Monday Short DE40 _German DAX
Shorting German Dax.
Seems that range price action, increased the odds of a short.
ShortTrend Analysis
Short
US30 Clear Breakout Done , 300 Pips Ready To Take !Here is my 4H Chart on US30 , We Have A Clear Breakout and the price closed above my old res and new support after more than 4 weeks the price respect the res and touch it and move to downside but for the first time the price closed above it with Daily And Weekly Candle and that prove it`s a real breakout and we have a very good bullish Price Action on 4H /Daily And Weekly T.F Also , the price will try to retest the area and if it give us a good bullish price action on smaller time frames we can enter a buy trade and we can targeting from 200 to 400 pips , if we have a daily closure again below my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Entry Reasons :
1- Clear Daily & Weekly Breakout .
2- Many T.F Confirmations .
3- Perfect Price Action .
4- Clear Bullish P.A .
Long
#LINK Just Broke Down – And This Move Can Get Ugly FastYello Paradisers! Are you really watching #LINKUSDT closely right now, or are you still pretending nothing serious has happened, even though the market has already made its decision? Let's view #ChainLink setup:
💎#LINK has already confirmed a bearish breakdown from the symmetrical triangle structure. Price lost the ascending support decisively and is now trading around $8.54, below the key structure that had been holding the market together. This breakdown did not happen randomly – it followed multiple weak attempts to push through the descending resistance, clearly showing exhaustion on the bullish side.
💎The structure was very clean: descending resistance + ascending support, and as always, once support gave way, sellers stepped in aggressively. The former support is now acting as resistance for #LINKUSD, which increases the probability that this move is not just a fake-out but a continuation to the downside.
💎With the breakdown already confirmed, the $8.00 demand zone is now under serious pressure. If price fails to reclaim it quickly, the next high-probability downside target becomes the key support around $7.15, where stronger buyers may finally attempt to slow the move. This level is critical and aligns with previous demand and liquidity resting below.
💎This bearish scenario is only invalidated if #LINK reclaims and holds above the resistance zone at $9.28. A clean acceptance above that level would trap late shorts and flip the structure back to bullish, opening the door for a recovery move. Until then, rallies should be treated as corrective and risky.
Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Short
Gold market remains Bullish , as the 2nd week Feb opens Gold opens the second week of February looking to complete unfinished price action stemming from last week’s hedge projection. With structure rebuilding and momentum stabilizing, the market is now positioned to cover the remaining imbalance toward the 5100’s, aligning with the broader bullish trajectory. follow for more insights and hedges on gold market , comment opinions , and boost idea , if you find this insight productive
Long
Euro Dollar - Smart Money Buys Below DiscountUsing Fibonacci's Allows Traders To Gauge Whether A Specific Market Is Trading In A Premium Or Discount.
Observing 1.18060 As The 1st Draw On Liquidity With 1.18012 - 1.17944 Being Deep Discount Price Ranges
Market Is In A Discount On The Daily However, Euro Is Trading Inside A Premium Range On The Hourly
This Presents Short-Term Opportunity For Those Who Scalp Or Even Day Trade.
Not As Juicy As British Pound (Check Out My Most Recent Post) But 10-20+ Pips Up For Grabs Is Still Enough To Pay The Bills!
Short
NZDUSD Breakout Incoming or Another Lower High Trap?NZDUSD has rallied straight back into a well-defined resistance and trendline compression zone, and this is exactly where clean trends either continue — or fail loudly. The bounce off support was strong, but the pair is still trading under descending structure, and the macro backdrop hasn’t really flipped in favor of sustained NZD strength yet. From my perspective, this is a decision area, not a momentum chase. Either we see acceptance above the ceiling and a squeeze higher, or this turns into a classic lower-high rejection with a rotation back into deeper demand.
Current Bias
Neutral to bearish
Short-term momentum is up, but price is testing a resistance cluster and descending structure. Unless price can break and hold above the upper resistance zone, the broader bias still favors rejection and another leg lower.
Key Fundamental Drivers
US side: US services PMI remains in expansion and policy is still restrictive. Even with softer ADP job growth, the Fed is not signaling fast easing — keeping USD supported on dips.
Fed expectations: Rate cuts are expected later, but timing is data-sensitive, especially inflation.
New Zealand side: NZ growth momentum remains soft relative to peers, with higher sensitivity to global risk and China-linked demand.
