Trend Lines
BTC - Head and Shoulders PatternBTC chart appears to be playing out a pattern in spirit of a Head and Shoulders pattern, which typically signals a potential bearish reversal. Based on the recent double top observed on 14 August 2025, the percentage decline from that peak to the neckline of the pattern is approximately 17.14%. If this pattern plays out as expected, it suggests a further downside of around 17.14%, equating to roughly $19k, which would bring BTC’s price down to $90k-$91k.
This target level is supported by three key technical confluences:
- A multi-month ascending trendline connecting major pivot lows dating back to Aug 2024
- 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, often considered a significant support zone
- A strong support zone on Daily timeframe
Given these factors, the probability of a continued decline appears high, and further downside pressure may be imminent.
Keep up with the trends and you'll make a profit—dare to try it?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
I still hold the same view and should be wary of the main force pushing up prices to sell. In addition, today is Friday, and the market is most likely to go sideways or change direction. If you don’t want to trade, you can take a rest and enjoy the weekend. If you want to continue trading, you can refer to my last order layout of the day. Pay attention to the pressure of 3780-3790 on the top and the support of 3760-3750 on the bottom. The aggressive ones can try short selling, but they must set a stop loss. The conservative ones can wait for the support to arrange long positions. If you have any questions, please contact me. No other trading signals will be released in the evening.
BTC Strong resistance around 110k! only one direction -> downBTC is having a tough time crossing 110k due to strong resistance. It's now under SMA9/50 and there's a lot of room for it to continue dropping. With the gov shutdown looming next week, it could be a good recipe for BTC to continue dropping. Proceed with caution!
$MSTR to push above $400 again?NASDAQ:MSTR had it's 3rd touch off this blue trend line and usually when it does that, it forms a strong move in the other direction.
As long as this trend line holds, I think it's likely that we can see a move back above $400.
I've marked off key levels as resistance.
Took calls between $367.5 and $410.
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of the news. Rise or fall?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3738-3759 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data, a key indicator for forecasting further Fed policy. Pressure on the metal is intensifying amid a strengthening dollar.
The revision of GDP growth in Q2 to 3.8%, a decline in jobless claims, and an increase in durable goods orders have lowered expectations for aggressive Fed easing.
The new tariffs imposed by Trump have supported demand for defensive assets, but have not been able to offset the pressure from the rise of the USD.
The overall fundamental backdrop is stagnant amid Powell's uncertain stance and the start of a rate cut cycle. The market reaction is mixed...
Gold is in wait-and-see mode. Strong PCE data could send the price to support at $3700, while weak data could bring back interest in record highs.
Resistance levels: 3754, 3759, 3776
Support levels: 3738, 3728, 3703
Technically, the price is storming the resistance of the downward correction and the resistance of the “triangle” consolidation. A breakout and close above 3754-3759 will confirm the bullish sentiment, which could trigger growth towards the ATH. Otherwise, we can expect a retest of 3738-3728 before a possible rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Buy signalThis signal is a little risky and i would say it would be MED_RISK level.
also the RR is good and it is 1:3(Risk: Reward).
i put entry below the support of green trendline because we may have some stop loss hunting there.
Also if stop hit then market is also bearish for a while and more dump may lead like red arrows mentioned on the chart.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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DOGEUSDT time to add some long near 0.22 support zoneAs we can see on the chart previous short closed and hit targets now we can expect local pump here at least to the targets like 0.27$ also then red trendline is major resistance and if it breaks we can expect 0.4$ But we should consider the correction for next weeks too that may happen if BTC drop below 100K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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EURUSD more 300pips fall is expected before massive gain We are looking for more dump and correction here and our target is near 1.1300 so more dump is cooking soon and after that if our support and target hold we can expect med-term bullish target of 1.2200
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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TRUMP now will pump hardAs we can see price is near previous daily low and major support of chart now so we are looking for long here and after it hit first target which is red trendline resistance it can break that and then pump will lead here after a while.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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OIL (WTI) – Trading Plan | Sep 26, 2025🔎 Technical Analysis of OIL (WTI) – Sep 26, 2025
1. Main Trend
- On the H1 timeframe, oil is in a medium-term uptrend, reflected by the ascending trendline extending from Sept 24 until now.
