Cause
Overtrading is driven by internal pressure 👇
😨 Fear of missing out
😡 Anger after stop-loss
😄 Overconfidence after win
😴 Boredom during ranges
Gold feeds emotions — and then punishes them.
📌 Institutions wait. Retail reacts.
🛑 How Professionals Control Overtrading
Real solutions — not motivational quotes 👇
✅ Maximum 1–2 trades per session
✅ Trade only at predefined time windows
✅ Fixed risk per trade (no exceptions)
✅ Daily stop after 2 losses max
✅ Journal every impulsive entry
📘 If it’s not planned before price moves, it’s emotional.
🏆 Golden Rule of XAUUSD
💎 Gold is not hard because it’s random
💀 Gold is hard because it exposes impatience
You don’t need more trades.
You need more discipline.
📌 Final Truth
Most XAUUSD accounts don’t blow because of:
❌ Bad indicators
❌ Bad analysis
❌ Bad strategy
They blow because of overtrading driven by emotion.
📉 Overtrading is the biggest account killer in gold trading.
Daily Timeframe | Structure & Liquidity BehaviorCOINBASE:BTCUSD
This daily Bitcoin chart shows a clear sequence of price behavior driven by liquidity interaction, not randomness.
Let’s go step by step.
⸻
1️⃣ Market Structure Shift (MSS)
Price breaks above a previous daily high, creating a temporary bullish shift in structure.
This move changes short-term bias and pulls attention to higher prices, but structure alone does not confirm continuation.
⸻
2️⃣ Higher High Formation
After the shift, price extends higher and prints a Higher High around 94,181 – 94,640.
This area becomes a natural reaction zone, where:
• Stops accumulate
• Breakout activity increases
• Participation expands
Price now has clear overhead liquidity.
⸻
3️⃣ Liquidity Sweep Above Highs
Price pushes above the highs with long upper wicks, taking liquidity, but fails to hold above the level.
Key observations:
• No sustained closes above highs
• Immediate rejection
• Weak follow-through
This indicates exhaustion, not strength.
⸻
4️⃣ Loss of Upward Momentum
Following the sweep, price struggles to progress higher and begins to rotate lower.
This signals that the move up completed its objective and that the market is no longer accepting higher prices.
⸻
5️⃣ Downside Rotation Toward Higher Lows
As price moves down, attention shifts to the daily Higher Lows (HLs) that supported the prior structure.
These lows represent protected liquidity beneath the market.
⸻
6️⃣ First Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep (≈ 87,733)
Price drops sharply and sweeps a daily Higher Low, triggering stops and accelerating movement.
This move is clean and direct, showing clear intent.
⸻
7️⃣ Second Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep (≈ 87,565)
A deeper wick follows, confirming:
• Downside liquidity was actively targeted
• The move was deliberate and measured
Multiple sweeps reinforce the idea of liquidity completion, not panic.
⸻
8️⃣ Current Price State
At the current level (~88,340):
• Liquidity has been taken on both sides
• Price is transitioning into a balance / evaluation phase
From here, the next move will depend on:
• Acceptance above the swept lows
• Or continuation below with new structure development
⸻
Final Takeaway
This chart demonstrates a pure cause-and-effect sequence:
✔️ Structure shift
✔️ Highs taken
✔️ Rejection
✔️ Lows taken
✔️ Reset
No assumptions.
No narratives.
Just price responding to liquidity.
Not a financial advice.
Ai Generated.
Gold sales plan!Gold has been moving in a strong ascending channel, respecting higher highs and higher lows. Price recently faced rejection near the upper channel, followed by a sharp bearish candle, indicating short-term weakness after the rally.
🔹 Key Observations:
Price is still above the 200 EMA, confirming the overall bullish trend.
The 50 EMA is acting as dynamic support.
Parabolic SAR has flipped above price, signaling possible trend exhaustion.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone is marked above current price, which may act as a temporary retracement area.
🔹 Scenario: Price may attempt a short-term move into the FVG zone, but failure to hold above it could lead to a deeper correction.
