Get started

Trend Analysis

Two or one leg down to 23850 again From Thursday's closed around 25 000, looks to me, like the downtrend channel may be maintained, with todays breakout failing. The 4 hourly rose up and was rejected at the 150 sma (pink arrow). So thinking it now will retest the 23850 lows. I think it will do this in a 2 leg more or less equal measured move down. At an estimate first to ~24350, then less of a rally than the last couple we have had, and more of a slow retrace back to ~24500 - more flag like, then down 23850 ish. Though it could potentially do that in one move on friday. Possible, but a bit of a stretch for one day though, unless some rather dire news happens to coincide tomorrow. The visible range volume profile certainly seems to adequately accommodate a move to 24350, with little problem, while less so to ~24000k in my interpretation, yet, i still feel the price will need to go there as a significant low. Of interest, it is also setting up to look similar to a period of last months chart - see set of three thin black arrows. If it stays similar this pattern, then that would suggest a one leg down move, like we had then. But that is a less probable scenario i think, barring any particularity bad news event. So this similarity is mentioned more as a point of interest, as it doesnt have a technical basis of which i am aware. This could all be a load of nonsense of course, and it breaks out back up!
IG:NASDAQShort
by Raccus
2
EURUSD Is Correcting Inside an Uptrend — Not Rolling OverHELLO GUYS TICKMILL:EURUSD on H4 remains structurally bullish, with price continuing to respect a well-defined ascending channel. The recent pullback from the upper boundary is a normal corrective move rather than a breakdown, as price has rotated back toward the mid-to-lower channel area where dynamic support from the rising EMAs is converging. Higher highs and higher lows are still intact on the broader structure, indicating that buyers remain in control despite short-term volatility. From a price-action perspective, the current decline looks corrective and overlapping, not impulsive. As long as price holds above the channel base and the 1.1700–1.1720 support region, the bullish structure remains valid. This zone acts as a decision area: holding it favors another rotation higher toward the channel top, while a clean break below would signal a deeper correction rather than immediate trend reversal. From a macro standpoint, this technical behavior aligns with ongoing EUR–USD dynamics. While the U.S. dollar has seen intermittent strength from short-term data releases, the broader rate differential outlook between the Fed and ECB is no longer widening aggressively. Markets are increasingly pricing a stabilization phase in monetary policy expectations, which limits sustained USD upside and allows EURUSD to remain bid within its trend. This macro backdrop supports corrective pullbacks being bought rather than extended sell-offs. In summary, FOREXCOM:EURUSD is in a healthy pullback within a bullish channel. As long as structural support holds, the path of least resistance remains higher toward the upper channel and prior highs. This is a wait for Support reaction environment patience is required until price confirms continuation or invalidation with clear intent.
Long
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
2
TESLA Did it just get rejected on its 4-year Resistance?Tesla (TSLA) has been trading within a Rising Wedge pattern since the November 01 2021 High. The current weekly (1W) candle almost hit this pattern's top (Higher Highs trend-line) yesterday and today got rejected. That is the 4-year Higher Highs Resistance that initiated Tesla's last major correction of -56% during December 16 2024 - April 07 2025. Technically this pattern has provided another 3 such major correction events, with all declining by at least -50.10%. With the 1W RSI also trading within its own Wedge, displaying a similar peak pattern, we expect the price to start a strong decline of at least 6 months. The minimum -50.10% decline projection from the Higher Highs trend-line, gives a $260.00 Target estimate. If the 1W RSI hits its Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line first, we can consider taking the profit on this one earlier. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by TradingShot
2
$11,300 in 14 minutes!Trading isn’t hard. Interpreting everything at once is. This NQ trade wasn’t about predicting anything. It was about confluence being clear enough to act without hesitation. Trend, momentum, structure, and higher-timeframe context were aligned. No mixed signals. No mental gymnastics. No second-guessing. When multiple inputs agree, the trade becomes obvious. Execution gets simple. Management gets boring. And exits stop feeling like guesses. This is what happens when you’re not juggling indicators in your head, but reading one coherent market state instead. Same market. Same volatility. Just organized context. Clarity, bar by bar.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by signalviper
2
FETCH – Weekly AnalysisFETCH is currently trading at a key HTF support zone that has acted as support → resistance → support multiple times in the past. Price is also compressing against a descending trendline, which increases the probability of a volatility expansion. Key observations: Strong historical support around current price Downtrend structure still intact Potential trendline breakout if buyers step in No confirmation yet → patience required Bullish scenario: Weekly close above the descending trendline Support holds as higher low ➡️ Possible trend reversal / expansion Bearish scenario: ❌ Loss of HTF support ➡️ Continuation of the macro downtrend Always wait for confirmation. What’s your bias here?
by Mrctradinglab
2
XRP – Bearish Breakout Expected from Rising ABC StructureXRP has formed a rising corrective ABC structure, moving inside a narrowing ascending channel. The market has already shown weakness near the upper boundary, and the structure looks exhausted. I expect a downward breakout from this ABC formation , which should lead to a broader corrective phase. The primary downside target is located near $0.90 , aligning with a major horizontal support level and the origin of the previous impulsive move.