- Price has just had a strong breakout above the weekly VAH (65.45), confirming buying pressure dominance.
2. Key Zones
Resistance:
- 65.80 – 66.00: short-term resistance recently rejected.
- 66.50 – 67.00: stronger resistance zone, overlapping the previous swing high.
Support:
- 65.45 (VAH): nearest support; as long as price stays above this, the uptrend is reinforced.
- 65.10 – 64.60 (POC): central support, balance area.
- 63.00 – 62.90 (VAL): deeper support, previous volume low.
3. Price Action
-- Price had a strong breakout candle up to 66.00 but was rejected, now pulling back slightly toward VAH 65.45.
- The breakout was accompanied by large volume → buyers are in control, but short-term profit-taking pressure is appearing.
- If price holds above VAH, the uptrend will likely continue. If it falls back below POC 64.60, selling pressure may return.
4. Candlestick Pattern
- A rejection candle appeared at 66.00 with a long upper wick → short-term bearish signal.
- However, candles around VAH show small bodies → market is waiting for pullback confirmation.
5. Trading Plan (in order of priority)
📌 Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend (priority):
- Buy if price retests VAH 65.45 successfully or around POC 65.10 – 64.60.
- TP: 66.00 → 66.50 → extended to 67.00.
- SL: below 64.40.
📌 Scenario 2 – Buy breakout continuation:
- If price breaks above 66.00 with a strong H1 candle.
- Enter Buy on breakout.
- TP: 66.50 – 67.00.
- SL: below 65.45.
📌 Scenario 3 – Short-term Sell (only if clear signals appear):
- If price fails to hold VAH 65.45 and breaks POC 64.60.
- Enter Sell with momentum.
- TP: 63.00 – 62.90 (VAL).
- SL: above 65.80.
👉 Summary:
- Priority remains on Buy as long as price holds above VAH 65.45.
- If breakout above 66.00 succeeds → continue Buying with the trend.
- Only consider Selling if price drops below POC 64.60.
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OIL (WTI) – Trading Plan | Sep 25, 20251. Main Trend
- On the H1 timeframe, crude oil is still maintaining an uptrend with a higher high – higher low structure.
- However, the short-term trend is showing signs of losing momentum, as price has broken below the H1 uptrend line and is now oscillating around the POC zone.
2. Key Zones
Resistance:
- 64.95 (CW VAH): Strong resistance, repeatedly tested but not yet broken.
- 65.20 – 65.50: Extended zone if a breakout succeeds.
Support:
- 64.70 – 64.65 (CW POC): Key price zone, where price is currently consolidating.
- 62.85 (CW VAL): Deeper support, overlapping with the previous volume base.
3. Price Action
- After breaking up to 64.95, price failed to sustain bullish momentum, forming multiple upper-wick candles → selling pressure dominates.
- Currently, price has fallen below the H1 trendline and is retesting the POC zone (64.65 – 64.70).
+If POC holds, price may rebound to retest 64.95.
+If POC breaks, price is likely to drop deeper towards 63.50 → 62.85 (VAL).
4. Candlestick Pattern
- Several long lower-wick candles have appeared around the POC → showing defensive buying pressure.
- However, recent bearish candles have relatively large bodies → signals remain unclear, confirmation is needed.
5. Trading Plan
📌 Scenario 1 – Buy with the main trend (priority):
-Buy around 64.65 – 64.70 (POC) if there is a clear bullish reversal signal (pin bar / bullish engulfing).
- Target: 64.95 → 65.20 → further to 65.50.
📌 Scenario 2 – Sell if POC breaks:
- Sell if price breaks decisively below 64.60 and fails on retest.
- Target: 63.50 → 62.85 (VAL).
👉 Summary: Crude oil remains in a long-term uptrend, but short-term momentum is weakening. The decision point lies at POC 64.65 – 64.70:
+If it holds → Buy up.
+If it breaks → Sell down.
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Holding on to 3755, there will be new highsAfter gold broke through the triangle boundary, it meant that the short-term downward adjustment was over. After falling back to 3755, it rebounded again. Everything was in line with our expectations. The morning trend chart also confirmed our advanced trading vision.
