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Trend Analysis

$SPY (S&P 500 ETF Trust)🔍 Chart Context Ticker: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF Trust) Timeframe: 15-minute Indicators Visible: Smart Money concepts (liquidity, premium/discount zones), trend lines, volume profile, moving averages. Notable Zones: Premium (red block): Major supply zone where price rejected. Discount demand (blue blocks): Areas where buyers previously stepped in. Entry marked (yellow line): Short trade setup. 🧭 Technical Read Price Structure After a strong rally, SPY rejected from the premium zone near $661–$663. Multiple wicks show supply absorption → sellers defending that region. The chart shows a lower high forming below the red block. Volume / Liquidity Spikes in volume align with sharp rejections → signs of smart money distribution. Equilibrium zone highlighted suggests market balancing before choosing direction. Trade Setup You’ve marked “Taking this entry” just under the consolidation → short bias. Target likely at the discount demand zone ($657–$656). Risk above the supply premium block ($662–$663). 📈 Catalysts to Watch Macro: Fed rate cuts are heavily speculated, but recent strength may already be priced in. Any hawkish remarks or delayed cuts = bearish catalyst. Options Flow: If put OI clusters around 655–657 build, downside pressure will accelerate. Data Releases: CPI/PPI, jobless claims, or Fed speeches could act as volatility triggers. ⚖️ Probability Outlook Bearish short-term (next 1–3 sessions): 60% chance we test 657–656 demand. Neutral consolidation: 25% chance price chops sideways around 659 before a bigger move. Bullish invalidation: 15% chance we break above 663, targeting 665–667 liquidity.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
1
Short Weak Employment and Payroll Numbers Cable (GBP/USD)Data buried in the report: 1) This marks the 38th consecutive period where vacancy numbers have dropped compared with the previous three months, with vacancies decreasing in 9 of the 18 industry sectors. 2) The number of payrolled employees continues to fall 3) Employment rate (all aged 16 to 64) Quarterly change: ▲0.1pps Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▼-1.3pps The employment rate is up on the quarter and the year, but is still below pre-coronavirus pandemic rates. 4) The unemployment rate is up on the quarter and the year, and is above pre-pandemic rates. 5) Economic inactivity rate (all aged 16 to 64) Quarterly change: ▼-0.2pps Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▲0.8pps The economic inactivity rate is down on the quarter and the year, but is still above pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
Short
by PointBreak42
The opportunity is right in front of you, don’t miss it!Yesterday, the technical analysis of gold showed a rapid downward retreat in the Asian session, breaking through the 3630 mark and stabilizing and rebounding. It fluctuated and consolidated around the 3630 mark in the European and US sessions, and finally ushered in a strong rise by bulls. The price of gold accelerated to break through and stand above the 3670 mark to set a new historical high. The gold bulls rose as expected, and there are still new highs above, so we are patiently waiting for gold to continue to rise. When it falls back, we will continue to look for opportunities to enter the market and go long. Yesterday, we responded flexibly around the key points, and made precise arrangements with two-way thinking to achieve a double kill of long and short, a steady harvest, and perfectly reach our goals. Today we continue to wait for further declines. After all, all indicators are bullish. Don’t guess the top if the bulls are strong. If the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is on Thursday, then the line around 3700 will also be within reach. At present, don’t blindly chase the longs above the 3680 line. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Welcome to communicate with us! From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3670-3360. If it pulls back to this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3650. As long as the daily closing level does not fall below this position, any pullback is an opportunity to go long, and the main tone of participating in the trend will remain unchanged. I will provide you with the specific operation strategies at the bottom, please pay attention to them in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3675-3360, target 3690-3695. If it breaks, look at the 3700 line.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
1
DeGRAM | BNBUSD above the $900 level📊 Technical Analysis ● BNB/USD has confirmed a breakout above the 900 level, turning former resistance into support while price continues to respect the ascending channel. ● The structure points to bullish continuation, with buyers likely targeting the 1,000 psychological level if the 900–910 zone holds as a base. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Binance’s recent efforts to expand regulatory compliance and strengthen its ecosystem continue to support investor confidence, reinforcing BNB’s role as a core exchange token. ✨ Summary Bullish above 900; targets 950 → 1,000. Invalidation on a close below 890. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Avalanche ETF Buzz + Breakout Setup — What’s Next?Avalanche has been quietly working on one of the cleanest Wyckoff accumulation structures we’ve seen across majors this year. For more than six months, essentially from late February until mid-August, the price rotated in a broad range, chewing through supply and frustrating impatient longs. From a Wyckoff perspective, we had an extended accumulation phase of ~180 days , clear higher lows forming into the summer, and a decisive show of strength in early September. With supply finally cleared at the top of the range, it has given us a clean breakout that suggests it’s ready to reprice higher into Q4 . 