AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W51 | D15 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D15 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
Trend Analysis
XAU/USD 15 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in my analysis and intraday expectation dated 11 December that I will allow price to print pause and to confirm an internal high.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH and reacted at almost precisely 50% internal EQ.
Intraday expectation:
Price to target weak internal high priced at 4,353.555.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
Expectations of monetary easing support gold price increases
news:
Gold prices continued to fluctuate at high levels in pre-market trading on Monday (December 15), reaching their highest level in nearly seven weeks.
From an overall market perspective, the uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, the ongoing geopolitical risks, and the temporary return of safe-haven funds are the main driving factors currently driving the precious metals market.
The evolution of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path has become the core variable dominating gold price movements.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated at a press conference that the current interest rate level puts the central bank in a comfortable position to await further developments in economic data.
It is noteworthy that the interest rate decision was not unanimously approved; three policymakers voted against it, indicating a significant disagreement within the committee regarding the assessment of inflation and the health of the labor market.
Technical aspects:
On the 4-hour chart, gold broke out of its nearly two-week consolidation range last week, accelerating its short-term upward momentum and demonstrating strong performance.
For support, watch the $4330 level, a key level for a short-term breakout during the Asian session, followed by the psychological level of $4310, where gold found support and rebounded earlier this morning. For resistance, watch the $4355 level, the high from last Friday. Gold has currently encountered resistance at this level; a break above this level would target the historical high of $4380.
The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator are both showing a golden cross, as are the RSI and KDJ indicators. Short-term technical indicators suggest that gold has the potential for further gains after ending its consolidation phase.
Strategy Signals:
Buy : 4310-4315, stop loss :4300, target: 4360, 4380
Has the bullish trend in gold been broken?
news:
Following the Fed's rate cut this week, market expectations for further easing policies have continued to rise, directly driving gold's strong upward trend. The Fed's dovish tone has provided solid buying support for gold prices. Currently, it is trading around 4300.
Although the Fed did not provide clear forward policy guidance, Chairman Jerome Powell clearly signaled a "very low probability of a near-term rate hike" after the decision. While reiterating its signature data-dependent policy framework, he also emphasized the balance of two-way risks facing the Fed's dual mandate. This dovish stance far exceeded previous market expectations.
Meanwhile, the Fed's latest dot plot is very dispersed, indicating that voting members still have room to explore the path of future rate cuts.
Technical aspects:
Gold's 4-hour chart remains generally bullish, but strong selling pressure persists, ultimately causing it to retreat from its highs. Next week, the key level to watch is the resistance around 4340, the 4-hour high. If it holds above 4340, gold may enter a new large-range consolidation phase, with support around 4255.
Gold is likely to trade within this large range at the beginning of the week, followed by the release of Tuesday's non-farm payrolls, Thursday's CPI data, and Friday's Bank of Japan interest rate decision to see if a rate hike will occur. With numerous data releases next week, market volatility is expected to be high.
Strategy Signals:
Buy : 4260-4265, stop loss :4250, target: 4290, 4320
GOOGL. Plan for Dec 15Looking at GOOGL going into Dec. 15, the chart still feels heavy, even though price has stopped falling aggressively.
After the selloff, we got a bounce — but that bounce never reclaimed structure. Price broke down, tried to push back up, and stalled right where former support should turn into resistance. That’s not strength — that’s sellers letting price breathe.
Right now, GOOGL is sitting around the 308–310 area, which feels more like a pause than a base. There’s no real impulsive buying, just small candles and low follow-through. This usually means the market is deciding when, not if, to make the next move.
From a structure standpoint, the bearish move is still valid until proven otherwise.
Levels that actually matter
The first thing I’m watching is 308.
If price loses 308 with any momentum, I expect a quick move into 305, and if that doesn’t hold, 302–300 becomes very realistic. Those levels line up with prior lows and unfinished business from the selloff.
On the upside, 312–315 is the problem area.
That zone was support before the breakdown, and now it’s acting like a ceiling. Every bounce into that area so far has been sold. If price can’t reclaim and hold above 315, upside moves are likely just short-covering, not real trend change.
How GEX fits into this (not the focus, just confirmation)
Options positioning lines up with what price is telling us.
There’s strong PUT support around the current price, which explains why we’re chopping instead of free-falling. But above us, CALL resistance stacks up around 320 and higher, which makes upside continuation harder unless volume steps in.