🔹 Downside Targets:
First reaction near 50 EMA
Main target around 200 EMA (4225 area), marked as a strong support and potential buy zone
📌 Bias: Short-term bearish correction within a higher-timeframe bullish trend
BTC/USDT | a major drop incoming? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the Daily chart of BTCUSDT, we can see that price has failed to break the 4H FVG at $94000 and has dropped twice from that zone. I expect another try to break through that FVG, but I expect BTC to drop from that zone again and maybe all the way to the bullish OB that is shown in the chart.
If BTC fails to hold above $90000, I expect a drop.
ES - December 15th - Daily Trade Plan December 15th- Daily Trade Plan - 7am
*Before reading this trade plan, if you did not read yesterday's take the time to read it first! (You can view the posts in the related publication section) *
If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also!
My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective.
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Last week we closed around the same level as the previous week. While we tried to get above the 6925 level, we could not hold above it to keep the momentum heading higher.
This week we have some economic data coming out and we can expect some volatility as we head into the last week of heavy trading volume for the year. This week should set the tone for the remainder of the year.
The overnight session low is 6823 and we have some clear levels that have held since we rallied into the overnight session high of 6865 (as of writing this post). 6851 is our first immediate support and 6843 being a level that should hold if we want to keep going higher. Price is in a tough spot for new entries this am as we are looking to continue higher to back test the 6885 level. You might be able to find an entry on the back test of 6865 if we can clear it to 6870 then back test 6861-65
Key Levels Today -
1. 6843 - Flush and Reclaim (Lower Quality)
2. 6823 - Flush and Reclaim (High Quality)
3. 6801-05 - Flush and Reclaim (Highest Quality)
I will post an update around 10am EST
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Purple = A Weekly Low (Current or Previous Week)
Blue = A previous day low (Day before or day in the past week)
Red - Overnight Session High/Low (Prior to my post)
White = Key Support/Resistance Levels
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #247👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis; the market hasn’t changed much since yesterday and is still ranging.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Bitcoin is still in the range box between 89,849 and 90,590, and just like yesterday, it is fluctuating between these two zones today.
✔️ Today, the probability of movement during the New York session is high because Bitcoin is in a very small compression, and breaking this compression from either side can give us a position.
📊 Volume has decreased even further since yesterday, and this is another sign that a move is close. So, if volume enters and triggers are activated, a sharp move in Bitcoin could begin.
⭐ Today, we can open a short position after breaking the 89,849 zone.
🎲 The main short trigger is still 88,890, and breaking 89,849 will be the precursor to that.
↗️ For a long position, breaking 90,590 is a good trigger.We will get the main confirmation of Bitcoin turning bullish after a stabilization above 92,942 and 94,167.
💧 Today, any movement Bitcoin makes in either direction, if accompanied by increased volume, could continue.
✨ But if we see volume divergence, the likelihood of a fakeout increases.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
SPX500 | Bulls Target 6888 as Futures Tick HigherSPX500 – Technical Overview
S&P 500 futures opened the week in positive territory, rising around 0.3% as traders cautiously regain confidence after last week’s tech-driven turbulence.
While early strength is encouraging, markets are still testing whether this momentum can sustain into a broader risk-on trend.
Technical Analysis
SPX500 continues to show bullish momentum, with price pushing toward 6888.
A break and 1H close above 6888 is required to confirm continuation toward a new all-time high, with the next major target at: → 6918
However, if price closes a 1H candle below 6852, bearish pressure may return, triggering a corrective move toward: → 6815 → 6771
The zone between 6852 and 6888 remains the key intraday decision area.
Pivot Line: 6852
Support: 6815 · 6771
Resistance: 6888 · 6918
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY 1-hour chart shows a bullish setup with key elements:
1. Pattern: Price forms an ascending channel and breaks out of the consolidation zone (blue area), indicating potential bullish continuation.
2. Indicators:
- EMA(200) at 155.825 and EMA(50) at 155.835 are near the current price, supporting the positive trend.
- Current price (155.814) is above EMAs, signaling bullish momentum.
3. Entry: Long position suggested after breakout around 155.835 (EMA 50).
4. Target: Upside target at 157.384 (target point), ~1.0% potential gain.
5. Stop Loss: Place below support zone (~155.000) to protect against
Mr SMC Trading point
reversal.
