XAUUSD Bearish Bias Summary ....Based on the chart you shared (XAUUSD, 1H), price is trading below the descending trendline and under the Ichimoku cloud, with bearish structure after the CHoCH. The marked projection already aligns well with logical downside targets.
🎯 Downside Targets (Sell Bias)
1st Target (TP1): ~4,600
➜ Nearest horizontal support / previous demand zone.
2nd Target (TP2): ~4,400
➜ Major liquidity pool / lower support zone.
📉 Bearish Bias Summary (Short & Simple)
Price is respecting the descending channel and rejecting the cloud. As long as price stays below the trendline and cloud, continuation toward 4,600 → 4,400 remains likely.
If you want, I can also give you:
A clean title + caption for posting this chart
Or bullish invalidation levels (where this setup fails)
Trend Analysis
USTEC | Will the sector rotation continue?Fundamental approach:
- The Nasdaq 100 retreated this week, pressured by profit‑taking in high‑growth tech and a pullback in AI‑linked chipmakers following substantial recent gains.
- The index fell as investors digested a busy earnings slate for US megacaps, with markets focused on whether companies such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) can sustain elevated AI‑driven investment while defending margins. While broader US indices remained near highs amid optimism around AI and small‑cap strength, Nasdaq‑heavy names faced bouts of volatility as positioning adjusted and rate‑cut expectations were pushed back slightly on resilient US data.
- The Nasdaq 100 may remain choppy as markets parse the remaining big‑tech earnings and guidance on AI‑related capex, along with upcoming US NFP data next week that could shift Fed rate expectations. Key catalysts in the coming days could include further 4Q results from major tech constituents and any surprises in employment releases.
Technical approach:
- USTEC declined after closing below an ascending trendline and both EMAs, indicating bearish momentum is building.
- If USTEC breaches below the support at 23985, the index may retest the next support at 23000.
- On the contrary, remaining above 23985 may prompt a retest of the broken ascending trendline and EMA78.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
USDJPY - Price Is "Overbought" At A Historical CeilingHello Trading Fam! 👋
The USD/JPY is currently hitting a major resistance zone at 157.00 - 158.00, coinciding with the top of a long-term ascending channel.
The Trade:
Action: Short (Sell).
Reason: Price is "overbought" at a historical ceiling; a reversal toward the channel's bottom (~150.00) is expected.
Risk: High. If it breaks above 158.00, the "short" thesis fails.
Wow, BTC! The Dip to the Dip to the Dippity DipHey, Traders. Just a quick follow up on our last BTC analysis and how this once again played like a New York Symphony. This structure we have been following led us all the way from ~110K down to EXACTLY the top of this Weekly Demand Source ~$59,900. If you've been following, see our previous posts on BTC and ETH to see how we have been able to follow this market structure and not fall prey to the mass liquidations and gross losses from those who have been longing BTC.
What Happened: The Market played out like the market does. Many players big and small starting buying the DIP on BTC when it fell to around 103K from All Time Highs, not understanding that there was a MUCH bigger picture playing out. They tried again at around the $80 - 85 area when the Market Makers faked most people out and dragged more buyers in for the kill. Unfortunately, the whole time, the Market was seeking this ~$60K area. If you are able to learn how to read and follow what the market is showing, there is almost ALWAYS a few clear signals that can help you stay out of trouble.
What happens now: Now we are sitting at this major Weekly Demand Zone. There are a LOT of buyers for BTC in this area...worldwide volumes of large buyers who have been waiting for everyone else to get liquidated or to tap out, so they can swoop in and buy what is likely to be the World's most valuable asset.
From here, we need to watch this Weekly Zone and look for bullish confirmation out of it. It doesn't mean that the market will automatically start buying, but it does mean the interest in buying is at substantially high levels. We need to watch the H4 in particular in this area and look for a BOS up out of it. The last H4 Supply zone is sitting up near 75K, so it's not likely that it will push up that strong and break that level. We are more likely to make a bullish response on the H4 and create another potential supply zone that can be more easily broken.
