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Trend Analysis

$MSTR undervalued in terms of $IBITThis is a ratio of NASDAQ:MSTR / NASDAQ:IBIT and the idea here is that NASDAQ:MSTR MicroStrategy is growing undervalued in terms of Bitcoin / NASDAQ:IBIT , and the ratio is about to take out an important low. This seems like an ideal time to consider a buy on NASDAQ:MSTR if you believe the Bitcoin bull market is not yet over, as it has been in a trend of underperformance, and could quickly shift back to outperformance if the Bitcoin bull market gets back underway. How you choose to trade this could take many forms, I mostly just wanted to raise awareness of the setup.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by easycators
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 11, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 11, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 CPI Day: August Consumer Price Index at 8:30 AM — the main macro print of the week. 🚩 ECB Decision: 8:15 AM ET — Europe’s call on rates adds global cross-asset volatility. 📉 Labor + growth mix: Jobless claims alongside CPI sharpen the Fed outlook. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:15 AM — ECB Rate Decision ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Consumer Price Index (CPI, Aug) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #CPI #ECB #inflation #Fed #jobs #bonds #economy
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
My next trade idea! 🔎 What we do: Identify high-probability setups Break down price action with clarity Focus on continuation plays, deviations, and market structure shifts Keep learning simple, practical, and effective ⚡ Today’s Trade Idea: Setup: Simple continuation play from demand OR a deviation play from the consolidation range. Entry Trigger: Waiting for a market structure change ✅ for confirmation before involvement. 💡 Mission: Helping traders build confidence, discipline, and a solid edge in the markets.
by Trade-Journal
Germany 40 – Bearish Outlook with ECB and US CPI in Focus🔥 Steal Profits with the Thief Strategy: Germany 40 CFD Bearish Setup 🚨 Asset: Germany 40 Index CFD (DAX)Trade Type: Swing/Scalping (Bearish Pending Order Plan)Date: September 11, 2025Current Price: 23,632.95 (-0.36% daily change) 💰 The Thief Strategy: Layered Precision for Profits The Thief Strategy is all about stealing profits with disciplined, layered sell limit orders. By targeting the 23,500 support zone breakout, we capitalize on bearish momentum with precision. This setup is perfect for scalpers and swing traders looking to ride the wave of macro-driven volatility. Set your TradingView alarms to catch the breakout! 🚨 🔹 Why This Works? Technical Edge: Price rejection at 23,800 + overbought RSI signals a potential drop. Macro Triggers: ECB policy (11 Sept) and US CPI data could fuel bearish moves. Sentiment: Fear-driven hedging and sector rotation (defense/energy outperforming tech). 📊 Market Snapshot (11 Sept 2025) Daily Change: -85.50 (-0.36%) 52-Week Range: 18,382.26 - 24,639.10 1-Year Performance: +29.38% 😨 Sentiment & Fear/Greed Index Retail Traders: 🟡 Cautious Mixed earnings: Siemens Energy (+4.57%), Rheinmetall (+3.29%) vs. SAP (-2.87%), Deutsche Telekom (-2.16%). Eyes on ECB policy and US CPI data. Institutional Traders: 🟠 Neutral to Slightly Bearish Defensive moves in chemicals/financials. Higher put/call ratios in options show hedging. Fear & Greed Index: Fear Elevated volatility from ECB/US data uncertainty. Bonds slightly outperforming stocks short-term. 📉 Fundamental & Macro Score Economic Data: German Inflation (Aug 2025): 2.2% Interest Rate: 2.15% Unemployment: 6.3% Score: 6/10 (Neutral) Corporate Performance: Top Gainers: Siemens Energy, Rheinmetall Top Losers: SAP, Deutsche Telekom Score: 5/10 (Mixed) Global Risks: EU tariff pressures (India/China). French political uncertainty. Score: 4/10 (Slightly Negative) 🐻 Overall Market Outlook Short-Term: Bearish Resistance at 23,800; downside risk if ECB delays rate cuts or US CPI spikes. Medium-Term: Neutral YoY +27.76%, but momentum slowing. Q3 2025 forecast: 23,412.92 (Trading Economics). 🎯 Thief Strategy: Bearish Layering Plan 🔹 Entry (Pending Sell Limit Orders): Layer 1: 23,650 Layer 2: 23,600 Layer 3: 23,550 Layer 4: 23,500 (Key Breakout Level ⚡) Pro Tip: Add more layers based on your risk tolerance. Confirm entry after a 23,500 breakout. Set a TradingView alarm at 23,500 to stay sharp! 