Bonk targetsWe are consolidating around 220-240, with 260-300 targets. If declined from this zone the good buying opportunity is around 150 zone. So far Bonk looks very promising.
Trend Analysis
$BTC bounce at $112 or drop down to $101.3??CRYPTOCAP:BTC is forming a massive “M” pattern with a potential target around $101.3.
There are multiple support levels on the way down, so a bounce could happen at any of them. Ideally, this scenario gets invalidated with a strong rebound from $112K. Otherwise, the correction may drag on for weeks until a solid bottom is found.
The RSI is oversold on the 2H, but on the 1W timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC looks like it’s just entering a longer-term correction.
⚠️ If the weekly bearish trend confirms, we could be facing several months of downside.
Will this trigger the start of alt season, or will altcoins get crushed even harder? Nobody can say for sure—so stay cautious and don’t get trapped by FOMO.
Here is the 1W chart, which is scary to be honest.
Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!🏆 XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Plan Setup (Bullish)
Entry (Layering Style):
Using the Thief Layer Strategy 🕵️♂️ → Multiple Buy Limit layers
$3625
$3630
$3635
$3640
(Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk ⚠️)
Take Profit (Escape Point):
Target resistance zone @3690 🚪💰
⚡ Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan — adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style.
📊 Why This Plan? (Thief’s Market Analysis)
🔎 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025)
Price: $3,643.71
24h Change: +0.48%
Range: $3,620.90 – $3,644.56
🧠 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal)
Long: 37%
Short: 63%
➡️ Retail crowd is heavily short → Contrarian bullish setup.
🏦 Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders)
Net Long: +249,530 contracts
Long: 315,796
Short: 66,266
➡️ Institutions are firmly positioned long ✅
🌡️ Fear & Greed + Volatility
Neutral (shifting from Greed)
VIX <14 (52-week low) → Calm market backdrop
📉 Macro & Fundamentals
US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected)
Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting)
Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive
Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst
📐 Technical View
Price holding above $3,625 support
Ascending channel continuation
Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks
🗝️ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes)
USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind
Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup
Institutions backing the move higher
Short-term overbought → manage exits smartly
🔥 Related Markets to Watch
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
SP:SPX (S&P 500)
TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
XAU/USD Update 1Next Move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1: Major trend was bullish.
2: Unmitigated demand zone.
3: Strong price action and also creates strong support.
4: If bullish momentum remain strong then we will see a strong upside move.
This is not a financial advice. Confirmation very important. Let's see how it will work.
WUSDT – Weekly Bullish Divergence | Trendline Break Signals PossWUSDT – Weekly Bullish Divergence | Trendline Break Signals Possible Macro Reversal 🚀📈
Hey traders 👋
After a long stretch of bearish pressure, WUSDT is finally showing its first real signs of strength. On the weekly timeframe, we have a bullish divergence forming — a major clue that selling momentum is drying up and buyers are stepping back in.
On top of that, price has just broken out of the descending trendline that kept it capped for months. This combo of divergence + breakout is exactly what marks the beginning of bigger trend shifts.
📈 Technical Breakdown
Weekly Divergence:
Price kept printing lower lows
RSI made higher lows → classic bullish divergence
Trendline Break: Price finally broke through the descending resistance line
Volume Picking Up: Subtle but noticeable, backing the breakout
This isn’t a scalper’s setup — it’s macro-level price action.
🎯 Trade Plan Idea
Entry Zone: Around the breakout + retest level
Stop-loss: Just under the breakout base
Targets:
TP1: 0.24 (first major resistance)
TP2: 0.41 (swing resistance zone)
TP3: 0.78+ (macro target if momentum continues)
The R:R is massive here — a proper swing idea worth tracking over weeks/months.
📌 WUSDT Showing Weekly Bullish Divergence + Trendline Break – The Bottom May Be In
Would you scale in on dips, or wait for retest confirmation? Drop your strategy 👇
#WUSDT #BullishDivergence #Crypto #SwingTrade #TrendlineBreak #Altcoins #ReversalSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
EURUSD - DISTRIBUTION COMPLETEEUR/USD appears to have completed a distribution phase, with the UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) aligning with the recent PPI release.
This event likely served as the final liquidity grab before a potential reversal. The rally and the distribution as a whole showed volume spikes without follow-through, reinforcing classic signs of distribution exhaustion.
Macro context supports this technical setup: while the U.S. economy is slowing, it's not collapsing—leaving room for hawkish repricing in a market currently dovishly priced for the Fed. On the other side, EURUSD is stretched, both technically and fundamentally, making it vulnerable to a correction.
