Trend Analysis
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #264👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. The market is still trading inside a ranging box.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin formed a support level around 68,586.
✨ After reacting to this area, price printed a lower high, and it has now returned to test the support again.
✔️ At the moment, Bitcoin is reacting to the 68,586 zone. If this level breaks, price could resume its bearish move, and we can look to open a short position.
🔔 The main trigger for Bitcoin right now is the break of 67,735. A break of this level would also be a valid short entry. So, 68,586 is a riskier trigger, while 67,735 is the more reliable one.
🔍 Since price has formed a lower high, the probability of breaking 67,735 is higher. However, if price moves up toward 71,616, we can also look for a long position on a breakout. That said, it’s better to wait for volume confirmation on long trades, as the dominant trend is still bearish.
🎲 Today, the market could offer both short and long opportunities, so stay alert and don’t miss the setups.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
XRPUSDT 6X Long with 732% profits potentialThe reasoning behind this chart setup is the same that I shared recently for Ethereum and Bitcoin based on the short-term. That is, a major low signals the end of the correction. The end of a very strong correction can lead to a relief rally. This is supported by the action in the last four days, neutral, staying close to resistance and far away from support.
The strong recovery on the day of the low is the main bullish signal. XRPUSDT is going up.
Full trade-numbers below:
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LONG XRPUSDT
Leverage: 6X
Potential: 732%
Allocation: 8%
Entry zone: $1.35 - $1.48
Targets:
1) $1.61
2) $1.77
3) $1.92
4) $2.14
5) $2.42
6) $2.72
7) $2.91
8) $3.22
Stop: Close weekly below $1.30
_____
Notice that the position size, capital allocation, is higher than usual on this trade. Normally we do 3-5% per position in order to reduce risk. Since market conditions are great right now, we go higher. These opportunities don't show up very often.
To calculate the final target I took into consideration the advance from June-July 2025. See how much XRP grew in just 30 days.
Seeing, knowing, thinking, assuming we are getting 30 to 60 days of relief, around 45 days, then we can expect a high target to hit. Only if we get just two weeks of relief we would expect a very low target, the lowest possible. I am not of this belief.
Bullish action can happen through March, April or even May. Why? XRP went bearish for almost 7 months. A 2 months long inverted correction is not a big deal, it would be a normal development.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
PENGU bear market started for it#PENGU / USDT
Price lost 6 months uptrend line which is breakdown bullish structure
As result this could be just the beginning of bearish market for it in the coming weeks
Invalidation: price will turn bullish if ONLY able to breakout and hold above red zone marked in my chart
Note : price wont drop as straight line it moves like waves
USD/JPY Drops by More Than 1% At the Start of the WeekUSD/JPY Drops by More Than 1% At the Start of the Week
As the USD/JPY chart shows, the pair has been exhibiting bearish momentum since the beginning of the week. This move has been driven by a combination of factors:
→ Yen strength on political news. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi secured a decisive victory in Sunday’s snap election (8 February), winning a parliamentary majority. Although Takaichi has pledged large-scale fiscal stimulus of around ¥21 trillion, the prospect of increased money printing has not weakened the currency, as the market may (a) welcome political stability and (b) believe that the Bank of Japan will be forced to respond to inflation by raising interest rates.
→ US dollar weakness ahead of economic data releases. This reflects market sentiment ahead of labour market data due on Wednesday and the CPI report scheduled for Friday. In addition, the dollar’s status has come under pressure after Chinese regulators reportedly recommended limiting investments in US Treasuries.
On 26 January, when analysing fluctuations in the dollar–yen exchange rate, we:
→ noted that the long-term ascending channel had been broken near the 157.700 level;
→ constructed a parallel channel below and suggested that, following the sharp drop in USD/JPY (triggered by the possibility of coordinated currency intervention by the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve), a rebound could occur.
Indeed, since then (as indicated by the arrow):
→ on 28 January, the market formed a low slightly below the lower boundary of the parallel channel;
→ the pair subsequently rebounded towards the 157.700 level.
Technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart
The bearish tone of the current week allows us to highlight the following:
→ local support levels of the parallel channel (shown by thick blue lines) have been broken, and bulls may now have to rely on its lower boundary;
→ lower highs A–B–D have formed on the USD/JPY chart, with a bearish trend line drawn through them.
In this context, it is reasonable to assume that:
→ the sharp B→C impulse has disrupted the market’s multi-month bullish structure;
→ the C→D recovery (towards the 78.6% Fibonacci level) was an interim move within a broader bearish reversal.