Short
by BlessingTrade
1
AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W51 | D17 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D17 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
3
AUD/JPY eyes 102.40 as BOJ loomsThe bearish correction in AUD/JPY has stalled above the key 102.40 level, coinciding with the swing high set in November 2024. While the pair bounced on Wednesday after an exploratory probe beneath the level, it remains close enough to use for protection depending on how near-term price action evolves. With the message from the oscillators more neutral than bullish, with RSI (14) approaching 50 while MACD has crossed the signal line from above and is pushing lower, price action should take precedence when assessing whether to go long or short. If AUD/JPY can hold 102.40 into the European session, consider initiating longs with a stop beneath the level for protection, targeting a retest of resistance above 104 and the December swing high. But if the pair reverses back beneath 102.40 into the European open and holds there, the setup could be flipped, with shorts established on the break and a stop above for protection, targeting 101.50 initially. Friday’s Bank of Japan interest rate decision looms as a major volatility catalyst, so ensure risk management is top of mind when assessing setups. I suspect the bank will deliver a dovish hike, lifting overnight rates by 25 basis points while talking down the urgency for more imminently. Such an outcome would normally lend itself to upside, given the pair has seen strong relationships with risk appetite and rate differentials between Australia and Japan over recent weeks. Good luck! DS
by FOREX.com
1
Bitcoin Bullish ShiftBitcoin Update – Confirmation of Short-Term Bullish Shift Bitcoin has now confirmed both $80K and $85K as strong support levels, validating yesterday’s analysis. The successful defense of these zones marks a clear short-term bullish shift in market structure. Price respected the $85K support precisely as anticipated, reinforcing buyer strength and increasing the probability of continuation to the upside. As long as BTC holds above $85K, the bias remains bullish, with the $92K–$94K resistance zone as the next key area to watch. I’m now focused on price reaction around that resistance, which will determine whether momentum can extend further or if a healthy consolidation is needed before continuation.
Long
by Proudforrte
1
GBP/USD – H2 Analysis....GBP/USD – H2 Analysis (As per My chart) Market Structure Price is moving inside a clear ascending channel. Trend remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows. Recent pullback found support near the lower channel + Ichimoku cloud, showing buyers are active. Momentum suggests continuation toward upper channel resistance. --- 📈 Buy Scenario Buy Zone: 1.3350 – 1.3380 🎯 Targets Target 1: 1.3500 Target 2: 1.3550 --- ❌ Invalidation A strong H2 close below 1.3300 will weaken/invalidates the bullish setup. --- 📌 Summary Trend: Bullish Bias: BUY Expectation: Price to move up toward the upper channel resistance as marked on ymy chart
Long
by XAUxBTC_Pro
2
Long Term Silver Bull Going ShortThis post is a follow up to my "Grand Silver Supercycle" chart posted on 2/2/2023. I recommend referencing that chart to understand my commentary here. In that chart, I called for silver to double in price by the end of 2025 and to reach $95 by 2027. Since then, silver has overshot my near term price targets. I'm here to argue that silver has gone up too far too quickly and is due for a sharp pullback to the $50-$55 range. Why am I calling this the near term top? Silver has very neatly followed Elliot Wave Theory throughout its history. In 2023, I predicted Wave 3 of the current cycle, which began with the low in the summer of 2022, to have a 1.618 extension of Wave 1. Instead, silver just reached the 2.618 extension, which back in 2023, I thought was too bold of a prediction. While it is possible for a 4.618 extension to 102.5, these extensions are very rare. The bias is towards a pullback here. There is also a convergence between the Elliot Wave extension, a fib retracement level, and logarithmic trendline. This indicates that any attempts to breakout higher will face strong resistance. Finally, I need to talk about gold. The monthly RSI has been over 90 for 3 months, closing in on 4 months. Gold has only held an RSI above 90 for 4 consecutive months at one point prior in its charted history. Gold is still silver's big brother and will determine the direction the two move.