Risk sensitivity: NZD is one of the highest beta G10 currencies and struggles to outperform when global risk is mixed rather than trending.
Macro Context
Interest rate expectations: Fed on hold at restrictive levels; RBNZ tight but not shifting more hawkishly. Forward spread does not strongly favor NZD.
Economic growth trends: US activity is slowing but still expanding in services. China and Asia-linked demand signals are uneven — a headwind for NZD.
Commodity flows: No strong surge in soft commodities or global trade demand signals that would materially boost NZD.
Geopolitical themes: Elevated geopolitical tension keeps periodic safe-haven demand alive, indirectly favoring USD over high-beta currencies like NZD.
Primary Risk to the Trend
The biggest risk to the bearish bias is a broad USD selloff triggered by soft US CPI or weak labor data, which would compress yield expectations and fuel a breakout above resistance.
A strong global equity rally is the secondary upside risk for NZDUSD.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
US CPI
US labor market releases
China inflation and activity data
RBNZ communication
These will drive rate spread expectations and risk appetite — both critical for NZD.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
NZDUSD is a clear lagger pair.
It typically follows:
AUDUSD direction
Equity indices and global risk tone
Broad USD moves led by EURUSD
It can influence:
NZD crosses like NZDJPY and EURNZD after the move is already underway.
It reacts more than it leads.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
0.5950 zone — near-term structure support
0.5850 area — secondary support band
0.5710–0.5720 major lower demand zone
Resistance Levels:
0.6060–0.6090 resistance zone (trendline + prior highs)
Above 0.6090 opens room for a squeeze leg higher
Stop Loss (SL):
Above 0.6090 for bearish setup invalidation
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 0.5950
TP2: 0.5850
TP3: 0.5710 area
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
NZDUSD is pressing into a heavy resistance and descending structure zone, and my bias stays neutral to bearish unless we see clean acceptance above 0.6090. The macro backdrop still leans USD-supportive with the Fed on hold and US services holding up, while NZD remains growth- and risk-sensitive. The key invalidation for the bearish view sits above the 0.6090 breakout area. Downside targets sit at 0.5950, then 0.5850 and potentially 0.5710 if risk sentiment weakens. The main event risk is US CPI — that print likely decides whether this becomes a breakout continuation or a lower-high rejection.
Short
GBPJPY: Look To Buy After CorrectionMarket Structure
• Prior strong bullish leg → created buy-side liquidity above the highs
• Sell-side liquidity swept into the HL / strong low
• From that sweep, price delivered bullish displacement + BOS
• We are now in a bullish corrective phase inside a larger range
🟢Entry: 212.90 – 213.20
SL: Below 211.70 (below strong low)
TP1: 214.00
TP2: 214.50
TP3: 215.00 (buy-side liquidity sweep)
Alternative — Breakout Continuation (Only if no pullback)
Conditions (must all align):
• M15 close above 214.10
• Strong bullish displacement candle
• No immediate rejection wicks
Entry: Buy breakout or retest of 214.00–214.10
SL: Below 213.50
TP1: 214.80
TP2: 215.20
Only trades to take:
✔ Pullback into demand with confirmation
✔ Clean breakout with displacement
Anything else = patience.
Long
Second week of FebruarySecond week of February
The attempt to get higher liquidity continues at the beginning of the week.
In the middle of the week, with some news, all the liquidity from the previous months' lows will be taken, and perhaps in the third week the market will take a big step towards getting a ceiling.
It goes without saying that indicators have a habit of surprising traders and the algorithm may go to the lows from the beginning of the week without any correction and surprise everyone!
Although that daily order block is not violated so easily...
Long
ETHUSD Trend Shift: Bullish CHoCH from Demand ZoneETHUSD on the 2H timeframe is coming out of a strong descending channel after tapping a clear demand zone near the lows. The market printed a bullish CHoCH (change of character), signaling a potential short-term trend reversal. Price is now consolidating around the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting early accumulation, with upside room toward the first resistance/target area around the 2,400 zone. Overall bias shifts from strong bearish momentum to a cautious bullish recovery while price holds above the demand base.
Long
XAUUSD: Latest Trading Strategy📢 Gold extended Friday's gains at Monday's open. The previous pullback and correction have temporarily come to an end. The market is expected to continue moving higher in a volatile manner. We don't need to overcomplicate our trades; simply follow the market trend and keep going long.
