SOL 1W Update: Zoomed out thoughts and viewSolana’s weekly dump is showing signs of exhaustion, with downside momentum clearly decelerating as price presses into a major long-term demand zone around 80–85. The sell-off has been steep and highly directional within a falling channel, which often precedes mean-reversion relief moves rather than immediate continuation. Notably, SOL has already retraced a large portion of its prior impulse leg and is now trading well below former range support at 125.5, suggesting late sellers are entering after most of the damage has been done. While the broader structure remains corrective until higher levels are reclaimed, the risk–reward is beginning to shift in favor of short-term upside relief. A bounce toward 100–110 would be a reasonable first reaction if buyers step in, with a more meaningful trend improvement requiring acceptance back above 125.5. As long as 44 holds as macro support, this move still fits a deep bull-market correction, and current price action favors stabilization and a counter-trend bounce rather than continued freefall.
Trend Analysis
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 5,013.53
Target Level: 4,871.99
Stop Loss: 5,107.67
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
US SECTION STARTED ON GOLD Guys, our analysis is still going on in our favor and the USA section has started, so you know that the market movement in the USA section is fast, so trade it with management discipline and patience, and from where the area has been mentioned outside, a good buy position can be found, so we are being patient and waiting for our target. If the bullish movement in the market continues, the market will definitely touch our target and let's see what happens.
MSTR has likely found a bottomNASDAQ:MSTR has a huge bullish engulfing candle on Friday, 26% closing at the high. CLosing at the high on a Friday is a significant move as it shows investors are confident in holding over the weekend news cycle and Bitcoin price action.
Saylor continues buying weekly including today, now lowering his cost average as he below. He still has 2 years worth of USD to survive a pro-longed bear market and STRC continues to give him more capital.
Wave 4 hit the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement where it can not go beyond, per the rules. Any lower would invalidate the Elliot wave count and it would become wave 2. Which means wave 3, the most powerful is still to come....
Weekly RSI printed a huge bullish divergence at a major High Volume Node resistance in oversold, with a long lower wick being left. You cant get better bottoming signals than all of these confluences.
MSTR may be a good proxy for judging BTC bottoms moving forward, following institutional flows.
All of this said, the trend is down, the weekly 200EMA and pivot are lost. Don't fade the trend, wait for the reversal signal in price action. Overcoming these 2 areas is the first challenge to cement a new bullish trend in place.
Safe trading
XAUUSD (15min) UpdateXAUUSD is currently consolidating after a clear shift in market structure, suggesting a pause before the next directional move. Price may retrace deeper into the highlighted bullish order block to mitigate inefficiencies and grab sell-side liquidity. If buyers step in with confirmation from this zone, a continuation to the upside becomes likely, targeting the weak highs and the overhead supply area.
Failure to hold the order block would invalidate the bullish scenario and could open the door for deeper downside. As always, patience and confirmation are key.
XAU/USD 09 February 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 02 February 2026.
Price has printed as per analysis dated 22 January where I mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 5,602,225.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to largely remain the same as analysis dated 02 February 2026. I have added to intraday expectation with respect to alternative scenario.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 30 January 2025 where I mentioned, in alternative scenario, price could print a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
This is exactly how price printed.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently contained within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price trade up to either M15 supply zone, or premium of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,402.380.
Alternative scenario:
Price to potentially print bullish iBOS as H4 pullback could be complete, however, Daily and Weekly TF still require pullback.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
SPX: Valuations tested by CAPEXAI huge CAPEX spending is still the main topic among investors on the US equity markets. Concerns that tech companies will burn billions of Dollars for the technology which could not promise adequate returns, is causing investors to re-evaluate current valuations of tech companies, which are at all times highest levels. In this sense, the negative sentiment continued to prevail on the S&P 500 during the previous week. The lowest weekly level the index had reached was 6.787. Still, Friday saved the week with a huge increase, closing the week at 6.932. Regardless of this push-back, analysts are noting that the negative sentiment might continue in the coming period, in which sense, maybe it is still not the time for celebrations.
Alphabet (GOOGL) posted results which were better from estimated, driven by robust ad sales and rapid Google Cloud growth. Its annual revenue topped $400B for the first time, underscoring broad momentum across search, YouTube and AI-led services. Still, company shares fell as investors focused on hefty CAPEX for 2026, raising profit margin concerns, even with cloud and AI strength. Similar situation was also with Amazon's (AMZN) results and shares. Regardless of good quarterly results, which beat expectations, still, its shares slid over investors concerns on the announced $200B capital expenditure plan for cloud and AI infrastructure.
On the opposite side pharmaceutical companies did a pretty good job on the performance side. Elly Lilly delivered results, beating on both revenue and EPS with strong growth from its diabetes and weight-loss drugs. It also issued bullish 2026 guidance, forecasting significantly higher revenue and earnings expectations. Pfizer also had good quarterly results, beating expectations, however, investors were concerned over slower core business growth and raising competition on weight-drug development. Nevertheless, the company gained around 4,5% on a weekly level.
