TAO: Bull Trap Confirmed?The recent price action has pushed TAO exactly where we wanted it: into a premium supply zone. This rally is simply a retest of previous resistance and a liquidity grab before the continuation of the macro downtrend.
We are treating this pump as an opportunity to enter a short position with a much better Risk/Reward ratio. The market structure remains bearish on higher timeframes, and we are forming a potential Lower High here.
The Trade Setup:
Price has entered the rejection block (red box). We are positioning short here.
Direction: SHORT
Stop Loss: 161.78 (Strict invalidation above the supply block).
Target: 138.54 (Return to the lows).
Technical Note:
The 158 - 161 area is heavy resistance. If bulls fail to close a 4H candle above this zone, the rejection will likely be swift. We expect a rotation back down toward the purple support line (141.93) and eventually the full target at 138.54.
Sell the rally. Trade safe.
Trend Analysis
Technical Analysis: Access Engineering PLCAs of February 2026, the technical outlook for Access Engineering (AEL) shows a stock that has demonstrated significant long-term growth, with a 1-year return of approximately 86% and a 5-year return of 185%.
Key Technical Indicators
Price Momentum: The stock exhibits strong price momentum with a market capitalization of roughly LKR 71 billion.
Trend Analysis: Historically, the stock has followed a clear uptrend. In late 2024, technical patterns showed the formation of a "Higher High" at 31.80 followed by a retracement, suggesting typical consolidation within a bullish cycle.
Support & Reversals: Analysts previously identified possible reversal zones around 29.80, utilizing Fibonacci levels to confirm support during pullbacks.
Volatility: Weekly volatility has remained relatively stable at approximately 3% over the past year, indicating consistent price action compared to the broader market.
Market Position & Outlook
Valuation: The current Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 11.29x, which is lower than the broader LK market average of 13.3x, potentially suggesting a more attractive entry point relative to earnings.
Supply & Demand: The stock has benefited from an improving investor sentiment as the construction sector rebounded in 2024, though it faces occasional overvaluation alerts when price exceeds intrinsic value significantly.
Dividends: AEL maintains a dividend yield of approximately 2.8% to 2.9%, providing a steady return component for long-term holders.
TSLA - Not looking greatTSLA idea: trend break + bear flag under MAs (sell-the-rip until proven otherwise)
Tesla lost the major uptrend line and keeps getting rejected under the moving averages — that’s not “dip buy” behavior, that’s overhead supply.
Key map
Pivot / chop shelf: ~420
Line in the sand: 410.9 (LOD)
Downside magnets: 387.5 (BoS) → 379.3
If 379 fails: air pocket toward ~300 target zone
Invalidation / bull reclaim ladder: 429 → 436 → 442
(Reclaim + hold = shorts back off. Bigger trend repair near ~470.)
Plan
While below 429–442, I’m treating pops as rallies to sell.
A clean break/acceptance under 410.9 opens the path to 387/379.
Bulls need to reclaim 442+ to change the character.
Not financial advice — just levels + structure.
MYM 1 HOUR DEMAND Trade A — Summary
1H Rally-Base-Rally demand formed after trendline removal, signaling a shift in order flow. Fresh zone with strong imbalance and clear continuation, traded on first retest using set & forget rules.
Trade B — Summary
After price tapped into Daily demand, a fresh 1H demand zone formed following trend removal. HTF bullish control confirmed with clean Rally-Base-Rally structure and strong imbalance, executed via limit entry on first retest.
GOLD, Consolidation Before the Next Breakout?Gold shook out weak buyers, but the broader structure remains intact.
Dollar strength drove the latest drop, not a structural breakdown.
The market still anticipates rate cuts this year.
That keeps medium term bias supportive for gold.
Volatility is expanding.
CPI can accelerate the next move.
A soft reading can fuel upside momentum quickly.
A sustained break above 4990 can attract momentum buyers.
If price builds acceptance above 5100, the path toward 5240 becomes very realistic.
As long as higher time frame structure holds, dips remain opportunities within trend.
A clear loss of 4800 would invalidate the bullish scenario and shift focus lower.
Stay focused on how price reacts at key levels.
I want to hear your opinion in the comments.