#HBAR USDT PERP 1D
Watching this level 👀 → $0.2355
Break & close above = 🚀 Long Entry confirmed
Support strong at $0.2230
Next stop if breakout holds → $0.25 – $0.26
Simple: Breakout = send, Rejection = back to support 🔄
Will Ethereum lead next Altseason? ETF & Fusaka update in focus!Ethereum ETFs have recently seen significant inflows, outpacing Bitcoin ETFs, just ahead of the upcoming Fusaka upgrade in November.
Ethereum recently broke above its previous record high, a move that was anticipated in earlier analysis, and is pulling back before shooting higher. For a sustained move higher, a strong breakout with increased volume and momentum is needed. There are signs of momentum exhaustion, so traders should watch for confirmation before expecting further upside.
A classic cup and handle formation opens the door to $6,200 if resistance is cleared, with key support at $4,115 (previous resistance now acting as support) and a deeper pullback exposing $3,500. But this would not necessarily change the long-term bullish outlook.
Indicators to Watch
Bitcoin Dominance:
Bitcoin’s market dominance is currently around 55%, suggesting the market is still Bitcoin-led, and a true “altseason” may be at its early stage.
Total Crypto Market Cap:
Watch for breakouts in the total crypto market cap (TOTAL3 - excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) and the formation of bullish patterns for confirmation of a broader market uptrend.
Altcoin Season Index:
The index remains below the threshold for a full altseason but is rising, indicating that Ethereum and other altcoins are not broadly outperforming Bitcoin but are nearing breakout.
Short/Medium-Term Outlook:
Expect continued consolidation or a possible pullback before any sustained move higher if support above $4,115 holds firm.
Long-Term Outlook:
As long as Ethereum holds above the 50% retracement level, the long-term trend remains positive. A confirmed breakout above resistance could signal the next major upward phase.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/09/2025Nifty is expected to witness a gap up opening, continuing its momentum within the broader consolidation zone. The index has been trading in a tight range, and today’s levels will be crucial to determine the intraday direction.
On the upside, if Nifty sustains above 24,700–24,750, buying momentum could push it towards 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+. A breakout above 25,050 would signal strong bullish sentiment, opening the way for further targets at 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+.
On the downside, weakness may come into play if Nifty slips below 24,950–24,900. This could trigger a reversal towards 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750 levels. A break below 24,700 may extend the fall with deeper downside possibilities.
Overall, Nifty remains in a consolidation phase, and traders should focus on the breakout levels for clear intraday opportunities. A disciplined approach with strict stop-losses will be key in managing volatility around these zones.
CPI data is confusing,gold is fluctuating in a bearish directionGold Technical Analysis: Looking back at the recent trend, gold surged and then retreated on Tuesday, forming a shooting star pattern. However, the decline did not continue on Wednesday, indicating that the pullback was merely a one-off adjustment and lacks sustainability. It is a normal correction after a significant rally. Even if the market peaks, it will not be so simple. It will at least undergo a process of "high-level fluctuations turning bearish" or "second upward attack to lure more investors and then decline." In the short term, the rebound will continue to fluctuate, and it is unlikely to see significant rises or falls in a short period of time. Looking at the daily gold chart, the daily gold line has slowed down slightly. After continuous large volume, the daily line has turned into a small Yinxing candlestick pattern for consolidation. There is a need for a short-term pullback. Considering the short-term chart, the second high-point test failed to break through the previous high, the previous continuous large volume without a pullback, and the pressure from the second upward test. If there is no new high in the short term, there will be a partial correction around 3675-3657. The pattern will determine whether it is a deep pullback or a sideways consolidation.
Judging from the 4-hour gold chart, yesterday's gold price failed to achieve results in its attempt to rise again. There are signs of a downward correction. The 4-hour chart lost the middle track, breaking the unilateral upward momentum. At the same time, there is a need to further retrace to the lower track. Combined with the second high in the hourly chart near 3657, the second pressure turned into a decline. The strong market is to retrace and then break the high. Once the breaking power is stopped, it will go into a shock correction. Overall, today's short-term gold operation strategy recommends shorting on rebounds as the main strategy, and buying on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3640-3650 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3610-3600 support line.
A Great and Clear Idea For AlibabaKEY POINTS (Why this idea stands out):
Bullish Symmetrical Triangle → The breakout has already happened, and the price has successfully retested the triangle trendline — a strong confirmation of bullish continuation.
Fibonacci Retracement → Confirms healthy pullback levels, showing the market structure is intact and technically strong.
Fibonacci Extension aligned with Triangle Take Profit → Rare confluence that significantly increases the probability of hitting the target.
MACD Bullish Crossover → Momentum indicator is turning positive, further validating the bullish setup and supporting upside continuation.
📊 This is a pure and clear Murphy-style Technical Analysis, based exclusively on objective chart signals.
Why Alibaba (like JD.com) is the right choice now:
Deeply undervalued: Current market price does not reflect Alibaba’s real business strength.