The ability of the red A–B–D trend line to remain relevant over time would further support this hypothesis.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Rising Channel Breakdown → Waiting for Better Buy Prices on SUISUI has been moving inside a well-defined rising channel on the higher timeframe, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, price is now trading near the lower boundary of the channel , showing signs of weak momentum and potential breakdown.
Historically, a loss of the rising channel support often leads to a deeper corrective move, especially after an extended uptrend. Current structure suggests that downside continuation is more likely before any sustainable bullish scenario.
📌 Key points:
Long-term ascending channel
Price approaching / losing channel support
Increased risk of trend exhaustion and correction
🎯 Downside targets:
Target 1: $0.60
Target 2: $0.25
🛑 Conclusion:
At current levels, buying SUI is not attractive from a risk-reward perspective. A better strategy is to wait for deeper pullbacks and signs of stabilization near the mentioned targets before considering long positions.
This is a patience trade — better prices are likely ahead.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Tue (Feb 10)Continuation of Weekly Analysis | Pre-Wednesday Data Bomb
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OVERALL BIAS: BEARISH INTO WEDNESDAY (UNCHANGED)
Monday validated the volatility thesis but not the directional conviction. The 76-point intraday range (6,924 to 7,000) showed both sides getting tested. Wednesday's NFP + CPI simultaneous release remains THE event. Light positioning today.
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1. WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENED MONDAY
Monday's Session Data (Verified)
- Open: 6,935.50 - Gap DOWN 51 pts from Friday close (6,986)
- High: 7,000.50 - Tested Y-VAH / R2 Psychological Level
- Low: 6,924.25 - Tested S2 Friday Close Area
- Close: ~6,980 - Near Y-POC (6,986)
- Range: 76.25 pts - High volatility pre-data
Weekly Levels vs. Monday Reality
- R2 (7,000): TESTED and REJECTED
- R3 (6,970-6,964): TESTED - passed through both ways
- S1 (6,935-6,942): HELD - opened here
- S2 (6,920-6,932): HELD - low at 6,924.25
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2. TODAY'S SENTIMENT AND FLOWS
SPX Greek Hedging (Volland Data)
- Delta Hedging: $17.4B - Dealers hedging SPX price moves
- Vega Hedging: $51.4M - Hedging against volatility changes
$17.4B daily delta hedging creates mechanical flow that amplifies moves.
China Data Tonight (20:30 ET)
- CPI YoY: 0.4% exp vs 0.8% prior
- PPI YoY: -1.5% exp vs -1.9% prior
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3. TUESDAY ECONOMIC CALENDAR
08:30 ET - RETAIL SALES MoM | Exp: 0.4% | Prior: 0.6% | HIGH IMPACT
12:00 - Fed's Hammack Speaks
13:00 - Fed's Logan Speaks
16:00 - Trump on Fox Business - WILD CARD
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4. KEY LEVELS - Tuesday Feb 10
RESISTANCE
R1: 7,040-7,043 - PWH / ATH Zone
R2: 7,000-7,005 - Psychological (REJECTED Monday)
R3: 6,983-6,986 - Monday High / Y-POC
R4: 6,970-6,975 - Strong High Zone
SUPPORT
S1: 6,964-6,970 - Entry Zone
S2: 6,948-6,952 - Offer Wall
S3: 6,935-6,942 - Monday Open (HELD)
S4: 6,920-6,925 - Monday Low (HELD)
CRITICAL: 6,980 - Y-POC / Monday Close
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5. BOTTOM LINE
Monday proved the market is coiled but not committed. A 76-point range that ended flat = everyone waiting for Wednesday.
Tuesday Strategy: Trade the range, respect the edges, preserve capital.
Good Luck !!!
QQQ ShortBroader Market Structure (QQQ – 15m)
QQQ is in a short-term corrective phase within a larger bearish context. The prior selloff established a clear bearish structure, followed by a counter-trend rally. Price is now approaching a key area where upside looks corrective rather than impulsive. A CHoCH is marked at ~605.07; as long as price remains above this level, the pullback structure holds, but failure to reclaim higher supply keeps downside risk dominant.
Supply and Demand Zones
The upper supply zone around 618–624 is strong. Price previously sold off aggressively from this region, indicating institutional supply and unfinished business. The mid demand zone near 603–607 (highlighted green) is the first meaningful support; it has held once but shows weakening structure. Below that, the lower demand around 595–598 is stronger, formed from an impulsive rally base and likely the next magnet if the mid demand fails.
Price Action in the Marked Region
Price is currently stalling just below the lower edge of higher-timeframe supply, with smaller candles and slowing momentum. This behavior suggests distribution, not continuation. The projected path shows a potential push slightly higher into supply (liquidity grab), followed by a rotation lower back into the 603–607 zone, and possibly deeper toward 596.
