Trend Analysis
ETH vs POL pattern comparison 2500% potential growthThis is a theoretical projection using pattern recognition and past performance of a practical use case token POLYGON (MATIC), which apparently had a faster growth, but can have a similar behavior compared to the evolution of ETH until now.
We can see on the left side that the fractal indicated in the parallel had a momentum building up with a sudden bullish upside of 700% in a timeframe of 1 month.
Now the only indicator is the strong similarity between that fractal with the fractal (almost) being completed on the right, which is ETH. We could copy a 700% growth into this chart, but if we consider the volatility within that fractal, a much bigger outcome can be calculated after the fractal completion. Compared to POL/USD, ETH/USD could have an upside of roughly 2500%, starting soon, but within a medium long timeframe if we want to have an idea of the top.
I used Elliot wave theory as well and on a large timeframe, this is a good indication, as this is momentarily the only possible outcome for a 5 wave bullish structure.
BTC | Why The Relief Rally to +100k Might Not Happen?Hello traders,
By no means this move was “unexpected”. In fact, In my previous posts I said this move has to happen. Once the yearly uptrend broke and price failed to reclaim it.
The rejection at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement was a textbook dead cat bounce inside a larger bearish structure.
Market makers were pouring their money into Gold & Silver. That is why our relief rally was short-lived.
Calling this a “healthy correction” is just denial. It truly is.
This bear market is doing exactly what bear markets do:
-Trap late buyers
-Remove liquidity
-Continue lower
The trend is bearish. The structure is bearish for the entire of 2026 period.
Good Luck!
GBPUSD has shown a bullish trend breakdown📊GBPUSD – 1H Timeframe Sell Setup
GBPUSD has shown a bullish trend breakdown, with price losing momentum after failing to hold above the major support zone 🧱
A clear breakdown below 1.37500 signals potential bearish continuation.
🔻 Sell Setup Active
📍 Entry: 1.37500
🎯 Technical Targets:
• TP1: 1.37100
• TP2: 1.36700
📉 Bearish pressure is expected to continue as long as price stays below the broken support level.
⚠️ Always use proper risk management
Capital protection is key to long-term success.
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#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #SellSetup #MarketStructure #PriceAction #RiskManagement #TradingView 💷📉
USOIL is showing bullish 📊 USOIL – 30M Timeframe Bullish Outlook
USOIL is showing bullish price action from a key support area around 64.400 🛢️
Buyers are stepping in at this level, suggesting a potential short-term bullish continuation.
📍 Buy Zone: 64.400
🎯 Technical Targets:
• TP1: 64.800
• TP2: 65.700
• TP3: 66.200
📈 Bullish bias remains valid while price holds above the support zone.
⚠️ Use proper risk management
Smart risk = long-term consistency.
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#USOIL #OilTrading #Commodities #BullishSetup #PriceAction #RiskManagement #TradingSetup 🛢️📈
Support Zone Reaction with Upside Liquidity TargetMarket Read (from your chart)
Price swept sell-side liquidity and reacted strongly from the support zone
Clear BOS to the downside, then bullish reaction → looks like short-term bullish retracement / reversal
You’ve marked:
Support zone: ~4,800 – 4,826
Target / liquidity: ~4,940 – 4,943
This favors a scalp / intraday long with tight risk, not a swing.
🎯 Trade Setup (Small SL)
✅ Entry (Best & Safer)
Buy on pullback into demand
Entry: 4,826 – 4,830
Confluence area: prior reaction + support zone top
Wait for bullish candle close / rejection wick on lower TF (1–5m)
❌ Stop Loss (Tight)
SL: 4,800
Risk: ~26–30 points
If price closes cleanly below 4,800, the setup is invalid
This is a true small SL — no room for chop.
🎯 Take Profit Levels
TP1 (safe): 4,858 (range high / first liquidity)
TP2: 4,900
TP3 / Final: 4,940 – 4,943 (your marked target liquidity)
👉 After TP1, move SL to BE to protect capital.