Pre-earnings tech opportunity: Chinese tech stocks historically experience strong price action ahead of earnings.
Perfect technical + fundamental alignment: Breakout confirmation, Fibonacci confluence, and bullish momentum (MACD) combine with undervaluation to create a high-probability setup.
⚠️ Main Risk Factor:
U.S. financial media often manipulates sentiment on Chinese equities with aggressive negative campaigns (Zacks, Dow Jones News, Alpha News).
✅ Solution: Filter out the noise and rely on neutral, fact-based outlets like Reuters.]
BGB/USDT Potential 100% ++BGB/USDT Potential 100% ++
Accumulate under $3.9 - $5.0
Targets Points
Mid term targets
TP 1 : $8
TP 2 : $10
TP 3 : $15
TP 4 : $20
TP 5 : $25
Long term targets
TP 1 : $45
TP 2 : $60
TP 3 : $70
*Comparison between Bitget Token (BGB) burning and Binance Coin (BNB) burning:
Bitget’s BGB burns are explicitly tied to real on-chain gas usage and a percentage of platform profits, with a clear roadmap to burn down to 100 million and full transparency.
Binance’s BNB burns combine an ongoing auto-burn formula and real-time burning from gas fees to gradually reduce supply in a more passive, protocol-level manner.
Both approaches aim to induce scarcity and potentially support token value, but Bitget emphasizes utility-aligned burns and rapid supply reduction, whereas Binance focuses on steady, formula-driven deflation aligned with chain activity.
EURUSD📈 EURUSD – Buy / Long Call (30m / 4H)
✨ Price has tested the 4H Trendline and created strong Bullish Momentum.
⏳ In the coming 4 days, EURUSD can reach Resistance / Target Zones.
Buystop Or Buy limt both orders Valid
⚖️ Always manage your Risk vs Reward wisely.
💵 Let the market print some $$$!
Head and shoulders/reverse cup 45 m TFTechnical Breakdown
The chart is currently showing a possible reversal structure after a prolonged uptrend. Several key signals are aligning to suggest a bearish scenario:
1️⃣ Rising Trendline Break
Price has been respecting an ascending trendline.
Around point C (≈3470–3480), we are observing a potential breakout below the trendline, which may confirm the end of the bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Head & Shoulders Formation
On the right side of the trendline, a Head & Shoulders pattern is forming.
The neckline aligns closely with the breakout zone around C.
A confirmed close below this area could trigger further bearish continuation.
3️⃣ Inverted Curve (Cup Top)
The market has drawn an inverted rounding top structure (curve).
The breakdown from point E (≈3525) projects a downside move equal to the depth of the curve (roughly 40–50 points).
This sets a measured target in the zone around 3470 → 3420.
---
✅ Summary Scenario
Confirmation Level: Break below C (3470–3480).
Bearish Trigger: Failure at E (3525), activating the inverted curve.
Targets:
First: 3475
Second: 3455
Final: 3420 (equal to curve depth projection).
This confluence of a trendline break, a Head & Shoulders, and an inverted rounding top strongly increases the probability of a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
---
🔑 Important: As long as price stays below E (3525), the bearish scenario remains valid. A recovery above E would invalidate this setup.
GBPJPY 9/11/25Massive rejection on the 4 Hour time frame (200.000)
1H price action has been creating bearish momentum but still hasn't broken previous 1H LOW
30 min timeframe price has broken previous low and created a BOS.
There's a possibility that I could be seeing downside (into 198.000) if it starts to create more bearish confluence in the LTF.
Correction Before Expansion? EUR/USD Setup📊 EUR/USD Analysis
🔹 Fundamental View
The Euro is being supported by expectations of stable monetary policy in the Eurozone, while the Dollar is showing signs of pressure as U.S. economic data softens. Market sentiment leans toward cautious optimism, with traders positioning for potential Euro strength if global risk appetite improves. Safe-haven demand for the Dollar, however, may create short-term swings.
🔹 Technical View
On the chart, price has been in a structural consolidation with multiple MSS and BOS signals on the 4H timeframe. This reflects liquidity grabs before directional moves. After the recent bullish expansion, the pair entered a corrective phase, likely aimed at rebalancing before continuation. The projected path shows potential accumulation before a fresh rally.
USDCADThe trend in the USD/CAD currency pair is bullish. In the range of 1.38356 to 1.38113, after confirmation, this area could provide a good buying opportunity. ✅
CNC- LongCNC is showing bullish momentum, with the short-term price target around $35 if the current trend holds. The chart shows steady upward movement supported by healthy buying pressure.
According to analysts, CNC has a median price target of $32.44 USD, with a max estimate of $45.00 USD and a min estimate of $24.00 USD over the next 12 months. It will be interesting to see if this forecast plays out within the year.