If you liked the idea, show your support.
ctlpopa
BTCUSD Short/Sell SignalBitcoin (BTC/USD) – Tactical Short/Sell Positioning Framework
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently presenting a compelling short-side opportunity as the structure unfolds. After multiple failed attempts to sustain momentum above the $110,000 handle, price action has carved out a sequence of lower highs and retests of the same horizontal zone, a classic sign of weakening bullish conviction and potential distribution at elevated levels.
The current chart reveals several critical dynamics:
1. Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management Discipline)
A prudent protective stop (SL) I have set at $112,800, just above recent resistance. This ensures adverse upside volatility is capped while preserving favorable risk-to-reward asymmetry.
2. Initial Breakdown Trigger
Bitcoin’s repeated interactions with the 200-day moving average highlight the significance of this level as both psychological and structural support. A clean break beneath it could catalyze accelerated downside flows, inviting systematic selling and liquidations.
3. Downside Targets (Profit Objectives)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $100,070
This marks the first tactical support level, aligning with prior consolidation and offering a conservative initial profit capture.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $89,566
A more ambitious level, representing the mid-range support where prior accumulation took place. A breach of this zone would likely confirm a broader bearish continuation pattern.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): $76,193
The ultimate downside objective in this framework, corresponding to deep structural support. Achieving this would imply a full retracement of the bullish leg initiated earlier in the year.
4. Strategic Interpretation
This sequence of measured downside targets aligns with a tiered scaling-out methodology, ensuring that profits are progressively locked in as price declines. Such an approach maximizes capital efficiency while allowing flexibility to ride the broader bearish trend should momentum persist.
My Conclusion
The technical confluence of repeated resistance rejection, weakening market structure, and clear downside liquidity targets positions Bitcoin as a sophisticated short candidate at current levels. Risk is well-contained above $112,800, while downside projections toward $100K, $89.5K, and ultimately $76K create a compelling asymmetric opportunity.
TTWO Buy/LongTTWO with the release of GTA VI being released this year as promised by the CEO I pray to God for all of us to see $300+ minimum when it is released however this is the PERFECT buying opportunity for all traders and investors alike who wish to see massive growth in their portfolio. I strongly recommend purchasing TTWO as the stock has plummeted 20-22% just this last month alone with a very nice W pattern structure occurring to this as well it looks like it is about to go to the sky with my target profits being posted in the chart if you would like to study, analyze, and position yourself in. I am NOT setting a stop loss for this trade simply due to the fact I strongly believe in this company as I have cherished many of their games so have all of us in the past with strong titles such as GTA, Bully, RDR, Mafia, 2K, and many many other big IPs. This is something everyone will want to profit off on. Please send me a message if you have any concerns or opinions on my stock pick analysis as I will be posting much more diversified from FX, stocks, futures, crypto, and much more trading charts in the following weeks. God bless in Jesus name I pray for all of us to profit as much as possible from this market AMEN!
GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD retraced with strong bullish pullback into premium after discount reaction. Structure remains bearish overall, and 3H horizontal supply is likely to be mitigated again. Expect rejection from supply and continuation toward sell-side liquidity below.Time Frame 3H.
Sell!
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USDJPY Ready to drop?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
$FSLY This isn't a CDN play anymoreNASDAQ:FSLY This isn't a CDN play anymore. Agentic AI traffic growing 3x faster than human traffic — and every one of those requests routes through edge infrastructure. First year of profitability, 23% revenue growth, and we're still in the infancy of autonomous web agents. Perpetual hold territory. 🐂
QQQ Weekly ChartCurrently QQQ is in a 3M IB. The target area at the moment is the low at $580. Once this is swept, we should look to trade back into the 3M IB looking at a failure of the .25-.50 Quadrant of the IB; this should bring us further down. Trading past the .50 area of the IB quadrant indicates bullishness.
If bearish, the target then becomes the Golden Zone of the range, which is the 3M OB (starting at April). The Golden Zone has confluence with the OB quadrant (.75-.50 area) which we should see some serious price movement to the upside. A failure of this .75-.50 zone will indicate bearishness, which means we could see further downside movement.
Expiry’s for June + (slightly OTM or ATM) should provide safe returns.
BTC/USD: Bearish Momentum Continues – Watching for Re-entryStrategy:
Bias: Bearish (Price below EMA50 & Mid BB).
Entry Zone: Looking for a Re-entry Sell at the MA5/10 High if price retraces.
Confirmation: Wait for a CSD (Candle Direction) sell on lower timeframes (H4/H1) once it hits the Daily MA5/10 High.