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Long
Ethereum (ETH): Struggle Near $2000 | Might Fall To $1,500The bigger picture might seem clear but would not put all my bets on downside movement yet, not until the Monday has passed.
Now, as we had a decent dip recently, which completely broke the neckline zone and established a downside trend for the short term, we are on a new weekly opening, which might be just a "bloody Monday" syndrome.
Which usually comes after the bigger dip and is meant to lead people into thinking that prices will keep dipping more, so the game plan here is simple. We might see a further dip here but we would like to see a re-test of the neckline before falling to $1500.
So as long as the price is below the neckline, this is the game plan we will be going by.
Swallow Academy
Short
Report 9/2/26Macro & Geopolitical Report
Report Summary:
This report assesses the market impact of a new AI-disruption shock that repriced software and “information intermediary” business models, occurring alongside a sharp index rebound that paradoxically increased investor nervousness rather than restoring confidence. The central thesis is that markets have shifted from trading “AI = capex boom” to trading “AI = competitive compression,” and that this change is happening while the macro backdrop still carries policy-regime uncertainty and higher volatility in rates and FX. The next 1–4 weeks are likely to remain headline-driven and dispersion-heavy, with index levels masking fragile internals as investors rotate between duration, defensives, cyclicals, and hedges.
What happened and why it matters now
The catalyst was a rapid change in perception about how quickly AI agents can move from assistance to execution inside enterprise workflows. Investors interpreted the new agent-and-plug-in narrative as a credible threat to parts of the software stack and to certain data/information services that rely on being the “middle layer” between user intent and task completion. That matters because it attacks a key pillar of equity valuation: the assumption that high-margin software revenues are structurally durable and deserve premium multiples. When durability is questioned, the first move is multiple compression, the second move is earnings revisions, and the third move (if it develops) is credit transmission through private markets and levered software exposures.
The sharp rebound that followed did not “solve” the problem; it changed the microstructure. Fast rebounds in a regime of uncertainty often reflect mechanical flows—systematic re-risking, short covering, and index liquidity preference—rather than genuine fundamental clarity. When that happens, investors become more nervous because they can feel the market’s sensitivity to positioning: it can rip higher without resolving the underlying questions, which increases the perceived probability of sudden air pockets.
Market reaction and positioning signal
The defining signal is rotation rather than capitulation. Software and adjacent “information work” exposures repriced on disruption risk, while the index-level tape recovered via breadth trades and rotation into areas perceived as less exposed to near-term AI substitution or more linked to “physical economy” cash flows. This combination—sector drawdowns inside a stabilizing index—usually indicates that portfolios are being rebuilt defensively rather than re-levered aggressively.
The second signal is that hedging demand remains elevated even after the rebound. That suggests the market is paying for protection against a second leg: either an earnings-reset in software, a rates-volatility shock linked to policy regime uncertainty, or a growth scare if labor data weakens faster than expected. In practical terms, it means the rebound is being treated as tradable, not trustworthy.
Macro transmission mechanism
This episode transmits through two primary channels that reinforce each other. The first is the earnings-quality channel: AI agent adoption risk threatens software pricing power, renewal strength, and seat growth, which compresses multiples and increases dispersion across business models. The second is the discount-rate channel: when policy uncertainty rises (especially around the perceived reliability of the policy backstop), term premium and real-rate volatility tend to rise, which directly pressures long-duration equities and any asset priced on far-out cash flows.
A third, secondary channel is FX and global liquidity. When the market’s confidence in discount-rate stability fades, FX can become a volatility amplifier: USD can rally on stress as the funding currency, or soften if investors interpret U.S. policy volatility as a longer-run negative. Either way, unstable FX adds noise to commodities, EM financial conditions, and global risk appetite.
Political and fiscal implications
Policy risk is no longer just “will the Fed cut”; it is increasingly “what kind of Fed and what kind of reaction function,” which markets treat as structurally more destabilizing. A transition narrative that implies less willingness to cushion markets—or a greater emphasis on balance-sheet discipline—raises the required risk premium for assets that depend on stable liquidity. That can create a regime where equities grind higher in nominal terms, but the internal cost of capital rises and leadership becomes narrower.