Trade Bias, Direction, and Invalidation
Current trade bias is bearish. Preferred direction is a move lower into 603–607, with extension risk toward 595–598. This bearish view is invalidated on acceptance above ~624, which would signal bullish continuation and negate the supply-based rejection thesis.
Momentum and Price Behavior
Momentum is decelerating. The rally lacks strong bullish displacement and is corrective in nature. No strong bullish continuation candles are present near supply, favoring a downside rotation.
USD/CAD Short Setup: Stacked FVG + Daily POC Confluence (1.3645)USD/CAD M30 shows a strong selloff, and the plan is to trade a pullback into the origin of that move. Multiple stacked fair value gaps form one major FVG zone, with the entry at its beginning around 1.3645. This level sits near the daily Point of Control and a heavy volume area, creating solid confluence. Expecting a reaction there as price tests and fills the FVG before potentially continuing lower.
EURCHF: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURCHF
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURCHF
Entry Point - 0.9136
Stop Loss - 0.9128
Take Profit - 0.9151
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GBPNZD RE ENTERED - SHORTS CONTINUED INTO THE ABYSSWe can see that GBPNZD has been in a strong downtrend, and found support and has been range trading between 2.25908 and 2.28024 recently it has broken support at 2.25908.
Today we have seen the pair retrace back to the 0.50 fib level expecting hte downside to resume from here
I am expecting the next leg down to continue TP - 2.22961
CLSK Still in a triangle, nothing change on the weekly/macroNASDAQ:CLSK remains firmly in the macro triangle boundaries and has not penetrated wave E on last weeks dumping price action.
In fact, wave (2) is still alive and now printing weekly bullish divergence!
Fib depths for the triangle remain deep 0.786+ which is a characteristic of triangle.
Price left a long lower wick and Friday closed at the high of a 22% bullish engulfing daily candle. Closing at the high on a Friday is a significant move as it shows investors are confident in holding over the weekend news cycle and Bitcoin price action.
The goal is still to break wave D to end the triangle and thrust us in our final move to take profits around $40. This will be highly likely one we get back above the weekly pivot and 200EMA ~£14.
Safe trading
GBPCHF Breakdown Phase or One Last Bounce Before Deeper LowsGBPCHF has shifted from choppy range behavior into a more directional, lower-high / lower-low sequence, and that’s usually the early warning that character has changed. The latest drop into support wasn’t just a drift — it was impulsive. What I’m watching now is whether this small bounce turns into a proper reclaim of broken structure, or just a pause before continuation lower. With CHF still bid on defensive flows and GBP more data-sensitive, the pressure balance still leans downside unless buyers prove otherwise.
Current Bias
Bearish
Structure shows descending highs, channel pressure, and a recent support break with only a shallow rebound so far. Bias favors downside continuation unless price reclaims the broken structure zone overhead.
Key Fundamental Drivers
CHF safe-haven demand: Swiss franc continues to attract defensive flows when macro and geopolitical uncertainty rises.
BoE policy path: Bank of England is restrictive but increasingly data-dependent, with markets watching for eventual easing timing.
UK growth softness: UK growth momentum is uneven, making GBP vulnerable to negative surprises.
Rate spread vs safety: Even when UK yields are higher than Swiss yields, CHF can outperform when risk sentiment weakens.
Macro Context
Interest rate expectations:
BoE remains cautious with rates still elevated, but forward expectations lean toward gradual easing if inflation continues to cool. Swiss policy is lower-rate, but CHF strength is often flow-driven, not yield-driven.
Economic growth trends:
UK growth is patchy and sensitive to consumer and housing data. Switzerland is slower growth but financially stable — which supports CHF in defensive rotations.
Capital and risk flows:
When equity and credit markets wobble, CHF tends to gain against higher-beta European currencies like GBP.
Geopolitical themes:
Ongoing geopolitical tension and trade frictions keep a background bid under safe-haven currencies, including CHF.
Primary Risk to the Trend
The main risk to the bearish view is a strong upside surprise in UK inflation or labor data that pushes BoE easing expectations further out and strengthens GBP broadly.
A strong global risk rally is another upside risk, which would typically weaken CHF and lift GBPCHF.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
UK CPI and wage data
UK labor market releases
Bank of England speakers
Major geopolitical or risk-sentiment shocks
These are the events most likely to shift GBP or CHF flow balance.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBPCHF is generally a lagger cross.
It tends to follow:
Broader GBPUSD direction for the GBP leg
Safe-haven flow signals seen in USDCHF and gold for the CHF leg
It can influence:
Other GBP crosses slightly, but usually after GBPUSD moves first.