🔥 Zooming Into the 4H On the 4H, the price action since the breakout shows a textbook sequence : an impulsive expansion leg higher, followed by a pause for balance. The initial leg in early September was initiative buying, pushing CRYPTOCAP:AVAX from ~$25 to $30. Since then, we’ve been consolidating in a relatively tight box between $28–31 , establishing a new base of value. The point of control ( POC ) for this entire impulse sits right around $28 . That’s the key balance point where both buyers and sellers agreed on fair value during the expansion. As long as AVAX holds above that POC, the path of least resistance remains up . Acceptance above $28 tells me the market is comfortable repricing higher, and responsive buyers are ready to defend pullbacks into that zone. The other level to watch is the untested demand zone at $26–27 . This was the origin for the impulsive move, and it hasn’t been revisited yet. If we do pull back, that’s where I expect responsive flows to step in. In other words, dips into $26–27 are likely to find buyers with conviction. For active traders, that’s a clean area to structure risk: defined demand zone, clear invalidation below $25, and upside targets much higher. 🔥 Catalysts The technicals aren’t the only thing working in AVAX’s favor. There are also some fundamental tailwinds. This week, news broke of Avalanche’s partnership with Kalshi , a growing prediction markets platform. More importantly, Bitwise filed an S-1 with the SEC for a Spot Avalanche ETF . It’s still early in the process, but the filing itself is a meaningful step. Even if approval takes time, the headline alone positions AVAX as one of the few assets outside Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana that could potentially get mainstream ETF access. What’s your read on this move? Do you see CRYPTOCAP:AVAX sustaining this breakout, or is it setting up for a deeper pullback? ——————x——————x——————x——————x——————x——————x—————— ⚠️ Disclaimer: Crypto products, NFTs, Memecoins are unregulated and can be highly risky. There may be NO regulatory recourse for any losses arising from such transactions. This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and speculative — you may lose part or ALL of your investment. I am NOT liable for your losses. Please do NOT copy my trades. Always consult YOUR financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
Long
by johntradingwick
1
XAUUSD Short: Correction After the All-Time HighHello, traders! The prior market structure for XAUUSD was a prolonged consolidation range, from which the price broke out with significant bullish momentum. This breakout initiated a powerful upward trend, with the price auction pushing through multiple resistance levels to establish a new all-time high. This marked the climax of the recent buying initiative. Currently, following the peak at the ATH, the market has entered a corrective phase. Sellers have taken control in the short term, and the price is now declining from the highs. The auction is presently challenging the first major demand zone located between 3585 and 3570, but the bearish momentum appears strong. The primary scenario anticipates a continuation of this corrective move. The expectation is that the current 3570 demand level will fail to hold against the selling pressure. A confirmed breakdown below this demand zone would validate the short thesis and open the path for a deeper correction towards the main ascending trend line. The take-profit is therefore set at 3565, targeting the area immediately following this breakdown. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by heniitrading
13
USD/JPY finally breaks downThe US dollar has been broadly weaker against most major currencies, with the exception of the Japanese yen. That is, until today. The USD/JPY had been holding up relatively well but today the pair has slipped around 0.5% after breaking below the 147.00 support level, raising the risk of a deeper bearish move. The market had tested this level several times in recent weeks, bouncing back but failing to generate follow-through to the upside. Resistance has consistently emerged around the 200-day moving average at 149.00 and more recently near 148.00. With upside momentum fading, USD/JPY is now vulnerable to a larger breakdown, particularly if the Fed delivers a dovish surprise. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
IMX/USDT – Structural Breakout Setting the Stage for a ReversalOverview Immutable (IMX) has been trading in a prolonged downtrend since its 2024 peak near $3.76, carving out a descending channel with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Recently, however, the price action shows early signs of a potential structural shift. With momentum building and volume confirming interest, IMX could be entering the early stages of a major trend reversal. Technical Structure Falling Wedge Breakout: Price has been respecting a falling wedge formation for over a year. The latest breakout attempt above the upper trendline is a strong bullish technical signal. Accumulation Base: The zone around $0.60–$0.70 acted as a significant accumulation area. Multiple retests suggest strong hands are absorbing supply here. Key Levels in Play: Immediate resistance: $0.88 Mid-term target: $1.20–$1.25 (structural retest zone) Major upside objective: $1.88, which aligns with prior horizontal supply and wedge resistance flip. Invalidation: A breakdown below $0.55 would invalidate the bullish structure and suggest continuation of the broader downtrend. Outlook & Strategy Institutional flows often enter during wedge breakouts, where risk/reward skews favorably. If IMX sustains momentum above $0.88, the path toward $1.20 opens quickly, with a measured move target pointing to $1.88 in the medium term. Traders should monitor pullbacks into the $0.70–$0.75 zone as potential accumulation opportunities. Any retest of broken wedge resistance turning into support would strengthen the bullish thesis. Conclusion IMX is at an inflection point. After an extended corrective cycle, the technical structure suggests the potential start of a new bullish phase. With clear invalidation levels and defined upside targets, IMX/USDT presents a setup worth monitoring closely for trend reversal confirmation.