Fiscal dynamics amplify sensitivity. Large refinancing needs and persistent deficits increase the market’s dependence on stable term premium. If term premium rises, it tightens conditions broadly and can convert a “tech narrative” shock into a macro shock through higher discount rates and reduced credit availability—especially for levered or private-market exposures tied to software cash flows.
Strategic forecast: base case and pivot points
The base case for the next 2–6 weeks is range-bound indices with persistent dispersion. The initial AI shock fades into a more analytical phase, but it leaves a valuation scar: the market will demand more proof of moat and pricing power before re-awarding peak multiples to the most exposed business models. In this base case, index levels can hold up, but leadership rotates frequently as investors oscillate between “growth resilience” and “discount-rate risk.”
The upside case is “agents are additive, adoption is slower, and moats hold,” combined with stable rates volatility. That supports multiple repair and restores confidence in growth leadership. The downside case is “agents compress pricing and renewals,” while policy uncertainty keeps term premium elevated. That combination produces a two-factor squeeze: earnings expectations soften while discount rates become less friendly, creating a higher probability of air pockets and forced de-grossing.
The most important pivot points are early evidence of software pricing pressure and renewal behavior, and the behavior of long-end yields during equity drawdowns. If equities fall and yields do not fall meaningfully, it signals structural tightening in financial conditions, which is the regime that breaks “buy the dip” reflexes.
Asset impact section
XAUUSD (Gold)
Gold is functioning primarily as a regime hedge rather than a pure inflation hedge. If the market interprets policy as credibility-positive and real yields rise, gold can face tactical headwinds. But if the AI shock keeps equity volatility high, or if policy uncertainty widens the distribution of macro outcomes, gold tends to regain bid as insurance. In the base case, expect gold to trade in two steps: weakness during dollar/real-yield spikes, stabilization as portfolios rebuild convex protection.
S&P 500
The S&P is caught between index-level resilience (helped by liquidity and breadth rotations) and valuation pressure from discount-rate uncertainty and business-model doubt in software-heavy components. In the base case, the index can chop sideways while leadership shifts toward cash-flow durability and pricing power. The main risk is that the disruption narrative migrates from multiples into earnings revisions and then into credit—at which point index downside becomes less controllable.
Dow Jones
The Dow is acting as a “rotation scoreboard.” When investors fear discount-rate volatility, they typically prefer nearer-term cash flows and tangible pricing power, which can help Dow-style exposures outperform on a relative basis. The risk is that if financial conditions tighten enough to slow real activity, the Dow’s cyclical sensitivity shows up and relative outperformance becomes “less bad” rather than “good.”
USDJPY
USDJPY is now primarily a rates-volatility plus risk-sentiment pair. If U.S. real yields and term premium stay elevated, USDJPY tends to remain supported. But in true deleveraging events, the yen can strengthen abruptly via carry unwind and hedging demand, producing sharp downside. In the base case, expect trend pressure punctuated by sudden reversals—making position sizing and timing more important than directional conviction.
DXY
DXY is the confidence gauge for this entire episode. If the market prices the U.S. as the stable anchor during volatility, DXY firms and tightens global financial conditions, which pressures commodities and high-beta risk. If the market starts pricing U.S. policy volatility as the problem, DXY rallies become less durable and can fade even during choppy risk. In this setup, the durability of DXY strength matters more than single-day moves.
Crude Oil
Crude is being pulled by growth sensitivity (risk-off demand concerns) and the persistent geopolitical option value embedded in energy markets. The AI shock can cap demand expectations at the margin via financial-condition tightening, but any geopolitical incident can still re-inflate front-end risk premium quickly. In the base case, oil is range-bound with an embedded upside tail; downside tends to be grindy, upside tends to be gap-like.
Closing synthesis
The central takeaway is that this is a business-model repricing plus discount-rate uncertainty regime. The index can remain resilient, but the market underneath is fragile because investors are simultaneously questioning earnings durability in software and the stability of the discount-rate anchor. The most reliable tells remain breadth quality, the behavior of real yields during equity drawdowns, and whether DXY strength persists or fails.
Gold 4H🧠 Market Structure
Price is currently moving in a sideways consolidation after a strong bearish move followed by a recovery.
EMA 9 & EMA 15 are flat and tight → indicating low momentum & upcoming volatility expansion.
Market is trading inside a mid-range zone, not at premium or discount extremes.