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Place at 23,750 after breakout confirmation. Note: Dear Thief OG’s, adjust SL based on your strategy and risk. I’m not your boss—manage your risk, steal the profits! 💸 🔹 Take Profit (TP): Target 23,300 (strong support + oversold zone + potential bear trap). Note: Escape with your loot at your discretion. My TP is a guide—take profits at your own risk! 🔹 Risk Management: Risk 1-2% per trade. Use trailing stops during high-volatility events (e.g., ECB, US CPI). Avoid new trades during major news to dodge whipsaws. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 23,800 (immediate), 24,100 (strong). Support: 23,500 (breakout zone), 23,300 (target), 23,200 (deeper support). Breakout Confirmation: Daily close below 23,500 signals bearish continuation. 🌍 Related Pairs to Watch ( AMEX:USD ) FX:EURUSD ($): Bearish DAX may align with a stronger USD if US CPI surprises. Watch 1.1578 (current), support at 1.1254. FX:GBPUSD ($): Bullish at 1.3581; DAX drop could pressure GBP on risk-off sentiment. FX:USDJPY ($): Bearish correction at 144.09; monitor for risk-off flows impacting DAX. 📰 Key Events to Monitor ECB Announcement (11 Sept): Delayed rate cuts could push DAX lower. US CPI Data (11 Sept): Higher inflation may trigger global risk-off moves. Sector Rotation: Defense/energy (e.g., Rheinmetall) outperforming tech (e.g., SAP). 🚀 Why This Setup Steals the Show The Thief Strategy is built for precision and adaptability. Layered entries at 23,650–23,500 let you exploit the breakout with confidence, backed by macro signals (ECB, US CPI) and technical rejection at 23,800. This setup is designed to maximize engagement and visibility for scalpers and swing traders. Let’s steal those profits together! 💰 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #DAX #Germany40 #ThiefStrategy #Bearish #TradingView #Scalping #SwingTrading #ECB #USCPI
FOREXCOM:GER40Short
by The-Thief
AUDUSD Daily Forecast - Q3 | W37 | D11 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D11 | Y25 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
Potential bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 1.3579 1st Resistance: 1.3657 1st Support: 1.3461 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
DXY near or already end of downtrendDXY near or already end of downtrend Technical perspective DXY continues to hold above its 14-year ascending trendline, reinforcing the grand cycle uptrend. Price is consolidating above this support after a bullish divergence, with RSI suggesting reversal potential. However, in the short term, it may continue to move sideways, as indicated by parallel EMAs. A decisive close below the long-term support near 96.00 would shift sentiment sharply bearish. Macro perspective In the short term, USD is stabilizing as traders await August CPI data and the Fed’s policy decision, key drivers for DXY’s next move. Market sentiment could turn more bullish once the Fed’s rate cut is realized, as dovish expectations are fully priced in which could trigger a reversal. US Treasury yields have been declining, reflecting recovered demand for dollar-denominated assets. Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical tensions across multiple regions are reinforcing the USD’s role as the world’s most liquid safe-haven currency. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:DXYLong
by KrisadaYoonaisil
Amazon Meets Second Amendment?I'm not getting too much into the politics here, but suffice to say the shocking events of today has sent shockwaves through the US. What was particularly shocking was the manner in which it happened, during a debate about violence and ownership of arms. Cutting through the news at looking at the market, what does this mean? I for one believe that the civil unrest from this event could cause issues. I do pray this is not the case, but emotions are running high. Looking at a couple of charts here, I've had this on my watchlist I think you should keep an eye on it too. They call this the Amazon of guns in the US. It has the Trump family name attached to it, I believe his son helped bring this to market via a SPAC. It could be a real winner from this ugly scenario. Do what's best for you, not financial advice. Above all, be safe.
