Trend Lines
DLO Breaking Free: Bullish Momentum Building(DLO) DLocal has been stuck in a long-term descending channel, but the tide seems to be turning.
Key Technical Points:
Price just broke above the descending trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Strong green candle with increased momentum, suggesting buyers are stepping in aggressively.
If this breakout holds, the next targets could be $12.20 (previous swing high) and then $13.50.
Invalidation level: A drop back below the trendline (≈11$) would question the breakout.
Bottom line:
This looks like the first real bullish breakout after months of lower highs. If volume confirms, DLO could start a fresh uptrend.
TME: Near the End of the Climb? Sellers Taking ControlTME (Tencent Music) has been moving higher inside a well-defined ascending channel, but the chart is flashing caution signals right now.
Technical Points:
Price has reached the top of the channel, a level that historically triggered pullbacks.
Recent candles show weakness - upper wicks, lower volume, and hesitation near resistance.
Significant gap from the 20 EMA (≈20.20$), increasing the odds of a pullback.
A likely scenario: rejection at the current level and a move back toward the channel's midline (≈23$) or even the EMA zone.
Bottom line:
The upside looks limited here, while the risk of a reversal is rising sharply. A breakout would require strong volume, otherwise sellers may push this lower.
Seize the key turning points in gold tradingThe CPI data has limited impact on gold. Today, focus on fluctuations in the 3340-3370 range. A break above 3370 could lead to a test of 3385. A break below 3340 support could trigger a further drop to 3320. Gold prices fell for the first two trading days of this week, and even the positive CPI data failed to drive a significant increase in gold prices. This clearly demonstrates that the market is not bullish but rather volatile and weak. The key now is to observe the sustainability of this weak and volatile market and any potential reversals. If the weakness continues and effectively breaks below 3340, the downside target is 3320. Conversely, a break above 3370 would target the 3385 resistance level. Gold's strategy recommends focusing on range-bound trading.
Gold Recommendation: Short positions in batches around 3370-3385, with a target of 3355-3350. If gold falls back to 3355-3340 and stabilizes, consider going long in the opposite direction.
Lennar Corp | LEN | Long at $116.48Across the US, there is a pent-up demand for housing (for the vast majority of locations). While the media likes to selectively report home sales dropping for certain regions, it is more due to mortgage rates and seasonality than demand. Mortgage rates are anticipated to come down over the next 1-2 years and home builders will step in to pick-up the lack of inventory. Healthy companies like Lennar Corp NYSE:LEN , with a P/E of 8x, dividend of 1.68%, very low debt-to-equity (0.17x), etc are likely to prosper, but always stay cautious with the dreaded "recession" announcement if it creeps in...
Thus, at $116.48, NYSE:LEN is in a personal buy-zone. In the near-term, I do see the potential for the price to dip near $100 as tariff and other economic red flags continue to be in focus.
Targets:
$131.00
$145.00
$157.00
$180.00
Alibaba | BABA | Long at $108.84Like Amazon, I suspect AI and robotics will enhance Alibaba's NYSE:BABA e-commerce, logistics, and cloud computing operations. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though...
NYSE:BABA has a current P/E of 14.2x and a forward P/E of 2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is very healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.2x, Altmans Z Score of 3.3, and a Quick Ratio of 1.5. If this were a US stock, investors would have piled in long ago at the current price.
From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band has started to reverse trend (now upward), indicating a high potential for continued (overall) price movement up. It is possible, however, that the price may reenter the SMA band in the near-term - the $80s aren't out of the question - as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold.
Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone at $108.84 (with known risk of drop to the $80s in the near-term).
Targets into 2028:
$125.00 (+14.8%)
$160.00 (+47.0%)
Volatility dominates the market, intraday gold layoutAfter a sharp drop, gold has been in a state of volatility.📊 After touching the support level near 3330 yesterday, it finally rebounded. The current gold hourly moving average is spreading upward, and the Bollinger Band opening is widening. 📈Our judgment that gold is forming a head and shoulders bottom trend may become a reality.🌈
However, in the short term, prices above 3365 remain somewhat suppressed, and any current gains or losses can only be considered as wide-ranging fluctuations. ⚖️If the European session cannot effectively break through the 3370-3380 resistance area, then gold may still have a possibility of a short-term correction.📉 When encountering resistance and pressure from above, aggressive traders can consider shorting with a light position near the resistance level and wait for a correction.🐻 Conservative traders can patiently wait for the NY session to fall back to 3360-3345 and go long with a light position.🐂
MBT (Micro Bitcoin Futures) Trade Setup – 3H TimeframeBullish Setup at Key Support Level with Declining Selling Pressure
MBT has recently encountered resistance at the 122000-123500 zone, which previously marked its all-time high on July 14, 2025. The subsequent pullback to the 118650-119400 support area presents an intriguing bullish opportunity, particularly given the declining negative volume that suggests waning selling pressure.
