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AUD/USD Ready for a Short Squeeze? COT Divergence Signals1. Retail Sentiment 73% of retail traders are short versus 27% long. Such an unbalanced positioning usually suggests short squeeze potential, as the market often moves against retail flows, especially when technical levels confirm the bias. 2. COT Report USD Index: Non-Commercials remain skewed to the short side (+18.6k short vs. +13.6k long), with a slight reduction. This indicates the dollar is losing part of its net strength. AUD Futures: Non-Commercials are heavily short (112k vs. 29k long), adding –16,930 new shorts. However, Commercials (hedgers) increased their longs (+11,908). Historically, commercials are more accurate at market turning points. This divergence may point to a bottom forming in AUD. 3. Seasonality (September) September has historically been neutral to slightly negative for AUD/USD: flat performance over 20 years, and weaker over the last 5 years. However, mid-to-late September seasonality stabilizes, setting the stage for an October recovery. Bearish pressure may start fading, leaving room for upside. 4. Technical Outlook Demand Zone: 0.6450–0.6500 has repeatedly rejected price, confirming strong support. Supply Zone: 0.6650–0.6700, recently tested, represents the first upside target. Structure: Price is printing higher lows and showing signs of a potential bullish structure shift. RSI is neutral, with no overbought signals. Possible Scenario: A short pullback into 0.6520–0.6540 before accelerating toward 0.6680–0.6700. 5. Trading Summary Bias: Moderately bullish in the short-to-medium term. Key Drivers: Extreme retail short positioning → potential squeeze. COT divergence (specs heavily short, commercials long) → possible bottom. Weak but improving seasonality. Technical structure favoring upside continuation. 👉 Bottom line: AUD/USD favors long setups, but heavy Non-Commercial short exposure implies volatility could remain elevated.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
CARDANO Bullish Leg to $1.075 has just started.Cardano (ADAUSD) is on a strong rebound following the September 01 Low, which was a technical Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up that started on the June 22 bottom. That pattern managed to break last month above the 8-month Lower Highs trend-line of the massive mid-Cycle correction that ADA had. This Channel Up has priced its two Higher Highs so far just above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we expect the current Bullish Leg to reach at least $1.0750. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ADAUSDLong
by TradingShot
ZBCN Builds Bullish Pressure as Market Awaits BreakoutZBCN has been consolidating within a tightly controlled equilibrium zone, with support and resistance converging into an apex structure. Market sentiment leans bullish, but a decisive move awaits volume confirmation. The recent consolidation of ZBCN reflects a high-control equilibrium, with price compressing into a narrowing range. This structure has created an APEX zone, a critical inflection point where the next move — bullish or bearish — will be determined. Market structure currently favors the bulls, but the lack of confirming volume has delayed a breakout. Key Technical Points: - APEX Zone Forming: Support and resistance are converging tightly, creating a breakout setup. - Volume Profile Weakness: Current volume has been declining, suggesting traders are waiting for confirmation. - Bullish Bias: Consecutive higher highs and higher lows tilt the odds toward an upside resolution. From a technical perspective, the formation of consecutive higher highs and higher lows signals growing bullish momentum. This structural evolution has increased the likelihood that the APEX zone resolves upward. Still, the critical factor is the volume profile — a breakout without strong bullish inflows is unlikely to sustain. If volume expands alongside a decisive break above resistance, ZBCN could accelerate sharply as sidelined liquidity enters. Traders should remain cautious, as apex setups can also trigger sudden downside flushes if support gives way. What to Expect in the Coming Price Action ZBCN is approaching a pivotal decision point. A volume-backed breakout above resistance would validate the bullish structure and open the door for continuation higher, while failure to hold support could trap late longs.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
2
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Buy & Sell Reversal entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal - 147.500 🩸Bearish Reversal - 148.050 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Lingrid | GOLD Price Deceleration: Short-Term Retracement The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has reached a fresh all-time high within the upward channel but is now showing price deceleration near the 3,660 resistance zone, suggesting exhaustion. Price action is forming smaller candles in the profit-taking area, indicating weakening bullish momentum. A rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward 3,590, with deeper downside potential toward 3,470 if sellers sustain control. The broader structure highlights a possible correction unfolding following A-B-C movement from this overextended zone. 💡 Risks: A softer US CPI could reignite bullish flows and invalidate the sell scenario. Renewed geopolitical tensions may increase safe-haven demand and push gold higher. A dovish Federal Reserve shift could restore strong buying pressure and reverse any correction. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lingrid
23
CPI Showdown – Will Gold Claim 3675+ or Collapse First?Gold at the Gates – CPI Will Choose the Winner Gold has been climbing relentlessly, step by step, like a king walking through open gates. The last breakout above 3640 was no accident — it was structure unfolding with precision. Now, we stand in front of tomorrow’s battlefield: CPI and Jobless Claims. These are not just numbers; they’re the spark that can ignite a trend continuation… or flip the script in one violent sweep. If bulls defend 3628–3635, the road is clear to 3660, and then the higher ground at 3675–3685. But if the floor breaks, expect a sharp liquidity grab under 3635 before any recovery. This is not a random range. It’s the decision point, where market makers will show their hand. ⚡ Tomorrow, the question is simple: will Gold march higher into uncharted territory, or will CPI pull the rug first? ⚡ If this plan gives you clarity, smash the like ❤️, drop your comment 💬, and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for daily precision maps 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Bitcoin Warming Up- Like always, everything in the graphic to simplifies the information, stay simple is better. - Bitcoin is known for its extreme price volatility, which can lead to major fluctuations, such as a significant crash in value followed by a rapid doubling of its price in a very short period, for that simple reason i avoid to predict low timeframe moves. - Now check the hidden bullish divergence, check the level of BBW, the volality could be low, but TheKing could be ready to make parabolic move soon or later. - I do my best to try to post at the good time for medium long term investment. - Don't forget that 125,000$ is far to be enough. Happy Tr4Ding !