CHF strength typically shows up in USDCHF and gold before GBPCHF fully adjusts.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
1.0500 zone — near support shelf
1.0440–1.0450 — secondary support
1.0360–1.0370 — major downside target zone
Resistance Levels:
1.0600–1.0620 — broken structure resistance
1.0760 area — higher resistance ceiling
Stop Loss (SL):
Above 1.0620 for bearish continuation setups
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 1.0500
TP2: 1.0440
TP3: 1.0360 zone
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBPCHF currently holds a bearish bias after a structural shift lower and a momentum break into support. CHF safe-haven demand and uneven UK growth keep pressure tilted to the downside unless GBP can reclaim the 1.06+ structure zone. Downside levels to watch sit at 1.0500, then 1.0440 and potentially 1.0360 if momentum extends. Invalidation for the bearish view sits above the broken resistance band with a protective stop above that area. The key watchpoints are UK inflation and labor data — if they surprise hot, GBP can squeeze; if not, the path lower stays cleaner.
HubSpot | HUBS | Long at $218.00Technical Analysis
The stock price for HubSpot NYSE:HUBS is near its historical "crash" simple moving average zone ($173-$210). The probability of the price entering this zone is very high, and, for perspective, the "major crash" zone is below $100. Unless the company / economy implodes, I don't think it will drop that low in the near-term, but the growth outlook for NYSE:HUBS is what got my attention.
Earnings and Revenue Growth
Expected annual revenue growth between 2025-2028 is 54.8% (cumulative), growing from around $3.1 billion in 2025 to $4.8 billion in 2028.
Expected EPS growth from $9.6 in 2025 to $16.3 in 2028 (+69.8%)
www.tradingview.com
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 0.1x (healthy)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 9.6 (excellent/very low risk)
Quick Ratio/Ability to pay current bills: 1.5 (great/low risk)
Insiders
Warning: Selling heavily, even recently.
openinsider.com
Action
Due to the high-growth potential of NYSE:HUBS , solid health, etc., I am personally going long at $218.00. The stock may drop further into the "crash" simple moving average zone after earnings, even down near $173, which will be another personal entry (unless fundamentals change). Only major warning is the amount of insider selling and potentially weakening economy.
Targets in 2028
$312.00 (+43.1%)
$450.00 (+106.4%)
GBPCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychologicaal Level 1.06000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100% 105% TPT
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
TRUMP: Panic Selling vs. Smart Buying (RSI 19 Extreme)The "Bagholder Panic" is real.
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) has crashed to $3.31 , sitting in deep discount territory.
Retail traders are capitulating because the ADX is screaming downtrend.
Smart Money is looking at the RSI 19, not the Emotion.
Here is why this drop is a specific "Liquidity Hunt" and where the floor likely sits.
__________________________________________________________________________________
1. THE "CAPITULATION" SIGNAL (RSI 19) 📉
We are currently hitting RSI 19.0 on the Daily chart.
* Context: An RSI below 20 is rare. It signals "Max Pain."
* The Trap: While ADX at 83.1 confirms a strong downtrend, selling into an RSI of 19 is statistically a losing trade. The rubber band is stretched to the breaking point.
* Support: Price is hugging the Lower Bollinger Band at $3.25 . This often acts as a dynamic floor for relief bounces.
2. THE "LIQUIDITY FLOOR" ($2.98 - $3.20) 🧱
Why is price stalling here?
* Swing Support: The major swing low sits at $2.98 .
* The Setup: Market Makers often push price *just below* $3.00 to trigger retail stop-losses (The Panic), only to reclaim the level immediately.
* Volume: Volume is low ($595K vs $7.79M avg), meaning the sellers are running out of ammo.
__________________________________________________________________________________
3. THE GAME PLAN (How to Fix the Trade) 🛠️
If you are underwater, panic selling here is the worst move.
The "Relief Bounce" Setup:
* We do not catch the falling knife blindly.
* Trigger: We wait for a sweep of $2.98 followed by a 4H close back above $3.33 .
* Target 1: The Bearish Order Block at $4.17 - $4.29 .
* Target 2: The Daily EMA 20 at $4.23 .
Invalidation:
* If we close daily below $2.98 , the structure collapses toward the weak low at $1.29.
__________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 SUMMARY
* Emotion: Extreme Fear (RSI 19).
* Structure: Testing Major Support ($2.98).
* Action: Wait for the sweep -> Trade the bounce to $4.29.
Are you panic selling or waiting for the sweep?
Vote Below! 👇
A) Selling everything (Too scared) 🐻
B) Waiting for the Bounce ($4.29 Target) 🐂
AUD/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.537 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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