Few large companies included in the S&P 500 will post results in the week ahead, like Coca-Cola, McDonalds and Cisco Systems. The volatility might continue, especially after the publication of NFP and Unemployment data, which were postponed. Analysts are still cautious, as Friday's pull still does not indicate that the optimism among investors is back.
CIFR | DailyNASDAQ:CIFR — Quantum Model Projection
Bullish Alternative📈
CIFR surged +16% in the most recent session.
The correction within Intermediate Wave (4) has evolved into an A – Triangle B – C formation, rather than the prior Triangle, and has not yet reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. Its final leg, Minor Wave C, has yet to unfold into an expected five-wave structure.
As such, the broader structure suggests pending confirmation, with a decisive break above $16.80 required to validate the initiation of the projected Intermediate Wave (5) → potential extension.
🔖 The outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework.
#CryptoStocks #CryptoMining #QuantumModels
CL Trend Line Break?First, just want to say that I’m so glad I started posting my charts—feels good to share my process and ideas, then watch them play out. That said, these posts are just my personal opinion, not to be mistaken for financial advice.
Based purely on the technicals, CL appears to be setting up for a bearish pivot. With 4 TL touches since early January and a brief consolidation up near $66-66.50, this coil is tightening quickly. And with oil scarcity less of a concern this year, price action should provide clean, A+ setups.
Watch for Crude to get real slippery—with just enough lube for a nice swing down to first TP of 59.75. Depending on how steep the angle, a second TP target sits right at midline of Golden Pocket around 58.50. With a $1 move on minis yielding $1000, this can be a nice profitable trade if you catch the trend line retest, giving an opportunity for at least a 4 point move. In CL terms, that’s a nice trade. If you’re trading a small account, 3-5 micros will do the trick.
Be patient, set your stop loss (and DO NOT MOVE IT!), even set your TPs—I’ve been automating my trades more and more lately, setting brackets and letting them do the magic while I’m working my day job. And most of all, don’t over-leverage yourself. If you’re anxious in trade, your position sizing is off. Volatility is coming soon…stay disciplined and stay safe!
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fib support?Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3527
1st Support: 1.3301
1st Resistance: 1.3846
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce off?Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 1.1791
1st Support: 1.1550
1st Resistance: 1.2080
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
SPY 15M | Structural Inflection at $696 — Pullback Before BreakoSPY 15M | Structural Inflection at $696 — Pullback Before Breakout
SPY rejected the $696.01 resistance twice and is fading into the close at $693.43. The structure is clear: this level needs to break, but it won't do it on the first attempt.
Key Levels:
🔴 $715.69 — Major overhead resistance (target)
🔴 $696.01 — Immediate resistance (double rejection)
⚪ $693.95 — Current price
🟢 $684.28 — 20/50 SMA confluence (dynamic support)
🟢 $676.33 — Demand zone (prior accumulation)
🟢 $669.22 — December floor
Projected Path:
Expecting a pullback toward the $676-$684 zone before the next leg up. The rally from $669 to $696 was strong but extended — price needs to reset to the moving average confluence before buyers reload.
Once $684 holds as a higher low, looking for:
Gold Buyers Defending 4,990 – Upside Expansion AheadWe had a strong impulsive move up from the February low → clear bullish momentum.
Price created a higher low and is now pushing toward previous resistance.
The current structure looks like a bullish continuation within an ascending channel.
🟢 Support Zone
Key support: 4,988 – 4,940
This zone aligns with:
Previous resistance turned support
Structure retest area
Bullish demand block
As long as price holds above this zone, buyers remain in control.
🎯 Targets
First target: 5,116 – 5,120 (recent liquidity / minor resistance)
Second target: 5,200 – 5,204 (major resistance & psychological level)
A clean breakout above 5,120 with strong volume could accelerate price toward 5,200+.
🛑 Invalidation
Below 4,907, bullish structure weakens.
A strong close below support would shift bias back to neutral or short-term bearish.
Overall Bias
Right now, this looks like a bullish continuation setup, not a reversal.
Dips into support are buy opportunities — chasing at resistance is risky unless there's a confirmed breakout.
WTI Heading to $76?Lowertimeframe market structure, backed by increased geo political tension, WTI Crude oil may continue to rise as multiple break of structure shows liquidtiy sweep which a primary sign of bullish bias.
Gap open and retest of order block at $61 with multiple rejection and, follow by consolidation and, with CHoCH showing up a possible entry on
$64.50 to $65 level with SL below order block ( below $60) and take profit target $75 level a probability entry






