Watch for it...wait for it, and if we get it, be ready to buy! As stated in the previous post, aggressive buyers already have longs set at around the ~55K area.
I pray you all are trading safely and staying ahead of the game. If you need help in analyzing and understanding the markets better, let us know and we'll be glad to help. As always, PLEASE leave me your comments, questions, and suggestions, and I'll reply.
XAUUSD H1 – Pullback Near Demand, Bulls Preparing the Next Leg?Gold is trading in a high-volatility recovery phase after the recent selloff, with price now pulling back into a clear H1 demand zone. This is a reaction-based market, where structure + fundamentals must align before continuation.
📌 Market Context (Fundamentals)
Gold remains highly sensitive to macro headlines as markets reassess:
Fed rate path expectations
US data momentum vs. slowing growth signals
Ongoing safe-haven demand on volatility spikes
No clear hawkish shift so far → downside moves look corrective, not impulsive.
➡️ Bias: Wait for confirmation at demand, not chase price.
📊 H1 Structure & Technicals
Prior selloff has lost momentum
Price is forming a technical pullback, holding above the last reaction low
Current move = rebalancing phase within a broader recovery
Key demand aligns with Fibonacci discount area
🎯 Key Trading Zones (H1)
🟢 BUY Zone (Primary Demand):
4,720 – 4,700
(Strong reaction base + discount zone)
❌ Invalidation:
H1 close below 4,700 → bullish recovery is invalidated
🎯 Upside Targets
TP1: 5,080 (first recovery resistance)
TP2: 5,345 (major H1 extension / liquidity target)
Gold H1: Distribution Phase After Break of StructureThis is a 1-hour (H1) XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) chart showing a clear market structure shift from accumulation to distribution, then into a strong bearish trend.
Key phases visible:
Range / Accumulation (Left side)
Price moves sideways inside a marked range, indicating consolidation and liquidity building.
Break of Structure (BoS)
Price breaks above the range high, signaling bullish intent and triggering a markup phase.
Trend Exhaustion & Reversal
After the strong bullish impulse, price forms a top and begins respecting a descending channel, showing a transition into bearish control.
Bearish Impulse (Markdown Phase)
Strong, consecutive bearish candles push price lower, confirming trend continuation to the downside.
Pullback into Rejection Zone
Price retraces into a marked supply / rejection zone (aligned with Ichimoku cloud resistance), suggesting institutional selling pressure.
Target Projection
A downside target is marked near prior lows / demand zone, implying a continuation short setup after rejection.
BUY Signal: XAG/USD (Silver Spot) – Long-TermEntry: ~65.00–67.00 (Best Buying Zone / major demand + order block area)
SL: <62.00 (below zone invalidation for safety)
TP1: 76.00–80.00 (recovery to recent lows / first resistance)
TP2: 90.00–95.00 (prior structure)
TP3: 105.00–110.00+ (longer-term target toward previous highs) Reason: Sharp correction wicked deep into strong multi-timeframe demand zone + bullish order block (~65.00 area, labeled "Best Buying Zone"). Massive downside liquidity grab after parabolic rally → classic high-probability accumulation spot for long-term reversal in the broader bull market for silver. #Silver #XAGUSD #Trading #Bullish #DemandZone #OrderBlock #BestBuying #PreciousMetals #LongTerm Not financial advice. Trading and investing involve high risk of loss, especially in volatile commodities. Always do your own research (DYOR), use proper position sizing and risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Below EMA, selling volume remains dominantHello everyone,
Looking at the current structure, the market is sending a fairly straightforward message: the primary trend remains bearish, and there are still no signs that the balance of control has shifted. The sequence of lower highs and lower lows is clearly intact, price is trading entirely below EMA 34 and EMA 89, and both moving averages are sloping downward. For me, that alone is enough to classify the market as bearish and to keep a defensive bias.