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by thecryer
Litecoin is showing signs of technical strength and momentumLitecoin is one of the most widely supported coins on exchanges, wallets, ATMs. Used as a liquid bridge asset (cheap, fast transfers). MimbleWimble Extension Blocks (MWEB) added optional privacy (2022). It’s a store-and-transfer coin rather than a platform for innovation. It is a 14-years old, and one of the most battle-tested blockchains. LTC is likely to regain top-5 status and could continue as a legacy payments coin with bursts of cyclical outperformance.
CRYPTO:LTCUSDLong
by DolomitiCapital
How to recognize the Fundamentals Support in a stock chart.Candlesticks are more than just a buy entry signal or a sell short entry signal. Candlesticks offer far more information such as where are the fundamentals of a company in relation to its stock price? The chart of AMZN shows the current level of fundamentals at this time which is within the outlined price level. AMZN is an excellent example of a company that is prospering during a time of rising tariffs and trade wars. AMZN chart also show Buy Side "Support the Market" activity and quiet accumulation for much of this year. The steady rise of Accum/Dist is a pattern in the indicator that represents quiet accumulation over time. Reminder: When Dark Pools are in accumulation mode they do not move price in huge price action. The candles will be small, uniform, and periodic. TWAP orders, Time Weighted at Average Price are used to set an automatic ping to buy when a stock falls below the fundamental level of a sideways trend. Fundamentals are always sideways trends. If the stock moves beyond the high price set for the TWAP order, then the accumulation buying ping halts and waits. Therefore, you can see the area where the majority of Dark Pool TWAP orders are buying and when the orders pause. This is very useful information as Professional Independent Traders are monitoring the Dark Pool Buy Zone and will buy with the Dark Pools in anticipation that the liquidity draw is going to drive price upward suddenly as HFTs AI suddenly find the liquidity draw which occurs slowly over time, often several months.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Waiting for a signal above 1.172, EURUSD ready to break outHello everyone, On H1, EURUSD recently dropped to 1.169 before bouncing back with a long lower wick – a sign that buying support is still present. Price is now pressing the Ichimoku cloud edge, near the 1.170–1.171 balance zone. Above, there is a layered FVG supply from 1.172 → 1.176–1.178; below are supports around 1.169–1.168, deeper at 1.166 (old FVG bottom). My technical view: I lean slightly bullish as long as price stays above 1.168. If an H1 candle closes above 1.1715–1.172 (fully escaping the cloud), the retracement could push up to 1.174 and test 1.176. Conversely, a close below 1.166 would signal weak rebound momentum, with a risk of returning to 1.162. Regarding news, this week is quite heavy with US PPI today, US CPI tomorrow, followed by jobless claims and the ECB press conference. If US data is soft, the USD may ease, providing tailwind for EURUSD to break 1.172–1.174; hot data could increase supply pressure above, likely dragging price back to 1.169–1.168 to test buying strength. What about you? Do you think EURUSD will break above 1.172 immediately, or will it revisit 1.168 first? Comment below with your view!