Target: Primary target at the recent low/Support level of $58,967.
Invalidation: If a daily candle closes above the Mid BB, the bearish BBMA setup is void.
Bitcoin weekly & EMA55 —Above $90,000 confirmedWe are now looking at Bitcoin on the daily timeframe, same chart. Notice EMA55, how it produced a strong rejection leading to three consecutive weeks closing red.
This week is the fourth week. It started red but it is uncertain if it will close red or green, which is irrelevant as we are going up.
Last week produced a long lower shadow. The low was $60,000 but the close was $70,330. A huge difference.
The same this week. A long lower shadow reaching $65,118 yet all selling has been bought already as prices continue to climb. This week has a higher low compared to last week; bullish.
Support was challenged on multiple fronts. The previous bull market all-time highs, April and November 2021, Fib. levels, etc. Bitcoin moved below these just to recover.
It was a brutal crash but it is now over.
This chart calls for a move toward EMA55. The same level that worked as resistance needs to be tested again to see if it holds or breaks. The same EMA377 daily analysis but on a bigger timeframe.
Just as it took weeks for Bitcoin to cover a space from $98,000 toward $60,000; It can take several weeks for Bitcoin to cover the distance between $60,000 toward $100,000. It can take a while before any major correction shows up.
Will there be a bearish continuation once the next move reaches its end?
It depends. If we get a higher high on the current move, higher than $100,000, the bear market being over will be confirmed. If we get a lower high... Oh well, things can get bad but we have to wait and see (the bear market is already over—higher high next). The market is turning green today.
Today is a special day.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Hitting Extreme Demand. XRPHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we’re looking at XRP.
As I get back to publishing articles, XRP is one that we need to touch on. It seems I may be a day late.
As expected there are big players in the extreme demand zone. This is a great area to add to the long term, or to play this shorter term trade.
Entry 1.91
Exit 2.50
SL 1.71
You can take partials right below the new aggressor.
If you stand bullish, you can hold to near highs.
Boost and Follow for more.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
ETH is gearing for a big move.Hello I cam TheCafeTrader!
Today we are taking a look at ETH.
Volatility and the dissapointed failed run Q3-Q4 of 2025 may have turned alot of you off to the crypto markets.
I am writing this to argue differently.
I think we may see the crypto markets break into ATH's 2026-2027.
Here are a couple factors to consider.
1 Support has been solid.
2 This is a great risk to reward price point.
3 The shape of the price action suggests Strength not Weakness.
This would be a 6-18 month hold. But I do think that we see ATH's.
The chart shows an entry off the top of demand, but with how aggressive this looks, I don't know if we will get that entry.
Because of this, I am going to enter 50% position size now, and then another 50% reach 3,000
Entry 3150, 3000
SL 2670
TP 1 4,684
TP 2 7,000 - 10,000
I hope you enjoyed reading, make sure to check out the other articles for 2026!
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
Gold Market Key Zones CPI Move and Resistance WatchGold is in a corrective phase after recent volatility. Earlier, price reacted from a strong supply zone near 5090–5120, where sellers dominated. The market then declined sharply and found support around 4900–4950, creating a short-term demand area. CPI news lifted price from 4966 to 5047, showing buying strength, but resistance around 5045–5090 may cap gains. Immediate support is at 4950. A break below can push price toward 4920 or lower demand zone. A sustained close above 5090 can target 5120+. Market shows recovery within a range; if resistance holds, gold may resume selling. Traders should monitor levels and manage risk carefully.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy
As I said in my previous signals and analysis, Bitcoin's fall occurred exactly according to my analysis. (I hope you used and enjoyed my previous signals and analysis)
Now what is the next move for Bitcoin in my opinion?
Considering the demand area that Bitcoin is confirming and the PRZ area and the important one, Bitcoin is likely to rise from the price range of $60,000 to $70,000 to the area of $103,000 to $109,000.
On the other hand, we are witnessing the formation of the Quasimodo "QM" pattern in the RMT style, and from the ICT point of view, we are witnessing CHOCH, and considering the LIT style and observing IDM, we can say that this structure can be the continuation of Bitcoin's movement. That is, the rise to areas above $100,000 and then continuing to fall towards $30,000.
I have identified important demand areas for you in higher time frames.
I have indicated for you the type of movement it can make from the specified areas with PATH arrows.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including Dow and Wyckoff theories, as well as market structure and Quasimodo pattern in RTM style with a combination of ICT and LIT styles.