That’s why moves down feel faster than moves up — dealers aren’t forced to support upside right now.
How I’d think about tomorrow
If GOOGL opens and can’t hold above 310, I’d be cautious leaning long. A clean break below 308 is where downside momentum likely kicks in.
If we open strong and reclaim 315, then I’d reassess — but until that happens, the burden of proof is on the bulls.
For me, Dec. 15 is simple:
* Below 308 → downside continuation likely
* Between 308–315 → chop and traps
* Above 315 → only then does the chart start to improve
Until then, this still looks like bearish consolidation, not a reversal.
Not financial advice. Just how I’m reading the chart going into the next session.
USNAS100 | Bearish Below 25420 After AI Sector ShakeoutUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
After last week’s sharp AI-driven selloff, U.S. equities and bonds are seeing some relief.
Market attention now turns to Tuesday’s payrolls report and China’s latest batch of disappointing economic data, both of which may influence risk sentiment and volatility in tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ.
Technical Analysis
USNAS100 maintains a bearish momentum while trading below 25420, with downside targets at:
→ 25210 → 24820 (extended bearish continuation)
A short-term correction toward 25420 remains possible.
However, bullish momentum will only activate if a 1H candle closes above 25420, opening the upside toward: → 25570 → 25835
The 25420–25430 zone remains the key pivot area determining directional bias.
Pivot Line: 25430
Support: 25210 · 25080 · 24810
Resistance: 25570 · 25830
EURGBP FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W51 | D15 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D15 | Y25 |
📊 EURGBP FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:EURGBP
$NBIS – Clean Bear Flag Setup as AI Names Get DistributedNASDAQ:NBIS – Bear Flag Trigger at 81 as AI Trade Unwinds
The AI trade is starting to crack — and NASDAQ:NBIS is shaping up as one of the cleanest downside setups on the board right now.
🔹 The Setup:
NASDAQ:NBIS is forming a textbook bear flag with a clear trigger around 81.
Every bounce has been sold, and the structure remains heavy and controlled — no urgency from buyers.
A breakdown here opens the door to a swift continuation lower.
🔹 Sector Context (This Matters):
AI names are getting wrecked following the NYSE:ORCL news and NASDAQ:AVGO earnings reaction.
We’re seeing distribution, not healthy pullbacks — rallies are being used to exit.
Many AI leaders are flashing topping patterns, signaling a broader unwind of speculative positioning.
🔹 Why NASDAQ:NBIS Stands Out:
Clean levels, clean structure, no chop.
One of the weakest names in the AI basket right now.
Along with NASDAQ:IREN under $40, this offers some of the best-defined risk/reward shorts in the space.
🔹 My Trade View:
1️⃣ Trigger: Breakdown through 81.
2️⃣ Stop: Above the bear flag highs / 9 EMA.
3️⃣ Target: Prior breakdown lows first, then reassess if the sector continues to unwind.
Big Picture:
At this stage of the cycle, AI companies are being distributed, not accumulated.
Until that changes, I’m treating every bounce as a sell-the-rip opportunity.
Sandbox (SAND): Eyes on Middle Line of Bollinger BandsSAND is still under pressure and the price is riding the lower side of the Bollinger Bands, which tells us the short-term trend is still bearish. There’s no real relief bounce yet and sellers are clearly keeping control for now.
From here it’s simple: either we get a bounce from this lower BB area, or the price keeps sliding lower. If we do see a bounce, the key thing to watch will be a clean break back above the middle Bollinger line. That’s the level buyers need to reclaim to shift momentum and make a proper long idea valid. Until that happens, it’s still a wait for confirmation of the spot.
Swallow Academy
EURJPY Breaks the Flag! Bullish Continuation in PlayEURJPY Breaks the Flag! Bullish Continuation in Play
EURJPY continues its bullish momentum after breaking out of the Flag channel.
The breakout shows strong buyer pressure, and as long as the price holds above the channel’s upper boundary, the bullish structure remains intact.
With momentum building, EURJPY may head toward the next resistance levels, where short-term profit-taking could occur.
Targets:
183.13
183.50
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY 1-hour chart shows a bullish setup with key elements:
1. Pattern: Price forms an ascending channel and breaks out of the consolidation zone (blue area), indicating potential bullish continuation.