In this context, EMA 34 and EMA 89 are no longer acting as support but have turned into very “textbook” dynamic resistance levels. EMA 34 serves as short-term resistance, while EMA 89 caps price on a medium-term basis. What stands out is that nearly every rebound into these EMAs is quickly sold into, showing that sellers are firmly in control of price action. When EMA 34 stays below EMA 89 and the distance between them continues to widen, I consistently view upside moves as pullbacks within a downtrend, not as early reversal signals.
Volume further reinforces this view. Sharp declines are accompanied by a clear expansion in selling volume, reflecting active distribution and position unwinding. In contrast, recent rebounds have come with relatively weak volume, lacking meaningful follow-through from buyers. This is a very typical pattern of distribution within a downtrend, rather than accumulation ahead of a trend change.
From a price perspective, the area around EMA 34 is the nearest resistance, while EMA 89 represents a more attractive trend-aligned sell zone. On the downside, the most recent lows around 74k–75k are acting as temporary support. Only if price can print a clear H4 close back above EMA 89, supported by a convincing increase in buying volume, would I start to reassess the reversal narrative.
Silver Is Reacting From Major Support On the H1 timeframe, Silver is currently trading inside a broad consolidation structure after a sharp bearish impulse. The prior sell-off was aggressive and impulsive, confirming strong supply entering the market from the higher resistance zone. However, price has now reached a well-defined major support zone around the 72–74 area, where selling pressure has clearly stalled.
The reaction from this support zone is constructive. Buyers stepped in decisively, producing a sharp bounce rather than continued acceptance below support. This behavior suggests that the move into support was likely a liquidity sweep rather than the start of a fresh bearish expansion. Still, it’s important to note that this rebound is occurring within a broader range, not a confirmed bullish trend. From a structural perspective, the upside is capped by a clear supply zone overhead. As long as price remains below this supply and fails to reclaim the resistance zone with acceptance, the current move should be viewed as a corrective recovery. The projected upside path toward supply is reasonable if support continues to hold, but it remains a rotation within the range rather than trend continuation. The alternative scenario comes into play if price loses the support zone with strong momentum and acceptance. A clean breakdown below this level would invalidate the recovery thesis and reopen the downside toward lower demand levels.
In summary, Silver is stabilizing after a strong sell-off, with buyers defending a key support zone. However, the market has not yet done enough to confirm a bullish reversal. Until supply is reclaimed, rallies should be treated as corrective moves within a larger range.
USDOLLAR H1 | Bullish ContinuationThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 12.58, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 12.54, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 12.67, which is a pullback resistance.
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Gold (XAUUSD) Bearish Signal: Order Block Rejection + Downtrend SELL Signal on Gold (XAUUSD) Current Price: ~4,871 – 4,875
Bias: Bearish (Downtrend intact, Order Block tapped and rejected) Key Reasons: Price tapped the highlighted Order Block (Ob) and failed to hold → strong rejection
Recent BOS to the downside confirmed structure break
CHOCH earlier in the move supports bearish continuation
Overall chart shows bearish momentum after the pullback from higher highs
Entry: Sell from current levels / on confirmation around 4,870–4,875
Targets: TP1: 4,859 – 4,860 (near blue support)
TP2: 4,800 – 4,790 (BOS area + green support zone)
TP3: 4,780 or lower if momentum accelerates
Stop Loss: Above recent swing high / Order Block ~4,880–4,890 (tight risk) High probability short in this downtrend phase! Watch for further downside if breaks below 4,859. #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #BearishSetup #SMC #OrderBlock #TradingView #Forex #Commodities #Downtrend Not financial advice — This is for educational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Always do your own analysis and manage risk properly. DYOR! Feel free to tweak entry/targets based on live price action. Good luck!
EURGBP: Bearish Move From Trend Line 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP may retrace from a major falling trend line on a daily time frame.