🔴 Supply / FVG Zone
5239 – 5400
Major imbalance area
Previous aggressive selling pressure
High probability liquidity reaction zone
📌 Expect:
Liquidity grab
Fake breakout possibility
Strong volatility if tapped
🟢 Resistance
5000 Psychological Level
EMA cluster acting as dynamic resistance
Break & hold above required for bullish continuation
⚪ Demand Zone
4650 – 4700
Institutional reaction zone
Potential bullish mitigation area
Liquidity resting below
🟥 Major Support
4400
Structure invalidation level
Break = bearish continuation scenario
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price:
Closes strongly above 5000
Holds above EMA cluster
Shows increased volume
Targets:
5239 FVG
Possible continuation toward 5500 – 5590 liquidity zone
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price:
Rejects from 5000 resistance
Fails to hold EMA support
Breaks demand zone
Targets:
4650 liquidity sweep
Possible continuation toward 4400 support
⚠️ Market Conditions (Fundamental Drivers)
Recent gold volatility driven by:
Extreme precious-metal price swings and investor uncertainty
Analysts increasing bullish gold forecasts due to global instability
Strong central bank demand & bullish long-term projections toward $6100–$6300
High geopolitical tensions & policy uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand
🧾 Summary
Market currently in compression phase
Major move expected after breakout
Mid-range trading risky — wait for zone reactions
Bias remains macro bullish but technically neutral
USDCAD – Sell Trade IdeaWhy new lows may be difficult 📉❌
• USD still has a strong base 🏦
Even with short-term weakness, the US economy is still growing better than most peers. This keeps longer-term demand for the dollar alive.
• Fed cuts are expected, not aggressive ⚖️
Rate cuts are already priced in. Unless US data collapses, the USD may stabilize rather than keep falling.
• Inflation risks could return 🔥
Higher tariffs and government spending later in the year could push US inflation back up, forcing the Fed to stay cautious — this supports USD.
• Canada’s economy is not firing on all cylinders ⚠️
Manufacturing is weak and growth is uneven. This limits how strong CAD can get.
• BoC is cautious, not hawkish 🛑
The Bank of Canada is holding rates, but not signaling strong hikes yet. That reduces CAD’s upside momentum.
• CAD gains may fade after initial strength 🔄
Once the USD pullback plays out, CAD may struggle to push price much lower.
Bottom line 🧠
This is why the short makes sense for a pullback, but not a major breakdown.
Short
NZD/USD Builds Momentum As Bulls Target Fresh GainsMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Builds Momentum As Bulls Target Fresh Gains
NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.6060.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5995 pivot zone.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6030 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from 0.5930. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.5950 barrier to start the recent rally against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 0.6000 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6060 swing high to the 0.5928 low.
However, the bears are now protecting the 76.4% Fib retracement at 0.6030. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6030. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is still above 50.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 0.5995 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. The first key zone for the bulls sits at 0.5930.
The next key level is 0.5900. If there is a downside break below 0.5900, the pair might slide toward 0.5865. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD into a bearish zone to 0.5820.
On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.6030. The next major resistance is near the 0.6060 zone. A clear move above 0.6060 might even push the pair toward 0.6090. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6120 zone in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Short
GBP/JPY will complete a bearish Butterfly at 216.18GBP/JPY continues to trade near the 209-month swing high (215.99). The cross posted mixed results for the last four days, highlighting indecision at current levels.
The single currency baskets suggest buying GBP. Although there is a bias to buy JPY, it is at much lower levels. This indicates that the downside move in GBP/JPY is corrective.
Support is currently located at 212.63.
We will complete a bearish Butterfly formation at 216.18
Conclusion: there is no clear indication that the upward move has ended. The focus remains on 216.18
Long
GBPUSD Technical Analysis (H1)GBPUSD is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a short-term bearish trend on the 1-hour timeframe. Price action continues to respect the channel structure, with lower highs and lower lows clearly visible.
After a corrective pullback toward the upper boundary of the descending channel, the price has failed to gain bullish momentum and is showing signs of rejection near resistance. This area also aligns with a previous minor supply zone, strengthening the bearish bias.
Bias
As long as price remains below the descending channel resistance and below 1.36350, the bearish outlook remains valid. A confirmed break below 1.35540 is expected to accelerate selling pressure toward 1.34780 and potentially lower levels.