2. Indicators:
- EMA(200) at 155.825 and EMA(50) at 155.835 are near the current price, supporting the positive trend.
- Current price (155.814) is above EMAs, signaling bullish momentum.
3. Entry: Long position suggested after breakout around 155.835 (EMA 50).
4. Target: Upside target at 157.384 (target point), ~1.0% potential gain.
5. Stop Loss: Place below support zone (~155.000) to protect against
Mr SMC Trading point
reversal.
6. Confirmation: Wait for bullish candle confirmation post-breakout or signals from other indicators for validation.
Please support boost this analysis
$EURUSD 4H Market Structure Analysis (READ CAPTION)Hi traders! Today 15 DECENBER 2k25 here is my FX:EURUSD chart please read it and send me your ideas in comment section for more analysis.
FX:EURUSD has recently shifted from a consolidation phase into a bullish market structure, confirmed by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside. Price has successfully exited a valid trading range, indicating a change in market sentiment from sellers to buyers.
Confirmed bullish BOS after range accumulation, Higher highs and higher lows forming.
As long as price remains above the support area, bullish continuation is favored
Healthy pullbacks into the support or pivot area may offer re-entry opportunities
A sustained break above 1.1950 increases the probability of a move toward 1.2050
Failure below 1.1650 would weaken the bullish bias and shift price back into range conditions.
After accumulation and BOS, price often retraces to mitigate institutional orders before expanding higher. Patience around key support zones is critical for high-probability setups.
Bullish Scenario:
Target 1): (1.18500)
Supply): (1.19500)
Resistance zone: (1.20500)
Support Area: (1.16500)
Please don't forget like and comment for more FX:EURUSD Analysis
This Analysis for informational purposes only. Trade is your own risk
Sharda Cropchem - Breakout from Long-Term DowntrendNSE:SHARDACROP
📈Pattern & Setup:
Sharda Cropchem is breaking out of a long-term descending trendline with confirmation from rising volume and a shakeout candle that signals smart money accumulation.
The stock recently showed a false breakdown near ₹880 (R1 zone), but quickly reclaimed it with a bullish follow-through — a classic sign of institutional demand. The breakout above ₹903–₹910 with a retest confirms strength, supported by a “Bullish” momentum bias and positive sector sentiment.
A sustained move above ₹945 (R2) could trigger momentum toward ₹1,015–₹1,060 in the coming sessions.
📝 Trade Plan:
Entry: Around ₹925–₹930 or on dips near ₹910 (trendline retest).
🚩Stop-Loss: ₹900 (below R1 support).
🎯Targets:
Target 1 → ₹945 (minor resistance, R2).
Target 2 → ₹1,015 (measured breakout target).
Target 3 → ₹1,060 (extended move, ~13% upside).
💡Pyramiding Strategy:
1. Enter first lot around ₹925.
2. Add above ₹945 breakout continuation with volume.
3. Trail SL to ₹910 once price sustains above ₹945.
🧠Logic Behind Selecting this Trade:
The shakeout + quick recovery pattern reflects accumulation by strong hands, followed by a confirmed breakout with trend alignment. Volume expansion and bullish sector rotation add conviction for continuation toward higher resistances.
Keep Learning. Keep Earning.
Let’s grow together 📚🎯
🔴Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always perform your own due diligence before making any investment or trading decisions.
#BreakoutStock #Stocks #Nifty #ShardaCropchem
BTCUSDT – Bearish Continuation After Channel DistributionPrice completed a corrective move inside an ascending channel after the impulsive selloff.
We’ve now rejected the upper structure and rolled over back below the EMA cluster, signaling trend continuation to the downside.
The rising channel acted as a bearish retracement, not a trend reversal.
Trade Plan (Short):
• Entry: 88,100 – 88,500 (rejection zone)
• Invalidation: Clean break & close above 90,100
• Targets:
1) 85,500
2) 83,000
3) 80,700 (main objective)
Confluence:
✔ Bearish market structure
✔ EMA resistance
✔ Channel breakdown
✔ Weak follow-through from buyers
As long as price remains below channel resistance and EMAs, shorts are favored.
Expect continuation once liquidity above the red zone is fully mitigated.
GBPUSD - time to buy nowGBPUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and struggled to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. GBPUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. Time to Buy GBPUSD now






