The price formed a cup & handle pattern after its test on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 0.868
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Super Risky Knife Catch. Worth the risk.I usually never take trades like this, but something about this chart is speaking to me. Not much history to go off. We are currently making new lows. But we do have some downside support that MIGHT hold. Key word on MIGHT. The levels above have been tested. I am buying the $14 level because I dont think there is enough resistance to the upside to stop it once we hit this level. The risk is that we don't know how it will react as it is a falling knife. It could lose $14 and go straight to $9. I usually dont take trades like this, but the upside risk is so great that I dont want to miss it. If we dont hold here I will probably just hold a while and take the loss.
Levels come from my fib pull that is based on the move to the high and to the low on the monthly or yearly. It works very well for levels!
Don't Ask WHY, Ask HOW? (don't ask me)I mean it is what it is, call it what you will, where will it go, oh no who knows! Arthur Breitman is honestly just so intelligent, when you listen to him talk, he's just oozing with knowledge, how does a brain that big fit inside his skull? Some things we'll never know (maybe)!
Bulllish continuation?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot, which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8695
1st Support: 0.8670
1st Resistance: 0.8735
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$SPY & $SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Friday Feb 6, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Friday Feb 6, 2026
🌍 Market-Moving Themes
☁️ Cloud Confidence Restored
AMZN earnings reverse the AI capex panic as AWS profit growth proves spending is paying off
🚗 Legacy Auto Breakdown
Ford EV losses confirm widening gap between legacy automakers and Tesla as price wars intensify
📱 Ad Tech Surprise
SNAP earnings signal renewed advertiser demand and Gen Z engagement after years of stagnation
📊 Jobs Day Volatility
Non-Farm Payrolls set the tone for rates expectations, risk appetite, and end-of-week positioning
🛡️ Gold as Shock Absorber
Gold remains bid as hedge against both recession fear and inflation surprise from jobs data
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data Friday Feb 6 ET
8:30 AM
U.S. employment report Jan: 55,000
U.S. unemployment rate Jan: 4.4%
U.S. hourly wages Jan: 0.3%
Hourly wages YoY: 3.6%
10:00 AM
Consumer sentiment prelim Feb: 55.0
12:00 PM
Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speaks
3:00 PM
Consumer credit Dec: $8.0B
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #JobsReport #NFP #AMZN #AI #Cloud #Macro #Markets #Stocks #Options
Sell EUR/AUD before strong resistance.Due to the structure, I cancelled my previous EUR/AUD trade and have republished it with different details. The USD pairs are correcting now so I am focused on the crosses. The AUD & NZD currencies are the strongest at the moment with EUR extremely weak so take your pick. I choose this pair because the next support on the bigger timeframes is around 1.6800 with strong resistance around 1.7250. Any spike into this level should make a great selling opportunity.
Sell Limit : 1.7190 before minor high / strong resistance
Stop : 1.7318 above strong resistance
Profit : 1.6806 above cluster support Feb 2025
Risk 1 : 3 / stop is 128 pips
British Pound / Japanese Yen GBPJPY SHORT IDEA 4HGBPJPY – SHORT Idea on the 4H Timeframe
While GBPJPY has traded above this area in the past, the 2008 high around 216 remains a key historical resistance, marking an extreme zone where the market previously failed to sustain acceptance on higher timeframes.
Price is now approaching this region again after a strong and accelerated bullish leg, leaving the market extended and vulnerable to a corrective move. The current setup does not assume a permanent top, but rather focuses on the probability of a reaction or pullback as price revisits a long-term decision area.
This is a tactical counter-trend idea, aligned with the concept that historical extremes often act as reaction zones, even when they have been briefly breached in the past.
👉 Bias: Short-term corrective move
👉 Invalidation: Clear acceptance and continuation above the 216 area on higher timeframes
👉 Focus: Reaction, not prediction
Risk management is essential.






