In the short term, gold will rise rapidly. Don't chase the rise easily at high levels. It is possible that the main funds want to push up the price to sell. On the upside, pay attention to the suppression brought by the previous highs of 3780-3790. As gold prices rise, short-term resistance also turns into support. Judging from the hourly and 4H charts, the middle track support has also come to around 3755, and the MA5 moving average has also moved up to around 3755. Under multiple conditions, 3755 has become a solid short-term support level. If the support of 3765-3755 can be held, gold may hit a new high and reach 3800-3810. Therefore, if gold rises and reaches 3780-3790 in the evening, I may consider shorting gold with a light position. If gold retreats directly to the 3765-3755 range, we can consider going long on gold to target new highs.
JD.com: accumulation, golden cross, and a chance to restart JD.com remains one of China’s largest e-commerce players, and despite macroeconomic headwinds, the company continues to hold its ground. Fundamentally, JD is focused on optimizing logistics, cutting costs, and expanding its cloud segment. Government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand also provide support. Risks remain tied to China’s economic slowdown and fierce competition from Alibaba and PDD, but at current levels the stock looks attractive for long-term investors.
Technically, the 4H chart shows a breakout of the descending trendline and the formation of a golden cross (50 EMA crossing above 200 EMA), confirming a medium-term trend shift. Price has consolidated above the accumulation zone and is now testing $34.50–35.00. If momentum holds, the next upside targets are $41.00 and $46.00, key resistance levels. A more conservative scenario involves a pullback toward $33.00–32.50, followed by another upward leg.
This is exactly the kind of market situation where investor expectations diverge from reality, and the longer it lasts the more it seems like a trend reversal is near. But as always, emotions must be set aside and clear signals awaited before committing.
Nifty Short Term Analysis: Nifty Next Week. Nifty on chart looks very close to being oversold. some It and few Pharma companies are reaching the range were they seem oversold but when the chips are down they can stay that way for a long time. So we cant be sure if the fall will continue or persist. But some IT companies are already trading at mouth watering levels irrespective of H1B visa restriction/fee hike announcements. Pharma manufacturers have also taken the fall due to 100% Tariff on pharma announcement. However the point to be noted is that majority of Indian Pharma export to US is generic in nature and generic pharma is exempt from Tariff! Auto sector was still doing quite well in comparison. There is a new related to 20% stake sale to foreign investors in PSU Banks. Additionally there is a news related of Mega-merger of PSU Banks. Most of Auto purchase whether institutional or personal or corporate happens via Auto loans. So those who provide these loans can benefit. With reduction of GST and relief on Income tax front consumption will also increase. There are many NBFC which can also benefit because there is an increasing trend in buying goods on loan along with holidaying and leisure on loans. Defence spending is also set to increase for sure with ongoing tense environment in the neighbourhood. These are the sectors in my opinion which one must look at. With all these things in mind medium term outlook and long term outlook for India still remains positive.
Resistance zone for Nifty with short term perspective seem to be at: 24849, 24980 is the father line, 25000 is an important resistance level and 25026 is the mother line. All the three resistances are close by. So once we get a closing above 25026 things will smoothen out and move towards 25146 or even 25304+ levels.
Support level for Nifty with short term perspective are at: 24640, 24509 and 24344.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
GBP/USD: Bearish Trend Strengthens Within Descending ChannelGBP/USD continues to slide after a rejection from the resistance zone, with a sharp selloff driving price back into the descending channel. Current price action shows consolidation within a bearish structure, and a triangle breakdown is reinforcing the downward momentum.
Unless the pair can recover above 1.3400, the bias remains bearish, with the next downside target near the 1.3277 support level. The broader trend stays negative as long as the channel's upper boundary continues to act as resistance.
If it doesn't break 3755, we will continue to be bearishYesterday, gold tested the lowest level of 3720 and then began to rebound. In the evening, gold rebounded again to around 3758, but it did not effectively break through the trend suppression, so gold still fluctuated and fell.