Long
by TradeMarketWatch
2
How long can gold hold the $3,700 mark?How long can gold hold the $3,700 mark? Today, gold prices briefly hit $3,699/oz, a new all-time high and approaching the $3,700 mark. The market is clearly overbought. This suggests that gold prices may face correction pressure in the short term, but a deeper correction is unlikely given strong fundamental support. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Thursday (September 18th) is currently the focus of market attention. The market generally expects a 25 basis point rate cut, but some analysts believe a 50 basis point cut is possible. As shown in the chart: Breakout: Gold prices have accelerated upward again after breaking through the previous flag consolidation pattern. 4-hour chart: Short-term support: Around $3,670, currently the nearest dynamic support level for the day. Trading strategy: Intraday long strategy: Consider building a position in batches when gold prices stabilize in the $3,660-3,670 area (the aforementioned support level). Short Strategy: Given the overbought market, aggressive traders could test short positions with a small amount near key resistance levels (e.g., $3,700), maintaining tight stop-loss orders and targeting near-term support levels. However, this is a counter-trend play and carries a high level of risk. Key Recommendation: Avoid chasing highs and selling lows; both long and short positions should be based on key price levels. Expectations of a Fed rate cut: This is the most core driver at this time. Gold prices could experience a healthy 5%-6% correction in the short term. If this occurs, key support lies below the $3,650-3,620 level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber
AUD: (AUDUSD) Bullish Continuation..?Hello traders in this weekly view AUD remains in long position, it have been up trending for couple weeks now and in respect to this structure the pair is heading towards the resistance area as we can see which there might be a partial breakout above the resistance with a target at 0.7169 as the next resistance. Meanwhile we anticipate a reversal below with a target at 0.6348 as the next partial support. Possible Outline; Hold on bullish position for long term trade and keep close eye on the resistance zone Follow up Thanks for reading
Long
by Blaisefxacademy
Cable Short (GBP/USD) Poor Employment and Payroll DataRemaining underwhelmed by price action, trapping, following this mornings data print. Anticipating a liquidity grab, lower, pushed by US Retail Data. Recap on the Employment Data, buried in the report: 1) This marks the 38th consecutive period where vacancy numbers have dropped compared with the previous three months, with vacancies decreasing in 9 of the 18 industry sectors. 2) The number of payrolled employees continues to fall 3) Employment rate (all aged 16 to 64) Quarterly change: ▲0.1pps Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▼-1.3pps The employment rate is up on the quarter and the year, but is still below pre-coronavirus pandemic rates. 4) The unemployment rate is up on the quarter and the year, and is above pre-pandemic rates. 5) Economic inactivity rate (all aged 16 to 64) Quarterly change: ▼-0.2pps Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▲0.8pps The economic inactivity rate is down on the quarter and the year, but is still above pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
Short
by PointBreak42
Dollar Index (DXY) – Watching Both Sides LiquidityOn the daily timeframe, we can clearly identify liquidity resting on both sides of the chart: Relative equal lows acting as sell-side liquidity. Low-resistance highs representing buy-side liquidity. From my perspective, the main draw on liquidity remains the sell-side lows. However, before targeting that area, price may first reach higher to grab the buy-side liquidity. Once this liquidity is collected, I expect a potential shift in momentum and a move to the downside. 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 💡Wait for the update!
PEPPERSTONE:USDXShort
by VahidTradingCR
1
BNB/USDT – 1H OutlookBNB is currently retracing upward into a key supply zone after a recent break of structure to the downside. This supply area stands as a critical decision point, where sellers may look to regain control and drive the price lower. The overall market structure remains bearish, suggesting that this upward move could simply be a temporary pullback rather than a full trend reversal. If price action shows rejection within supply, it may confirm continuation of the bearish momentum, opening the way for a move towards the lower demand zone. On the other hand, a strong breakout above supply would delay bearish confirmation and potentially allow buyers to extend the rally further. At this stage, monitoring price behavior within supply is crucial, as it will determine whether the market respects the bearish structure or attempts a short-term shift in sentiment.
Short
by Daffapouuse
USDJPY Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by Derry_Trades