The 3-hour chart reveals a compelling technical setup, with the current price action testing a crucial support zone. What makes this setup particularly interesting is the moderate but decreasing negative volume during the recent decline. This volume characteristic often indicates accumulation and suggests that buyers are defending this support level.
Illustrative Setup: A Buy Limit order positioned at 118650 capitalizes on the bottom of the current support zone. The Stop Loss at 116855 is strategically placed below both the August 9 price gap and the prevailing uptrend line, which would clearly invalidate the bullish thesis if breached conjointly. A Take Profit target at 122765, representing the midpoint of the recent high zone (122000-123500), offers an attractive 2.29:1 reward-risk ratio.
Key considerations: The combination of declining selling volume, clear support zone, and the presence of an upward trendline since August 6 provides multiple technical confirmations for this bullish setup. However, traders should remain vigilant of broader market conditions and consider implementing partial profit-taking strategies given the significant distance to the target.
This analysis is provided solely for educational and entertainment purposes and does not constitute any form of financial or investment advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Seize the best entry time during gold fluctuationsGold is rising slowly, and the 4H consecutive positive lines have pierced the upper edge of the oscillation range. The thinking needs to be adjusted. The current Bollinger band is closing, breaking through the middle track pressure, and the continuation of the strength can be seen in the 3370-3385 area. The US dollar index plunged 33 US dollars in the short term. If it continues to weaken, it may be good for gold. The core CPI in July was 3.1% year-on-year, slightly exceeding expectations, but the overall inflation was mild, and the market reaction was volatile. Today, gold fell first and then fluctuated upward. From the trend, gold rose continuously, and the current highest reached around 3366, MACD golden cross; the 1-hour moving average is bullish, and the gold price relies on the upper track of Bollinger, and the Bollinger opening is enlarged, turning to bullish in the short term.
Trading suggestion: Go long in batches when gold falls back to around 3355-3340, with the target at 3370-3380. There is resistance and pressure near 3370-3385 above, so you can consider shorting.
XRP Price Prediction: Why the $3.37 Level is KeyUntil early July, the price of Ripple was range-bound without clear momentum, drifting aimlessly like a sailboat in calm seas. However, everything changed at the beginning of July. A series of higher highs and higher lows has indicated bullish market sentiment, forming a channel where the upper boundary indicates overbought conditions and the lower boundary signals oversold territory. The channel's median, where the price sometimes consolidates, represents a short-term balance point reflecting Ripple's perceived intrinsic value.
The upward slope of the median is a positive sign for the coin, but buying right here and now doesn't guarantee a profit. How might events unfold from here? The base case scenario is a continuation of the upward momentum within this highly volatile ascending channel. And right now, the price is in a very interesting position—just below the $3.37 level. This is a key resistance, and the next two facts confirm why this is the case:
As soon as the price rose above $3.37 in mid-July, we saw a sharp spike in volume. The candle's body shrank, and the close was far from the highs. This indicates that "smart money" was taking profits by selling their previously bought coins to the late-arriving "FOMO" crowd. The fact that the price failed to continue its ascent in the following days confirms this underlying selling pressure.
On July 23rd, the price dropped on a wide bearish candle with huge volume. This was direct market selling. There is no more eloquent evidence of weakness than this.
Together, these two facts suggest that in July, "smart money" was confident that $3.37 was too high a price for Ripple. But that doesn't mean they hold the same opinion in August.
The relatively wide bullish candle on August 12th, with increasing volume and a strong close, gives hope to the bulls. This is evidence of demand activation, and how serious this demand is will be revealed by the test of strength it faces at the $3.37 level.
If we see weak price action here (e.g., bearish engulfing patterns or upthrusts), it would be an argument that "smart money" is still ready to offload their coins.
On the other hand, a breakout to the upside on increasing volume would be a clear sign of demand strength. As of August 13th, the situation looks slightly more bearish in my opinion, as if the buyers' enthusiasm is waning and they are growing timid as they approach this key level. In an optimistic scenario, this level would flip its role to support; a bullish news catalyst would be very helpful for this to happen.
For now, it seems to me that the bulls are not ready for an aggressive assault. Therefore, I am cautiously setting a neutral-to-bearish forecast for the next month, based on this volume analysis. However, I am ready to change my opinion quickly if the market proves me wrong.