6. Confirmation: Wait for bullish candle confirmation post-breakout or signals from other indicators for validation.
Please support boost this analysis
Is EG Ready To Drop A Shoulder??Here I have OANDA:EURGBP on a Multi-Timeframe Chart Analysis.
Chart Patterns that are clearly seen through multiple timeframes builds the validity of the scenario and the 4 Hr and Daily Charts seem to be forming a potential Bullish Reversal pattern, the Inverse Head and Shoulders!
Last week we can see on the Weekly Chart that price had come back down to the Previous Resistance Level that was broken out of in October and found Support.
On the 4Hr and Daily Charts we can see last week ended with a 2nd touch of the Neckline or Confirmation of Pattern.
Now if price is putting in a reversal pattern, we still need to see the Right Shoulder form. Pattern is Invalidated if price breaks below the Left Shoulder.
Pattern is Confirmed after price is supported at Left Shoulder level and makes 3rd Neckline touch.
Fundamentally this week will be very heavy for EUR and GBP so stay vigilant!!
US Dollar: Bearish! Sell The Rip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD is bearish. I will look for a short term pullback to the -FVG and sell it from there. I expect price will hold from the -FVG and act as resistance.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DOUBLE NFP REPORT this Tuesday, December 16This Tuesday, December 16, the United States will exceptionally publish two NFP reports simultaneously — those for October and November — due to the delay caused by the recent federal shutdown. This double publication will be the last major macroeconomic event of the year 2025, and potentially one of the most decisive for the Federal Reserve’s monetary outlook as 2026 approaches.
These figures attract heightened attention because the U.S. unemployment rate is already at 4.4%, a level with heavy implications. This threshold is far from trivial: it corresponds exactly to the alert level the Fed included in its own median scenario for 2026, as shown in the official projections released at the last FOMC. In other words, the U.S. economy has reached today the unemployment rate the Fed expected to be acceptable… one year from now. This quicker-than-anticipated deterioration now makes employment the key factor of the coming months.
Under normal circumstances, a single NFP report is often enough to reorient market expectations. This time, the pressure is multiplied: the double publication will provide a two-month panorama of labor-market dynamics, with immediate influence over the timing of the monetary policy decisions in January and March 2026. While inflation has partly normalized but remains uneven across components, the Fed now depends primarily on the labor market to assess whether a monetary easing is warranted.
If both reports show a marked slowdown in net job creation — or even a contraction — the Fed will face a clear risk: a sharper-than-expected labor-market landing, implying a faster reduction of the federal funds rate as early as January, or at least a communication shift toward preventive support for economic activity. A rapid rise in unemployment, while core inflation is not yet fully stabilized, would be both politically and macroeconomically difficult to manage.
Conversely, if job creation remains robust — around 120–150k per month — and if the unemployment rate stabilizes or declines slightly, the Fed may maintain a cautious stance, preferring to wait until March before adjusting its policy. In this scenario, the central bank could argue that the 4.4% threshold has not been durably exceeded and that labor-market tensions remain compatible with an orderly disinflation trajectory.
In any case, the December 16 publication will serve as a major pivot for bond markets, rate expectations, and all assets sensitive to the macroeconomic cycle. In summary, it is likely the most decisive indicator of the end of the year, as it will determine whether the Fed’s newly published 2026 scenario remains credible — or requires adjustment.
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
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All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
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Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
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The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
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Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
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The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
Gold Continues Its Upward TrendHello everyone — let’s take a look at today’s gold price.
At the start of the new week, gold continues to extend its bullish streak, currently trading around USD 4,326. The precious metal remains strong amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates next year, and it is still on track to close the year with an increase of around 60%, marking its strongest annual gain since 1979.
Regarding this week’s outlook, results from Kitco’s weekly gold price survey show that both investors and analysts continue to expect further upside. In the Wall Street survey, 13 analysts participated, with 85% believing that gold prices will continue to rise. Notably, none forecast a decline, while 15% expect prices to move sideways.
Similarly, in the Main Street online survey, 237 investors took part. Among them, 71% anticipate gold advancing to new highs, 11% predict a decline, and the remaining 18% expect prices to consolidate.
From a personal perspective, the chart structure remains clearly bullish, supported by solid demand zones. The immediate target is the USD 4,350 area , followed by the key psychological level at USD 4,400.