⚠️ Aggressive Entry (Only if experienced)
Entry: 4,805 – 4,810
SL: 4,785
Higher R:R, but lower win rate
Invalidation
❌ No longs if:
Strong bearish close below 4,800
No bullish reaction inside the support zone
Summary
Bias: Intraday bullish retracement
Entry: 4,826–4,830
SL: 4,800
Target: 4,858 → 4,900 → 4,940
ETH/USD Daily — Support Bounce Setup in a Strong Downtrend
Chart Analysis:
Market Structure:
ETH is clearly in a bearish trend on the daily timeframe. Lower highs and lower lows are intact after a sharp rejection from the major supply zone around 3,300–3,400 (yellow zone).
Impulsive Sell-Off:
The recent move down is strong and aggressive, suggesting capitulation-style selling rather than a slow grind. This often precedes at least a technical relief bounce.
Key Support Zone (Red): ~1,900–2,000
Price has tapped into a well-defined demand/support area, where buyers previously stepped in. The long lower wicks here hint at buying interest and absorption.
Proposed Entry:
The marked entry is based on a support reaction, not a trend reversal. This is a counter-trend long, so it’s tactical, not positional.
Target Zone (Green): ~2,450–2,550
This zone aligns with:
Prior structure support → resistance flip
Likely liquidity resting above
Mean reversion after an extended drop
Bias & Expectations:
Short-term: Bullish relief bounce toward the green zone
Medium-term: Still bearish unless ETH reclaims and holds above ~2,600–2,700
Expect high volatility—clean V-shaped recoveries are rare in this context
Risk Note:
If price loses the 1,900 support decisively, the setup is invalidated and opens the door for continuation toward lower psychological levels.
📌 Summary:
This chart shows a high-risk, counter-trend bounce play off major daily support, targeting a logical resistance zone above. Good for disciplined traders, not for blind bottom-catching.
Gold’s Abnormal Surge: The "Red Horse & Red Sheep" Year Signals Gold’s Abnormal Surge: The "Red Horse & Red Sheep" Year Signals Extreme Market Volatility
I am Siulung. In the grand narrative of financial markets, we are all prisoners of cycles. W.D. Gann once reminded us that "there is nothing new under the sun"—a statement that resonates with deafening clarity today in 2026. We are currently standing at a rare crossroads: the 60-year "Red Horse and Red Sheep" (Bing-Wu/Ding-Wei) cycle is unfolding, perfectly overlapping with a critical Kondratiev Wave (K-Wave) turning point. History warns us that when major cycles resonate, market fluctuations cease to be gentle ripples; they become waves capable of swallowing everything in their path. While extreme volatility harbors the seeds of immense wealth, I must issue a stern warning: after this venting of extreme sentiment, the stock market is highly likely to face a massive correction this year.
The Power of Cycles: To Know One’s Fate is to Change It
Reflecting on the past few years, I have consistently emphasized that "understanding fate allows one to change it." This isn't mere mysticism; it is the precise decoding of time laws. From capturing the 2017 bull run and timing the 2018 peak perfectly, to forecasting the 2020 pandemic rebound, every step has validated the power of cycles. In my 2021 book Winning Ahead of Time, I predicted aggressive Fed rate hikes and massive inflation, advising gold as a strategic hedge. These moves were driven by the undeniable momentum of time cycles.
Gold at $5,200: A Warning Signal
As we enter 2026, the most unsettling signal comes from the abnormal trajectory of gold. According to historical statistics and my cyclical models, gold’s current ascent has decoupled from reality. Since early 2025, gold has surged 80%, recently shattering the $5,200 per ounce mark. When the "ultimate safe-haven asset" climbs at such a steep, parabolic slope, it is no longer a standard bull market. It is a distress signal indicating that the global macro cycle is under immense pressure—the precursor to a crumbling credit system or a geopolitical breaking point.
Lessons from History: The Nightmare of the 1970s and 2011
The 1971 "Nixon Shock": When the USD decoupled from gold, inflation soared above 13%, and fear drove gold from $200 to $850 in a year. Once Paul Volcker hiked rates to 20%, gold prices were instantly halved, followed by a 20-year "ice age."
