Trend Analysis
AUD/USD Short Setup — Clean Break Below 0.6520 Targeting 0.6490Here’s my short setup on AUD/USD (2H/15M confluence).
Price has been forming lower highs and showing fading bullish momentum. The 0.6520 level has been tested multiple times — I’m waiting for a confirmed break below that area before entering short.
Entry: 0.6515–0.6510
Stop-loss: 0.6548 (above previous swing high)
Take-profit: 0.6490 (first target) / 0.6470 (extended)
Risk-Reward: ≈ 1:2.5
Reasoning:
– Bearish structure remains intact below 0.6555
– Momentum slowing on the 2H with rejection wicks near 0.6540
– DXY showing minor strength intraday, favoring USD continuation
I’ll invalidate the setup if AUD/USD closes above 0.6555 with volume.
This idea is for educational and analysis purposes only.
NAS100 | Bearish Momentum Extends The Nasdaq 100 fell about 2.1% (~500 points) as projected, maintaining a bearish outlook while technology stocks continued to weigh on market sentiment.
Below 25,700: Bearish continuation towards 25,340 → 25,230 → 25,000.
Above 25,700: Short-term recovery towards 25,820 → 26,170.
XAUUSD Rangebound Currently XAUUSD Rangebound from 3980-4025 -zone. This Accumulation zone is more volatile as it ready for Implusive Repture.
What are my conditions For This setup?
- I'm expecting then buy trade once any candle closes above 3995 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target .
Although I already took buy .
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3980 our buying will be compromised & Market will fall to lower liquidity 3940-3925 zone .
QCOM: Weekly, Quarterly and EarningsPer request, here are my thoughts and analysis on QCOM.
Fundamentals are important for this ticker and here is why:
QCOM has underperformed the broader market ins 2025 due to its over-reliance on smartphone sales (about 75% of their business is tailored to smartphone sector, which is stagnate at present).
AAPL has shifted to custom chips for their phones, which has traditionally been a big supporter of QCOM.
QCOM is attempting to branch into the AI hype with its AI200 and 250 datacentre chips, the announcement of which boosted the stock by 11% in a day, investors still show caution with QCOM.
QCOM trades at a P/E ratio of ~16, far below Nvidia’s, suggesting undervaluation—but also reflecting investor caution
QCOM has made some big acquisitions and seems genuinely committed to diversification and expanding its operations and interests; however, its not at the level of AMD / NVDA and MSFT as of yet, leaving a lot of investor concern which you can see from the general under-performance of the stock.
As always, not advice!
Gold on Intra-day Selling pressureTechnical analysis: Sellers still haven’t missed their estimate as Gold aggressively invalidated #4,000.80 benchmark on multiple occasions (posing as an hard Support zone), due geo-political tensions as a strong catalyst which is putting DX in High demand on Weekly interval. Environment and general market sentiment remains however Gold friendly (about to engage relief rally) due to the Supply-Demand mechanism. DX and Gold are still diagonally correlated, their charts are again on Positive-Negative match which is elemental sign of correlation. This suggests that DX tested its multi-Month Resistance zone, and Gold is under mild Selling pressure. This doesn't affect my local Low’s Buying strategy even though Gold is isolated within Hourly 4 chart healthy Descending Channel that by my estimations will sustain according to all accounts and there are no signs of a rebound yet (it is a reversal pattern most of the times). Weekly chart was Trading near strong Support belt which was aggressively corrected Intra-day so I will not make a strategy shift and will trust my Medium to Long-term Bull model as long as Buying spree on Gold lasts. I have to be excessively careful with today's session as it represents crossroads for the Short-term.
My position: I have Sold Bought Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,998.80 especially towards #4,008.80 (aggressive Scalps) and called it for the session. Gold delivered significant Intra-day losses on Asian session and turned timefrimes to Bearish territory. Today is Intra-day Sell session and will continue Selling Gold from my key entry points.