Long
by EmmaChartist
6
Gold continues to rise, setting new record highs.Gold continues to rise, setting new record highs. The market is currently consolidating, but the overall structure remains bullish. The rally has been supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and growing expectations of aggressive Fed policy easing. However, the overbought conditions and potential profit-taking could limit further upside in the short term. At this stage, gold is consolidating, and the fundamental background remains stable. Since market-moving news is difficult to predict in advance, traders should closely watch technical levels. Support Area Price may retest lower support zones before resuming its uptrend The next possible upside target is around 3675. You any find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
6
USDJPY Forming Ascending ChannelUSDJPY is currently trading around 147.28, moving within a clear ascending channel structure on the daily chart. Price is testing the lower trendline support near 146.40, making this a critical zone for buyers to defend. If the pair holds above this level, we could see momentum building back toward the 149.40–150.00 resistance area, while a breakdown would expose downside levels near 139.80. On the fundamental side, the Japanese Yen remains under pressure as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose monetary stance, despite inflation running higher than historical averages. In contrast, the US Dollar is being driven by shifting expectations on Federal Reserve policy, with recent economic data suggesting that rate cuts may be delayed as inflation cools gradually but remains sticky. This divergence keeps USDJPY well supported in the medium term. Traders are closely watching upcoming US CPI and labor market data, which will provide further clarity on Fed policy direction. A strong recovery from the ascending channel support could confirm bullish continuation, while a decisive break below could trigger a sharp corrective move. Risk management is key at this stage, as volatility remains elevated with potential central bank interventions from Japan if the Yen weakens too aggressively. Holding above the channel base keeps the structure bullish, but losing it shifts bias to a deeper retracement.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
ETH/USDT | Ethereum Eyes $5,100, $5,500 & $6,000 – New ATH AheadBy analyzing the Ethereum chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is still trading around $4,400. If it holds above the $3,900 level, I expect a strong bullish wave toward new targets and fresh all-time highs. Given the current momentum, this bullish move could start soon, with possible targets at $5,100, $5,500, and $6,000. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
Is Sofi about to pull of a Palantir to over $100 ?!🔹 Technical Structure SoFi has built a multi-year rounded bottom base from $4.27 lows (2022–2023) to the $26 rim resistance (2025). Pattern depth: ~$22. Conservative measured move target: ~$48–50. Supercycle stretch target: ~$100–150 (a repeat of the 500% magnitude move from the base, similar to Palantir’s trajectory). This mirrors Palantir’s 2020–2023 cup base, where a long accumulation under $23 eventually broke out, launching into a magnificent run once the resistance gave way. 🔹 Palantir Analogy Palantir’s Setup: Bottom $6.00, rim $30 Multi-year base, AI narrative catalyst. Broke out in late 2023, surged to $185, fulfilling its measured move. SoFi’s Setup: Bottom $4.27, rim $26. Multi-year rounded base, fintech adoption catalyst. Currently pressing resistance; breakout would align it with Palantir’s pre-explosion stage. 👉 Both charts share the same accumulation → breakout → exponential expansion cycle. 🔹 Fundamentals Supporting the Breakout Q2 2025 Results: Net Revenue: $855M (+43–44% YoY) — strongest growth in two years. Adjusted EBITDA: $249M (+81%), ~29% margin. Net Income: $97M GAAP profit, EPS $0.08 (+700% YoY). Members: 11.7M (+34% YoY). Products: 17.1M (+34% YoY). Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue ~$3.375B, EPS ~$0.31. Growth Outlook (2026+): Revenue CAGR ~18–20% through 2026. EPS CAGR ~20–25% expected. Forecast by 2028: Revenue ~$5.1B, Net Income ~$950M. Strategic Strengths: Expanding ecosystem (banking, lending, investing, insurance). Cross-sell flywheel → increasing monetization per user. Scalability proven with profitability and margin expansion. Rate cuts + digital adoption = macro tailwinds. 🔹 Why $100 Is Plausible Technical Base Magnitude: Rounded bottom projects $48, but history shows supercycles often extend beyond measured targets Fundamentals: Tripling revenue, scaling profits, ecosystem expansion. Macro Liquidity: Lower rates + fintech adoption cycle provide tailwinds. Valuation Expansion: With EPS trending toward ~$4–5 by 2030, premium multiples could justify triple-digit valuations. Comparative Proof: Palantir’s breakout validated that multi-year fintech/tech bases can lead to 300–500% runs when catalysts align. ✅ Conclusion: SoFi’s rounded base breakout mirrors Palantir’s 2020–2023 accumulation. With accelerating fundamentals (revenue growth, profitability, ecosystem leverage), and macro tailwinds (rate cuts, fintech adoption), SoFi could realistically run to $48–50 in the base case, with $100+ as a stretch target if Palantir’s roadmap repeats.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by HernandezCapital
2