Elanco Animal Health Inc | ELAN | Long at $11.16Elanco Animal Health NYSE:ELAN is riding my historical simple moving average and likely to make a move up soon. Insiders have recently been awarded options and bought $483,000+ worth of shares. Became profitable this year, low debt, P/E = 15x.
Long at $11.16
Targets:
$12.50
$14.50
$16.00
$17.50
Gold bearish pattern has unfolded
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices rebounded intraday on Wednesday (August 13th), with resistance levels above the retracement level warranting attention for short positions. Spot gold saw buying for the second consecutive day, attempting to build on the previous day's rebound from around $3,330 (our first profit target after the bearish outlook).
The latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July was largely in line with expectations, reinforcing market expectations of a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This data kept the US dollar at a low level for over two weeks, further supporting gold as a non-yielding asset. However, gold's intraday rally appears to lack sufficient momentum, particularly given the potential for the US-Russia summit to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has dampened its safe-haven nature.
The shift in market sentiment means that it remains prudent to continue holding long gold positions until there is strong follow-up buying.
📊Technical aspects
Gold's 1-hour moving average is still forming a downward death cross, indicating a bearish trend, and there are no signs of a reversal. Therefore, gold's bearish momentum remains. After a rapid rise to the 3360 level, it has retreated. Gold still faces significant resistance between 3360 and 65, and has yet to establish a strong breakout. Therefore, gold remains in a volatile bearish trend, remaining a dominant force for bears.
If the market hasn't yet reversed, gold bears still have ample room to maneuver. A rebound correction is perfectly normal after a significant decline. However, gold's continued lack of a significant breakout above 3360 means it's too early to conclude that gold bulls are strong. Unless gold effectively breaks through 3360 in the short term and stabilizes, short positions should remain.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3360-3365,SL:3380,Target: 3330,3310
DMARTAvenue Supermarts Ltd. (currently trading at ₹4334) operates DMart, India’s second-largest organized grocery and general merchandise retail chain. Known for its value-driven model, DMart offers food, FMCG, apparel, and home utility products through a network of 426 stores across India. The company maintains a lean cost structure, high inventory turnover, and strong cash flow generation, making it one of the most efficient retailers in the country.
Avenue Supermarts Ltd. – FY21–FY25 Snapshot
Sales – ₹24,143 Cr → ₹30,850 Cr → ₹41,833 Cr → ₹50,790 Cr → ₹59,358 Cr Strong multi-year growth driven by store expansion and higher footfalls
Net Profit – ₹1,099 Cr → ₹1,650 Cr → ₹2,378 Cr → ₹2,520 Cr → ₹2,707 Cr Margin stability despite competitive pressures and input cost volatility
Operating Performance – Strong → Strong → Strong → Strong → Strong Consistent execution across offline and online formats
Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% No payouts; reinvestment-focused strategy
Equity Capital – ₹648.73 Cr (constant) No dilution; promoter group retains majority stake
Total Debt – ₹0 Cr (debt-free) Fully equity-financed operations
Fixed Assets – ₹9,850 Cr → ₹11,200 Cr → ₹12,650 Cr → ₹13,980 Cr → ₹15,320 Cr Capex focused on store additions and DMart Ready infrastructure
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends
Promoter holding stands at 74.65%, led by Radhakishan Damani and family. FIIs and DIIs maintain strong exposure due to DMart’s execution strength and consumption linkage. Delivery volumes reflect long-term accumulation by retail-focused funds and institutional investors.
Business Growth Verdict
Avenue Supermarts continues to scale efficiently across geographies Margins remain stable despite competitive intensity Debt-free structure enhances financial flexibility Capex supports long-term store expansion and digital enablement
Management Con Call
Management confirmed 50 new store additions in FY25, with a strategic push into northern India, especially Uttar Pradesh. DMart Ready continues to expand, now present in 25 cities, with a focus on 3–6 hour delivery windows rather than quick commerce. Private-label expansion into branded categories (biscuits, soaps, detergents) is underway to protect margins. FY26 outlook includes mid-teen revenue growth and continued store rollout, with margin pressures expected to ease as service-level investments normalize.
Final Investment Verdict
Avenue Supermarts Ltd. IS a debt-free model, strong promoter backing, and scalable offline-plus-online strategy make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to India’s consumption and retail infrastructure. With improving store economics and digital traction, DMart remains a long-term value creator.
USDCHF MARKET STRUCTURE-H4 TIMEFRAME USDCHF declined back to a previous high of 0.80459. From the technical standpoint,we can deduce that there’s currently a pullback in price occurring in lower timeframes. If we’d see price falling close to the marked out trendline, we’d be looking forward to buying it.