Gold on Intra-day Selling pressureTechnical analysis: Sellers still haven’t missed their estimate as Gold aggressively invalidated #4,000.80 benchmark on multiple occasions (posing as an hard Support zone), due geo-political tensions as a strong catalyst which is putting DX in High demand on Weekly interval. Environment and general market sentiment remains however Gold friendly (about to engage relief rally) due to the Supply-Demand mechanism. DX and Gold are still diagonally correlated, their charts are again on Positive-Negative match which is elemental sign of correlation. This suggests that DX tested its multi-Month Resistance zone, and Gold is under mild Selling pressure. This doesn't affect my local Low’s Buying strategy even though Gold is isolated within Hourly 4 chart healthy Descending Channel that by my estimations will sustain according to all accounts and there are no signs of a rebound yet (it is a reversal pattern most of the times). Weekly chart was Trading near strong Support belt which was aggressively corrected Intra-day so I will not make a strategy shift and will trust my Medium to Long-term Bull model as long as Buying spree on Gold lasts. I have to be excessively careful with today's session as it represents crossroads for the Short-term.
My position: I have Sold Bought Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,998.80 especially towards #4,008.80 (aggressive Scalps) and called it for the session. Gold delivered significant Intra-day losses on Asian session and turned timefrimes to Bearish territory. Today is Intra-day Sell session and will continue Selling Gold from my key entry points.
long on DAX at the current support levels-currently DAX It's correcting but soon Market Makers should start to buy the dip at the levels showed in the chart. I'm planning to buy a small position at the current price and to take one more long position if the price will go lower
- DAX already for a long period of time didn't made new highs so It's possible if the DAX it's breaking the resistance level that could start a long strong trend
ETH/USD – Potential Bullish Reversal from Key Demand ZoneETH/USD – Potential Bullish Reversal from Key Demand Zone
🧭 Market Structure Overview
The Ethereum (ETH/USD) pair has been trading within a strong bearish trend, forming a consistent sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows across the 1-hour timeframe. Recent price action shows exhaustion near the latest Lower Low, where price is now reacting inside a well-defined Demand Zone (around 3,250–3,300).
This demand zone aligns with a previous structural support and a zone of liquidity sweep, indicating a potential area of institutional accumulation before a bullish retracement phase.
📉 Current Bearish Context
* The sustained downside move created multiple Lower Lows, reflecting continuous selling pressure and liquidity grabs below swing levels.
* Each impulsive drop filled prior Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), maintaining a clean bearish order flow.
* The final drive lower into the green demand zone suggests a possible displacement shift—a point where sellers could lose momentum, allowing buyers to re-enter.
📈 **Bullish Reversal Potential**
* Price is currently reacting near a high-probability Demand zone, which historically coincides with liquidity sweeps and smart money entries.
* The projected recovery path shows a potential bullish displacement toward key supply regions.
* The Bullish Liquidity band near 3,700 represents the first likely draw on liquidity, followed by mitigation of the Bearish Order Block (BE-OB) at the 3,850–3,950 region.
This aligns with the institutional logic of price seeking liquidity inefficiencies before continuing its higher timeframe narrative.
🎯 **Target Zones**
TP1: 3,700 → Bullish liquidity pocket; potential partial take-profit zone.
TP2: 3,900 → Major Bearish Order Block (BE-OB) and equilibrium target (0.79 FVG fill) TP3: 4,100 → Deep premium level, possible continuation target if momentum strengthens.
⚙️ **Trading Outlook (Educational Perspective)**
**Buy Scenario:**
* Wait for confirmation of a **Bullish Change of Character (CHOCH)** from the 3,250–3,300 zone.
* Confirmation can occur through a strong bullish candle closing above minor structure highs with volume expansion.
* A break of structure to the upside would confirm intent toward the 3,700–3,900 region.
**Sell Scenario:**
* If price fails to hold above 3,250 and breaks below 3,195, continuation of bearish structure remains valid, targeting deeper liquidity levels.
💡 **Summary Insight**
Ethereum is approaching a key turning point. The confluence of a demand zone, prior liquidity sweep, and potential for bullish displacement presents an opportunity for a short-term reversal rally toward premium zones (3,700–3,900). However, maintaining patience for confirmation remains crucial, as invalidation below 3,195 would reaffirm the macro bearish continuation.
🧠 *This analysis reflects institutional market behavior and is for educational use only.
BTCUSD D OutlookIn many markets if not all, a change in price structure such as bearish or bullish is basically determined when price takes its last high low in a bullish market, or a lower high in a bears market.
In this scenario on Daily timeframe on BTCUSD we can visually tell that a HIGHER LOW standing at price level 98,337 hasn't yet been taken out, through this we understand that we are still in a bullish momentum on btcusd with a corrective pullback towards a buying level.