Short
Bearish reversal setup?Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3723
1st Support: 1.3484
1st Resistance: 1.3926
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Short
AMZN — Post-Earnings Structure & Options Context (Feb 9–13)AMZN is still digesting its post-earnings move, and the structure tells a very clear story: this is no longer a trending environment, but it’s also not breaking down aggressively. Price is stabilizing after a sharp selloff and transitioning into a controlled recovery phase.
Higher-Timeframe Structure (1H)
On the 1-hour chart, AMZN put in a strong impulsive drop from the 240s, followed by a clean base near the 195–200 demand zone. Buyers stepped in decisively there, and price has since been grinding higher in a shallow ascending structure.
That bounce, however, is running into descending resistance from the prior breakdown. Until price can reclaim that upper structure, this remains a recovery inside a larger bearish context, not a full trend reversal.
Intraday Structure (15m)
The 15-minute chart shows a sequence of BOS events off the lows, followed by a minor CHoCH as price moved into resistance. That tells me buyers are active, but momentum is starting to slow as supply steps back in.
Right now, 210–215 is acting as the decision zone. Price is compressing here, which usually precedes either continuation or rotation back toward support.
GEX & Options Positioning
From the GEX view, AMZN is sitting below a heavy call resistance cluster around 220–235, with the strongest positive gamma positioned overhead. That suggests upside may be mechanically capped unless price can push and hold above these call walls.
On the downside, put support is concentrated around 200–197, aligning closely with the demand zone that sparked the bounce. If price slips back below 205, dealer positioning favors a quicker move lower rather than a slow drift.
Key Levels
Resistance
* 215–217: Near-term supply / rejection zone
* 222–235: Major call resistance and gamma wall
Support
* 205–202: First structural support
* 200–197: Major demand and put support
Scenarios
Bullish continuation
Acceptance above 217, followed by a clean push through 220, would open the path toward 230–235, but that move likely needs strong participation and volume.
Range / consolidation
Failure to break above 215 keeps AMZN rotating between 205–215, favoring patience and mean-reversion trades rather than momentum chasing.
Bearish continuation
A loss of 202 would weaken the recovery structure and bring the 200–197 zone back into play quickly.
So what i see here is AMZN is in a repair phase, not a chase zone. Let price show its hand at 215. Above it, there’s room — below it, respect the range. This is a structure-first market, not a headline-driven one.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects personal market observations, not financial advice.
CENTRUS: $260 | Produces HALEU 6mt/a
Mining is phase1
CENTRUS is PHASE 2
the single point leverage in the uranium play
the gate keeper in enriched uranium to produce HALEU
std commercial reactors LEU is 5%
haleu --> 19.75% much higher efficiency more power per unit
required by modular reactor for next generation
it produces for DOE for its TESTing nuclear reactors
a bit of a monopoly in its sector
with DOE funding secured already earmarked
AUDCADPrice pushed up hard into a marked 30M EXTREME POI (supply / resistance zone).
That area is likely where sellers step in.
expecting a drop from there.
Below 15M EXTREME POI (demand / support zone) as a possible target.
Structure before that shows:
Lower highs (LH)
Breaks of structure (BOS)
Meaning: the market has shown bearish behavior before
Short
NQSDAQ 100 Futures: the odds for a bearish wave aheadanalysis per time frame:
shows signs for downside wave that just started.
shows clear trading range, with mild preference to the sellers.
shows pattern that prefers selling the bounces which shows more corrective nature within the bigger picture, bounces that does not represent a pure bullish trend up to the weekly time frame.
trading strategy: the 1D and 4H charts showing price clusters that does not require wide price movement to get firm evidence that trying the positional short strategy is wrong. personally, I do not see a reason to be stubborn about the short side. it is pure Risk/Reward ratio that prefers to try shorts during this week, to sell bounces on the 4H chart. targets to the downside off the daily chart are the recent 2 lows, followed by lower prices showing on the weekly chart through the Fibonacci drawn on the weekly chart and 200 DMA with NASDAQ:NDX and not the NQ.
pay attention to the moving averages ribbon as showing on the daily chart.
all in all, downside target is under 23800 and failure of the resistance cluster to hold as showing on the 4H chart to open the way for 26600 and higher.
good luck, in case you need to clarify a certain point, do not hesitate to contact me. I would love to help you if possible.
happy trading !
Short