US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Index) Trade Setup – 3H TimeframeOn the 3-hour timeframe, US30 has established a clear bearish structure following its July 28, 2025 all-time high just above the 45,000 mark. The initial sharp decline from this level, characterized by strong negative volume, found support at 43,550 after a 3.44% correction. What's particularly noteworthy is the subsequent price action at the 44,400 level, which has transitioned from support to resistance, confirmed by a high-volume rejection on August 7.
The current market structure shows weakening momentum on recovery attempts, with declining positive volume as price tests the 44,400 barrier. This volume pattern, combined with the established downward trendline from the 45,126.50 ATH, suggests sellers remain in control of the short-term price action.
Illustrative Setup: A Sell Limit order at 44,290 aligns with the lower boundary of the resistance zone. The Stop Loss placement at 44,605 provides protection above both the 44,400 resistance and the descending trendline, offering clear invalidation if breached. The Take Profit target at 43,550 corresponds with the recent support level, where strong buying interest previously emerged, pushing price back up. This configuration yields a risk-reward ratio of 2.1:1, respecting the recent price action dynamics.
Key consideration: The high-volume rejection at 44,400 and subsequent declining volume on recovery attempts suggest institutional selling pressure remains dominant. However, traders should remain mindful that the broader market structure is still bullish despite this correction phase.
This analysis is provided solely for educational and entertainment purposes and does not constitute any form of financial or investment advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
CPOOLUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Momentum Surge & Key TargetsCPOOLUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Momentum Surge & Key Targets
🔍 Let’s dive into the CPOOL/USDT 1D chart and break down the latest price action that’s catching attention, with an eye on bullish setups and critical zones.
⏳ Daily Overview
The chart shows a dynamic breakout above the accumulation box (range), with price riding a clear yellow trendline and volume spiking hard — classic momentum signals. RSI is entering the overbought zone, which confirms surging buying interest and the possibility for rapid moves.
🔺 Long Setup:
- The breakout from the range box suggests accumulation and fresh interest. Immediate upside looks at the mid-range target of $0.26010.
- Next, if momentum holds, price could rally towards $0.34350, which lines up with the risk-reward (RR1) from the box.
- Sustained momentum and continued volume spikes could unlock even higher targets beyond these levels.
📊 Key Highlights:
- Yellow trendline supports the move, tracking bullish sentiment.
- Volume spikes show real participation — this isn’t a low-liquidity fakeout.
- RSI entering the overbought zone is a momentum engine, but keep an eye out for possible pullbacks or cooling periods as price tests higher levels.
- Fake breakout earlier in the range now confirmed by the strong candle and volume surge.
🚨 Conclusion:
Momentum is accelerating. If buyers stay in control above current support, price could climb to the mid-box target of $0.26010, with $0.34350 as the next bullish destination. This setup favors longs as long as volume and trendline support remain intact. Aggressive momentum could push price even further — time to watch those critical resistance levels.
XRP – Dual Trends Active, Ready to Outperform - $7 Incoming
Two active trends on CRYPTOCAP:XRP right now—monthly and weekly confirmations are in, which significantly boosts the probability of hitting the first target.
Honestly, I see this outperforming CRYPTOCAP:ETH , though both are worth holding.
With both timeframes aligned, I’m expecting a strong move.
Targeting $7 on CRYPTOCAP:XRP and over $7k on $ETH.
CADJPY: Classic Trend-Following PatternI spotted a favorable bearish pattern on 📉CADJPY on a 4-hour chart,
the price has created a bearish flag.
Currently in a slight bearish trend, breaking below the flag's support would signal a strong continuation of the trend.
We can anticipate a decline to 106.68.
GOLD → From consolidation to distribution. Target 3400FX:XAUUSD is entering a distribution phase after the end of consolidation. The market is strong, bulls managed to keep prices from falling and formed an intermediate bottom in the 3340 zone.
The price increase was supported by expectations of a soft Fed policy after moderate July CPI data (2.7% y/y, 0.2% m/m, core 0.3%), which led to a decline in bond yields and a weakening of the dollar. However, demand for safe assets is declining amid optimism in global markets, fueled by the US-China trade truce, a possible meeting between Trump and Putin, and bets on a Fed rate cut in September. In the long term, gold could be supported by purchases by the Chinese central bank and a recovery in jewelry demand in India.
Technically, the focus is on the zone of interest ahead at 3370-3373, with a possible rebound before growth, as well as on the support zone at 3359. I do not rule out that the market may test the liquidity zone...
Resistance levels: 3370, 3380, 3400
Support levels: 3358, 3341, 3334
There is considerable potential within the consolidation, and the rally may be directed towards the resistance range of 3400. However, pullbacks are possible before growth, which could give us a good entry point.
Best regards, R. Linda!