In the meantime, keep an eye on Centene Corporation’s price chart and stay updated with CNC-related news and overall stock market trends.
USDCHF SELL TRADE OPPORTUNITYHello traders, volatility slowly coming back this month and we already are benefiting from interesting trade opportunities. New week means new opportunities Here's my point of view about OANDA:USDCHF
TECHNICALLY
Last week we had a massive drop and this week we started to retrace however higher time frames scream bearish momentum. I personally did a full breakdown explaining the US DOLLAR TECHNICAL BEARISH SETUP. This week price USDCHF started to retrace. Right now, price is near a strong orderblock I personally see more DOWNSIDE IN THIS PAIR. I'd like to see USDCHF drop from here. As I have been... and will be until proven otherwise. I will continue with my bearish biais only if price stay above the red zone.
FUNDAMENTALLY:
The US annual inflation rate accelerated to 2.9% in August 2025, the highest since January, after holding at 2.7% in both June and July, in line with market expectations. This will most likely to be BEARISH FOR THE US dollar. ALL eyes on USD/... BEARISH and .../USD BEARISH.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
ADBE (Adobe Inc.) — 4H TF Pre-Earnings Setup (Buy-Stop)ADBE (Adobe Inc.) — 4H TF | Heikin Ashi
Adobe printed a heavy corrective downtrend, but recently price action broke structure (BOS) at $365 and is now consolidating just below resistance. This makes a pre-earnings breakout buy stop setup attractive if bullish momentum continues.
Earnings are scheduled for today (Sep 11, 2025) after market close — which means volatility will be explosive.
Previous Earnings (Jun 12, 2025):
EPS: $5.06 vs $4.97 est. ✅
Revenue: $5.87B vs $5.88B est. (slight miss)
Upcoming Earnings (Sep 11, 2025):
EPS est: $5.18
Revenue est: $5.92B
Strong beats in prior quarters usually lead to momentum continuation.
🔀 Trend & Setup Logic:
Primary Trend: Still bullish on higher timeframes, despite recent pullback
Short-Term: BOS confirms reversal from downtrend
Pre-Earnings Play: Buy stop above resistance to catch post-earnings breakout
🟩 Key Levels:
Buy Stop Entry: Above $366 → trigger on BOS retest
Stop Loss: $346.79 (below recent HL)
Take Profit: $423.23 (supply zone retest)
Risk/Reward: ~5.67R
🎯 Trade Plan: Pre-Earnings Buy Stop
Entry: $366.00 (pending buy stop order)
Stop Loss: $346.79
Take Profit: $423.23
Risk/Reward: ~5.6R
Max Risk: 1–2% capital (pre-earnings = high volatility risk)
🧭 Trade Management:
If earnings beat → breakout can gap over entry, monitor slippage
If earnings miss → stop could gap through SL (risk management crucial)
Consider reducing position size pre-earnings
Trail SL aggressively above $380 if breakout confirmed
“Trade the reaction, not the earnings.”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trading earnings events is high risk, especially with gap potential. Use reduced size or options strategies if possible.
Action To Gold 11 Sep 20251. Market Structure (Elliott Wave)
The chart shows Elliott Wave labeling:
Wave (i), (ii), (iii), currently in corrective wave (iv).
Next expectation: continuation down into wave (v).
2. Key Fibonacci Levels
Wave (iv) retracement already tested the 0.618 – 0.786 Fibo retrace zone (3625 – 3620).
Potential wave (v) downside targets:
1.272 Fibo extension → 3606
1.414 Fibo extension → 3601
1.618 Fibo extension → 3595
3. Trade Confirmation
Current price: 3631. Already showing rejection around wave (iv).
Confirmation needed: Bearish candle close below 3625 (0.618 Fibo) → signals start of wave (v).
👉 Possible trade setup:
Sell Entry: 3628–3635 (retracement zone of wave iv).
Stop Loss: Above swing high wave (iv) = ~3643.
Take Profit targets:
TP1 = 3614 (Fibo 1.0)
TP2 = 3606 (Fibo 1.272)
TP3 = 3595 (Fibo 1.618)
4. Alternative Scenario (Invalidation)
If price breaks & closes above 3643, wave (iv) is invalidated.
Market could aim higher retracement levels (3657 – 3674).
📌 Trading Plan Summary
Status: Wait for bearish confirmation candle close below 3625.
If confirmed → Open Sell with SL 3643, TP range 3614 → 3595.
If price breaks 3643 → cancel sell setup, reassess structure.
ETHUSD - September 11, 2025Bullish Breakout: A move above $4,541.6 could target $4,639.2.
Bearish Breakdown: A drop below both the trendline and $4,285.1 could lead to $3,870.5.
Sideways Action: The current consolidation range is between $4,285.1 and $4,541.6.