In this sense with the high manipulations happening we should likely understand that before great momentum the market should grab liquidity or accumulate as much orders that gives it enough strength or liquidity to push to the opposit side of the correction..
Therefore, if price doesn't raid price level 98,337 or break below this price level, we should atleast expect some good reversal signs into bullish momentum.
All on all, it's just an insight, what do you think?
Is This the Start of the Next Natural Gas Upswing?💨 Natural Gas (XNG/USD) — “Profit Pathway Setup” 🎯 Swing / Day Trade Edition
📊 Market Overview:
The Energies Market is heating up — and Natural Gas is showing its next potential boom move! After a confirmed Moving Average Breakout, bulls are sneaking back in. 🕵️♂️
This setup blends discipline + creativity, using the Thief-Trader layered entry method — designed to catch price action efficiently while minimizing emotional errors. ⚙️
⚔️ Trade Plan (Bullish Setup):
Entry Zones (Layered Buys):
🟩 3.500
🟩 3.600
🟩 3.700
(You can expand your buy layers depending on your own comfort and risk plan.)
Stop-Loss (Thief SL):
🧯 3.350 — just below the nearest lower-low candle wick.
💬 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — this SL is a personal style choice, not a fixed rule. Manage your risk your way.
Target (Profit Escape Zone):
🎯 4.100 — a strong resistance + overbought + trap + distribution zone.
💬 Reminder: I’m not forcing my TP; you’re the boss of your own bag — make your profits, then take them! 💰
📈 Why This Setup Works:
🧠 Technical Confirmation: MA breakout = bullish continuation in progress.
🎯 Layering Strategy: Multiple limit orders reduce average cost + improve flexibility.
🏗️ Structural Setup: Clear accumulation → breakout → markup pattern emerging.
🧩 Exit Logic: Resistance + trap-zone = high-probability exit zone for profit capture.
🌍 Related Assets to Watch (Correlation Check):
💹 NYMEX:NG1! — Natural Gas futures benchmark, strong global mirror.
AMEX:UNG — U.S. NatGas ETF; sentiment confirmation.
🛢️ BLACKBULL:WTI / BLACKBULL:BRENT — closely tied to energy flow; when oil strengthens, gas often follows.
⚡ TVC:DXY — dollar strength can inversely impact commodity demand.
💵 FX:EURUSD — macro correlation to risk appetite across energy & FX.
Keep eyes on these pairs — their momentum helps confirm or contradict your NatGas bias. 👀
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Trend Bias: Bullish
💪 Setup Type: Swing / Day Trade hybrid
🧮 Risk : Reward: Favorable above 1 : 3
⏳ Holding Window: Short-term → Mid-term (2 – 5 days typical)
🧭 Trade Management: Stick to your plan — don’t chase, layer smart.
⚠️ Pro Tip:
If price breaks below 3.350, it’s a signal to step aside — no hero moves. 🛑
Price structure > emotions. Stay patient, and let the plan do the heavy lifting. 🧘♂️
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NaturalGas #XNGUSD #EnergyTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #CommodityTrading #ForexTrading #TradingIdeas #RiskManagement #MarketAnalysis #EnergyMarkets #TradingView #ChartAnalysis
GBPCAD: Bears Ready to Push Into Wave 5GBPCAD has completed a clear 1-2-3 move to the downside, followed by a corrective Wave 4 that has pushed the price higher inside a rising channel. This correction now looks nearly complete, as the price is struggling to break above the resistance. Once Wave 4 is finished, the chart suggests a final drop into Wave 5 toward the lower support zone. That would complete the overall bearish structure before any larger reversal can happen. In simple terms: correction is almost done → one more leg down expected.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
Bullish reversal off key support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry 1.1467
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.1393
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1556
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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ZEC on Deck — Time to CorrectZEC finally decided to correct after its unstoppable rally.
I’m expecting it to reach 330 and lower — time to cool down before the next leg up 😌
ZEC also looks ready for a correction since Bitcoin still looks bearish globally, which could put additional pressure on altcoins.
❌ Plan invalidation level: 413.42
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice or a trading signal.
Always make your own decisions and never trade without a stop-loss.






