Get the necessary confirmations to enter the trade from this analysis based on your strategy and style.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
You are responsible for the transactions and I am not responsible for your failure to comply with risk and capital management.
💬 Note: This is only a possibility and this analysis, like many other analyses, may be violated. Given the specific conditions of Bitcoin, it cannot be said with certainty that this will happen and this is just a view based on the RTM and ICT style and strategy with other analytical styles, including the liquidity style.
Be successful and profitable.
Review the result of my previous analysis of Bitcoin:
Smart Money Loading? MSFT Dip Signals High-Probability BounceMSFT QuantSignals V4 Swing 2026-02-12
📊 Signal: 🟢 Bullish Mean-Reversion
⏳ Horizon: Swing (2–4 Weeks)
Alpha Score: 78
Risk Grade: MEDIUM
🎯 Trade Plan
Direction: BUY CALLS
Contract: $410 Call (Mar 13 expiry)
Entry Zone: $8.50 – $9.50
Target 1: $13.50 (+50%)
Target 2: $18.00 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $5.50 (-40%)
🧠 Setup Logic
RSI near 27 → deeply oversold, signaling potential institutional dip-buying.
Forward P/E vs ~60% earnings growth suggests a valuation disconnect.
AI infrastructure narrative (Azure demand) supports a rebound once selling pressure fades.
Liquidity gap points toward a fast move if price reclaims the $400–$406 zone.
⚡ Execution Trigger
Daily close below $392.32 support → recovery thesis likely invalid.
Broad tech selloff could override the setup.
BTCUSD 15M | Support Hold Aiming for 69.9K BreakoutStructure Overview:
Clear ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows.
Strong impulsive breakout toward 68.8K.
Current price consolidating above support (68.5K–68.6K zone).
Bullish continuation likely if support holds.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry: 68,500–68,600 (support retest area)
Stop Loss: Below 68,100 (under structure support)
Target: 69,900–70,000 (upper resistance / liquidity zone)
🧠 Market Logic:
Buyers stepped in aggressively from channel support and pushed price toward local highs. The consolidation above 68.5K suggests absorption rather than rejection. As long as price holds above the support block, continuation toward 69.9K liquidity looks probable.
A breakdown below 68.1K would weaken the bullish structure and shift bias short-term bearish.
H&R Block | HRB | Long at $28.72Technical Analysis
The stock price for H&R Block NYSE:HRB has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). A continued decline into the "major crash" zone (gray lines) to close out the last remaining price gap (near $24) is highly likely in the near-term. I believe this decline will be linked to economic declines tied to small- and middle-sized businesses in 2026. However, regardless of bottom and economic predictions, I am creating a starter position at $28.72 using data-informed decisions. I plan to add more if/when the price drops to close the open price gap around $24 - unless the US economy implodes.
Growth
Projected Earnings-Per-Share Growth : +57.7% (from $4.66 in 2025 to $7.35 in 2028)
Projected Revenue Growth : +7.9% (from $3.8 billion in 2025 to $4.1 billion in 2028)
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 22.8x (high debt - risky)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 2.8 (good, minor risk)
Quick Ratio/Ability to pay current bills: 1.2 (okay, but ideally between 1.5 and 3)
Action
I do believe more downside is ahead. There is a high probability of a continued decline into my "major crash" historical moving average area - potentially even below $24. The debt-to-equity is high, but it is a strong company. If this company small- and mid-size business issues in 2026, I believe there could be some upside. Thus, at $28.72, NYSE:HRB is in a personal buy zone with further entries planned at $24 and below.
Targets into 2028
$35.00 (+21.9%)
$47.00 (+39.3%)
BTC Short Update - Entry Hit with Precision - Next Stop 10,000First entry hit beautifully on this short plan.
Rejection of major ascending trendline takes bitcoin to 8,000
Entry Low - 69,000-69,400
Entry High - 72,800-73,200
Stop Loss / Invalidation - 75,300
Targets:
1) 57,200
2) 47,500
3) 38,000 (Close 50%)
4) 34,800
5) 19,400
6) 10,700 (Close 100%)
Ultimate Bottom - 4,000 to 8,000 range - likely 7,250 exact wick bottom
God speed.
- Dick Dandy






