NYSE:PEWLong
by NoFOMO_
Silver Daily Channel After Breaking Above Major ResistanceI identified this channel at the beginning of August, and it has worked quite well for position trades to date. As daily fluctuations evolve, I may make minor adjustments to this channel using significant lows from the past, present, or future. The following is my August video explaining the construction of the channel: Micro Silver Futures Ticker: SIL Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
COMEX:SI1!Long
by konhow
NAS100 Trend Analysis: From Higher Highs to a Potential Shift📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Analysis 📊 Someone recently asked me to cover the NAS100 🤔 as price action can look a little confusing right now. On the 4H chart ⏰, we’ve been trending strongly 🟢📈 throughout the week. However, as we head into the end of the week 📅, things are starting to shift. Zooming into the 30M timeframe 🔍, price action is showing early signs of weakness ⚠️. We’ve had a high, then a higher high ⬆️, and now a lower high 🔽 — instead of a continuation of higher highs. In the video, we take a deep dive 🎥 into market structure 🏗️, price action 💡, and the trend 📊, highlighting what to watch out for as institutions and big players wind up or unwind positions 💼 into the week’s close. 💬 Your thoughts and comments are welcome! ⚠️ This is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
FX:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
WLDUSDT: Correction After Strong RallyOn the daily timeframe, WLD’s RSI is gradually declining, signaling a potential correction. On the hourly chart, RSI continues to fall toward 40, further confirming the corrective outlook. I expect WLD to extend its pullback toward the two support levels at $1.523 and $1.40. At the moment, I am looking for an exit price to close 50% of my WLD holdings to ensure safety. Disclosure: I am currently holding WLD, and this may influence my personal outlook. This analysis is for reference only and should not be considered financial advice.
by MeeCoin
USDJPY Zigzag Correction Likely to Fail Below 149The short-term Elliott Wave analysis for USDJPY indicates that the decline from the August 1, 2025, high is developing as a double three Elliott Wave structure. From that peak, wave ((w)) concluded at 146.2. The subsequent wave ((x)) rally formed another double three pattern at a lesser degree. Starting from wave ((w)), wave (w) reached 148.77, followed by a dip in wave (x) to 146.56. Wave (y) then climbed to 149.1, completing wave ((x)) at a higher degree. Currently, USDJPY has turned downward in wave ((y)). However, it must break below the wave ((w)) low at 146.2 to eliminate the possibility of a double correction in wave ((x)). The internal structure of wave ((y)) is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave pattern. From the wave ((x)) high, wave (a) ended at 146.3. Wave (b) is now rallying to correct the cycle from the September 3, 2025, high before resuming its downward trajectory. In the near term, as long as the pivot at 149.1 holds, expect any rally to falter in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, leading to further declines. The potential target for wave ((y)) lower lies within the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((w)), projecting a range of 141.5–144.4.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
GBPUSD BUY TRADE PLANGPUSD – Fresh Trade Plan (2025-09-11) 🆔 Plan ID: GBPUSD_2025-09-11_v1 Type: Intraday to Swing Direction: BUY (with-trend USD weakness) Confidence: 78% (supported by DXY breakdown + bullish structure) R:R: ~2.3:1 Status: Pending trigger ⸻ 📈 Market Bias & Type • Bias: WITH the trend – bullish continuation • Type: Breakout–pullback continuation play • Reason: GBPUSD holding bullish structure; DXY just broke lower with momentum; price consolidating near breakout levels. ⸻ 🔍 Market Map • HTF (D1): Price breaking out of multi-day consolidation; next upside magnet is July swing high (~1.3680). • H4: Bullish orderflow intact; recent breakout above 1.3540 zone. • H1: Momentum push followed by minor consolidation — no heavy rejection. ⸻ 🎯 Levels Card (Quick Action) Primary Setup (Higher Probability – With Trend Long) • Entry 01: 1.3540–1.3550 (retest of breakout zone / H4 demand) • Stop Loss: 1.3490 (below demand & structure low) • TP1: 1.3600 (psych level) • TP2: 1.3640 (H4 supply) • TP3: 1.3680 (July swing high) • Order Type: Limit buy on retest or market buy after bullish engulf confirmation • Session Focus: London / NY overlap Alternate Setup (Breakout Add-on) • Entry 02: 1.3605 (break & close above psych level with volume) • Stop Loss: 1.3575 • TP1: 1.3640 • TP2: 1.3680 ⸻ 📉 Risk & Money Management • Risk: Max 1% per setup (Primary & Alternate are separate plays, not stacked full risk) • Adjust size for partial fills; trail stops once TP1 is hit. ⸻ 🧭 Execution Checklist • ✅ DXY remains below 97.70 and shows no bullish engulf H1–H4 • ✅ GBPUSD retests 1.3540 zone or breaks 1.3600 with volume • ✅ Spread normal, no high-impact GBP/USD news within next hour
Long
by jibkhan111