TVC:SILVERShort
by Cryptogold14
5
BITCOIN Ichimoku red flip taking place. NOT GOOD.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is in the process of turning its 1W Ichimoku Cloud from bullish (green) to bearish (red). It has been on a consecutive green state since October 23 2023. This red flipping is a major development as relative to the previous BTC Bear Cycles, it has happened around the exact same stage that we are at right now. This technically confirms that we are already on the new Bear Cycle (something we've been talking about since September) and that the basic stages/ phases of it remain the same. The high degree of symmetry is further shown by the fact that when this Ichimoku flip takes place, the price has historically been trading around 175 days (25 weeks) away from it (green circle), supported by the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). And that has always been the stage of a counter-trend rebound/ rally that targeted and was rejected on the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). The second remarkable display of symmetry is that following this Ichimoku red flip, the Bear Cycles bottomed around 105 days (15 weeks) after it (blue circles). So what do the above data suggest for the market right now? That there is a short-term rally pending towards the 1D MA200 and that we may see the Bear Cycle bottoming around the end of September 2026. Would you agree with this thesis? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
9
Ethereum — Bearish structure confirmed amid weak macro sentimentHello everyone, At the moment, Ethereum is trading within a broader risk-off environment, where defensive sentiment continues to dominate risk assets. Capital flows have yet to show a strong enough return to support a sustainable bullish trend, while investors remain cautious amid macroeconomic uncertainty and overall liquidity conditions. This hesitation has caused recent ETH rebounds to lack follow-through and remain vulnerable to selling pressure. From a technical perspective , the H4 chart clearly reflects a weakening market structure. After a sharp impulsive move higher, Ethereum failed to maintain expansion and was quickly rejected at higher levels, forming a failed breakout . The return of price below the breakout area signals that buyers were unable to maintain control, allowing sellers to reassert dominance. The zone around 3,270–3,320 USD now acts as a key resistance area . This region aligns with prior supply and important technical factors, where price has repeatedly faced rejection. As long as the bearish structure remains intact, rallies into this area should be viewed as trend-aligned SELL opportunities , rather than early signs of a bullish reversal. On the downside, the 3,070–3,000 USD region represents the nearest support target. While this zone has previously generated price reactions, within an active downtrend it should be treated primarily as a potential profit-taking area , not a safe BUY zone. Attempting to catch a bottom while the lower-high, lower-low structure remains intact introduces unnecessary risk. Looking at market behavior , recent recoveries have been characterized by weak momentum, narrow ranges, and a lack of decisive buying participation. This suggests a phase of distribution and rebalancing , rather than accumulation for trend continuation. When the market fails to accept higher prices, the probability of downside continuation outweighs that of an early reversal. In conclusion , Ethereum remains in a controlled corrective downtrend. With neither the technical structure nor the current news backdrop supporting a bullish scenario, the most prudent approach is to prioritize selling rallies , apply strict risk management, and remain patient until the market delivers clearer signals. In trading, aligning with the dominant trend consistently offers a higher probability edge than attempting to anticipate a bottom. Wishing you clear judgment, disciplined risk management, and sustainable trading performance.
Short
by Jasmine_Rojas
22
Is Natural Gas Bull Market Back? Natural gas saw an epic bounce today as 3 major weekly moving averages were defended. Price action rallied sharply higher off the weekly 20, 50 & 200 MA. This could be a massive bullish back test before we bounce back to new highs. Resource stocks showed impressive strength during a day when markets were under pressure. We have been nibbling on resource stock like we have said in our videos. Inventories are tomorrow which could set the tone for the next bull rally.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Trading-Capital
1
GOLD scenario potential continuation setup.Gold is trading within a broader consolidation range after a strong bullish impulse. Price previously ranged sideways before breaking higher, confirming bullish strength. The current structure shows price pulling back into a key demand zone, suggesting a potential continuation setup. Technically if price holds above the demand zone and breaks above 4,340, a continuation toward 4,372 is likely if the price looks weak we could expect price again move to downside a support level could 4272 t0 4250 You may find more details in the chart, Trade wisely best of luck buddies. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
26
Protective Put Support Zone & Gap FillAVGO – Breakdown Below HVL, Gap Fill Toward 320, Protective Put Support Zone AVGO is trading in a high-volatility, momentum-driven downside phase , following a clean breakdown below the HVL. The move marks a clear regime shift, as price exited a tight transition zone and accelerated lower with conviction. The downside was well signaled by sustained put-side pressure over multiple sessions, with price repeatedly rejecting from the 50 EMA . Once HVL failed, downside momentum expanded rapidly, consistent with a retail-driven move rather than a controlled dealer-defended range. From an options structure perspective, protective put positioning now defines the next meaningful downside reference. Current positioning shows the next major protective put support clustered around 320 , which also aligns with a clean gap-fill level on the chart. This makes 320 a dual-confluence area: technical gap fill protective put floor where dealer hedging dynamics may begin to dampen downside momentum Until that zone is reached, price is effectively moving through thin structure, where volatility expansion and sharp intraday swings should be expected. Key levels & structure: Below HVL → bearish regime confirmed 50 EMA → repeated rejection, trend continuation signal 320 → primary downside target & potential stabilization zone (gap fill + protective puts) Any stabilization or bounce attempts are more likely to occur only after interaction with the 320 area, not before.
NASDAQ:AVGOShort
by TanukiTrade
1
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Accumulation Ahead of Another Wave Gold is stuck within a tiny horizontal range, testing a resistance cluster based on a current All-Time High. I think that a bullish accumulation is currently taking place. A signal that I am looking for to buy Gold is a breakout and a daily candle close above 4384 - ATH level. It will be a strong signal that will push the prices higher. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
2