I remain optimistic — how about you? Share your thoughts in the comments section.
Gold Technical Outlook: LSMA Breakout Validated🟡 XAU/USD Bullish Breakout Blueprint | LSMA Momentum Play
📌 Asset
XAU/USD – GOLD vs U.S. Dollar
⏱️ Day Trade / Swing Trade
📊 Metals Market Opportunity
📈 Market Bias & Structure
Bullish Bias CONFIRMED ✅
Gold has delivered a clean LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout, signaling a shift in momentum from consolidation to expansion. Price acceptance above LSMA suggests buyers are in control, with dips attracting demand rather than rejection.
This structure favors buy-the-dip strategies rather than chasing price at highs.
🔓 Entry Strategy (Layered Position Building)
Entry Style: Flexible / Any Price Level
🧠 Layered Entry System for Better Average Pricing
Buy Limit Layers (Thief Strategy):
• 4240.00
• 4280.00
• 4320.00
➡️ Traders may add or reduce layers based on volatility, risk profile, and position sizing.
➡️ Layering helps smooth entries during pullbacks and avoids emotional execution.
🛑 Risk Management (Stop Loss)
Protective Stop: 4220.00 🚫
⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s):
This stop level is not mandatory. Adjust your SL according to:
• Account size
• Volatility conditions
• Personal risk rules
Capital protection always comes first.
🎯 Profit Objective (Smart Exit Zone)
Primary Target: 4450.00 💰
📌 Rationale for Exit:
• Strong historical resistance
• Overbought conditions likely
• Liquidity trap potential
• Corrective pullback probability increases
👉 Do not get greedy near resistance. Scale out or exit fully when conditions align.
⚠️ TP is guidance only — manage profits according to your own system.
🔗 Related Markets to Watch (Correlation Guide)
💵 DXY – U.S. Dollar Index
Inverse correlation with Gold
Weakening DXY = tailwind for XAU/USD
Watch for breakdowns below key support zones
📉 US10Y / US2Y Treasury Yields
Falling yields increase Gold’s appeal (non-yielding asset)
Yield compression often fuels bullish Gold expansions
XAG/USD – Silver
Silver often lags then accelerates after Gold moves
Strength in XAG confirms broader precious metals demand
📊 SPX500 / US500
Equity risk-off sentiment supports Gold
Sharp equity corrections = safe-haven inflows into XAU
🧠 Final Notes
✔️ Trend-following structure
✔️ LSMA breakout confirmation
✔️ Layered entries for precision
✔️ Defined risk & logical exit zone
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EURUSD Targeting 1.17496 and will fallEURUSD is showing a short-term bearish correction within a larger trend. After breaking the recent high at 1.17496, the pair is likely to move down toward the order block at 1.17070. This corrective phase may last throughout the day, allowing the market to fill the liquidity Trendline and stabilize. Once the correction is complete, the upward trend is expected to resume, providing potential buying opportunities.
Arbitrum (ARB): Looking For Break of Local High | Good R:RARB is still stuck inside the range, but buyers are showing some life from the local bottom. Price is holding above that lower support and slowly pressing into the orange zone above.
The key level is still that local high. If buyers manage to break and hold above it, then the game plan shifts to looking for continuation toward the major target zone. Until that break happens, it’s a wait-for-confirmation spot, not something to rush.
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GBP/USD – H2 Technical Analysis...
GBP/USD – H2 Technical Analysis
Market View
Price is trading inside an ascending channel and recently faced strong rejection from the upper resistance zone.
After the rejection, price is showing weak momentum near the trendline and cloud area, indicating a corrective bearish move is likely.
This is not a trend reversal, but a healthy pullback within the overall bullish structure.
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📉 Sell Scenario (As per Chart)
Sell Zone: Current / pullback area near 1.3350 – 1.3380
🎯 Targets
Target 1: 1.3180
Target 2: 1.3060
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❌ Invalidation
A strong break and close above 1.3420 will invalidate this sell setup.
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📌 Summary
Trend: Bullish (higher timeframe)
Current Move: Bearish correction
Expectation: Price to move down toward marked demand zones before next bullish continuation






