Today, gold has traded in a narrow range during the Asian session, with no clear trading direction in the short term. The overall trend is currently consolidating within a triangular pattern. As time goes by, the short-term trend pressure has come to around 3750. The European session will focus on the pressure of 3750-3755. If it fails to break through effectively, gold will continue to fluctuate and consolidate in the short term, and you can consider shorting gold. On the contrary, once 3755 is effectively broken through, it means the end of the short-term downward adjustment. Key support levels are at 3730-3720. For intraday trading, adopt a "buy low, sell high" strategy within the 3750-3720 range, aiming for profit targets of $10-$30, until the triangular pattern is broken. At the same time, it should be noted that 3710-3700 below is still the key support.
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XAUUSD – Gold Analysis & Trading Plan (Sep 26, 2025 - Update)1️⃣Main Trend
- On H1, gold is still holding the medium-term uptrend with the rising trendline from the September 25th low.
- In the short term, price has just broken out above POC 3754 with a strong bullish candle → showing buyers are currently in control.
2️⃣ Key Zones
Resistance:
- 3765 – 3770: the area just touched, potential short-term barrier.
- 3780 – 3782 (VAH): strong resistance, a breakout here could extend the bullish momentum.
Support:
- 3754 (POC): equilibrium zone, now acting as short-term support.
- 3730 (VAL): stronger support, previous volume low.
3️⃣ Price Action
- After multiple consolidations, price has broken out above POC.
- The breakout candle has both strong volume and a large body → confirming real buying strength.
- However, price is now testing the 3765 – 3770 zone, which could trigger a short-term pullback.
4️⃣ Trading Plan
* Scenario 1 – Buy pullback (priority):
- Wait for price to retest 3754 (POC) or the rising trendline.
- Buy around 3754 – 3756 if a bullish reversal candle appears.
- TP: 3765 → 3782 (VAH).
* Scenario 2 – Buy breakout:
- If price breaks 3765 – 3770 with a strong H1 candle.
- Buy on successful retest.
- TP: 3782 → extended to 3800.
* Scenario 3 – Short-term Sell (high risk):
- If price fails to break 3765 – 3770 and forms a strong rejection candle.
- Sell around 3768.
- TP: 3754 → 3740.
👉 Summary:
- The zone 3754 – 3756 (POC) is the best Buy entry on a retest.
- If price breaks 3770, continue to Buy following the uptrend.
- Sell should only be considered short-term around 3768 with clear rejection signals.
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Gold PCE data follows the trend
News:
Powell's speech was rather conservative, exacerbating the market's cautious sentiment, and the easing of geopolitical situation suppressed the demand for safe-haven assets, which led to the resistance of gold's rise and the adjustment of high-level fluctuations. However, the expectation of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve provided important bottom support for gold prices, which limited the short-term decline space and created opportunities for bargain hunting. In terms of operations, we suggest that everyone pay attention to the support at $3,740, followed by $3,730, and the upper pressure at $3,780, followed by $3,800.
Specifically:
During Thursday's European session, gold rebounded to $3,760 before encountering resistance and falling in a volatile manner. After the US market opened, gold continued its decline, falling to a low of $3,720. After stabilizing, it rebounded and rebounded, reaching $3,758 before encountering resistance.
At the opening of Friday's session, gold fell back to $3,735 before stabilizing. It rebounded to $3,750 before encountering resistance and is currently trading at $3,750. Overall, despite the resistance to gold's rebound, its short-term decline is limited, and gold prices continue to fluctuate and consolidate at a high level.
On the daily chart, gold has stabilized above $3,700, maintaining a high and volatile range. For downward support, consider the lower limit of the 4-hour Bollinger Band at $3,720, which is also near the low point of gold's decline on Wednesday and Thursday. Secondly, consider the $3,700 level. If gold prices hold steady here, there's still a chance for further gains. For upward pressure, consider Thursday's rebound high of $3,760, followed by Wednesday's rebound high of $3,780.
The 5-day moving average maintains an upward golden cross, but the MACD indicator has slightly crossed downward, and the KDJ and RSI indicators have formed a small bearish cross. Short-term technical indicators suggest that gold needs a correction after its continuous rise.
Strategy:
Long Position3740-3750,SL:3725,Target:3780-3800