The 2011 Aftermath: Amid the Global Financial Crisis and the Eurozone debt crisis, fear pushed gold to $1,921. History repeated itself: gold suffered a 45% drawdown, while silver endured a brutal 70% slaughter.
The "This Time is Different" Delusion
The market is currently intoxicated by the "This Time is Different" narrative: central bank hoarding, industrial demand for silver in semiconductors/PV, and the collapse of the dollar hegemony. Many believe the correction will be mild. However, the laws of history are absolute: Parabolic moves always end in a "cliff dive." Once pricing shifts from fundamentals to "emotional euphoria," the correction is devastating. Gold pullbacks typically start at 30%, while silver can easily be cut in half. When everyone believes we are in a "Golden Age," the fuel is usually running out.
Final Warning: The Coming Adjustment
We should read the "coldness" beneath gold's heat. Gold’s "good days" usually coincide with the world’s most difficult times. The higher gold flies, the closer the global system is to its breaking point.
Investors must not be complacent. While the stock market feels vibrant, this "big rise, big fall" structure is actually an accumulation of risk. We are at a pivotal moment of wealth redistribution. If you fail to grasp the rhythm of the cycle, your previous gains could vanish in an instant.
Crucial Forecast: In this turbulent 2026, observe the axis of time and measure the laws of price. Accumulate strength in the troughs and exit decisively at the peaks. Be especially vigilant of a major US stock market crash in February and March.
USDINR | Structural Map | 07 Feb 2026Key structural levels are highlighted on the chart.
USDINR remains within a primary bullish structure, while current price behaviour reflects a range / digestion phase with controlled volatility.
The 90 zone acts as a key structural reference; bias is maintained above this region.
This is a structural reference map, not a prediction.
Detailed explanation and context are covered in the blog.
Focus on structure, not short-term volatility.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not financial advice. Markets are subject to risk; readers should exercise their own judgment.
#USDINR #Forex #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #IndianMarkets #MarketOmorph
XAUUSD: High-Reward Short Setup at Key ResistanceTrade Setup: The current chart highlights a clear Short (Sell) opportunity on Gold (XAU/USD) as price action rejects the heavy horizontal resistance zone around 4,860. We are observing a shift in momentum that aligns with a potential trend reversal from recent local highs.
Technical Rationale:
Resistance Rejection: Price is showing significant exhaustion near the 4,857 level, failing to maintain a bullish structure above the purple supply zone.
Risk-to-Reward: This setup offers a highly attractive Risk/Reward ratio, targeting significant liquidity areas lower in the structure.
Price Target: The projected path suggests a move toward the major demand zone near 4,347, which acted as a strong historical floor.
Execution Levels:
Entry Price: 4,857.34
Stop Loss (SL): 5,077.89 (Placed above the recent swing high for safety)
Take Profit (TP): 4,347.04
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 2.3+
Bitcoin Monthly Priceaction Directional bias.The monthly structure tells the truth and the whole story, its key to know that the the higher the timeframe the stronger the bias.
its in order of priority that the monthly time frame is stronger than the weekly, the weekly is stronger than the daily and the daily is stronger than all intraday analysis , bias and sentiment
the case of bitcoin shows that on monthly timeframe the ascending trendline acting as dynamic support has been broken. Expect a retest and sell again .
what does monthly break of demand floor mean??
if you get a monthly close below a support floor ,it could mean a more bearish continuation if the sentiment doesn't change.it takes a great market situation to breakout of monthly structure.
why is bitcoin falling??
trading is like business ,people take profit to invest in other businesses ,people sell when they perceive danger in the market, people sell because they are tired of something and cant keep up with unforeseen losses and the probability associated to trading.
crypto crash is coming.
the rumors linking Epstein to be the founder of bitcoin is false but fear and greed will buy into such misinformation .
Bitcoin experiencing a sharp drop around $60,000-70000k zone will continue despite a partial rebound to about $64,000/
A broader market volatility and extreme fear sentiment has turn many buyers to sellers and wiping billions of dollars on long position. This decline has wiped out billions in leveraged positions and aligns with a risk-off environment in global equities.
The Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, seen as hawkish with potential for sustained high interest rates and a smaller Fed balance sheet, has spooked investors.
market hates bad new and such was one and critical price action followed.
Strong U.S. economic data like PMI readings signal prolonged tight liquidity, reducing rate cut hopes that crypto relies on.
The ETF outflows, miner selling resulted to cascading liquidations of billions of dollars of amplified sell-off.
Rumors Fueling the Crash
the Bitcoin predictions are tied to deflationary pressures. Broader fears include institutional exposure cuts, post-cycle digestion like 2019, and no quick Fed relief despite Trump's pro-crypto stance.
market structure perspective.
the higher time frame especially the monthly timeframe shows the break of the the neckline of double top at 108,599.04$ using the monthly line chart perspective if we get a buy back ,you need to be careful of 98,073.41$ zone as potential rejection zone .
the current supply roof will be tested at 73,637.65-70k zone
if the bias does change and we continue to see ETF outflow then you have to be ready for strong bearish continuation. on monthly timeframe we have broken the ascending trendline acting as dynamic support with one wick rejection on monthly chart.
watch the monthly break and close of 60.56.76 as this will open the window of sell profit booking by bears. If bears insist on taking profit they will look technically at 47,589k-50k zone based on our monthly chart analysis.
the market will resist and start a fresh rally at 28,629.89-29,734k zone on the floor of the bullish monthly ascending trendline making the next touch the 3rd touch on the demandfloor.
follow structure, buy with structure and sell with structure. Dont buy because others are buying.
the bitcoin low is coming and will happen .
wish you Goodluck
#bitcoin #btc
NATGATE: POTENTIAL TREND REVERSALStock recently rebounded from 52-week low at 0.92 and is trading 1.02.
RBS at 1.00 is holding as short-term support.
Kijun-sen sits close below price and acts as immediate support.
Price has now successfully breakout above the downtrend line, which is an early and important signal of a potential trend reversal.
Price is attempting to reclaim the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, indicating improving short-term momentum.
Although price is still below the Kumo, the cloud ahead is thinning, which often precedes a bullish transition phase.
Chikou Span is rising and attempting to move away from price congestion, supporting a recovery bias.
Long-term downtrend with a potential base/reversal developing after the 52-week low. Crossing the trendline + support at 1.00 + Kijun support are constructive signs for a short-to-medium-term bounce.
Sustained daily closes above the downtrend line and above 1.05–1.08 with rising volume. A close back below 0.98–1.00 would invalidate the immediate bullish view.
Residual bearish bias while price remains below the Kumo and prior structure; false breakouts are common from oversold lows.
Entry options
Aggressive: buy small position now ~1.00–1.03 with tight stop.
Preferred (lower risk): wait for close >1.08 or a clean retest of 1.00 that holds.
Stop-loss
Conservative SL: 0.96 (below Kijun / below 1.00 support).
Protective SL: 0.90–0.92 (below 52‑week low) for larger position only after confirmation.
Targets & exits
Target 1: RM1.05 – RM1.08
Target 2: RM1.12 – RM1.15
Target 3 (extended): RM1.25; trailing stop (moving SL to breakeven, then use ATR or below recent swing low).
Exit immediately if price closes decisively below 0.98 on high volume.
Notes:
1. Analysis for education purpose only.
2. Trade at your own risk.
AAVE dump may not be over, macro triangle invalidatedCRYPTOCAP:AAVE macro triangle analysis was finally invalidated with the thrust lower. Instead, wave B of an ABC seems to be underway with an initial target of the altCoin golden pocket 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node support, $70.
Weekly RSI has a little room to fall until oversold. There is bullish divergence from July 1st 2024 bottom.
AAVE is again demonstrating its abnormal distribution of price action.
Safe trading
BTC/USDT PRICE ACTION COMPARISONComparing the 2022 dip to current levels and applying the same fractal. Dips don’t happen in one day.
If the exact scenario plays out, we’ll most likely see a bounce toward the 90Ks, followed by a slow bleed and range deviation from the bottom - then a move toward new highs.
Not a financial advice.
#ID/USDT Ready to go up#ID
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the upper boundary and is heading towards breaking it. A retest of this boundary is expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, as it has approached the upper boundary. A bearish reversal is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 0.0500. The price has bounced from this zone several times and is expected to bounce again.
A consolidation trend is observed above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching. This trend supports a decline towards this level.
Entry Price: 0.0523
Target 1: 0.0539
Target 2: 0.0556
Target 3: 0.0578
Stop Loss: Above the green support zone.
Remember this simple thing: Money management.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BNB/USD Main Trend. 11 18 2025Logarithm. Time frame: 1 week.
🔵Main trend: lower zone of the ascending channel As previously shown on HBAR.
🟡🟣Secondary and local trends
There's a pullback to the breakout zone, that is, to the mirror level of the former resistance of the large bowl (currently strong support), meaning the price is retesting the key zone, which are the historical highs of the previous 2021 cycle. This is the same as the 72,000 zone for BTC in the past.
🟣🔄 A breakout of the local designated trend line (purple) is a local trend reversal. But, in general, it's important to understand that this is a retest of the previous breakout zone.
🟢🔄 Confirmation and holding of the price above this zone is astronomical, and any news is just fiction to justify a move into the next zone, already a distribution.
🔴🔄 Failure to hold this zone means a temporary immersion in the previous consolidation.
According to the general market trend (market phase) and the asset's liquidity (money in the project), a chart pattern is formed.
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⚠️ Overall, I think Binance will lose "$ liquidity," that is, users, due to unfair speculative play (controlled by "Big Brother") and a prolonged lack of exchange functionality updates. Perhaps this won't happen immediately, but gradually. But I'm sure many would really prefer not to see this happen instantly. It's unlikely that the exchange itself will survive long-term competition from new exchanges with fresh functionality and "users who aren't offended."
1️⃣ It's worth remembering that the most liquid and popular exchanges in the 2017 cycle were Bittrex and Poloniex. Where are they now? Bittrex is a scam. Poloniex has completely lost liquidity.
2️⃣ In the 2021 cycle of highs, FTX and Binance. The former is a scam. The latter is still around.
0️⃣ The main villain is a scam (everyone understands what, who, and why), which always scams everything monetary for its own interests and monopolizes the "fresh mushrooms" of the market. There is one, which is equivalent to the main "market maker." The one who "created" and "destroyed" dinosaurs from the very beginning, including the MtGox exchange back in 2013, squeezing out "all the available circulating BTC" at the time. This has been his playing field since the very beginning of the crypto bubble.
You're on someone else's playing field, so remember that and accept their rules. You're playing by the rules of those who set the traps for you, bypassing them. These rules have little effect on the masters of the speculative game. Accept the game and the risks, or leave...
3️⃣👀What will happen this time? Which liquid exchange will be "killed" to destroy the dollar in a bear market and trigger a super-negative environment? One can only guess. There are several candidates (as well as highly liquid hyped cryptocurrencies) that could influence the overall trend and shape a certain, extremely pessimistic opinion among the majority. Don't guess, you might miss the mark.
🧠 Therefore, when trading and holding cryptocurrencies and USD, diversify your storage and trading locations.
1️⃣ Cold or hardware wallets (a portion of your funds, if you're a holder, is larger; if you're a trader, it's smaller).
2️⃣ + Liquid exchanges (3-4, two isn't enough, as if one goes to the "other world"), you'll lose 50% of your trading funds, and that's a lot. To recover, you need to increase your capital not by 50%, but by 100%. For hamsters, this is "simple," but for traders, it's not.
⚠️ A paragraph off-topic for trading? A reminder of the most important thing, the safety of your money, is not superfluous. What's the point of earning if you'll lose everything? This is not superfluous for smart people who work and earn, rather than paying the market for their emotions and chatting in chats about how rich and broke they are.
Risk must always be justified and controlled by you. This is the foundation of foundations. If this isn't the case, then you're building a speculative house on a clay foundation, trying only to guess the price. Sooner or later it will collapse, and the later it happens, the more painful it will be.






















